BTC/USD – Major Resistance Holding | Will This Lead to a Deep PuBitcoin is currently testing a strong supply zone near $104,000, as shown on the 4H chart. This zone has rejected price several times, suggesting institutional selling interest.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Zone: $103,800 – $104,500 (supply zone)
First Support: $91,916 (previous range high)
Major Support Zone: $82,829 – $83,547 (confluence of historical resistance and visible demand)
Demand Zone Below: $76,800 – $82,800 (strong bullish base)
Analysis:
Price is consolidating near the resistance, forming potential distribution.
A break below $100K could trigger a liquidity sweep toward $91,916.
If momentum builds on the downside, expect buyers to step in near FWB:83K - GETTEX:82K , the next high-probability demand zone.
Red arrows mark likely pullback zones if sellers dominate.
Events Ahead:
Upcoming US economic news (highlighted with icons) may trigger volatility.
Watch for volume spikes and bearish confirmation candles on lower timeframes before entering shorts.
Trading Plan:
Short Idea: Look for rejection patterns below $104K with targets at $91.9K and $83K.
Long Setup: Wait for bullish price action near GETTEX:82K demand zone.
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTC/USD parallel channel marked by two black trendlines.1. Trend Analysis:
The chart shows an upward channel indicating a bullish trend.
Price is moving within a parallel channel marked by two black trendlines.
2. Trade Setup:
A clear entry and target zone is illustrated.
Entry Zone (green box): This is where the trader considers entering a long position.
Target Zone (green): This is the expected price level where profits might be taken.
3. Historical Move:
A highlighted section from April shows a previous bullish breakout (labeled with "BOS" - Break of Structure).
A 19.23% rise is noted during that move.
4. Current Price:
At the top, it shows the price at around $101,884.73, though the actual market might differ now.
The chart is timestamped as viewed around 3:20 AM local time (bottom right corner).
5. Chart Tools and Features:
Indicators, drawing tools, and various TradingView functions like Pine Editor and Strategy Tester are visible.
BTCUSD Technical Analysis.This chart appears to be a technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) on the BITSTAMP exchange, using a 1-hour timeframe.
Key Observations:
1. Current Price and Drop: The price is shown at around 101,661 USD, experiencing a sharp decline of approximately 2.37%.
2. Price Target: The chart indicates a target level of around 103,000 USD, suggesting a potential recovery or rebound.
3. Chart Pattern: The sharp drop followed by a possible upward movement (zigzag arrow) suggests a potential bullish correction after a sell-off.
4. Bollinger Bands: The blue bands indicate volatility. The current drop has moved significantly below the lower band, which might indicate an oversold condition.
5. Support and Resistance: The highlighted rectangular areas denote resistance and support zones, with the lower box around 103,000 acting as a potential resistance if the price recovers.
Would you like an analysis of potential trading strategies based on this chart?
(BTC/USD) Short Trade Setup: Key Resistance Rejection with Targe1. Entry Point: 104,855
This is where the trader plans to enter a short position (sell).
Price is slightly below this level at the moment (103,775).
2. Stop-Loss Zone: ~104,807
Highlighted in purple above the entry.
Indicates where the trader will exit if the market moves against them to limit losses.
3. Resistance Point: 103,086
This level has been tested multiple times and may act as a ceiling for prices.
If broken and held, it might invalidate the short setup.
4. Target Point: 93,159
This is the take-profit level for the short trade.
Represents a drop of approximately -10.76% from the entry point.
5. Trend Analysis:
The chart shows an uptrend leading into a potential distribution or topping pattern near the resistance zone.
A potential bearish move is anticipated, hence the short strategy.
6. Support Zones:
Highlighted in purple near the target area (around 93,159).
Historically strong buying areas.
Interpretation:
The trader expects the current resistance level to hold, prompting a downward correction toward the target zone at 93,159. If price moves above 104,807, the setup is invalidated, hence the stop-loss placement.
Ethereum and the Pectra Upgrade: ETH Growth PotentialEthereum is approaching a significant upgrade called Pectra, which, according to analysts at Trenovia Group, could become a major catalyst for ETH’s price appreciation—especially if network activity continues to rise.
What Does Pectra Bring?
Pectra continues Ethereum’s path toward greater technological maturity. The upgrade introduces enhancements to the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM), optimizes validator coordination, and strengthens smart contract security. As Trenovia Group highlights, such developments are essential to the platform's long-term competitiveness and stability.
Potential Impact on ETH Price
Based on Trenovia Group’s internal analysis, ETH could strengthen after the Pectra upgrade, assuming a rise in network engagement. Past events, such as The Merge, have historically driven price momentum. However, sustained growth depends on actual increases in user activity, transaction volumes, and new project deployments.
Network Activity as a Growth Indicator
Network usage is one of the most critical metrics tracked by Trenovia Group. A surge in active wallets, decentralized applications (dApps), and DeFi platforms often translates to higher demand for ETH. These indicators are at the core of our investment strategies and client advisory services.
Trenovia Group’s Position
As a company focused on digital asset analytics and blockchain innovation, Trenovia Group views Pectra as a strategically important upgrade. It further solidifies Ethereum’s role in decentralized finance and Web3. We will continue to deliver in-depth market insights and recommendations as the network evolves.
Conclusion
Ethereum is entering a new phase of development. Should the Pectra upgrade lead to a measurable increase in network activity, Trenovia Group anticipates a favorable environment for ETH growth, reaffirming its position as a leader in the crypto market.
BTCUSD ChoCh + FVG Rejection = Drop Incoming🧠 Smart Money Concepts | BTCUSD 1H Breakdown
Here’s a crystal-clear Smart Money setup on Bitcoin that screams bearish intent. The wedge was a trap, the ChoCh confirmed the flip, and now price is reaching back into a Fair Value Gap that’s likely to reject hard.
Let’s dissect the setup:
🧱 1. Structure: Rising Wedge + ChoCh
Bitcoin climbed with a grinding structure inside a rising wedge — classic liquidity trap.
Smart Money lured in longs, then snapped structure (ChoCh) at ~102,700 — that’s your reversal confirmation.
📉 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Rejection Zone
After the ChoCh, price retraced into a juicy FVG zone around 103,219 – 103,913 —
right below a Strong High at 105,900. Inducement bait for breakout traders.
That’s premium pricing in a bearish environment = high-probability short.
🎯 3. Liquidity Target: Weak Low + Sell Side Sweep
Price is eyeing the Weak Low at 99,114, and below that sits the real magnet:
Sell Side Liquidity at ~98,800. That’s your ultimate draw.
📐 4. Trade Idea (R:R Approx. 3.5:1)
📍 Entry Zone: 103,200–103,900 (FVG zone)
❌ SL: Above Strong High @ 106,000
✅ TP1: Weak Low at 99,114
🏁 TP2: Sell Side Liquidity @ ~98,800
🧩 Confluences Checklist:
✅ Rising Wedge Trap
✅ ChoCh Confirmed
✅ FVG in Premium Zone
✅ Bearish Order Flow
✅ Weak Low + Sell Side as Target
⚠️ Caution:
Don’t short blindly. Wait for reaction in the FVG zone — ideally a rejection wick or lower timeframe BOS.
If price closes above the Strong High — setup is invalidated.
📊 Summary:
This BTCUSD setup is dripping with manipulation. Smart Money engineered a wedge, flipped structure, and is now likely to distribute before the next leg down.
Stay sharp. Trade with the big players, not against them.
💬 Type “🚨 BTC Short Alert” in the comments if you caught this setup too.
📉 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for more SMC alpha and sniper setups.
👀 Tag a fellow trader who thinks wedges always break upward 😂
Bitcoin the Big Bearish TrapIn my opinion we are forming an extended right shoulder on the weekly
1 Scenario: It's expected to see an impulse to 107-112k area but I wouldn't buy spot/long btc in here under any circumstance.
Based on weekly RSI, we might top somewhere there, or sooner
2 Scenario: We don't go above 100k and start a sudden move down, as SPX just retested it's previous highs and a retrace is expected as well.
Regarding Altcoins, if btc goes above 115k, it's worth the risk with proper management but not sooner, or you risk being the exit liquidity in a very big downward move.
Or, btc retraces to sub 80k and we have one more leg left of 20-30% on alts before doom
Bitcoin Forecast: May 2025 OutlookMay 2025 has marked a strong upward trend for Bitcoin, with the leading cryptocurrency steadily trading in the $100,000–$105,000 range and hitting multi-month highs. This growth has been largely fueled by active accumulation from institutional investors, including exchange-traded funds (ETFs), reinforcing Bitcoin’s growing integration into the traditional financial system.
Institutional Demand as a Key Driver
A major factor behind Bitcoin’s recent surge is the increasing flow of capital from institutional investors. Large ETFs, such as those managed by BlackRock and Fidelity, have expanded their positions in BTC, sending a strong signal of confidence from established financial institutions. This has further boosted interest from retail investors and strengthened the overall bullish momentum.
Macroeconomic Context
Another significant influence is the market's anticipation of a potential interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve. A more dovish monetary policy stance would make riskier assets, including cryptocurrencies, more attractive, encouraging further investment in Bitcoin.
While the Fed is expected to make a rate decision in June, markets tend to price in such moves early, which is already being reflected in Bitcoin’s price trajectory.
Forecast: How Much Could Bitcoin Be Worth by End of May?
Given the current momentum and positive market sentiment, analysts suggest that Bitcoin could continue its ascent. Optimistic forecasts predict that BTC might reach $120,000–$130,000 by the end of the month, provided macroeconomic conditions remain favorable. Still, the inherent volatility of the crypto market means potential pullbacks should not be ruled out.
Conclusion
May 2025 could prove to be a pivotal month for Bitcoin. Increased institutional participation, supportive macroeconomic signals, and favorable technical indicators are all contributing to its ongoing rally. If the current trend continues, Bitcoin could set new all-time highs in the coming weeks.
BTC CONSOLIDATESBitcoin is taking a breather just below the $106,099 resistance level, after a strong rally from sub-$90K levels in April. Yesterday’s candle showed some indecision, which makes sense given the proximity to the key psychological milestone of $100,000 and the well-defined horizontal resistance between $106K and $109,358. This area previously marked the top of the February range and is likely to be heavily contested.
Price is comfortably above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which are rising and signaling trend strength. Volume has decreased slightly during this consolidation phase, a normal occurrence after a powerful breakout, but we’ll want to see volume pick back up if Bitcoin makes a run at the highs.
If bulls can clear $106K cleanly with conviction, $109,358 is the final local resistance before we enter open skies and potential new highs. On the downside, $99,517 now serves as the first line of support, and a deeper pullback could retest the $92,817 level — the site of the previous breakout.
The structure remains bullish, but some cooling or consolidation here would be healthy, especially after such an aggressive move.
Bitcoin is still following 2017 run. Surprising things to see
As many of you know, I have been referring This cycle of Bitcoin to that of the 2013 ->2017 bull run. And while PA has Fallen off and below the Fractal itself, we do still have one Very Major thing to see and it is a Good one.
So, the chart above has an arrow. This is pointing to Sep, Oct, Nov 2024.
See how PA pushed up to the "Neckline" of the Range and got rejected for 2 weeks.
A Red then Green Candles, on or below that "Neckline" and then Off it went.
We are currently just below the "Neckline" of this Range and we are currently printing a Red candle. It is early days but maybe we will repeat the same pattern.
There are reasons that I have explained in an earlier post today, that point towards a possible Red candle this week.
The other thing I want to show you on this subject is the MACD
This is a Daily MACD ( the main chart being Weekly) But while the actual PA of the MACD is different, I want you to see the Histogram. The Histogram shows us the % Difference between the MACD line ( yellow) and its Signal line ( Red)
Have a look at the the similarity the histogram pattern in 2024 ( arrow ) compared to this period Now.
The Large green Climb from a Low, the fall, the new smaller climb, the drop to Red and then a push higher.
OK, so the scale is different but, to me, it shows a similar pattern to the previous end of Ranging period.
We need to see if this pays out. If so, we will see a Red Histogram for a while..
This ties in with the ideas presented above on the PA patterns.
But overall this cycle, we do seem to be repeating patterns in a broad sense, with a larger scale currently. The larger scale of thispossible Red Histogram also plays into the idea mentioned at the end of this post.
So , what is the connection to the 2013 - 2017 Cycle.
Look at the upper trendline that has rejected PA since 2024. This is an OLD line of resistance from before 2017...
Lets look at a zoomed out chart
Look at that Arrow on the Left and that trend line.
It is the SAME LINE - Not only that, it rejected PA twice in late 2016 and 2017, before PA broke through and went on to reach a new ATH
So, Having seen this, I am happy to believe that we ARE Still following that 2013 -> 2017 Cycle pattern.
True, PA has fallen below the Fractel but we do seem to be repeating the Trend line Rejection, Dip, Rejection and........
You can also see how this same trend line, once crossed, is extremely strong support - infact we did not drop back below until July 2022, after another ATH
BUT, as ever, I look to BOTH sides and there is a chance we may see a stiffer rejection, IF we get rejected here again.
Should events dictate a further Drop in PA, we may see PA return to the next trend line below, around 82K. ( remember that Red Histogram pattern I mentioned earlier )
While this would Scare many, it would still play into the pattern we have been seeing.
2024 saw 3 major Rejections off its Neckline.
We have had 2 so far in 2025 and we are there right now, waiting to see what happens, with a RED candle. A Drop back to 82K would also reset the Daily MACD very nicely.
I remain Cautious and Bullish
what ever happens in the short term, I have little doubt about further pushes higher, maybe a LOT higher
BITCOIN on similar spot as before the U.S. elections! 155k next?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke last week above the Lower Highs trend-line of its December 2024 High and so far on the current 1W candle, it's consolidating on it.
This is the exact same price action we saw on the October 21 2024 1W candle, which after breaking above that Lower Highs trend-line at the time, it spend 2 weeks consolidating on it before the November 05 U.S. election result started a relentless 7 week rally just below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
Note that on both fractals, the Lower Highs break-out and then re-test, took place on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. If BTC manages to close above it at all times, we will have a strong case to expect again a Bullish extension as last December. The symmetrical level just below the 2.0 Fib ext in today's terms is $155000.
Do you think that will be next after a short-term consolidation? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – 1H Analysis🏛 Market Structure
BTC continues to show strong bullish intent, holding near its recent highs after a brief dip.
🔎 Yesterday’s liquidity sweep below local support levels appears to have been a classic trap, designed to clean out weak hands before resuming the uptrend.
📈 Current Setup
🟩 1H FVG (Fair Value Gap) has acted as a strong support, with price bouncing cleanly off it.
🟫 Multiple supply zones above still need to be cleared, but BTC looks ready to challenge them again.
🔄 The reclaim of the previous range low and subsequent higher low suggest momentum is shifting back toward the bulls.
🎯 Short-Term Outlook
📈 Bullish Bias:
If the current structure holds, BTC could push back toward the $105K–$106K area.
The RSI is also curling back up from the lower bound, showing renewed momentum.
⚠️ Key to Watch:
Price must stay above the FVG (~$101K–$102K) to keep the bullish scenario valid.
A break back below this zone would expose BTC to another liquidity grab toward $99K.
✅ Conclusion
BTC is showing healthy consolidation with signs of accumulation just below resistance. The recovery after yesterday's sweep confirms that the market is still looking to push higher — especially if buyers can maintain control above $103K.
The last 4 previous Stockmarket Fear spikes were great buys...for Bitcoin, allowing investors to enhance their long-term holdings.
Purchasing risk assets when the #VIX exceeds 50 and over 20% of stocks fall below their 200-day moving average has consistently yielded positive returns, with a success rate of one hundred percent when evaluated one week, one month, and three months later.
This particular scenario has only happened 11 times in the history of the S&P 500, and the reading from Monday, April 7th, marked one of those rare instances.
#BTFD
CME & Deribit Insights:Smart Money Takes Profits Ahead of ExpiryCME session update.
115 000$ partially closed just closed right before the price drop — someone had a piece of their options portfolio at 115,000 strike level already squared away. Safe to say it was an experienced player who got out near the top 💡
The good news: "he" still have about 2/3 of the portfolio open at that 115K strike.
The bad news: nothing’s happened yet …
But here’s what Deribit is showing us......
👀 Observation : In the May 30 options series, the highest trading volume is concentrated between 110,000–120,000 strike levels — which makes sense given the current underlying price.
But here’s the twist: this isn’t so much new positioning as it is existing players selling off . Yep — those moves were definitely noticed. Some traders are locking in profits, even though we’re still 17 days out from expiry .
Overall, classic playbook:
Smart money lightens the load , while the not-so-smart money tries to pick up the pieces.
(Though let’s be honest — there’s way less "dumb money" in options than in spot markets 😉)
💡 Sentiment remains Bullish, but correction is prevailing at the moment!
🎯 No Valuable Data, No Edge!
Nothing changed, it was always up!🚀 Bitcoin – Up Only Vibes Incoming!
Looks like BTC is just chillin’ up here, reaccumulating on the high timeframes over the past 3 years. Every dip gets bought, and we’re still holding strong above the old ATH. This is how big moves usually load up.
What I’m seeing:
Still making higher lows 🟢
No major sell-off = bulls in control 💪
Weekly MACD and RSI starting to turn up 🔥
Feels like the calm before the next breakout
Might not be fast, but it’s looking Up Only from here 📈
June/ July / August.. Buckle up!
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #UpOnly #HODL #Reaccumulation
Bitcoin at $150,000: a possible target? Bitcoin at $150,000: a possible target?
Bitcoin continues its upward phase, approaching a new all-time high. This trend should give pause to those still expressing uncertainty, considering that unlike the sharply declining global stock markets, Bitcoin has maintained considerable value.
Bitcoin is aiming straight for an all-time high; the target we had in mind is there within reach. Pushing on the accelerator is the money that is coming in: in the United States, spot ETFs have soared by $5.3 billion in the past three weeks, while those targeting the downside (hedge funds) have raised “only” $1.2 billion.
The surplus balance thus exceeds $4 billion, thanks mainly to large investors who are accumulating Bitcoin. Prominent among them all is Strategy, what was once MicroStrategy, which now finds itself with as many as 555,450 Bitcoins, a whopping 2.6 percent of all those in circulation.
The report also highlights encouraging aspects, such as the shift in investments from gold ETFs to Bitcoin ETFs, rising yields on U.S. Treasury bonds, and acquisitions by major financial institutions such as the Swiss National Bank and Norges Bank. In addition, the devaluation of the dollar is stimulating interest in Bitcoin, which is increasingly seen as a “digital gold” and a viable alternative to classic safe-haven assets.
Large capital movements suggest renewed confidence in the stability of cryptocurrencies, which are seen as a viable alternative to traditional forms of investment. At a time of uncertainty for stocks and bonds, Bitcoin is once again attracting investors aiming for yield and capital protection.
Technical analysis shows marked growth in Bitcoin, supported by significant capital inflows, as indicated by rising volumes and the crossing of crucial resistance. On-chain analysis supports this interpretation, with record net inflows in spot ETFs, suggesting a structural move rather than a simple technical rebound.
There are question marks over Bitcoin regulation.
In 2025, cryptocurrency regulation in the United States has held sway, with the SEC and other agencies very active. Although more clarity was expected, some good news has come: New Hampshire has passed a “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve” law, opening up investment in digital assets. Other states such as Arizona, Illinois, Maryland, Michigan, and Texas are considering similar laws sponsored by a pro-Bitcoin organization. The general mood is somewhat mixed, but there is optimism. Hopefully, quick regulation will give the cryptocurrency market a nice boost.
In my wallet I have both Bitcoin and Chainlink, a cryptocurrency that serves as a decentralized network of oracles. Chainlink aims to improve the performance and security of blockchain smart contracts by providing them with real-world data and external calculations. In essence, Chainlink is an oracle token, created specifically to make smart contracts more useful by giving them the ability to access concrete data such as weather or sports results.
Bitcoin's trend is strongly bullish, with recent increases supported by above-average volumes and with prices above the 200-period moving average.
Forecasts of falling interest rates and more favorable regulation for cryptocurrencies later this year are promising. Under this scenario, I believe the price of Bitcoin could exceed $150,000.
Bitcoin H4 | Potential bullish bounce off a pullback supportBitcoin (BTC/USD) could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 99,502.40 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 92,800.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 106,765.40 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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BTCUSD 5/13/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you a magnificent market breakdown based off of Technicals, Market Structure, & Price Action. So brace yourself for a wonderfully made analysis of current Price Action & SnipeGoat's thought process of what Price is gearing up to do next.
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
#PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #Bearish #Bullish #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #Forex #NakedChartReader #ZEROindicators #PreciseLevels #ProperTiming #PerfectDirection #ScalpingTrader #IntradayTrader #DayTrader #SwingTrader #PositionalTrader #HighLevelTrader #MambaMentality #GodMode #UltraInstinct #TheeBibleStrategy
BTC/USD Price Action Update – May 13, 2025📊 BTC/USD Price Action Update – May 13, 2025
🔹Current Price: 102,477.87
🔹Timeframe: 15M
📌 Key Demand Zone:
🟢 102,322–102,505 – Proven zone with repeated rejections; price has bounced again suggesting buyer defense is active.
📈 Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout Incoming:
A clean break and retest above 102,750 could signal bullish continuation toward 103,200+
Confirmation candle needed above recent highs with increasing volume.
⚠️ Scenario 2 – Intraday Trap:
Failure to break 102,750 with rejection could lead to short-term retest of 102,300–102,500 range. No longs unless zone holds again.
🔍 FXFOREVER Insight:
✅ 15M structure building higher lows
✅ Liquidity forming above 102,750
✅ Watch for breakout-retest setup for low-risk long
#BTCUSD #BitcoinTrading #PriceAction #SmartMoneyZones #BreakoutTrade #DemandZone #FXFOREVER #ScalpingStrategy #CryptoCharting
BTCUSD – Wave 5 Just Started? Fibonacci Targets AheadBitcoin has broken above the key $100K level, likely confirming the beginning of an extended Wave 5 in the Elliott Wave sequence that began in 2023.
📈 Fibonacci Projections (Wave 5):
1.382 → $124,752
1.618 → $136,266
2.000 → $157,197
📊 Key EMAs:
EMA 21 (Yellow): Short-term support
EMA 50 (Blue): Medium-term trend confirmation
EMA 200 (Pink): Long-term bullish bias intact
🔍 Important Levels:
Resistance zone: $108K–$109K
Support zone: FWB:73K –$74K
Critical support: $62,538
As long as BTC remains above the FWB:88K level and the 50 EMA, the bullish structure is valid. However, watch out for potential distribution in the $108K area before any further move toward new highs.
"When Structure Talks, I Listen..."Bird's eye on the 30M - clean breakdown in structure where that HL got smoked, confirming major intent shift. I marked out the previous structure in orange on the left so y'all can see how price came off that congestion and finally showed its hand. Now we wait. Liquidity and inducement sitting real sweet just above that OB - where the lil' penguin's chillin', that's me, eyes peeled, waiting for price to mitigate and deliver.
To the right, I sketched the vision - how I see price in motion. Structure's just a rhythm, and this setup's got a melody I've heard before. That bullish correction is just a tune - up before we ride this short wave. Waitin' on confirmations, no rush -'cause I ain't just trading.... I'm reading the market like a sounthern sermon.
"Price broke its promise to the bulls... now it's lookin' to comeback home before takin' the back door out. I'm already at the door with my boots on. Let's dance."
Bless Trading