BTC vs ETH LongBTC vs ETH ratio is now net long on the regression break.
I am not trading this trade.
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTC SHORT TP:97,500 23-06-2025We’re looking at a false bullish spike setup — that means it looks strong, but it’s all smoke.
Shorting between 102,500–103,600, targeting 97,000–97,800 with a solid 3.8 RR.
Timeframe: 4H.
Expected to play out in the next 24 to 30 hours, otherwise invalid.
There’s still a chance of manipulation to the upside, but we’re betting on rejection.
We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
Bitcoin,when it’s all said and done.Bitcoin has no reason to revisit under 100k before a new high. Although markets are manipulated by large players often, it’s usually to change market sentiment for those who are over leveraged and ignorant of the whale games. If it were to wick down to below 100k, I strongly believe it will reverse violently to the upside surpassing ATH. There will be no WWIII. Believe in righteousness and give peace a chance.
Bitcoin at the Edge: Breakdown or Bounce?Bitcoin is currently trading around $101,210, having failed to reclaim the $102,500 support zone, which has now flipped into resistance.
This rejection confirms continued bearish momentum, as reflected in the downward-trending EMA.
The next major area of interest lies between $96,000 and $95,000, where buyers previously stepped in. The chart suggests a probable move lower into this zone, followed by a potential bounce.
Unless BTC reclaims $102,500 with strong conviction, the short-term bias remains bearish, with traders eyeing the lower support for possible reversal or accumulation.
Bitcoin Wave Analysis – 23 June 2025
- Bitcoin reversed from round support level 100,000
- Likely to rise to resistance level 105,000
Bitcoin cryptocurrency recently reversed from the support area between the round support level 100,000, the lower daily Bollinger Band and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from April.
This support area was further strengthened by the support trendline of the daily down channel from May.
Given the clear daily uptrend, Bitcoin cryptocurrency can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 105,000.
BTC USDT 135k TARGET. BTC USDT going to cross the 135k mark by the year end before cooling off.
HISTORY REPEATS ITSELF.
Next target, minimum $135kTo me this looks like a very obvious bull flag. Next target, $135k derived from the length of the flag pole and repeating it from the recent low.
BTCUSD This setup assumes institutional players:
Induce retail breakout trades at highs
Spike price slightly above the zone (stop raid)
Then dump into downside imbalance/liquidity
We’re riding that wave, not chasing price.
DYOR.
Bitcoin 1hr TIME Cycle Alright ladies and gentlemen the 1hr TIME Cycle is almost completed .
In the next 6 to 10 hrs (if not sooner) the 1hr Cycle will be completed and it will stop going up to start moving sideways and then start to rolling down for a test to the $100k line again and eventually a test to the recent low of $98k, so whatever the high it prints during that period of TIME that will be it, at least until the set up is ready again. We will follow with updates.
Book profits or at least protect capital with sl. Stay tuned
BTCUSD 4-Hour Analysis – Sell Setup IdeaCurrently, the trend on BTCUSD is bearish. On the 4-hour chart, I’m watching for a reaction at the Balanced Price Range (BPR) zone. This area aligns with a daily Rebalanced Breaker (-RB), adding higher time frame confluence.
In addition to the BPR, there’s an Order Block (OB) within the same region, and a nearby swing high, which strengthens the case for a bearish reaction. If price respects this zone, I expect continuation to the downside targeting the 98,000 and the 96,000 price level.
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 4-Hour Chart (BTCUSD)4-hour candlestick chart displays the price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) as of June 23, 2025, 03:45 PM CEST. The chart shows a recent sharp decline from a peak of approximately 104,443.81 USD to around 100,479.47 USD, with a current price of 102,035.20 USD, reflecting a 1.037.09% increase. Key levels include resistance around 104,000 USD and support near 100,000 USD, with notable volatility indicated by the candlestick patterns and a marked low point adorned with U.S. flags and a lightning bolt symbol.
Cup and Handle Hello Traders 👋 — Hope you're having a strong start to the week!
Let's dive into the BTCUSD Daily Chart 📈 — we’re looking at a Cup and Handle setup that's matured beautifully.
🔵 Price carved out a clean rounded base (cup), followed by a consolidation handle right below resistance.
🟠 The 200 SMA is holding as dynamic support.
⚡️ A confirmed break above 109K could launch price toward 130K+, with clear Fibonacci extension targets in sight.
Key Zones:
Handle Support: 100,472
Breakout Line: 109,360
Main Target: 130,867
Extended: 136K–144K
Structure ✅ | Momentum Building ⚡ | Risk Managed 🎯
Stay sharp, stay patient. Structure first — breakout next.
B/$We have already seen a level below $100,000.
I think there is still more to go before it turns up.
I don't see any resistance for a trend reversal at the moment.
So you can hold your short positions and just move your stop loss even lower.
BTC USD LONG RESULT Bitcoin Price dumped after holding both the resistance zone and Trendline, and on its way down held both Support zone and the major Support Trendline, from where I took the entry to the major resistance.
But price held the lower resistance zone and dumped massively from there.
Closed at B.Even though, stronger setups to come.
BTC short because head and shoulders pattern.It shows a baseline with three peaks with the middle peak being the highest. The head and shoulders chart pattern depicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal and it signals that an upward trend is nearing its end.
BTCUSD Continues Falling DownBitcoin (BTC) price remains steady above a key support level, trading slightly above $106,000 at the time of writing on Friday. The uncertainty looms as geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel show no sign yet of an exit strategy from either side.
Bitcoin: The price. I don't like it. I remember so clearly in November 2021 when Bitcoin showed bearish divergence on the weekly charts.
We might all be suffering from PTSD and fear the same outcome, especially with the potential for a double top.
If BTC is able to stay above the 1D 200MA, as well as the RSI remaining above 50, there may be hope... If not, i.e. a weekly close below and retest of the 1D 200MA; RSI <50, there might be a real cause for concern.
This, supported by a declining RSI would most certainly be a bearish signal and a shift in market trend.
Nobody knows the future and I think we're all running on hopium due to all the positive news about BTC this year.
Until BTC makes a new ATH, we may want to manage our expectations.
What are your thoughts?
WAW we ended up again following my imaginary lines .... I'm seeing a potential upside: if war accelerates government spending, it could push central banks to print more money — and that could be fuel for Bitcoin.
Historically, wars come with massive fiscal demands. Governments tend to ramp up military budgets, fund support packages, and stimulate their economies to manage instability — and that often leads to increased money printing.
More fiat currency in circulation typically leads to inflation or a devaluation of purchasing power. In that kind of environment, investors and everyday people start looking for stores of value outside of traditional currencies — like gold, real estate… and now, Bitcoin.
Bitcoin was literally born in response to central banks abusing the money printer. Its fixed supply — 21 million coins — makes it an attractive hedge against inflation and monetary debasement. If war accelerates global instability and fiscal irresponsibility, Bitcoin could benefit as a safe-haven asset.
So yes — war is tragic. But in purely macroeconomic terms, if it triggers massive government spending, printing, and inflation, it could send Bitcoin flying.
$BTC Leading Macro Indicator Chart Predicted the Nuke to The DayYet again this chart predicted the nuke to the day 💣
I know I shouldn't be surprised at this point, but I'm still fascinated by how accurate technical analysis can be 🤓
Bitcoin Tests Key Support-Healthy Correction Within Bull MarketHealthy Pullback, Strong Structure:
Bitcoin’s recent dip is a constructive correction within a broader bull trend, as it tests the critical $100,000–$105,000 support zone—a former resistance area from early 2025.
Institutional Demand Holds the Line:
Maintaining levels above the psychologically important $100,000 mark highlights continued institutional accumulation and reinforces the underlying strength of the trend.
Momentum Reset, Base Building:
This pullback has helped reset overbought conditions from the prior rally, laying the foundation for the next potential leg higher.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $100,000–$105,000
Breakout Trigger: A close above $108,000 would confirm uptrend continuation
Outlook: Bullish bias remains valid as long as support holds
Investor Opportunity:
With structure intact and downside contained, this consolidation presents a favorable risk-reward setup for long-term investors looking to position ahead of a potential breakout.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #SupportAndResistance #BullMarket #RiskReward #InstitutionalBuying #MarketOutlook #PriceAction
You Gotta take this chance or its over For Bitcoinfor the short run bitcoin is showing to satisfy sellers , as the market also is rebounding
Big Buy move is to predict once the price hit the zeone
₿itcoin: PullbackBitcoin has experienced significant selling since Friday, briefly slipping below the $100,000 mark. We previously mentioned that a sharper pullback wouldn't surprise us. Whether prices will drop a bit further remains to be seen for the moment. Ultimately, we still expect Bitcoin to climb into the upper blue Target Zone (coordinates: $117,553 – $130,891) before a broader C-wave sell-off occurs, pushing the price down to the lower blue Target Zone (coordinates: $62,395 – $51,323). There, we anticipate the low of the larger orange wave a, which should mark the start of another corrective upward move. Afterward, we're preparing for the last downward leg of blue wave (ii). However, if Bitcoin directly surpasses the resistance at $130,891 – and thus our upper blue Target Zone – we'll locate it still in blue wave alt.(i) (30% probability).
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
Bitcoin Between Conviction and Caution - The Market Suspended?⊢
⟁ BTC/USD – BINANCE – (CHART: 1W) – (Date: June 23, 2025).
⟐ Analysis Price: $101,226.28.
⊢
⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (1W):
▦ EMA21 – ($96,740.64):
∴ Price remains above the 21EMA, confirming bullish structural integrity in medium trend;
∴ The slope of EMA21 remains positive, reinforcing sustained market momentum;
∴ Most recent candle printed a higher low above the 21EMA, reaffirming it as dynamic support.
✴️ Conclusion: The 21EMA upholds the current cycle's bullish engine - it is the first invalidation level for any mid-term reversal.
⊢
▦ SMA50 – ($85,002.38):
∴ SMA50 sits considerably below current price, reflecting distance from mean reversion zones;
∴ Market remains extended, but no immediate signs of pullback toward this structural level;
∴ The last interaction with SMA50 was in late 2023, when it confirmed trend resumption.
✴️ Conclusion: SMA50 defines the core mid-range support - no threat to it unless a breakdown accelerates below EMA21.
⊢
▦ SMA200 – ($49,241.87):
∴ SMA200 remains deeply below market, showing that the macro bullish structure remains unchallenged;
∴ Distance from SMA200 reflects the strength and maturity of this cycle’s trend;
∴ Long-term investors remain in profit and structurally supported.
✴️ Conclusion: No macro breakdown as long as price stays well above SMA200 - the secular bull phase is intact.
⊢
▦ Ichimoku Cloud – (Kumo, Tenkan, Kijun, Chikou Span):
∴ Price is trading clearly above the Kumo (cloud), showing sustained bullish dominance;
∴ Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines are positively stacked, with Tenkan still leading;
∴ Chikou Span is above price and cloud, confirming long-term bullish alignment.
✴️ Conclusion: All Ichimoku components confirm bullish control - weakening only upon Tenkan/Kijun flattening or bearish cross.
⊢
▦ MACD – (MACD: 318.17 | Signal: 4,884.24):
∴ MACD line is far below the signal line, though attempting a bottoming curve;
∴ The histogram remains red but with decreasing amplitude - bearish momentum is fading;
∴ No bullish crossover yet - momentum remains negative but weakening.
✴️ Conclusion: MACD suggests waning bearish cycle, but no official reversal signal until crossover and histogram neutralization.
⊢
▦ RSI + EMA21 – (RSI: 57.71 | RSI EMA: 59.39):
∴ RSI remains in bullish territory above 50, although flattening below its EMA;
∴ No bearish divergence observed yet - RSI is consolidating;
∴ If RSI reclaims its EMA, strength may resume; if rejected again, loss of momentum may escalate.
✴️ Conclusion: RSI reflects structural strength, but cautious momentum - monitoring RSI/EMA relationship is critical.
⊢
▦ Volume + SMA21 – (Vol: 2.51K):
∴ Weekly volume remains below the 21-week average, indicating weakening participation;
∴ Last few candles show declining volume despite price stability - possible distribution;
∴ Absence of buyer aggression may limit further upside near-term.
✴️ Conclusion: Volume suggests lack of conviction - momentum exists, but crowd participation is thinning.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle:
∴ Bitcoin's weekly chart maintains bullish structural posture above all key moving averages, yet momentum indicators reflect hesitation;
∴ The Ichimoku system confirms trend dominance, but MACD and RSI signal that internal strength is not expanding - only sustaining;
∴ Volume contraction reveals market indecision or fatigue, potentially foreshadowing consolidation or rebalancing phases;
∴ Despite no structural breakdown, directional conviction is lacking - further upside demands renewed volume and momentum alignment.
⊢
☍ II - GAP CME – BTC1! – Chicago Mercantile Exchange:
▦ Previous CME Close – ($99,640.00) + Spot Opening Binance – ($100,980.77):
∴ A clear upside gap is present between the institutional close and the retail spot open, measuring approximately $1,340.77, thus defining a latent Magnet Zone for downward pullback;
∴ This CME gap forms a critical vacuum range between $99.640 and $100.980, which will likely act as a liquidity reabsorption zone if spot retraces;
∴ No immediate fill has occurred, suggesting current bullish momentum persists despite latent imbalance.
∴ The latest weekly CME candle closes with a smaller real body and a pronounced upper wick — a classical signal of buy-side exhaustion below macro resistance ($102K–$103K);
∴ Despite the weakening thrust, no breakdown has yet been printed — the bullish structure remains technically intact above previous weekly lows;
∴ Volume prints are non-expansive, indicating lack of conviction among institutional buyers at this level — vigilance is required.
✴️ Conclusion: The CME structure reveals a latent institutional gap magnet to the downside, with price now suspended above an untested imbalance. The technical structure remains constructive but fragile. Further confirmation from the spot market will determine whether continuation or reversion will manifest in the coming cycle.
⊢
∫ III. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant):
▦ Exchange Inflow Total – (All Exchanges):
∴ A recent spike in total Bitcoin inflows aligns directly with the $101K zone, signaling increased movement of coins from wallets to exchanges;
∴ Historically, such inflow spikes near local tops indicate preparation for distribution or profit-taking by large holders;
∴ Current inflow levels exceed previous consolidation phases, amplifying the risk of sell pressure activation.
✴️ Conclusion: The market is facing elevated short-term risk from exchange-bound liquidity — inflows confirm readiness to sell into strength.
⊢
▦ Spot Taker CVD – (Cumulative Volume Delta, 90-Day) – (All Exchanges):
∴ The 90-day CVD curve shows clear flattening and early reversal near resistance, indicating a shift in taker behavior;
∴ Passive sell-side absorption appears to dominate, reducing the strength of buy-side aggression;
∴ Price action continues upward while CVD retreats, forming a classic hidden distribution divergence.
✴️ Conclusion: CVD reveals taker exhaustion - without resurgence in spot demand, current price levels are vulnerable to sell-offs.
⊢
▦ Exchange Inflow Mean – (7-Day Moving Average) – (All Exchanges):
∴ The 7DMA of inflow mean remains elevated, suggesting sustained presence of large-sized transactions heading toward exchanges;
∴ This behavior often precedes institutional or strategic sales, especially when combined with total inflow spikes;
∴ No decline in the inflow mean implies continuous preparation for short-term distribution.
✴️ Conclusion: Elevated inflow mean confirms that whales and large actors are preparing or executing strategic exits.
⊢
▦ Funding Rate – (All Exchanges):
∴ Rates across global derivatives platforms remain slightly positive but without speculative imbalance;
∴ The neutral-positive range suggests cautious optimism among traders - not overleveraged, but not afraid;
∴ No signs of euphoric long build-ups, which reduces liquidation risk but weakens breakout fuel.
✴️ Conclusion: A neutral funding environment supports consolidation, not explosive upside — no immediate directional conviction.
⊢
▦ Funding Rate – (Binance):
∴ Binance-specific funding remains tightly aligned with global averages, reflecting no localized distortion;
∴ Positive, stable readings indicate low speculative friction, but also lack of trend-defining aggression;
∴ Historical patterns show that breakout rallies typically require a surge in funding rate — not present yet.
✴️ Conclusion: Binance traders are balanced - not short-squeezed nor euphoric - bias remains neutral until imbalance arises.
⊢
▦ Realized Price – Short-Term Holders (MVRV-STH) – (~$47.5K):
∴ Price trades far above the STH realized price, indicating most recent buyers are deep in unrealized profit;
∴ This dynamic historically increases the chance of sell pressure at resistance zones, especially when inflows are high;
∴ No downward compression or convergence - suggesting strength remains, but realization is a persistent risk.
✴️ Conclusion: STH's are exposed to high profit levels - the market is primed for potential realization, but not structural weakness.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – On-Chain Oracle:
∴ Exchange-based signals (Inflow Total, Mean) confirm active preparation for sell-side flow;
∴ Spot aggression is fading as per CVD divergence, weakening breakout thesis despite strong price structure;
∴ Neutral funding and passive miner/on-holder behavior reflect structural balance - not panic, not euphoria.
✴️ Conclusion: The market rests in a zone of speculative tension - directionally undecided, but operationally sensitive to imbalance triggers.
⊢
⌘ Codicillus Silentii – Strategic Note:
∴ The temporal structure signals resilience, but lacks expansion - technical relief exists without structural thrust;
∴ On-chain flows unveil transactional friction at current levels, with capital cycling toward liquidity zones (exchanges);
∴ Market energy is neither compressed for breakout nor collapsed into capitulation - a state of coiled hesitation;
∴ Asymmetry remains hidden within equilibrium - vigilance, not movement, defines the moment.
⊢
𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation:
▦ Structurally Neutral:
∴ Price holds above key macro supports (EMA21, SMA50), confirming preservation of the bullish superstructure;
∴ Long-term holder behavior and miner flows remain passive - structural integrity is undisturbed;
∴ However, no active thrust or trend validation emerges - the system sustains but does not ascend.
⊢
▦ Tactically Cautious:
∴ Exchange inflows and CVD divergence signal short-term vulnerability near key resistances;
∴ Technical indicators (MACD, RSI, Volume) reflect a condition of deceleration - momentum is reactionary, not foundational;
∴ Until price reclaims volume-weighted levels with confirmation, the posture remains defensive and watchful.
⊢
⧉
⚜️ Magister Arcanvm (𝟙⟠) – Vox Primordialis!
𓂀 Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy.
⧉
⊢
