Bitcoin Analysis 23-Jun-25Bitcoin price in the weekend retested around 98,500$, this drop was mainly supported by the fear in the markets due to the escalations in the Middle East, & the US taking part in the War.
In this short analysis video, we will be discussing the Areas of interest and possible price movement we could see.
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BTCUSD trade ideas
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Potential Rebound Ahead?4-hour Bitcoin price chart reveals a potential rebound opportunity. After a sharp decline, the price has stabilized around $97,245.43, forming a support level. The green and red box annotations suggest a possible price range breakout, with an upward arrow indicating a potential price increase. The current price stands at $100,461.58, down 1.63% from its recent peak. Will Bitcoin bounce back or continue its downward trend?
BITCOIN SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 104,672.03
Target Level: 107,484.65
Stop Loss: 102,785.72
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
BITCOIN 1hr Still Bullish After dropping below the $100,000 and printing a lower low we can say that there will be a test to that low and probably will breach it, but before doing that it will go and test the $102725 - $103500 area to complete its 1hr Bullish TIME Cycle.
A break to the ATHs still on the table, remember that the ATHs is on the weekly chart and
that hasn't changed at all, only a break to the $74000 low will change the structure of the
Weekly chart. Once the 4hrs Bullish TIME Cycle sets up for a bounce we will start seeing higher highs again but for now the 30min and 1hr TIME Cycles will be playing out.
We'll follow the move with updates so stay tuned.
BITCOIN BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 105,952.89
Target Level: 102,605.64
Stop Loss: 108,184.39
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
BTC-bias shortBearish indications:
Trend line support broken.
Major support broken.
Evening star candle in 4 hr before the support break.
Made a new low.
MA 21 being respected in 5 min.
formation of HS in 5 min while support break.
Bullish indications:
Bullish divergence in 15 min.
Trade plan bias short @ 103880
SL:104725
TP1:102970
TP2:102188
TP3:101351
BTC SWEEPS THE LOWSBitcoin just performed a textbook liquidity sweep, dipping below the psychological $100,000 level and the early June swing low near $100,377. This move triggered stop-losses and drew in short positions before quickly rebounding back above support – a classic example of "grab and go" price action designed to collect liquidity.
This kind of move often traps impatient bears and can act as a springboard for a short-term reversal if bulls manage to hold the reclaimed level. While today’s candle hasn’t closed yet, the wick below $100K shows aggressive buying interest. If we see confirmation over the next couple of days – particularly with a close back above the key $101,450–$101,800 range – it strengthens the case for a bounce.
Long Scenario Invalidated — Watching for Deeper Correction🚫 Long scenario is canceled!
Price started to break down, taking out the early June lows.
There's now a high probability of a deeper correction toward the 90,000–95,000 range.
I won’t short from current levels. The uptrend remains intact on the weekly chart. There are safer and more asymmetric opportunities in the market from a risk-reward perspective. For example, shorting the S&P 500 or going long on precious metals looks more attractive right now.
💡 General recommendation:
Stay away from high-volatility assets like Bitcoin, oil, and natural gas for now.
Wait for setups with tight stop-loss levels and clear structure before entering.
BTC Textbook Elliot Waves!CRYPTOCAP:BTC local analysis hasn't changed in a few weeks.
Price printed another text book Elliot motif wave, with the wave 4 triangle terminal pattern ending in the usual thrust up with a poke above all time high.
Price is also printing a textbook ABC for wave 2 with 5 waves down for A, 3 waves up for B and a strong wave C down to finish. Wave C's are always the strongest.
Pattern suggests price has one more push lower to complete this corrective wave tapping the quadruple support: S1 daily pivot, ascending daily 200EMA, major support High Volume Node (HVN) and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at 92-94k range.
Most investors are publicly calling for buys in this area so price may be front run by the whales! The consensus often do not get what they want.
Safe trading
Bitcoin (BTC): Buyers Took Back Control Over $100KBitcoin has bounced and showed some buyside volume near major support area near $100K. After the re-test of 100EMA where price dipped lower than $100K we have had a decent recovery every since.
Monday is starting strong with price jumping back above $100K and most probably we will see some fruther buyside dominance from here.
Swallow Academy
BITCOIN Is this just a giant Bull Flag??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) saw a strong sell-off yesterday in the aftermath of the U.S. strike in Iran and fears of retaliation, but in later hours recovered some of the lost ground. The recovery is being extended into the Asian and early E.U. hours today and the emerging Channel Down pattern already draws strong similarities with the one in December 17 2024 - January 13 2025.
Both broke below their respective 1D MA50 (blue trend-lines) to form a Lower Low, which in the case of Jan 2025, it initiated a rebound that tested the All Time High (ATH) Resistance. See also how similar their 1D RSI patterns are, testing the same Support level too (41.20).
Given that this time the uptrend has been much shorter since the April 07 2025 Low, this Channel Down may be nothing but a giant Bull Flag in the middle of a standard Bull Cycle Leg. Until confirmed with a 1W candle closing above the ATH Resistance though, the medium-term Target is $111900.
Notice also the formation today of a 1D MA100/200 Bullish Cross, the first since November 13 2024.
So what do you think? Is $111900 your short-term Target? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Lose $100K Support?!On the four-hour timeframe, Bitcoin is below the EMA50 and EMA200 and is in its short-term descending channel. One can look for buying opportunities for Bitcoin from the channel bottom. If the resistance level is broken, the path to the rise and its reach to the level of $107,000 will be prepared for Bitcoin.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market, and capital management will be more important in the cryptocurrency market. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range.
Bitcoin has been in the spotlight again in recent days, especially as its price fluctuates within the psychologically important range of $101,000-$102,000 and its fundamental indicators are sending mixed signals.
The first and perhaps most important element in Bitcoin’s fundamental analysis is the accumulation trend by large financial institutions and corporations. According to data published by websites such as CoinShares and the Financial Times, more than $87 billion worth of Bitcoin is currently held by companies such as MicroStrategy, Tesla, Block, and ETFs, which is approximately 3.2% of the total BTC supply in circulation. This clearly shows that Bitcoin has established itself as a store of value in the portfolios of professional investors, although there is still no consensus on its function as a “digital gold”.
In this regard, analysts such as Román González of A&G have predicted that Bitcoin could reach the $200,000 range by the end of the year; on the other hand, some more conservative analysts such as Jacqui Clarke believe that Bitcoin still lacks measurable intrinsic value and should not be viewed solely as an alternative asset. This conflict of views shows the depth of complexity in analyzing Bitcoin.
From the perspective of onchain, or intra-network data, the picture looks a little more cautious. The volume of active addresses last week was in the 1.0-1.1 million range, which is lower than in previous bullish periods (such as late 2021). Also, the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) index, which measures the potential profit potential of investors, fell slightly from 2.29 to 2.20, indicating that the market is somewhat cooling off from the short-term heat. Also, on June 22, more than 5,200 Bitcoins were removed from exchanges, which is usually a sign of long-term accumulation and a decrease in short-term selling pressure. On the other hand, Bitcoin’s behavior in the face of geopolitical crises shows signs of a change in the dominant market narrative. During the recent tension between Iran and Israel, Bitcoin fell by nearly 4%, unlike gold, which experienced significant growth. This challenges the assumption that Bitcoin is a “hedging” or “safe haven” asset and shows that BTC is still registered more as a risk-on asset in the minds of market participants. This is considered very important as investors look for tools to hedge inflation or protect against economic shocks. In terms of correlation with traditional markets, Bitcoin is also on a path to further integration with classic assets. The 30-day correlation index between Bitcoin and the S&P500 is now around 0.78, and academic studies predict that the correlation will grow to 0.87 at some point in 2024. This means that Bitcoin’s movements are more aligned than ever with the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, interest rates, stock market conditions, and global liquidity flows. Therefore, in the current situation, the impact of US macro data or central bank decisions plays a decisive role in Bitcoin’s volatility.
Finally, Bitcoin price prediction models in recent days also reflect this complexity. Websites such as Bitfinex, Changelly, and analysts from institutions such as Brave New Coin have estimated that Bitcoin could reach the $125,000-$135,000 range this summer if macroeconomic conditions remain stable, and even if institutional capital continues to flow and there are no macro crises, reaching $150,000 by the end of the year is not out of the question. However, such scenarios require maintaining the current level of liquidity in the market, the absence of drastic tightening measures by the Federal Reserve, and the control of geopolitical risks.
In short, Bitcoin is in a situation where, on the one hand, its supporting fundamentals are stronger than ever; With institutional inflows, accumulation of long-term addresses, and reduction of inventory on exchanges. On the other hand, the market remains highly vulnerable to macroeconomic and political risks and continues to show volatile reactions.
This situation has led to Bitcoin becoming not only a speculative tool or growth investment, but also gradually becoming a part of professional portfolios with a carefully composed risk management mix. Its medium-term outlook is positive, but with one important condition: stability in global inflation and continued institutional capital flows.
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BTC/USD:Intraday Trading Analysis and StrategyI. Daily Chart Trend Analysis
On the daily timeframe, BTC/USD closed with a small bearish candle yesterday, forming a consecutive series of bearish candles that clearly indicate a downtrend. The price continues to trade below the moving average system, and the technical indicators have formed a death cross, further confirming the bear-dominated market structure. However, in this clear downtrend, two key risks require attention:
1.Oversold rebound risk: After sustained declines, the market may experience a significant corrective rally.
2.Priority of risk control: Regardless of market movements, strict stop-loss management and position sizing remain core trading principles.
II. Hourly Chart Technical Analysis
The hourly chart shows that the price fell sharply under selling pressure during U.S. trading hours yesterday, breaking below the key $100,000 level. This morning, the price rebounded strongly after hitting a low, with the breakdown level near $102,700. Currently, the K-line forms a large bullish candle, and the technical indicators have formed a golden cross, suggesting that a corrective rally is likely to continue today. Note that if the price breaks above the breakdown level of $102,700, the short-term downtrend may be disrupted, and the market could shift to a range-bound pattern.
BTCUSD
sell@102000-102500
tp:101000-100500
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Bitcoin's Failed 60-Day Cycle: Relief Rally Before More DownsideBitcoin has officially failed its current 60-day cycle by breaking below the previous cycle low on June 5th, touching $100,000. This marks a key structural shift that traders should not ignore.
📉 What’s Next? Likely Scenario:
The highest probability setup now is a relief rally toward the Stoch RSI highs on the 1-Day and 3-Day timeframes, followed by a move downward into the 60-day cycle low, projected to form between late July and early August. This aligns with a potential retest of the Value Area Low from April, a key support zone to watch.
📈 Upside Target:
If we do see bullish continuation in the short term, the main upside target is $105,000. This level is significant as it clusters three Weekly Point of Control (POC) levels from May and June, making it a high-liquidity magnet for price. Historically, Bitcoin tends to gravitate toward these levels when several align closely.
💼 Current Positioning:
I’m currently long BTC and ETH, and I’m watching closely for Stoch RSI to top out on the 1-Day and 3-Day timeframes. I’ll look to reduce or exit those positions as we approach those cycle peaks.
🔔 Pro Tip: Price often seeks out stacked POC levels. If you’re a volume profile trader, keep $105K on your radar.
📌 P.S. For access to my custom indicators and deeper cycle analysis, check the description in my profile.
BTC /USD 15 MINUTE CHART PATTERNYour BTCUSD 15-minute trade setup is as follows:
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🟢 Long Position (BUY)
Entry: 101.958
Stop Loss: 99.554
Target 1: 103.100
Target 2: 104.500
Target 3: 106.391
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🧮 Position Metrics
Risk (SL): 101.958 – 99.554 = 2.404
Reward:
T1: 103.100 – 101.958 = 1.142 → R:R ≈ 0.48
T2: 104.500 – 101.958 = 2.542 → R:R ≈ 1.06
T3: 106.391 – 101.958 = 4.433 → R:R ≈ 1.84
---
⚠ Notes
R:R at Target 1 is under 1, so consider partial profits only if you're managing risk aggressively.
Make sure to monitor price action and volume near resistance zones before committing heavily.
Trailing stop strategy can be useful once price approaches Target 2.
BTC is expected to continue its decline to 100,000BTC has encountered resistance and fallen back several times near 110,000, forming an absolute suppression in the short term. It is difficult for BTC to overcome this resistance area in the short term. As BTC has been unable to break through for a long time, some profit-taking and panic selling will cause BTC to gradually collapse. At present, BTC has fallen back to around 104,000. During the retracement, it has built a short-term resistance area of 105,500-106,000, which limits the rebound space in the short term and will further strengthen the bearish sentiment in the market. BTC will completely open up the downward space.
At present, the 103,000-102,500 area still has a certain support effect on BTC. As BTC shows a volatile downward trend, this support area will be broken again and continue to fall to the area near 100,000. Therefore, in short-term trading, we can consider shorting BTC in the 105,000-105,500 area.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD
Bitcoin: open path to downside?The FOMC meeting and the decision on interest rates, geopolitical tensions and inflation fears are currently the most important topics for investors on financial markets. The crypto market was sort of left behind during the previous week, with some funds outflows as of the end of the week. Current chart looks like seeking the downside, however, the question is whether it is just a short term correction or the market is indeed setting the stage for the higher move toward the downside?
At the beginning of the previous week, BTC tried for one more time to make a push toward the higher grounds, and tested the $108K level. Since there was no strength to sustain this level, the BTC spent the rest of the week looking at the downside. The lowest weekly level was reached on Friday, at $102,6K, but BTC recovered a bit on Saturday till levels modestly above the $103K. The RSI continues to move below the level of 50, indicating that investors are still eyeing the oversold market side. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, without an indication that the cross might come soon.
As previously noted, charts are pointing to the probability of a higher move toward the downside for BTC. Lows from the beginning of June might be the first target in this scenario. This would lead BTC toward the price range between the $100K - $101K. There is also some probability for the move toward the opposite side, where BTC will again test the $105K resistance. At this point charts are not pointing to probability for reaching levels higher from the $105K.