BTC/USD:Continue to adopt range trading.Based on the current market trend, today's strategy remains unchanged. Adopt the strategy of selling high and buying low within the range of $102,000 to $105,000, and seize the opportunities of swing trading.
BTC/USD
buy@101500-102500
tp:105000-106000
sell@104500-105500
tp:103000-102000
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BTCUSD trade ideas
btc . wednesday . may . w3yesterday
. no LONG - only at bigger retracement - didnt come
. no SHORT - as 10pm (UTC+2) has recently been a little unpredictable
today - wednesday - LIQUIDITY + VOLATILITY ?!
. no SHORT - as we are nowhere price opportunity wise + BULLISH outlook
. yes COMPOUND LONG . I had wanted to see the drop towards 2pm (UTC+2) - run yesterdays NewYork low and push up . didnt happen, but as I was waiting for the level, I had limit orders prepared of which 4 triggered during LondonSession
. additional little compound now prepared at 103622 - LPOC + VWAP
- bullish continuation . price is consolidating and momentum of this week is turning to the upside
- bearish continuation . see a rejection here at dOpen + wOpen . have price loose its cwLow . catch everyone of guard (unlikely by the outlook, but neverless)
"Bearish Reversal Setup with Target at Key Support Zone (95,440 1. EMA Indicators:
50 EMA (red line): Currently at 103,112.73.
200 EMA (blue line): Currently at 98,739.46.
The price is above both EMAs, typically a bullish sign, but the analysis suggests a potential reversal.
2. Support Zone (Top Pink Box):
Around the 105,000–106,000 USD range.
Labeled as "support" but is likely being interpreted as a resistance now due to failure to break higher.
3. Target Zone (Bottom Pink Box):
Around the 95,000–96,000 USD range.
Marked as the "target point" for a potential drop.
4. Bearish Projection:
A curved arrow suggests a rejection from the current levels (~104,000 USD) leading down toward the target zone.
Large blue arrow emphasizes expected bearish momentum.
Interpretation:
The chart suggests a reversal from the recent highs and expects a decline toward the 95,440.94 USD support.
This could be driven by:
Rejection from resistance.
Overbought conditions.
Price losing momentum near the upper level.
Confirmation may be awaited via a break below the 50 EMA or loss of key support.
Strategy Implication:
Short bias if price fails to reclaim the resistance.
Take profit potentially near the 95,440 level.
Invalidation of the bearish scenario may occur on a strong breakout above the resistance zone (~105,700 USD).
BTCUSD 1H Short Setup | Order Block + Premium Rejection⚠️ BTCUSD | 1H Rejection at Supply Zone | May 10, 2025
Bitcoin is showing signs of exhaustion after a sharp rally into a high-value Supply Zone marked by a bearish Order Block at ~$104.1k–$106.4k. Price tapped right into premium levels, triggering potential Smart Money distribution.
🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES:
🧱 1H Bearish Order Block at 104,139–106,477
⚖️ Price in premium zone (>50% range)
🧠 Clean liquidity grab from prior swing high
🚫 Signs of buying weakness inside OB
📉 Anticipated move down toward imbalance and demand zone near $96k
📊 Setup Specs:
Pair: BTCUSD
Timeframe: 1H
Entry Zone: 104,139 – 106,477
SL: 106,477
TP: 95,789
RR: Approx. 1:4+
📌 Smart Money Breakdown:
After explosive rallies, institutions often offload in supply-rich OB zones while retail buys the top. This setup shows textbook SMC signs of distribution, imbalance below, and a clean trade idea toward unmitigated demand.
🧠 Chart Ninjas Tip:
“Never short early — wait for price to enter the OB and show weakness. That’s where smart entries live.”
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – 1H Analysis
🏛 Market Structure
BTC is currently lateralizing at the top, showing signs of consolidation between two well-defined supply zones.
🔄 After a strong bullish leg, the price is now compressing in a range, with bulls and bears battling for short-term control — a typical behavior before a continuation or reversal.
📈 Key Technical Observations
🟫 Supply Zones above and below are capping volatility, creating a tight consolidation box.
🟩 FVG 1H is acting as intermediate support, keeping price afloat despite multiple rejections.
🕳️ The lack of lower liquidity grabs may still leave room for a small fakeout before a directional move.
🎯 Scenarios to Watch
📈 Bullish Breakout :
If BTC manages to reclaim and close above the upper supply zone, it could open the door to targeting the 106K–107K zone.
📉 Bearish Breakdown :
Failure to hold the FVG zone could lead to a drop toward the lower supply zone around $102K, or even lower to reload before continuation.
✅ Conclusion
BTC is clearly in accumulation or distribution mode, hovering near its highs. The market seems to be building energy before the next impulsive move — keep an eye on volume spikes and breakout structure for confirmation.
No bearmarket yet? Can BTC go to 120k next?Damn was I wrong with my last bearish idea, calling a potential top for BTC.
Well, it was an idea and we had good reasons for it. At that time price did not build value above the pmPOC, so a FTR (failure to rotate) could have happened.
I was able to cut my short a break even and swing with the bullish momentum on a few altcoins for example like ADA or JTO. Ideas are given in my profile.
So what now? Did the bearish chances vanish? Not yet.
BTC is currently facing resistance at another pmPOC, which is critical once again. In the same way the lower pmPOC has been.
Bulls really need to push through and build value higher. If that happens, I will become less bearish and open minded for new all time highs.
If bulls won´t be able to build value above the pmPOC, the bearish doomsday scenario will be in the cards.
There are some levels below that normally require reinspection. For example the 95400 pwPOC. I would be very surprised if we don´t see some bigger shorts at least for a while.
The FTR draw target at 74k will only be the main target, if bulls will fail against the 104900 pmPOC.
Trying to not be too biased here again. We will follow value. The bearish scenario is still an option, but it will become less likely once bulls start to build value above the pmPOC at 104900 ish.
Bitcoin Consolidates... Bullishly.Price continues to consolidate just below the $106,099 level after a strong breakout and parabolic move from sub–$89K. This rangebound behavior is healthy – especially after such an aggressive leg up – and could serve as a launchpad for continuation if bulls remain in control.
The $99,517 area remains the closest key support, previously acting as resistance and now holding firm. It's also worth noting that volume has steadily declined during this consolidation, a common trait of bullish pauses rather than distribution. RSI is hovering in elevated territory but not yet flashing a strong divergence, suggesting momentum remains intact.
One potential angle to keep in mind is that we may be forming a small bull flag here on the daily – a continuation pattern that would resolve to the upside on a break above the recent high. Watch for tightening price action within this range and a push on increased volume to confirm the move.
As always, keep in mind that levels are more like zones of interest than exact numbers – especially in a high–volatility asset like BTC.
BTCUSDT - 4H - POSSIBLE SHSBTCUSDT - 4H - POSSIBLE SHS
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BTCUSDT - 4H - POSSIBLE SHS
LEVELS:
Resistance: 105k
DYNAMIC SL: 101k
2nd SHOULDER: 91k - 92k
Why could BTC make a SHS breakout?
It seems BTC is again topping out at 105k (coinciding with the horizontal shoulder line).
We have a SELL signal at these levels.
And third, we have a GAP at 92k in the Chicago FUTURES.
If BTC makes this correction, we would have a bullish SHS pattern that could take BTC to 140k.
To be successful in trading, it is essential to be faithful to our strategy. Be clear about where we are, where we want to go, and when it is best to be liquid. __________________________________________________
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BTC/USD Price Action Update – May 14, 2025📊 BTC/USD Price Action Update – May 14, 2025
🔹Current Price: 103,364.59
🔹Timeframe: 1H
📌 Key Demand Zone:
🟢 103,100–103,250 – Clean rejection from this zone confirms buyers stepping in. Demand held on retest.
📈 Live Trade Scenario:
Price has reacted strongly from marked demand and is aiming toward 104,700 zone. R:R setup currently active.
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 104,284
TP2: 104,700
SL placed below demand zone at 102,818
⚠️ Risk Reminder:
Rejection below 103,100 could invalidate setup and trigger downside revisit to 102,500 support.
🔍 FXFOREVER Insight:
✅ Bullish structure above 103K
✅ Ideal sniper entry after mitigation
✅ Maintain trade discipline – no FOMO
#BTCUSD #PriceAction #SmartMoney #CryptoTrading #FXFOREVER #DemandZone #LiveTrade #ChartAnalysis
BTC Bullish Pennant Breakout – Eyeing $107K TargetBitcoin (BTC/USD) has recently demonstrated strong bullish structure following an extended consolidation phase. The current price action suggests a textbook bullish pennant breakout, which often indicates trend continuation in strong markets. This technical setup follows a period of accumulation and consolidation between March and April, with a well-defined pennant formation leading into the breakout in early May.
Technical Analysis:
Historical Context & Structure:
From mid-February to March, BTC experienced significant downward pressure, eventually finding major support in the $76,000–$78,000 zone, which is clearly outlined on the chart as a key support level.
This support zone initiated a reversal, forming the base of a new bullish leg that marked the beginning of the next trending phase.
Consolidation Phase – The Ellipse Region:
The price action within the elliptical region (mid-March to late April) reflects accumulation behavior, with multiple rejections on both upper and lower bounds, indicating balance between buyers and sellers.
This phase formed a foundational structure, setting up the stage for a breakout pattern.
Pennant Formation (Late April – Early May):
The price sharply rallied in late April, breaking out of the consolidation and moving into a tight triangular pennant pattern — a classic continuation formation.
This bullish pennant features converging trendlines, lower volume, and diminishing volatility as price consolidates — all typical characteristics.
Breakout and Retest:
The breakout from the pennant occurred on high momentum with strong bullish candles.
Post-breakout, the price approached the resistance zone (~$103,000–$105,000) and is currently attempting to establish support at this level.
This retest adds validity to the breakout and opens the door for further upside continuation.
Trade Parameters:
Entry Zone: Breakout above the pennant (~$99,000–$100,000), confirmed by momentum.
Resistance Zone: $103,000–$105,000 (currently being retested).
Target (Measured Move):
Using the height of the pennant pole (~$20,000 move from $80K to $100K), the projected target lies near $107,307, aligning with horizontal resistance.
Stop Loss:
Set at $93,344, just below the pennant’s lower boundary. This level also aligns with recent structural support and invalidation of the pattern.
Risk/Reward Ratio:
Approx. 1:2.5+, offering a favorable setup assuming trend continuation.
Additional Notes:
Volume:
Although not shown, breakouts from pennants are ideally confirmed by an increase in volume, indicating market conviction. Volume confirmation is highly recommended for trade confirmation.
Market Context:
This setup aligns with broader bullish sentiment in the crypto space and may be reinforced by macroeconomic or ETF-related developments. However, risk management remains key, especially around psychological levels and news-driven volatility.
Conclusion :
Bitcoin is currently in a strong technical position. The breakout from the bullish pennant pattern following prolonged consolidation signals continuation of the prevailing uptrend. Traders should watch for sustained price action above $103K for confirmation. A pullback or retest toward this level can present re-entry opportunities before a potential move toward $107K. Tight risk management is advised with stops below $93K.
Technical Analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) ON BINANCE + TRADE PLANTechnical Analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
Market Trend and Chart Structure:
The price of Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase as shown in the descending channel pattern formed by the resistance and support lines.
The market is moving within this range, but there is a strong possibility of a breakout to the upside based on the bullish divergence forming on the indicators and the overall market sentiment.
The chart also shows Bollinger Bands (BB), which are in a squeeze, signaling a potential breakout. Typically, this indicates that volatility is low, and the price could move sharply in either direction once the bands break.
Key Indicators and Signals:
MACD: The MACD indicator is showing a bullish crossover, which indicates the possibility of a trend reversal to the upside.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently at 45.78, indicating that the market is neither overbought nor oversold. This suggests that Bitcoin is in a neutral zone, but with bullish signals from other indicators, an upward move seems likely if momentum continues to build.
ArtY Money Flow Index: The Money Flow Index is showing green bars, suggesting that capital is flowing into Bitcoin, which supports the bullish outlook.
Stochastic RSI: The stochastic is in the oversold region (currently at 14.99), which usually signals a potential reversal to the upside.
Resistance and Support Levels:
Resistance: The primary resistance level is located at $105,705. A break above this level would indicate a strong upward move.
Support: The primary support level is around $101,600. If the price reaches this level and holds, it could act as a potential bounce point for a reversal.
Trading Strategy and Plan:
Entry Strategy:
Buy Entry: Enter a long position if the price breaks above the $104,700-$105,705 range, indicating a breakout above resistance. A confirmation from the MACD and RSI would add strength to this signal.
Stop Loss: Set a stop-loss order at $101,000, below the key support, to manage risk if the market reverses unexpectedly.
Target/Exit Strategy:
Take Profit Target: A good target is at the $110,000 level, where Bitcoin could face another resistance. A more aggressive target could be at $115,000, but this would require a continuation of the bullish momentum.
Trailing Stop: Use a trailing stop as Bitcoin continues to move upward to secure profits if the price continues to climb without retracing.
Risk Management:
Maintain a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:3, meaning you should aim for profits that are at least three times the amount of risk you take. This will ensure better risk management in case the market reverses unexpectedly.
Monitor the market sentiment closely. Bitcoin's price movements can be highly volatile, so being ready to adjust stop-loss and take-profit levels is essential for successful trading.
Bitcoin is showing positive signs of breaking to the upside, with support from key technical indicators such as bullish MACD crossovers, oversold stochastic levels, and a neutral RSI. It’s essential to monitor the breakout above the $104,700-$105,705 level, which could signal a strong upward move. However, traders should use proper risk management techniques, such as setting stop-loss orders and managing position sizes carefully.
Always stay updated with market news and adjust your strategy based on any significant news or changes in the overall market sentiment.
BITCOIN making the FINAL PUSH! Only 6 months of BULL left!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has had n astonishing symmetry among its Cycles in the past 11 years, as all three of the Bear Cycles have had identical durations (13 and 12 months twice) as well as the two Bull Cycles (both 35 months).
As a result, there is no reason to assume otherwise for the current Bull Cycle as well, which if it also lasts for 35 months, it will peak in October 2025. This means that BTC might 'only' have another 6 months of Bull Cycle ahead of it but that's not bad news as historically this phase tends to be the most aggressive part.
Even if it's not, various studies we've done before point out that a price around $150k would be more than fair and practically a 'pessimistic' scenario for the Cycle High.
Do you think that will be the case? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Markets Shifting: Here's What You Need to Know (DXY, XAU, BTC)Inflation is cooling, gold is retreating, and Bitcoin is eyeing another breakout — but what’s really driving the markets right now?
In this week’s outlook, I break down:
✅ The key economic data that rocked the markets
✅ What the softer U.S. inflation print means for the Fed and rate cuts
✅ How upcoming data could shift momentum for DXY, Gold, and Bitcoin
✅ The levels and scenarios I’m watching next
Whether you're a trader, investor, or just staying informed — this outlook gives you the clarity you need for the days ahead.
📈 Don’t just follow the headlines — understand what moves them.
🎥 Watch now and stay one step ahead.
#Trading #Markets #DXY #XAUUSD #BTCUSD #EconomicOutlook #Forex #Gold #Bitcoin #MarketUpdate
BTC longBitcoin is pushing higher, and the momentum behind this move is strong. A mix of macroeconomic conditions, institutional interest, and supply dynamics is driving the price action. With inflation easing and rate cuts back on the table, markets are shifting into risk-on mode, and Bitcoin is benefiting as a hedge and high-beta asset.
Institutional players are quietly accumulating again through spot ETFs, and that kind of capital doesn’t chase pumps—it builds positions with long-term conviction. The halving in April reduced the daily supply of new BTC, and historically, it takes a few months post-halving for the supply shock to kick in. We’re entering that window now, and the price is reacting as expected.
On-chain data also confirms that long-term holders are not selling into this strength. Liquidity is thin on the sell side, and with fresh demand coming in, it doesn’t take much to push BTC higher. There’s still room to run before we see overextended conditions.
For those looking to get in or add to a position, the following zones present high-probability buy levels if we get a healthy pullback: $102,000, $96,000, and $88,000. These are strong support areas with confluence from previous structure and volume profiles. Until those levels are tested, it’s a momentum-driven market — stay nimble, but bullish bias remains intact.
BTC: Short-Term Trading SetupBTC: Short-Term Trading Setup
On the 60-minute chart, BTC has broken above a strong resistance zone, which has now turned into support near 102,900.
The price has just tested this level and reacted, showing that buyers are active in the area. As long as this support holds, BTC has the potential to rise further to 103,880 and 104,450.
Warning:
However, if the price drops below the red zone, it's best to exit the trade—it could become very risky.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Possibility of uptrend It is expected that the correction will form up to the specified support levels, then there is a possibility of a trend change and the start of an upward trend. The upward trend is likely to be somewhat slow and volatile. If the price breaks through the support area, the continuation of the correction is likely.
BTCUSD | 11.05.2025SELL 104500 | STOP 125000 | TAKE 98000 | It is expected that the price on the upward momentum will not overcome in the short term the absolute maximum price reached on 20 January 2025. Most likely, the price will roll back under the level of $100,000 per Bitcoin again and further drift around these levels.
Bitcoin To Test 100k?Bitcoin is just doing great holding its grounds.
in a few hrs (around 6 candles) will have a small bounce and then will enter its 2nd stage of the 4hrs Bearish Cycle that will take it probably a bit lower than 100k but don't panic bulls that normal in a Daily and Weekly Uptrend.
Probably by end of month price will be testing the ATHs (if not sooner) . Buckle up ladies and gentlemen and grab your popcorns, enjoy the ride.