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Bitcoin's Battle for 79,478 – Reversal or Further Decline?VIDEO: 🤖💥 Bitcoin's Battle for 79,478 – Reversal or Further Decline? 📉🚀 Bitcoin has taken a massive dip, crashing 7.8% along with Ethereum. But the real question now: Is this the bottom, or are we heading lower? Key levels to watch: 📌 79,500 – A reclaim could push BTC back towards 83,000. 📌 Failure to hold could send Bitcoin to 66,000 or even 62,000. 📊 The Nasdaq is also testing key support, and Tesla is in trouble, struggling at $220. Altcoins are getting crushed, with only Shiba Inu showing some resilience. 🌍💣 Meanwhile, external factors are brewing – Tesla, X, and even Elon Musk are facing attacks, and broader market sentiment remains shaky. Will Bitcoin rebound, or are we heading for a deeper correction? Let me know your thoughts below! One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoCrash #Trading #MarketAnalysis
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
4
Bitcoin's Battle for 79,478 – Reversal or Further Decline?🤖💥 Bitcoin's Battle for 79,478 – Reversal or Further Decline? 📉🚀 Bitcoin has taken a massive dip, crashing 7.8% along with Ethereum. But the real question now: Is this the bottom, or are we heading lower? Key levels to watch: 📌 79,500 – A reclaim could push BTC back towards 83,000. 📌 Failure to hold could send Bitcoin to 66,000 or even 62,000. 📊 The Nasdaq is also testing key support, and Tesla is in trouble, struggling at $220. Altcoins are getting crushed, with only Shiba Inu showing some resilience. 🌍💣 Meanwhile, external factors are brewing – Tesla, X, and even Elon Musk are facing attacks, and broader market sentiment remains shaky. Will Bitcoin rebound, or are we heading for a deeper correction? Let me know your thoughts below! One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoCrash #Trading #MarketAnalysis
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by FX_Professor
This Could be a Complete Wave 1 in BTC Everything currently sits on the make or break levels for any reasonable bullish trade plan. We either make a low here or the odds of a bigger rally/low are significantly lower. These are the times I love to bet. It looks impossible the idea can work, it pays over 1:10 RR and makes a lot of technical sense. I find when things look impossible but make technical sense, you want to bet on those. When you get them right, they''ll be the best trades. If this was wave one, from it we could estimate what wave 2 would look like and once we know wave 2, we can roadmap the full Elliot wave. Here's the plan for a sharp rally and then the drop to 50K. Plan requires a low here. Any more and this is probably a bad idea and I'll cut losses.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by holeyprofit
5
Dollar Decline Fuels Bitcoin Bull Case, Macro Signal CautionThe intricate relationship between the U.S. dollar and Bitcoin continues to be a focal point of analysis within the cryptocurrency market. While a weakening dollar can indeed bolster Bitcoin's bull case, a confluence of other metrics necessitates a cautious outlook. The dynamic interplay between these factors creates a complex and volatile environment for Bitcoin. The Dollar's Decline and Bitcoin's Ascent: • A weakening U.S. dollar often strengthens the appeal of alternative assets, including Bitcoin. This is because Bitcoin, perceived by some as a hedge against inflation and the devaluation of fiat currencies, becomes relatively more attractive when the dollar's purchasing power diminishes. • This inverse correlation stems from Bitcoin's nature as a decentralized, limited-supply asset, contrasting with the potentially inflationary nature of fiat currencies.1 When investors lose confidence in the dollar, they may turn to Bitcoin as a store of value. "High-Stakes Game of Chicken" with Central Banks: • The phrase "Bitcoin playing a high-stakes game of chicken" with central banks aptly captures the ongoing tension between decentralized cryptocurrencies and traditional financial institutions. • Central banks wield significant influence over monetary policy, and their decisions can have a profound impact on the value of fiat currencies and, consequently, on the cryptocurrency market.2 • The potential for regulatory crackdowns or the introduction of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) poses a considerable risk to Bitcoin's long-term prospects. • Conversely, if central banks where to greatly devalue their currencies, it would greatly boost the Bitcoin bull case. Concerning Metrics and Cautious Outlook: • Despite the potential benefits of a weakening dollar, other metrics warrant a cautious outlook. • Market volatility remains a significant concern. Bitcoin's price fluctuations can be extreme, making it a risky investment for those with low risk tolerance. • Regulatory uncertainty continues to cast a shadow over the cryptocurrency market. Governments worldwide are grappling with the challenge of regulating cryptocurrencies, and any adverse regulatory developments could trigger a sharp sell-off. • Also, the overall global economic climate, with the potential for recessions, and geopolitical instability, add layers of uncertainty to the market. • Investor sentiment is also a huge factor. While there are times of great excitement, and "Fear of missing out"(FOMO), there are also times of great fear, that can cause large sell offs. Key Considerations: • Macroeconomic Factors: The broader economic environment, including inflation, interest rates, and economic growth, plays a crucial role in shaping Bitcoin's price trajectory. • Regulatory Landscape: The evolving regulatory landscape remains a key factor that could greatly effect Bitcoin's price. • Investor Sentiment: The psychological factors that drive investor behavior, such as fear and greed, can have a significant impact on Bitcoin's price. • Technological Developments: Advancements in blockchain technology and the adoption of cryptocurrencies by mainstream institutions could provide a boost to Bitcoin's long-term prospects. In essence, while the weakening U.S. dollar may provide a favorable tailwind for Bitcoin, investors must remain vigilant and consider the multitude of other factors that could influence its price. The "high-stakes game of chicken" with central banks underscores the inherent uncertainty of the cryptocurrency market, and a cautious outlook is warranted.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Double Top Breakdown & Key Support Level📊 $BTC/USDT Market Update – Double Top Breakdown & Key Support Level Welcome to today’s analysis! Let’s break down the Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) chart, focusing on the double top pattern and key levels. ⸻ 🌐 Overview: Double Top Formation & Breakdown 📉 CRYPTOCAP:BTC has formed a double top pattern and has broken the neckline (yellow level). 🔄 Current Scenario: • The double top pattern suggests a bearish move, with a projected target at the green support level. • The green support zone aligns with the previous ATH from the last bull run, making it a key area for potential price stabilization. • If buyers step in at this support, we could see a bounce and possible bullish reversal. ⸻ 🔑 Key Levels to Watch 🟡 Neckline (Broken Support): Confirmed breakdown, acting as new resistance. 🟢 Support Zone: Green Level (Previous ATH, potential stabilization area). ⸻ 🛠️ Trade Scenarios 📌 Bullish Scenario (Support Holds & Price Bounces Up) • If CRYPTOCAP:BTC stabilizes at the green support, buyers may step in, leading to a potential recovery move. • Confirmation of bullish strength could come from a higher low formation at this level. 📌 Bearish Scenario (Break Below Green Support) • If CRYPTOCAP:BTC fails to hold the green support zone, further downside could occur, potentially testing lower support areas. • A confirmed breakdown below this level would signal continued bearish momentum. ⸻ 📌 Conclusion CRYPTOCAP:BTC has broken the neckline of a double top pattern, and its projected target aligns with the green support zone (previous ATH level). This area is critical for potential price stabilization—if buyers defend it, we could see a rebound and bullish continuation. However, if it breaks down, further losses may follow.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by WaveRiders2
BTCUSDT TRADING POINT UPDATE >READ THE CHAPTIANSMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ crypto Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for crypto BTC USDT. ) crypto Traders BTC USD ) list time post signals 🚀 Hit sucksfully My target point ) Now update on New analysis setup. BTC USDT still drop 💧. Trend 📉. Technical patterns FVG) 85k. Back down trand target point 78k. Key Resistance level 85k Key Support level 81k- 78k Mr SMC Trading point Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
BTC/USD Short Trade Setup Analysis (1D Timeframe - Bitstamp)📍Currently, Bitcoin is showing signs of a potential rebound, but technicals suggest we are not yet at a confirmed reversal. We can see how BTC has recently broken below the ascending channel hitting a low of $78,000 which was very close to out $75,000 target. While it is possible for a sharp rejection up and beyond previous highs, it is unlikely. We anticipate that Bitcoin is testing the broken channel as resistance before falling lower towards our $75,000 target over a period of months (potentially 6 months) consolidating in an tighter range until a direction is determined. This latest move upwards by Bitcoin and the trailing market is the result of the Trumps crypto reserve statement. The market seen a surge after his remarks, but this will be short lived because nothing has actually changed: Size of the Reserve: No official size has been confirmed, but proposals vary. Senator Cynthia Lummis suggests acquiring 1 million Bitcoins over 20 years (about 5% of total supply). Trump’s March 2, 2025, announcement named Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), XRP, Solana (SOL), and Cardano (ADA) for inclusion but didn’t specify amounts. The government currently holds ~200,000 Bitcoins (worth ~$18–21 billion) from law enforcement seizures, which could form the basis of the reserve. Timeline for Filling the Reserve: Lummis’ proposal outlines a 20-year timeline to acquire 1 million Bitcoins (200,000 per year). Trump’s January 2025 executive order tasked a working group with evaluating the reserve within 180 days (by July 2025), but no specific timeline for filling it was provided. Posts on X speculate on faster timelines, but these lack official confirmation and are inconclusive. Is It Actually Going to Happen? The proposal is still exploratory, not finalized. Trump’s executive order and March 2 announcement show intent, but congressional approval is likely needed for major purchases or funding beyond seized assets. Experts like Nic Carter (via web sources) doubt a “true” reserve will pass Congress due to economic and political opposition. Posts on X show mixed sentiment—some bullish, others skeptical—but no definitive action has occurred. Can Trump Make This Happen Unilaterally? No, Trump cannot create or fund a large-scale reserve alone. The executive order allows evaluating and potentially using seized assets (~200,000 Bitcoins), but expanding it (e.g., to 1 million Bitcoins) requires congressional legislation and funding. Some argue the Treasury’s Exchange Stabilization Fund could be used, but legal experts and posts on X suggest significant hurdles remain, including Federal Reserve and congressional oversight. This push in price is driven by hype, fomo and retail traders not understanding the market. Current Outlook: Risk/Reward = 1:12.5 📉 Bearish Scenario (Anticipated outcome) - ❌ Invalidation Level: Above $100,000 - 🔻 Downside Targets: Bitcoin appears to be testing the recent break of the parallel channel. We expect to see Bitcoin fall to test previous structure high, which lines up with the 61.8% fib at $75,000. ✅ Justification: - Bitcoin remains in a long-term bullish trend, however given the recent break below the parallel channel, we are currently still bearish whilst it remains below $100,000. - Bitcoin / the market have seen strong bullish moves since Trump became president, with "positive" news coming frequently. However, upon deeper inspection, this positive news lacks sustenance, and will likely be deflationary over the coming weeks and months as traders begin to realise that nothing has changed. ⚡ Key Takeaways: - 🔹 Bitcoin has broken the parallel channel to the downside, hinting at a potential further drop. - 🔹 The recent break of the channel is usually followed by a test of broken support, to be confirmed as resistance before falling lower. We believe this is what we are seeing now. - 🔹 Bitcoin still remains in a long-term bullish direction, so we will take shorts when appropriate, with tight stops at invalidation levels mentioned above. - 🔹 Expect price to fall from here, down towards $75,000 over the next few weeks / potentially months of consolidation. Bullish invalidation: - 🔹 If Bitcoin breaks above $100,000 we can consider a long, targeting $110,000. With a stop placed below the lower support of the ascending channel. We must wait for candle closes before entering. ❗Fundamental Outlook:❗ 📍The recent macroeconomic environment, including U.S. monetary policy shifts and global adoption of Bitcoin, has significant implications for its price. ❗1. U.S. Monetary Policy and Inflation Concerns The Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on interest rates in early 2025, coupled with persistent inflation fears, has driven investor interest in Bitcoin as a hedge against fiat currency devaluation. Lower interest rates or quantitative easing could further bolster Bitcoin’s appeal as a store of value. ❗2. Institutional Adoption and ETF Inflows Major financial institutions and Bitcoin ETFs have seen record inflows in 2025, with companies like BlackRock and Fidelity increasing their exposure. This institutional buying pressure supports a bullish outlook for Bitcoin, as it signals growing acceptance of cryptocurrencies in traditional finance. ❗3. Geopolitical Uncertainty Ongoing geopolitical tensions, such as U.S.-China trade disputes and regional conflicts, have increased demand for decentralized assets like Bitcoin, which are seen as immune to government interference or currency controls. ❗4. Halving and Supply Dynamics Although the most recent Bitcoin halving occurred in 2024, its effects on reducing new supply continue to tighten market dynamics, potentially driving prices higher as demand outpaces supply growth. Fundamental Analysis Conclusion 📍Macroeconomic uncertainty, institutional adoption, and Bitcoin’s supply dynamics create a bullish environment for its price. 📍Geopolitical risks and inflationary pressures reinforce Bitcoin’s role as a digital store of value, supporting upward price movement. 📍Growing ETF inflows and institutional interest suggest sustained buying pressure in the near term. Outlook: Mixed signals for Bitcoin direction 📈Given the combination of macroeconomic tailwinds, institutional adoption, and Bitcoin’s unique supply characteristics, the fundamentals point toward continued strength in Bitcoin prices. However, many of these fundamentals on the surface appear to point towards the bulls, but we must be cautious of trading what you hear, vs what you see. Technically, bitcoin is bearish in the shorter term, unless it breaks back above $100,000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Who-Is-Caerus
2
Bitcoin's November Low: Recession Fears, and Volatility Bitcoin's recent slump, dipping below $80,000 to levels not seen since November, has sent ripples through the cryptocurrency market. This downturn, fueled by heightened recession fears and a complex interplay of macroeconomic factors, has triggered a wave of analysis and speculation. While some experts predict further corrections, others point to potential catalysts for a resurgence. Amidst this uncertainty, South Korea's ambitious push for a Bitcoin reserve and the burgeoning $BTCBULL presale add intriguing layers to the narrative. The primary driver behind Bitcoin's decline is the growing apprehension of a global economic recession. Persistent inflation, rising interest rates, and geopolitical tensions have created a climate of uncertainty, prompting investors to seek refuge in traditional safe-haven assets. This risk-off sentiment has weighed heavily on Bitcoin, a notoriously volatile asset class. Adding to the complexity of the situation is the ongoing tension between Bitcoin and central banks. As one expert noted, Bitcoin is "playing chicken with central banks" as the dollar experiences fluctuations. This dynamic underscores the fundamental debate surrounding Bitcoin's role as a potential hedge against traditional financial systems. The recent volatility surge following Donald Trump's comments on a Bitcoin reserve and the options expiry further exemplifies this tense relationship. Despite the bearish sentiment, there are glimmers of optimism. South Korea's ambitious plan to establish a Bitcoin reserve has captured the attention of the crypto community. This move, if realized, could signal a significant shift in the adoption of Bitcoin by institutional players and governments. The implications are far-reaching, potentially bolstering Bitcoin's legitimacy as a store of value and a strategic asset. The $BTCBULL presale, emerging amidst this volatile landscape, presents an interesting case study. In a market characterized by uncertainty, presales offer investors the opportunity to gain early access to potentially high-growth projects. However, they also carry inherent risks, and their success depends on a multitude of factors, including market conditions, project fundamentals, and community support. The $BTCBULL presale’s ability to attract investors during this period of market downturn will be a good indicator of overall market sentiment. Should it succeed, it may indicate that despite the general bearishness, there is still strong interest in projects that are perceived to be innovative, or to offer a unique value proposition. The current trading range of $78,000 to $82,000 reflects the market's indecision. Bullish momentum has clearly faded, leaving traders grappling with the implications of shifting macroeconomic conditions. The volatility witnessed in recent days underscores the need for caution and strategic decision-making. Furthermore, the impact of regulatory developments cannot be ignored. Governments worldwide are grappling with the challenge of regulating cryptocurrencies, and any significant regulatory changes could have a profound impact on Bitcoin's price and adoption. The ongoing debate surrounding stablecoins, DeFi, and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) adds another layer of complexity to the market. In conclusion, Bitcoin's recent fall to November lows is a reflection of the broader economic uncertainties and the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market. While recession fears and bearish predictions dominate the headlines, South Korea's ambitious Bitcoin reserve plan and the $BTCBULL presale offer glimpses of potential future growth. Investors must navigate this complex landscape with caution, carefully considering the interplay of macroeconomic factors, regulatory developments, and market sentiment. The current volatility serves as a reminder of the need for thorough research and a long-term perspective. Whether Bitcoin retests lower support levels or stages a comeback remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: the cryptocurrency market will continue to be a dynamic and unpredictable space.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
IS BITCOIN GOING ALL THE WAY DOWN? January 2025 -17th December 2024 ATH sweeping 20th January 2025 ATH may cause a 20% pullback at $88,700. February 2025 -3rd February 2025 price following tested Balance Price Range (BPR) due to a Bearish Change in State of Delivery (CISD) form on 2nd February 2025. -25th February 2025 price breaking thru the dropping target of January (20% drop from ATH) which leaving a Sellside Imbalance Buyside Inefficiency (SIBI) on 23rd until 26th February 2025. March 2025 -During 2nd until 7th March price tested and rejecting SIBI (23rd until 26th February 2025) The main target of this dropping is about to 🩸$58,600 which around 47% drop from ATH 🩸$48,400 which around 56% drop from ATH 🩸$38.200 which around 66% drop from ATH 🩸$7,600 which around 93% drop from ATH ARMSTRONG MLK, MY Disclaimer: NO FINANCIAL ADVICE: Trading involves a signifcant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investor; in particular, past develpoments do not necessarily indicate future results.
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSDShort
by SYAFIQARMSTRONG
Btcusdt technical analysis.The chart shows the Bitcoin (BTC) price against the US Dollar (USDT) on the BITSTAMP exchange with a 1-hour timeframe. The price is currently at $78,567, down 2.65%. Key observations: A support level (marked in pink) around $78,000 has been tested. A bearish projection (blue arrow) suggests a potential breakdown below this level, possibly targeting $72,000. Recent price action shows lower highs, indicating selling pressure. Multiple red news event icons suggest upcoming macroeconomic factors that may influence BTC’s movement. Do you need any analysis on support/resistance, trend confirmation, or trading strategies?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Rickypher
BTC/USD Key SupportBTC is hitting key support at just under $80,000 This is a good opportunity to expect a rebound back up to $100,000. Double bottom formation coming in nicely. Currently entering into my position and watching for a break under. Will keep stop tight as there is a fear of an extreme trend and sell off taking hold. Economic uncertainty and emotional buying and selling in today’s market can drive price in either direction HEAVILY. This being said i am currently looking for entries at major buy/sell areas and keep stops tighter than I normally would while also leaving room to leverage deeper into a trade under trending conditions. Best of luck to you all and trade safe!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Nicholas_k
1