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BTCUSD trade ideas

Coming recesion? Tomorrow I m bullish predicting 5 waves UP from here. The oracle in 2000 when the dot.com bubble burst, I wanted to know for sure, before everyone else that a recession is coming. From extensive research I learned the signs of a BEAR market coming. one the flight to quality, traders fearing to buy stocks rush into the 1 year T bill, gold, REITS, sin stocks that never go down in a Recession. Two the technical indicator? The 50 day EMA crossing down and going under the 200 EMA, those born before 2008 or rmember 2000 don't hav. clue what a real reccision is, it is a 50% selloff and lasts years, ys the 50 day EMA crossed below the 200 EMA a few times where you could not be long, but tey were short and soon overrun bu the Elliot Supercycle Bull market is
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by dryanhawley
BITCOIN Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 040225Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 84,700/61.80% Chart time frame: C A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress: B A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by fibonacci6180
Bitcoin Descending Channel - $65,500 Support Retest?Hello traders, in today’s Bitcoin analysis, we are going to look at recent price action developments and the rejection that occurred in the past 12 hours. Bitcoin remains within a descending triangle, printing consecutive lower lows and lower highs. The latest move saw an impulse pump into the 0.618 Fibonacci level, aligning perfectly with the descending channel range high. This resulted in a rejection, reinforcing the probability of a move lower. Key Points: • BTC is trading within a descending triangle with a clear lower high and lower low structure. • The recent rejection occurred at the 0.618 Fibonacci level, aligning with the channel range high. • The next key support is at the lower channel boundary around $65,500. Bitcoin’s price action has solidified this descending trading channel, and until a breakout occurs, the market will likely continue to respect this structure. If sellers maintain control, a move toward the channel low remains the most probable scenario. However, BTC can still range within this formation until a decisive break occurs. Traders should keep an eye on key support and resistance levels, as any strong reaction at these areas could indicate the next major move
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by AzizKhanZamani
2
Big Capitulation Pattern and Bull Trap Would Make Sense Now.We now have a lot of match up in how the BTC and SPX moves have formed with both of them showing properties of what could be a choppy wave 4. This would predict we see a period of panic selling (likely driven by news) and then we enter into the ABC correction. Now ... by the book, if a bigger bear move is happening the high should now be in. If there's to be a big bull trap it'll be an ABC to the 76 retracement and then there'll be a sharp second down leg - surpassing the first. By the way things actually are, we have to be wary of the butterfly bull trap. This would look and act identical to a 76 reversal up to a certain point and then it would make a hyper parabolic spike - which would briefly trade at new highs before setting up a big rug-pull event. I explained in a previous post 70K was a critical make or break area. Upon further swing development I still think that's broadly correct but a false breakout could go as far as 65K. If we get a sharp period of capitulation here I'll be very careful with my shorts. Trailing stops aggressively. And likely be very bullish around 65K. So long as I can get reasonable stop entries (breaking of this area could mean an out and out waterfall - would not be a fun knife catch if you tried to hold it). I kinda have a feeling the worst for the BTC drop might be directly ahead of us, but that is also likely the low for the foreseeable future. Contingent on there being the sharp drop (ideally with news to explain it) and me seeing things I like in the 65K zone I can see me being extremely bullish on this in the coming month.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by holeyprofit
4
Bitcoin & Tariffs 📉 In the short term, Trump's proposed tariffs add to the current risk-off sentiment—ETF flows, correlations with stocks, and macro uncertainty are already weighing on Bitcoin. 🗣 While debates rage on about whether tariffs will hurt importers or exporters or whether Trump will roll back some after negotiations, one thing is certain: inflation. And inflation is historically a positive for $BTC. 🌊Liquidity injections, growth of money supply (M2) and potential QE will follow as a weak economy struggles with disrupted supply chains—another long-term positive for Bitcoin ⚖️ During trade wars and geopolitical uncertainty, investors run to gold. With Bitcoin’s correlation to gold, this could be another tailwind 💡 So while tariffs may be a short-term drag, structurally, they are bullish for Bitcoin in the long run. You also need to remember that quite a lot of negativity is already built into the price, and if there is no new round of counter-tariffs, positive sentiment may appear sooner.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by FeelsStrategy
BTCUSD: We are nowhere near the top.Bitcoin has turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.405, MACD = -937.300, ADX = 31.574) and should turn bullish once it crosses above its 1D MA50, which is now a 2 month Resistance. This simple illustration of cyclical tops and bottoms shows that the market is nowhere near a top and we will not consider selling until we enter October (2025). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
5
Bitcoin Update: Testing Critical Resistance LevelsCurrent Market Analysis Bitcoin is currently in a crucial position as it challenges the resistance of the downtrend channel. The current price action shows that Bitcoin is testing a significant technical level that has acted as resistance throughout the recent downtrend. What makes this particular test interesting is that the supply signature appears to be weakening compared to previous instances when Bitcoin approached this resistance level. The Importance of the Confluence Level This represents a critical confluence point where multiple technical factors align, creating a stronger resistance zone. Breaking above this level would be technically significant as it could trigger what analysts refer to as a "Change of Behavior" in Bitcoin's price action. A Change of Behavior often precedes larger trend reversals, making this current test particularly noteworthy for market participants trying to determine Bitcoin's next major move. However, caution remains the prevailing sentiment until confirmation occurs. What Needs to Happen Next The market remains skeptical about Bitcoin's ability to continue higher without first clearing this technical hurdle. This reflects the technical reality that downtrend channels often require decisive breaks on higher volume to confirm their invalidation. While early signs appear promising with selling pressure seemingly diminishing, a clear breakout has not yet materialized. Volume Requirements for Confirmation A key component missing from the current picture is sufficient trading volume to support a breakout. This highlights an important technical principle in market analysis: significant technical breaks generally require increased volume to validate the move and increase the probability of continuation. Without this volume component, fake breakouts become more likely, potentially trapping buyers who entered positions prematurely. To summarize the current Bitcoin situation: Price is testing the resistance of the downtrend channel Supply signature (selling pressure) appears to be weakening A break above the confluence level could trigger a Change of Behavior Confirmation requires breaking above resistance with increased volume While early signs of weakening selling pressure provide some optimism, a cautious stance remains appropriate until Bitcoin can decisively break above the confluence resistance level with appropriate volume confirmation. Traders and investors should watch for this potential breakout, as it could signal a more significant shift in Bitcoin's price trend if the technical conditions described are met in the coming trading sessions.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Wyckoff_Analytics
Bullish Breakout from Falling Wedge | Upside Potential Ahead!Market Overview: The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-hour chart is displaying a Falling Wedge pattern, a well-known bullish reversal structure. This indicates that the downtrend is weakening, and a potential breakout could lead to a strong upside move. 🔹 Key Technical Analysis 1️⃣ Falling Wedge Formation & Breakout Bitcoin has been trading inside a falling wedge, marked by lower highs and lower lows, signaling a contraction in volatility. A breakout above the upper trendline of the wedge is forming, suggesting a bullish reversal and the start of an uptrend. Falling wedges typically lead to a rally equal to the height of the pattern, giving a measured move target of $114,334. 2️⃣ Price Action & Confirmation Levels A clean breakout above $87,000 would confirm bullish momentum. If price successfully retests the wedge’s upper boundary and holds support, further bullish continuation is expected. The psychological level of $100,000 could act as an interim resistance before the final target is reached. 3️⃣ Upside Target & Resistance Zones The measured move suggests a potential rally towards $114,334, aligning with previous resistance zones. This target represents a 30.55% gain from the breakout level. Traders should watch for pullbacks and retests as part of the breakout confirmation. 📈 Trading Plan - Long Setup 🔹 Entry: Look for a confirmed breakout above $87,000, or a retest of support. 🔹 Stop Loss: Below $84,000, protecting against false breakouts. 🔹 Take Profit: $100,000 - $114,334 (previous resistance & measured move target). 🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: Strong bullish setup with favorable upside potential. 🛑 Risk Factors to Consider ⚠️ A failed breakout and a drop below $83,000 would invalidate the bullish setup. ⚠️ External factors such as macroeconomic events, regulatory news, and BTC ETF developments could influence volatility. Final Thought The breakout from the falling wedge signals a potential bullish continuation for Bitcoin, with targets set around $114,334. Traders should watch for confirmation above $87,000 and manage risk accordingly.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by ForexOptimizer
Can it hit 89,000 again?The price trend of BTC has once again become the focus of global investors' attention. Previously, BTC experienced a period of consolidation, during which the bulls and bears engaged in repeated games. Now, the bulls of BTC have risen strongly, unleashing powerful upward momentum. With a swift and fierce move, it has broken through the key resistance level of 85,000 at one stroke. This breakthrough is like a fuse igniting the market, and the upward trend has spread rapidly. It is expected that it will further challenge the range of 87,000-89,000 in the future. The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed，Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by BenGray9
Buy BitcoinThe idea that Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) tend to go up around 70 days after global liquidity (M2) increases is based on how liquidity drives risk asset prices—especially in speculative markets like crypto. Here's a breakdown of why this happens, particularly with the 70-day lag: 🔍 What is M2 Global Liquidity? M2 includes: Cash Checking deposits Savings accounts Other near-money assets When global M2 increases, it usually means central banks are easing (e.g., lowering rates, injecting liquidity), which tends to: Increase money supply Lower the cost of capital Make riskier assets more attractive 💸 Why Does BTC/ETH React to M2? Crypto = High-Beta Asset Class BTC and ETH are risk-on assets, meaning they thrive when: Investors are optimistic There's more disposable capital floating around Liquidity Flows Down the Risk Curve When liquidity enters the system: It first boosts safe assets (e.g., bonds, large-cap stocks) Then mid-cap equities Finally flows into speculative plays like crypto Crypto’s Reaction is Delayed (~70 Days) This 70-day lag happens because: Institutions take time to reallocate capital Retail follows after they see initial market strength It takes time for M2 to affect sentiment, demand, and actual buying 📊 Empirical Backing Analysts like Arthur Hayes, Macro Alf, and others have noted: BTC price often correlates with global M2, with a lag of 60–90 days Crypto tends to front-run rate cuts, but lags money supply changes ⏱️ Summary: Why the 70-Day Lag? Cause Effect Global M2 rises Money becomes more available Institutions adjust portfolios Risk-on flows begin Investors re-enter crypto Demand for BTC/ETH increases ~70 days later BTC/ETH prices begin to climb
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by rossjohnson47
Bitcoin- Short term recovery?As you know, I am bearish on Bitcoin in the long term. However, in the short term, the cryptocurrency could see a recovery. Yesterday, the price tested the 81,000 support zone once again and rebounded from that level. Now, Bitcoin is pushing against the 83,500 resistance, and I believe a breakout is likely. If that happens, we could see further gains, with 86,500 as the next key target for the bulls. In conclusion, I’m bullish on BTC in the coming days and will be looking to buy dips.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
7
BTC/USD Bullish Breakout from Rectangle PatternOverview: The chart represents Bitcoin's price action against the US Dollar on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a Rectangle Pattern Breakout with a well-structured trade setup. This analysis will break down the pattern, key levels, and possible trading scenarios. 1️⃣ Chart Pattern Breakdown – Rectangle Consolidation The price has been moving within a rectangle pattern (range-bound movement), where Bitcoin found support at lower levels and faced resistance at the upper boundary. Rectangle Pattern: A continuation/consolidation pattern where price fluctuates between horizontal resistance and support before breaking out. Curve Formation: The price action within the rectangle also forms a rounding bottom, indicating a potential shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. Breakout Confirmation: BTC has broken out from the rectangle, suggesting bullish momentum. 2️⃣ Key Technical Levels 🔹 Support Level ($84,110) This zone has acted as a strong demand area, preventing the price from falling further. Buyers consistently stepped in at this level, making it a significant psychological floor for Bitcoin. 🔹 Resistance Level ($86,850 - $87,000 Zone) This level had previously rejected upward movements, leading to multiple price pullbacks. After the breakout, this area is expected to act as a new support level upon a retest. 🔹 Target Price ($89,931 – Next Resistance Zone) If the breakout sustains, the next key target for bulls is around $89,931, based on prior resistance zones and technical projections. 🔹 Stop Loss ($84,110 – Below Support Zone) A stop loss below the support zone ensures risk management in case of a false breakout. 3️⃣ Trading Strategy & Execution 📌 Entry Point – After price confirms the breakout above the rectangle’s resistance. Traders should wait for: A pullback and retest of the broken resistance, which should now act as support. A strong bullish candle confirming continuation. 📌 Take Profit (TP) – $89,931, based on historical resistance levels and price projection from the rectangle range. 📌 Stop Loss (SL) – Placed at $84,110, below the rectangle’s previous support zone to minimize downside risk. 📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) – The setup offers a favorable RRR, meaning potential profits outweigh the risks. 4️⃣ Market Sentiment & Additional Factors ✔ Bullish Outlook – The breakout signals strong buying interest and potential upside continuation. ✔ Volume Confirmation – Traders should monitor volume spikes during the breakout to confirm institutional participation. ✔ Economic Events & News – External factors like macroeconomic data or Bitcoin-related news can impact price action. Conclusion – BTC/USD Trading Setup Pattern Identified: Rectangle Pattern Breakout Current Trend: Bullish breakout from consolidation Trade Type: Long position (Buy setup) Key Levels: ✅ Support: $84,110 ✅ Resistance: $86,850 - $87,000 ✅ Target: $89,931 ✅ Stop Loss: $84,110 🔥 Final Thought : Bitcoin has broken out of a key consolidation range, signaling a bullish move towards $89,931. Traders should wait for confirmation and manage risk accordingly! 🚀📈
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades