Downtrend on btcBtc usdt is near of my old trend line .
I think in few month later price move on near of 53k .
BTCUSD trade ideas
Bitcoin Retracement to $67,069Bitcoin may need a deeper retracement to the 618 FIB level if it wants to move higher. Buyers want a better deal. The double top pattern is always bearish.
Crypto Markets See $3.8 Billion Outflow, What Does It Mean?Ethereum, Solana, and Toncoin were hit with multi-million outflows; but Bitcoin took the biggest hit with $2.59 billion in funding.
For the third week in a row, digital asset investment products have seen investors siphon off funds. This past week alone marked a historic $2.9 billion outflow, raising the cumulative figure to $3.8 billion in three weeks.
According to the latest edition of the Digital Asset Fund Flows Weekly Report, Bitcoin was hit the hardest by negative sentiment, suffering $2.59 billion in outflows last week, while short coin products attracted $2.3 million in inflows. Ethereum also faced heavy losses and received a record $300 million in outflows.
Toncoin was not immune, with investors siphoning off $22.6 million. Meanwhile, multi-asset products experienced $7.9 million in outflows, while Solana and Cardano saw outflows of $7.4 million and $1.2 million, respectively. Even blockchain stocks fell, losing $25.3 million.
Sui, on the other hand, saw inflows of $15.5 million, followed by XRP, which received $5 million, while Litecoin added $1 million in inflows.
Over the past week, outflows were broad, with the United States leading with $2.87 billion, followed by Switzerland with $73 million and Canada with $16.9 million. Sweden also recorded $14.5 million in outflows, while Brazil and Hong Kong saw $2.6 million and $2.5 million, respectively.
In contrast, Germany trended with $55.3 million in inflows as investors bought into the trend. Australia also recorded a modest inflow of $1 million. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSDT CRYPTO:ETHUSD
BTC/USD Daily Chart Analysis! Detailed AnalysisCurrent Market Overview:
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently trading around $85,963, showing a decline of -0.92% on the daily timeframe. The price action indicates the formation of a potential double top pattern, suggesting a possible trend reversal.
Key Technical Observations:
1. Double Top Formation (Bearish Reversal Pattern)
Top 1 & Top 2 indicate a classic double top pattern, signaling potential weakness in bullish momentum.
The price failed to break above resistance, confirming selling pressure at higher levels.
A confirmed breakdown from this pattern could lead to a significant decline towards key support levels.
2. Breakdown of Ascending Trendline
The chart shows an ascending trendline, which has now been broken.
This break signals a shift in market structure, favoring a potential bearish trend.
After breaking the trendline, BTC/USD may attempt a retest before continuing lower.
3. Support Levels & Take Profit (TP) Targets
TP1: $68,296 – This level acts as the first major support and potential take-profit zone for short sellers.
TP2: $49,433 – A stronger support zone aligning with a previous accumulation area. If BTC breaks below TP1, TP2 becomes the next key level to watch.
Potential Price Scenarios:
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Primary Outlook)
BTC/USD retests the broken trendline or recent highs before continuing downward.
Price drops towards TP1 ($68,296), where a temporary bounce may occur.
If the selling momentum continues, BTC could fall further towards TP2 ($49,433), a major historical support level.
🔵 Bullish Scenario (Less Likely Alternative)
If BTC holds above $85,000 and breaks above the double top resistance, the bullish trend may continue.
A strong push above $90,000 could invalidate the bearish outlook, leading to new all-time highs.
Trading Plan & Strategy:
✅ For Short Entries:
Look for a retest of the broken trendline or rejection at $90,000 resistance before entering.
Target TP1 ($68,296) as the first take-profit level.
If price continues dropping, hold for TP2 ($49,433).
❌ For Long Entries (Risky):
Only consider longs if BTC reclaims the $90,000+ level with strong volume.
Set stop-losses below $85,000 to manage risk.
Final Thoughts:
Bitcoin shows bearish signs with a double-top formation and a trendline breakdown. While a short-term bounce may occur, the overall outlook suggests a move towards $68,000 and potentially $49,000. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades. 📉🚨
El Salvador Increases Bitcoin Reserves Despite IMF RestrictionsDespite IMF restrictions, El Salvador Bitcoin Investment continues to grow and expand, demonstrating President Nayib Bukele’s current strong commitment to cryptocurrency policy. At the time of writing, the Central American country has managed to increase its Bitcoin holdings to 6,111.18 BTC, worth approximately $504 million in current markets, while also engaging in complex relationships with various major international financial institutions.
El Salvador’s government has persisted and even accelerated its Bitcoin accumulation strategy despite an agreement with the International Monetary Fund, which has significantly restricted its cryptocurrency activities. The December 2022 deal, which was established after lengthy negotiations, involves a $1.4 billion loan as part of a broader financial package of more than $3.5 billion. ]
At the time of writing, El Salvador Bitcoin Investment has catalyzed and spearheaded an increase from 6,072 BTC in February to 6,111.18 BTC in March 2025. This strategic acquisition, such as it is, demonstrates the government’s unwavering resolve to maintain and optimize its cryptocurrency policy despite external pressure from various major financial institutions as well as a number of key regulators that have implemented several restrictions in the current market environment. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Will BTC drop to further supports?Hello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC. When we enter the one-day interval, we can see how the BTC price is moving under the local downtrend line. What's more, we can see here how we broke the uptrend line at the bottom, but we are still above the main uptrend line.
Currently, we can see how the price is based on support at $ 79,339, but if we leave this support at the bottom, we still have strong support at $ 72,294, which is located at the golden FIB point 0.618, under it we can see the main trend line passing and then support at $ 62,217.
Looking the other way, in a situation when the trend reverses, we can expect resistance at $ 85,562, then resistance is visible at $ 90,843, the next significant resistance is at $ 97,888, behind which we already have a very strong resistance zone from $ 103,060 to $ 109,481.
On the MACD indicator, we can observe the continuation of the ongoing downward trend, in which at the moment there is no signal for the price to return. However, it is worth looking at the EMA Cross 50/200 indicator here, which, despite a strong decline, still maintains an upward trend, which may have a positive impact on the price in the coming weeks.
Bitcoin crash to $80K is normal, not the start of a major declinData confirms that the latest Bitcoin crash may be the result of a natural correction, rather than the start of a major downtrend.
Bitcoin has once again fallen below $80,000 for the second time this year, sparking investor panic. As fear spreads, many are questioning whether this drop marks the end of the Bitcoin bull run or if it is just a natural correction in the ongoing uptrend. The decline in peak losses shows Bitcoin in a natural correction; in recent analysis, even though Bitcoin has revisited the $80K range, the extent of realized losses is still significantly lower than previous corrections.
While CRYPTOCAP:BTC has revisited the $8.0K range, peak losses are still significantly lower than the late February to early March correction.
Total peak losses:
February 25: $933M
February 26: $897M
February 28: $933M
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
Once Upon a Bitcoin CrashBitcoin’s recent price action has traders excited, but is the rally sustainable? In this analysis, I break down key technical indicators, trend patterns, and historical price behavior to explain why Bitcoin is likely heading lower before any major recovery.
🔹 Key Highlights:
✔ Price Prediction: Expecting a pullback to $67,000–$73,000 before a bounce.
✔ Technical Breakdown: Analyzing support, resistance, and inflection points to identify future price action.
✔ Trading Strategy: Why shorting Bitcoin could be the right move in the current setup.
✔ Brief technical analysis instructional: higher highs and lower lows.
Don’t get caught in the trap—stay ahead of the trend!
This isn't investment advice, what are you crazy? You would have to be to take investment advice from a stranger on the Internet. So don't do it.
Addendum: when I draw that lower trend line in the first part of the video I should attach that to the red bodies not the green ones
Bitcoin Collapses $80K, What’s Next?Its price briefly stabilized around $86K over the weekend before heading south at the start of the business week. It dropped to around $80K, leaving millions in liquidations on a 24-hour basis. Later, bulls stepped in and pushed the valuation to nearly $84K. The resurgence, however, was short-lived and was followed by another free fall to as low as $79,500. As of this writing, BTC is trading around $79,000, representing a 5% drop on the day. Its market cap dropped below $1.6 trillion.
While many industry players are hopeful that this is another temporary pullback that can be replaced by a new bull run, others are not so optimistic. Next up is a re-estimation of $78K for BTCUSD, “if that fails, the next $76300, 75,500 in the crosshairs.” BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
Bitcoin going to move to 320K?As the market is cooling down after the Trump rally there is only bearish sentiment left. People calling for ''the liquidation of M. Saylor'', ''the bearmarket'', ''BTC to 0!''
In the chart above we can witness an almost textbook version of a MASSIVE cup and handle pattern. It broke out of the neckline on nov 4th last year and is now on it's path to retest it.
Should it hold i expect the bullrun to continue soon. So see this post as a light at the end of the tunnel.
Target: 320K
Stoploss: sub 70K (there is resistance at 70/66K area)
Rustle
BTCUSD, Bears expected to continue.After series of bullish failure in the demand zoneS, i expect a bearish continuation in BTCUSD, I will look for entry in the marked order block if market meets my requirements.
A new ATH is waiting for Bitcoin (2D)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
This analysis is still valid.
When everyone is discouraged and caught up in emotions, the BehDark team relies on the chart to publish analyses.
We have also added a new target to the chart. Based on recent candles in the multi-timeframe, there is a possibility of reaching 120K.
We are still waiting for the green zone and looking for buy/long positions within it.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
are you ready for flying ? after the sold all short and long position , btc price reach the 95 percent of Correction , and now it can start to flying.
BTC HALVING APRIL 2024! 479497$As we approach the impending halving event in 2024, slated to commence in a month, speculation arises regarding its potential outcomes. Historical data provides insights into recurring patterns, yet uncertainty looms regarding whether past scenarios will manifest once again.
We invite your insights:
Do you foresee growth or a departure from traditional trends towards decline?
Your perspectives are welcomed and valued.
Bitcoin Loses Key Support – Is the Bull Trend in Trouble?Bitcoin has fallen sharply, breaking below the $91,000 support level, which previously acted as a major floor for the uptrend. The cryptocurrency is now testing the 200-EMA ($79,897) as it struggles to find buying interest.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
📉 Major Breakdown – The loss of $91,000 has turned sentiment bearish.
📉 200-EMA as Last Defense – Holding above $80,000 is critical to avoid deeper losses.
📉 RSI at 29.30 – Bitcoin is entering oversold territory, suggesting a potential relief bounce.
📉 MACD Bearish – The indicator remains deeply negative, confirming ongoing selling momentum.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 $80,000-$79,000 – Crucial support zone; a breakdown here could trigger further selling.
🔹 $91,000 – Now resistance; bulls must reclaim this level to restore confidence.
🔹 $100,000+ – Long-term bullish outlook remains intact above this mark.
💡 Trading Outlook:
🔻 Bearish Case: A sustained break below $80,000 could accelerate downside pressure, targeting $72,500 (61.8% Fib retracement).
🔺 Bullish Case: If Bitcoin holds above the 200-EMA, a relief bounce toward $91,000 is possible, but buyers need to reclaim it to shift momentum.
Bitcoin's long-term trend is still bullish, but the recent breakdown raises concerns about further downside risk. Can bulls defend $80,000, or is this the start of a deeper correction?
-MW
Bitcoin - The Path to a Quarter of a Million Bitcoin - What Happened After the End of the Bear Market
15,460 USD—this value marked the ultimate low of the bear market in hindsight. My previous forecast for a bottom formation was exceeded by approximately 15%. This was not due to a lack of expertise but rather because I rarely publish ideas. Looking back, the levels around 18,000 USD were an excellent opportunity for long-term entry and position accumulation. Since then, Bitcoin has surged by an impressive 350% (as of today).
Market Development After the Bear Market
Today, I will not delve into Bitcoin’s fundamental situation. First, because it has reached a level of complexity that is difficult to fully grasp, and second, because fundamentals are almost irrelevant to my technical analysis and forecasts.
The current price action suggests that we are nearing the completion of Wave 1, which serves as the launchpad for the larger Wave 3. It is important to note that the previous all-time high of 109,358.01 USD may be surpassed if the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement level is slightly above it. This means that, despite an initial sell-off, Bitcoin could still reach a maximum of 115,438.15 USD before a major correction begins.
However, if the previous all-time high already marked the end of Wave 1, then the price should retrace towards the 78.6% or even the 88.7% Fibonacci levels. Yes, this results in a broad range, but the goal is not to place a short trade—only to time a long trade effectively.
One thing is crystal clear: The next correction is imminent—or has already begun.
Outlook: Where Is the Next Profitable Long-Term Entry?
The art of investing lies in playing the long game and timing the market for optimal long positions. While dollar-cost averaging (DCA) is a solid strategy, it is particularly beneficial to invest larger tranches with careful planning.
Since my strategy is to hold Bitcoin for decades, I am looking for the next major buying opportunity.
Based on current market trends, I see two overlapping target zones for the upcoming correction:
🔹 Potential correction range: 35,774.30 - 58,928.75 USD
🔹 Key Fibonacci retracement level (61.8%) of Wave 1: 51,502.15 USD
I expect Bitcoin to correct at least to 51,502.15 USD. However, based on previous corrections and price structures, a deeper retracement is highly likely.
💡 My personal target zone for accumulating larger positions:
👉 35,774.30 - 51,502.15 USD
🚨 Bitcoin must not drop below 34,944.64 USD.
After the Correction: The Next Major Bullish Wave
Once the correction (Wave 2) finds its bottom between 34,944.64 - 51,502.15 USD, the market will be set for the explosive third wave of the larger Wave 3.
📈 Minimum price target for Wave 3: 160,000+ USD
📈 Further upside potential: Beyond 250,000 USD
Key Takeaway: Investing in Bitcoin is an investment in your future.
👉 Think long-term and minimize your risk.
Summary
1. Bear Market Recap
✅ Bear market bottom: 15,460 USD
✅ Forecast missed by ~15%
✅ 18,000 USD was a great long-term entry
✅ +350% price increase since then
2. Current Market Situation & Forecast
✅ Bitcoin is near the completion of Wave 1
✅ Possible breakout beyond all-time high (109,358.01 USD) to 115,438.15 USD
✅ A major correction is imminent—or has already begun
3. Ideal Long-Term Entry Points
✅ Target accumulation zone: 35,774.30 - 51,502.15 USD
✅ Expected correction at least to: 51,502.15 USD
✅ Absolute lower limit: 34,944.64 USD (must not be breached)
4. Long-Term Outlook
✅ Wave 3 to start after correction (Wave 2)
✅ Minimum target: 160,000 USD
✅ Potential long-term target: 250,000+ USD
✅ Investment strategy: Hold long-term & minimize risk
BTCUSD: 1W hasta la vista....BTCUSD run up appears to be coming to an end for this cycle.
HMA on the lower time frame charts is acting as strong resistance at 103 k and 1W RSI shows obvious bearish divergence. BTCD is also looking like it is showing weakness after a slow 2 year uptrend and likely will start to make continued bearish moves down to upper 40% range in the long term.
Once 92k BTC support breaks....then it will enter back into the yellow channel and ultimately trend to the bottom support in low 60's k again. I expect a bounce at the 60k level to some extent, and if that support level does not hold, then back into the 30s.
Good luck traders!!
BTC the news was priced in. Now we find the test beginsBTC loves volatility. It is the "go-to" asset for high margin trades. Risk/reward in times like these are tremendous. This is good because it brings big fish in for the feast. Know your system. Wait, HODL, short...doesn't matter just be smart and consistent AF!
The weekly chart explains it better. Going down is fine because we eventually find out what the new bottom really is. Possibly a sharp drop incoming. Longs brace?
Not financial advise nor am I AI nor am I from the future... just IMHO : )
BTCUSDT - ultimate area, final level, holds or not??#BTCUSDT.. market just near to his monthly, weekly and daily ultimate area that is around 78200
That is your swing level and don't holds buying below that.
Short below 78200 on confirmation
Good luck
Trade wisely
btc long idea due to fvga strategic long position on Bitcoin (BTC) at $78,000, following a Fair Value Gap (FVG) that forms at $76,000. This gap suggests a potential price inefficiency, which you believe could trigger a bullish move in BTC’s price. The setup implies that the price will fill the gap and push higher. To manage risk, you’ve set a stop loss at $75,000, providing a clear level for potential exit in case the market moves against your position. Your target for this trade is $96,000, where you expect significant resistance or a strong price movement to materialize. Overall, the trade offers a solid risk-reward setup with the expectation of capturing gains as Bitcoin rallies from the FVG level.
Bitcoin Daily time frame BTC/USD (1D) Technical Analysis – March 10, 2025
Market Structure & Price Action:
Bitcoin was previously in an ascending channel, making higher highs and higher lows.
The price has broken below the channel, signaling a potential trend shift or deep pullback.
BTC is currently testing the $79,966 level, with the next major support at $73,074.
Volume Analysis:
Volume has increased during the recent sell-off, indicating strong selling pressure.
If buyers do not step in soon, BTC could continue dropping toward $73,000 or even lower.
RSI Indicator:
RSI is at 33.69, close to the oversold zone.
A bounce could be expected soon, but RSI has room to drop further before a strong reversal.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $90,000 (previous support in the channel)
Support: $73,074 (major level), followed by $55,247 if the drop extends further.
Potential Trading Scenarios:
Bullish Case: If BTC finds support at $73,000 and RSI confirms a bullish divergence, a recovery back into the channel is possible.
Bearish Case: If BTC breaks below $73,000, it could accelerate downward toward $55,000 as the next major demand zone.
BTC - are we about to bounce?Hi All,
So just a thought and observation - let me know what you guys think. We have had 4 bounces
off this bottom green support trend line since 2023. Each time BTC shoots back up for a solid run.
Is the end near?
Am I hoping for an end to this blood bath correction which just dipped into the $79K range. Is there more to come, the chart says we should be done - or damn near the end.
Let me know your thoughts!!
Pretty straight fowardSince ATH we have been in a downward channel on the Daily BTC chart. Until we break up out of this there's nothing to be happy about on the Bull side of things for the mid to long term.
That said, today we are at the bottom of the channel, so a swing trade long is tempting.
What say you?
