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BTCUSD trade ideas

BTC: What if the real bull run is just beginning?🚀 BTC/USD – Weekly buy signal on the way? 📈 EMA 7 / SMA 20 crossover validated on a weekly basis ✅ Long-term bullish trend ⏸️ Short-term trend neutral In my opinion, a bullish continuation in the long-term remains possible, particularly via an AB = CD structure for patient investors. Of course, in small time frames, volatility will be present, but the underlying trend remains positive. 📌 Pivotal zone to break: 104,432 – 109,396 USD ➡️ A break of this resistance would provide a real boost to the bullish trend. Next? Let's close our eyes... and let the position run. ⚠️ Analysis for educational purposes – not financial advice. 💬 Do you believe this weekly signal? Or are you staying on the sidelines for now?
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Yannick1961
2
Bitcoin at the Crest of Structure - The Silence of Momentum.⊢ BTC/USD – BINANCE – (CHART: 1D) – (July 19, 2025). ◇ Analysis Price: $118,325.31 ⊣ ⨀ I. Temporal Axis - Strategic Interval - (1D): ▦ EMA9 - (Exponential Moving Average - 9 Close): ∴ Price is currently positioned above EMA9 at $117,218.67, confirming immediate bullish alignment; ∴ EMA9 is upward sloping and tightly hugging price candles, serving as the dominant intraday dynamic support; ∴ Every recent dip has been absorbed above or at EMA9, with no candle body close below it in the last 7 sessions. ✴️ Conclusion: Logic sealed - EMA9 holds command over short-term price structure; tactical momentum remains alive. ⊢ ▦ EMA21 - (Exponential Moving Average - 21 Close): ∴ EMA21 currently rests at $114,658.53, forming the median layer of structural trend guidance; ∴ Price action remains significantly elevated above this level, showing that bulls retain medium-range control; ∴ EMA21 has not been tested since late June, reflecting a strong upside deviation from equilibrium. ✴️ Conclusion: Logic sealed - EMA21 serves as untested trend backbone; control remains firmly in favor of buyers. ⊢ ▦ EMA50 - (Exponential Moving Average - 50 Close): ∴ EMA50 is currently located at $109,638.03, tracking long-range structural health; ∴ The moving average is gradually steepening, suggesting long-term strength and momentum acceleration; ∴ No violations or shadows have tested EMA50 since early May - reinforcing its strength as deep support. ✴️ Conclusion: Logic sealed - EMA50 anchors the structural uptrend; market remains far from long-term threat zone. ⊢ ▦ Fibonacci Retracement – (1 = $122,056.95 / 0 = $74,623.79): ∴ The full Fibonacci range spans from the April low at $74,623.79 (0.0) to the July high at $122,056.95 (1.0) - anchoring the complete structure of the current macro move; ∴ Price is now positioned at $118,325.31, precisely above the 0.786 retracement level at $111,906.25, and beneath the 1.0 top - this zone represents the “golden upper quadrant,” a region where euphoria meets exhaustion; ∴ The 0.618 level ($103,937.45) remains untouched since early June, acting as the gravitational pull of equilibrium - its preservation confirms that no structural breakdown has occurred; ✦ Additional Level Mapping:  • 0.500 - $98,340.37: The neutral midpoint, remains far below - unchallenged;  • 0.382 - $92,743.26: The "warning belt" for medium-term trend decay;  • 0.236 - $85,818.02: A deep corrective zone, untouched and far from current price. ∴ Multiple zones of confluence exist between EMA21, BB midline, and 0.786, forming a strategic consolidation platform in the current price region; ∴ Failure to reclaim above 1.0 extension suggests bulls may be entering exhaustion while still structurally intact. ✴️ Conclusion: Logic sealed - price is trapped in the Fibonacci Gate (0.786 – 1.0); breakout requires decisive volume or reversion to golden support. ⊢ ▦ Bollinger Bands - (SMA21 / 2 Standard Deviations): ∴ The current Bollinger structure shows band expansion, not contraction - upper band is at $122,653.00, lower band at $103,296.96, midline (SMA21) at $112,974.98; ∴ Price is moving above the midline, but no longer hugging the upper band - signaling that explosive momentum has waned while structure remains bullish; ∴ Last major push toward the upper band resulted in rejection near $122k, followed by sideways compression - implying the bands are preparing to resolve a volatility coil; ✦ Interpretative Observations:  • The midline (SMA21) is converging with the EMA21 and 0.786 Fib, forming a triple convergence layer - a key strategic battlefield;  • The distance between bands is approximately $19,356, indicating elevated volatility, but not chaos - directional tension remains unresolved;  • Band curvature suggests no imminent squeeze, but a potential for re-expansion if price reclaims upper territory. ∴ This structure shows a calm above chaos - volatility is present, but muted by the upper Fibonacci gate and internal exhaustion. ✴️ Conclusion: Logic sealed - volatility bands are wide and reactive, signaling buildup pressure; the next directional breach will likely define the next 30-day trend. ⊢ ▦ Volume + EMA21 - (Volume Activity and Trend Average): ∴ The latest daily volume candle stands at 312 (unit scale), notably below the Volume EMA21, which trends around 418 - indicating waning participation post-breakout; ∴ The most recent breakout above $120k was accompanied by a singular spike in volume, followed by five consecutive days of volume decay - a typical exhaustion profile without follow-through; ∴ There has been no bullish volume expansion to defend price levels above $118k, suggesting that the upward move is unsupported by fresh demand; ✦ Tactical Observations:  • Volume is currently below the average trend line, which implies a lack of conviction on both sides - a vacuum state;  • The EMA21 of volume acts as a barometer of trend health - its breach to the downside indicates structural weakening beneath a seemingly bullish price;  • The low volume + high price condition signals silent divergence, often a precursor to compression, reversal, or manipulation. ∴ Price is elevated but unsupported, indicating the presence of “surface strength, internal fragility.” ✴️ Conclusion: Logic sealed - declining volume below trend average confirms demand fatigue; continuation is suspect without new influx. ⊢ ▦ RSI (21) + EMA9 - (Relative Strength Index with Signal Smoothing): ∴ The RSI (21) reads at 64.72, having pulled back from a recent high near 74, suggesting a transition from euphoric thrust to reflective consolidation; ∴ The RSI line has dipped below its EMA9 signal, forming a soft negative crossover, typically interpreted as a waning of short-term momentum; ∴ Despite the loss of angle, RSI remains comfortably above the 50-line, which acts as the threshold between bullish continuation and structural deterioration; ✦ Interpretative Layers:  • The EMA9 of RSI functions here as a short-term momentum oscillator overlay - its breach confirms weakening, not reversal;  • RSI holding above 60 implies the presence of continued buy-side pressure - though fading;  • The divergence between price (near high range) and RSI (descending) establishes the groundwork for potential hidden weakness. ∴ RSI shows the archetype of a post-breakout exhaustion slope, yet refuses to break structurally - a signal of suspended momentum, not decay. ✴️ Conclusion: Logic sealed - momentum is cooling but not reversing; bulls remain structurally in control while energy dissipates. ⊢ ▦ Stochastic RSI (3,3,21,9) - (Momentum Cycle Oscillator): ∴ The current values are: %K = 26.27, %D = 48.05 - showing a completed bearish crossover, with %K trailing beneath %D; ∴ The oscillator has already dipped into oversold (<20) and is now rebounding, yet fails to regain dominance over the signal line - this marks a failed bullish recovery pattern; ∴ Recent structure shows multiple failed attempts to reclaim high-band cycles, indicating that short-term traders are exiting, while major holders observe; ✦ Tactical Interpretations:  • The system has transitioned from bullish impulsive to corrective reflective - momentum is coiling instead of thrusting;  • The flattening of %D around the midline reflects indecision in micro-timeframe velocity;  • The double-rejection of %K near 80 last week forms a tactical top signal under stochastic doctrine. ∴ This oscillator, sensitive to short-term flows, declares the loss of tactical initiative by the bulls. ✴️ Conclusion: Logic sealed - short-term momentum cycle is decaying; the structure now favors consolidation or soft pullback. ⊢ ▦ MACD (9,21) - (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): ∴ Current MACD line: (+2,961.80), Signal line: (+3,153.14) - indicating an active bearish crossover, as the MACD line has dropped below the signal; ∴ Histogram bars are negative and expanding, a key sign that downward momentum is growing, even as price remains elevated; ∴ This crossover has occurred at a relatively high amplitude, meaning the pullback potential is non-trivial - it is not a shallow fluctuation, but a structural transition; ✦ Structural Implications:  • The bearish crossover happened after divergence with price action - while Bitcoin reached new highs, MACD momentum did not, forming a classical bearish divergence;  • Momentum began decaying several sessions before price peaked - the indicator warned of exhaustion before price responded;  • The slope of the MACD line has steepened downward - a sign of gathering corrective force. ∴ This marks the first true warning from the momentum engine beneath the price - a shift from thrust to counter-pressure. ✴️ Conclusion: Logic sealed - MACD confirms structural momentum exhaustion; corrective forces are now in motion, though price has yet to reflect full impact. ⊢ ▦ OBV + EMA9 - (On-Balance Volume with Trend Smoothing): ∴ Current OBV stands at (–82.93K), now below its EMA9, which reads (–82.57K) - indicating a loss of volume-weighted trend force from the buyers; ∴ While price remains elevated, OBV has been descending gradually, forming a clear bearish divergence between volume flow and price action; ∴ Over the last 7 daily sessions, OBV has failed to form any new high - even as BTC printed a new price peak - revealing that volume is silently exiting the market; ✦ Interpretative Reading:  • OBV below EMA9 confirms that cumulative volume pressure is negative - this undermines surface-level price strength;  • Divergence with price often precedes major pivot zones - the “hidden drain” effect;  • The OBV curve is now sloping downward with consistency, indicating that larger hands may be distributing while price remains deceptive. ∴ This structure carries the seal of silent distribution, a hallmark of late-cycle phases in bullish trends. ✴️ Conclusion: Logic sealed - OBV confirms internal outflow; market strength is no longer aligned with volume reality. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle: ∴ The 1D structural framework remains formally bullish, as price holds firmly above all exponential anchors (EMA9, 21, 50) and resides within the golden quadrant of the Fibonacci matrix; ∴ However, a triad of momentum signals - MACD, Stochastic RSI, and OBV - are all flashing early warnings of underlying exhaustion; ∴ The market breathes the air of height, yet the blood of energy runs thin; ∴ Volume no longer fuels ascent - momentum coils, not climbs; ∴ The surface remains calm, but the substructure contracts in silence; ∴ This is a phase of strategic suspension; ∴ Not yet a reversal - but no longer thrusting forward; ∴ A condition of uptrend fatigue, awaiting external force or internal reset. ✴️ Conclusion: The Oracle speaks - the trend is structurally preserved, but internally untrustworthy. The next move, when it comes, will be definitive. ⊢ ▦ Structurally: Bullish. ∴ Price remains well above EMA50, EMA21, and EMA9; ∴ No bearish cross has occurred; ∴ Structure is elevated within upper Fibonacci zones - not broken. ⊢ ▦ Momentum-wise: Bearish Divergence. ∴ MACD has crossed bearishly; ∴ OBV is declining despite price holding high; ∴ RSI and Stoch RSI confirm exhaustion. ⊢ ✴️ Final Codex Interpretation: ∴ Structurally Bullish - Tactically Suspended; ∴ The frame holds, but the fuel has faded; ∴ Bulls possess the hilltop - but lack fire to advance; ∴ A breach or retreat shall define the next archetype. ⊢ ⧉ · Cryptorvm Dominvs · MAGISTER ARCANVM · Vox Primordialis · ⚜️ ⌬ - Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy - ⌬ ⚜️ ⧉ ⊢
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Magister_Arcanvm
LAST BTC PUSH? Dear Community, in order to expand my skills analysis, I will regularly share my analyses and ideas here on TradingView. I still consider myself a beginner in the “stock market” and “crypto” area and am therefore very much looking forward to your comments and input! My primary assumption is that we are still in a final upward move. However, I am also pursuing alternative scenarios that could lead to significantly higher levels. BTC analysis - 1H chart In my analysis, wave (3) in yellow is complete and we are currently in wave (4) correction, which may not be complete yet. My guess: - Wave B (yellow) has been completed, wave C has extended and could still reach USD 113 679, where the Fibonacci 100 level is located. There is also an FVG in the 1H chart. - A retest of the blue trend channel would be quite possible in order to pick up liquidity at this level before wave 5 (yellow) is completed between USD 126,887 and USD 130,000. - My risk management is down to USD 107,326 (Fibonacci 1.866). - We have already tested the Fibonacci 0.5 level (pullback level) and seen a positive reaction. However, we currently lack volume in the market. - If the blue channel and the Fibonacci 100% level break, I have to assume an alternative count. In this case, wave 4 would still have scope to reach the Fibonacci 61.8% level in the yellow box at USD 112,062. If my current forecast does not materialize, I assume that we have already completed wave A and are in the correction to wave B, which will be followed by wave C - with a target of around USD 130,000 for the final impulse. This scenario also fits in well with risk management up to the Fibonacci level of 1.866. There are also high liquidity areas (long) at this level, which are very attractive for market makers. What do you think?
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Jorgebatista8twcp
2
BTCUSD 1H – TCB Breakout Reclaim Setup📌 BTCUSD 1H – TCB Breakout Reclaim Setup 📆 Date: July 19, 2025 🔍 Strategy: TCB (Trend–Countertrend–Breakout) 🧠 Context: BTCUSD broke below an ascending channel, found support at ~118,000, and is now attempting a reclaim of previous structure. This is a classic reclaim zone setup — where a clean retest of prior support-turned-resistance turns back into support again, offering a breakout entry. ✅ TCB Checklist Summary: Trend: ✅ Uptrend prior to break Countertrend: ✅ Clean channel breakdown Demand Zone: ✅ Strong reaction from 118k Breakout Zone: 🔜 Watching 118,800 Confirmation Candle: 🔄 Awaiting bullish signal 🧮 Total Score: 8/10 = 80% 🔄 Projected 100% once: Breakout candle above 118.8k confirms NY session volume aligns R:R: ✅ Clean 1:2+ to 120.4k 📈 Trade Plan (If Breakout Confirms): Entry: Above 118,800 (after bullish close) SL: Below 117,800 TP1: 119,800 TP2: 120,400 Risk: 0.5%–1.0% depending on position sizing 🔔 Alerts Set For: Breakout Entry (118,800+) TP1 Hit (119,800) TP2 Hit (120,400) SL Hit (117,800) 🧭 Note: This trade is not yet active — confirmation required above 118.8k with session momentum (NY or strong engulfing candle). Clean reclaim = high-quality continuation setup in TCB strategy. 📓 Using the TCB method helps filter low-quality breakouts and confirms structure before entry. Wait for the reclaim and momentum confirmation before executing. 💬 Let me know in the comments if you're watching this or trading similar setups on BTC! #BTCUSD #Crypto #PriceAction #TradingView #TCBStrategy #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #ReclaimSetup #SmartTrading
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by J1000PIPSfx
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 18, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: In last week's trading session, we achieved a new historical high by completing our Outer Coin Rally at 122000. Following this milestone, the coin retraced, as expected, to the newly established Mean Support at 115900 and is currently trading at the Intermediate Mean Support at 117500. Presently, the coin is set to retest the Mean Support at 115900, with the potential for a further pullback to the Mean Support at 112000. This anticipated decline will necessitate a retest for the completed Outer Coin Rally at 122000. The designated targets for the renewed Primary Up-Trend are 126500, 132200, and 135000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin 2013 Fractal chart UPDATE = Nailed the PA target Been posting this chart for the last few years and drew that Circle that PA hit, back in Feb..Way befppre PA arrived there. I also drew that dashed Arrow line at the same time ad, as we can see frm the Daily chart beow, PA is bang on that line. Why is it importnat that you know this ? Because those Circles and Dashed lines are transposed from teh 2017 - 2021 fractal ! We do seem to have moved from one Fractal to another. This has yet to be fully confirmed and the July Candle Close will certainly help identify this if we get a large green candle. So, for now, we wait. I will post more details about this later but fir now, if we follow this line, we can expect a cycle ATH of around 270K - 322K in Q4 2025 And then the BIG question is "What is next ?" because, as I have pointed out n another posts, we are also leaving a long term cycle (2009 - 2025 ) line of resistance....that we just broke free of...but need to remain above. Judy is CRUCIAL
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Orriginal
BTC Battles Resistance – Can Bulls Reclaim the Channel?🔥📈 BTC Battles Resistance – Can Bulls Reclaim the Channel? 🧠🚪 Bitcoin is now knocking on the door of the broken channel support — what was once a floor is now acting as resistance. For bulls to regain momentum, price must reclaim and close back inside the channel, ideally above 118.6K. 📍 Key Structural Notes: We've already broken below the internal channel — this is no longer a confirmed uptrend. Current resistance is the same trendline that previously acted as support — classic technical flip. Failing here keeps BTC vulnerable for a deeper move toward the Main Support at 114.9K, where the real test lies. 📊 Order Flow Context: Funding remains mildly positive, showing no panic from longs. Premium is near-zero — market isn't chasing. OI is steady, showing neutral positioning but potential for sudden volatility. Spot volume picked up during the recent move, but not strong enough to confirm a breakout… yet. 🧩 Scenarios: ✅ Breaks back above 118.6K with volume → Targets: 122.4K, 126.7K, 128.7K (channel continuation). ❌ Rejection at resistance → Eyes on 114.9K. Losing that, and we enter danger territory toward 106K. We’re at a decision point — and these are the moments that shape the next leg. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
1
BTC/USD | 2025 Top = 130k | 2026 Top = 170k+Continuing the current upwards trajectory, using Fibonacci trend analysis, we'll reach BTC's peak for 2025 @ 130-135k within the next few months. By the end of the month / beginning of 2026, BTC will be back to 100k - this is where this strategy begins. Enter @ 100k between the 78.6% and 100% Fibonacci levels, setting a comfortable SL down to the 61.8% Fibonacci level @ 80k. Over the course of 3-6 months we'll then reach the first peak of 2026 at the 178.6% level @ 150-160k . Close. From this point, timelines rely purely on consistency, however considering Bitcoin's adoption and rate of growth, an upwards trend is guaranteed. We wait for price retraction down to 120-125k near the lower 127.2% Fib level and enter. SL down at 100% Fib level @ 100-105k. Next peak for 2026 is 170k and above , possibly creating a top @ 200k.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Chris4XTrading
1
BTCUSD - Smart Money Trap Before the Next Move?1. Market Structure & BOS (Break of Structure): We can observe multiple BOS levels around July 10–12, signaling a strong bullish transition. 2. Break of Structure (BOS) Definition: BOS occurs when price breaks above a previous swing high with conviction. Application on Chart: The BOS on July 11 marked the continuation of bullish market structure. This indicated strong buying pressure, often driven by institutional order flow. 📉 3. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Definition: A Fair Value Gap is an inefficiency or imbalance in the market where price moves too quickly, skipping potential orders. On Chart: The FVG is present between July 11–12. Expectation: Price often returns to these zones to “rebalance” or mitigate orders before continuing the trend. Educational Note: FVGs act as magnet zones and are often used to identify entry points or liquidity pools. 💧 4. Liquidity Sweep Definition: A liquidity grab occurs when price spikes above a recent high or low to trigger stop-loss orders before reversing. On Chart: Just above resistance, a liquidity grab took place. Purpose: Institutions often sweep liquidity before large moves to fill larger orders. 🔹 Resistance & Supply Zone: The resistance area between 122,150–123,500 has held firmly, causing a notable correction. This region aligns with institutional order blocks, suggesting potential smart money selling. 🔹 Support & Demand Zone: The nearest support zone lies at 115,984, marked by previous consolidation and BOS. Price is likely to revisit this zone, acting as a retest for demand re-entry, providing a strong buy-side opportunity if confirmed. 🔹 Current Price Action: BTC is consolidating around 119,253, with a possible liquidity sweep above short-term highs.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mentor_Michael03
Bitcoin Forecast 🔁 I use a unique time-based cycle method built around the universal law of 3-6-9: 3 = Impulse wave 6 = Correction 9 = Cycle end we are at the higher time frame cycle 9 each cycle of the 3, 6 ,9 contain a smaller one 3 ,6 , 9 This isn’t just about charts — the number 9 governs all natural cycles: Pregnancy, learning, lunar cycles, economic growth, etc. --- 🗓️ These are the key monthly turning points I track every year: > Jan 8 – Feb 7 – Mar 6 – Apr 5 – May 5 – Jun 4 – Jul 2 – Aug 1 – Aug 31 – Oct 30 – Nov 29 – Dec 6 📍 This month, July 2nd was a critical time pivot. From there, Bitcoin entered a new time cycle. 📌 Time Is More Powerful Than Price Most traders focus on price action, waves, or indicators… But the reality? Time is the real market driver. ⏳ Entry signals based on time outperform those based on price. Why? Because price is a reaction — time is the cause.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ganndailypips
BTC #Short Note on BTC/USD (15-Min Chart):Short Note on BTC/USD (15-Min Chart): Bitcoin recently broke down from an ascending channel, signaling a shift in momentum. After forming a QFL base, price failed to hold above the 50% retracement level and is now testing a key demand zone around $117,200. A bounce from this level is possible, but a breakdown below may open the path toward $116,000–$115,000. Short-term bias remains bearish unless the 50% level is reclaimed. thanking you
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by Abdulkaleem
Bitcoin Correction Unfolding — First Wave in MotionAfter successfully hitting the BITCOIN target and anticipating a major correction in my previous ideas, here’s how the first wave of that correction is shaping up on the daily chart: 1- At the recent high, a Shooting Star candle formed — a classic reversal signal. 2- Using Volunacci analysis, the price retraced exactly to the Golden Zone, validating the first leg of the pullback. 3- The next step? A breakdown of the blue trendline would likely send us toward the Volunacci target at $108,600. 4- For confirmation, we're watching the RSI trendline — if it breaks down as well, it would strongly support the bearish continuation. The setup is clean and developing as expected — it's all about following price and letting the chart guide the story.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by HEISENBERG_SayMyName