This is leading to a Monday morning breakout --- up or down?Do you see the timing? If it doesn't break up or down sooner it will have to make a decision by Monday morning. So which way will it be? Sell the news on a dud of a Friday night Crypto Summit? Or ground shaking headlines Monday morning? by prefabsproutUpdated 443
Calling for the Bear Market?There is a lot of certain uncertainty now as we hold support at key levels(69k). But the market requirements have been matched✅. Is there room for another top?📉📈 Take Profits.by BigDaddyChet1
BTCUSD: If trading, buy or sell?Dear traders, are you still wondering how to trade BTCUSD? Short or buy? Then take a look at Jack's ideas. A new week has begun again. Good morning, dear traders. Do you plan to make money or lose less in the market this week? How to do it? BTCUSD: BTCUSD fell sharply again in the market over the weekend. After the opening of the new week, it hit a low of 80,000 points, a drop of 10k. It is a good profit for those who sell. But it may be uncomfortable for those who do more. Unless you place a low-risk order, you will stop your order or expand your loss if you trade rashly without guidance. There is no major adjustment on the news side. The stock index futures in the US market fell sharply after the opening. BTCUSD is suspected to follow the trend and fall. The current BTCUSD quote is 82,300. With the arrival of daylight saving time. Some US economic data are one hour ahead of schedule, and the opening of North American stock markets is also the same. Bitcoin rose sharply when Trump listed it as a "strategic reserve currency" last time. The market has been showing a bearish trend, and there is no news impact at present. It is still mainly shorting at high levels. In the short term, we need to pay attention to the support of 79k. The upper side needs to pay close attention to the short-term pressure of 86k. Keep an eye on the real-time trading opportunities announced in the analysis circle every day. If you want to follow.Shortby Confident_StepUpdated 2
Bitcoin Weekly Chart Weekly charts eliminate daily ups and downs, making it less noisy for long term investors. Support and resistance levels are creating when drawing trendlines. Disclosure: Not a recommendation to buy or sell bitcoin. For informational purposes. by jpmonaghantradeview1
BTCUSD, LONG reboundBTCUSD is is growing until 96.885$ where is level 60% on fibbonacci on daily timeframe, the MACD is above its signal line and the RSI is above 50. This is an entry agains the trend. Longby PREMIUMSIGNALSVIP2
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) BUYING OPPORTUNITYBitcoin (BTCUSD) is showing signs of a strong buying opportunity as price approaches a key support zone. If buyers step in at this level, we could see a bullish move toward higher resistance levels. Traders should wait for confirmation signals such as bullish candlestick formations or a breakout from consolidation before entering. A strong bounce from support could indicate the next upward trend continuation. Stay patient, follow the trend, and use proper risk management! 📈🔥 Technical Analysis by Ali KhanLongby ItsalikhaanUpdated 1
Order Imbalance and Change Point Detection█ Order Imbalance and Change Point Detection Trading might sometimes seem like magic, but at its core, the market operates on simple principles, supply and demand, and the flow of information. Recent academic work shows that retail traders can gain an edge even without expensive data feeds by understanding some fundamental ideas, like order imbalance and change point detection. In this article, we break down key concepts such as order imbalance, sudden volume shifts, change point detection, and the CUSUM algorithm. We also explain how retail traders can apply these ideas to improve their strategies. █ What Is the Order Book and Order Imbalance? ⚪ The Order Book Every market has an order book, simply a list of all buy orders (bids) and sell orders (asks) for an asset. ⚪ Order Imbalance – A Key Indicator Order imbalance measures the difference between the total buying and selling orders for the order book. Definition: Order imbalance is the difference in volume between buy orders and sell orders. Why It Matters: A strong imbalance means one side (buyers or sellers) is dominating. For example, if there are significantly more buy orders than sell orders, the market may be gearing up for a price increase. ⚪ How It’s Detected in Research: Researchers calculate a volume-weighted average price (VWAP) across multiple price levels in the order book (typically the top 20 levels) and compare it to the mid-market price. A positive imbalance indicates aggressive buying, while a negative imbalance suggests selling pressure. █ Sudden Volume Shifts and Change Point Detection ⚪ Sudden Volume Shifts What It Means: Sometimes, there is an abrupt and noticeable change in the number of orders placed. This sudden shift in volume can signal a big move on the horizon. Example: In a trading context, this might be seen when volume bars spike unexpectedly on a price chart, often accompanying rapid price moves or breakouts. ⚪ Why They Are Crucial: Sudden volume increases often coincide with significant order flow events. For instance, if a large number of buy orders hit the market at once, this could indicate a rapid shift in trader sentiment and serve as a precursor to a sustained price move. █ Change Point Detection – Spotting the Shift Definition: Change point detection is a statistical technique used to identify the exact moment when the properties of a data series change significantly. Purpose: In trading, it helps distinguish meaningful shifts in market behavior from random noise. How It’s Used: Researchers apply this to order imbalance data to flag moments when the market’s buying or selling pressure changes abruptly. These flagged moments (or “change points”) can then be used to forecast short-term price movements. █ Meet CUSUM: The Cumulative Sum Algorithm CUSUM stands for Cumulative Sum. It’s a simple yet powerful algorithm that detects changes in a data series over time. ⚪ How CUSUM Works: Tracking Deviations: The algorithm continuously adds up minor differences (or deviations) from an expected value (like a running average). Signal for Change: When the cumulative sum exceeds a predetermined threshold, it signals that a significant change has occurred. In Trading: CUSUM can be applied to measure the order imbalance. When the cumulative deviation is high enough, it indicates a strong change in market pressure, an early warning signal for a potential price move. For example, a rising cumulative sum based on increasing buy-side pressure might indicate that the price will likely move upward. █ How Can Retail Traders Benefit Without Full LOB Data? Full access to the order book (all price levels and orders) can be expensive and is usually reserved for institutional traders. However, retail traders can still gain valuable insights by: ⚪ Using Proxies for Order Imbalance: Many trading platforms offer basic volume indicators. Look for volume spikes or unusual shifts in trading volume as a sign that order imbalance might occur. ⚪ Leveraging Simplified Change Detection: Even if you don’t have complex LOB data, you can set up simple alerts on your trading platform. For instance, you might create a custom indicator that watches for rapid increases in volume or price moves, similar to a basic version of the CUSUM algorithm. ⚪ Focusing on Key Price Levels: Even with limited data, monitor support and resistance levels. A sudden break (accompanied by high volume) can serve as a proxy for a change in market dynamics. ⚪ Adopting a Data-Driven Mindset: Integrate these concepts into your routine analysis. When you see a significant volume shift or a sudden spike in activity, consider it a potential “change point” and adjust your strategy accordingly. █ In Summary Order Imbalance measures the difference between buying and selling volumes in the order book, offering insights into market direction. Sudden Volume Shifts are significant changes in trading volume that can signal a shift in market sentiment. Change Point Detection helps identify the precise moments when these shifts occur, filtering out noise and highlighting actionable signals. CUSUM is a powerful tool that continuously tracks cumulative deviations in market data, alerting traders when the market undergoes a significant change. For retail traders, these methods underscore the importance of watching price and understanding the underlying order flow. While you might not have access to full-depth order book data, using volume indicators and setting up alert systems can help you capture the essence of these insights, providing a valuable edge in your trading decisions. ----------------- Disclaimer The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. Educationby Zeiierman2256
Btcusd This chart is a 2-hour Bitcoin (BTC/USD) analysis on Coinbase. The analysis includes key technical elements: 1. Channel Formation: The price has been moving within an upward channel, but it recently broke below the lower boundary. 2. Support Level: A highlighted support zone around $80,000, where the price bounced back. 3. Resistance Level: A resistance zone within the channel, which previously acted as a supply area. 4. Price Projection: The analysis suggests a bullish movement towards $94,000, with an upward arrow indicating potential price action. 5. Volume Profile: Visible on the right side, showing strong interest in the current price region. This suggests that the analyst expects a recovery from support and a rally towards the upper trendline near $94,000, assuming bullish momentum continues. Longby Forex_ViP_SignalssUpdated 112
Bitcoin Loses The 200 MA - But Bullish DivergenceBitcoin’s daily chart shows a key technical shift with the loss of the 200-day moving average (red line), which is now acting as resistance. The 200 MA had been a crucial support level throughout the recent correction, but Bitcoin failed to hold above it, reinforcing bearish pressure. Price dropped as low as $80,027 before bouncing strongly, indicating buyers are stepping in at lower levels. However, the 200 MA will remain a major barrier that bulls need to reclaim to shift momentum back in their favor. A potential bullish divergence is emerging on the RSI – price made a lower low, but RSI held a higher low and is now rising from oversold territory. This would be confirmed with a clear upward elbow on the RSI and a higher close today, which could signal that the downtrend is losing strength. Volume on the recent bounce has been relatively strong, suggesting that buyers are defending lower levels. For bulls to regain control, Bitcoin needs to close back above the 200 MA and reclaim the $85,000 support level. Failure to do so could lead to a retest of the recent lows around $80,000 - or down to the low 70s as many are predicting.by ScottMelker1
Bitcoin Analysis: Testing Key Support as RSI Signals PotentialBitcoin (BTC) continues its downward trajectory, trading around $82,249 while remaining within a well-defined descending channel. This structure suggests that the market is still in a bearish phase, with price action consistently forming lower highs and lower lows. However, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) nearing oversold levels, a potential short-term bounce could be on the horizon. The descending channel, marked by the orange trendlines, has been guiding BTC’s price lower. Each attempt to break above the upper boundary has been rejected, reinforcing selling pressure. The lower boundary of this channel, which aligns with a key support zone between $80,000 and $78,000, is now acting as a potential inflection point. If BTC manages to hold this level, buyers may step in to push the price higher. At the same time, the RSI is currently at 34.75, approaching the oversold threshold of 30. Historically, when RSI reaches oversold conditions, BTC has shown a tendency to bounce, as selling momentum temporarily weakens. This could provide a short-term relief rally, especially if the price remains supported at the lower boundary of the channel. However, if Bitcoin fails to hold $80,000 and RSI remains weak, further downside toward $78,000 or lower could be in play. Moving forward, traders should closely watch how BTC reacts to the lower channel boundary and whether RSI signals a reversal. A bounce from this level could lead to a recovery toward $85,000–$87,000, while a breakdown would likely confirm further losses. Until BTC breaks above the descending channel, the overall trend remains bearish, and caution is advised.by Kenayi0
BTC USD SHORT RESULT After BTC brokedown both support Trendlines I waited for a good zone of resistance and entered the short position and as we can see it went good as planned.by THE_KLASSIC_TRADER1
$BTC: Bitcoin – Digital Gold Rush or Crypto Rollercoaster?(1/9) Good morning, folks! ☀️ CRYPTOCAP:BTC : Bitcoin – Digital Gold Rush or Crypto Rollercoaster? With CRYPTOCAP:BTC at $82,352.34, is this the motherlode of digital wealth or a wild ride with no brakes? Let’s dig into the blockchain buzz! 🔍 (2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊 • Current Price: $ 82,352.34 as of Mar 10, 2025 💰 • Recent Moves: Up 30%+ YTD, per web trends 📏 • Sector Trend: Crypto volatility reigns, X posts show mixed vibes 🌟 It’s a high-stakes game with big swings! ⚡ (3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈 • Market Cap: $1.63T (based on 19.83M circulating supply) 🏆 • Status: King of crypto, 50%+ market dominance ⏰ • Trend: Whales scooping coins, per X chatter 🎯 Reigning supreme in the digital realm! 🌍 (4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑 • Sentiment: X posts cheer GETTEX:82K support, ETF flows mixed 🔄 • Adoption: El Salvador adds BTC, strategic reserve talk grows 🌐 • Market Reaction: Price steady despite tariff fears 📋 Riding waves of hype and hope! 💡 (5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚠️ • Volatility: 5-10% daily swings not uncommon 🔍 • Regulation: Global crackdowns loom 📉 • Macro: Economic shifts could jolt crypto ❄️ High risk, high reward territory! 🕵️ (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪 • Dominance: 50%+ of crypto market 🥇 • Adoption: Nations, whales piling in 📊 • Scarcity: 19.83M of 21M coins mined 🔧 A heavyweight with staying power! 🔒 (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️ • Weaknesses: Wild price swings, regulatory haze 📉 • Opportunities: Institutional cash, global unrest boost 📈 Can it strike gold or stumble? 🤔 (8/9) – 📢 Bitcoin at $82,352.34—your bet? 🗳️ • Bullish: $100K+ by Q2, unstoppable 🐂 • Neutral: Sideways, risks weigh ⚖️ • Bearish: $70K crash, bubble bursts 🐻 Drop your vote below! 👇 (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯 Bitcoin’s $82,352.34 marks a wild frontier 📈, with dominance shining through volatility 🌫️. Dips? That’s our DCA sweet spot 💰. Scoop low, ride high! Boom or bust?Longby DCAChampion4
March 7 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. Bitcoin 30-minute chart. There will be a Nasdaq index announcement at 10:30 in a little while, 6-hour chart MACD dead cross is in progress. *Red finger movement path Long position strategy 1. 88,624 dollars long position entry section / cut-off price when purple support line is broken 2. 1st section at the top 1st target -> Top 2nd -> Target in order during the weekend 1st section at the top pink resistance line / green support line sideways to 3rd section There is a possibility of additional decline from bottom breakout Please check 4th section at the bottom -> 80,118.5 dollars Thank you. Longby BitCoinGuideUpdated 3
BITCOIN Is this the last defense before the narrative changes?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) got yet again increasingly volatile during the weekend and is approaching the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). As mentioned on the title, this is "the last defense" for BTC as so far this price action hasn't diverged a bit from the Channel Up of the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle but a break and 1W candle close below it, would jeopardize that. ** The key 1W MA50 ** In fact the only times that Bitcoin closed below its 1W MA50 during a Bull Cycle and the Cycle continued was of course during the March 2020 COVID global market flash crash and November 18 2019. But the current Bull Cycle is nothing like in 2019 - 2021, it doesn't have the initial overextension of the Libra hype (May - June 2019) or Elon's early 2020 hype nor of course the pandemic shutdown. On the contrary it is incredibly similar with 2015 - 2017 with the only difference being that, thanks to the ETF launch in January 2024, the market marginally breached the previous All Time High (ATH) earlier. ** Symmetry playing out ** So back to the similarities between those two Cycles. The Cycle count indicates that we are at the end of the (blue) Bull Rectangle in March 2017 (847 days) when the price almost tested the 1W MA50 and then started the (green) Parabolic Phase to new ATHs (217 days). Even in terms of 1W RSI and MACD, the two fractals are similar, with the RSI being on its 2nd 'Buy the dip Volatility Phase' bottom and the MACD on its 2nd Bullish Cross. ** How high can it get? ** Now as to how high the new Cycle Top can be, can be anybody's guess, but if it repeats the less aggressive 2021 Top, it could be on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, i.e. around $170k, while if it repeats the (much more unrealistic for such short period of time in terms of market cap) 2017 Top, it could be on the 2.382 Fib ext, i.e. around $520k. The worst case scenario is to have Fib extension Tops on a decreasing rate, in which case the 1.5 - 1.382 levels are next, giving us a potential target range of 120k - 145k, which would be almost a Double Top similar to November 2021. So what do you think? Will the 1W MA50 come to Bitcoin's rescue yet again or the narrative will change this time? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇by TradingShot1414138
We are heading towards 58947This channel is not providing individualized trading or investment advice, nor is it a banking service, brokerage service, trading service, investment service or money management service.Short01:52by dpopovici1
BTC Update-Dip down into the $78 rangeWe saw a dip down deep into this plotted death zone to $78K then some recover but ultimately back under the $90k and into the zone once again. Holding above FWB:88K now is the micro support on its way above $90K to recapture $100K everyone is eager to re see. by GoldenRule3652
CHECK BTCUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼 (BTCUSD) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼 I think now (BTCUSD) ready for( BUY )trade ( BTCUSD) BUY zone ( TRADE SATUP) 👇🏼 ENTRY POINT (82500) to (82400) 📊 FIRST TP (83000)📊 2ND TARGET (83600)📊 LAST TARGET (84200) 📊 STOP LOOS (81700)❌ Tachincal analysis satup Fallow risk managementLongby RoyalforexempireUpdated 2
BTC\USD minor movement to be caught(buy signal ) Starting on the smaller timeframes, 15 minutes we had a shift in structure higher and we currently watching price reprice the 15 minute fir value gap marked with the blue horizontal lines. one hour BISI(fair value gap) the purple lines should be used as exit points.Longby FxPipMaster_TebohoMatla111
Bitcoin bullish moveFollow up on my last bitcoin post which hit my TP Bitcoin will probably return to the resistance zone. Stop loss: 80 K Take profit: Around 95/96k Longby VisionaryInsightsUpdated 0
Bitcoin (BTC): Successful Re-Test / Next Stop $75KBitcoin did a successful re-test of a neckline, and since then we've been constantly dropping and moving toward our major target zone. Now we still have some room to fall so we do not see any bullish movement to come before reaching that zone (as we need one proper supportive zone, which is only near $75K as of now). So far, markets have been playing out very well! Swallow TeamShortby SwallowAcademy10
BTC - Get Ready!🚨 CRYPTOCAP:BTC is dipping hard! 🚨 📉 Get ready for a massive entry at $72,000—here’s why: It aligns with: 1️⃣ Lower bound of the blue wedge pattern 2️⃣ Previous resistance turned support 3️⃣ Key demand zone 4️⃣ -34% correction phase 📊 This level could be a game-changer! Are you buying?Longby altcryptotalk1
Bitcoin - Bitcoin’s fate in Trump’s hands?!Bitcoin is trading below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. Bitcoin’s continued downward trend and its inclusion in the zone may buy it again for us. A Bitcoin correction will also be offered to test the selling from the zone. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and one should have capital management in the cryptocurrency market, than we can ask for more. If the downward trend continues, I can buy now. During Trump’s presidency, the United States is aiming to become the “global capital of cryptocurrencies.” A key component of this strategy is establishing a national digital asset reserve, where Bitcoin will play a central role as a “digital Fort Knox.” Currently, the U.S. holds approximately 200,000 Bitcoins, making it one of the largest Bitcoin holders globally. Other digital assets, apart from Bitcoin, will be stored separately. In contrast, during Biden’s administration, a significant portion of government-held Bitcoin was sold, slowing the growth of the cryptocurrency sector and restricting banks from engaging in digital asset transactions. These policies resulted in a decline in crypto development within the U.S. Now, the Trump administration is reviewing all digital assets under U.S. ownership and evaluating the possibility of acquiring more Bitcoin. Additionally, the administration aims to end “Operation Choke Point 2.0,” which had pushed banks away from crypto, and accelerate the passage of stablecoin legislation by the end of the August recess. Trump has also declared that the U.S. will never sell its Bitcoin holdings, keeping them as a long-term reserve asset. Following Trump’s remarks about creating a national digital currency reserve, Bitcoin initially surged but later fell below its pre-announcement level. Currently, Bitcoin’s price has dropped below $83,000, with other major cryptocurrencies experiencing similar declines. Last week, U.S. President Donald Trump announced via Twitter that his administration was establishing a strategic reserve of digital assets, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, Ripple, and Cardano. While this initially drove prices higher, it was later clarified that the plan only involved holding confiscated digital assets rather than making direct crypto purchases. On Friday, Trump signed an executive order formalizing the initiative, but markets reacted negatively. Bitcoin fell by $3,000, reaching its lowest level in weeks. The order does leave open the possibility of government Bitcoin purchases in the future, though such a move would likely require congressional approval. As a result, most cryptocurrencies that had gained value due to the announcement have since lost those gains. Assets such as Cardano, Solana, Ripple, and Ethereum have all returned to their pre-announcement price levels. This event once again underscored that governments often act more as liquidity exit points rather than driving new capital inflows into the market. Meanwhile, Michael Saylor, founder of Strategy, has proposed that the U.S. government should acquire 25% of the total Bitcoin supply by 2035 to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve. His suggestion is for the government to systematically purchase between 5% and 25% of Bitcoin’s supply through daily acquisitions from 2025 to 2035, by which time 99% of all Bitcoin will have been mined. Saylor presented this idea at the White House Crypto Summit, urging President Trump and top crypto leaders to adopt a “never sell your Bitcoin” policy. He predicts that such a reserve could be worth between $16 trillion and $81 trillion by 2045, potentially helping to reduce the national debt.Shortby Ali_PSND112
Bitcoin: distant $95KIn line with the general market sentiment, the price of BTC continues to move in a roller coaster mood. On Monday, BTC tried for one more time to reach the $95K resistance line, but was rejected, so the price reverted back. The lowest weekly level was $ 82K, where the price touched the MA200 level. For the rest of the week, BTC tried to sustain the $90K level, but without success, so the coin is ending the week around $86K. The RSI tried to start the road toward the overbought market side, however, it ended the week moving around the 45 level. The moving average of 50 days continues with a modest convergence toward the MA200, but the distance between two lines is still leaving some space for the future cross. BTC is currently on a tricky road, as per current charts. There is some probability that a modest volatility might continue also during the week ahead. On one side, there is some probability for lower grounds, at least till the $82K. There is also equal probability for the move toward the up side, where the $90K might be tested again. It is also questionable whether the BTC will have strength to test for one more time the $95K in the week ahead. by XBTFX6