Bitcoin Forecast: May 2025 OutlookMay 2025 has marked a strong upward trend for Bitcoin, with the leading cryptocurrency steadily trading in the $100,000–$105,000 range and hitting multi-month highs. This growth has been largely fueled by active accumulation from institutional investors, including exchange-traded funds (ETFs), reinforcing Bitcoin’s growing integration into the traditional financial system.
Institutional Demand as a Key Driver
A major factor behind Bitcoin’s recent surge is the increasing flow of capital from institutional investors. Large ETFs, such as those managed by BlackRock and Fidelity, have expanded their positions in BTC, sending a strong signal of confidence from established financial institutions. This has further boosted interest from retail investors and strengthened the overall bullish momentum.
Macroeconomic Context
Another significant influence is the market's anticipation of a potential interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve. A more dovish monetary policy stance would make riskier assets, including cryptocurrencies, more attractive, encouraging further investment in Bitcoin.
While the Fed is expected to make a rate decision in June, markets tend to price in such moves early, which is already being reflected in Bitcoin’s price trajectory.
Forecast: How Much Could Bitcoin Be Worth by End of May?
Given the current momentum and positive market sentiment, analysts suggest that Bitcoin could continue its ascent. Optimistic forecasts predict that BTC might reach $120,000–$130,000 by the end of the month, provided macroeconomic conditions remain favorable. Still, the inherent volatility of the crypto market means potential pullbacks should not be ruled out.
Conclusion
May 2025 could prove to be a pivotal month for Bitcoin. Increased institutional participation, supportive macroeconomic signals, and favorable technical indicators are all contributing to its ongoing rally. If the current trend continues, Bitcoin could set new all-time highs in the coming weeks.
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTC CONSOLIDATESBitcoin is taking a breather just below the $106,099 resistance level, after a strong rally from sub-$90K levels in April. Yesterday’s candle showed some indecision, which makes sense given the proximity to the key psychological milestone of $100,000 and the well-defined horizontal resistance between $106K and $109,358. This area previously marked the top of the February range and is likely to be heavily contested.
Price is comfortably above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which are rising and signaling trend strength. Volume has decreased slightly during this consolidation phase, a normal occurrence after a powerful breakout, but we’ll want to see volume pick back up if Bitcoin makes a run at the highs.
If bulls can clear $106K cleanly with conviction, $109,358 is the final local resistance before we enter open skies and potential new highs. On the downside, $99,517 now serves as the first line of support, and a deeper pullback could retest the $92,817 level — the site of the previous breakout.
The structure remains bullish, but some cooling or consolidation here would be healthy, especially after such an aggressive move.
Bitcoin is still following 2017 run. Surprising things to see
As many of you know, I have been referring This cycle of Bitcoin to that of the 2013 ->2017 bull run. And while PA has Fallen off and below the Fractal itself, we do still have one Very Major thing to see and it is a Good one.
So, the chart above has an arrow. This is pointing to Sep, Oct, Nov 2024.
See how PA pushed up to the "Neckline" of the Range and got rejected for 2 weeks.
A Red then Green Candles, on or below that "Neckline" and then Off it went.
We are currently just below the "Neckline" of this Range and we are currently printing a Red candle. It is early days but maybe we will repeat the same pattern.
There are reasons that I have explained in an earlier post today, that point towards a possible Red candle this week.
The other thing I want to show you on this subject is the MACD
This is a Daily MACD ( the main chart being Weekly) But while the actual PA of the MACD is different, I want you to see the Histogram. The Histogram shows us the % Difference between the MACD line ( yellow) and its Signal line ( Red)
Have a look at the the similarity the histogram pattern in 2024 ( arrow ) compared to this period Now.
The Large green Climb from a Low, the fall, the new smaller climb, the drop to Red and then a push higher.
OK, so the scale is different but, to me, it shows a similar pattern to the previous end of Ranging period.
We need to see if this pays out. If so, we will see a Red Histogram for a while..
This ties in with the ideas presented above on the PA patterns.
But overall this cycle, we do seem to be repeating patterns in a broad sense, with a larger scale currently. The larger scale of thispossible Red Histogram also plays into the idea mentioned at the end of this post.
So , what is the connection to the 2013 - 2017 Cycle.
Look at the upper trendline that has rejected PA since 2024. This is an OLD line of resistance from before 2017...
Lets look at a zoomed out chart
Look at that Arrow on the Left and that trend line.
It is the SAME LINE - Not only that, it rejected PA twice in late 2016 and 2017, before PA broke through and went on to reach a new ATH
So, Having seen this, I am happy to believe that we ARE Still following that 2013 -> 2017 Cycle pattern.
True, PA has fallen below the Fractel but we do seem to be repeating the Trend line Rejection, Dip, Rejection and........
You can also see how this same trend line, once crossed, is extremely strong support - infact we did not drop back below until July 2022, after another ATH
BUT, as ever, I look to BOTH sides and there is a chance we may see a stiffer rejection, IF we get rejected here again.
Should events dictate a further Drop in PA, we may see PA return to the next trend line below, around 82K. ( remember that Red Histogram pattern I mentioned earlier )
While this would Scare many, it would still play into the pattern we have been seeing.
2024 saw 3 major Rejections off its Neckline.
We have had 2 so far in 2025 and we are there right now, waiting to see what happens, with a RED candle. A Drop back to 82K would also reset the Daily MACD very nicely.
I remain Cautious and Bullish
what ever happens in the short term, I have little doubt about further pushes higher, maybe a LOT higher
BITCOIN on similar spot as before the U.S. elections! 155k next?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke last week above the Lower Highs trend-line of its December 2024 High and so far on the current 1W candle, it's consolidating on it.
This is the exact same price action we saw on the October 21 2024 1W candle, which after breaking above that Lower Highs trend-line at the time, it spend 2 weeks consolidating on it before the November 05 U.S. election result started a relentless 7 week rally just below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
Note that on both fractals, the Lower Highs break-out and then re-test, took place on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. If BTC manages to close above it at all times, we will have a strong case to expect again a Bullish extension as last December. The symmetrical level just below the 2.0 Fib ext in today's terms is $155000.
Do you think that will be next after a short-term consolidation? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – 1H Analysis🏛 Market Structure
BTC continues to show strong bullish intent, holding near its recent highs after a brief dip.
🔎 Yesterday’s liquidity sweep below local support levels appears to have been a classic trap, designed to clean out weak hands before resuming the uptrend.
📈 Current Setup
🟩 1H FVG (Fair Value Gap) has acted as a strong support, with price bouncing cleanly off it.
🟫 Multiple supply zones above still need to be cleared, but BTC looks ready to challenge them again.
🔄 The reclaim of the previous range low and subsequent higher low suggest momentum is shifting back toward the bulls.
🎯 Short-Term Outlook
📈 Bullish Bias:
If the current structure holds, BTC could push back toward the $105K–$106K area.
The RSI is also curling back up from the lower bound, showing renewed momentum.
⚠️ Key to Watch:
Price must stay above the FVG (~$101K–$102K) to keep the bullish scenario valid.
A break back below this zone would expose BTC to another liquidity grab toward $99K.
✅ Conclusion
BTC is showing healthy consolidation with signs of accumulation just below resistance. The recovery after yesterday's sweep confirms that the market is still looking to push higher — especially if buyers can maintain control above $103K.
The last 4 previous Stockmarket Fear spikes were great buys...for Bitcoin, allowing investors to enhance their long-term holdings.
Purchasing risk assets when the #VIX exceeds 50 and over 20% of stocks fall below their 200-day moving average has consistently yielded positive returns, with a success rate of one hundred percent when evaluated one week, one month, and three months later.
This particular scenario has only happened 11 times in the history of the S&P 500, and the reading from Monday, April 7th, marked one of those rare instances.
#BTFD
CME & Deribit Insights:Smart Money Takes Profits Ahead of ExpiryCME session update.
115 000$ partially closed just closed right before the price drop — someone had a piece of their options portfolio at 115,000 strike level already squared away. Safe to say it was an experienced player who got out near the top 💡
The good news: "he" still have about 2/3 of the portfolio open at that 115K strike.
The bad news: nothing’s happened yet …
But here’s what Deribit is showing us......
👀 Observation : In the May 30 options series, the highest trading volume is concentrated between 110,000–120,000 strike levels — which makes sense given the current underlying price.
But here’s the twist: this isn’t so much new positioning as it is existing players selling off . Yep — those moves were definitely noticed. Some traders are locking in profits, even though we’re still 17 days out from expiry .
Overall, classic playbook:
Smart money lightens the load , while the not-so-smart money tries to pick up the pieces.
(Though let’s be honest — there’s way less "dumb money" in options than in spot markets 😉)
💡 Sentiment remains Bullish, but correction is prevailing at the moment!
🎯 No Valuable Data, No Edge!
Nothing changed, it was always up!🚀 Bitcoin – Up Only Vibes Incoming!
Looks like BTC is just chillin’ up here, reaccumulating on the high timeframes over the past 3 years. Every dip gets bought, and we’re still holding strong above the old ATH. This is how big moves usually load up.
What I’m seeing:
Still making higher lows 🟢
No major sell-off = bulls in control 💪
Weekly MACD and RSI starting to turn up 🔥
Feels like the calm before the next breakout
Might not be fast, but it’s looking Up Only from here 📈
June/ July / August.. Buckle up!
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #UpOnly #HODL #Reaccumulation
Bitcoin at $150,000: a possible target? Bitcoin at $150,000: a possible target?
Bitcoin continues its upward phase, approaching a new all-time high. This trend should give pause to those still expressing uncertainty, considering that unlike the sharply declining global stock markets, Bitcoin has maintained considerable value.
Bitcoin is aiming straight for an all-time high; the target we had in mind is there within reach. Pushing on the accelerator is the money that is coming in: in the United States, spot ETFs have soared by $5.3 billion in the past three weeks, while those targeting the downside (hedge funds) have raised “only” $1.2 billion.
The surplus balance thus exceeds $4 billion, thanks mainly to large investors who are accumulating Bitcoin. Prominent among them all is Strategy, what was once MicroStrategy, which now finds itself with as many as 555,450 Bitcoins, a whopping 2.6 percent of all those in circulation.
The report also highlights encouraging aspects, such as the shift in investments from gold ETFs to Bitcoin ETFs, rising yields on U.S. Treasury bonds, and acquisitions by major financial institutions such as the Swiss National Bank and Norges Bank. In addition, the devaluation of the dollar is stimulating interest in Bitcoin, which is increasingly seen as a “digital gold” and a viable alternative to classic safe-haven assets.
Large capital movements suggest renewed confidence in the stability of cryptocurrencies, which are seen as a viable alternative to traditional forms of investment. At a time of uncertainty for stocks and bonds, Bitcoin is once again attracting investors aiming for yield and capital protection.
Technical analysis shows marked growth in Bitcoin, supported by significant capital inflows, as indicated by rising volumes and the crossing of crucial resistance. On-chain analysis supports this interpretation, with record net inflows in spot ETFs, suggesting a structural move rather than a simple technical rebound.
There are question marks over Bitcoin regulation.
In 2025, cryptocurrency regulation in the United States has held sway, with the SEC and other agencies very active. Although more clarity was expected, some good news has come: New Hampshire has passed a “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve” law, opening up investment in digital assets. Other states such as Arizona, Illinois, Maryland, Michigan, and Texas are considering similar laws sponsored by a pro-Bitcoin organization. The general mood is somewhat mixed, but there is optimism. Hopefully, quick regulation will give the cryptocurrency market a nice boost.
In my wallet I have both Bitcoin and Chainlink, a cryptocurrency that serves as a decentralized network of oracles. Chainlink aims to improve the performance and security of blockchain smart contracts by providing them with real-world data and external calculations. In essence, Chainlink is an oracle token, created specifically to make smart contracts more useful by giving them the ability to access concrete data such as weather or sports results.
Bitcoin's trend is strongly bullish, with recent increases supported by above-average volumes and with prices above the 200-period moving average.
Forecasts of falling interest rates and more favorable regulation for cryptocurrencies later this year are promising. Under this scenario, I believe the price of Bitcoin could exceed $150,000.
Bitcoin H4 | Potential bullish bounce off a pullback supportBitcoin (BTC/USD) could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 99,502.40 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 92,800.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 106,765.40 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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BTCUSD 5/13/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you a magnificent market breakdown based off of Technicals, Market Structure, & Price Action. So brace yourself for a wonderfully made analysis of current Price Action & SnipeGoat's thought process of what Price is gearing up to do next.
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
#PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #Bearish #Bullish #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #Forex #NakedChartReader #ZEROindicators #PreciseLevels #ProperTiming #PerfectDirection #ScalpingTrader #IntradayTrader #DayTrader #SwingTrader #PositionalTrader #HighLevelTrader #MambaMentality #GodMode #UltraInstinct #TheeBibleStrategy
BTC/USD Price Action Update – May 13, 2025📊 BTC/USD Price Action Update – May 13, 2025
🔹Current Price: 102,477.87
🔹Timeframe: 15M
📌 Key Demand Zone:
🟢 102,322–102,505 – Proven zone with repeated rejections; price has bounced again suggesting buyer defense is active.
📈 Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout Incoming:
A clean break and retest above 102,750 could signal bullish continuation toward 103,200+
Confirmation candle needed above recent highs with increasing volume.
⚠️ Scenario 2 – Intraday Trap:
Failure to break 102,750 with rejection could lead to short-term retest of 102,300–102,500 range. No longs unless zone holds again.
🔍 FXFOREVER Insight:
✅ 15M structure building higher lows
✅ Liquidity forming above 102,750
✅ Watch for breakout-retest setup for low-risk long
#BTCUSD #BitcoinTrading #PriceAction #SmartMoneyZones #BreakoutTrade #DemandZone #FXFOREVER #ScalpingStrategy #CryptoCharting
BTCUSD – Wave 5 Just Started? Fibonacci Targets AheadBitcoin has broken above the key $100K level, likely confirming the beginning of an extended Wave 5 in the Elliott Wave sequence that began in 2023.
📈 Fibonacci Projections (Wave 5):
1.382 → $124,752
1.618 → $136,266
2.000 → $157,197
📊 Key EMAs:
EMA 21 (Yellow): Short-term support
EMA 50 (Blue): Medium-term trend confirmation
EMA 200 (Pink): Long-term bullish bias intact
🔍 Important Levels:
Resistance zone: $108K–$109K
Support zone: FWB:73K –$74K
Critical support: $62,538
As long as BTC remains above the FWB:88K level and the 50 EMA, the bullish structure is valid. However, watch out for potential distribution in the $108K area before any further move toward new highs.
"When Structure Talks, I Listen..."Bird's eye on the 30M - clean breakdown in structure where that HL got smoked, confirming major intent shift. I marked out the previous structure in orange on the left so y'all can see how price came off that congestion and finally showed its hand. Now we wait. Liquidity and inducement sitting real sweet just above that OB - where the lil' penguin's chillin', that's me, eyes peeled, waiting for price to mitigate and deliver.
To the right, I sketched the vision - how I see price in motion. Structure's just a rhythm, and this setup's got a melody I've heard before. That bullish correction is just a tune - up before we ride this short wave. Waitin' on confirmations, no rush -'cause I ain't just trading.... I'm reading the market like a sounthern sermon.
"Price broke its promise to the bulls... now it's lookin' to comeback home before takin' the back door out. I'm already at the door with my boots on. Let's dance."
Bless Trading
BTC on daily timeframe
"Hello traders, focusing on BTC on high timeframes, the price is currently in a mitigated Order Block (OB). This level often acts as a trap, and historically, after reaching this level, the price does not show strong signals for rejection. Therefore, I anticipate a higher price movement, with the initial target potentially being $120,000."
If you need further assistance or have any specific questions, feel free to let me know!
BTC BITCOIN Next move?Here's a polished version of your update:
---
**Hi everyone, back with a BTC update.**
As you can see, the market is completing a **3-phase sequence**:
**Accumulation → Reaccumulation → Distribution.**
If today’s **daily candle closes bearish**, we could see a **move back down toward the \$70,000 area**, where **unfilled orders** are still waiting.
Stay sharp and manage your risk.
BITCOIN - ANALYISI awlways saw this play out even before btc hit 100k
But it follows this channel so far so for it to break we need something to break this channel like fly to 200k or break below 40k
so far i see nothing whether fundamental or technical -
i do believe for us to hit high as fk numbers we need low as fk numbers first
to flush out buyers at top to sell
and seller to buy bottom
so what are your thoughts?
BTCUSDT - at support? Holds or not ??#BTCUSDT - so far that was a perfect holdings of our upside region and market just reached at his first supporting area that is around 101600
Keep close it because if market slip below that then next it can drop towards downside further areas as mentioned on chart.
Keep close n stay sharp.
Good luck
Trade wisely
BTC LONG TP:103,700 12-05-2025🚀 Quick LONG in play
Entry between 100,800 and 101,200, targeting a bounce to 103,500–103,800 on the 1H chart.
Estimated duration: 5 to 8 hours ⏳
This is just a rebound — a temporary move before likely continuation to the downside.
If the move doesn’t happen within the projected time, the setup is invalid.
We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
#BTC #PriceAction #Reydragon21