BTCUSD trade ideas
MA OSCILLATOR RISK METRIC | CYCLE 4 ATH UPDATE The MA OSCILLATOR RISK METRIC is an excellent custom indicator developed to help investors to DCA in and out of underbought / overheated periods of the market. Applying principals with BTC's CYCLE 4 current progress if BTC remains within historic trends then this also supports the time periods discuss in the below post.
Crypto VS Equity : Which you will Choose for 3rd Qtr 2024This chart is very interesting for those who are struggling to find the investment opportunities. We have technical charts, And you can see 4 windows, upper two are cryptos and lower two are Indian Equity index.
Now, if we look at the charts, you can easily understand that cryptos are running for this month whereas the equity part is falling , as we all are quick learners, so we can understand what's happening here.
In simple words money is going out of various asset classes, even the gold, Fd's ,equities and being invested or traded with cryptos.
After the US President election Crypto coins are running in optimism. As Donald Trump have positive stance towards cryptocurrency.
And Nobody wants to be left out And so money is getting out of other investment assets.
I love to here your views on this ... use Comment box
SMA Golden Ratio | CYCLE 4 ATH UpdateIn accordance with historical behavior, BTCs ATH each cycle has corresponded with the next SMA line down (following a multiplication factor of the Fibonacci sequence). As observed in CYCLE 3, BTC tag the BLUE line putting in the Technical High of this cycle meaning CYCLE 4 should tag the Yellow line if History is to repeat. The Second and ATH top of CYCLE 3 tag two lines down hitting the gray line.
We can see BTC has already tag the Yellow line when BTC tage ~73K USD. Looking at CYCLE 3, BTC played with the BLUE line multiple times before settling with the top. Considering this in CYCLE 4 BTC may make another attempt at intercepting the Yellow line again depending no how parabolic BTC will be over the AUS summer period will land the price in the zones discussed in the below post.
BTC in CYCLE 4 may also contact the gray line and in this scenario most tops out around the 100K region December 2024 / January 2025.
BUY / SELL INDICATOR| CYCLE 4 ATH UpdateAssuming we reach the Light Red line again of the BUY / SELL indicator, as per our analysis in the below post this could suggest an ATH for CYCLE 4 could land in the 117K to 157K region.
It is noted while it was the second top in CYCLE 3; our purple line met / crossed but did not exceed past our orange signal line materially (see red arrow above). This marked the second and ATH of Cycle 3. We are approaching this scenario with the orange and purple line as we approach the mid 90K region (see cross and second red arrow above). Worth tracking on your radar.
Again if we continued on as we have with prior cycles and reach either or both the Red Lines of the BUY / SELL indicator we would be expecting a very parabolic period ahead.
CYCLE PIVOT INDICATOR - CTI (Cycle Top Indicator) Cycle 4 UpdateAssuming the CTI (Cycle Top Indicator) again holds true in estimating in real time the potential top for Cycle 4 ATH, as per our analysis in the below post we would be expecting a very parabolic period ahead to land in the discussed cycle ATH zones.
Big Channel on the BTC 1D - will it hold?Hey guys, BTC is almost right at the top of a huge channel - the lines were formed in the last bullrun 21/22. Considering the beginning consolidation of the last hours, I believe we will at least have some more time below the upper line - and more time without any significant gains, might trigger lots of traders to take some profit. This is just my observation and opinion, no financial advice. Im short with targets around 87k, 85k and 83k, will add if we get closer to the upper line. SL slightly above the line. I do not believe that this is a longterm play, I believe we will go above 100k this time, but this channel is the biggest one - the last hurdle, so i expect some downside first.
15 minute Head and shoulder predictionTrump getting elected clearly has impacted the market causing a massive rally. I predict that there will be a retracement to find some common support before it likely goes further up. Low time frame charts are not ideal, but in volatile markets, they can give you clues as to how price will break. Obviously longer time frames have precedence over lower time frames. This chart is mostly just for fun.
Bitcoin TSI DivergenceNoticed something this morning that there is bullish divergence on the 1W BTC chart.
This bullish divergence has happened a few times over the last few years and is followed by a bullish cross on TSI which has always resulted in significant upside.
Possible we see some movement to the upside over the next few weeks?
Emotions Playing out - Sell BTCAfter the winner of the US Presidential Election was announced, BTCUSD like other Crypto surged to their heavens but i believe that the raise is emotional.
Bearish trend will resume in due course. i am waiting for a potential sell trade at the marked zone.
stay safe!
We Hitting the 100TH soon...If ypu followed all the macro chart shared on btc for months on here..you will noticed that for 2-3 years ...that we ve been in accumulation stage ...now the real game begins as we break the 100K new ATH
Alts are all doing great at the moment... For example... CRYPTOCAP:DOGE , SET:SEI ,$Ploygon, CRYPTOCAP:SUI et al
These bull season will be lead by the $memes...so keep watch on the ones still tradin way belwo their ATH especially the Solana based memes and the Base network memes
Good Luck!
CYCLE 4 Mapping - Cycle 1 to 4 AnalysisMapping of Cycle 4 using Indicators / Risk Metric / Price Action / Measured Moves / Fib Extensions & Historical Cycle Lengths.
Post is intended to be used as an exploratory tool for a future post.
BTC BlowtopBTC finding a nice bounce off the 200 moving average in the middle of the summer lulz all while major stock market indices and gold are at all time highs. Once profit taking initiates from these markets the money flow will enter BTC pushing its prices up in the near final phases of this bull cycle.
a lifetime logarithmic cycle in quartersthe quarterly chart in logarithmic price shows the cyclical arrangement of bull market breaks to new all time highs on the curve. the current bull market has the typical shape of each other breakout in the time cycles along a logarithmic pattern. shown are the logarithmic trend max and channel. this indicates a move inside the curve. during these periods btcusd tends to gain 80% over 3-6 months. im remaining buy sided btcusd for the foreseeable future targeting $124k by april 2025, stop loss as low as $59k.
Bitcoin next short opportunity: $80,500I've previously tried an idea to short Bitcoin around $76k and it doesn't work out well. Now, what's the next point we can try? Based on Fibonacci extension, the number is $80,500.
BTC Nov 2024 : 1000 days base before breakout new ATH
1000 days from recent highs accumulated in the base before breakout new ATH
Bitcoin vs Gold FractalsThe Bitcoin weekly chart shows price action similar to the Gold monthly chart. This fractal suggests Bitcoin may undergo a long correction until the end of 2024. It may drop to USD 50K, bounce, and retest the all-time high again. If this happens, the crypto market will not be good this year. However, it may be good for long-term investors to re-accumulate.
To Moon or not to moon?- 86765 is perfect buy zone; Has plenty of support from the kijun MA, SAR and previous bounce zone. The rising clouds is also a good sign.
- 89620 is the BB median value and a point of previous rejection. The presence of RSI bearish divergence before the rejection also adds weight to this number.
- Presentation of two scenarios using juxtaposition of past iterations of BTC price cycle.
(A) Case where resistance is shattered.
(B) Case where resistance deflects and support does not hold.
Bitcoin Nov 2024 : breakout new ATH - the cycle since 2020
weekly chart from 2020 Pandemic Euphoria , followed by double top , re-basing ( stage 1 ) then followed by breakout ATH
Bitcoin on the Road to $98kCup and Handle Pattern of a massive 3-year proportion. This growth has been on a monumental unprecedented exponential proportion, much greater than the like of anything in the financial world to come alive in 100 years. Enjoy your cup and tea!
BITCOIN CUP AND HANDLE IS 120K OUR TOP???? If this cup and handle plays out and we get to our price target of 120k do you think we top at 120 or we keep going?
BTCUSD Hits New 1-Year High: Key Support Levels in FocusHello,
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has reached a stunning new 1-year high at 89,666.00, just as expected! Now, the key question is: what’s next? Sellers are moving in heavily, but there’s no clear sign of a reversal yet. For now, it’s anticipated that the daily support structure will be tested. If the 1D pivot point acts as support, or if the strong 1D support level at 83,606.967 holds, the trend could continue upward. Trade cautiously at these elevated price levels!
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
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