BTC Bulls Awakening from the Shadows – OB + 79% Fib Reaction 📈 BTCUSD | 30-Min Bullish Reversal Setup from OB + 79% Fib Zone
Smart Money never misses a good discount… and this BTCUSD setup is that juicy premium-to-discount play we wait for.
🔍 1. Price Action Context
Market sold off into a clearly defined Order Block
Price tapped precisely at the 79% Fib level
Internal liquidity sweep confirmed below recent equal lows
No candle close below OB = structure still intact
This is what we call the "Trap + Reverse" move. Late shorts just got baited.
🧱 2. Confluences Stacking Up
💎 79% Fib Retracement — Deep discount zone for Smart Money
💎 Bullish Order Block — Last up candle before the sharp sell-off
💎 Liquidity Sweep — Price swept short-term lows = inducement
💎 Channel Structure — Midline bounce = potential breakout
The OB + Fib overlap = a high-probability buy zone with minimal risk
🎯 3. Trade Plan
Entry Zone: 108,250–108,650
Stop Loss: Below 108,000
Take Profit: 110,758 (premium zone)
⚖️ 4. RRR (Risk-Reward Ratio)
📥 Entry: ~108,400
🔒 SL: 108,000
💰 TP: 110,758
✅ RRR ≈ 1:5.8
This is sniper-level asymmetric risk. You don’t chase candles — you wait here, like a lion in the grass 🦁.
🔁 5. What to Watch Next
Price must reclaim and close above 108,867 for confirmation
If we get a BOS (Break of Structure) above 109,200 = 🚀
Hold above the mid-channel line = bullish continuation
💬 Comment “LONGED BTC 💎” if you caught this with the OB bounce!
📌 Save this to study OB + Fib synergy.
👀 Watch price action at 109,200 — breakout zone incoming?
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTCUSD Technical Analysis.This is a technical analysis chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe from TradingView, published on May 27, 2025. Here's a breakdown of the key components:
Current Price: BTC is trading at 109,566.
Resistance Zone: Around 110,211, marked by a horizontal line.
Support Zone: Highlighted in the beige rectangle, with a target at approximately 107,488.
Trade Setup:
Short Bias: The chart suggests a potential short position if price rejects the resistance zone.
Target: 107,488 (within the support zone).
Stop Loss (SL): 111,419, above the resistance zone.
Two Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario (Primary Idea): Price gets rejected at resistance and falls to the support zone (green arrow).
Bullish Scenario (Invalidation): Price breaks above the resistance and moves higher (red arrow).
This setup shows a risk-reward ratio favorable for shorting near resistance with a stop above it, targeting the prior demand zone. Let me know if you want help applying this analysis to a live trade.
Bitcoin Market Analysis: Short-Term Scenarios and Key Support LeBTC Update – Short-Term Scenario
Bitcoin has broken above its recent high, and the uptrend remains intact. However, demand is starting to diminish. A short-term pullback would be healthy. The $103K level stands out as a strong support zone for the bulls.
Technical Breakdown and Market Dynamics
Looking at Bitcoin's current price action, there are some interesting developments unfolding. The cryptocurrency is attempting to break out, but the follow-through is occurring on diminishing volume, which shows ease in the market momentum.
The recent breakout attempt reveals important technical characteristics. The bar that reverses the last attempt does so quite easily, indicating reduced buying pressure at these elevated levels. This ease of reversal suggests that market participants are becoming more cautious at current price levels, which is a natural development after significant upward movement.
Current Rally Dynamics and Volume Analysis
The current rally appears to be relatively weak when compared to previous moves. This weakness in the rally structure points to a potential reaction around the $102K level. Volume analysis supports this view, as the diminishing volume on the breakout attempt typically signals that the move may not have sufficient backing to sustain itself at these levels.
Support Levels and Potential Scenarios
If Bitcoin closes at current levels, there's still some demand that could come into play. This demand might create one last attempt to retest recent highs and test the critical level that has been acting as resistance. The specific bar formation that has been staying on for such a long time represents a key concept in the current market structure.
Market Outlook and Key Considerations
The diminishing demand at current levels doesn't necessarily signal a reversal of the overall uptrend. Instead, it suggests that a consolidation or pullback phase might be necessary to build a foundation for the next leg higher. Such pullbacks are often healthy in trending markets as they allow for the absorption of supply and the reset of technical indicators.
BTC - Bottom soon?I recently published this idea privately because I was unable to post it publicly at the time. Now, I’d like to make it public.
(Click the picture above to view the TA-Chart.)
I'll be copying and pasting all the text from the original private idea here, along with the missing links I had prepared on April 2nd.
The purpose of this chart is just to illustrate how my three target levels align with my Fibonacci retracement levels — which is also the reason I selected them.
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We are currently in a complex situation. Markets have been experiencing a sell-off due to uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariffs. Additionally, Trump needs to refinance a massive sum of government debt ($7 trillion) over the next 10 years. To achieve this, he must lower the 10-year yield to reduce interest payments.
One way to lower yields is by increasing government efficiency, thereby reducing borrowing needs and bond issuance, which in turn decreases yields. Another method is cutting interest rates, yet his tariff policies counteract this approach. This raises the question: does he want a recession? During a recession investors would flock toward bonds as a safe haven, ultimately pushing yields down.
Bad Signs
- Fed Atlanta GDPNow Gold adjusted at -0.8%
- PMI below 50
- Major uncertainty due to enormous tariffs
-> Michigan Consumer Sentiment (57) and Expectation (52.6) are at levels seen during the recession of 2022
- FED cannot cut interest rates due to persistently high inflation
Are we heading towards a recession?
People tend to overreact and overlook key indicators—one of which is liquidity. Examining the WTREGEN, we see a steep decline since mid-February, indicating that cash has been injected into the system.
This is further supported by the rising RRPONT since mid-February. Additionally, the Fed has been slowing down QT, meaning the liquidity injection is not being offset as much.
Additionally due to the tariffs countries like China could bring a liquidity stimilus into the markets to help their domestic markets.
In summary, liquidity levels should be sufficient for at least a blow-off top. The reason markets have not rallied yet is due to uncertainty stemming from Trump’s tariffs. This is reflected in recession-level Michigan Consumer Sentiment and the Fear & Greed Index.
A key bullish signal would be a falling RRPONT alongside a declining WTREGEN, as this would indicate that cash injections are flowing into risk assets, showing regained confidence. For confidence to return, we need a positive catalyst, such as an stop to QT, an increase of the balance sheet or an interest rate cut. However, the Fed is holding off on cuts due to high inflation and the tariffs.
But this is where it gets interesting:
According to Truflation, inflation has dropped significantly below the Fed’s 2% target since early March. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data lags by a full month, so if Truflation’s data holds any truth, the upcoming inflation report on April 10 may reflect this decline. This could restore confidence and provide the Fed with room to give us a positive catalyst.
Where is BTC headed?
Compared to my expectations from early february ( ibb.co ) I expect BTC to first move into the $78K–73K range before rallying toward $115K instead of rallying now at 82k. This range aligns with my Fibonacci levels, and 73K was the high of March 2024. Additionally there is currently a fractality compared to the bottom of 2022 where the bottom now would be rougly at 75k.
To reach $115K, BTC must first break the black downward trendline and the double-top neckline at around $95K. My blow-off top target is $115K, and if BTC holds above $100K, I will eye $145K and $185K as the next targets.
Furthermore there could be a chance that the tariffs are just a negotiation tool since the tariffs do not make any sense % wise.
However if Trump does intend to impose these tariffs at the said % and other countries stab back with their tariffs, then we might actually see a stagflation if the Fed does not intervene-or intervenes too late.
Market next target
📊 Original Analysis Summary:
Bias: Bullish reversal expected from the support box.
Path: Minor pullback followed by a breakout toward a higher target.
Indicators: Green arrow bounce, blue and yellow upward paths projecting continuation.
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🚨 Disruption & Bearish Risks:
🔴 1. Support Zone is Weak
The price dipped into the red support box and bounced, but barely made a strong recovery. A weak reaction from this zone could signal buyers are hesitant or exhausted.
🔴 2. Bear Flag Formation
The current price action could be forming a bear flag pattern: a brief upward consolidation following a sharp drop. If confirmed, this would likely lead to another leg down, not up.
🔴 3. Volume Discrepancy
The bounce lacks volume confirmation—note the relatively low buying bars after the large red selling volume spike. This suggests weak bullish conviction and potential for another sell-off.
BTCUSD Up trend bullish fvg filled strong buy now📈 BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 30-Min Chart Update
🔹 Trend: Bullish continuation
🔹 Entry Zone: Support at 108,500
🔹 Target: 110,500
🔹 Key Level: FVG fill expected at 108,900
Bitcoin is maintaining strong bullish momentum on the 30-minute timeframe. Price is currently pulling back into the 108,500 support zone, offering a potential long entry. Watch for a reaction near the Fair Value Gap (FVG) at 108,900, which could act as a launchpad toward the 110,500 target.
📊 Strategy: Wait for bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or strong volume spike) before entering long. Manage risk accordingly.
#Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #BTC
Bitcoin Daily Outlook – May 28, 2025 Bullish Bias, Eyes on $105K Breakout
🔍 Technical Snapshot:
• Price: ~$103,000
• RSI (14): ~69 – Nearing overbought
• MACD: Bullish crossover
• EMA20 > EMA50 – Uptrend structure intact
🔐 Key Levels:
• Support: $100,000 / $98,500
• Resistance: $105,000 / $108,000
• Breakout Trigger: Daily close above $105K with volume
🧭 Forecast (Next 2–3 Days):
• 🔼 60% chance of breakout to $105K–$108K
• 🔁 25% chance of consolidation
• 🔽 15% chance of pullback to $98K
🌐 Macro Context:
• VIX: ~12.8 (low) – Risk-on environment
• Nasdaq & S&P500: Bullish – Correlated upside pressure
• DXY: Stable – Neutral effect
💡 Strategy Notes:
• Swing Traders: Long bias but RSI near limit
• Breakout Traders: Watch $105K for volume confirmation
• Bulls: Buy-the-dip near $100K or EMA50
📌 Chart shows BTC with EMA 20/50 crossover.
👍 Like & Follow for daily BTC outlooks!
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoAnalysis #BTC #TradingView #RSI #MACD #EMA #VIX #NASDAQ #SwingTrading
What we thing, what’s gonna happen. (120,000)This monthly BTC chart shows a bullish trend aiming for $116,000–$120,000.
• A three-candle bullish pattern is forming, suggesting continued upside.
• The label “SELL HERE, SELL the NEWS” near $120,615 signals a possible profit-taking zone.
• The lower area around $78,000 is marked as a buy-the-dip zone (“Buy the scare again”).
• BTC is currently seeking liquidity to continue its move up, possibly reaching the target by mid next month.
• A major resistance trendline is near, so price reaction there will be key.
BTC (Y25.P2.E5).My levels of interest to LongHi Traders,
Much confluence to long in the 105k range.
The chart is self explanatory.
This is not stating to SHORT. Its stating that if price meets our conditions, then this is an ideal level to long.
FYI. We have much bearish divergence as the longs entered and it gave the whales reason to push it down.
Question is how low is enough. Hence why I have some levels and it could be the case the whales could front run 105k
All the best,
S.SAri
BTCUSD | Head and Shoulders Pattern on 15m Chart Suggesting PoteBitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 15-minute timeframe has formed a classic Head and Shoulders structure, a well-known pattern often associated with possible short-term trend reversals.
Key Details:
Pattern: Clear Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder formation.
Neckline Level: Around 107,437 – currently acting as a crucial support zone.
Trendline: Price has broken below a short-term rising trendline, confirming pattern completion.
Volume Analysis: Volume increased during the formation of the head, hinting at a potential shift in sentiment.
Note: A confirmed close below 107,400 may attract further downside movement. Conversely, holding above this level could lead to consolidation or recovery.
This analysis is intended for educational purposes—please evaluate risk and confirm with your own strategy before taking any trade decisions.
SELL BTCUSD for bullish false breakout STOP LOSS : STOP LOSSSELL BTCUSD for bullish false breakout
STOP LOSS : STOP LOSS position is left opened ( am only closing this trade based on a candle stick pattern)
Trade trade is based on false breakout and divergence.....
First what is false breakout, A false breakout in Forex occurs when the price breaks through a key level (like support or resistance) but quickly reverses and returns to its original range, often trapping traders who were expecting a continuation of the breakout. It's essentially a false signal, indicating a potential trend reversal or continuation, but the price doesn't follow through....
Secondly what is divergence ,In forex trading, divergence occurs when the price of a currency pair moves in one direction, while a technical indicator (like an oscillator) moves in the opposite direction. This mismatch can signal a potential trend reversal or weakening trend. There are two main types: bullish and bearish divergence.
On this trade we are taking it because we saw regular bearish divergence
Regular Bearish Divergence
In case of Regular Bearish Divergence:
* The Indicator shows Lower Highs
* Actual Market Price shows Higher Highs
We can see a strong divergence on the RSI already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart.....
The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this level resistance so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here .....
TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything
Bitcoin reversal confirmed ?!Bitcoin reversal confirmed ?! 👀
I would like to present you some charts with important levels and relevant patterns.
🖥daily-chart (BITSTAMP) and 💡everything important in the chart 👀
💥Here in the daily chart (BITSTAMP)
- a Deep-Crab harmonic with
- a WolveWave
and the daily-chart of the
🔥Daily MA200 re-test 👀
- gap fill
- support-line 2022 and 2024 TOPs
👉 BITCOIN roadmap/outlook (from 27th february 2024) 💡
🎯 If you like this idea, please leave me a 🚀 and follow for updates 🔥⏰
Furthermore, any criticism is welcome as well as any suggestions etc. - You're also very welcome to share this idea.
Have a nice evening & successful trading decisions 💪
M_a_d_d_e_n ✌
NOTE: The above information represents my idea and is not an investment/trading recommendation! Without any guarantee & exclusion of liability!
recap - " Bitcoin reversal confirmed ?! "BITCOIN reversal confirmed?! 👀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
How did this idea develop? 🤔
🥇Recap of the idea(s) from March 14, 2025 (see right 👀 under “Related Publications”)🎯
Hello ❤TradingView Community 👋
After the sell-off/correction ended on April 7, 2025' - Bitcoin reached an absolute low of $74434. This was followed by a nice rally and the complete fulfillment of the price targets from the idea of March 14, 2025 (push the play-button 😍).
Everything important is in the chart!
💡 This idea is closed at this point ✔
👉 All targets have been achieved 🎯💪
💥Follow me to stay up to date and be the first to receive these important updates/news & not miss anything! ⏰🔔
Furthermore, any criticism and suggestions etc. are welcome. - Feel free to share this idea.
Have a nice day & happy trading folks 🔥💪
M_a_d_d_e_n ✌
NOTE: The above information represents my idea and is not an investment/trading recommendation! No guarantee & exclusion of liability!
👉 BITCOIN roadmap/outlook (from 27th february 2024) 💡