BTCUSD D1 LongI expect BTCUSD to go sideways for a fews days bouncing in that support zone before going up.
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTC weekly Weekly log chart on BTC looks ready for price discovery following bullish consolidation. If this setup plays out like the prior major breakouts, we're gonna see some new ATHs soon.
Market structure analysis Market structure analysis using the Smart Money Concepts approach. Focus on BOS, FVG, order blocks, and potential liquidity sweeps. This chart is used for entry based on the King of SmartMoney strategy.
Will BTC endure and continue to reach further highs?As we can see, the BTC price has broken the previous ATH and established a new one at $ 109,886, but here we have to see that we had a slight breakout and the price immediately returned below the previous peak. At this point, we should observe whether it will positively break out from the previous peak and whether it will stay above it so that it can gather energy for a strong move towards strong resistance at $ 130,000.
However, if we see a correction, it may first go down to $ 101,500, then we can see support at $ 96,000, and then we may have a drop to around $ 87,000.
When we look at the Stoch RSI indicator, we will see that despite the current increases, the indicator remains around the middle of the range, which could potentially give room for another upward move.
BTCUSD Analysis Today: Technical and On-Chain !In this video, I will share my BTCUSD analysis by providing my complete technical and on-chain insights, so you can watch it to improve your crypto trading skillset. The video is structured in 4 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the on-chain data analysis, then I will be moving to the liquidation maps analysis and lastly, I will be putting together these 3 different types of analysis.
A 1.61 Break Usually Means Massive UpsideBTC has a current top on the 1.61. Heading into 1.61 fibs I always tend to lead with a bias of a reversal because if it happens it's massive and if I am wrong I'll usually make a bit of money in a short term reaction off it anyway.
If the 1.61 has a reaction and then later sustains a breakout - that's a very different situation.
After clean 1.61 breaks is the time to make good money on the long side. The first run into it I consider risky, but if it breaks then it's green light.
If BTC is able to hold and sustain the 1.61 break - then I think the next major jump leg goes to $140K. This may be a stall/pullback level but we'd probably then trade through to next resistances.
Pure fib levels would have a top forecast around 240K. Given the typical overshoots we tend to have, this would more likely be around 300K.
Things get really interesting if the 1.61 break holds.
Bitcoin’s Fake Pump Ends HERE! OB + FVG = Bearish Trap?📊 BTCUSD SMC Breakdown (3D Chart)
Price tapped into a High Probability Reversal Zone (OB + 61.8–79% Fib) with strong downward projection. This is a classic case of Smart Money selling into late bull euphoria. 👀
🧠 Smart Money Story:
Sell-side Liquidity Grab: Prior highs got swept—liquidity hunted 💧
Order Block (OB) + 61.8–79% Fib: This area is confluence-rich
Channel Top + Trendline Rejection = Extra confluence 🧱
Strong bearish reaction wick confirms Smart Money presence 🔥
Projection drawn toward 105,968 = -27% extension
📌 Key Technical Zones:
Zone Type Level / Range
Order Block : 108,267.68 (Purple Zone)
Premium Zone (OB + FVG) : 108,267 – 108,938
Entry Trigger : 108,251.52 (Current Price)
SL Zone (Invalidation) : Above 109,000
TP1 – TP2: 106,800 – 105,968 (TP2 = -27%)
🛠️ Trade Setup Idea (Short):
Sell Entry: 108,251 – 108,937
Stop Loss: 109,200
Take Profit 1: 106,800
Take Profit 2: 105,968
RRR: ~1:4 📉💰
Bitcoin Intraday Short Setup | Targeting $102.6KBitcoin is showing weakness after a lower high formation, suggesting potential for further downside. The 30-min chart highlights a clear sell entry zone with a defined take profit near $102,590.
🔹 Technical Analysis:
🔽 Lower high pattern signals potential short-term trend reversal
📏 Clean risk-to-reward setup with entry near $103,728 and TP at $102,590
⛅ Price rejected key resistance, indicating seller pressure
🔹 Fundamental Context:
🏦 Hawkish Fed commentary continues to weigh on crypto markets
📊 Risk-off sentiment amid macro uncertainty affecting BTC
💸 Reduced ETF inflows and profit-taking could trigger short-term correction
📌 Plan: Short below $103,728 with stop above $104,425. Targeting a move toward $102,590. Ideal for short-term traders.
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BTCUSD (Bitcoin) Setting Up for a Trap and Crash📊 BTCUSD Smart Money Breakdown – May 23, 2025
This is a textbook liquidity trap setup — and the roadmap is crystal clear. The market already induced buyers at the top, is now tapping into an Order Block (OB) + 79% zone, and is preparing to nuke.
🔍 Market Narrative:
Strong high established – retail likely placing longs above that.
Clean retracement into Order Block zone (110,322 – 110,850) – where Smart Money is selling into demand.
PA is projected to fake a bullish breakout, reverse, and go for a deeper Fair Value Gap fill near 107,786, eventually targeting the Sell-Side Liquidity zone at 106,188.31.
📍 Key Confluences:
✅ OB + 79% Fibonacci = strong SMC reversal zone
✅ Clear FVG waiting to be filled = imbalance = magnet
✅ Weak low at 107,786.83 = perfect inducement for Smart Money run
✅ Final stop = Sell Side Liquidity sweep below 106,200
📉 Price Path Forecast:
Reject Order Block + Premium zone (110,496 – 110,850)
Retrace → FVG fill (between 108,900 – 107,800 zone)
Minor pullback or fake rally
Final move: liquidity raid under 106,188
Smart Money buys low again, setting up next bullish leg (later)
🎯 Trade Plan (Short Idea):
Entry Zone: Between 110,322 – 110,850 (OB)
SL: Above 111,000 (above inducement)
TP1: 107,786 (Weak Low)
TP2: 106,188 (Sell-Side Liquidity Pool)
RRR: Approx. 1:4 to 1:5 🔥
🧠 Institutional Logic:
Retail sees sideways structure = buys top resistance
SM sees that = sells into premium zone
This is accumulation → manipulation → distribution at its finest.
💬 Think BTC’s about to drop hard? Type “DUMP” or 🔻 in the comments! Let’s see who’s trading with the big boys.
BTC - Will the trend continue?Since the beginning of April, BTC has been on a notable upward trajectory, showing impressive strength with minimal retracements. This sustained momentum has captivated market participants and built a narrative of continued bullish pressure. Along this journey, BTC has carved out two distinct consolidation zones, periods of relative price stability, characterized by equal highs and lows. Each time, these consolidations were followed by a decisive breakout to the upside, reinforcing the prevailing bullish sentiment in the market.
Another consolidation phase
At the present moment, BTC appears to be entering yet another consolidation phase. The price is coiling, showing signs of compression that often precede significant moves. This naturally leads to the question: are we about to witness another breakout to the topside, continuing the pattern established over the past several weeks?
Bullish scenario
In a bullish scenario, a breakout to the upside would likely see BTC pushing towards the 106,000 level. This zone is a key target for traders watching in this consolidation. Should momentum carry the price beyond this threshold, Bitcoin would be well-positioned to challenge its all-time high near 109,000. A clean move through these resistance levels could spark a new wave of optimism, potentially attracting fresh capital into the market and confirming the strength of the current uptrend.
Bearish scenario
However, it’s important not to ignore the risks. The bearish scenario involves BTC breaking down below the current support zone, which sits around the 101,000 mark. A decisive move beneath this level would undermine the bullish structure and signal a shift in market sentiment. In this case, Bitcoin might find itself revisiting the 97,000 to 98,000 range, an area that previously acted as resistance during the last consolidation phase and may now serve as a potential support zone if tested from above.
Conclusion
In essence, the market is at a critical juncture. BTC’s recent behavior suggests a buildup toward a significant move, but the direction remains uncertain. Whether it continues its march toward new highs or corrects to retest lower levels, this period of consolidation is likely to define the next phase of Bitcoin’s trend. Traders and investors alike are watching closely, as the next breakout, up or down, could set the tone for the weeks to come.
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BTCUSD: Urgently needs to break above this trendline!Bitcoin is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 65.624, MACD = 4011.100, ADX = 25.476) but not overbought anymore as the aggressive weekly rallies since the 1W MA50 rebound have been decelerated. The next heavy obstacle is the HH trendline that runs on top of the January 20th 2025 and December 16th 2024 Highs and got hit last week. So far the price hasn't crossed above it but it needs to urgently in order to avoid a rejection with snowball effects.
The last time Bitcoin faced a similar HH trendline Resistance was on the October 23rd 2023 1W candle and it succesfully smashed through it, completing a +79.23% rise before consolidating again. If it breaks again above it, we expect the same minimum rally, which gives us a TP = 133,500.
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Bitcoin (BTC): Bitcoin is Pumping | We Are Looking For ReversalBitcoin is having a buy-side dominance where buyers are still pushing and trying to extend further the current area of all-time high.
While we are pushing and testing the limits of markets, we are slowly starting to look for any signs of reversal to happen. We have pointed out a few zones that have most of the liquidity in them (as in those times the market likes to hunt the liquidity, so you have to be careful).
Nothing clear yet but we wait, wait for any signs of weakness.
Swallow Academy
BTC/USD Facing Key Resistance – Watch for Daily Close ConfirmatiBitcoin is currently testing a critical resistance zone between 107,150 and 107,800, which has previously acted as a strong supply area. For the bullish trend to continue, we need to see a daily close above this resistance range.
Until a confirmed breakout occurs, the price is vulnerable to a pullback toward the rising trendline, which has been supporting the uptrend since April.
📌 Key Points:
Strong horizontal resistance at 107,150–107,800
Rising wedge structure could signal exhaustion
A daily candle close above 107,800 is required for further upside continuation
Failure to break this resistance increases the probability of a correction toward the ascending trendline support
This is a critical area to monitor for both breakout traders and those looking for potential short-term reversal setups.
Unveiling Crypto Market Insights - Bitcoin Price DiscoveryGM bitcoin enthusiasts,
Yesterday, Bitcoin hit a new all-time high of $110,730 on Bitstamp, with a record daily close at $109,682. 🚀
Today, BTC is continuing its upward momentum, seemingly unfazed by resistance at the previous all-time high around the $109K level. Bulls remain in control—for now.
So the question is:
- Is this a true breakout signaling continuation of the rally?
- Or is this just a deviation above resistance that needs to cool off before making new highs?
- Could we be facing a stronger correction soon?
Curious to hear your thoughts—are you riding this wave, or playing it cautious?
P.S. There’s something poetic about Bitcoin making new highs on Bitcoin Pizza Day. 🍕 Maybe it's the perfect excuse to treat yourself to a slice and reflect on how far we've come.
BTCUSD: 61.8% Fib + OB = Precision Long PlaySmart money traders love one thing more than anything — confluence. This BTCUSD setup hits all the marks:
📈 Structure Breakdown:
Market breaks structure to the upside ✅
Impulsive bullish leg breaks prior high ✅
Pullback into 61.8% golden zone + OB ✅
Rejection wick = perfect entry confirmation ✅
This is a high-probability continuation setup after BTC made a clear bullish BOS (Break of Structure) on the M30 timeframe.
🟦 Order Block Zone:
OB Range:
Top: ~106,989
Bottom: ~106,759
This OB was the last down candle before the big bullish impulse that broke structure. Price returned to mitigate here, then instantly rejected = Smart Money entry confirmed 🔒
🧮 Fibonacci Levels:
61.8%: Sliced right into it
70.5% – 79%: Deeper liquidity zone just below
The entry wick taps right into the sweet OB/Fib confluence zone and launches 🚀. It’s giving sniper precision with a low drawdown entry.
🎯 Trade Parameters:
Entry: ~106,759
SL: Below the OB zone
TP: 108,022 (previous high)
That’s an RRR of around 3.5–4.0x — a clean asymmetric play, just the way smart money wants it.
🔍 Confirmation Factors:
Bullish BOS on M30
Price returns to OB zone + golden ratio
Clean rejection candle with demand absorption
No internal structure break = bullish narrative still valid
🧠 Key Lesson:
“When OB meets Fibonacci, don’t ask why. Load up — the market just told you why.”
Let setups like this come to you. No chasing, no emotions. Let the algo-driven footprints guide you to the money.
📈 Missed this one? Save it for your playbook — this is how high-probability trades are built.
Drop a 💰 if you caught the same move!
BTC: Weekly and Daily UPtrends Confirmed.Now that we have the Weekly and Daily re-taken their UPtrends what follows is a pullback which it shouldn't be too deep and then bounce and by the end of June price should be near or above the $ 118k mark, once it gets there and most important how it gets there will tells us if the move is strong enough to take price to the $ 136k mark or it will stall and drop like a rock. Will see but for now Bitcoin looks great and as long is above it Weekly Zero Line there's nothing to worry about. Buckle up ladies and gentlemen and enjoy the ride.
BTC/USD Technical Analysis (8H Timeframe)📊 BTC/USD Technical Analysis (8H Timeframe)
✅ Wave Count Summary
✅ The 5-wave impulse structure is clearly completed.
Wave I to V is visible and respected the Fibonacci zones.
Now transitioning into an ABC corrective phase, typically part of an A-B-C Zigzag.
🔻 Current Move: Wave A
The price has started correcting from the Wave V top (~$112,000).
Wave A has begun and is expected to target the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, which aligns at:
🎯 Immediate downside target: ~$102,000
This corresponds to:
Former support/resistance zone
A typical Wave A correction target in early stages
🔁 What Happens Next
After Wave A completes (~$102,000), expect a relief bounce into Wave B, potentially retracing 50–61.8% of Wave A
Then another drop into Wave C toward deeper Fib levels like:
0.618 level = ~$88,800
0.786 or 0.88 might come into play for full ABC correction (~$78,000–$74,000)
🔍 Structure & Confirmation
Wave A breakdown is impulsive (bearish)
Break below previous Wave IV (~$106,000) gives confirmation of short-term trend reversal
RSI and momentum indicators (if added) would likely show bearish divergence at Wave V top
📉 Short-Term View
Direction Target Note
⬇️ Wave A ~$102,000 0.382 retracement zone
🔁 Wave B ~$106,000 Possible lower high bounce
⬇️ Wave C ~$88,800 0.618 Fib — final correction
🧠 Conclusion
BTC completed a textbook short-term 5-wave impulsive move and is now entering a corrective phase (ABC). Wave A is underway with an immediate target around $102,000, followed by a likely bounce (B) and then further downside (C).
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is intended for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Please perform your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making trading decisions. Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors.
Wild...Wild...Wild Weekend AheadWe have big distances from target to target meaning wild volatility is coming for the weekend. Enjoy the ride bois and girls.
Bullish bounce?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 105,255.25
1st Support: 101,983.62
1st Resistance: 111,758.60
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Disclaimer:
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Is Bitcoin Running Out Of Steam?Bitcoin remains perched near the recent highs but continues to show signs of exhaustion. We now have a confirmed bearish divergence on the daily RSI - price made a new high while momentum failed to follow through. That kind of signal, especially coming out of overbought territory, typically warrants caution.
So far, Bitcoin has held above the key $106,159 level, but the divergence plus fading volume suggest that bulls are losing steam. It’s worth noting that each daily candle since the high has had a long upper wick, implying sellers are stepping in on every push higher.
Technically, as long as Bitcoin remains above $99,517 - the prior breakout level - the structure is still bullish. But the divergence, coupled with a possible fake out above resistance and weekend euphoria, leaves room for a pullback. If we do see a correction, $99,517 and $92,817 are the levels to watch.
Bottom line: price is still trending up, but momentum is slowing. Time to tighten stops and manage risk carefully - especially as sentiment appears to be running ahead of the market.
btcusd sel of after each bitcoin conferenceAfter each b.tc8conference there were sell offs as of everybody discovering who really are holding bitcoin and there are still no killer app to make bitcoin useful for anything else than gambling, money laundry
Bitcoin conference this year is even worse with JD Vance and Trump Family using the opportunity to spread their bullshit fake news and narratives.
Bitcoin will blow off top to 120k and went to 60k till end of the year liquidating everybody including biggest hodler saylor strategy when trump will be impeached for abusing public office of presidency for personal enrichment.
Trump must pray that his own MAGA didn't shot him like Kennedy for betrayal.
Only way to survive for him would be resign before he get's impeached and removed from office.
BTCUSD (15m) – Wave 12345 Completed with Bullish Divergence & SN🕒 Timeframe: 15-Minute
💰 Pair: BTC/USD
⸻
🔍 Wave Structure & Momentum Analysis
Using Elliott Wave Theory, we can clearly identify a completed 5-wave impulsive move down:
• (1) → (2) → (3) → (4) → (5)
• Wave (5) completes with a bullish divergence against the Awesome Oscillator (AO), signaling weakening bearish momentum.
• Both price and AO show a clear divergence between wave (3) and wave (5), hinting at a possible reversal or corrective phase.
⸻
🔁 Break of Structure & SNR Zone
• Price is currently reacting to a key Support-turned-Resistance (SNR) level around 107,724.
• A confirmed break and close above this SNR will mark a break of structure, strengthening the bullish case.
• I will wait for the price to close above 107,724 on the 15M timeframe to confirm this break.
⸻
🧠 What’s Next? ABC Retracement for Entry
• Upon break of structure, I will look for a nearest bullish Supply & Demand (SND) zone as a potential entry point.
• Ideally, I will wait for an ABC corrective retracement (after the break) to enter long.
• Entry will be placed at the base of the SND zone formed during the corrective leg.
⸻
📌 Trade Plan Summary
• ✅ Wave 12345 completed (impulse wave down).
• ✅ Bullish divergence confirmed with AO.
• ⚠️ Watching for break and close above 107,724 (key SNR).
• 🔎 If broken, wait for ABC correction into SND zone to initiate long position.
• 🎯 Target: Mid to Upper structure zone based on previous supply.
• ❌ Invalidation: If price fails to break above 107,724 or breaks below recent swing low (wave 5), setup is void.
⸻
📈 Technical Confluence
• Elliott Wave Count
• AO Divergence
• Break of Structure (BoS)
• SNR Level
• Awaiting ABC Pullback into SND
⸻
💬 Let me know what you think! Are you seeing the same structure? Waiting patiently for confirmation before entering.
#BTCUSD #ElliottWave #BreakOfStructure #SupplyAndDemand #AO #CryptoAnalysis #SmartMoney #15MinChart
