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BTCUSD trade ideas

Bitcoin Fibo and Time- A bit messy graph. - Some peoples will get it and some not. - in matter of time and fibo analysis. - More will BTC take time to go up. - More BTC price will go higher. - in simple words, if u compare the 2015 bullrun and 2018 : - 2015 was 1055 days ( around..) - 2018 was 820 Days ( excluding the bouble top) - Nothing much to deduct from that, but 2 scenarios are still possible : - 100 000$ is not enough (161.8 FIbo), i still persist on that one, so not a scenario imo. - 150k$ (261.8 Fibo) possible if BTC goes fast. ( same as 2018). - 200k$ (361.8 fibo ) or 250k$ (423.6 Fibo ) are both possible if BTC goes slow. (same as 2015 ) - i still believe that " more Bitcoin will take time to go up, more the price will go higher " - Don't forget this is only TA, not FA, not Economic or World Situation. - Feel free to share with me your view. Happy Tr4Ding !
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by thecryer
4
Bitcoin: Projecting the 5th and Final Phase of the Bull Market ### **Introduction** This report provides an in-depth analysis of the historical and projected market behavior of Bitcoin, focusing on cyclical market patterns and emphasizing both bull and bear phases. By dissecting previous cycles, this study aims to shed light on potential market movements, offering a roadmap for the 5th and final phase of the current bull market cycle, as per my expectations. ### **Historical Overview & Cycle Breakdown** Historically, Bitcoin has exhibited well-defined market cycles consisting of accumulation, rapid growth, corrections, and subsequent recoveries. Each cycle presents unique behaviors influenced by macroeconomic factors, adoption rates, technological developments, and regulatory impacts. **Key Phases Highlighted:** 1. **Accumulation Phase:** This phase, often occurring during market lows, signifies periods of relatively low activity where investors accumulate Bitcoin at lower prices. It is marked by low volatility and slow upward movement. 2. **Expansion (Bull Run) Phase:** Characterized by significant price growth, this phase attracts a surge of new investors and increased trading volume. Historically, it has ended with a parabolic price surge, as seen in prior cycles. 3. **Correction and Bear Market Phase:** The market retraces following the explosive growth, leading to a prolonged downturn or 'crypto winter.' This phase often involves a return to support levels established in previous cycles, accompanied by investor uncertainty. **Annotated Analysis:** The attached chart illustrates these phases through visual annotations, showing multiple cycles and their respective movements. Each major bull and bear phase has been marked, alongside critical resistance and support levels that have influenced market sentiment over the years. ### **Current Bull Market Context** **Expected 5th and Final Phase:** The current bull market cycle appears to be entering its 5th and final phase, as marked on the chart. Key indicators leading to this projection include: - **Momentum Analysis:** Recent price movements suggest a steady upward trajectory indicative of a final parabolic surge before an anticipated correction. - **Resistance Levels and Trendlines:** The yellow horizontal lines represent critical resistance levels that Bitcoin must break to maintain its bullish momentum. Historical analysis suggests that each cycle typically ends near these zones, followed by corrections. - **Macro Indicators and On-Chain Data:** The green arrows highlight potential momentum shifts, emphasizing buyer activity and renewed confidence in the market. ### **Projections for the Final Phase** Based on historical data and current market behavior, my analysis projects that the 5th phase will see a peak price surge, potentially reaching a new all-time high. However, this growth phase is expected to be followed by a significant correction, bringing Bitcoin prices back to key support levels outlined on the chart. **Factors to Monitor:** 1. **Market Sentiment and News Events:** External factors, including macroeconomic news, regulatory announcements, and institutional participation, can heavily influence price movements. 2. **Adoption Trends:** Growing adoption and use cases for Bitcoin and blockchain technology could further propel the market upward during this phase. 3. **On-Chain Metrics:** Metrics such as transaction volumes, wallet distributions, and miner activity should be monitored closely for shifts in market behavior. ### **Concluding Remarks** This analysis aims to offer a comprehensive overview of market behavior, assisting community members in making informed decisions. While historical trends offer a glimpse into potential future movements, market conditions remain volatile. Therefore, cautious and strategic investment decisions are recommended as we enter this pivotal stage in Bitcoin's cycle. --- **Disclaimer:** This report is intended for informational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry risk, and individuals should conduct their own research and consult with professional advisors before making investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Yassine_Houd
3
BTC/USD Short IdeaNot financial advice! Do not copy blindly; trading is risky and can harm your deposit. I suggest a short position from the current price. Take-profit levels are marked by the green dashed lines, while the stop-loss is highlighted by the red dashed lines. The yellow block represents an optimal price range for entering this trade. Always follow risk management and money management principles. Make decisions based on your own analysis and strategy. Stay safe!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by TottiVincenzo
1
BTC/USD is approaching FIB-EXT highest level 1.618 (95,603)As per the price action the whole crypto market is bullish on bigger time frame 1st probablity Currently I am expecting BITCOIN will reach its all time High $95,603 on the basis of Fibonacci extension 1.618 tracing from previous impulsive movement in Feb to march Bullish cycle,on the weekly time frame chart bitcoin can take a small retracement towards Imbalance in premium zone ($74,000 to 80,000) If the bulls whales dominate the market, then we can another impulsive bullish cycle toward $120,000 2nd Probability Price reject from the 1.618 ($95,603) region and took the liquidity of the FVG and Value area high and tap in to the OB in Discount region this will be high gain and long cycle towards $150,000 because retailers and big whales will take a part .
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ak7119660
1
History Repeats? Bitcoin's Post-Election Surge in Focus!Bitcoin's Historical Bull Cycles & Election Correlations 🟢 Bitcoin's Monthly Chart Analysis: A decade of history shows a striking pattern around U.S. elections. 🚀 1️⃣ Post-Election Bull Runs: 2012: Bull market peaked ~1 year after the election (+11,246%). 2016: Peak ~1 year post-election (+2,833%). 2020: A dual rally with a final peak ~1 year post-election (+421%). 2️⃣ Current Cycle (2024): Early-stage bull run starting post-2024 election. Historical trends suggest potential peak in late 2025, marking a full year of upward momentum. 3️⃣ Key Takeaway: If history repeats, 2024–2025 could witness explosive growth 📈 before cooling off. Watch for significant moves as we approach the second half of 2025. 💡 Plan Ahead: Timing is everything in crypto! Stay prepared for volatility and opportunity in this evolving market. #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #BullMarke
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
Bitcoin Trend continuationBTCUSD has formed a triangle pattern, typically indicative of trend continuation. The pattern is characterized by higher lows, reflecting strong buying pressure. After reaching an all-time high (ATH) of approximately $93,000, the price retraced but consistently found support around the $90,000 level, aligning with the upward trendline. This behavior suggests that the market is respecting this support level. Given the recent breakout from the downward channel, the triangle pattern may play out, potentially leading to a new ATH. The target is the resistance zone around $95,000
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by RTED_Investing
1
Could BTC Flash crash to $78k before going to 100k?I've done a deep dive on cup and handle patterns for a while now, but this one just takes the cake. The longer duration a cup and handle pattern takes to develop, the more confirmation we get. This is the Bitcoin 2-day candlestick chart that has been developing for almost 3 years. If this cup and handle pattern plays out the way we should expect due to all the factors of the political environment, we should have at least a $150k bitcoin in the next 6 months. Price has nowhere to go in this scenario. This is the fibonacci extension/forecast where price is expected to hand out around in the next 6-months. Price clings to its' levels like a magnet. It's truly an amazing sight and I have this one drawn perfectly. Price had not choice but to go upwards. Throughout the course of history, we've had these financial cycles that begin with a bear market, a consolidation and then end with a bull market that reaches all time highs. This event is what we call a cycle in our financial system and the feds that control the interest rates make up a large factor that motivates this cycle; so many other political circumstances Basically our government is controlling periods of growth. The important thing to know is that this occurs basically every 4 years. We call it a cycle in the Crypto Currency world and in other financial markets. The price of bitcoin has to get rejected at the 93k mark again today to have a higher probably of dropping to $78k, but that is what we should expect in volatility. We are in a clear bull market now with Bitcoin in and out of Price Discovery Mode. The top according to the history of Crypto should be late 2025, but I think we are on the verge of potentially mass adoption. How many new hundreds of thousands of dollars of all time highs when the Dow Jones has only 5x in 20 years before the masses start to pay attention? Will it be so subtle to the average non-educated person won't realize what's happening until the price of one bitcoin is over $1000? Satoshi was a smart man and gave us this gift and halving cycles every 4 years intentionally that coincide with the elections changes and uncertainty that comes along with change that In case you haven't noticed, Trump just appointed Elon Musk to the Department of Goverment Efficiency, (DOGE) and as a result, has caused the price to explode on the DOGE Coin. Elon Musk was able to do with $400 million from the sale of paypal, what no govment has ever been able to achieve. I do believe that we are on the cusp of a potential breakout of mass adoption and as a federal reserve asset and I am going to predict that if that happens, a domino effect/chain reaction would occur that would put Bitcoin at potentially $3 million one day. I'm expecting a breakout to occur today again propelling it to $100k or $108k. Don't think the $78k scenario will play out, but if it does, it'll be a great dip to buy.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by EMJ123
1
BTC to the $446 in five years! The biggest capital robbery ever!This is not just for crypto! All assets will lose their value. A theory suggesting an impending depression combined with the idea that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies might have been created as a "trap" to channel capital back to the state is intriguing and raises important questions. While this view is speculative, there are some interesting aspects to your analysis of economic cycles and the role of governments and central banks. 100-Year Economic Cycle Historians and economists recognize that long economic cycles, like the Kondratieff wave, involve alternating periods of economic booms and busts over roughly 40-60 years. While the exact duration and frequency vary, some analyses indicate that we are approaching a phase of debt deflation, or even a potential depression. The exponential growth of debt and the sustained low-interest-rate policies support this outlook. Crypto and the Role of Government Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies were originally designed as decentralized, non-government-controlled currencies, independent of banks and states. While it is speculative to claim that governments were behind Bitcoin's creation, it is true that some governments are closely monitoring the crypto market, possibly to manage large capital flows and ensure tax compliance. However, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies do not guarantee protection against economic crashes. Governments could regulate these markets further, affecting their value and accessibility. Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), for instance, represent a way for governments to exert greater control over digital money flows, which contradicts Bitcoin's original intent. Fear and the Use of Assets Like Gold and Bitcoin Concerns around CBDCs, inflation, and geopolitical instability can drive people toward "store of value" assets like gold and Bitcoin. Your point about "fear-driven media" is interesting, as both media and governments can at times amplify fear, which increases demand for alternative assets. A Possible Future Depression Many analysts and economists highlight overheated markets and massive debt burdens as warning signs of a financial collapse. Economic cycle downturns are often marked by deflation, rising unemployment, and declining asset prices. The idea that the coming years could be challenging for the global economy is not without basis, particularly if debt burdens become unsustainable or if monetary policy tools are exhausted. Conclusion While the notion that governments might use crypto to "reclaim black money" or that crypto was even designed as a tool for wealth redistribution is difficult to substantiate, it is a theory commonly raised by crypto critics. What is clear, however, is that both governments and central banks are actively seeking ways to control capital flows and maximize tax revenue. All in all, it seems a challenging period lies ahead. We may witness the emergence of new forms of money, like CBDCs, and potentially significant shifts in the economic order.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by EvertLenos
8
BTC USD Update99K price tag as of now, absolute money machine, top asset in my book, just great to open screens and see how this thing has moved again and again. Absolute best year in history of trading. So what happens if we take 100K? Well, we have 49050.01 low to play with. If price gets some sort of bullback, we're cool with it. I'm not closing my spot trades, allowing the chart to breathe. With scalps and swings, I'm definitely paying myself. Well, I'm keeping stops under 4H structure points as of now. But oh boy, what a great feeling to see this thing taking off like a rocket.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by themarketknight
1