The Bears and the Bulls So Bitcoin is consolidating from 101K to 109K, from an uptrend which is probably but not certainly a continuation pattern. BTC is still above the 10 EMA means bullish short-term, confluent with market structure, and above 200 EMA long term bullish. BTC might cycle back up in the flag pattern or break below the 10 EMA, which could possibly (not certainly) send it probably to the 50 EMA in purple and the trendline and a Demand zone. The bulls would love for BTC to close above the flag pattern and resistance and make HH and HL from there; and the bears would love to see rejection and a return back to the Demand levels.
BTCUSD trade ideas
symmetrical triangle in progressBitcoin has been consolidating at this level for several weeks, easing some of the pressure in order to push above 120K. As of today, we have a clear formationโa large symmetrical triangleโwhich confirms the continuation of the upward trend and rules out any possibility of returning to lower levels.
Bitcoin Bullish Pennant(D)Bitcoin is forming a bullish pennant on the daily timeframe. A classic continuation pattern following strong upward momentum. A breakout above the resistance trendline could signal the next leg up. Watching closely for volume confirmation and a potential retest before continuation. Bullish bias remains intact as long as support holds.
Weak Pullback, Bears in Control | Will the $100K Zone Hold? BTCUSD โ Weak Pullback, Bears in Control | Will the $100K Zone Hold?
๐ Macro & Fundamental Outlook
Bitcoin continues to face downside pressure after failing to hold above the key $108K resistance. Several macro factors are influencing sentiment:
๐ US bond yields are rising again, as markets expect the Fed to delay rate cuts. This adds pressure on risk assets like BTC.
๐ช Bitcoin Spot ETF inflows remain positive, but are currently not strong enough to counter short-term selling pressure.
๐ต The DXY (US Dollar Index) is recovering, as investors flee to USD amid geopolitical volatility in the Middle East.
๐ Institutional liquidity is thinning across exchanges, adding to intraday volatility.
๐ Technical Analysis โ H1 Chart
๐น Trend Structure:
BTC is now firmly in a short-term downtrend, trading below the descending trendline and all key moving averages (EMA 34, 89, 200).
Rejection from every pullback suggests that sellers are still in control.
๐น Key Price Zones:
Bearish FVG Resistance: 106,096 โ 107,004
First Support Zone: 102,821
Major Support Zone: 101,539 โ 100,419
A clean break below 100K could open the door to 98,000 and below
๐น Momentum:
RSI is neutral, hovering around the mid-40s without strong divergence signals.
Selling volume is increasing but not yet explosive โ indicating the market may be awaiting a macro catalyst.
๐ง Market Sentiment
Traders are currently in โwait-and-seeโ mode, eyeing the next round of macroeconomic data and potential Fed commentary.
Short-term profit-taking is dominant after last weekโs sharp rally.
Overall sentiment: Bearish short-term โ Neutral mid-term โ Bullish long-term
๐ฏ Trade Setup Ideas
๐ป SELL if price retests FVG and gets rejected
Entry: 106,000 โ 107,000
Stop-Loss: 107,500
Targets: 102,821 โ 101,539 โ 100,419
๐น BUY if price reacts strongly from 100,419 โ 101,500
Entry: 100,500 โ 100,800
Stop-Loss: 99,800
Targets: 102,800 โ 104,400 โ 106,000
Preference is given to selling the rally in the short term. Buying should only be considered on confirmed reversal signals at key support.
โ
Conclusion
BTCUSD is currently in a corrective phase, with bears maintaining control. The key level to watch is the $100,419 support zone, which may determine whether Bitcoin maintains its medium-term bullish structure or breaks further. Discipline and confirmation are crucial in this volatile environment.
๐ Strategy Focus: Look to sell rallies toward resistance; buy only on confirmed bounce from strong support zones.
BTCUSDEventually anything goes up sooner or later goes down especially speculative and high liquidity market this is the system or core process and nothing is impossible.
Again, it's just simple prediction based on simple technical analysis there are so many other factors involve where to market would be next move means its only just forming not confirmed yet once again just scenario. NOT FA.
BITCOIN is only now starting the final Cycle rally!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) took a hit overnight following the Israel attack on Iran and at the moment the consequences of that action can't be quantified in great detail but on the long-term the bullish trend seems intact.
In fact it remains below the historic Pivot Growth Curve (PGC) that has separated BTC's peak pattern (green Arcs) from bottom and accumulation (red Arcs), and could be tested by next month.
Once broken, the real rally towards the Cycle's peak can start, with most previous studies we conducted showing that $150000 is a fair (if not modest) estimate.
Are you worried about the latest geopolitical conflict or this chart is enough to give you long-term assurances? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD Analysis Today: Technical and On-Chain !In this video, I will share my BTCUSD analysis by providing my complete technical and on-chain insights, so you can watch it to improve your crypto trading skillset. The video is structured in 4 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the on-chain data analysis, then I will be moving to the liquidation maps analysis and lastly, I will be putting together these 3 different types of analysis.
BRIEFING Week #24 : is Stagflation Coming next ?Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Phil
#BTC Double Top Breakdown? Key Levels to Watch: 100K, 92K, 74Bitcoin has recently formed a double top pattern near its all-time high at $112Kโ$110K, signaling potential exhaustion in the bullish momentum. After a strong rejection from the $106K resistance โ a critical zone that has historically failed to close above on the daily timeframe โ BTC is showing increasing bearish pressure.
All major indicators โ RSI, MACD, and Stochastic RSI โ are aligning to confirm this potential downtrend.
Hereโs the projected bearish scenario if key supports break:
A break below $100K could trigger a fall to $97K, followed by a bounce and retest.
Rejection from $100K again may lead to a drop toward $92K.
Failure to reclaim $95Kโ$90K could send BTC directly down to $88K.
Another failed attempt near $90K might push Bitcoin to crash toward $74K, echoing the 2024 summer correction pattern.
This setup mirrors past seasonal moves and could mark a significant shift in market structure if confirmed.
๐ Watch these key zones:
$106K โ Major resistance
$100K โ Psychological and structural support
$92K / $88K / $74K โ Potential targets if bearish continuation plays out
โ ๏ธ Stay alert for retests and confirmations before entries.
BTC/USD.1h chart patternBTC/USD 1-hour chart, we can see that MY continuing a bearish price projection, and the chart has clearly defined target zones based on structure and Ichimoku analysis.
๐ Key Observations:
Price is currently below the Ichimoku cloud, confirming a bearish bias.
A resistance retest has already occurred.
Price action suggests a clear break of structure, aiming lower.
Two horizontal target zones are marked below with a sharp projected drop (red path) and a blue downward arrow for emphasis.
---
๐ฏ Bearish Target Levels:
1. First Target: Around $104,000
This is your immediate bearish target.
Aligned with minor historical support and possible reaction area.
2. Final Target: Around $100,000โ$101,000
This is the extended target and marked clearly on the chart with a bold arrow.
Likely represents a psychological level and strong liquidity zone.
---
โ
Conclusion:
Short-term bear bias remains strong unless the price reclaims and closes above the resistance/cloud zone (~$108,500).
Watch for potential reactions at $104K; if it breaks cleanly, $100Kโ$101K becomes highly probable.
Let me know if you want support/resistance zones or confirmations using volume or Fibonacci confluence.
Bitcoin 4-year cycles - The party is getting startedPeople say this cycle is different. But so far, when you zoom out, things are following the general trends.
- The white vertical lines represents exactly 4 years from the first cycle peak
- The blue measurements represents exactly 399 days after the white vertical lines
The trend (so far) is clear. Bitcoin has a cycle peak every 4 years, and has a cycle bottom 399 days later
If this trend was to follow this cycle:
1. Bitcoin to peak on the week of 24th November 2025
2. Bitcoin to bottom on the week of 28th December 2026
Let me know what you think!
BTC IS BORINGNot much to see here โ Bitcoin continues to range quietly between support at ~$100,700 and resistance at $112,000. Price is hovering just above the 50-day moving average, which has flattened out, signaling a pause in momentum rather than a directional shift.
The recent higher low around $100,700 remains the key structural level to watch. As long as that zone holds, the bullish bias technically remains intact, but the lack of follow-through toward the highs suggests weakening momentum. Volume continues to decline, which is typical during sideways consolidation and often precedes expansion โ but there's no sign of that happening yet.
A breakout above $112K would likely trigger momentum buyers, while a breakdown below $100K could put $92,800 and even $88,800 back on the table. Until then, it's just rangebound chop โ and patience is the only real trade.
Nothing broken, nothing confirmed โ just a waiting game for now.
BTC, will hibernate for a few weeks from here to sub 100k.BTC rise has been impressive the last few weeks with market triggering excitement after hitting a series of ATH and finally punching the elusive100k levels, and pushing it further to 110k as a bonus.
But like with any overheated parabolic move, a cool down will need to transpire eventually. And that season is ripe now for the king of coins.
From the diagram we are seeing some curve fitting price action, with horizontal ranging at the upper channel -- indicating a bull saturation scenario.
A corrective phase to 0.5 fib levels maybe expected in the next few weeks. It did the same behavior last time. This hibernation would be healthy in the long run - and it needed to happen.
Spotted at 104k.
Target sub 100k levels / or 0.5 fib at 94k.
TAYOR.
Trade safely.
BTC RANGE-BOUNDBitcoin is once again pressing against the midpoint of its recent trading range after bouncing off the 50-day moving average near $105,000. Todayโs candle shows solid follow-through from that bounce, reclaiming short-term structure and closing back above the key $105,787 level.
The broader structure remains a consolidation between $100,700 support and $112,000 resistance โ with Bitcoin repeatedly testing both boundaries without breaking out. The most recent rejection at $112K marked the second failed attempt to clear that level, suggesting the presence of strong supply overhead. However, the continued defense of $105K and especially the higher low at $100,700 keeps the bullish structure intact for now.
The 50-day moving average has now been tagged multiple times and held as dynamic support, reinforcing its relevance in this trend. Meanwhile, the 200-day MA remains well below at $95K, and continues to slope upward, confirming broader trend health.
Volume remains relatively light during this bounce, which could be a cautionary signal for bulls hoping to see a breakout attempt. A move above $108Kโ$110K would likely re-ignite momentum toward the $112K top of range, while a clean break above $112K would open the door to a measured move toward $120K.
To the downside, the $100,700โ$101,000 area is the line in the sand. A break below that level would invalidate the current higher low structure and put the $92,800 and $88,800 zones back in play as support.
In short, Bitcoin is still range-bound, but technically healthy. The bulls are defending key support levels and the 50 MA, while bears remain active at resistance. The next directional break โ above $112K or below $100K โ will likely dictate the next major move.