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BTCUSD trade ideas

BITCOIN Should we start thinking about the next Bear Cycle yet?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has had extremely symmetric (time-wise) Cycles in the past +10 years and this is a subject we've analyzed extensively many times. We've spent the last months projecting potential Targets for each stage of the bull run and only the last few are left. This is exactly why we thought today's chart would be very fitting. The current Bull Cycle isn't over yet but also, based on the 4-year Cycle Theory, isn't far of either. By October 2025, that model suggests that all profit should have been taken. As you can see, we are in the green zone, the Bull Cycle's Final Phase and since this Cycle has been trading entirely within the 0.236 - 0.618 Fibonacci Channel range, by October the price shouldn't be much higher than $160k. In any event, this is a good guide, presented to you in a good time, to keep your mindset inside a long-term perspective and prepare you for not only the upcoming Top but also the next (1 year) Bear Cycle, which could again push the price below the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), which would be a solid level for long-term buy positions again. So do you think the Top is closer than it looks? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
12
Inflection Zone, Do or Die levelI've drawn up a couple of major pivot points that I expect BITSTAMP:BTCUSD to consolidate at before continuing either up or down. The market is in my opinion currently feeling a little bit confused and not quite fearful yet but a little bit doubtful anyway. The melt up has been real, and for some painful, as directional movement is at most only half of what matters. So this injection of volatility is welcomed at least by me, and I've been fairly exposed to growth stocks in my port lately. Based on fibonacci phi channels and other confluences of support locations, it looks like we've turned a corner and are on the way down, but I'd be surprised if we breached 107k and as shown, if that did happen, there is a LOT of underlying supply. I don't know where we go from here but I wanted to point out this level highlighted in light blue, as its historically been a major line in the sand for BTC.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by dcpersonal_1101
1
BTC at Make-or-Break: Rejection or Liftoff to $130K? Bias/Summary BTC is at a critical zone between 109K–112K. Price is currently showing hesitation after initial rejection at the Yearly L3 (112K), and I’m leaning short unless we see a strong breakout and hold above that level. However, if bulls reclaim it, we could see a fast move to 130K before many can react. Technical Context: Yearly L3 sits around the $112K zone – a historically significant level. Price faced rejection at $112K and is now hovering near $109K. Lower timeframe showing indecision, possible bearish bias. Watching for: Rejection + lower high below $112K = short setup. Clean breakout + retest of $112K = shift to long bias. Trade Idea / Setup: 🟥 Scenario A – Short Bias (Current Leaning): Entry: 110K–111.5K (if rejection confirms) Stop Loss: Above 112.5K Targets: TP1: 104K TP2: 99K TP3: 94K R:R: Up to 3.5:1 depending on entry and target 🟩 Scenario B – Breakout Long (Contingent Setup): Entry: 113K+ (after breakout and solid retest) Stop Loss: Below 111K Targets: TP1: 120K TP2: 130K R:R: ~3:1 or more if momentum confirms Risk & Patience Reminder: ⚠️Let price lead. No breakout = no long. No clear rejection = no short. Wait for confirmation, and don’t force entries in the chop. Patience > Prediction. NFA. DYOR. Manage your risk.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Pallant
1
Why Your Chart Might Be Lying to You And (How to Fix It) !Hello Traders 🐺 Ever clicked the “Log” button on your chart and suddenly everything looked different? Yeah, you’re not alone... Most traders ignore it. But understanding the difference between a Linear and Logarithmic chart can literally change how you see price action — especially if you’re into long-term moves or trading volatile markets like crypto. Let’s break it down real simple 👇 🔹 Linear Chart (a.k.a. the default) This is what most charts use by default. It measures price change in absolute terms. Meaning: the distance from $10 to $20 is exactly the same as from $20 to $30 — because in both cases, price moved $10. 🧠 Sounds fair, right? Not always. Here's why... Let’s say a stock goes from $1 to $2 — that’s a 100% gain. But if it goes from $100 to $101 — that’s just 1%. ✅ Linear Chart – Pros Simple and easy to read Good for short-term price action Better for assets with small price ranges Familiar to most beginners ❌ Linear Chart – Cons Misleading in long-term charts Distorts large percentage moves Trendlines become unreliable over time Doesn’t reflect real growth in % terms 🔹 Logarithmic Chart (Log Scale) This one shows percentage-based price movement. Now, going from $10 to $20 (100% gain) and going from $100 to $200 (also 100% gain) look exactly the same on the chart — which actually makes more sense when analyzing growth. It’s super useful when: ✅ You’re analyzing big moves over time ✅ You want to draw accurate trendlines in long-term charts ✅ You're dealing with assets that grew 5x, 10x or more ✅ You care about % gains instead of raw price ❌ Log Chart – Cons Less intuitive for beginners Not useful for low-volatility assets Small price moves may look insignificant here is an example of the same chart but in the Log Scale : As you can see on the chart above there is huge difference in accuracy when you use Log scale for the high volatile asset such as BTC specially in the long term movements . 🆚 So, When Should You Use Each One? Situation Use Linear Use Log Small price changes ✅ ❌ Day trading / scalping ✅ ❌ Long-term analysis ❌ ✅ Parabolic or exponential moves ❌ ✅ Drawing long trendlines ❌ ✅ Final Thoughts If your chart looks weird when you zoom out… If your trendlines don’t quite fit anymore… Or if you’re analyzing something that went 10x… 🔁 Try switching to Log scale — it might just clean up the noise. Small toggle. Big difference. And also remember our golden rule : 🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable , but almost always profitable. 🐺 🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Kiu_Coin
2
BTCUSD Short Setup – 4H Bitcoin has broken below a key dynamic support zone, and current price action signals a potential continuation to the downside. This short entry is supported by multiple technical confluences: 🔻 Bearish Confluences: Fibonacci Retracement Rejection: Price rejected the 61.8% Fib retracement zone near $114,978, confirming a potential local top. Trend Structure: Clear lower high, lower low structure forming on 4H – momentum favors sellers. EMA Cloud Pressure: Price is decisively below the multi-band EMA cloud, showing sustained bearish pressure and trend bias. Volume Profile Gap: Price is entering a low-volume node between $113.8k and $112k, increasing likelihood of a sharp move down. Bearish Candlestick Pattern: A strong bearish engulfing candle formed after the retracement – a classic reversal confirmation. 🎯 Fibonacci-Based Targets: TP1 – $11205 (38.2%): Initial demand zone and minor support. TP2 – $11024 (61.8%): Mid-extension level, aligns with prior consolidation. TP3 – $10731 (100%): Full measured move target if the downtrend accelerates. SL: Placed just above the recent swing high at $11678, protecting against false breakouts.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by VisionaryInsights
2
Bitcoin Passes Stress TestOn July 25, 2025, Galaxy Digital executed one of the largest Bitcoin sales ever recorded: 80,000 BTC, valued at approximately $9 billion , on behalf of a Satoshi-era investor. Despite the size, the market absorbed the flow with minimal volatility—Bitcoin dipped from around $119,000 to $115,000, then rebounded above $119,000. Liquidity Maturity in Motion Analysts called the trade a significant demonstration of market maturity, noting that 80,000 BTC was absorbed in days with barely a market blip. Crypto infrastructure has also evolved: algorithmic liquidity providers, institutional desks, and OTC channels handled the load without triggering cascading funding rate hikes or forced liquidations. Ongoing Risks Event-Driven Stress: During macro shocks or sharp sell-offs, liquidity may thin, and the same level of absorption might not persist. OTC vs Exchange: This large sale was managed mostly off-exchange. A similar-sized on-exchange dump could still trigger stop-run cascades. Retail Complacency Risk: The stability seen now can be deceptive, as retail may misinterpret low volatility as a safe leverage zone, only to be caught off-guard. Projections: Watching the 23.6% fib retracement level in line with the $116,600 price level. Anticipate the resistance level of $120,000 to be retested. If price breaks above $120,000, we could see a significant move toward $130,000 The $9B BTC sale went through without materially impacting price is considered a milestone in crypto market evolution. It reflects institutional-grade liquidity and sentiment maturity.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by JinDao_Tai
1
Bitcoin: Interconnections Rewired🏛️ Research Notes Keeping fib channel of the rising trend angles as they've number of times covered well that aspect of cycle texture. The other frame of reference would be with fib channel that covers drop from 2021 ATH to late 2022 bottom. Last bit would be integrating fib channel discovered while ago that connects covid & late 2022 bottoms Together they create a framework that addresses the complexity and makes even the most chaotic price movements seem to be a part of structural narrative.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by fract
BITCOIN Will Go Lower! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for BITCOIN. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 113,260.21. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 107,826.27 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by SignalProvider
2
Gaussian and the LMACD deep dive!As you can see LMACD is showing signs of exhaustion. Histogram has been compressing or decreasing in momentum while the price has been climbing up. This divergence wont last for too long and a change in the trend seem very likely. BTC might be entering in the bear market pretty soon and you might start seeing the histogram turning red and increasing in bearish momentum before changing the trend once we approach to the core of the Gaussian or even bellow this time. Breaking bellow the core would mean range bellow 40k as bear market bottom.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by elalemiami
2
Rectangle Consolidation + Bull Trend = BTC Setup for ATHYesterday, Bitcoin dipped and recovered again, following last week's sharp spike down, triggered by the $9B Galaxy Digital sale on behalf of a Satoshi-era investor. ________________________________________ 🧠 Why is this important? Despite being one of the largest BTC sales in history, the move only caused a temporary spike down. That’s a clear sign of market strength and strong interest on dips. ________________________________________ 📉📈 Current Technical Context: • If we ignore the spike, price is consolidating in a tight rectangle • That’s typically a continuation pattern • The broader trend remains strongly bullish 📌 Put all of that together, and we have at least 3 reasons to expect upside continuation ________________________________________ 🎯 Key Levels: • Break + daily close above $120K → likely leads to a new ATH and a potential test of $130K • Invalidation only comes with a break below $114K ________________________________________ Conclusion: BTC just absorbed a massive $9B sell without blinking. As long as $114K holds, I'm bullish and expecting continuation. Next leg could (and I hope it will) be explosive. 🚀
OKX:BTCUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
BTC - 12H Break Likely TodayAs we continue to follow BTC's LTF pattern it is likely to either breakout or breakdown today. FOMC happens in about 4 hour from now which is likely to lead to volatility. As you can see from the chart, BTC's price has been perfectly aligned within this 12H symmetrical triangle (white dotted lines). This is validated by the many touchpoints of support and resistance (green and red arrows). Once we see a 12H candle close above or below this pattern it could lead us to our measured move price target (yellow ray).
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by VIAQUANT
1
Bullish continuation?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 116,724.27 1st Support: 111,336.90 1st Resistance: 123,341.37 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by ICmarkets
1
Strong Bearish move possible from these levels.Adjusted Trendlines We have slightly adjusted the trendlines, as Bitcoin appears to hesitate in choosing its next move. We still estimate a 70–80% probability of a significant decline from current levels. There is a small chance that liquidity above the all-time high (around $124K) may still be required, but I remain skeptical of that scenario. The XRP 1.5-1.6usd target remains valid. However, it remains challenging to pinpoint the exact moment when altcoins will begin to outperform Bitcoin, and thats just what happened recently, If we break below 2.75usd with strength then a move towards 1.6usd is almost certain.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by BTCryptowatch
1