BTCUSD trade ideas
BTC in Bearish Wedge _ Breakdown or Bonus at Demand Zone?🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Bitcoin is currently trading within a *bearish wedge pattern* on the 1H timeframe. Price action is compressing, indicating a potential breakout soon.
⚠ *Bearish Bias:*
If the rising support breaks down, we expect a move toward the *103,000–102,000 support zone*, which has previously acted as strong demand.
📉 *RSI* is trending lower, showing weakening momentum.
📉 *MACD* crossover favors sellers (if applicable).
📌 Watch for reaction in the *reversal zone* to assess bounce or continuation.
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📊 *Key Levels:*
- Resistance: 108,800 – 109,200
- Support Zone: 103,000 – 102,000
- Reversal Area: 102,000 – 101,800
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📌 *Trade Plan:*
- Bearish bias below wedge
- Neutral bias inside wedge
- Bullish if price breaks and holds above wedge top
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💬 Let me know your thoughts below.
🔁 Like, Comment & Follow for more clean setups!
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📍This is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
May 27 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
This is the NASDAQ 30-minute chart.
There will be an indicator announcement at 11 o'clock.
The daily chart MACD dead cross is in progress.
*When the red finger moves,
it is a long position strategy.
I simply proceeded with the purple finger short -> red finger long switching
or the red finger long waiting strategy.
Today, if possible, it is advantageous for long positions because the weekly chart low point will not be broken even if you just move sideways without touching the gap section.
When the gap section is deviated, I marked the bottom -> section 2 at the bottom
and applied it to Bitcoin as it is.
This is a Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
At the bottom left is the gap retracement section that was performed on the 26th
The purple finger is the entry point for the long position at $108,233.5
It is connected as is.
*When the red finger moves,
It is a long position strategy.
1. After confirming the touch of the first section of the purple finger at the top
109,519.6 long position entry section / cut-off price when the green support line is broken
2. 111,883.3 long position 1st target -> Good 2nd target
Until the additional daily chart is created at 9 am tomorrow
Because the top section of the resistance line of the Bollinger Band daily chart can be a strong adjustment section
You should be careful.
If you touch after 9 o'clock, there is a possibility of additional increase, and
If the strategy is successful, you can use the 1st section indicated at the top as a long re-entry section after the first liquidation of the Top section.
Today, we will focus on long positions,
but it is important whether the main point touches the upper part of Nasdaq first and then
comes down immediately.
If it comes down immediately without touching the 1st section,
the final long waiting strategy is at 108,652.9 dollars in the 2nd section.
If the green support line breaks away, the stop loss price is the same.
Since the mid-term pattern is broken,
if you somehow manage to hold it within the 2nd section today, it is good for the long position.
If it breaks away, check the Bottom -> 3rd section at the bottom,
Since Bitcoin's new high is updated depending on the movement of Nasdaq this week,
it seems that a decline or continuous rise after the double top may be connected.
Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use only.
I hope that you operate safely with the principle of trading and cut-off price.
Thank you.
BITCOIN 2025 MAYPrice is consolidating above the 105K level, confirming it as a key support zone. Next target: 125K.
Technical support levels: 95K, 88K, 75K.
#Bitcoin #crypto #trading #price #blockchain #cryptocurrency #btc #markets #investment #finance #money #economy #cryptoanalysis #altcoin #technicalanalysis
BTC/USD Major Rejection at Key Supply Zone – Is a Correction ? Bitcoin is currently trading inside a strong supply zone (highlighted in blue), where we’ve already seen multiple rejections. This area aligns with visible volume resistance and historical distribution, suggesting sellers are stepping in aggressively.
📊 Key Observations:
Bearish Divergence forming across lower timeframes.
Loss of bullish momentum just below the $110,000 mark.
Volume profile shows strong distribution in the current zone.
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🔻 Bearish Targets to Watch:
1. $94,324 – First major support (previous resistance turned support).
2. $76,412 – Strong demand zone; historically a bullish reversal point.
3. Volume Gap between $90K and $80K could accelerate drop if $94K breaks.
🟥 Red arrows indicate high-probability zones where price may react or bounce.
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📅 Key Events Ahead:
🗓️ Upcoming U.S. economic news (highlighted below the chart) may trigger volatility.
👉 Keep an eye on FOMC and Jobs data – they’ve historically impacted BTC's direction.
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🧠 Strategy Outlook:
✅ Short Bias: If price fails to reclaim $110K convincingly, expect a correction.
🛑 Invalidation: Bullish continuation above $110,500 with volume.
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🗣️ What’s Your Bias?
Do you think Bitcoin will hold above $100K or are we due for a healthy retracement?
👇 Comment below your outlook and trading plan. Let’s trade smart, not emotional!
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#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #BTCUpdate #CryptoNews #FOMC #SwingTrade
Altseason AnalysisTo determine whether we're approaching a true Altseason, we're analyzing the macro relationship between Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) and Total 2 (the total crypto market cap excluding Bitcoin). This comparison has consistently revealed where capital is flowing and helps signal shifts in market cycles.
Current Market Structure
BTC Dominance: Currently at 64% and testing resistance zone.
A breakdown below 57% could trigger fresh capital rotation into alts.
Total 2: Hovering near 1.2T ; watching for breakout confirmation.
What Triggers an Altseason?
BTC stability or slow upward grind: Altcoins thrive when Bitcoin is stable not crashing, not parabolic.
BTC.D Breakdown: Often the first real signal. Look for confluence with Total 2 breakout.
Capital Rotation: Watch Ethereum and majors big cap — they usually lead before microcaps follow.
BTC.D Breakdown: Often the first real signal. Look for confluence with Total 2 breakout.
$5 Trillion??
Breakout above $1.7T ATH in Total 2 opens the door for exponential price discovery.
Key resistance zones: $2T → $3.5T → $5T
Watch for volume surge + BTC.D breakdown for strong confirmation.
Caution:
Not every BTC.D dip leads to an Altseason fakeouts happen. Confirm with Total 2 strength and sector rotation.
BITCOIN SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 108,637.54
Target Level: 99,375.25
Stop Loss: 114,788.84
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 17h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Golden cross for btcAgain the golden cross predicts an explosive rise for btc. If we look at the past the price of btc exploded after a golden cross, but whether we will get such an explosion again this time I am not convinced at the moment, because in the short term we are running into an old resistance line of 7 years and the older the resistance line the stronger it is. But on the other hand we also have an old pattern that is very strong, namely the cup & handle. Even if I put my fibonacci over it, the 1.618 level nicely matches the target of the cup & handle And that would mean that from the current point we will rise another 22% with btc this bull run. www.tradingview.com
Bitcoin's path to $139k As Bitcoin already touched my TP1, the question now is when the bulls will step in and push it above the current bull flag formation, which will send it to TP2. This breakout is the most likely scenario and once it gets to TP2, I expect a more significant correction. TP3 is also very likely to happen this year, but I will revisit that once we reach TP2. For now, the path to 120k is clear and it's inevitable.
BITCOIN No different than all the Bullish Legs since 2023!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has just completed a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame, the 4th such pattern since February 05 2023. All those Golden Crosses have been formed marginally after the Channel Up bottoms and start of their respective Bullish Legs.
The current pattern is no different than any other of those Bullish Legs. On top of that, the 1W MACD has also formed its usual Bullish Cross that has technically always preceded the 1D Golden Cross.
Given that, when this happens, BTC tends to be at least near the 0.5 Fibonacci level from the eventual top, we can estimate that the next peak might be around $165000. This is another indicator that makes our $150k Target for this Cycle more than realistic.
But what do you think? Are you also expecting the market to explode past $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Double top on 4 hr? End of bull run?The 4-hour chart shows a clear double top formation, accompanied by diminishing volume as we approach the end of May. The old saying "sell in May and walk away" suggests a high probability of a retracement down to previous support levels, indicating the potential end of this bull run. Historically, bull runs often conclude around this time (@585 days so far), and while it is possible that a new all-time high of $12,800 could be reached, retail interest is dwindling. The charts indicate that profit-taking is beginning to occur.
While institutional buying is currently propping up the price, it raises the question of how long this can last. A significant proportion of holders are already in profit, making this a good exit point to prepare for the next bear cycle and to accumulate more assets. Additionally, with the DXY (US Dollar Index) being low, a recovery in the DXY coupled with a drop in Bitcoin's value could significantly reduce the realized profits for Bitcoin holders.
The RSI and NUPL are high, and with the number of BTC longs decreasing, it indicates low confidence in further upside.
BTC 4H – Final Shakeout Before Markup?Bitcoin continues to coil below ATH resistance, now forming a second symmetrical pennant after the first flagpole breakout. Price is wedged between the ascending trendline support and persistent ATH rejection (~109.8K) — and the next move could define the entire Phase D → Phase E transition.
🧠 Wyckoff Reaccumulation Context:
✅ Spring + Test confirmed ~May 19
✅ Multiple LPS retests held around 107–108K
✅ Two clear SOS rallies tested above the creek
📌 Currently in late Phase D, facing third rejection from ATH
⚠️ Compression Observations:
RSI (14): 49.88 → neutral to bearish momentum
Volume: No conviction from either side
Lower BB + BU lows (~107K): A logical Spring zone for a potential wick-down fakeout
Price remains within channel and trendline support
🔄 Key Scenarios:
🟡 Bullish (Spring + Markup)
Wick below trendline to 107K zone
RSI bounce + green volume spike
Break + close above 110K → Confirms Phase E Markup
🎯 Targets:
Measured Move 1: 116,199
Measured Move 2 (Pennant): 119,958
Fib Cluster: 117,444 – 118,234
🔴 Bearish Breakdown
Close below 107K LPS with volume
RSI drops < 45
Structural failure → risks reversion to AR (~100.6K) and possibly BC
🧭 Conclusion:
Bitcoin is in the decision apex of a second pennant. If we see a wick-down + bounce (Spring-like behavior), it could be the last reload before a markup wave.
But without volume and momentum, this remains a fragile structure — stay patient, let the chart confirm.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Wyckoff #Pennant #CryptoTA #BTC4H #VolumeAnalysis #RSI
Is Bitcoin Ready for Its Next Leg Up? Here’s What We Know So FarBitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is so back — not just back like “we recovered the dip,” but back like “new all-time highs, let’s go shopping for Lambos on moons” back.
If you’ve been following our Top Stories coverage, you’ll know that the OG token vaulted past $109,500 last week, then kissed $111,900 in “Tom Cruise falling off a building” style. Only that there wasn’t a fall to the ground. Instead, Bitcoin prices got stuck near $110,000 and are now waiting for the next catalyst.
Where are we in the cycle? The memes are pumping. Maxis are chest-thumping (this one’s for you, Saylor ). And the market? Well, it’s trying to figure out if this rocket still has fuel, or if we’re hovering at apogee before gravity reminds us it’s still a thing.
Let’s break down what’s really going on — with numbers, context, and just enough forecast to keep it spicy.
🚀 Bitcoin Goes Bionic
Call it what you want — a breakout, a blowoff, or a moonshot — Bitcoin just rewrote the record books. The OG coin is up 48% since its April lows, a run that’s as explosive as it is poetic.
Remember the bearish chants echoing when BTC dipped near $74,000 in early spring? And all those Bitcoin permabears saying it’s all going to zero? Yeah, those are suddenly hard to hear over the rocket engines.
This is the moment Bitcoin believers have been waiting for. Institutional interest continues to show inflows are strong. Adoption is real and making solid progress. And price action is loud — loud enough to drown out the skeptics still quoting tulip bubbles from 1637.
💥 Why the Breakout? A Perfect Storm
Looking at the fundamentals and the technicals — this wasn’t a fluke. It was a perfect cocktail of macro tailwinds, regulatory green lights, and unrelenting digital gold fever.
ETF flows? Exchange-traded funds are collecting record levels of fresh capital — all eleven of them .
Institutional demand? Climbing faster than Saylor can tweet.
Macro backdrop? Soft dollar, muted inflation, and a shiny 90-day trade truce between the US and China paired with one between the US and the EU .
Regulatory mood? A lot less hostile than the Biden administration, with a stablecoin bill clearing the Senate’s procedural vote and Texas passing a law to hold Bitcoin in its reserve fund.
Bitcoin didn’t ride the wave — it was the wave. And with volatility finally working for traders, not against them, the rally gained real traction.
📉 Not All Risk is Behind Us
Now before we start naming stars after Satoshi, let’s pump the brakes (just a little). The flagship crypto might be chilling around $110,000, but this asset class has the emotional range (and discipline) of a toddler. We’ve seen rallies like this before. We’ve also seen how quickly they unravel.
Upcoming economic data could throw a wrench in the gears. Here’s what to watch for this week:
Wednesday: Fed minutes
Thursday: GDP figures
Friday: Core PCE inflation
Any surprises here — especially hotter-than-expected inflation or hawkish Fed sentiment — could rattle the risk-on party. Bitcoin loves liquidity. If the Fed hints at tightening, the rocket might need to refuel mid-air.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch
Technically, the $111,900 print is your short-term ceiling. It’s the new line in the sand — the price everyone’s watching, waiting for a clean break or a hard rejection.
On the downside, $105,000–$106,000 is developing as support. Break that, and $100,000 becomes the psychological safety net. Below that? Well, let’s not talk about it unless we have to.
Until then, price is consolidating. Think of it like a pit stop — a chance for bulls to breathe, for bears to panic quietly, and for traders to argue about Fibonacci levels.
🛰️ Is $120K Next? Or Is This the Top?
But let’s dig into it a little bit. The real question is whether this rally still has legs. Some traders are calling $120,000 a “magnet level.” Others are treating current prices like the top and selling into strength.
The answer? Probably both.
Momentum is still there — just cooled off a bit. Volume’s down slightly. Social buzz is still high up there. The market’s in a classic “wait-and-see” phase, prepping for a bigger move in either direction.
What could break the stalemate?
A blockbuster inflation report (bullish if soft).
Another policy win from Washington.
Or the most powerful force of all: a dovish stance from the man who moves markets with a simple “Good afternoon” (bonus points if you guess who that is!)
📢 Final Word: Celebrate, But Stay Sharp
If you’ve been long since the dip, this is your moment. Pop some virtual (or real?) champagne. Screenshot that green PnL. Post a gif of Elon and Trump dancing.
But if you’re entering now, zoom out. Yes, momentum is bullish. Yes, fundamentals are stronger than ever. But Bitcoin doesn’t do straight lines for long. And your stop-loss isn’t going to set itself.
Whether $120K is next or we pull back to reset, the next few sessions will be crucial.
Your move : Are you buying this breakout? Waiting for confirmation? Or just enjoying the view from orbit? Let us know how you’re playing this Bitcoin beast — because one thing’s certain: it’s never boring up here.
BTC Dropping for a couple Days (Quick Sells)China session will lock in a Hi then either London or NY session will take it or work its way back into price to stop out/shake out winning traders. Wait for your breaks as the sessions set up for your timeframe. My purple trendline you see is based off my 4hr chart, but you can always move in closer. Price will be pushing towards my -27, -61.8 . Enjoy the easy sells traders.