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Bitcoin - Bitcoin lost $100,000?!Bitcoin is trading below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. Bitcoin’s upward correction and its placement in the supply zone will allow us to resell it. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range. In the past trading week, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw an inflow of $560 million, though this represents a significant decline compared to the previous two weeks. Meanwhile, as of January 31, 2025, U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs recorded a minor outflow of $45 million, though this decline was not particularly drastic. At the same time, Standard Chartered Bank has advised investors in a new research note to view Bitcoin’s drop below $100,000 and the over 6% single-day decline in the crypto market as a buying opportunity. Jeff Kendrick, Head of Digital Asset Research at Standard Chartered, stated: “Hope is not a strategy.” He further explained: “When hope disappears, digital asset prices tend to fall by 10% to 20%.” Despite recent market volatility, Standard Chartered remains optimistic about Bitcoin’s price trajectory in 2025. The bank’s research suggests that growing institutional interest could accelerate Bitcoin’s potential surge to $200,000 by the end of the year. Last week, Donald Trump fulfilled two key promises to the crypto industry: 1. Granting clemency to Ross Ulbricht, the founder of Silk Road, who is regarded as a symbolic figure among Bitcoin and libertarian communities. 2.Signing an executive order on cryptocurrencies, which aims to enhance regulatory transparency for digital assets, promote stablecoins, prevent the debanking of the crypto sector, and ban the creation of a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC). In parallel, Jeff Kendrick of Standard Chartered also warned investors to pay close attention to altcoins, referring to cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin that are expected to experience significant growth in the coming year. He stated: “As soon as we enter the second phase, in my view, the altcoin season will begin.” Kendrick further noted that institutional flows will primarily drive Bitcoin and Ethereum investments, partially offsetting the rotation into altcoins. Responding to the growing interest in Bitcoin and Solana, MetaMask is planning to expand beyond Ethereum. The company is currently working on integrating Bitcoin functionality while simultaneously exploring decentralized finance (DeFi) opportunities across multiple blockchain ecosystems. Meanwhile, Texas Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick has identified the establishment of a state Bitcoin reserve as a top priority for 2025. Texas, already a pioneer in adopting Bitcoin at the state level, continues on this path despite challenges at the national level. If the proposal is approved, Texas will become the first U.S. state to hold Bitcoin as a financial reserve on its balance sheet, a move that could accelerate Bitcoin adoption within the U.S. financial system.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
BTCUSDT🔸 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Sideways: Bitcoin is consolidating within a clear sideways range of GETTEX:89K - $110K, Liquidity is being absorbed within this range, and market makers (MM) seem comfortable maintaining this structure for now. This suggests a deliberate effort to trap liquidity before a significant move. 🔸 Key Support Zone: The GETTEX:89K - GETTEX:92K zone remains a strong accumulation area, providing an ideal entry point for long-term investors. This level has consistently acted as a solid support, making it a crucial zone for risk-managed trades. 🔸 Upside Target: A breakout above $110K would validate a bullish push toward $140K-$180K. 🔸 Risk: Macroeconomic and fundamental risks, such as Trump Coin and the Forbes report on Michael Saylor, add caution to the market. However, we are still far from a critical danger level—it would take at least 4-5 major warning signs before a significant market downturn becomes more likely. From an institutional perspective, BlackRock recently acquired 30K BTC in January, reinforcing a long-term bullish outlook. Their continued accumulation indicates confidence in Bitcoin's future price appreciation. However, short-term shakeouts remain possible as market makers attempt to remove weak hands. 🔸 Action Plan: No-Trade Zone: BTC’s current price action in the middle of the range is risky, as MM are manipulating liquidity on both sides. Buy at GETTEX:89K - GETTEX:92K , hold for breakout, and take short-term profits at $100K-$110K. BTC remains range-bound, requiring patience from traders and investors. While major institutions continue accumulating, the next few months will be crucial. If warning signs escalate (reaching 4-5 major risk events), it will be time to exit positions. Until then, traders should focus on trading within the range, managing risk carefully, and avoiding unnecessary euphoria.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoSkullSignal
BTCUSD: Correction or change of trend?By Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst The cryptocurrency market experienced a turbulent weekend with a significant drop in the price of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) initiated on Thursday, January 30. The world's leading cryptocurrency retreated sharply, losing -14.29% in four trading days, with a particularly aggressive plunge on Sunday, when it lost -10.05% in a single day. This move generated uncertainty among long-term investors and left open the question of whether this is a simple correction or the beginning of a trend change. Factors behind the drop Several factors may have contributed to this correction in the BTC price: 1. profit-taking: a fter a strong bull rally in recent weeks, many institutional and retail investors decided to lock in profits, leading to selling pressure. 2. Market liquidity: Weekend moves are often amplified by lower liquidity on exchanges, which can exacerbate declines when there is an increase in BTC supply. 3. Macroeconomic data and Fed expectations: uncertainty about future interest rate decisions by the U.S. Federal Reserve has affected risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. 4. Movements in portfolios of large holders (“whales”): On-chain data shows that some large portfolios transferred significant volumes of BTC to exchanges, a signal that often precedes massive sales. Technical Outlook: What to expect? From a technical point of view, the fall led BTC/USD to test key support levels. Currently the price is trading at $93490, if the price manages to recover above $97000 during this week, we could see a technical rebound in the short term. However, if the selling pressure persists and support gives way, the next bearish target is at $90,800. Technical indicators reinforce the uncertainty: - RSI (Relative Strength Index): Over the weekend, BTC entered an oversold zone, although it has shown a slight recovery to 43.40%, suggesting a possible rebound in the coming sessions. - 50/100-day moving average: On Saturday, the price pierced the 50-day moving average to the downside, adding the 100-day moving average as a reinforcement of that trend, which casts doubt on the continuation of the uptrend of the past few weeks. Without a quick recovery, we could be looking at a deeper correction. - Control Point (POC): The current control point in the long term is located around $103,000, this is the bullish possibility we are talking about as a continuation of this trend. Conclusion Despite the fall, Bitcoin remains within a long-term bullish structure. However, the coming sessions will be decisive in defining whether the recent correction is just a breather within the rally or the beginning of a more prolonged trend reversal. The market reaction in the coming days and the evolution of macroeconomic factors will set the direction of BTC/USD in the short and medium term. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:BTCUSDShort
by ActivTrades
Bitcoin Plunges to $91K Amid Market TurmoilThe cryptocurrency market has been rattled as Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) nosedived 16% to $91,000, triggering concerns among investors. This steep drop comes amid broader market sell-offs, with Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) and leading meme coins shedding nearly 20% of their value. The primary catalyst? Speculations of a trade war fueled by U.S. President Donald Trump's latest tariffs. Technical Analysis Bitcoin's price plummeted to an intraday low of $91,242, marking one of its most significant drops in recent months. Despite rebounding slightly to $94K, BTC’s movement reflects extreme volatility. Key technical indicators suggest: - Support Levels: The next critical support zone lies near $90K, a psychological level that, if broken, could lead to further declines. - Resistance Levels: BTC faces immediate resistance at $100K, with further upside contingent on market recovery. - Liquidations: Over $397 million worth of CRYPTOCAP:BTC long positions were liquidated in the past 24 hours, amplifying selling pressure. - Bitcoin Dominance: BTC dominance surged 2.76% to 61.38%, indicating that altcoins are suffering heavier losses compared to Bitcoin. Additionally, the 9.5% drop in the total crypto market cap to $3.04 trillion, alongside a 182% increase in trading volume to $286.91 billion**, signals panic-driven trading behavior. Trade War Fears & Market Uncertainty The backdrop for this crypto crash is rooted in macroeconomic developments, particularly **Donald Trump’s new tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China**. The prospect of escalating trade tensions has spooked global investors, leading to a risk-off sentiment across financial markets. Key fundamental factors contributing to Bitcoin’s decline: 1. Global Trade War Speculations – Trump's tariff policy has sparked fears of retaliatory measures, which could weaken global economic stability and reduce institutional appetite for risk assets like cryptocurrencies. 2. Market Liquidations – Over $2 billion worth of crypto liquidations occurred in the past 24 hours, intensifying downward momentum. 3. Investor Sentiment Shift – Uncertainty prevails as market participants remain divided, with some anticipating a rebound while others brace for further declines. 4. Macroeconomic Headwinds – Broader economic factors, including inflation concerns and regulatory uncertainties, add pressure to BTC's price action. What’s Next for Bitcoin? While the current downturn is causing fear, Bitcoin has historically demonstrated resilience in the face of macroeconomic turmoil. The coming days will be critical, with key factors to watch including: - $90K Support Test – If Bitcoin holds this level, a relief rally could follow, potentially targeting $100K resistance. - Macroeconomic Developments – Any updates on the global trade situation or Federal Reserve monetary policy could influence BTC’s trajectory. - Institutional Interest – Large players may use this dip as a buying opportunity, injecting fresh liquidity into the market. Conclusion Bitcoin's 16% crash to $91K reflects a combination of technical breakdowns and macroeconomic pressures. While uncertainty looms, BTC remains a key asset in the crypto ecosystem, with historical recoveries following major dips. As the market navigates trade war fears, investors should remain cautious, keeping an eye on support levels and potential rebounds.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
1
BTC updateThe Illusion of Certainty in Markets & The science of Bias In trading, the desire for certainty is one of the most dangerous psychological pitfalls a trader can fall into. While BTC may be displaying bullish behavior, the fact remains that we cannot "know" what will happen next. This fundamental truth often clashes with human nature, as our brains are wired to seek patterns and predictability. However, markets are probabilistic, not deterministic. As price unfolds, the picture becomes clearer , not because the market is revealing some preordained script, but because each new piece of data refines our understanding of probabilities. The most successful traders accept this reality and remain fluid, adjusting their perspectives as new information becomes available. The science of Encoding Poor Information One of the greatest cognitive traps traders fall into is becoming married to their desires or biases. This happens because of the way our brain encodes information: 1. Dopaminergic Reinforcement - When we form an expectation (e.g., "BTC is bullish, so it must go higher"), and the market moves in our favour, our brain releases dopamine , reinforcing the belief that we were "right." - This creates a confirmation loop, we start filtering information to support our bias and dismiss evidence that contradicts it. 2. Cognitive Rigidity & Belief Encoding - The prefrontal cortex , responsible for rational thinking, is often overridden by the limbic system , which governs emotions and survival instincts. - If we've emotionally attached ourselves to an outcome, our brain literally rewires itself to treat contradicting information as a threat rather than a useful input. 3. Sunk Cost Fallacy & Commitment Bias - The more time and energy we invest into a particular belief, the harder it becomes to let go, even when new information suggests we should. - This is why traders hold onto losing trades , refusing to accept new probabilities because it would require admitting they were wrong. How to Stay Probabilistic & Avoid Mental Traps 1. Detach from Outcomes Focus on executing a well-defined process , not on proving your prediction was "right." 2. Constant Re-Evaluation Every new price movement should be treated as new information that either strengthens or weakens existing probabilities. 3. Active Neutrality Never assign a fixed narrative (e.g., "BTC is going to explode higher"). Instead, frame it probabilistically: - "BTC has an X% probability of continuing higher, but a Y% probability of reversal if conditions change." 4. Train Yourself to Embrace Opposing Views If you are bullish, seek out bearish arguments and assess their validity. 5. Use Mental Stop-Losses for Biases Just as we place stop-losses on trades, we must be willing to "cut" faulty narratives when price action disproves them. Final Thought The market is not a certainty machine—it is a probability engine . The sooner a trader embraces uncertainty, the sooner they free themselves from emotional bias. Traders don’t predict, they adapt. It’s not about being right. It’s about staying on the right side of probability.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by SERVER_SEVEN
Watching for 98.2K resistance for short entryMorning folks, So, this week / our DRPO "Sell" pattern is one step closer to confirmation and has a good chances to start working this week. Meantime, due to weekend collapse BTC now is overextended. The problem is not about BTC itself but in jump of the USD, triggered by Donny's tariffs. We suggest to get technical rally, back to ~98.2K resistance area and consider short entry there if DRPO still will be OK. If DRPO will be confirmed this week, its target stands around 81K support area. So, it is worthy to pay attention to...
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sive-Morten
Strong correction for #bitcoin. What now?Bitcoin’s Weekend Correction: A Deep Dive into Fundamentals, Technicals & Market Sentiment Bitcoin experienced a significant correction over the weekend. This move was driven by a combination of fundamental factors, technical breakdowns, and broader market sentiment. Let’s break it down: --- 📌 Fundamental Analysis: What Triggered the Drop? 1️⃣ Geopolitical Tensions & Trade Policy Former U.S. President Donald Trump announced new tariffs on imports from China, Canada, and Mexico. These trade measures raised concerns over potential inflationary effects, which could delay any Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. With interest rates remaining high, risk assets like Bitcoin face selling pressure from institutional investors. --- 2️⃣ Institutional Selling & Market Liquidity Large institutions and whales may have taken profits near key resistance zones. Liquidity was relatively low over the weekend, meaning smaller sell-offs triggered larger downward moves. --- 📉 Technical Analysis: Breakdown of Key Levels Bitcoin’s price action followed classic technical breakdown patterns, accelerating the sell-off: ✅ Major Support Levels: GETTEX:92K → Held briefly before breaking lower. GETTEX:87K → Psychological level, but weak buying interest. $74K → A crucial demand zone where BTC could stabilize. ❌ Resistance to Watch for a Recovery: $106K → If BTC reclaims this level, bullish momentum could return. --- 🌍 Market Sentiment: Correlation With Traditional Markets 🔻 Stock Market Influence: The recent sell-off in the Nasdaq (due to uncertainty in AI stocks) contributed to Bitcoin’s correction. The crypto market remains highly correlated with broader financial trends, especially during times of market stress. --- 📅 Historical Trends: February Bullishness Historically, February is a strong month for Bitcoin, with an average price increase of 15.66%. While short-term volatility persists, past data suggests a potential recovery in the coming weeks. 🔗 Bitcoin’s February performance history --- 💡 What’s Next for Bitcoin? 🔸 Bullish Case: If Bitcoin holds above GETTEX:87K - GETTEX:92K , it could bounce back toward $100K+. A break above $106K would signal a renewed bullish trend. 🔹 Bearish Case: Failure to reclaim GETTEX:92K could lead to a retest of $74K. Increased selling pressure from institutions or worsening macroeconomic conditions could prolong the correction. --- 📣 Final Thoughts: Buy the Dip or More Downside? Bitcoin’s correction wasn’t unexpected, given macroeconomic uncertainty and technical resistance levels. However, with the halving approaching and historical February trends in mind, the market could be setting up for a strong recovery.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by RidgerR
Bitcoin big dump🔸 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Sideways: Bitcoin is consolidating within a clear sideways range of GETTEX:89K - $110K, Liquidity is being absorbed within this range, and market makers (MM) seem comfortable maintaining this structure for now. This suggests a deliberate effort to trap liquidity before a significant move. 🔸 Key Support Zone The GETTEX:89K - GETTEX:92K zone remains a strong accumulation area, providing an ideal entry point for long-term investors. This level has consistently acted as a solid support, making it a crucial zone for risk-managed trades. 🔸 Upside Target: A breakout above $110K would validate a bullish push toward $140K-$180K. 🔸 Risk: Macroeconomic and fundamental risks, such as Trump Coin and the Forbes report on Michael Saylor, add caution to the market. However, we are still far from a critical danger level—it would take at least 4-5 major warning signs before a significant market downturn becomes more likely. From an institutional perspective, BlackRock recently acquired 30K BTC in January, reinforcing a long-term bullish outlook. Their continued accumulation indicates confidence in Bitcoin's future price appreciation. However, short-term shakeouts remain possible as market makers attempt to remove weak hands. 🔸 Action Plan: No-Trade Zone: BTC’s current price action in the middle of the range is risky, as MM are manipulating liquidity on both sides. Buy at GETTEX:89K - GETTEX:92K , hold for breakout, and take short-term profits at $100K-$110K. BTC remains range-bound, requiring patience from traders and investors. While major institutions continue accumulating, the next few months will be crucial. If warning signs escalate (reaching 4-5 major risk events), it will be time to exit positions. Until then, traders should focus on trading within the range, managing risk carefully, and avoiding unnecessary euphoria.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoSkullSignal
Bitcoin: Current Price Action & Key LevelsHey everyone! 👋 Let’s break down what’s happening with Bitcoin’s price and the key levels we need to watch. Current Market Outlook After a period of stagnation, Bitcoin has finally broken out of its range and is showing active movement. The price continues to form an inverted wedge, indicating high volatility and the potential for a sharp move soon. Right now: ✔ The price has tested key resistance levels and faced strong selling pressure. ✔ Trading volumes remain below average, suggesting indecision among market participants. ✔ The futures market shows increasing interest in short positions, reflecting cautious sentiment. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch 📍 Resistance: $110,000–$112,000 – A crucial zone; a breakout could confirm a bullish move. 📍 Support: $90,000 – The nearest level that could prevent further decline. 📍 Major Support: $85,000 – A potential target if the correction deepens. 📊 Possible Scenarios 🔹 Bullish Scenario: If Bitcoin holds above $112K, we could see new highs and continued upward momentum. 🔻 Bearish Scenario: If the price loses $90K, the decline could accelerate, leading to a test of $85K. ⚠ Reminder! In times of uncertainty, proper risk management is crucial—watch volume trends and avoid making emotional decisions. 💬 What’s your take? Where do you see Bitcoin heading next? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 🚀 Stay tuned and let’s watch how this unfolds! Your Kateryna💋
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by RocketBomb
4
BTC LONG TP:115,000 29-01-2025Bitcoin has executed a manipulative movement as we anticipated, resulting in our stop from the previous trade being hit. However, this situation has now paved the way for a new take-profit target that is set above 115,000. In this context, we are looking to establish a long position with a relatively wide stop, as the potential for profit is significant. Over the next 4 to 5 days, it is crucial that we reach 115,000; otherwise, the position will be considered invalid.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by ReyDragon21
Let’s be realistic...Hello, dear friends! 🫶What to Expect After the Correction?🧐 Let’s be realistic —at this point, it’s nearly impossible to predict with 100% certainty where Bitcoin will go after the correction.🤷🏽‍♀️ I know many of us are hoping for a new bull run (myself included), but unrealistic expectations can be far worse than sober analysis . That’s why I suggest we consider a few possible scenarios to protect ourselves and prepare for any outcome. Here’s the plan I’ve laid out for You today: Daily Chart Analysis The current Bitcoin price action appears to be in a distribution phase. If this phase plays out fully, we could see the price drop to around $85,000. What happens next? After reaching this level, the price is likely to bounce upward. This could be an opportunity for cautious long trades. Scenario 1: Bullish The $100,000–$102,000 zone will be a critical threshold. If the price confidently breaks above this level, it will signal bullish sentiment in the market, paving the way for further growth. The next major resistance level to watch is $108,500. This is a key level that must be overcome for the bull run to continue. However, be cautious of fake breakouts—they happen frequently and can trap traders. If we break through these levels and the rally continues, then… to the moon! 🚀 Scenario 2: Bearish We can’t ignore the bearish scenario—being informed is being prepared. After the correction (potentially to $85,000), we might see the price bounce back to the $100,000–$102,000 zone. In my view, this level will be critical. If the price fails to hold above this zone and heads into a deeper correction, it will signal bearish sentiment and dominance of the bears in the market. Personal Observations In times of uncertainty, emotions run high. Everyone expects growth, and when someone draws downward arrows on the chart, it often sparks aggression. Let’s try to be kinder and more tolerant toward each other—it’s just the market, after all. What’s Your Take?What scenario do You see playing out? Do You have your own charts to share? Drop them in the comments—I’d love to see Your perspectives! Always Yours, Kateryna 💛
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by RocketBomb
5