BTCUSDbuying btcusd
sl 84035
tp 109000
1% risk each trade
like an follow
long on btcusd
breakout trade
BTCUSD trade ideas
Bullish rise?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 81,863.58
1st Support: 76,689.89
1st Resistance: 94,753.96
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* 4/20 - BTC Elliot Wave Update *Hello again fellow gamlers!
Just a dropping a quick update before the beginning of this week!
Let me know what you think!
BTCUSD Sell Signal @ 85100A bearish signal has been triggered for Bitcoin against the US Dollar at the 85,100 level. This indicates a potential trend reversal or correction from recent highs, suggesting sellers may be stepping in at this price point. Traders might consider this an opportunity to short BTCUSD or take profits on long positions. As always, proper risk management and confirmation from additional technical indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD, trendlines) are recommended before taking action.
w3 april . zoomed out2h timeframe to show on the bigger picture what i was looking for in terms of SHORT at pwHigher Range, to get the lower bigger LONG entry, but as visible here better, the SHORT wasnt strong enough. Trade the trend, meaning, BULLISH wOpen.
w3 april . recap it's been a sideways week. was mainly gonna look for short to lower and bigger entry level for this pwUptrend. The short wasnt strong enough though. we're crawling upwards. bullish weekly open. trade the trend.
BTCUSD 15MIN RESULT -TP HIT!!TP Hit!!! been a couple hours but it played out.. Look at last post why I took this trade.
BTC buy projection.On the daily timeframe btc has created a mini chart of head and shoulders bottom.
Head and Shoulders is à strong buy signal.
If this pattern hold we might start seeing the move to 110k btc soon.
Bitcoin: Watch For These Break Out Scenarios.Bitcoin is consolidating within a very tight range: between 83 and 86K. Which way it breaks is a matter of catalyst, but recognizing the break can help to better shape expectations on this time horizon. IF 83K breaks, I will be watching for the higher low scenario (see blue square), for confirmations to go long. IF 86K breaks, I will be anticipating a test of the 88 K resistance (see arrow). What happens after that is anyone's guess. This is NOT about forecasting the future, it is about considering multiple scenarios and then adjusting as the market offers new information.
This evaluation can be helpful on multiple time frames if you know how to use it. For example, a break of the 83K support can be a great day trade opportunity on time frames like the 5 minute. A test of the 78K to 80K area followed by a confirmation can offer a long opportunity on the swing trade or day trade time frames. A test of the 88K or 90K resistance levels can offer aggressive short opportunities on smaller time frames as well. You have to be prepared for the possibility of the corresponding pattern to appear (bullish/bearish reversal) and confirmation. From there risk can be effectively quantified and taking action becomes reasonable.
Getting stuck on 1 scenario rather then being prepared for multiple possibilities makes you inflexible because there is NO precision in financial markets (unless you're on the micro structure level MOST retail traders are NOT). The scenarios I explained here can unfold over the week or take longer, AGAIN is it a matter of catalyst or surprise news event.
As far as the bigger picture, nothing has changed. The 76K AREA low is a double bottom, which translates into a broader higher low when you look back over the year. This higher low structure implies Bitcoin is still generally BULLISH which means betting on resistance levels can be considered a lower probability outcome. This also means current prices are still attractive investment levels as long as you are sizing strategically. IF price manages to break below 65K over the next quarter, then I would say investing should be more limited since such a break implies the impulse structure is no longer in play.
Other than that, seasonal volume typically peaks around this time of year in the stock market, which means the next few months are more likely to be less eventful and contain smaller price ranges etc. There are always exceptions and news catalysts will still cause price spikes, but the dramatic nature like we have seen will likely be smaller. So unless there are any surprises in Bitcoin, be prepared for slow grinds or less eventful movements generally speaking.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTC WITH 1400+ BULLISH PIPSI missed the FALL but will not miss the RISE,
Let it btc rise after all christ has risen
If the market reaches the $88,490 level, we'll look for selling.BTCUSDT Weekly Analysis: Navigating the Range-Bound Market
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading in a range-bound market, showcasing a delicate balance between buying and selling pressures. As traders, it's essential to identify key levels and potential trading opportunities.
Key Selling Area: $88,490
We've identified a crucial selling area at $88,490, where sellers are actively participating. This level has the potential to cap upward movements, and we're waiting for the market to reach this zone.
Trading Strategy:
1. Sell Setup: If the market reaches the $88,490 level, we'll look for selling opportunities, targeting lower levels and taking advantage of potential downward momentum.
2. Alternative Scenario: If the market doesn't reach the $88,490 zone, we'll wait for a clear breakdown from the current range, with a candle closing below the range. This would signal a potential shift in market sentiment.
Market Outlook:
The range-bound market presents both challenges and opportunities. By monitoring key levels and waiting for confirmation, we can make informed trading decisions and navigate the markets effectively.
What to Watch:
1. $88,490 Level: A key selling area that could determine the next move.
2. Range Boundaries: Monitoring the current range and waiting for a breakdown or breakout.
3. Market Sentiment: Keeping an eye on market sentiment and adjusting our strategy accordingly.
By staying vigilant and adapting to market conditions, we can capitalize on potential trading opportunities and navigate the complexities of the cryptocurrency market.
Bitcoin is going higherThrough my analysis I have seen that Bitcoin is gonna move a little higher until Monday on New York station we know that the market will make a new high from the last week though
Bitcoin may see $67k - Monthly timeframeHere is the monthly chart of the bitcoin. Based on price action analysis, we have a broad bull channel. We can see 2 price action signs here:
1- Second leg in the bull channel, we call it second leg trap
2- A climactic move to the top of the channel (biggest bull bar late in the trend)
Given the context, there is 60% chance that we see the bottom of the climactic move, which is $67,000.
The pessimistic perspective is that the bitcoin may see and test the bottom of the channel, around $50k.
A Bear Cycle has been started. BTC is now entering in it's bearish cycle. So avoid buying and start shorting/selling it.
BTCUSD - Technical Structure Shows Bullish Continuation AheadBitcoin is currently showing signs of strength as it consolidates around the $85,000 level, with technical evidence suggesting a higher probability move to the upside. The chart depicts a recovery from the recent support zone (highlighted in blue) around $76,000-$77,000, with price action forming a series of higher lows since early April. While some short-term volatility may persist, the overall structure appears bullish as BTC continues to hold above the critical $85,000 horizontal level. Traders should watch for a potential pullback before the anticipated upward continuation, as suggested by the brief downward movement in the arrow pattern, which could offer an attractive entry opportunity before the next leg higher.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin needs a upward correction.Market needs to full fill the upper side liquidity. BTC funding rate is also increasing. so there is a good possibility market will cover up the up side liquidity.
BTC Setup SundayBitcoin’s short- to medium-term outlook is cautiously constructive but nuanced by mixed signals across on-chain fundamentals, technicals, and market flows.
On-Chain Fundamentals:
Network security remains robust with rising hash-rate and difficulty, supporting long-term confidence. Active addresses and transaction volumes are stable, indicating steady user engagement. Whale supply share is stable, showing no aggressive accumulation or distribution, which suggests no imminent large-scale directional shifts from major holders. MVRV metrics place Bitcoin in a mid-optimism phase, implying moderate valuation support but not exuberance.
Technical Signals:
Short-term (15m to 1d) technicals show consolidation with a slight bullish bias—MACD bullish crossovers and neutral RSI support potential breakouts near $85,000 resistance. However, overbought Stochastic RSI and weekly bearish patterns (Double Top, Three Black Crows) caution against strong upward conviction without confirmation. The weekly MACD remains bearish but narrowing, hinting at a possible trend reversal if momentum builds.
Exchange Liquidity & Fund Flows:
Institutional fund flows have been negative for three consecutive weeks, with significant Bitcoin outflows totaling $751m last week, reflecting risk aversion amid macro uncertainty (tariffs, rising yields). Outflows are broad-based geographically and across product types, indicating widespread caution rather than localized profit-taking. Short Bitcoin products also saw outflows, suggesting reduced bearish positioning.
Whale Movements:
Whale supply remains steady without notable accumulation or distribution, implying that large holders are currently sidelined or holding, which reduces the risk of sudden large sell-offs but also limits strong buying pressure.
Trading Opportunities & Risks
Opportunities:
A confirmed daily close above $85,310 with volume surge could trigger a momentum-driven breakout trade targeting $95,000 and beyond.
Short-term bullish reversal patterns and MACD signals support tactical long entries on dips near demand zones (~$77,000-$83,000).
Range-bound trading between $77k demand and FWB:88K supply zones offers mean-reversion setups with defined risk.
Risks:
Overbought Stochastic RSI and weekly bearish patterns warn of potential pullbacks or failed breakouts.
Continued institutional outflows and macro uncertainty may suppress sustained rallies.
Failure to break above $85,310 resistance could lead to consolidation or retracement toward lower support levels.
Summary:
Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase with a slight bullish tilt but faces key resistance near $85,000. On-chain strength and stable whale behavior provide a solid foundation, yet institutional caution and mixed technical signals advise prudence. Traders should watch for breakout confirmation or signs of rejection at supply zones, balancing momentum and mean-reversion strategies accordingly.
BTC TARGETTING $90KBTC recently dipped to the 83K level before bouncing to around 84K. It appears to be pulling back to retest support at 83K. If it holds, we could see a move toward the previously tested 87K level, with an untested target at 90K. However, if 83K support fails, 72K becomes the confirmed downside target.
“Does size matter?” when it comes to backtesting?It’s the kind of question that gets a few smirks, sure. But when it comes to backtesting trading strategies, it’s not a joke, it’s the difference between confidence and false hope.
Let’s get real for a minute: the size of your candles absolutely matters.
What you don’t see can hurt you
Most people start testing on bigger timeframes. It’s faster, easier on the eyes, and the results look clean. But clean doesn’t mean correct.
Larger candles blur the details. That one nice-looking 4-hour candle? Inside, price could’ve spiked, reversed, chopped around, or triggered your stop before closing where it did. You’d never know. And that’s the problem.
You might think your entry worked beautifully… but only because the data smoothed out everything that actually happened.
A backtest should feel like a real trade
Trading isn't just about the final price. It’s about what price does to get there. That messy movement inside the candle? That’s where most trades are made or broken.
If your strategy is even remotely reactive, waiting for structure, confirmation, retests, or anything time-sensitive, you need to see what price did between the open and close.
And the only way to see that? Use smaller candles.
Smaller data, clearer picture
1-minute candles might look overwhelming at first, but they give you something the higher timeframes just can’t: behavior.
Not just outcomes. Not just win/loss stats. But the actual shape of the move, the hesitation, the fakeouts, the precise moment when the trade made sense—or didn’t.
And once you start testing with that level of detail, your strategy either earns your trust… or shows its cracks.
So how small should you go?
There’s no one-size-fits-all here. But as a general rule: if your idea relies on precision, go small. Test it on 1-minute or 5-minute charts, even if you plan to execute on higher timeframes. You’ll quickly see if the entry makes sense, or if you’ve been relying on candle-close hindsight.
Yes, it takes longer. Yes, you’ll stare at noisy charts for hours. But your strategy will thank you.
Watch out for “too good to be true”
One last thing, if your backtest results look flawless on 1h or 4h candles, pause. That’s often a sign that you’re testing a story, not a strategy.
Zoom in. See what actually happens. You might be surprised at how different the same trade looks when you’re not glossing over the details.
TL;DR:
In backtesting, size absolutely matters. Smaller candles reveal real behavior. Bigger ones hide the truth. So if you care about how your strategy actually performs not just how it looks.
go smaller. Your backtesting will get sharper, and your confidence? Way more earned.
15 Mins BTCUSDOn 15min timeframe Price breaks trendline to the upside. Enter on first Blue candle that close above trendline, Stops at pervious support level and go for risk 1 to 1.5.
BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs U.S.Dollar" Crypto Market Heist (Swing/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
🏁Buy entry above 89000
🏁Sell Entry below 81000
📌However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side.
Stop Loss 🛑:
🚩Thief SL placed at 84000 for Bullish Trade
🚩Thief SL placed at 88000 for Bearish Trade
Using the 4H period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
🏴☠️Bullish Robbers TP 99000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🏴☠️Bearish Robbers TP 72000 (or) Escape Before the Target
BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs U.S.Dollar" Crypto Market Heist Plan is currently experiencing a neutral trend,., driven by several key factors.
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⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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BTCUSD Eyes Reversal at $83,642 – Key Bounce Zone Ahead!Price is completing a potential bullish harmonic move toward the $83,642 zone, which aligns with a strong support level. If buyers step in here, we may see a reversal toward $84,591 and possibly higher. However, if $83,411 breaks, downside risk increases.
🟢 Watch for bullish price action near $83,642
🔴 Invalidation below $83,411
📈 Previous rejection from $85,822 led to current pullback
