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BTCUSD trade ideas

Bitcoin Gann Cycle Projection: 2025 Top Near 0.75?This chart applies the Gann Square of 9 over the last three Bitcoin cycles, each normalized in both time and price using log scale. 🔹 Cycle Durations: 1st cycle: 1064 days 2nd cycle: 1064 days Current (projected): 1064 days 🔹 Cycle Tops by Time Division (of full Gann square): Cycle 1 top: ~0.125 (1/8) Cycle 2 top: ~0.382 (between 0.382 and 0.5) Current cycle (2025) is projected to top near 0.75 (3/4), which historically marks the later phases of Gann harmonic progression. 🔹 Price-Time Symmetry: All three cycles align with the Gann square grid, showing how BTC tends to follow harmonic time levels: 0.125 0.25 0.382 0.5 0.618 0.75 (projected top) 🌀 This follows a 1 → 3 → 6 harmonic expansion sequence, reflecting Gann’s time geometry more than Fibonacci. 📅 Projected top timing: Around October 20, 2025 💰 Potential price zone: ~$124,000, intersecting Gann resistance at the 0.75 time level.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by msezng
1
Bitcoin Loses The TenkanToday, I’m revisiting the Ichimoku Cloud system – a tool I used extensively in the past and still find incredibly useful for adding context to market structure. While I don’t use it as a primary system these days, it’s a fantastic way to gain a different perspective on price action, trend strength, and key support/resistance areas. The Ichimoku system, at its core, helps traders see the bigger picture at a glance by combining several indicators into a single, cohesive framework. Looking at Bitcoin’s daily chart through this lens, we see that the price has lost the Tenkan-Sen as support. The Tenkan-Sen – or conversion line – acts as a dynamic gauge of short-term momentum, and losing it can be a warning sign that momentum is stalling. The next logical level to watch is the Kijun-Sen – or baseline – which sits in the 94,000–95,000 range. A test of this level would align with a potential period of consolidation or pullback unless Bitcoin can reclaim the Tenkan-Sen quickly. It's also worth noting the Kumo twist – a shift in the color of the cloud from red to green – which signals a potential change in the longer-term trend bias. This is typically viewed as a bullish sign, especially when price is above the cloud itself. However, the Kumo twist alone isn’t a buy signal – it simply tells us the trend bias is starting to shift, and we still need price to hold above key support levels to confirm it. Overall, while the cloud remains bullish with price above it and the Kumo twist suggesting a shift in sentiment, losing the Tenkan-Sen is a yellow flag. It’s not a full reversal signal, but it does suggest caution in the short term. If Bitcoin can hold above the Kijun-Sen and reclaim the Tenkan-Sen, the uptrend remains intact. But if we see a deeper move into the cloud, that could signal a more prolonged consolidation or even a correction. This isn’t a forecast – just a reminder to stay balanced, challenge our own biases, and use different tools to see the market from multiple angles.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ScottMelker
BITCOIN BULLISH TO $116,000 (UPDATE)Bitcoin has come very close to our $116,000 target, peaking at $112,000 just $4,000 away from our TP. I still believe BTC prices will push higher for sure. But my only concern right now is will BTC have a huge correction ( Minor Wave 4) before it moves back up again? If it does then I'll most likely cash out my buy positions soon for my Crypto Fund investors, as we've already made decent profits & it is not worth holding on too much longer & risking it.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BA_Investments
BTCUSD Breakdown Incoming? 4H Chart Flags Key Bearish Entry🔵 Entry Point (Sell Limit / Market Entry) • Around $104,600 – $104,700 This area aligns with the retest of the descending trend line and a weak resistance zone. Price is reacting negatively after hitting this level. 🟥 Stop Loss • $107,060 Placed just above the weak resistance. This protects the trade in case price breaks structure and invalidates the bearish setup. 🟩 Take Profit Targets 1. TP1: $101,818 (Support 1) o First major support zone; price has bounced here previously. 2. TP2: $98,020 (Support 2) o Deeper support and more aggressive target. Aligned with previous wick lows. 🔺 Chart Observations • Trend Line: Still intact and respected. Price rejected it on the latest retest. • Structure: Lower highs and lower lows show bearish momentum. • Volume/Volatility: Tapering candles around resistance indicate weakening bullish attempts. • Risk-to-Reward o TP1 R:R ≈ 1.3:1 o TP2 R:R ≈ 2.5:1+ ⚠️ Scalper Note If you’re trading this as a scalp, consider securing partial profits at TP1 and moving SL to breakeven to protect gains. Volatility around macro events or news (like the red event icons near June 3–5) could trigger wicks. Would you like me to add RSI, MACD, or EMA confluence to strengthen the setup further?
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by SupertradeOfficial
1
BTC/USD | Potential Bearish Swing – Triple TP Setup from Key📉 Idea Description: Bitcoin is currently facing resistance around the $104,500–$105,000 zone after a strong bullish run. A rejection from this level can trigger a potential short opportunity with a high risk-to-reward ratio. The market structure shows signs of weakness on the daily chart with lower highs forming and momentum fading. A rejection at this level opens the door for a deeper correction toward major support zones. --- 📌 Trade Setup Details: Entry: $104,508 (Current Market Price) Stop Loss: $110,212 (Above recent swing high) 🎯 Take Profit Targets: TP1: $93,546 (Short-term support) TP2: $83,318 (Mid-range zone) TP3: $74,354 (Strong daily demand zone) --- 📌 Trade Idea Summary: Timeframe: 1D Bias: Bearish R:R Ratio: Favorable (~1:3+) Strategy: Reversal from supply zone / Trend exhaustion 📛 Always use proper risk management. This is not financial advice—shared for educational purposes.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Pro_Singnals
1
Bitcoin Long Term ProjectionI'm expecting bitcoin to keep dropping below $100k and possibly fluctuate between $103k down to $98k for a while eventually eventually taking out a point of liquidity around the $92.5k level which could provide a short term retracement back into the $100k levels. Until the imbalance around the $87k level is tapped I don't see the possibility of Bitcoin making any new ATHs. Even if this imbalance is filled it could only provide short term bullish momentum which would continue to fuel the bears and continue to push the price into low $70k levels.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by FXDSniper
MEGAPHONE ALERT! BTC 1H Outlook🧩 Megaphone Formation (Broadening Wedge) Volatility expanding inside a widening range Price now testing the Fib cluster (0.66–0.618) between 105,568–105,987 RSI at 66.3, nearing overbought — pressure is building Volume surging above 20-period MA → breakout imminent 🎯 Key Confluences: Upper Bollinger Band: 105,950 Mid BB (Basis): 105,110 Lower BB: 104,342 55 SMA: 104,500 SL Zone (Invalidation): Above 106,500 (upper wick resistance) 🔻 Bearish Breakdown Scenario: Loss of 105,100 and breakdown from lower wedge line RSI drops < 45 + volume spike → hedge confirmation Targets: 104,000 → 102,500 🔺 Bullish Breakout Scenario: Close above 106,000–106,500 with volume Targets: 107,800 → 108,900 Manage with trailing stops — things will be quick! ⚠️ Summary: Megaphone = Volatility Bomb Stay nimble. If BTC fails at this Fib zone, the breakdown will be fast and decisive. If it breaks out, bulls might squeeze higher but need volume to sustain it.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by BitcoinMillio18
2
$BTC outlook, TOP or NOT?!Today someone said to me: Bitcoin is not performing well. And I open the charts and see it at almost ATH. We barely missed the longterm target by less than 1% and we have a similar situation like in $SPY. I have reasons to be bullish. I have a voice which is getting cautious, at least if we dont stay up this month. Worst case would be a drop under 90k, it would mark the top for a longer time in my eyes. Against all the sayings 'its healthy if we go down, after we can have a rally', my opinion is: we should stay UP this month - then we can flash a longterm trend (until end of nov, a bit longer than AMEX:SPY ) and end up in a range from 155k to 260k. Im just long spot and my capacity is maxed out for crypto (Im long BITSTAMP:ETHUSD and BITSTAMP:BTCUSD only), IF we get a bullish continuation in weekly (which will be clear over next 2 weeks) I go trough NASDAQ:MSTR into more exposure, even if I hate the stock. My outlook right now: if we can stay up this month we will probably get a nice rally and top end of year. I hope Im right. best wishes for your trades and risk management, peace!
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by TiMMiT
1
Bitcoin triangle signals drop toward 95kBitcoin is forming a clear triangle pattern after a failed breakout above all-time highs. The pattern suggests a move down to 95k if price breaks below 103k. Some signs even point to a head and shoulders, with targets near 93k. Fundamentals back the bearish case. ISM Services fell below 50, ADP jobs missed badly, and NFP could be the trigger. Will weak data send BTC lower or hold the line? Watch the full analysis and share your take. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSD
by ThinkMarkets
BTCUSD Approaching Support Trendline | Potential Bullish ContinuBitcoin (BTCUSD) is showing a potential bullish continuation pattern on the 15-minute chart. Price is currently near a rising trendline support, with a possible bounce forming. The projected move suggests a strong upside if the support holds. Key levels to monitor include the recent low around 104,773 and upside target near 107,000. The setup indicates a favorable risk-reward structure. This is a technical analysis perspective and intended for charting reference.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by UAE_USA_GOLD_TRADERS
Market next move 1. Bearish Rejection Zone The red box highlights a consolidation/resistance zone. BTC is struggling to break and close above this area. Multiple candle wicks into the zone suggest seller strength. --- 📉 2. Volume Weakness The recent upward candles show lower volume compared to the selling candles before it. This indicates that the buying pressure may be weak, lacking momentum for a breakout. --- 🕳️ 3. False Breakout Trap Risk A fakeout above the resistance box is possible if big players trigger buy orders and then reverse the market, trapping retail traders. --- 🟠 4. Bearish Divergence (if confirmed by RSI or MACD) Without indicators shown, if momentum indicators like RSI/MACD display divergence (price up but momentum down), it’s a bearish signal.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
BTCUSD HTF cycle analysis Hi, I’m from Phoenix FX, and today I’ll be sharing my perspective on Bitcoin (BTC) price action based on the higher timeframes. I’ll also give you my outlook on potential trade setups for today and tomorrow. Please remember that this is not financial advice—use this information as a guide only. If you find it helpful, don’t forget to like and share it with your like-minded communities. Higher Timeframe Analysis In my view, BTC tends to follow clear bullish and bearish cycle zones. Typically, we see a pump to new all-time highs (ATH), followed by the formation of resistance and a retracement down to a key support level. Our trading approach focuses on identifying those critical support and resistance levels, with some interim trades based on shorter-term analysis—occasionally even counter-trend, depending on the day’s market bias. Over the past eight years, BTC has respected a major trend resistance line. The most recent ATH, around $112K, reconfirmed the relevance of this trendline. This makes it a valuable tool for projecting future ATH levels. Looking ahead, I expect a move towards the $115K level in the coming weeks. This would likely act as a point of resistance, at which stage we might see a reversal and a drop back down to a key support zone. Trade Setup The chart I'm referencing highlights what I would consider the first premium buy zone, identified using a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). The 50% level of this zone sits at $99,450. If this zone fails to hold, we may drop further to the secondary premium buy zone, which aligns with our higher timeframe (HTF) trend support and a weekly FVG. The 50% level of this deeper zone is around $89,150. A potential long entry at $92,550, with a stop loss around $88,000, offers an excellent risk-to-reward (RR) ratio, targeting a move up to the $115K level. Intraday Outlook For today, I see bearish price action, with potential rejection around the $104,300–$105,000 range. Go short around the $104,750 to $105,000 zone This could lead to a move down toward the lower key zones highlighted in the HTF analysis. I recommend taking partial profits (TP) at every $1,000 increment and setting your stop loss to breakeven (BE) after hitting the first target. Final Thoughts Price action analysis is always subjective, so I’d love to hear your thoughts and ideas in the comments—each one, teach one. Thanks for giving me some of your time. From the Phoenix FX team, have a great weekend!
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by PFXteam
1
$BTC Bullish Structure Intact – Eyes on CPICRYPTOCAP:BTC Bullish Structure Intact – Eyes on CPI Bitcoin is currently consolidating near the $105K region after a strong breakout above previous resistance. The structure remains bullish with clear higher highs and higher lows intact. The ideal re-entry zone for a high-risk-reward setup is between $99K–$100K, aligning with key support and the previous breakout level. If price dips into that zone, it could offer a prime opportunity for long entries. 🔸 Key Support Zone at 99K – 100K: This region offers the best risk-reward re-entry opportunity if market revisits it. Orders are already placed accordingly. 🔸 Upside Target: 110k+ Breakout from the current consolidation is expected to push price toward 110K+, possibly extending into the 115K–120K range forming the final leg of the cup & handle pattern. 🔸 Outlook: Watching CPI release on June 11 – a major macro event that could induce short-term volatility. Expect potential fakeouts or shakeouts around that day. Maintain core holdings and place additional bids around the 99–100K zone in case of CPI-driven dip
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoSkullSignal
Monthly Bearish Divergences Showing Up On a 5 Wave Impulse Move Just like the 5 wave impulse for 2021's top, we have now entered into a 5th wave on the monthly chart. The issue is that we also have a monthly bearish divergence present on the chart. 2021 also had a monthly bearish divergence present. The first one that we saw was in January. We got a 30% correction off of that one. Now we have another monthly bearish divergence present on May's close today with a large selling wick. This is not what you want to see. Of course, the market could just continue going up anyway, but these setups appearing on the monthly chart take a long time to happen. Even if we do go up a little bit more, it would be unwise to ignore this setup appearing on the chart. I am not recommending everyone take short positions, but I am currently short targeting first the 51-54k(wherever weekly 200 SMA will be when heading down) area with a likely retracement into the 80k area after that. Then heading towards a bear market low in 2026. I think we will see the 30k area, but that target is a bit less important than the current setup signaling down on the charts. My short is on 2x leverage with 10% of my total capital even in the trade at a 98,446 average entry. I was an early bear so my entry reflects that. It won't matter at all if the 54k target hits. If we do go up from here, I will average the position once more after which it either liquidates or hits the 54k target. If we do begin playing down aggressively over the next few months, I will begin adding into the short on the way down. This is how you obtain a very favorable RR by being position sized small in a trade that is in drawdown, and then getting more aggressive with size as the position is winning with price 10-20k+ in your favor. At which point you can also set a stop loss at breakeven. Time in the market beats timing the market works in both directions. Let's go over advanced position management techniques as we don't tend to see that discussed here very often. Most people simply have a stop loss and take profit as their primary risk management strategy. A 2x leveraged trade with scaled entries( 1%, double to 2%, double to 4%, and double to 8%) with liquidation as the stop loss really allows you to take advantage of time in the market as well as the market moving against you being an even better opportunity than you started with. You are controlling your maximum risk with the total capital ever allowed in the trade on isolated margin. You must decide what that % is before ever taking a position in the market. Treat every trade as if the entire position can go to 0. Black swans can blow past stop losses. The larger your account perhaps you may want to use no leverage and even less capital %. Pretty much anyone trading above 200-300k would fall into that camp. Anyone trading above $1 million probably wants to scale in at 0.75%, 1.5% and then 3% max capital in the trade. Remember you can always add capital into a winning position, but you cannot take capital out of a losing trade without realizing the loss. A stop loss is not necessary if you position size to lose 100%. A great average monthly return target is 10%. Some months will make nothing, some will be in drawdown or a loss, and some will be very large gains if you add to winning positions. Some years will be much better than others as well. Of course buying bear market lows sets one up to have really good years in peak bull run years. You just want to average 10% per month(3-5% per month for anyone already above $1 million) over the course of decades(Yes I know liquidity becomes an issue at some point it will be obvious to anyone when they have reached that level). It doesn't matter what every single month is individually. Simply reinvesting 20-30% over the course of 10 years, 20 years, and even 30 years is amazing compounded gains. This trading career is a marathon and not a sprint. Don't think how can I get rich off of one trade and change my life today. Think how can I make a consistent % return in the market that compounds to generational wealth over the course of my entire lifetime that changes the lives of all those who come after me.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by DullerCloud69
Bitcoin's at ALL TIME HIGHS and I'm going ALL IN!!As Bitcoin surges to new all-time highs, I've made a pivotal decision: to stop saving in dollars and start holding Bitcoin. Why Bitcoin? Self-Custody: Owning Bitcoin means true ownership. With self-custody, I control my private keys, ensuring my wealth isn't subject to third-party risks like bank failures or government seizures. Declining Dollar Value: The U.S. dollar continues to depreciate due to inflation and economic policies. Holding Bitcoin, a deflationary asset, offers a hedge against this erosion of purchasing power. Global Accessibility: Bitcoin transcends borders, providing financial inclusion for anyone with internet access, especially in regions with unstable currencies. Security and Privacy: With proper self-custody practices, my Bitcoin holdings are secure from hacks and offer enhanced privacy compared to traditional financial systems. As I monitor the BTC/USD daily chart, the trend is clear: Bitcoin isn't just a speculative asset; it's a movement towards financial sovereignty.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by SAT_STACKR
BTC/USD 1H Short-Term🔍1. General Context and Short-Term Trend Short-Term Trend: The last dozen or so candles have shown strong fluctuations — a typical sideways market (consolidation) after a clear upward impulse and a quick drop. The price is currently trading in the range of around $104,900–$106,500. Recent Strong Move: Clear upward impulse from around $104,900 to around $106,900, followed by a quick correction. 📌2. Supports and Resistances (H1) Supports: $105,000–$105,200 — Bottom of local wicks and several demand tests. $104,900 — Lowest point of the last few hours, clear buyer reaction. Resistances: $106,200–$106,400 — Upper area of ​​several candles, strong price rejection. 106,900–107,000 USD – The peak of the last impulse, a place of clear supply. ✅3. Candlestick formations and price action Pin bar / long wick: Candles with long lower wicks are visible around 105,000 USD, which suggests that buyers are defending support. Double top? (Double top): Peaks around 106,900 USD (03.06 and 04.06) – a classic signal of a potential change in direction to the lower. Possible consolidation: The last few hours have been a series of alternating candles, signaling the lack of a clear advantage of bulls or bears. 🧠4. Technical indicators (MACD and RSI) MACD (lower panel) The MACD line crossed the signal line from the bottom to the top, then a quick correction and currently the MACD is close to zero – no clear trend, momentum has slowed down. MACD Histogram: Declining, close to zero, suggesting potential lack of strong trend and possibility of further consolidation. RSI (middle panel) RSI value ~44–48 – not overbought or oversold, neutral market state. No divergence – RSI generally follows price, no strong divergences are visible. RSI bounced off 30 (tested oversold zone and returned to neutral range). 🧠5. What could be important? Volatility Squeeze: Low volatility after a sharp move often heralds another impulse. Potential Fakeout: If support at $104,900 is broken falsely (e.g. quick wick and return), a move up could occur. No clear trend on the hourly chart, rather sideways market in the short term. 📊Summary and scenarios Scenario 1 (bullish): If the $105,000-$104,900 level holds, we can expect a test of $106,200-$106,400 and perhaps another attempt to approach $107,000. Scenario 2 (bearish): If the $104,900 support is broken (with a candle closed below this level), the next target is around $104,500 and below. What to watch out for? Timing of macro data releases - may increase volatility. Sudden breakouts from consolidation - no trend = higher risk of sudden, false moves.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
BITCOIN chart updated Bitcoin Buy Signal Triggered ₿🚀 BTC showing strong bullish momentum after holding key support. Entered long position on breakout above short-term resistance with volume confirmation. Higher lows forming a solid base — structure favors continued upside. Targeting the next resistance zone around , with stop loss below recent swing low. Watching closely for follow-through and potential scaling opportunities. Market sentiment improving — let's see if the bulls can take control. #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #BuyTheDip #BreakoutTrade #CryptoSetup #BullishBias #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis"**
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SadarExplore