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BTCUSD trade ideas

BITCOIN Uptrend Continuation. 177k Target. Wave analysis.Yesterday BTC completed A-B-C (circled) expanding flat correction pattern. After reaching 89k target a strong buy impulse occurred. I expect BTC to surge to 177-172k (primary) and 130k (conservative) targets this year. Targets are based on fibo extension of previous BTC waves (1st and 3rd) an sub waves of the recent wave (1st and 3rd). Invest with care! BTC is highly speculative asset. In 2018 I predicted BTC crash. After publication its price declined on 73%.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by OleksandrSnitko
1
BTC at major Resistance Zone? Will it drop to 102,100 $?COINBASE:BTCUSD is trading in a robust resistance zone that aligns with prior price rejections and key supply levels. This area has in the past attracted strong selling interest, making it a critical point to watch. If bearish confirmation appears, such as strong upper wicks or bearish candlestick patterns, I anticipate a move toward 102,100. Conversely, a break above this level could signal further upside and invalidate the bearish setup. Traders should carefully evaluate price action at this zone before entering positions. Do you see this playing out similarly? Let’s discuss in the comments below!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by TrendDiva
3
Wen Sell BTC ? | Bitcoin Price Action Scenarios for 2025Alexa play the Mingle Game Song “Round and Round” you may watch Squid Game2 and enjoy it but 2025 is exactly the same for crypto market! at some point whales will stop the song and the butchery begins so while you enjoying Moons day you must get ready for Dooms day 2024 was a pivotal year for crypto, setting the stage for what many are calling the "Golden Age of Crypto." While this new era may be upon us, we anticipate that crypto prices will likely peak within the next 12 months, following an exciting rally. However, after reaching this peak, another significant price decline seems inevitable though likely less severe than previous cycles, especially for major cryptocurrencies. If you're unfamiliar with crypto's history, it tends to move in 4year cycles: 3 years of bullish momentum followed by 1 year of a bearish downturn. This pattern has been remarkably consistent so far. The chart you see illustrates this trend, with green lines marking Bitcoin's cycle peaks and red lines indicating the lows. Interestingly, the duration between peaks and troughs has been almost identical across the last three cycles. The time between consecutive peaks is also fairly consistent, though we only have two complete cycles of data to analyze. Based on historical averages, we could expect a peak around October 2025 and a bottom around November 2026. Will it play out exactly like this? Probably not! maybe YES!! markets rarely align so neatly. Plus, these cycles won't last forever; this could very well be the final one. Still, I believe the crypto market will likely top out sometime in 2025 or early 2026, regardless of the bullish catalysts (Trump, crypto ETFs, strategic Bitcoin reserves) In this idea, we gonna talk about : - Potential scenarios for how this cycle might unfold in 2025 - Expected pullbacks during the year - Sell strategy for this cycle The key takeaway is to stay flexible and not fixate on any specific prediction. Understand the possibilities and prepare for unexpected pullbacks or market tops. Knowledge is power, and this idea aims to empower you in what could be one of the most critical years ever for crypto investors. Short Term Expectations & Probabilities Q1 2025: “Death & Taxes” there is a chance for market pullback in early January This outlook is partly based on global liquidity trends and partly on historical performance. For instance, in the 2016-17 bull market, following Trump’s November 2016 victory, Bitcoin saw a December rally before experiencing a steep 38% correction starting January 4th. Let’s Revisit the Last Cycle: Bitcoin Price Action in 2020-21 look at how Bitcoin performed during the 2020-21 bull market. In this cycle, Biden won the election, and crypto markets surged through November and December. However, a significant pullback of 32% began on January 7th—eerily similar to the pattern from the previous cycle. The Role of Seasonality in Markets Markets, at their core, are driven by human behavior. Even with bots and AI handling many trades, these systems operate under human instruction and decision-making. Seasonality often influences market trends, particularly at the start of the year, when pullbacks are common. One key reason? Profit taking for tax efficiency. January Pullbacks In both the 2016 and 2020 cycles, crypto investors had a great year, making January an ideal time to lock in profits. Why not sell in December instead? Selling on December 31st means paying taxes on capital gains by March of the following year in the US By waiting until January 1st, investors effectively defer their tax payments to the next year, giving them an additional 12 months to reinvest their gains before taxes are due. In the crypto space dominated by individual investors with significant gains this tax strategy often amplifies January pullbacks. March Pullbacks Historical data also shows noticeable pullbacks in March: - March 8, 2017 - March 14, 2021 Why? This is when many investors sell to pay their tax bills in the U.S. Some may have sold earlier (e.g., in January) and are now liquidating assets to pay their "loan" from the government. Others may simply need to cash out to meet tax obligations. Even if not all investors are selling for taxes, the narrative surrounding tax-driven March pullbacks tends to perpetuate itself, effectively "meming" these declines into reality. While pullbacks can occur at any time, history suggests that January and March are more likely to see declines for these reasons. May Pullbacks: “Sell in May and Go Away” Looking at broader market trends, it’s worth noting that U.S. stock indexes have historically performed better between November and April compared to May through October. This pattern has held true since the 1970s and often applies to crypto as well. Bitcoin’s Seasonal Struggles: Summer Slump When examining Bitcoin’s average monthly performance since 2010, its four worst-performing months are consistently June, July, August, and September. For a clearer picture, take a look at Bitcoin’s price chart from 2020 to today. Ouch! This aligns with the old investment adage: Sell in May and go away. Judging by Bitcoin’s historical performance, it’s hard to argue with the results. Why Does This Happen? The theory behind this trend may sound a bit absurd, but it’s worth exploring. After May, summer rolls around, and the ultra-wealthy—the bankers, fund managers, and other key players managing the world’s capital tend to take vacations. In the U.S., they head to the Hamptons. In the U.K., it’s Spain, Italy, or Greece. With these power players lounging on their beachfront properties, away from their desks and screens, market activity slows down. Fewer trades mean reduced liquidity, effectively putting the markets on pause. It’s as if the financial elite collectively agree to press “pause” in May and resume the game in October. Even in Bullish Markets! This seasonal trend can impact markets even during strong bull runs. For example, in 2017, Bitcoin soared from under $1,000 in January to $20,000 by December. However, a pullback started on May 25th. Although prices rallied briefly in August, by mid-September Bitcoin had returned to its May peak price. It wasn’t until October that things went parabolic, leading to an explosive 10x move by year’s end. This historical pattern emphasizes the importance of staying cautious during the summer months. While markets may see some rallies, the overall trend has been consistently weak during this period. The 2021 Cycle: Front Running the Summer Slump A similar pattern played out in 2021, though it appeared that some investors tried to front-run the summer dip. Bitcoin’s price began declining on April 17, earlier than usual. After a brief rally, mid-May saw a dramatic 50% drop. While prices recovered somewhat over the summer, the real momentum didn’t kick in until October. Again, this doesn’t guarantee how the first half of 2025 will unfold, but it’s worth considering these historical trends as possibilities. H2 2025: “History Doesn’t Repeat, But It Often Rhymes When looking at the second half of the year, historical patterns don’t offer as much detail except for one key insight: Q4 tends to be a standout quarter for crypto during the “number go up” years of the cycle. The phrase “sell in May and go away” could easily extend to “until October” for crypto investors, as this strategy has historically performed well. In past cycles, the final quarter of the 4-year cycle (which 2025 would be if the pattern holds) has often marked the peak. This is typically followed by a sharp downturn: - 2013: Top in November - 2017: Top in December - 2021: Top in November If history is any guide, 2025 could follow a similar trajectory, with Q4 delivering explosive price action potentially leading to a cycle top and a subsequent correction. Expert Predictions for Bitcoin in 2025 The founder of Pantera, whose Bitcoin fund boasts a staggering 130,000% return, forecasts that August 2025 will mark the peak of this cycle. He aligns with the broader sentiment that 2025 will be a bull market, followed by a downturn in 2026. He also believes it’s entirely plausible for Bitcoin’s price to increase tenfold over the next 5–10 years Meanwhile, James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares, predicts Bitcoin’s price will range between $80,000 and $150,000 in 2025. He notes that the lower end of the range may reflect market corrections if Trump fails to deliver on pro crypto policies, while the upper target could be supported by a favorable U.S. regulatory environment Looking beyond 2025, Butterfill envisions Bitcoin’s market value rising from its current 10% of the gold market to 25%, potentially driving the price to $250,000. However, he cautions that reaching this milestone within 2025 may prove super challenging. If you dig up my old BTC charts, you’ll see I was screaming bullish while everyone else was crying in the corner at $ 16k. But now? BTC doesn’t even phase me anymore. 2025 is Altcoin time! It’s gem szn, and I’m here for the treasure hunt
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by moonypto
4
Case for a $2,000,000 BTC in 2025This is extremely optimistic and hyper-bullish, but I wanted to publish this idea for posterity. So far, the current bull market cycle is following the 2015-2017 cycle very very closely. I think it's something like 95% correlated. We've experienced about a 500% increase from bear market lows just like we did in 2015-2016, and then in 2017 we experienced about a 20x from there. Given a Trump presidency, and the pro-crypto stance, and the fact that nations and states are proposing or actually buying BTC for reserves, I think FOMO in 2017 is going to make the price skyrocket. Is another 20x possible? If this cycle continues to correlate the same way it has been, that's exactly what we'll see. Will it happen? Time will tell.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Metal76
1
BTCUSD DEMAND ZONE ANALYSIS As i have Conducted a technical analysis of BTCUSD 30mints time frame So, there i identified a demand zone which is 91,250 and a supply zone is at 95,300 Currently, the market is running at demand zone, which indicate a potential bullish Move. My Target is 95,166. using my support and resistance strategy, I notice that the chart is currently at a support level, which is near to the Demand area. This Confluence of support and demand suggests a high probability of a Bullish move, indicating a buy zone So, lets Go... BTCUSD Buy Now entry Price 91707 stop loss 90,420 take profit 95,166
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Fx_Publu_Trader
5
Is the Distribution Phase Coming to an End?Hey there, traders! 🖐🏼 Let’s talk about distribution—a critical phase in the market cycle that often signals a potential reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend. If You’ve been following Bitcoin’s price action since late 2024, You’ve probably noticed some classic signs of distribution. Let’s dive into what’s happening and how it might shape the market’s next big move! What is Distribution? Distribution is a phase where large players (whales, institutions) gradually offload their holdings to retail traders at higher prices. It typically occurs after a strong uptrend, as the market begins to lose upward momentum. Here’s how distribution looks on the chart: Sideways Movement: The price trades in a range after a strong rally. Lower Highs: Each attempt to break higher fails, forming a descending resistance line. Deccreasing Volume: Buyers lose steam, and trading activity starts to decline. False Breakouts: The price temporarily breaks above resistance but quickly reverses, trapping late buyers. Each upward move has been accompanied by lower volumes, suggesting a lack of buyer conviction. What Comes Next? If Bitcoin breaks below $90K with strong volume, we could see a sharp move lower, potentially targeting the $84K–$86K range. This would confirm the start of the markdown phase, where prices decline as sellers dominate the market. Bitcoin is at a pivotal moment. Whether the price breaks down into a markdown phase or rebounds into a new uptrend depends on how it behaves around these key levels. As always, patience is key! Remember to manage Your risk and trade responsibly! What do You think? Are we nearing the end of the distribution phase, or is Bitcoin gearing up for a bounce? Let me know in the comments! Happy trading! Your Kateryna💋
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by RocketBomb
WHAT IS DRIVING BTC PRICES THIS WEEK?POTENTIAL IMPACT OF THE FED'S TWO TIMES RATE CUTS ON BTC IN 2025 With the Fed now projecting two rate cuts in 2025, down from the previously expected four, markets may interpret this shift with various implications for riskier assets like Bitcoin (BTC). Lower interest rates typically increase market liquidity by making borrowing cheaper, potentially driving more capital into assets such as Bitcoin, thereby boosting its price. Additionally, rate cuts often weaken the U.S. dollar, enhancing Bitcoin's attractiveness as an alternative store of value and increasing demand. Lower rates can also foster a risk-on sentiment, prompting investors to allocate more to alternative assets like cryptocurrencies, further elevating Bitcoin's appeal and value in 2025. Meanwhile, many analysts anticipate that favorable cryptocurrency policies under the incoming Donald Trump administration could drive Bitcoin's value so high in coming years. UPCOMING CATALYST FOR THE WEEK The Upcoming U.S. macroeconomic data, particularly the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report set for today, January 15th, 2025, at 5:30 PM GMT+4 (Dubai time), could impact Bitcoin prices. Higher inflation may lead investors to view Bitcoin as a hedge, potentially increasing its value, while lower inflation could reduce demand for such assets. TECHNICAL VIEW Earlier this week, on Monday January 13th, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) dipped to $89,005, finding support on the green trendline and marking its lowest point in nine weeks. This decline came in the wake of U.S. December’s job report, which showed a stronger than expected 256k jobs added, compared to the 164k forecast, and a 0.1% drop in the unemployment rate to 4.01%. The strength of the U.S. dollar over the weekend, along with other fundamental factors, exerted pressure on BTC. However, the cryptocurrency seems to be recovering as market focus shifts to U.S. inflation data scheduled for release later today. Currently, BTC is rebounding but facing resistance below $97,750. If inflation rises to 2.9% as forecast or above, BTC could surge targeting $98,571 and potentially reaching $101,994 if the bullish momentum persists in the coming days and weeks as markets awaits Trump 2.0. A retracement, however, cannot be ruled out. On the flip side, if inflation remains sticky, BTC might dip to around $94,641, and if bearish momentum continues, it could tank to $91,110 before testing the support line. Analysts also note that breakouts of these levels remain possible.
CFI:BTCUSD
by CFI
1
Bitcoin setting up for strong upside in 2025 thanks to TrumpSince the target of Bitcoin hit at $100,000, we are seeing bullish signs for BTC. First we have a strong W Formation form and break above the neckline. Second, the moving averages are aligned nicely with gPrice>20 and 200 Trump presidency is bullish who is supporting crypto with the Trump coin taking off (with volatility though) If Trump coin drops 50%, it will send crypto traders back to Bitcoin who'll see more stability with the coin. First target in 2025 is $151,691
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by Timonrosso
1
#BTC updateSorry everyone, it's been a while since my last update. This had to do with 2 things, the market mainly moves sideways and everything I previously passed on is still valid. The only problem is that those charts are no longer visible because they are continuously blocked by tradingview. The fact is that I can share my chart on any other channel and the trading view is large and widely visible. But if I mention my X channel, it will be blocked. For that reason my drawings are all blocked again. But now to the good news. #Bitcoin seems to want to follow my previously drawn pattern. But I do see 2 things happening. The top line seems to be honored and MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN does not seem to want to break immediately. This does not mean that it will not happen again and if it does happen, it will happen quickly. For now I'll keep an eye on it and stand by my plan. But the plan may change in the coming days if #Bitcoin suddenly thinks it wants to break out. I will update my other charts again today and if you want to see information faster I would like to ask you to follow me on X. For now, be kind to the world and each other!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by RidgerR
3
BTC is still in the Bull run. No Worries.Even when everything it seems to be bearish there is some good news for CRYPTOCAP:BTC on the technical perspective. #Bitcoin seems to close on the 50 TEMA and another bullish indicator. We see a small bullish divergence on the daily. Bears getting exhausted. Trade safe my friends. Much economic data to process this week. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD CRYPTO:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSD BITFINEX:BTCUSD KRAKEN:BTCUSD OANDA:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDH2025 CRYPTOCOM:BTCUSD OKX:BTCUSD
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by KennyCryptoNL
2
BTCUSD Set To Fall! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for BTCUSD is below: The market is trading on 10463 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 10112 Recommended Stop Loss - 10678 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
2