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BTCUSD trade ideas

Potential bullish bounce?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Pivot: 69,503.31 1st Support: 68,287.05 1st Resistance: 71,376.35 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by ICmarkets
3
Bitcoin’s Path to $125KHere’s how I see the potential move to $125K for Bitcoin: Looking at the chart, I can clearly identify a Cup and Handle formation. The cup has formed over a long period, starting from the peak around $69K in 2021, through the decline in 2022, and now with the recovery bringing us back to the current levels around $70K. The rounded bottom of the cup is a textbook example of this pattern. For the handle, I’m anticipating a bit of consolidation or a minor pullback in the near term, which would complete the pattern. This is typical after a significant rise, as it allows the market to cool off before the next leg up. The critical point will be the breakout above the resistance level, which I see around $70K to $75K. Breakout Potential: Once we break through the $70K-$75K resistance, I expect a strong upward move. This breakout would confirm the Cup and Handle pattern, and from there, we could see a significant rally. Target: Based on the depth of the cup (roughly GETTEX:54K from the peak at $69K down to the bottom near $15K), I’m projecting that once we break out, the price could climb to $125K. Adding that GETTEX:54K depth to the breakout point around $70K gives us this target. How It Might Play Out: Step 1: I see the price breaking through the $70K-$75K resistance, possibly after a brief consolidation period forming the handle. Step 2: Following the breakout, I expect a steady rally, supported by increasing momentum and volume. If we see strong buying pressure, this move could accelerate quickly. Step 3: As we approach $125K, there might be periods of consolidation or even pullbacks, but the overall trend should remain bullish. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $70K-$75K is the key level we need to break. If the price pushes through with strong volume, it will likely confirm the bullish breakout. Support: If there’s a pullback, I’d be watching for support around GETTEX:64K , which has previously acted as resistance and could now provide a strong base. I’m optimistic about this setup, and as long as we see continued bullish sentiment and strong momentum, I believe Bitcoin has a solid chance of reaching $125K in the next major move. I’ll be keeping a close eye on volume and momentum indicators like RSI and MACD to confirm the strength of this trend. Write your thoughts in the comments.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by RSibayan
2
Momentum is shifting into overdrive: BULL RUN detected! "Bitcoin seems set for another bull run" Trend Detector Channels Explained: Algo Channel: This channel uses volatility to shape dynamic bounds around a moving average. Premier Channel: Range Detection, Calculates the highest high and lowest low over a defined channel span. Volatility Gauge: Leverages ATR to monitor volatility shifts. Trend Strength: A strong trend emerges when ATR exceeds a certain threshold. If ATR is above half of that level, the trend is 'medium.' Anything below is 'weak.' Interestingly, the Algo Plotter has flashed two bullish confirmations, which are independent of stochastics and distinctly plotted. Historical Patterns Reflecting on historical patterns, there’s a timeline from the start of Wave 2 to its ATH, which I’m comparing to the current Wave 4. If they’re in sync, we might have about five candles left. But, given the setup, I suspect we’ll see a unique twist this time around." ATR "This configuration compresses a 14-day time frame into a 4-hour snapshot. I realigned the ATR lines to bring the full 14-day scope into focus within this compact view. With two entry points, there’s flexibility to catch the move—whether you missed the first or prefer waiting for confirmation on the second. Two profit targets round it out, providing smart checkpoints for capturing gains." 1 2 3 pattern "The current bull market is set to culminate on 12/31/26, marking the transition into a bear phase that may extend for roughly six years."
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
11
Bitcoin - Fractals and PerspectivesThe willingness to learn, however, changes everything. Active traders treat market analysis with an open attitude and they are interested in learning how to analyze the market structure. They combine concepts such as trends, patterns, and support and resistance to actively improve their analysis and trading skills. These traders are real manual traders. This article is intended for those in the latter group, the learners and active traders. We will explain how you can understand the market with more clarity. The Market is Fractal of Nature Does the market move erratically? Or is there an order behind the chaos? According to the Chaos Theory, the apparent randomness of chaotic complex systems depend on their initial conditions. The concept is not that complicated as it seems: basically the ‘chaotic’ behavior is really not as chaotic as it seems. Simply said, there are underlying patterns that repeat in a similar way on all scales. This phenomenon can be seen in both natural systems, like weather and climate, and artificial elements like road traffic and economics. And yes, this includes the financial markets in general. The market is Fractal in nature, which means that similar price patterns repeat on all time frames. So I started researching fractals a few years ago. Many fractals have worked out, in some cases partially worked out, the study is a process of learning and growth. I want to share it with you today. Why it works I have already said in previous posts - because all the same asset managers all the same algorithms all the same emotions and all the same actions people make in this or that situation. The nature of human behavior cannot be deceived. that's why fractals repeat themselves. I have selected all the structures of reversal and further perspectives of charts The main indicators : 1. this is the formation of the bottom 2. Holding levels 3. Formation of a horizontal strong level and its breakdown That's all bitcoin has done in the last year. What's next? Statistics I found only one fractal after which we update the bottom. No rolling growth 4 fractals And most of them are 20-40 sideways and up. All fractals are below. These are all the fractals I want to share with you. Best Regards EXCAVO
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by EXCAVO
42
THE LEGEND: CANDLE SKEW ART TRADING “Every 5 candles reveal a directional shift—either up or down. The red skew label, starting at ‘1,’ marked the initial phases 1 and 2 wave crashes. My candle skew model projected a 5-candle downtrend starting from that first label. Observe how each downtrend phase aligned with significant price drops. On the upside, each green skew signals a 5-candle uptrend, starting from the green label. The latest green sequence shows a powerful 5-candle rally, set to close on July 24, 2025. Notice the most recent green skew label with a long lower wick—a bullish signal and clear sign of rising momentum. There’s no red skew in sight, and with 1 day and 8 hours left, the next bullish candle is primed to bring a massive price wave. If a skew color misaligns, it’s a reminder that no single signal operates alone. Price action, among other codes, is crucial for confirming trends. Each candle’s context must be meticulously analyzed to get the full picture. What I’m showing here isn’t just the details—it’s a view of the larger market forces at work, pointing to what lies ahead.”
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
12
85,354 and 35 cents: BTC next major landmark and a cycle top? Shown here is a single fib series in three different time frames. The Genesis Sequence has caught every major turn since 2015. The Golden fibs are especially powerful, being 1.618 exponents. Charts and prices are from Coinbase, others may vary a bit. $ 85,354.35 is the exact level of Golden Genesis fib. $ 72,937.41 is the current barrier to break and retest. $ 77,672.47 will be a checkpoint/fuel stop on the way. . Previous major turns caught by the Genesis Sequence: March 2024 top: 2021 top: 2020 Covid Bottom: 2018 Bottom: ==================================================================
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EuroMotif
2
Bitcoin Predictions for 2025 & Beyond: Who’s Eyeing $1 Million?If one thing is certain on this earth, it’s that Bitcoin BTC/USD predictions are as volatile as the coin’s price. In this Idea, we’ve gathered some notable Bitcoin price predictions with their respective time stamps. Teaser: it’s a diverse set of characters ranging from bullish Wall Street pros and tech visionaries to some (permabear) economists and professors. Let’s check it out! Cathie Wood (ARK Invest) : $1 million Cathie Wood is no stranger to making waves with her predictions. The risk-taking tech investor has said Bitcoin could reach a jaw-dropping $1 million by 2030, offering the stereotype attributes of Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and increasing institutional adoption. Wood's more optimistic projection sees it soaring as high as $1.5 million in the same timeframe. Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy CEO) : $1 million Michael Saylor, the ultimate Bitcoin maxi (borderline Bitcoin fanatic) who believes in total Bitcoin dominance , has been accumulating Bitcoin for his coin-hoarding company’s reserves and predicts it will eventually hit $1 million, emphasizing its superiority as a store of value compared to fiat currencies and gold. Chamath Palihapitiya (Venture Capitalist) : $1 million Chamath Palihapitiya has previously suggested Bitcoin could eventually hit $1 million, driven by macroeconomic instability and as a hedge against traditional financial systems. Robert Kiyosaki (Author of Rich Dad Poor Dad) : $500,000 Kiyosaki predicts Bitcoin could hit $500,000 by 2025 due to the collapse of fiat currencies and increasing inflation. Mike Novogratz (Galaxy Digital) : $500,000 Mike Novogratz is riding the bullish wave as well, predicting Bitcoin will hit $500,000 within the next three years. He believes this surge will be driven by Bitcoin's fixed amount of tokens (21 million) and growing adoption. Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss (Gemini Exchange Co-Founders) : $500,000 These crypto twins reiterate that Bitcoin could eventually reach $500,000 due to its potential to replace gold as a store of value. Tim Draper (Venture Capitalist) : $250,000 Tim Draper has long maintained a prediction that Bitcoin could hit $250,000 by 2024, citing broader acceptance and institutional adoption not just of Bitcoin but the broader crypto market . 🏢 Institutional Investors and Their BTC Targets Pantera Capital : $148,000 Crypto hedge fund Pantera Capital expects Bitcoin to rise to around $148,000 during the next four-year halving cycle (ending April 2028), based on historical trends. JPMorgan : $45,000 Taking a more conservative stance, investment banking giant JPMorgan JPM projects a price target of $45,000, provided Bitcoin continues to gain acceptance as a risk-adjusted alternative to gold XAU/USD . Standard Chartered : $120,000 Recently, UK-based bank Standard Chartered updated its forecast, predicting Bitcoin will rise to $120,000 by the end of 2024. Bernstein Research : $150,000 Research firm Bernstein Research predicts Bitcoin could hit $150,000, largely due to ETF demand and supply reductions following the 2024 halving . 🎢 Other Bitcoin Believers and Their BTC Targets Tom Lee (Fundstrat) : $180,000 Luke Broyles (Bitcoin advocate) : $3 million Raoul Pal (Real Vision CEO) : $1 million Adam Back (Blockstream CEO) : $500,000 Anthony Pompliano (Crypto Investor and Influencer) : $500,000 John McAfee (Programmer, Businessman) : $1 million Mark Yusko (Morgan Creek Capital) : $250,000 🚀 Bitcoin Maxis with No Price Targets Bill Miller (Billionaire Investor) Miller has stated that Bitcoin could go much higher, without a precise target. He supports the belief that it will outperform traditional financial assets over the long term. Paul Tudor Jones (Hedge Fund Manager) Jones has likened Bitcoin to an early investment in tech stocks like Apple AAPL , implying that it has significant potential for value increase. Stanley Druckenmiller (Billionaire Investor) Druckenmiller has suggested that Bitcoin could be a "store of value" better than gold and expects its price to rise dramatically. Jack Dorsey (CEO of Block, Co-Founder of Twitter) Dorsey, another devoted Bitcoin proponent, hasn’t given an exact price prediction but has expressed strong belief that Bitcoin will become the currency of the internet, suggesting a massive increase in value. 🧸 The Permabears: Those Who Want to See Bitcoin Burn Joseph Stiglitz - In contrast to the bullish predictions, Nobel Prize-winning Economist Stiglitz has argued that Bitcoin could be “worth just $100 by 2028.” Kenneth Rogoff - Harvard professor and former chief economist at the IMF, Rogoff claims Bitcoin is more likely to be worth $100 than $100,000 by 2028. Nouriel Roubini - An economist known for predicting the 2008 financial crisis, Roubini has harshly criticized Bitcoin as a bubble and a "scam." Bill Gates - The co-founder of Microsoft has expressed skepticism about Bitcoin and its ability to provide real value to the economy. Warren Buffett - The legendary investor has famously referred to Bitcoin as "rat poison squared," expressing concerns about its lack of intrinsic value and speculative bubble characteristics. Jamie Dimon - The CEO of JPMorgan Chase has repeatedly criticized Bitcoin, calling it a fraud and stating that it has no value. Peter Schiff - An outspoken critic of Bitcoin and a proponent of gold, Schiff argues that Bitcoin is a bubble and that it will eventually collapse in value. Larry Fink - The CEO of BlackRock has indicated he's no fan of Bitcoin, viewing it more as a speculative asset than a legitimate currency. More recently, after BlackRock launched the biggest spot Bitcoin ETF , Fink has warmed up to Bitcoin saying it’s a “legit financial instrument.” Now, over to you: What’s your take? Is Bitcoin on a rocket ship to $1 million, or are the critics right to be cautious? Drop your thoughts—and favorite Bitcoin predictions—in the comments below!
Editors' picks
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingView
24
BTC buy dips TP 70 000 USD Octoberfest🔸Hello traders, today let's review 3 hour price chart for BTCUSD . Bitcoin trading sideways over last 7 months with extremely low volatility. Having said that, low vol always precedes high vol periods, therefore it makes sense to prepare for the new BTC move in advance. 🔸BTC stop loss clusters located at 71 000 usd / 73 000 usd / 76 000 usd. Expecting bulls to trigger stop sweeps near overhead SL clusters. Therefore expecting more gains in this market in October. October is also a decent months for BTC bulls based on recent data. 🔸Recommended strategy bulls: wait for pullback to complete near 59 000 / 60 000 usd and confirm reversal signal with RSI/price div on 3 hour chart and/or use any other systems/indicators to confirm reversal. BUY low close to 60 000 usd, stops fixed at 57 500 USD, TP1 bulls is 65 000 USD TP2 bulls is 70 000 USD, 15% upside in this trade setup without leverage. break below 57 500 usd invalidates bullish outlook. good luck traders! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
26
BITCOIN Closed 2 straight green 1M candles after 7 months!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is closing today the monthly (1M) candle and unless it drops by 7000 in a few hours, it will close the month of October in green. That will be the 2nd straight green 1M candle since March! This 7 month consolidation period is no stranger to BTC as such patterns, where there are no straight green 1M candles, are standard Accumulation Phases that we see during Bull Cycles. So far on the current one we've had three (including March 2024) and once the market closed 2 straight green 1M candles, it rallied. The 2019 - 2021 Bull Cycle had three such straight green candle occasions and a very clear Accumulation Phase, while the 2015 - 2018 Cycle had numerous. One thing is clear based on this multi-year chart. When the market closes two straight green 1M candles, it is always a good signal to buy. But what do you think? Do you find this indicator reliable? Are you buying based on this? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
8
BTCUSD: Bullish Flag Breakout AheadBTCUSDT technical analysis update At the bottom, Bitcoin formed a falling wedge pattern over 240 days. After breaking out, the price surged by 75%. Following this rise, BTC entered a 220-day consolidation phase, forming a rectangular continuation pattern, which led to a 133% increase after its breakout. Currently, BTC has been forming a flag pattern for the last 220 days, and in the next 10-20 days, we could see a breakout, potentially signaling another strong bullish move. Regards Hexa
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by HexaTrades
2
Interpreting Long/Short Ratios in Futures Trading█ Interpreting Long/Short Ratios in Futures Trading: Beyond Bullish and Bearish For beginner traders, the long/short ratio in futures markets can seem like a clear-cut indicator of market sentiment. Many assume that a high ratio of longs to shorts means the market is bullish, while more shorts than longs signals a bearish outlook. But in reality, this interpretation is oversimplified and can lead to misguided trading decisions. In this article, we'll break down the nuances of the long/short ratio in futures trading, explaining why positions on the “short side” don’t always indicate a bearish stance and how traders can better interpret these ratios for a well-rounded perspective. █ Understanding the Basics: Futures Trading Is Not Spot Trading In the futures market, every trade requires a buyer (long position) and a seller (short position). For each person going long, there’s a counterpart going short. This zero-sum structure means that, by definition, there’s always a balance between longs and shorts. However, the reasons why traders take long or short positions vary widely—and not all of them are directional bets on price movement. █ Why Not All Shorts Are Bearish (And Not All Longs Are Bullish) Let’s dig into why a trader might take the short side without actually betting on a price drop: ⚪ Hedging: Some traders go short to hedge an existing position. For instance, if they already hold a large amount of Bitcoin in the spot market, they might take a short position in Bitcoin futures to protect against potential downside risk. This doesn’t mean they’re bearish on Bitcoin; they’re just managing risk. ⚪ Arbitrage: Some traders take short positions for arbitrage purposes. For example, they might go long in one market and short in another to profit from small price differences without having any directional view on Bitcoin’s future price. Their short position is purely for balancing and not a bet on falling prices. ⚪ Market Making: Market makers provide liquidity to the market by taking both long and short positions. Their goal isn’t to profit from price movements but to capture the spread between the bid and ask prices. They don’t have a directional view—they’re simply facilitating trades. ⚪ Closing Long Positions: When traders close long positions, they effectively create a new short transaction. For instance, if a trader decides to exit a long position by selling, they’re adding to the short side of the market. But this action doesn’t necessarily mean they expect prices to drop—it could just mean they’re taking profits or reallocating their portfolio. █ Interpreting CoinGlass Long/Short Ratio Charts: Volume vs. Accounts Let’s look at the long/short ratio charts on CoinGlass as an example. CoinGlass provides two main types of ratios: ⚪ Volume-Based Ratio: This chart shows the volume of capital in long vs. short positions. For example, a high volume in longs might suggest that large players are buying into Bitcoin. However, it’s important to remember that some of these long positions could be from market makers, hedgers, or arbitrageurs, who may not expect Bitcoin to rise. The volume itself doesn’t tell us why they’re in these positions. ⚪ Account-Based Ratio: This chart tracks the number of accounts on each side (long vs. short) on exchanges like Binance. A higher number of accounts on the short side doesn’t mean all those traders are bearish. Many could be taking short positions to balance other trades or hedge risks. They’re not necessarily expecting Bitcoin to decline; they’re just managing their positions. █ Example Analysis: Misinterpreting Long/Short Ratios Imagine you’re looking at a CoinGlass chart that shows an increase in long volume around November 5th. A beginner might see this and think, “Everyone’s bullish on Bitcoin!” But as we discussed, some of this long volume could be non-directional. It could include positions taken by market makers providing liquidity or hedgers who are long on Bitcoin futures but have a corresponding short in another market. Similarly, if you see a spike in the number of short accounts, don’t automatically assume that everyone expects Bitcoin to fall. Some of those accounts might just be managing risk or taking advantage of arbitrage opportunities. █ Avoiding the Pitfall of Overinterpreting the Long/Short Ratio The biggest mistake traders make is interpreting the long/short ratio as a direct indicator of market sentiment. Remember, every trade has a counterparty. If there’s a high volume of longs, it simply means there’s an equal volume of shorts on the other side. The market’s overall sentiment isn’t always reflected in this ratio. Instead of relying solely on the long/short ratio, consider these other factors to form a clearer market view: Market Sentiment Indicators: Use sentiment tools, news, and social media sentiment to understand how traders are feeling beyond just positions. Volume Trends: Look at overall market volume to see if there’s conviction behind the moves. Context and Price Action: Interpret the ratio in the context of price action and recent events. If there’s a strong bullish trend, a higher long ratio might reflect confidence in the trend rather than simply volume. █ Conclusion: A Balanced Perspective for Smarter Trading Understanding the long/short ratio requires a more nuanced perspective. Just because the “longs” are up doesn’t mean everyone’s bullish—and just because the “shorts” are up doesn’t mean everyone’s bearish. The futures market is filled with diverse participants, each with unique motives, from hedging and arbitrage to liquidity provision. By looking at these ratios with a balanced view, traders can avoid common pitfalls and interpret the data more accurately. Trading is about context and strategy, not just numbers on a chart. So, next time you’re checking the long/short ratio, remember: there’s more to it than meets the eye. █ Final Takeaway: Focus on Context, Not Just Ratios The long/short ratio can be a helpful tool, but it’s only one piece of the puzzle. Use it in combination with other market indicators, and always consider the motives behind trades. By doing so, you’ll make better-informed trading decisions and avoid falling into the trap of oversimplifying complex market data. ----------------- Disclaimer This is an educational study for entertainment purposes only. The information in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on evaluating their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Zeiierman
Bitcoin: on a quest for new ATHThe crypto market benefited from the ongoing US Presidential campaign. Namely, as one Presidential candidate is counting on votes from the crypto community, so the market is reacting to initial pools for a potential win of this candidate. This is currently a market game, betting on a better future condition for further push of the crypto coins into the mainstream including the enlargement of the crypto ecosystem. Certainly, no one knows what the final result will be, for both the US Presidency and crypto ecosystem, but still, BTC price benefited from such expectation, which is certainly positive. BTC price reached its highest weekly level at $73.338. It is quite close to BTCs ATH from March this year. Still, during the second half of the week, BTC reverted back a bit, ending the week around the $69,3K level. The RSI moved from clear overbought territory, down to the level of 57. There is currently no clear indication that the market started its reversal toward the oversold market side. Moving averages of 50 and 200 days formed a clear golden cross two weeks ago, while MA50 continued its divergence from MA200. The week ahead will be marked by two important events. The US Presidential elections are scheduled for November 5th and FOMC rate decision, scheduled for November 7th. These two events are promising higher market volatility. In this sense, the price of BTC might turn to both sides quite easily. At this point on charts, there is probability that BTC will test the level of $68K, where the support line stands. Whether the price of BTC might revert to the fresh new ATH, could not be clearly noted at this moment from charts. It would depend on the market sentiment after November 5th and 7th. Trading precaution is highly advisable.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XBTFX
Bitcoin 6-12 months analysisBitcoin experienced a large price increase in the past few months, as you had analyzed the price of Bitcoin from $20,000 in the past, this time I will also analyze the path of Bitcoin from the price of $64,000, Bitcoin experienced a total increase up to $80,000. but in two different cases, Bitcoin can decrease to the price limit of $50,000 and move from this price to $80,000, or in the same price and range that it is at this moment, directly to 80. $000 moves and reaches this price, I consider targets for traders which are $70,000, $75,000 and $80,000 respectively for this analysis. In addition to this increase, consider that all digital currencies react positively to this increase because all digital currencies have a positive correlation with Bitcoin, only the percentage of correlation between them is different. Sasha Charkhchian
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by sashacharkhchian
1
BTC - Downside Targets for BuyingThis is a post dedicated to providing us with potential liquidity zones to watch to the downside. Of course, BTC is extremely bullish as it had broken the previous ATH multiple times and is entering the next leg of the bull market based on 4 year cycle theory. But in every bull market there are dips to flush out overleveraged longs. If we get a dip that cascades to the downside here are the potential "buy the dip" levels based on the chart. We are also about to tap the 1.618 level from our previous all time high to the low that was recently established. This first level is $73,600-$73,800 (previous all time high). That old resistance should now act as new support. The second level would be $72,600-$72,800 (rising wedge price target).This is a speculative scenario if we are in a potential rising wedge pattern. It was also the last low at the mouth of the pattern before the continuation higher. The final level, in my opinion, would be the 0.618 of this new move which depending on the high will most likely sit somewhere between $70,300-$71,600. At this point in time it is hard to see any scenario where we dip below $70k again (until the next bear market). Hopefully this provides good insight in case of a pullback!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by VIAQUANT
2
Bitcoin - The battle For a New All-time HighIn this video I discuss Bitcoins sudden rise to within a few hundred dollars of a new all-time high and what we might expect over the next weeks and months. I also discuss what events could prolong the battle for a new all-time high (the US election, wars). I also look back at the struggle Bitcoin went through to breakout above the 2017 all-time high. I discuss the incredible consistency as fay as elapsed times between the last two market cycles. I share my view that I believe that Bitcoin is still following a 4-year market cycle and that I expect a market cycle peak sometime in late 2025 (baring a black swan event). I also share my concern about the diminishing returns trend that Bitcoin has experienced over it's entire price history. My belief though is the trend will be broken this cycle, otherwise I wouldn't expect the price of Bitcoin to rise much further than 80K or so. However, I remain very bullish on this market cycle and beyond. Lets hope that we can get through this election with as little drama as possible and that we have a decisive victory by one side or the other so that we can avoid a prolonged process that will rile up the markets. Anyway, I am remaining positive, I believe the next twelve months or so will be extremely exciting for the crypto markets, and I feel blessed just to be a part of it.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Bigsky_Crypto
2
[Education] You Are Dumb For Not Using A Stop LossThe Illusion of the “Perfect Routine” and Trading Psychology I always thought that if I did the million-dollar morning routine, take ice bath, meditate, and practice mindfulness, my trading psychology will be fixed. Whenever I see price is moving in my favour, I shifted my stop loss to secure profits. It’s fine right? It’s never wrong to secure real profits rather than letting it be an unrealized gain. I see the price took me out as my stop loss is too tight. The price went higher and higher without me. If only I had followed my trading plan which is to do nothing until price has shown bullish impulse. When I see that price made an impulsive move in my favour, I will wait a little while longer to secure my profits. I know my trading plan is telling me to close the position now. But let’s see if we can milk some more profits from the market. As the dipped, I promise to close my position at my original take profit price. Price continued to dip and take me out at breakeven. Whenever I see price is approaching my stop loss, I extended my stop loss and pray hard that price will not take my position out. It’s fine right? As long as I close it at breakeven when price comes back. I waited and waited, and watched the price goes lower and lower, with my unrealized loss getting bigger and bigger. From a originally planned $100 loss, it became a $1,200 loss. It was supposed to be a 1% loss, but it turns out to be a 12% loss on my $10,000 account. “There must be something wrong with my trading psychology.” I thought to myself. So off I went to YouTube, X, Tiktok and Instagram to look at psychology posts and videos. I gave myself mental pleasure by ensuring that I will follow my system. Then the cycle repeat itself. Core Trading Problems That Sabotage Your Success There are a few problems that we face as a trader. Greed, the innate emotion that all of us have. When I waited for a while to close my position, I have already secured a hefty profit which will be realized if I followed my trading plan. However, due to greed and thinking that this trade will be the homerun trade, I let greed took over my thinking. Eventually I ended up with nothing, forgoing all my profits because I think that price will continue going in my favour. Fear, another innate emotion that haunts all of us. Trading live means we do not know what price will do in the future. Our next trade can be a big win, small win, breakeven, small loss, or a normal loss. If you took a big loss, then you have a position sizing issue. We fear that if this is really the homerun trade, and if you followed your trading plan, you will miss out on the potential 10% extra profits. But think again, how often do this kind of runs happen? Failure to understand these problems will have a lot of consequences to your trading career. Even with a solid trading strategy with a positive expected value, you will not actualize these results you got from your backtest. You can have an average expected return of 4% per trade, but if you don’t follow your trading system, your results will be randomized. This will make you go in a loop like this: “Backtest a new trading strategy -> Got hopeful results -> Trade live -> Don’t follow trading plan -> Watch even more trading psychology videos -> Switch to a new strategy”. The cycle will continue and you will waste precious money and time. You want to achieve financial freedom and success through trading, right? Why would you want to waste precious money and time doing the same thing over and over again? Why a Backtested Strategy Can Make or Break Your Trading Yes it takes discipline to follow your trading system. But do you know what else is needed? A solid fool-proof backtest result. Have a set of backtested data ready. Have that set of data be so good that you will look like a fool for not following that trading system. If the trading system can make you 100% profits consistently every month, will you not follow your trading rules? I’m exaggerating here of course, it’s hard to achieve 100% profits consistently every month. But I’m showing you how it’s dumb of you not to follow your trading rules if it has already proven you will be profitable just by executing your trading strategy and following your trading rules. By having the set of backtested data, you are also able to estimate how your drawdown curve will look like. If it shows you on average you will experience a 6% drawdown, then if you’re at 3% drawdown, why would you be afraid of taking trades? If you’ve been following me on my journey, you would have seen my progression. I’ve manage to break free of my unprofitable self to a consistent profitable trader now. How? Just by having a solid trading strategy with more than 1000 backtested data points. It’s simple, but not easy. Do you even keep a record of your backtested data? Do you know your average drawdown %? Probably not. I have an excel sheet made just for recording your backtested data. Remember, trading is not easy, but the process is simple. Stay consistent and trade safe. If you enjoy such content, feel free to click the like button and subscribe for more. Let me know what are your thoughts and learning points in the comments below so others can learn from you too! Please let me know what kind of topic you would like to read next :)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Keeleytwj
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