FIRST TP DONEAS I WAS SAYING FIRST TARGET AT 1H 100SMA IS DONE. Waiting for the price to reach our 2h 100SMA line and then we are going to wait to hit our 4H 100SMA.
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTC tries to break out of rectangle, eyes 3% rallyBitcoin is breaking out from a tight range with a potential 3% move to 98,500, but it needs to gain momentum fast to avoid a false breakout.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
BTC REBOUND? ใ$140,000 NEXTAs illustrated, I'm visualizing what the next impulsive wave could look like.
Price has broken out of a major daily trend line.
It makes sense for the week to have started trading lower to find it's low and potentially bounce with strength sometime this coming up week and into the next.
The next pivot area is between the $82,000 - $80,000 range based on previous week's lows and daily low levels.
An interesting buy opportunity is forming and the potential entry is illustrated as the "pivot area" marked in yellow.
Then we have a major pivot range near the $100,000 psychological price.
.
This could be a price where some short term traders get out "in case it's just a pull back before a collapse" type of decision.
We can't ignore how much price consolidated between 100,000 and 96,000; and so that is the next stepping stone for BTC before breaking to ATH's of at least $120,000.
My personal target is set at the 161.8% extension level as illustrated.
--
GOOD LUCK!
Persa
BTC LONG TP:99,500 03-05-2025๐ Continuation in motion!
Weโre going LONG toward 99,500, with the 2H timeframe showing clear bullish continuation ๐
Entry zone sits between 95,500 and 94,200 โ solid range to average in smart.
This move should play out within 17 to 30 hours, so precision matters โณ
Weโre seeing acceleration in bullish momentum, and this could be the final spike pushing BTC to 107โ108k in the coming week.
Donโt miss the ride. Follow me for updates and letโs lock in those gains together ๐ฐ๐ฅ
Bitcoin Bulls Break Free โ Smart Money Sets Sights on $125K
BTCUSD has pushed above its downtrend resistance and is now consolidating just above the $95,000 zone โ a key level of breakout and retest. The setup is supported by COT data pointing to long-term bullish positioning:
82.9% of non-commercial traders are net long (as of April 27)
Institutions added 2,411 long contracts the week prior
Short positions are decreasing and net positions improving over time
Technicals + smart money alignment = potential for sustained upside momentum.
Target: $125,299
Stop Loss Zone: Below $90,759
Key Confirmation Level: Daily close above $96,000
BTC HAVE A HIGH PROBABILITY TO FALL DOWN!!!The BTC starts looking weak and it's perfect time to long for a short. We are almost at the top of this run from last weeks and we can see that BTC made a perfect divergence pattern. My indicator shows me also that we are entering a mid-term bearish trend and there is a high chance that we are gonna fall much deeper than in last weeks. My target is clear and I'm holding my strategy so I wait for the price to hit my SMA line like it was in the last days but now I wait for the price to hit the SMA line at 4H chart because we didn't hit it since 2 weeks so in this moment we can see even in a few candles that the price is gonna touch it. I am actually in the short and waiting for the price to go for my target, we also have a weekend so the price will be probably slow but everything can happen. In my opinion next week are gonna be red and the price should touch my target. I recommend to watch a 1H and 2H chart and looking when price will hit the SMA line on these timeframes because my target is set in a 4H chart but we can book profits even when the price will hit the SMA at 1H and at 2H chart. Be careful and stay focused.
Hellena | BITCOIN (4H): LONG to resistance area of 98,000.Dear colleagues, in this forecast I will not make too forward-looking plans. I believe that the upward movement is not over yet, because the wave โCโ is not yet completed and consists of five waves.
I think that we should expect to reach the resistance area of 98,000. A small correction to the support area of 90,000 is possible.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Bitcoin INSIDE SchemeFib channel config of uptrend fractal starting from 2020.
Testing QM principle of uncertainty of (upward and downward) spin of particle and relating it to the condition of the market where nobody can tell if the price goes up or down, thus we have similar setting of uncertainty with fib channels of upward and downward directions. Either way market goes, the price action will always react to the fib lines.
Hence, the levels where the fib lines cross produce set of probabilities. This will always be the backbone of my further works.
Scheme can be used to compare your targets and determine if they are justified by the laws of golden ratio.
Based on outcome of graph below:
BTC w/ Power Law FractalAs previously shown, this adds the fractal interval from Oct '23 through Mar '24. Pico top would arrive Sep-Oct around 200k. Hopefully this comes true and is a conservative estimation.
BITCOIN SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 96,964.04
Target Level: 86,587.12
Stop Loss: 103,865.43
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โ
LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEASโ
BTCUSD Possible Move May 6th 2025๐ป BTC/USD โ SHORT SIGNAL & ANALYSIS
๐ Signal:
Sell BTC/USD below 94,000 after a confirmed break and retest of the ascending trendline.
Target: 93,000 liquidity zone
Stop Loss: Above 94,400 (or structure high after retest)
Risk/Reward: Approx. 1:2+
๐ Analysis:
Price has been in a descending channel, followed by a corrective structure forming higher lows.
Currently testing a rising trendline, suggesting weakening bullish momentum.
Clean liquidity pool rests around 93,000, likely to be targeted if structure breaks.
Expected flow:
Break below 94,000 trendline
Retest the trendline as resistance
Continuation to 93,000 demand/imbalance area
๐ง Trade Idea Summary:
This setup aligns with bearish market structure and liquidity concepts. A breakdown from the trendline would confirm bearish intent, with 93,000 as the next logical draw on price.
BTCUSD Long Setup โ Trading Within Ascending ChannelBitcoin is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel on the 1-hour chart. Price recently bounced off the lower boundary of the channel and is showing signs of bullish continuation.
Entry: Around 94,400
Stop Loss: 94,250
Take Profit: 95,642
The price action shows a clear upward channel with consistently higher highs and higher lows. After the recent pullback, BTC respected the lower trendline support and formed a potential base for a new bullish leg.
Risk is well-contained below recent structure
As long as BTC remains inside the channel, upside potential remains valid
This is a simple trend-following setup with tight risk and clear upside structure.
BTC-M2 FractalFriends, I keep returning to the Oct '23-Mar '24 interval. I do not know why, but there was little ceiling resistance. If it were to echo starting April '25 x6 months (late Sep - early Oct) we'd see BTC achieve a normal cycle with a pico top around 200k. This Summer should be FUNNN!
BTCUSD โ 5M Premium Zone Rejection | Short Setup Activated๐งฉ BTCUSD โ 5-Minute Breakdown | May 4, 2025
The BoS has happened, but donโt let it fool you โ price just entered the danger zone. This is where Smart Money loves to trap late longs and send price tumbling.
๐ง SMC Playbook:
๐จ BoS Identified: Minor bullish BoS after initial reaction from the previous low.
๐ฅ Supply Zone (Entry Area): 79%โ100% retracement zone from the latest swing high to low.
๐ Reversal Point: Entry just above the 79% zone (95,499โ95,629).
๐ฏ Target: Weak Low = 95,200
๐งผ Stop-Loss: Above 95,629 (structure invalidation)
๐ RR Ratio Potential: 1:3 to 1:4+
๐ Narrative:
Price is engineered to grab liquidity before making the real move. The Strong High acts as protection โ Smart Money is defending this area. Once the premium fills, we expect a clean breakdown back into the discount zone.
๐ Key Observations:
โ Buyers are likely trapped.
๐OB tapped + Fibonacci 79โ100% = High confluence.
๐ฅ Expecting liquidity sweep โ sharp sell-off.
โฐ Execution timeframe = M1/M5 confirmation (engulfing, CHoCH, etc.)
๐ฃ How to Trade It:
Monitor price action inside red zone (79โ100%).
Wait for lower timeframe confirmation (e.g. bearish engulfing, M1 CHoCH).
Short from ~95,500 with SL above 95,630.
TP at Weak Low โ potential extension to 94,800 if momentum kicks in.
๐ง Chart Ninja Tip:
โDonโt chase price โ trap it. Let price come to you and confirm. The premium zone is where trades go from good to god-tier.โ
๐ฌ Drop a ๐ง if youโre watching this level too.
๐ Save this chart for your next sniper entry.
๐ Share it with your SMC crew and ride the liquidity wave!
BTC/USD Analysis โ Strong Demand Zone Breakout or Reversal Chart Timeframe: 15 Min
Indicators Used: LuxAlgo Supply & Demand, Visible Range Volume Profile
Current Price: $95,554
Support Zone: $95,631 - Key demand zone (highlighted in orange)
Resistance Levels: $96,786 and $97,727
---
Analysis:
Bitcoin is currently sitting right at a high-volume demand zone ($95,631), which has acted as strong support recently. Price is testing this level aggressively.
Two possible scenarios are in play:
1. Bullish Reversal:
If bulls defend this zone, we could see a bounce back toward $96,786, and possibly a retest of the $97,727 supply zone. This area aligns with previous sell pressure and high volume, making it a solid take-profit zone for long scalpers.
2. Bearish Breakdown:
A clean break and candle close below the orange demand zone may signal further downside, with the next logical support not shown on this chart (could be referenced in a follow-up post). Look for high-volume confirmation on the breakdown.
---
Trade Idea:
Long Entry: On bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or demand hold at $95,631)
Target 1: $96,786
Target 2: $97,727
Stop Loss: Below $95,400 (depending on risk tolerance)
Bias: Neutral โ waiting for confirmation
Market Reaction: Watch how price behaves in the next 2-3 candles at this key zone.
BITCOIN Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 96,975.97.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 99,781.42 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Summary of the Bitcoin Market This WeekThis week, the Bitcoin market showed a trend of steady increase and broke through the key resistance level.๐๐๐
Technically, the MACD indicator on the daily chart shows a strong bullish signal, and the price has also held above the key moving average, confirming the short - to medium - term upward trend. Overall, market sentiment is relatively optimistic, and investors' expectations for it to break through the psychological barrier of $100,000 have increased. However, when Bitcoin approaches the $98,000 level, it may form a short - term resistance, and as the price gets closer to the $100,000 mark, the overly optimistic market sentiment also increases the risk of a pullback.
The better than expected performance of the US job market has alleviated recession concerns, boosted the sentiment of risky assets, and provided support for Bitcoin. Meanwhile, the signs of easing in US - China trade relations have had a positive impact on the global financial markets, including the cryptocurrency market.
This week, the Bitcoin market has performed strongly driven by various factors. Both on-chain data and market indicators have shown positive signals. However, during the process of price increase, it's also necessary to pay attention to the potential risk of a pullback.
$BTC Trump Pump $100k Target HitTRUMP PUMP IS BACK ๐ฅ
$100k target hit โ
Another massive rip for CRYPTOCAP:BTC closing within the golden zone ๐
Need some consistent PA in here or a rip and close above the .786 fib.
200DMA (now sitting at $90,861) is still my base case as mentioned in my original analysis several weeks ago.
IF this is the start of the PARABOLA, and you have some dry powder, a retest of ATH ~109k and then correction to .786 ~$101k would be your entry, with a SL just below the .618 ~$93k
Exciting to watch either way it goes!
This is why you always prepare for both scenarios ๐ค
Bitcoin Monthly Target?Take a look at this chart we have, I think it will be possible for Bitcoin to even break 142,000$ with enough volume, In this chart it seems a golden cross happened back in April 2024. Also a price break out back in March 2025 we ascended from 73,000$ and now have retested that level and has become support it seems we are also in an ascending channel. I think if we break out of this channel I think we could see some explosive price action we are in unknown territory with bitcoin. I can even see this going to 220,000$ in a rather short time frame.
Today we have hit again that 100,000 number and have started to ascend with alt coins following.
I think in the next two weeks or so we will see large price gains my current target is 142,000$
What are your targets and why?
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis โ 1H
๐ 1. Current Market Structure
๐ Price is currently moving within a small ascending channel after rejecting the red zone (IFVG 1D), but this move might be a bear trap.
โ ๏ธ A downside breakout is likely, aiming to sweep liquidity lower.
๐ 2. Bigger Picture Outlook
๐ The market could drop toward the grey support zone (below $91,500) before a potential bullish recovery.
๐
Overall structure remains dependent on a key macro catalyst, particularly Jerome Powell's upcoming speech.
๐ 3. Key Technical Observations
๐ฅ IFVG 1D: Clean rejection from this zone, increasing selling pressure.
๐ Suspicious ascending channel: Often a corrective pattern before continuation downward.
๐ฉ FVG 1D below: A potential liquidity zone, likely to trigger a reaction if tested.
๐ฏ 4. Short-Term Expectations
๐ Favored bearish scenario:
Channel breakdown
Liquidity sweep
Retest of the grey support area (~$91,000)
๐ Bullish reaction possible afterwards, depending on how price behaves at support and macro conditions.
๐ฅ 5. Upcoming Catalysts
๐ฐ Powellโs speech on Wednesday: Highly anticipated by the market.
๐ธ A rate cut could support BTC, but short-term uncertainty keeps pressure on price.
๐ Until then, expect high volatility as the market seeks clarity.
โ
Conclusion
๐ Current price action suggests a bear trap with a likely liquidity grab to the downside.
๐ Key levels to watch:
Grey support zone (~$91,000)
Green FVG 1D (~$89,000)
Market reaction post-FOMC
โณ Until the FED decision, the market remains fragile and liquidity-driven.
BTC SHORT TERM FOLLOW UP BE SURE TO BUY AT 89-91k"Last alert for the dip โ this is a follow-up to my initial analysis on the short-term period."
BITCOIN FALLING WEDGE BREAKOUT Bitcoin just popped out of a textbook bullish continuation pattern, 3+ touches on each trend line + Breakout candle confirmed. Pro traders now watch for confirmation to manage risk.
Will BTC follow through?
๐If your bullish!!
๐If your watching closely!!
