Bitcoin H1 | Potential bounce off an overlap supportBitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 106,532.50 which is an overlap support that aligns closely with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 104,600.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 108,808.50 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTC: neutral case analysisBITFINEX:BTCUSD
Hello
Based on last 3 bull cycles and bear cycles, I did some calculations and this pattern is the result of it.
Take it with a pinch of salt, this might not even be close, but just past data gives me this fractal.
Here are the peak Bitcoin (BTC) prices for the years you mentioned:
2013: $1,156
2017: $19,497
2021: $67,566
We can now treat these as the values of the quadratic function:
a=1156 (for year 2013)
b=19497 (for year 2017)
c=67566 (for year 2021)
However, to apply the formula:
Price(x) = a⋅x2 + b⋅x + c
Using a quadratic fit to the BTC peak prices in 2013, 2017, and 2021, we get the following estimated prices:
2017: $19,497 (matches actual)
2021: $67,566 (matches actual)
2025: $145,363
Above is the AI calculation, I think it is about right.
Happy trading
Cheers
BTCUSD Buy Alert Entry Point: 107,300BTCUSD Buy Alert
Entry Point: 107,300
🎯 Target 1: 108,000
🎯 Target 2: 108,500
🎯 Final Target: 109,000
🔒 Risk Management is Key
🛑 Always set a stop-loss
📉 Suggested SL: Below 106,800
📊 Risk-to-Reward: Favorable setup
🧠 Trade with discipline
💡 Market Sentiment: Bullish momentum building
📈 Price action forming higher lows
⏱️ Short-term breakout expected
🔍 Monitor resistance around 108,000 closely
📉 Watch volume for confirmation
📲 Enter with proper position sizing
🚫 Avoid over-leveraging
📅 Short-term trade outlook
💼 Stay informed with market news
📊 Use TA + fundamentals for confidence
💬 Let me know when you're in the trade!
#BTC #CryptoTrading #RiskManagement #BTCUSD #TradeSmart
Last chance to make profit from BTC with buying positionBullish flag
Strong resistance breakout
2 bull points
Position trade spot buying
Bitcoin completing timecycle on oct 2025 after that it would be 4th time if market again crash for around 70%
Manage your risk in both future and spot trading
Note: NO analysis would 100% profitable trading is the game of probability and risk management so follow your trading plan with proper risk reward and win rate.
BTCUSD TRADE SETUP 📈 **Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1H Chart Analysis — June 28, 2025**
🔍 **Pattern Identified: Bullish Flag Breakout**
🧠 **1. Market Context**
* This is the **1-hour chart** of **BTC/USD** on Binance.
* Price recently formed a **bullish flag pattern**, which is a **continuation pattern** signaling a potential breakout in the **direction of the previous trend (upward)**.
🔧 **2. Technical Breakdown**
🔹 **Trend Before the Flag**
* Price had a strong **impulsive move up** from \~105,000 to \~107,800.
* That was followed by a **consolidation phase** forming a downward sloping **channel** (blue parallel lines), creating the **flag**.
🔹 **Flag Channel**
* Price oscillated inside this flag for nearly 2 days (June 26–28).
* The **channel** is clearly defined, and price **respected both upper and lower bounds** during the consolidation.
🚀 **3. Breakout Confirmation**
* Price has now **broken out of the upper boundary** of the flag.
* A clean **break and candle close** above the trendline suggests **bullish momentum** is returning.
* This breakout is occurring around the **107,400–107,800** zone, which is also a **key structure level** acting as local resistance.
---
🎯 **4. Trade Setup**
✅ **Entry:**
* Around **107,400–107,800**, post-confirmation of the breakout.
❌ **Stop-Loss (SL):**
* Placed just below the **flag support / demand zone**, around **106,800**.
* This protects against a fake breakout or pullback into the flag.
🎯 **Target (TP):**
* Projected at **110,000**, which is aligned with the height of the initial flagpole projected from the breakout point.
* This also represents a psychological round number and a previous resistance level.
---
📊 **Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR)**
* **RRR = \~3:1**
* For every \$1 risked, the potential reward is \$3 — **excellent reward structure**.
---
📌 **Key Insights for the Traders**
* This is a **classic bullish flag breakout** play—very reliable in trending markets.
* **Volume confirmation** (not shown in chart but should be checked live) is important — higher volume during breakout gives stronger conviction.
* Watch for a possible **retest of the breakout level** (around 107,800) before the next move up.
BTC/USD Potential Short Trade Setup - Detailed AnalysisThis chart indicates a potential short trade opportunity, where the price is approaching a key resistance zone. The current market scenario suggests a possible reversal or downward movement, especially if the price reacts to the sell zone ($107,495) and begins to decline.
Trade Parameters:
Sell Zone: $107,495
Stop Loss: $110,438 (Placed slightly above the resistance zone to account for any unexpected breakout)
Take Profit Targets:
1. Take Profit 1: $105,224 (Initial support level)
2. Take Profit 2: $102,465 (Second key support level for further downward movement)
3. Take Profit 3: $99,099 (Final target level)
Target Zone: $98,723 (A critical area for further downside potential)
Technical Analysis:
The price is currently in a strong resistance area where sellers have previously taken control.
A break below the sell zone could lead to a move towards the indicated targets.
RSI and other technical indicators suggest the market is approaching overbought conditions, increasing the likelihood of a downward move.
Risk and Reward Ratio:
This setup offers a balanced risk-reward ratio. Ensure the stop loss is strictly adhered to in order to protect against any unexpected movements.
2/1/15I’ve found a fractal on Bitcoin. Today is June 25, 2025, 13:22 — I’m analyzing the 2-hour timeframe from the high on May 22 up to today, and the same pattern of pre-accumulation is forming as in 2024, from March 13 to July 29, 2024.
We are also inside a pattern I named “Dragon’s Wings.” It forms two peaks at the highs after a strong rally, and the shared low between them creates a deep retracement.
Whether this pattern leads to the beginning of a major drop and a bear cycle, or whether it’s a pre-accumulation structure in a buffer zone, depends on the area in which it forms.
In this case, the 93–74K zone is potentially a re-accumulation zone, with a reversal to the upside — possibly taking Bitcoin above $140,000.
103 to 101K trade and reverse H&S patternMorning folks,
So, our Thu setup is done perfect, both targets are met and even more. Now we consider two different fast trades on BTC.
Now context remains bearish and 103K is rather strong 4H resistance area. So, first trade is scalp "Sell" from ~ 103K with "at least" target of 101K. In fact, choosing of 101K as a minimal target is based on the 2nd trade.
2nd trade is potential reverse H&S is sentiment on the market will start changing. But this is not the fact yet. That's why I place downside arrow here as well, if H&S will not be formed or start failing, BTC could drop lower so, downside trade might be even better.
BTC CONTINUES TO PUSHBitcoin continues to press higher with quiet confidence. After reclaiming the $106,787 resistance level with a strong daily close last week, BTC has held the breakout and is now consolidating just above it – a textbook bullish retest. The 50-day moving average is rising beneath price, offering additional support as momentum builds. We’re seeing a small cluster of tight candles, hinting that the market is coiling for a potential move.
Volume has pulled back slightly since the breakout, but there’s no sign of aggressive selling. The structure remains clean: higher highs, higher lows, and a clear path toward the next major resistance at $112,000.
For now, it’s a bullish posture with strong technical support below and a stair-step climb in progress. Unless price falls back below $106,787, this looks like a base being built for continuation – not exhaustion.
$BTC: Breakout Loading – Massive Opportunity Ahead! BTC is consCRYPTOCAP:BTC : Breakout Loading – Massive Opportunity Ahead!
BTC is consolidating within a major structure for 224+ days. Current price action is forming a bull flag, signaling strong potential for a breakout toward $120,000–$150,000. Short-term volatility expected, but long-term trend remains bullish.
🔸 Support at $90,000–$93,000:
Strong confluence in this region including CME gap, liquidity pools, and previous structure support. Rejection from $113K could trigger a flush into this zone. Long setups should be considered here. Whales are accumulating.
🔸 Upside Target: $120,000 – $150,000
Long-term breakout from consolidation range aligning with historical accumulation patterns and macro indicators like M2 lag. Break of $113K with strength opens doors to $120K+. Clean structure with confirmed support will fuel rally continuation.
🔸 Risk Level at $88,000:
If BTC breaks below $88K with volume and closes under structure, it would invalidate the bull flag scenario short-term and signal deeper correction.
🔸 Outlook:
Monitor price reaction near $113K. Prepare for fakeout and potential sweep into $90K–$93K zone. Place laddered long orders in that range for optimal R:R. If dip occurs, treat it as a gift entry. No bearish outlook unless macro conditions shift drastically. Momentum remains upward.
Decoding the Dollar's Next MoveThe Dollar Index (DXY) currently stands at a critical crossroads, with its weekly close below 98.00 poised to dictate the trajectory of major asset classes for the coming weeks. The DXY closed as a bearish weekly candle at 97.2, confirming the "Bearish Dollar Scenario" as it closed below the 98.00 level. The market sentiment is currently cautious, awaiting clear directional cues from the DXY2. Our analysis will explore the Bearish Dollar Scenario, outlining potential price movements and actionable recommendations across a range of correlated assets
Could BTC Hit \$160,000 Before 2026?
As of **June 2025**, Bitcoin trades near **\$61,000**. But based on historical patterns, market signals, and macro trends, here’s a bold scenario that could unfold:
**📊 Key Signals:**
* The **2024 Bitcoin halving** cut new supply by 50%.
* **Institutional Bitcoin ETFs** now control over 6% of circulating BTC.
* **U.S. rate cuts** expected Q3 2025 could trigger a flood of new capital.
* **Global unrest** pushing investors toward alternative stores of value.
**🔥 Mind-Blowing Prediction:**
If Bitcoin follows even half of its average post-halving surge, we could see **\$150,000 BTC before March 2026**.
That’s a **+145% gain from today’s price** — within historical norms:
* 📈 2020 post-halving: +300%
* 📈 2016 post-halving: +600%
**⚠ Risks remain:** regulations, market shocks, or ETF outflows could stall momentum.
**✅ Bottom Line:**
If Bitcoin’s history repeats (or even rhymes), \$150k is not impossible — and 2025 could be the setup year.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoPrediction #CoinMarketCap
Bitcoin Mid Term Game Plan - BTC PLANBitcoin just broke a key resistance level with strength.
I expect a new all-time high soon, likely the summer top.
Summer markets are usually weak for risk assets and strong for gold. Seasonality matters, keep that in mind.
I expect risk markets to sell off until mid-July to early August. I’ll start buying once we break structure again.
The plan:
Wait for BTC to hit $110K
Look for a reversal from that level
Start aggressively shorting alts, beginning with ETH and memecoins
Hold shorts until late July / early August
Close positions and shift back to buying
Bitcoin is now **on the verge of one of the biggest breakouts in
\#Bitcoin – **Higher Time Frame Analysis** 📈
Bitcoin is now **on the verge of one of the biggest breakouts in its history**.
📊 On the **daily chart**, we can clearly see a structure forming that's **similar to a Pole & Flag pattern**, which is typically **very bullish** from a price action perspective.
⚠️ However, we remain **cautious** —
We don’t just want a breakout above the upper trendline…
What we’re looking for is a **strong daily candle close above the previous all-time high** (\~**\$112,000**).
💥 If that happens, I’m anticipating a **massive upside move**, potentially towards the **\$123,000–\$125,000** zone.
Let’s stay alert and wait for **clear confirmation** before jumping in!
BTC STEADIES ON CEASEFIRE AND CORPORATE DEMANDBitcoin held steady on Thursday, supported by improving risk sentiment as the Middle East ceasefire continued to hold, calming broader market fears. Despite the stability, BTC remained confined within its recent trading range, reflecting a cautious tone among traders. In the previous session, Bitcoin rose 0.44% to $108,328, fueled by renewed institutional interest, with reports suggesting a growing number of corporate entities were accumulating BTC as part of their asset diversification strategies.
Adding to the sentiment, U.S. mortgage giants Fannie Mae (OTC:FNMA) and Freddie Mac (OTC:FMCC) are reportedly exploring the recognition of cryptocurrency as a valid asset in mortgage applications. While still in early stages, this development hinted at growing mainstream acceptance, offering some limited upside support for Bitcoin.
However, as of 04:47 GMT+4, Bitcoin had given up most of its earlier gains, trading down 0.54% at $107,309, as traders remained hesitant to push prices higher without a strong breakout catalyst and profit taking.
PRICE LEVELS TO WATCH
On the 4-hour chart, the initial overall trend was bearish until price broke above the previous lower high, signaling a Break of Structure (BOS). However, as BTC catches its breath with price action and RSI signaling more room to the downside, sellers are eyeing support at $106,263. A break below this level could open the path toward the next potential target around $104,820. On the flip side, if bulls regain control, a break above $108,328 would likely trigger a move toward $109,011, with a potential extension to $110,442. Analysts note that breakouts in either direction remain on the table, given current market volatility.
Bitcoin Rebounds Above $105K After Liquidity SweepFenzoFx—Bitcoin swept liquidity below $100,703.0 and rebounded to around $105,400.0, just above the volume profile point of interest.
Immediate resistance lies at $106,135.0. A break above this level could lead to a retest of $107,702.0. However, if resistance holds, BTC may consolidate toward $102,662.0, supported by Stochastic overbought signals.