BTC #1-hour chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD)This is a 1-hour chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) with a clear bearish outlook indicated by the analysis:
Key Observations:
Rising Channel:
Price has been moving inside an ascending channel.
Currently testing the lower boundary, suggesting potential for a breakdown.
Price Projection:
A sharp drop is anticipated after breaking the channel, supported by the downward black arrows.
The analyst anticipates a retest of the lower boundary followed by a rejection and continuation downward.
QFL Strategy Reference:
"QFL" (Quick Fingers Luc strategy) is marked with a red line, identifying a key support zone that price may break below.
50% level (retracement or zone midpoint) is noted for confluence.
Target Zone:
Final target appears to be in the $112,500 – $113,000 range.
Summary:
The chart presents a bearish thesis expecting BTC to break the ascending channel and fall toward a previous demand zone marked by the QFL level. The structure supports a short setup if the lower trendline fails to hold.
Risk Note: This is a speculative forecast; always confirm with volume, broader market context, or confirmation patterns.
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BTCUSD trade ideas
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT): Trade Wave 5—Next Stop $127,000?Bitcoin’s current structure is lining up for a classic Elliott Wave fifth wave scenario, and the setup could offer a high-reward trade as we look for a measured push toward the $127,000 area. Here’s what’s standing out in the recent price action:
What the Current Structure Shows (Primary Scenario)
Wave 4 Correction Complete: After peaking in wave iii near $124,000, BTC pulled back and has potentially completed a wave iv correction. Price respected the Fibonacci retracement zones bouncing near the 38.2% retracement at $117,116.
Preparing for Wave 5: With support confirmed, price action is stabilizing and looks primed for a final motive push—wave 5—to the upside. The target projection for wave 5 is around $127,000, in line with both the 61.8% extension of the previous swing and the common equality projection for wave 5 vs. wave 1 when wave 3 is extended.
Why the Count Is Labeled This Way
The advance from early July kicked off with impulsive movement, subdividing cleanly into smaller waves that align with classic Elliott structure.
Wave iii is the clear standout—steep, extended, and carrying most of the move’s energy, which checks the box for a strong third wave.
The cluster of Fibonacci and previous resistance/support near $127,000 offers strong technical confluence for the next objective.
Trade Setup: Riding Wave 5 to $127,000
Entry Zone: Consider longs on breakouts above the current consolidation, ideally after confirmation of support holding near $117,100–$116,000.
Stop Loss: Place stops just below $113,300 (the 61.8% retracement), or tighter for risk management depending on your position size and timeframe.
Target: $127,000—where wave 5 projects to equal the length of wave 1 and aligns with multiple Fibonacci targets.
What to Watch Next (Confirmation or Invalidation)
Confirmation: An impulsive move above the interim high at $120,000–$121,000 with strong volume would confirm wave 5 is underway and that bulls have regained control.
Invalidation: A break below $110,500 would invalidate this setup and suggest a more complex correction is taking shape.
Final Steps: Monitor for impulsive character in the rally—wave 5s can sometimes truncate, so don’t get complacent at resistance.
Alternate Count
If price fails to hold support and breaks down, BTC could still be in an extended or complex fourth-wave correction—possibly a running flat or triangle—before wave 5 eventually resumes.
BTC/USD — Potential Bullish BreakoutBitcoin is currently retesting a key intraday level after pulling back from recent highs. If price continues to hold above this level, potential for break above previous highs.
As long as the structure holds and continue bullish momentum. However, if price slips back below the level with momentum, this scenario may be invalidated.
📌 Bias: Neutral to Bullish
📌 Timeframe: Intraday / Short-term
📌 Key Level to Watch: 118K
BTCUSD 1H – TCB Breakout Reclaim Setup📌 BTCUSD 1H – TCB Breakout Reclaim Setup
📆 Date: July 19, 2025
🔍 Strategy: TCB (Trend–Countertrend–Breakout)
🧠 Context:
BTCUSD broke below an ascending channel, found support at ~118,000, and is now attempting a reclaim of previous structure.
This is a classic reclaim zone setup — where a clean retest of prior support-turned-resistance turns back into support again, offering a breakout entry.
✅ TCB Checklist Summary:
Trend: ✅ Uptrend prior to break
Countertrend: ✅ Clean channel breakdown
Demand Zone: ✅ Strong reaction from 118k
Breakout Zone: 🔜 Watching 118,800
Confirmation Candle: 🔄 Awaiting bullish signal
🧮 Total Score: 8/10 = 80%
🔄 Projected 100% once:
Breakout candle above 118.8k confirms
NY session volume aligns
R:R: ✅ Clean 1:2+ to 120.4k
📈 Trade Plan (If Breakout Confirms):
Entry: Above 118,800 (after bullish close)
SL: Below 117,800
TP1: 119,800
TP2: 120,400
Risk: 0.5%–1.0% depending on position sizing
🔔 Alerts Set For:
Breakout Entry (118,800+)
TP1 Hit (119,800)
TP2 Hit (120,400)
SL Hit (117,800)
🧭 Note:
This trade is not yet active — confirmation required above 118.8k with session momentum (NY or strong engulfing candle). Clean reclaim = high-quality continuation setup in TCB strategy.
📓 Using the TCB method helps filter low-quality breakouts and confirms structure before entry. Wait for the reclaim and momentum confirmation before executing.
💬 Let me know in the comments if you're watching this or trading similar setups on BTC!
#BTCUSD #Crypto #PriceAction #TradingView #TCBStrategy #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #ReclaimSetup #SmartTrading
Final BTC target still remain above 130kBTC still has some push to do to reach my final target, 130k - 145k region. If you look at my BTC chart from January, that region has been highlighted. Till then, I'm still bullish. Now DXY is trying to turn bullish too, which will mean bearish BTC but it is that is s lagging indicator. It won't happen immediately, maybe next 2 or 3 months. Be prepared, for now, we still go up. Enjoyyy
Follow me as my trades are market order so you'll see the trades on time anand enter on time
BTC/USD Technical Analysis — Educational BreakdownBTC/USD Technical Analysis — Educational Breakdown (July 13, 2025)
🔍 Market Context
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently trading around $117,913, exhibiting a clear reaction from a well-defined resistance zone between $118,439 and $119,000. This resistance aligns with a previously unfilled 4H Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) — a price inefficiency left behind during a strong bullish move — which has now been filled, triggering a pause and reaction in bullish momentum.
🧠 Key Concepts Explained
📘 1. Fair Value Gap (FVG)
In Institutional Price Delivery models (often used in Smart Money Concepts), a Fair Value Gap represents an imbalance in price action — usually between the wicks of candles where price moved too quickly, leaving inefficient trading zones. Price often retraces to these areas before resuming its direction. Here, BTC has filled the 4H Bullish FVG, which acts as a magnet for price and a potential reversal point once filled.
📘 2. Liquidity Sweep
The chart highlights a Sell-Side Liquidity Sweep — this occurs when price dips below a key short-term low or consolidation range to trigger stop-losses and collect liquidity before making its next move. This move is typically engineered by larger market participants to capture orders before deciding on true directional intent.
📘 3. Resistance and Support
Resistance ($118,439 – $119,000): This area is acting as a supply zone where sellers are stepping in after price filled the FVG.
Support ($115,580): This level has previously provided demand and also holds liquidity (stop-losses from long positions), making it a probable target if bearish pressure follows through.
📈 Potential Trade Insight (Educational)
⚠️ This is not financial advice but an educational scenario based on the current technical setup.
Bearish Setup: If price rejects from resistance and forms a lower high, a short entry targeting the support zone at $115,580 could be considered, using a stop above $119,000.
Bullish Invalidator: A break and hold above $119,000 would suggest bullish continuation, potentially targeting higher time frame imbalances or resistance.
📚 Summary & Takeaway for Learners
This chart presents an excellent case study in understanding how institutional concepts like FVGs, liquidity sweeps, and key supply/demand zones interact in real price action. Traders can learn the following from this setup:
Price doesn’t move randomly — it often targets liquidity and imbalances.
Patience is key — waiting for confirmation at known reaction zones can improve trade accuracy.
Market context matters — a filled FVG at resistance combined with a liquidity sweep gives confluence to a bearish outlook.
BTCUSD Analysis : Reversal Brewing from Volume Burst Demand Zone🧠 Overview:
Bitcoin is currently showing signs of a potential bullish reversal, following a classic Market Maker Cycle (MMC) pattern. The price action has been clean, respecting both volume dynamics and structural levels, setting the stage for a possible breakout above key areas of interest.
Let’s dive into the detailed breakdown:
🔍 Key Technical Elements:
1️⃣ Volume Contractions – Early Sign of Momentum Shift
At the top left of the chart, we observe a sharp upward move, followed by volume contraction within a rising wedge. This typically represents:
Absorption of orders
Reduced volatility
Market indecision
This kind of structure often precedes a reversal or aggressive breakout, depending on how price behaves near liquidity zones.
2️⃣ Fakeout/Trap Above – Classic MMC Manipulation Phase
After the rising wedge formed, BTC experienced a quick fakeout (stop hunt) just above the highs, then dropped sharply. This was the manipulation leg — a clear signal that liquidity above the wedge was taken and smart money is now repositioning.
🧠 Market makers love to trap breakout traders before moving the opposite way. The drop confirms manipulation is complete.
3️⃣ Reversal Zone + Demand Interchange into Supply
Price then entered a marked reversal zone which was previously an area of demand — now interchanging into supply. This zone is critical because:
It aligns with volume burst zones
It acted as support turned resistance
Multiple rejections confirm order flow shift
This tells us smart money is now testing this area to accumulate or trap sellers.
4️⃣ Volume Burst Area – Institutional Involvement Confirmed
We can clearly identify a Volume Burst Area, where price spiked with strong momentum — this is not retail trading. This zone is now being revisited for a potential bullish re-accumulation.
Expect reaction from this area, as it likely contains unmitigated buy orders from institutions.
5️⃣ Break of Structure (BOS) Mapping:
Minor BOS: Breaks short-term lower highs, showing early intent.
Major BOS: Breaks significant structure, confirming shift in trend direction.
A successful retest of demand and then break of both BOS levels will likely lead to a strong bullish continuation.
📈 Trade Plan & Potential Price Path:
There are two potential bullish entry strategies forming:
✅ Scenario 1: Clean Breakout Plan
Price holds the current reversal zone
Breaks Minor BOS, then Major BOS
Retest of BOS confirms continuation
📍 Target: $119,600+
✅ Scenario 2: Liquidity Sweep Entry
Price dips lower into Volume Burst Area
Sweeps liquidity below and prints a bullish reaction
Enters from discount zone
Same upside targets apply
🧠 This would be a smart money entry — entering from the lowest point of pain for retail traders.
🧵 Final Thoughts:
BTC is setting up beautifully for a reversal continuation pattern within the MMC framework. We’ve seen:
📉 Initial drop (accumulation phase)
🎭 Fake breakout (manipulation phase)
📈 Upcoming expansion (breakout phase)
All signs point to a high-probability move upward, especially if price confirms with BOS + retest. Be patient, wait for price action to align with structure and volume clues.
BTCUSDBTCUSD also fell from a high level, reaching a high of around 119700, only 300 points away from the target of 120k. The price after the decline is now around 118600. Buying at a low level is the main focus. The reference buying point is 118500-118000. The target is above 120k. Stop loss 117300
Bitcoin -> The bullrun is not over!📣Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is still totally bullish:
🔎Analysis summary:
A couple of months ago Bitcoin broke above the previous all time high. This was basically just the expected creation of new highs, perfectly following the underlying cycles. With respect to the long term rising channel formation, this bullrun on Bitcoin is just starting.
📝Levels to watch:
$100.000
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
Bitcoin Buy Bias – On-Chain Confidence Still Has Room to RunThe On-chain Confidence indicator is showing signs of increasing sell pressure and profit-taking, but it still remains well below the historical peaks seen in previous bull market tops (2017 & 2021).
👉 This is a composite indicator combining several key on-chain metrics like RHODL Ratio, Puell Multiple, and MVRV, among others.
📊 The current level resembles early 2024 and early 2025, suggesting we are not yet at extreme sentiment levels.
If this indicator continues to climb toward its previous cycle highs, it may signal that we’re entering the final leg of this bull run. For now, there’s still room for upside momentum.
Bitcoin Just Shattered Resistance — Is a Pullback Coming Next? Bitcoin has exploded past a multi-month resistance zone with authority, confirming a breakout that’s been building for weeks. This move aligns perfectly with the rising trendline, signaling strong bullish structure. But here’s the catch — the Stochastic RSI is flashing overbought levels, a classic sign that momentum could be topping out short-term.
Smart traders are now watching two key scenarios: either we see a healthy pullback into the breakout zone (around $112K) for a textbook retest, or bulls keep control and push price into parabolic territory. If this level holds as new support, it could become the launchpad for the next major leg up.
Breakout traders, backtest your pullback strategies and manage risk — the next move could define the rest of the month.
Risk 116. Target 123-125KMorning folks,
Prior 1H H&S was done, we were watching on 120K resistance area, as we said last time. Now, on 1H chart H&S is showing signs of failure - too extended right arm, no downside breakout. Price is taking the shape of triangle . All these signs are bullish. Because butterflies very often appear on a ruins of H&S, we suggest that this one could be formed here...
The risk level for this scenario is 116K lows - BTC has to stay above it to keep butterfly (and triangle) valid, otherwise, deeper retracement to 112K area could start.
Upside target starts from 123K top and up to 125K butterfly target.
Bitcoin: Genius is on the scene The U.S. House passed the Genius Act on July 17, following Senate approval in June. The bill sets comprehensive federal standards for stablecoins, clearing the way for banks and fintechs to issue them under clear reserve and audit rules. This represents a new milestone for the crypto market, and its leading coin - BTC. During the week, BTC managed to hold steady above the $118K. On Tuesday, there has been one attempt to push the price toward the $116, however, the price swiftly returned to the previous grounds. The highest weekly level reached was at $122,8K, reached on Monday, however, this level was also unsustainable. The majority of trades during the week were around $118,5K.
The RSI modestly moved from the overbought market side, ending the week at the level of 65. This could be an indication of a forthcoming price reversal, however, considering strong demand for BTC, such a move could be easily postponed. The MA50 started again to diverge from MA200, indicating that there will be no cross of two lines in the coming period.
BTC managed to hold levels above the $118K, which is an indication that investors are still not ready to sell in higher volumes, in order to take profits. The RSI is indicating potential for a short reversal, however, in the current circumstances, it might be postponed. A move toward the higher grounds is also quite possible, especially taking into account BTCs recent push toward the $122K. At this moment charts are pointing to equal probabilities for a move toward both sides. On one hand, the $116K support was indicated through price during the previous week, as well as the $122K. The start of the week ahead will determine which side will prevail in the week ahead.
Bitcoin Ready For Another Leg Higher?Bitcoin currently shows characteristics of bullish consolidation. Following a notable upward move after the election , the price action has entered a phase of sideways trading within a defined range since inauguration.
This period allows the market to digest recent gains and for buyers to accumulate further positions before the next anticipated leg up. Technical indicators, while showing a temporary pause in upward momentum, generally remain supportive of a bullish continuation, with key support levels S1-75k, S2-100k holding firm. The consolidation phase, marked by decreasing volatility, often precedes a strong directional move, suggesting that Bitcoin is coiling for another potential surge.