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BTCUSD trade ideas

Bitcoin Rallies, but Institutional Caution RemainsBitcoin extends its bullish momentum, supported by increased risk appetite in the cryptocurrency sector, marking three consecutive sessions of gains and heading towards a positive weekly close after three weeks under pressure. Currently, it is trading around $99,000, reinforcing the perception that, despite recent volatility, investors still maintain support and interest in crypto assets. However, signs of caution emerge from the institutional front. This week, Bitcoin ETFs recorded significant outflows, with $364 million withdrawn yesterday and a total of $490 million so far this week. This behavior suggests that some institutional participants prefer to stay on the sidelines amid macroeconomic uncertainty. A relatively positive factor comes from the derivatives market, where short liquidations far exceed long positions, indicating that traders have closed their bearish exposures after being pressured by the recent rally. Meanwhile, open interest rose 7.2% to reach $35.2 billion, mostly driven by long positions. On the monetary front, the Federal Reserve's restrictive stance continues to weigh on Bitcoin's potential. Recently, FED members reaffirmed their intention to keep interest rates in the 4.25%-4.50% range, maintaining pressure on higher-risk assets. This high-rate environment limits the appeal of riskier assets, affecting the performance of Bitcoin and crypto-related stocks. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSD
by Pepperstone
BTC consolidation The Week Ahead 17th Feb 25The Bitcoin (BTC) price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since the spike to all time high of 109,000 on 20th January 2025, the BTC price action is starting to display some signs of bearish behaviour by potentially forming a double top reversal pattern. The key trading level is at the “Neckline” 91,900 level, which is the current swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 91900 level could target the upside resistance at 100,650 (20 day moving average) followed by the 105,590 and 109,460 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the “neckline” 91,900 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 85,275 support level followed by 79917 and 75060 ( 200 day moving average). This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:BTCUSD
by TradeNation
$BTC Bitcoin FlaggingAbout Bitcoin (BTC) Bitcoin (BTC) is the first cryptocurrency built on blockchain technology, also known as a decentralized digital currency that is based on cryptography. Unlike government-issued or fiat currencies such as US Dollars or Euro which are controlled by central banks, Bitcoin can operate without the need of a central authority like a central bank or a company. The decentralized nature allows it to operate on a peer-to-peer network whereby users are able to send funds to each other without going through intermediaries. Who created Bitcoin? The creator is an unknown individual or group that goes by the name Satoshi Nakamoto with the idea of an electronic peer-to-peer cash system as it is written in a whitepaper. Until today, the true identity of Satoshi Nakamoto has not been verified though there has been speculation and rumor as to who Satoshi might be. What we do know is that officially, the first genesis block of BTC was mined on 9th January 2009, defining the start of cryptocurrencies. How does Bitcoin work? While the general public perceives Bitcoin as a physical looking coin, it is actually far from that. Under the hood, it is a distributed accounting ledger that is stored as a chain of blocks - hence the name blockchain. Let's compare how Bitcoin is different from a commercial bank, which operates as a centralized system. Given a situation where Alice wants to transact with Bob, the bank is the only entity that holds the ledger that describes how much balance Alice and Bob has. As the bank maintains the ledger, they will do the verification as to whether Alice has enough funds to send to Bob. Finally when the transaction successfully takes place, the Bank will deduct Alice’s account and credit Bob’s account with the latest amount. Bitcoin conversely works in a decentralized manner. Since there is no central figure like a bank to verify the transactions and maintain the ledger, a copy of the ledger is distributed across Bitcoin nodes. A node is a piece of software that anybody can download and run to participate in the network. With that, everybody has a copy of how much balance Alice and Bob has, and there will be no dispute of fund balance. Now, if Alice were to transact with Bob using bitcoin. Alice will have to broadcast her transaction to the network that she intends to send $1 to Bob in equivalent amount of bitcoin. So how does the system determine if Alice has enough bitcoin to execute the transaction? This is where mining takes place. Bitcoin Mining A Bitcoin miner will use his or her computer rigs to validate Alice’s transaction to be added into the ledger. In order to stop a miner from adding any arbitrary transactions, they will need to solve a complex puzzle. Only if the miner is able to solve the puzzle (called the Proof of Work), which happens at random, then he or she is able to add the transactions into the ledger and the record is final. Since running computer rigs cost money due to capital expenditure, which includes the cost of the rigs and the cost of electricity, miners are rewarded with new supply of bitcoins. This is the monetary system behind Bitcoin, where the fees for validating transactions on the network is paid by the person who wishes to transact (in this case it is Alice). This makes the Bitcoin ledger resilient against fraud in a trustless manner. While it is resilient, there are still some risks associated with the system such as the 51% attack where by miners control more than 51% of the total computation power and also there can be security risks outside of the control of the Bitcoin protocol.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by BADQOMOCAWGOWLD
1
BTCUSD next (wait for perfect entry)(Long term view)(05-08-2024Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly. Anup 'BIAS for Bitcoin (05-08-2024) (LONG TERM) Current price- 54000 wait for the price to reach 44000-46000 (buying region) to take a best entry of buying of which first target will be the 70000, and second target 86000 and third target 108000. -POSSIBILITY-1 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening ) -POSSIBILITY-2 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening) Best of luck Never risk 2% of principal to follow any position. Support us by liking and sharing the post.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by AnupZiddi
23
BTCUSD next move(expecting a bullish move)(18-09-2024)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly. Anup 'BIAS for BTCUSD (18-09-2024) (SHORT TERM) Current price- 59400 "if Price stay above 57400 then next target is 61000, 64000 and below that 56,000 . -POSSIBILITY-1 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening ) -POSSIBILITY-2 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening) Best of luck Never risk 2% of principal to follow any position. Support us by liking and sharing the post.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by AnupZiddi
23
Bitcoin's Next Move? Key Levels to Watch Based on Market Trends!🚀 Bitcoin's Next Move? Key Levels to Watch Based on Market Trends! 📊 Bitcoin has entered a crucial consolidation zone between $92,805 and $103,757. Will it break out to new highs or drop sharply? Let’s analyze the technical and fundamental factors driving BTC’s next move! 📈 Technical Analysis: Critical Price Levels 🔹 Resistance & All-Time High (ATH) - Bitcoin recently hit an ATH of $109,356 (Jan 2025) but faced strong rejection near the upper boundary of the Primary Ascending Channel. - The price is currently consolidating between $92,805 - $103,757, forming a critical decision zone. 🔹 Bearish Breakdown Scenario - A daily close below $92,800 would confirm a bearish breakdown. - This could lead to a strong drop toward the first support level of $79,579 and further down to $71,400. 🔹 Bullish Breakout Scenario If Bitcoin breaks above $103,757, it could signal a continuation toward ATH levels at $109,356 and potentially new highs beyond $120K. 📰 Fundamental Analysis: Market Sentiment & BTC News 📢 Bitcoin Funding Rate Turns Neutral! What Does This Mean? - The funding rate on top exchanges has turned neutral, meaning that longs and shorts are now balanced after recent volatility. - Historically, when BTC neutralizes funding after a strong rally, two scenarios usually play out: 1️⃣ Bullish Accumulation: A period of sideways movement before another breakout. 2️⃣ Sell-Off Risk: Weak bullish momentum leading to a sharp correction. 🔥 This news aligns perfectly with our $92,800 support level—if BTC holds above it, we could see another rally. But if it breaks below, expect a deep correction! 📢 Final Thought: Watch These Key Levels Closely! 💥 Above $103,757 → Bullish breakout → Next target: $109K+ ⚠️ Below $92,800 → Bearish breakdown → Targets: $79K & $71K ✅ Will Bitcoin break above $103K or drop to $79K? ✅ Comment your BTC price target below! Let’s discuss! 👇🔥 🚀 Do you think BTC will break above $103K or drop to $79K? Comment your thoughts below! 👇🔥
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by SroshMayi
8
No longs by far. 90-92K stands in focusMorning folks, Last time we were speaking about possible upside bounce to ~102.5K area. But BTC has failed three attempts to move out from support level where it stands. Despite that upside momentum was not bad. With the recent high CPI on the table and weekly DRPO "Sell" pattern on the back, we suggest that downside action could start at any time. First target will be ~90-92K area just because this is daily oversold. Weekly pattern suggest target around 80-81K. By this reason we do not consider any new intraday longs by far. Besides, on daily chart today we could get bearish grabber that supports adea of 90-92K lows level.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Sive-Morten
The Path to $158K – A Two-Phase Bull RunBitcoin (BTC/USD) Bitcoin is on track to reach $134,000 by April 2025, following the natural progression of the bull market cycle. However, as BTC approaches this key level, profit-taking and market dynamics will likely trigger a pullback phase, setting the stage for the second and final leg of the bull run. Phase 1: The $134K Target and Pullback (April–July 2025) BTC’s bull market momentum is expected to push the price toward $134,000 in April 2025, marking a critical milestone. As this level is reached, a selling phase will emerge, leading to a correction between $62,000 and $72,000 from May to July 2025. This retracement will serve as a healthy market reset, allowing for renewed accumulation before the next explosive move. Phase 2: The Final Bull Run to $158K (Nov–Dec 2025) After the correction, BTC will enter the second phase of the bull cycle, characterized by renewed investor interest and fresh capital inflows. A new wave of hype and adoption will propel Bitcoin toward its final bull market peak of $158,000 by November–December 2025. This mirrors historical market cycles, where a strong initial rally, followed by a correction, leads to an ultimate parabolic run before the market cools down. Key Price Levels to Watch: Target 1: $134,000 (April 2025) → Key milestone before the pullback. Pullback Range: $62,000–$72,000 (May–July 2025) → Profit-taking phase and market reset. Final Bull Run Target: $158,000 (Nov–Dec 2025) → Peak of the bull market before a potential cycle shift. Summary: History Will Repeat Itself Bitcoin's bull market progression follows a well-established pattern of rapid price appreciation, sharp corrections, and a final euphoric rally. With $134K as the first major target, a pullback to $62K–$72K will act as the foundation for the second explosive phase, ultimately driving BTC to its anticipated $158K peak by late 2025. As always, market cycles repeat, and this time, history appears to be following the same script once again.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by QuantumFusionWave
4
TIME TO UPDATE TRADEWell....well....well, not to bad for bitcoin its been holding very well in that trading range but now that we are about to finish the 4hrs Bearish Cycle is TIME to change sides and the next move is up . Any flush BIG RED candle is just to go an rekt all those poor souls with stops below the $93k area and then UP to go and rekt the Bears that entered too early and continue higher for another test to the $100k area and very probably to its Zero Line . We are about to close Week #8 and price still in the same area. Buckle Up ladies and gentlemen we are heading for a wild ride.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PLong
by Numberfive
Bitcoin: Watch Low 90K Test For Long Setup.Bitcoin is near the lower part of its broader bullish consolidation. This means swing trade shorts are higher risk, while longs lower risk. How you navigate this area depends on the time frame you use to evaluate your trade signal and risk. The key location to watch for the coming week is the 93,500 to 92,500 support AREA which is part of a larger support zone. A bullish retrace from this area offers potential of at least 2 to 3K points which is a conservative estimation. IF this support area gives way (decisive break of 90K), then all bets are off until new levels establish themselves. Recent movements have been wild thanks to all of the drama in the news. People who consume and react to news events will often find themselves stuck in painful positions. Chasing news, reacting to dramatic price movements and/or random signals/patterns on charts in leads to random results. You want to capitalize on participants who make these mistakes by anticipating their behavior and this is best done by evaluating ONLY TWO market components: support/resistance and trend. As simplistic and obvious as this may sound, this is the information that helps you build a more accurate lens to judge a market. Both of these components depend on the time fame you choose to operate. For this analysis, that is the swing trade time frame. Recent trend can be categorized as range bound. That has been clear for weeks now. In range bound environments, support and resistance levels have a greater tendency to HOLD until one side eventually breaks If we zoom out on Bitcoin (monthly) we can see this consolidation is likely a broader Wave 4, or a broader higher low. IF I have to bet on a side, it would be bullish. For me this means expect more for longs, ESPECIALLY from major support areas and LESS from shorts, ESPECIALLY from resistance areas on this time frame. For example: with this context in mind and planning to take a swing trade, having a price point in mind (93K AREA see arrow), you now WAIT for confirmation in the anticipated area. IF it appears, risk can be defined around 89,500. That's 3.5K points which may sound like a lot, but the profit potential if it bounces is AT LEAST 4 to 5K points based on the current levels. How you manage this all depends on your risk tolerance and account size but in my opinion it is a risk worth taking. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
2