BTCUSD trade ideas
BTC at Make-or-Break: Rejection or Liftoff to $130K?
Bias/Summary
BTC is at a critical zone between 109K–112K. Price is currently showing hesitation after initial rejection at the Yearly L3 (112K), and I’m leaning short unless we see a strong breakout and hold above that level. However, if bulls reclaim it, we could see a fast move to 130K before many can react.
Technical Context:
Yearly L3 sits around the $112K zone – a historically significant level.
Price faced rejection at $112K and is now hovering near $109K.
Lower timeframe showing indecision, possible bearish bias.
Watching for:
Rejection + lower high below $112K = short setup.
Clean breakout + retest of $112K = shift to long bias.
Trade Idea / Setup:
🟥 Scenario A – Short Bias (Current Leaning):
Entry: 110K–111.5K (if rejection confirms)
Stop Loss: Above 112.5K
Targets:
TP1: 104K
TP2: 99K
TP3: 94K
R:R: Up to 3.5:1 depending on entry and target
🟩 Scenario B – Breakout Long (Contingent Setup):
Entry: 113K+ (after breakout and solid retest)
Stop Loss: Below 111K
Targets:
TP1: 120K
TP2: 130K
R:R: ~3:1 or more if momentum confirms
Risk & Patience Reminder:
⚠️Let price lead. No breakout = no long. No clear rejection = no short. Wait for confirmation, and don’t force entries in the chop.
Patience > Prediction.
NFA. DYOR. Manage your risk.
Heading into pullback resistance?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which. is also a pullback support.
Pivot: 108,391.05
1st Support: 98,383.98
1st Resistance: 119,108.79
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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BTCUSD 5/24/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you an amazing breakdown of Bitcoins current, & most recent Price Action to determine its next move. He's on a roll with these Callouts; don't you miss out on this one!
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BTC/USD IS A STRATEGIC CORRECTION OR A NEW RALLY AHEAD?BTC/USD 24 MAY – IS A STRATEGIC CORRECTION OR A NEW RALLY AHEAD?
🌐 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT
Federal Reserve Outlook: Recent statements from Fed officials remain hawkish, signaling that interest rate cuts may not arrive soon. Inflation data remains sticky, adding pressure on risk-on assets like crypto in the short term.
Market Sentiment: Investors are cautious, with capital flowing back into safer assets amid global uncertainty. However, long-term sentiment on BTC remains strong, supported by fundamentals.
On-Chain Metrics: Wallet activity and hash rate growth continue to reflect strong underlying demand. This suggests accumulation despite short-term price pressure.
📉 TECHNICAL STRUCTURE (H1 CHART)
BTC/USD is currently correcting after reaching the 111,947 resistance area. Price bounced from the 106,831 support zone and is now approaching the mid-range levels again.
Chart Formation: A possible "bull trap" pattern is forming. Price may retest the 110,000 – 111,947 supply zone before deciding the next move.
EMA Signals: Short-term EMAs have crossed downward on the H1 timeframe, indicating a weakening bullish momentum.
🎯 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY
🔻 SCALP SELL ZONE:
Entry: 111,800 – 111,950
Stop Loss: 112,200
Targets: 110,000 → 108,500 → 106,800 → 102,567
🔺 BUY ZONE (PULLBACK SUPPORT):
Entry: 106,800 – 106,600
Stop Loss: 106,200
Targets: 107,800 → 109,000 → 110,000
🔍 TECHNICAL KEY LEVELS
Resistance Zone: 111,947 – 112,000
Support Zone: 106,831 → 106,600 → 102,567
FIBO Key Levels: 0.5 – 109,393 | 0.382 – 108,763
⚠️ STRATEGY OUTLOOK
If BTC breaks above 112,000 with strong volume, expect a bullish continuation toward 114,000+ levels.
However, if price fails to hold above 110,000 and drops below 106,800, a deeper correction to 102,500 may follow.
📌 CONCLUSION
"BTC is at a decision point, trading between macro hawkish pressure and technical liquidity zones. Stay flexible and wait for confirmation before committing heavily."
Watch the US Jobless Claims data tonight for volatility triggers.
Avoid emotional trades. Use strict risk management.
Follow this profile for more real-time plans and updates.
BTC Short Locked – FVG + 79% Fib = Liquidity Grab Incoming📉 BTCUSD | 1H Smart Money Short – Premium Rejection in Play
Bitcoin just tapped into a nasty supply zone that aligns with:
🟥 Fair Value Gap (FVG)
🔻 79% Fibonacci Retracement
💥 Previous Breaker Block Zone
🧠 Clean Internal Liquidity sweep
🚩 Structure still bearish – no HH
🔍 1. Market Structure Breakdown
Price broke down aggressively from the top (early signs of redistribution)
We’re now retesting the FVG + OB zone
No candle close above the Strong High = still valid bearish context
🧱 2. Zone Confluence
📍 FVG (Fair Value Gap): Imbalance created during impulsive sell-off
📍 OB + Breaker: Strong resistance holding inside 70.5%–79% retracement
📍 Strong High: Still protected
📍 Weak Low: Below = prime target for liquidity sweep
Price kissed the edge of that 79% Fib and immediately rejected = 🔥 confidence for a swing short
🎯 3. Trade Plan
Entry: Around 110,800 (inside FVG zone)
Stop Loss: Above 112,400 (Strong High)
Take Profit: 105,248 (below Weak Low liquidity)
⚖️ 4. RRR (Risk-Reward Ratio)
📥 Entry: 110,800
🔒 SL: 112,400
💰 TP: 105,248
✅ RRR ≈ 1:3.5
Solid asymmetric setup with clearly defined structure, inducement, and imbalance = Smart Money textbook trade.
📉 5. Why This Works
Retail longs are entering late = exit liquidity for big players
Price filled the FVG but failed to break structure
Weak low below is clean AF, likely to be swept for continuation
1H/4H alignment = high conviction short
💬 Type "SHORTED BTC 💥" if you saw this setup before the drop!
📌 Bookmark this – confluence stacking is how you win consistently
👊 Share this with someone still buying the top 📈🙃
BTCUSD MMC Breakdown – Curve Collapse & H&S Sell-Off Loading🔍 Chart Overview – BTC/USD (1H Timeframe)
This setup uses Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) to forecast Bitcoin’s next potential major move, blending institutional-level curve analysis, pattern recognition, and structure shifts.
We are currently seeing a Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern develop under a Black Mind Curve Resistance, supported by a sloping neckline and a clear zone of structure breaks and retests. Price is positioned for a significant bearish continuation if confirmation hits.
📐 Breakdown of Key Components:
🧠 1. Mirror Market Concepts (MMC)
MMC focuses on the symmetry and memory of market behavior. When certain price structures mirror past reactions (support, resistance, or rejection points), we gain an edge in anticipating where big moves will happen.
Here, the curve structure and neckline level align to mirror prior bearish reactions.
👤 2. Head & Shoulders Pattern
Left Shoulder: Formed with rising volume and strong bullish momentum.
Head: A sharp move upward forming a new high, but eventually fails to sustain above the curve.
Right Shoulder: A weaker bullish attempt, indicating exhaustion and imbalance.
The neckline is clearly marked — a break below it validates the reversal pattern.
🟠 3. Black Mind Curve Resistance
This is an institutional resistance arc — an MMC dynamic level that mirrors prior selling patterns. Price reacted strongly under this curve, confirming its relevance.
It acted as a ceiling for the head formation, capping bullish continuation and turning price downward.
🔵 4. Black Mind Curve Support
Drawn beneath the price action, this dynamic support is about to be tested again. A clean break below the curve and neckline would likely result in a strong drop.
⚠️ 5. Major CHoCH & BOS Zones
CHoCH (Change of Character): Price failed to form new highs and showed early bearish shift.
BOS (Break of Structure): Confirmed when neckline is broken.
These are vital MMC confirmation points that strengthen the short idea.
🔁 6. Retest & Boom (Bearish Version)
Price could retest the neckline or the broken trendline (shown by the blue arrows), offering a perfect "sell on retest" opportunity before dropping to the target.
This is a classic MMC play — breakdown ➝ retest ➝ continuation.
🎯 7. Target Zone
Projected based on:
Height of the H&S pattern.
Previous key structure zone.
MMC symmetry principles.
Expected target: near $101,700 – $102,000.
🧨 Trade Idea:
✅ Bearish Setup (Preferred Bias)
Wait for a clean neckline break and candle close.
Look for retest of neckline or curve (lower timeframes).
Sell with target near $101,700, SL above right shoulder.
🚫 Invalidation:
Price closes back above right shoulder and curve.
Invalidates the bearish structure.
BITCOIN MASSIVE BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅BITCOIN is trading in an
Uptrend and the coin finally
Made a bullish breakout of
The previous ALL-TIME-HIGH
Of 109,200$ level which
Was a strong resistance
Level and the coin is now trading
Almost 3% above the previous ATH
Which reinforces our bullish bias
In a powerful way and after a
Potential pullback we are quite
Likely to see some further
Growth on Bitcoin
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTCUSD Enter point 108300 Target 190300 Stop loss 107500You're outlining a long position on BTC/USD with the following trade setup:
Entry: 108,300
Target: 190,300
Stop Loss: 107,500
Here’s a quick analysis of the risk-reward ratio:
Risk: 108,300 - 107,500 = 800
Reward: 190,300 - 108,300 = 82,000
Risk-Reward Ratio: 82,000 / 800 = 102.5:1
That’s a very high risk-reward ratio, which is excellent if the setup is based on strong technical or fundamental analysis.
Things to Consider:
Entry and SL Proximity: The stop loss is only 800 points below the entry, so even small volatility could trigger it unless you're trading with tight control or expecting a sharp upward move.
Check Support at 108,300: Ensure this is a strong technical support level.
Market Sentiment & News: Stay updated with macroeconomic news and Bitcoin-related events that could influence such a sharp move.
Would you like a technical chart analysis or opinion on whether this trade setup is realistic based on current price levels?
BTC-USD 1h chart targets and stoplossHello everyone, let's look at the 1H BTC chart to USD, in this situation we can see how the price dropped below the local upward trend line. Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price:
T1 = 109196 $
T2 = 110644 $
Т3 = 111850 $ t4 = 112951 $
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = 108351 $
SL2 = 107537 $
SL3 = 106390 $
SL4 = 105455 $
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see staying over the upper limit, which can give price drops, while the MacD indicator lasts at the bottom of the range and is close to returning to the upward trend.
BITCOIN SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 108,794.06
Target Level: 97,384.13
Stop Loss: 116,400.68
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
BTC/USD – 1D Analysis
1️⃣ Market Structure
BTC remains ultra bullish. A new high was hit last week at 112K.
Since then, price is consolidating slightly around 110K with no major weakness showing.
2️⃣ Key Levels
📍 Main support: 108K (previous ATH)
🎯 Current resistance: 112K
🧭 Fibo extensions: targets projected at 130K–135K
3️⃣ Context & Momentum
🏦 Institutional interest remains strong
💵 Weakening USD = bullish for BTC
⚖️ Overall sentiment still favors upside despite market caution
4️⃣ Scenarios to watch
📈 Bullish: Break above 112K could trigger a run to 130K+
📉 Bearish: Break below 108K may open room for a retest of 103–100K
✅ Conclusion
BTC is gearing up for the next leg. As long as 108K holds, the bias stays bullish.
📆 This week could be the one that triggers the breakout.
BTC Conference Rally – Caution Advised | Sell-the-News SetupBitcoin is currently trading near ~$110K as the Bitcoin 2025 Conference kicks off today in Las Vegas, featuring major political and institutional figures. Price has been grinding higher into the event — but historically, Bitcoin conferences have marked short-term tops.
🔍 Historical Context:
Bitcoin 2024 (Nashville): BTC dropped ~30% post-conference
Bitcoin 2022: Immediate 10% pullback after day 2
These events often show classic “buy the rumor, sell the news” patterns
📉 Current Risk Setup:
RSI (4H): ~56 – neutral momentum, no breakout confirmation
Volume: Fading on green candles – weak demand on markup attempt
Support Zones:
108K = 55 SMA (first dynamic support)
107K = Lower Bollinger Band
105.8K = Last structural support from reaccumulation
Any close below 108K with rising volume could be the first sign of a shift. Breakdown below 105.8K would confirm a deeper move toward 101K.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
With expectations peaking and historical patterns aligning, caution is warranted. Let the chart confirm — but be aware that emotional euphoria around conferences has often been a liquidity trap.
🎯 Stay patient. Let price and volume lead.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoWarning #SellTheNews #BTCConference #TechnicalAnalysis
BTC: New All-Time High, What's Next?#Bitcoin reached a new ATH this week, confirming the early April low as a key bottom. With no resistance above, the sky is the limit. But breaking $102K could signal a correction, and $74.5K would mark a major trend shift.
Still, the risk/reward for buying BTC now is poor. Based on past cycles, altcoins usually shine after BTC tops due to capital rotation. So, now is the time to focus on strong altcoins with real activity.
Just a quick word of WARNING for BITCOIN- Local resistanceEasy to see and understand line od resistance here.
This is trhe line of rejection from 2017 and could well pose a problem in the short term
Technically, PA has the ability to break through this line but we need to see if it does.
BITCOIN is at a crossroads and this is just one of about 3 things that stand in ts way.
As mentioned earlier today, we have crossed one major hurdle today, this is the next one.
Hold on tight Guys and Gals, things could get very interesting but, for now, my preferred move for BTC is to range across for a little longer and come back to this next month
Unless the next 8 days are a strong push above this line and then try and stay above it
How bitcoin could provide a R13x Bitcoin is showing signs of a powerful breakout. A bullish pattern is forming, and with talk of deregulation in the US, this could be the start of something big. We explain the setup and risk-reward in detail.
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Bitcoin at Crucial Supply Zone – Reversal or Breakout?Bitcoin has now tapped into a major supply zone between $107,543 and $108,586, with today’s high printing at $108,586 before pulling back slightly. This is a significant area of historical resistance as shown by the Visible Range Volume Profile and prior price action.
Key Levels:
Current Price: $108,208
Supply Zone: $107,543 - $108,586 (major seller interest)
Support Zones:
$73,419 (previous ATH zone retest)
$37,871 (mid-term demand support)
$29,847 (macro support and possible bottom scenario)
Scenarios to Watch:
1. Bearish Rejection: A rejection from this zone could send BTC back toward the $73,000 area – watch for a breakdown below $106,000 as confirmation.
2. Breakout Rally: If bulls break above $108,600 and sustain, we could see a momentum-driven run toward $120K+ as price discovers new highs.
Macro Note: With upcoming U.S. economic data marked on the calendar, volatility could spike. Traders should prepare for fakeouts and liquidity grabs near these key levels.
My Bias:
Cautiously bearish at this resistance unless we see a clear breakout with volume.
Let me know in the comments:
Are you going short here or waiting for a confirmed breakout?
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
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