BTCUSDSHORTS trade ideas
Bitcoin short ration at resistance level once again on bitfinexCould see a rally here finally once again as shorts get squeezed.
I do NOT think bottom is in, but a healthy 20-40% rally is overdue soon.
We have not seen capitulation and I can see us testing 0.886 fib down at ~$2340 level as final resting place. $1300 seems like a pipe dream (past high).
Expect move form inverse adam n eve pattern to retest 4400 soon.Expect move from short time frame inverse adam n eve/HnS pattern to retest 4400 soon which is the major 0.786 fib from previous bear market $160 low. ...before perhaps final capitulation move down to 0.886 fib at ~$2400 and then accumulation a few weeks/months in this band.
elliott wave on shortsmay be doing TA on shorts for some of you guys is non-sense but to me is a very very good indicator of general sentiment direction. to be a profitable trader you should know the stream and swim on the river in opposite direction unless you will lose. so this the stream we are in bull market at BTCUSDSHORTS so we are still heading lower in BTCUSD. general trend analysis is working very well on shorts. it seems we are completing wave 4 and entering wave 5 take look at chart.doing a FIB Retracement tool on every green candle, if our corrections is still above the 61.8% of fib level we respect the trend. also daily rsi has room to go up but on the other hand also price daily rsi has room to go up. this is a contradiction. but we should always bear in mind that price action is more important than indicators because rsi can simple head lower again it is just representing price in other way and it is very useful on distinguishing bearish and bullish divergences. so after all strategy is so clear. we should not do anything until btc movement. if we fall below 4300 on finex with volume we should go short. if we go above 4720 on finex and set a higher high with volume we should go long. but i suggest not long in this trend because it is hard to know how much power that bears have in this very very bearish market. i suggest going long if and only if we break 5000 level with huge volume because it is a big phsycological level and also it is last big daily red candles 61.8 fib level.
BTCUSD: Bulls vs. Bears - how convicted are you?This chart is a simple overlay of BTCUSDSHORTS (Blue) vs. BTCUSDLONGS (Red). It's obvious - since the end of 2017 BTCUSD the overall Bullish/Bearish conviction has changed from bullish to bearish. The lower highs at the bullish side indicating a loss of bullish conviction. On the bearish side, higher lows are showing more and more bearish conviction.
Furthermore, BTCUSD has fallen under 5k USD and there is no V-shaped correction yet, which would indicate a high interest to buy BTC at such a "low" price. Why is there no V-shaped correction? The answer is very simple - more and more trader are NOT convicted of an increased BTCUSD price and more and more trader are convicted of a decreasing BTCUSD price.
This leads me to conclude a further downtrend of BTCUSD price.
Note: This is my first post and feel free to give me feedback or a like. If you disagree, feel free to comment your thoughts. We have all the same goals, and I am very convicted, that we all can learn from each other. :)