BTC SHORTS REKT . BULL RUN COMING . Pull back expectedA short squeeze is a big risk associated with short selling. If the price starts to rise rapidly, the trend may continue to escalate because the short sellers will likely want out Two measures useful in identifying the commodity at risk of a short squeeze are (a) short interest and (b) short-interest ratio. Short interest refers to the total number of shares sold short as a percentage of total shares outstanding, while short-interest ratio (SIR) is the total number of bitcoins sold short divided by the bitcoin’s average daily trading volume.
Keep in mind that when a short position gets closed it actually creates a buy order.
After a prolonged period of moving within the range, stop losses start to pile up. And so, even a small movement in the market can trigger a chain reaction of stop losses all at once and lead to a breakout on the charts, which we’ll get to below.
BTCUSDSHORTS trade ideas
Bulls Drop Bunker Busting Bombs on BearsIt can be argued that a Bear market in crypto isn't as nearly as costly to Bulls, in terms of actual losses, as it is when a Bull run hits Bears.
Why you ask?
Well for one thing, most bulls don't leverage up. They 're just innocent HODL'ers that you couldn't even pry wallet keys from their dead hands if you wanted to. Losses occur when the not so strong panic sell.
Bears however, need to sell... what's worse is, they sell on leverage, BIG leverage, leveraged loans... collateralized loans!... BIG HEAVY, FAMILY BURDENED BACKED TOXIC COLLATERALIZED BUBBLE SIZE LEVERAGED LOANS. The kind that can literally make people JUMP!
I present to you the continuation of The Bear Slaughter Algo...
Bear Flag .. Head & Shoulders ...LURE-TRAP-SLAUGHTER... Bear Flag .. Head & Shoulders ...LURE-TRAP-SLAUGHTER...
DIVERGENCE IN MARKET DYNAMICSAn interesting thought experiment ...
I've created an overlay of BTCUSD LONG (GREEN), BTCUSD SHORT (RED) & BTCUSD (BLUE).
It's apparent from the chart that long positions are closing, shorts are accumulating and set to (possibly) increase - all while the bitcoin price is on the rise.
Are we taking about a classic divergence which is going to herald the next dramatic fall in price?
This newbie welcomes your thoughts and comments !
BTCUSDSHORTS setting up for a huge dropBTCUSDSHORTS is an index of the number of leveraged shorts for BTC on the exchange.
This peaked recently at 40k and dropped very fast when BTC rallied from 6.8k to 8k. The reason the price rallies so hard in a short squeeze is because leveraged shorts have to cover - essentially market buying the underlying - forcing the price up faster than expected.
BTCUSDSHORTS has painted a nice rising wedge (bearish chart pattern) and fallen out of it. ITs attempting to recapture the breakdown. If this was a stock, index, or future it would be a short - essentially short the shorts.
How will it play out for this index though? Its not a stock index or future, its an index of number of short sellers.
if the index drops then expect BTC price to rise sharply once again. Timescale, next ~1-2 weeks
Some TA on the number of BTCUSD shorts on bitfinexWe do technical analysis on prices but let's have fun and also do it on the number of shorts on bitfinex.
Bear flag has recently formed (shorts being liquidated) on the BTCUSD Shorts chart. Remember that we are talking about the number of shorts, not the price of shorts.
Last time bear flag appeared was in early Feb and resulted in further downside action. We could anticipate some more retracement with a breakout of the broadening wedge to lower numbers in order to reach the 200 days moving average. That would also form a nice ABC corrections for Eliott wave's theory enthusiasts.
So basically the price of bitcoin will moon soon (lambo soon). No shills here.
Bitcoin decision aheadBITFINEX:BTCUSDLONGS
BITFINEX:BTCUSDSHORTS
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
I think this is the funniest TA i have ever made.. lets see the result at the end of april.
LONGS (white): on support + over shorts.
SHORTS (turquoise): rising wedge w/ longs support.
USD (orange): strong support.
CIRCLES (yellow): long/short with long support touch.
BTC shorts going down slowlyBTC shorts got destroyed last week. That was a total shock to shorts, as the signs were too easy to read that BTC was going down but it did not and killed the shorts. I think the down trend will continue as people are scared to short BTC soon as price is not going as predicted. Maybe shorts will come alive after BTC reaches 9.2k or 11.6k
If you were looking for a Reason for Why we Saw a 10% jumpThis is very likely it. I've seen people talking about the "buying" pressure building on order books, but in addition to that look at how many people were betting against the price of BTCUSD lately. This chart shows pressure to a record high, and when this many people think it's going to happen, on recent record LOW volume, you are asking for someone to come in and call the hand.
This Short pressure or a Short Squeeze was a major factor in todays breakout and it could very likely continue if we see this Volume stay in the market.
Fingers crossed here that we see it keep going to the moon, I know I'm wishing I had a bigger position from this morning, as I was one of the folks who thought we were going to see a drop below 6500 towards 5800 and I was saving quite a bit of dry powder to buy in down there.
BTC Short Chart... History repeating itself? This is for educational review. This is not financial advice.
Wanted to show that a short squeeze can move the price up impulsively on the flip, but doesn't indicate a bull market. More likely just the big boys taking retail heroes money who don't have enough margin to cover shorts. Everyone was eyeing 7500 as a stop loss but the real stop loss is at nearly 9K before we reach meaningful levels. Got to have deep pockets to play in the range we're in now, unlike 10-20K.
M
What a short squeeze!Too many weak fomo shorts.
I was a little concerned about this, but never had I thought the squeeze would be so dramatic. I guess people have too many stop losses.
This pump may lead to some upward follow-up in the coming days, though BTC will probably go even lower after this because abnormal activities don't attract investors.
short/longs bitfinex and the #REKT gameShorts/LONGS ratio is above 1 after a long time. What does it mean? I don't know. From the plot we can see that last time we were above 1 btc was going up big time. Now it seems we are on the edge of a bear market. Can we apply the same logic?
Bulls are tired, too much rekt people going long lately...