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BTCUSDT.3L trade ideas

Bitcoin BTC Forecast: Trump Wins, What’s Next for Crypto?Hello, Skyrexians! Earlier this year we made the predictions for Bitcoin and Ethereum. We assumed that price has finished the wave 4 for Bitcoin and wave 2 for Ethereum. Here you can find predictions: Today it looks like our forecasts are playing great. Trump won the elections in USA and cryptocurrency showed us the significant growth in one day. Bitcoin was even able to set the new ATH, some altcoins are also feel good. In today's article we are going to discuss if Trump really triggered new wave of bull run, or this is just a fake pump and soon we will see huge crash. Navigating Bitcoin bull run: where is the final target First of all let's take a look at the entire bull run which started at $15k. We can see on the chart below the beautiful impulsive wave. This bull run shall consists of 5 Elliott waves. Maximum Awesome Oscillator value corresponds to the wave 3. Then we have seen the corrective wave 4 to 0.5 Fibonacci level. Look at this perfect touch! Do you remember the panic on the market on August 5? But we were sure that this is the end of dump. Awesome Oscillator crossed zero line also at this period of time. It was the early indiction that all this annoying correction is almost done. Then we saw the growth with the new ATH for Bitcoin. Now price is printing the wave 5. Where is the target? Using our methods we predict the finish of bull run in the range between $85k and $107k. If you noticed - targets are unchanged! So, we suppose that bull run for BINANCE:BTCUSDT is almost over. It will continue climbing up on this optimism, but not so far. Now let's try to understand more global price action.
Long
by Skyrexio
2
BTC Bull Run MACD Positive on 1hr ChartBTC has been going sideways for the last 12 hours, but that sideways action has been curling up for the last 4 hours. Yesterday we had a movement after the ATH where a lot of Bulls got caught, but the Bear preassure was too much to contain it. Thankfully the price is holding on 87.000$ + This is actually good, crazy jumps up and down are good if you can catch them, but they are unstable, with this level consolidation I can feel confident that the price will rise. For the Technical Indicator Traders, MACD is one of the best tools, and is indicating a rally in the oncoming hours. Are you ready?
Long
by Autophagynow
2
Bitcoin to 100k this year?Hey guyys! So Trump won the election and we have new BTC ATH! And I think we all wondering where we can go now? Let's check the chart and daily we have bullish MA cross, huge volume on this election day. But, another day volume is not pretty nice and looks like more manipulative movement. So I think if we will stay long at the ATH level without moving up with descending volumes, we could potentially see some correction. If we stay above 69k, most likely after this short correction we can go up, if we're not holding this level we can go to 59-63k level. Cause real rally for me, will happen in 2025. What's your ideas, guys? Let's discuss in the comments? Are we going to 100k this year or only in 2025?
by SheTradesHub
2
11.07 Whale Index (note this section)Hello, I'm Whale Signal Bitcoin Continues Bullish Flow After Trump's Recent Reelection Success, Stretching Higher We'd like to look at RBI from a short-term perspective at our current position Bitcoin Is Already Up Significantly, But Here's How Long Short-Term Wave Will Continue Based on Two Scenarios The progress of short-term waves and two approaches Currently, Bitcoin is uncertain whether the short-term bullish wave, which started at 66.8K, has progressed to wave 5 In this regard, I will divide the following two cases into strategies 1. If the short-term 5th wave has been completed If the current short-term upward wave is a five-wave finish, we plan to focus on the "purple whale indicator" in the adjustment section The purple whale indicator overlaps with the Fibonacci 0.382 section of this rising wave, and if the flow defending the section (a bottom-tail type candle or settling flow) is confirmed, we will proceed with the sale from a long perspective However, in situations where the purple whale index deviates from the purple whale index, if it settles down the purple whale index again rather than from a short perspective, we will explore a long opportunity again in the retest or pressing position Short term wave 5 is in progress If wave 5 is still in progress, we are expecting resistance in the top white box section However, breaking through this section also opens up the possibility of a strong further rise When these resistance boxes are reached, we plan to recheck the short-term flow and set up more specific RBI (if that section comes, we will proceed with the indicator update again) Based on the fact that Tether Dominance is open to "4.4-4.6", the possibility of a current five-wave progression cannot be ignored -If Wave 5 Ends: Checks For Adjustability Near Purple Whale Indicator, Looking To Long Entry If You See Support And Bounce Flow In That Section If we leave, we will wait conservatively until the purple whale surface re-settlement section -If Wave 5 is underway: We expect resistance in the white box section, but if this section breaks too, there could be further upward momentum, especially as it's a short view in the bull market, so we'll take a more cautious approach (Rather than a strategy for short, you can get resistance in the white box section when it rises.) We will continue to watch the situation change and update the analysis in important sections *I don't share a point of view. It's a personal opinion, and the whale indicator simply points to support and resistance. I hope you guys take a RBI single through the whale indicator in your analysis* *For more detailed analysis and real-time updates, please check the real-time chart sharing guide link below* <> 1. The whale indicator simply points to support and resistance 2. Please refer to the whale index to find a trading RBI suitable for your analysis 3. The shape of the rod finish is important for whale indicators, so checking the closing rod helps with a stable trading strategy 4. Whale surface intensity is in the order of purple > orange > white, with purple surface indicating the strongest support and resistance
by Whale_signal
1
Indicators vs. Strategies: A Complete Guide Understanding Indicators vs. Strategies in TradingView: A Complete Guide When navigating TradingView, one of the essential questions traders face is whether to rely on indicators or strategies to inform their trading decisions. Both indicators and strategies play critical roles, yet they serve distinct functions and require different approaches to money management, risk, and emotions control. Let’s explore the key differences between indicators and strategies in TradingView and discuss best practices for risk management, along with strategies to avoid. 1. Indicators: The Building Blocks of Analysis What They Are Indicators are statistical tools that help traders interpret market data, revealing trends, potential entry and exit points, and momentum. Indicators can be used individually or combined for more complex insights. In TradingView, indicators can be customized to fit different asset types, making them versatile tools in any trader’s toolkit. Pros Simplicity: Indicators can be straightforward and easy to interpret, especially for beginners. Flexibility: Traders can apply indicators to various timeframes and markets. No Repainting: Well-designed indicators do not repaint, meaning they don’t change past values when new data comes in, providing stable signals for backtesting and live trading. Cons Limited Guidance on Money Management: Indicators alone don’t provide a full plan for money management, position sizing, or stop-loss placement. Potential for Over-Reliance: Relying solely on indicators can lead to analysis paralysis or a false sense of market understanding without a structured risk management framework. Emotional Challenges: Indicators require interpretation and patience. Without a clear exit plan, traders may succumb to emotional impulses, like exiting too early or holding onto a position for too long. 2. Strategies: A Comprehensive Trading System What They Are Strategies go beyond indicators by integrating entry, exit, stop-loss, and profit-taking rules. In TradingView, strategies can be backtested across different market conditions, giving traders insight into their performance over time. Strategies are more comprehensive in design, often incorporating multiple indicators, risk management rules, and position sizing. Pros Structured Money Management: A well-designed strategy includes money management rules that allow traders to control position size, set stop-loss levels, and adjust for varying market conditions. Risk Control: Strategies often have mechanisms for handling risk, such as maximum drawdown thresholds, trailing stops, and profit targets. With these, traders are less exposed to catastrophic losses. Emotional Control: Strategies minimize emotional trading by automating decision-making. With clear, predefined rules, traders can avoid impulsive reactions to market swings. Cons Complexity: Developing and optimizing strategies can be complex and time-consuming. Without careful backtesting and optimization, a strategy may underperform in live markets. Backtesting Limitations: Some strategies look profitable in historical data but may not hold up in real-time. Traders should be cautious of backtesting biases and over-optimizing to fit historical data. 3. Money Management & Risk Control: Indicators vs. Strategies Indicators: Indicators do not inherently provide money management tools. While they may signal trends or potential entry and exit points, it is up to the trader to set their stop-loss, take-profit levels, and position sizes. This requires a strong sense of discipline and risk management to avoid substantial losses. Strategies: Strategies, on the other hand, typically include integrated money management. With clear stop-loss and take-profit points, traders can manage risk more effectively. Strategies can also be coded to account for risk-adjusted metrics like the Sharpe Ratio and Sortino Ratio, helping to ensure that returns are balanced against the level of risk taken. 4. Strategies to Avoid on TradingView When evaluating strategies on TradingView, it’s essential to avoid the following pitfalls: 4.1 Repainting Strategies Repainting strategies can change historical data when new information is added, leading to inaccurate backtests. They may appear to perform well historically but will give false signals in real-time, which can be detrimental to your trading success. 4.2 Martingale-Based Strategies Martingale strategies double the position size after a loss in an attempt to recover it on the next trade. While this might seem appealing, it can quickly lead to oversized losses, especially during periods of consecutive losses. Avoid strategies that risk increasing position sizes without limit as these can rapidly drain an account. 4.3 Strategies with High Drawdowns Strategies with significant historical drawdowns are risky. A high drawdown suggests that the strategy may face considerable periods of loss. Analyzing drawdown in tandem with the Sortino and Sharpe Ratios can help gauge the quality of the strategy’s risk-adjusted returns. 4.4 Strategies without Stop-Losses Trading without stop-losses is dangerous as it leaves trades vulnerable to catastrophic losses. Reliable strategies should always include some form of a stop-loss to limit potential losses. 4.5 Low Reward-to-Risk Ratios (e.g., 1:1 or 1:2) Strategies with low reward-to-risk ratios (such as 1:1 or 1:2) are generally ineffective in the long run because they don’t provide sufficient reward relative to the risk taken. Aiming for a reward-to-risk ratio of at least 1:3 or higher can improve long-term profitability. 4.6 Heikin Ashi-Based Strategies for Real-Time Trading While Heikin Ashi candlesticks are effective for trend visualization, they average out price data, creating delays in signal timing. This can lead to late entries and exits in fast-moving markets, resulting in increased slippage and potentially lower profits in real-time trading. 5. Evaluating a Strategy: Key Metrics When reviewing or developing a strategy on TradingView, consider these essential metrics to assess its quality: Sortino Ratio: Measures risk-adjusted returns, focusing on downside volatility. A higher Sortino Ratio indicates that the strategy delivers good returns relative to the risk taken. Sharpe Ratio: Evaluates the returns relative to the strategy’s total volatility. A higher Sharpe Ratio is preferable, as it suggests consistent returns with manageable risk. Drawdown: The maximum percentage loss from a strategy’s peak equity value. Low drawdown means the strategy can endure market downturns without excessive loss. Profit Factor: The ratio of gross profit to gross loss. A profit factor above 1.5 is generally considered good, with higher numbers indicating better performance. Conclusion Indicators and strategies each have unique strengths and limitations. Indicators provide signals and insights but lack the comprehensive rules for money management and emotional control that strategies can offer. Strategies, with clear rules for risk management, profit-taking, and stop-losses, help traders manage their accounts with a disciplined approach. Avoid strategies that rely on repainting, Martingale systems, high drawdowns, or low reward-to-risk ratios, and always review metrics like the Sortino Ratio, Sharpe Ratio, and drawdown to ensure sound decision-making. By carefully selecting and fine-tuning strategies in TradingView, traders can enhance their odds of consistent, profitable trading.
Education
by Alpha-Capital
BTC Poised for a Breakout: Will Bulls or Bears Take Control?hello guys. let's analyze BTC Ascending Channel: BTC is trending within an upward channel, with a broken resistance line acting as support, indicating a bullish trend. Scenarios Outlined: Scenario 1 (Bullish): BTC could continue its upward movement, aiming for $74,000 and potentially $76,000 if momentum holds. This scenario suggests a strong rally after breaking through resistance levels. Scenario 2 (Pullback): BTC may pull back to retest the $66,000–$67,000 range, which would be a healthy correction within the trend. This level could provide a solid support base before the next upward move. Key Support and Resistance Zones: Support Zone: Around $66,000, where Scenario 2 will likely play out if a correction occurs. Resistance Zone: Between $74,000 and $76,000, a potential target for a bullish continuation. In summary, BTC is currently at a decision point. A breakout above the $74,000–$76,000 zone could lead to a sustained rally, while a retest of the $66,000 support could provide a better entry for bulls. Watch closely for price action at these levels!
by melikatrader94
17
BTC arriving at BIG resistance, early! but....I am bearish BUT, with bullish optimism and a possibility of big a big bull, based on current market momentum. This is actually a great place and likely place for it to pull back based on its prior pattern, but this momentum could prove otherwise. I am marking this neutral and no one wants to review neutral reviews they want to see bull or bear. The thing is we are at a pivotal point that will make the case for either a prolonged bull or bear market. I am not sure if we will break out or break down but I have painted the picture of how we are at that point right now. I will post again bull or bear once it seems to have committed to one or the other but otherwise just keep your eye on the trend lines. ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Here we are around $1000 less of $82.5k and we got here early. We are likely to have resistance here but breaking this line would be really significant and likely signal a parabolic crypto market to come, massive. The odds would put it at pulling back here as it has already twice in the past 4 years, and at minimum some resistance where it can consolidate potentially all the way up until late Dec before making a decision. It may still be December, but really the market feels like it might have enough fire to push through it real soon. ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Order books have actually been fairly range bound all year, we are at the high end but its nothing that screams some large increase in participation of day trading. Per CoinMarketFlow, global order books are around a -10% ratio on a 1d candle average at above 10% depth of market. This is actually ideal as it represents day traders with limit orders that expect the price to rise and less that expect it to fall. This is bullish ATM. I have been seeing lots of alts breaking resistance and converting it to support, lots of chance for jumps. Right now seems like a day traders paradise with 25%-50% sometimes 100% runs in a single day, from lower liquidity, low circulation coins especially. Right now the fire of the market makes me think we may break the resistance and truly fly to the moon. But the fact that order books have only grown by about 10%-15% or so over the last year, does make me question the durability of the run without more gas for the fire so to speak. If BTC breaks that 82.5k and proves it as support, it is as bullish as it gets, like hyperbolic potential. On the other hand, if we resist here again, as usual, then it could be a lot of prolonged pullback with a potential absolute low between $30k-$40k probably - based on this chart you are looking at now and considering a pullback like it did the last two times. So its more of a bearish layup that looks like it has the possibility to convert bullish. I would caution to be vigilant at or near this line and let it choose first before taking any real action. As usual DYOR but consider this trendline as one of your many things to watch to help you make more informed decisions.
by EncryptShawn
Bitcoin BTC price decides where to go nextAlmost all indicators are at extremely critical and decisive points: 1️⃣ CRYPTOCAP:BTC - $68300 2️⃣ BTC.D - 59% and continues to update local highs 3️⃣ USDT.D - 5.25% on the verge of a breakout or rebound upwards 4️⃣ Fear and Greed Index - 73 (greed) 🐳 Blue scenario - a sharp exit from the correction channel and movement towards $77-78k. 💔 Red scenario - correction OKX:BTCUSDT to $64000, and maybe even to $ 61k Vote which scenario you think is more likely. We will supplement this idea with interesting charts and our own opinion after we have 100+ votes.
by P_S_trade
2