BTC LONG TRADE BTC LONG TRADE
ENTRY : 106398.1
PROFIT : 107512.7
STOP : 106028.8
ALL trading ideas have entry point + stop loss + take profit + Risk level.
hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
Disclaimer
BTCUSDT.3L trade ideas
BTCUSDTHi snipers. On the one-day timeframe, we are witnessing the formation of a harmonic pattern called a flag. This pattern usually forms in the middle of a trend and then the previous trend continues. The flag consists of two parts: a bar and a flag. In the flag, the price is moving in a channel between two parallel lines. If the price breaks through and crosses the upper ceiling of the channel, we will probably reach new prices. I am practicing and learning. This is not a buy or sell offer.
BTCUSDT: Bullish Outlook Following Liquidity Sweepnavigating around pivotal areas defined by Breaker Blocks (BB) and Fair Value Gaps (FVG) on both the 1-hour and 2-hour charts. These zones represent high-probability areas for market reactions, whether as support for continuation or as points for potential short-term retracement before a larger rally.
strongly favors a bullish continuation for BTC. monitor interactions with the identified BB/FVG zones for optimal entry points, anticipating a potential dip to sweep short-term BSL or mitigate imbalances before the next significant leg up.
BTC trade plan🚨 BITCOIN – Eyeing $135K Before the Real Drop? 🚨
📆 Timeframe: 1D | Exchange: BINANCE
🧠 Elliott Wave Breakdown:
After completing Wave 3 near the $109K level, BTC entered a classic A-B-C correction.
We're currently breaking out of a bullish flag, hinting at the final leg Wave B rally still to come!
📈 Wave B Target Zone:
🎯 1.0 Extension: $135,920
🔴 1.236 Extension (Max Spike): $145,000
This zone is our “Red Box of Rejection”, where a strong reversal is likely as Wave C kicks in.
A sharp Wave C dump could target the 1.618 Fib extension at $74,576 — a textbook retracement level for deeper Wave 4 corrections.
That area would offer a generational buying opportunity heading into Wave 5, targeting above $220K+!
🚀 Final Wave 5 Target:
💥 1.618 Extension: $221,993+
BTCUSDT 30min Breakout Watch | Micro to Macro AlignmentSummary
Bitcoin is showing a classic multi-timeframe confluence setup. On the weekly chart, BTC is holding above key EMAs with bullish continuation patterns. The daily chart shows a breakout from a descending triangle, while 4H and 30-min charts confirm a narrowing price wedge inside a larger compression zone. Momentum is rising, but volume remains subdued. A confirmed breakout above $108K may trigger a measured move toward $114K–$118K, while a breakdown below $105K could lead to deeper retracements.
BTC 30m chart forming a tight triangle with bull flag structure inside.
Price hugging EMAs, RSI ~52, Kalman flipped green, ADX ~23 = prepping for move. Breakout above $107.6K can push fast to $108.3K+. Breakdown below $106.6K weakens structure.
Scaling out
4H: Descending wedge with bullish RSI divergence, ADX rising, support at $104.5K.
1D: Breakout from falling wedge, reclaiming EMAs, but needs volume.
1W: Bullish flag breakout setup; EMAs aligned; RSI > 57, room to run toward $114K if $108K clears.
Watch volume confirmation across timeframes for trend validation.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Bearish Breakdown in Play (4H)BTC has lost key support at $103,573 on the 4-hour timeframe, breaking down from the recent consolidation zone. The rejection from the lower highs and weakening RSI suggest more downside pressure ahead.
Technical Breakdown:
Support Broken: $103,573 (now acting as resistance)
Current Price: $102,246
Next Key Support Zones:
$101,410 (short-term bounce zone)
$97,340 – critical horizontal support
$93,343 – potential deeper flush area
Resistance to Watch:
$103,573 (retest = short opportunity)
$105,807 (major rejection zone)
Short Setup (Signal Style):
Short Entry: ~$103,500 (if retested)
Stoploss: Above $105,800
Targets:
TP1: $101,400
TP2: $97,300
TP3: $93,300
Final Note:
Trend remains bearish below $103.5K. Bulls need to reclaim that level fast or further downside becomes likely.
Not financial advice. DYOR.
BTC HIGH DATA SHOW BREAKDOWN TO 85K FOR BITCOIN SOON.Bitcoin Market Update
BTC SEEMS TO ENTER A NEW CORRECTION PHASE SOON.
Recent data suggests that the current Bitcoin (BTC) cycle is coming to an end. As a result, we may soon see a downward move in BTC's price. The key target in this potential drop is around $85,000, with expectations that BTC will fall below $100,000.
This week, Bitcoin completed its cycle trend and is now entering a processing or transitional phase. Once this phase ends, we anticipate another decline in price.
This outlook is based on recurring patterns seen in previous BTC cycles, which have shown similar behavior in the past.
BTC can play on the low time frame with uptrends and downtrends, but if we will choice a side, then it will be the red trend.. since BTC cycle is ending.
BTCUSDT analysis - 1H FVG and OB SetupsBitcoin has reacted cleanly to all marked zones so far.
Right now, we are waiting for price to reach the green circle area before making a decision. If we get confirmation on lower timeframes, we can look for a potential short setup on BTC.
Key zones are marked on the chart. Always wait for price to reach these levels and take your reactions on lower timeframes for precise entries.
Stay patient and let the chart come to you.
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📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD
📚 Daily setups & educational trades
📱 IG: @profitamin.fx
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) Market Update – DailyBitcoin remains in a tight range between $110,221.73 (resistance) and $101,546.27 (support). These two levels are the main reference points for initiating high-probability trades.
🔸 Market Context:
The primary trend is bullish, so the priority remains on long setups.
Short positions should only be considered below $101,546.27 with confirmation.
With the prevailing bullish structure, early entries can be taken with a low-risk trigger at $108,746.08.
🔸 Moving Averages & Momentum:
The SMA 7 has caught up with the daily candles, but we haven’t seen a strong reaction yet.
If today's candle wicks above the SMA 7, we can more confidently pursue long setups starting tomorrow.
Otherwise, we may see a pullback toward the SMA 25, especially given the decreasing volume typical of ranging phases.
🔸 Lower Timeframe Setup (1H/4H):
A micro range box can be observed between $108,746 and $106,649.78.
If price approaches $108,746 with increasing volume, that can serve as a valid long trigger on intraday timeframes.
⏳ Final Note: Patience is key while BTC trades inside this range. The bullish structure remains intact, and opportunities for long trades are more favorable for now. Wait for clean breakouts or volume-based confirmations before entering new trades.
#BTCUSDT #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoUpdate #BTCPrice #CryptoStrategy #BitcoinRange #LongSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
BTC UP OR NO📈 Bitcoin to Reach $113K, With a Breakout Path to $120K – A Professional Outlook
After analyzing the macro trend, technical structure, market sentiment, and on-chain behavior, I strongly believe that Bitcoin is on a clear trajectory toward $113,000, with a potential extension to $120,000 if key resistance is broken.
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🔍 1. Technical Analysis Perspective
Macro Bullish Structure: Since the 2022 bear market bottom, Bitcoin has maintained a consistent higher highs and higher lows pattern, confirming a long-term uptrend.
Fibonacci Extension: The 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the $15.5K bottom to the $69K peak gives a projected target of around $113K.
Historical Fractal Patterns: In previous cycles, Bitcoin has always broken past previous all-time highs by 1.5x to 1.75x, placing this cycle's peak in the $110K–$120K range.
Ascending Triangle Breakout: On the weekly chart, BTC is forming a bullish ascending triangle with the top resistance at ~$73K. A confirmed breakout targets $113K as the next major supply zone.
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🧠 2. Market Psychology & Cycle Timing
Halving Effect: Historically, Bitcoin peaks occur 9–12 months post-halving. The most recent halving was in April 2024, aligning a potential peak by Q1 or Q2 of 2025.
Psychological Resistance Zones: The $100K–$113K range is not only a Fibonacci target but also a powerful psychological barrier. Once breached, FOMO and institutional momentum could push BTC rapidly to $120K.
Retail vs Institutional Flows: Data shows increased ETF inflows and long-term holder accumulation — a classic pre-peak indicator.
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🔗 3. On-Chain and Whale Behavior
Realized Price vs Market Price: BTC market price is well above long-term holder realized price, signaling bull market phase 2 (the steep climb).
Dormant Supply: Over 70% of BTC has not moved in 6+ months, showing strong holder conviction. This reduces sell pressure as price increases.
Whale Accumulation Zones: Whales are heavily positioned around $60K–$65K, and there is minimal sell volume above $100K on major exchanges, opening the path to $113K with low resistance.
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🚀 Conclusion:
> Based on comprehensive technical patterns, market structure, psychological phases, and on-chain behavior, Bitcoin is highly likely to reach $113,000.
If momentum continues and $113K is breached with volume confirmation, a sharp move toward $120,000 becomes not only possible — but likely.
Sharing the advanced Bollinger Bands strategyHere are the Bollinger Band trading tips: *
📌 If you break above the upper band and then drop back down through it, confirm a short signal!
📌 If you drop below the lower band and then move back up through it, confirm a long signal!
📌 If you continue to drop below the middle band, add to your short position; if you break above the middle band, add to your long position!
Pretty straightforward, right? This means you won’t be waiting for the middle band to signal before acting; you’ll be ahead of the game, capturing market turning points!
Let’s break it down with some examples:
1. When Bitcoin breaks above the upper Bollinger Band, it looks strong, but quickly drops back below:
➡️ That’s a “bull trap”—time to go short!
2. If Bitcoin crashes below the lower band and then pops back up:
➡️ Bears are running out of steam—time to go long and grab that rebound!
3. If the price keeps moving above the middle band:
➡️ Add to your long or short positions to ride the trend without being greedy or hesitant.
Why is this method powerful?
It combines “edge recognition + trend confirmation” for double protection:
1. Edge Recognition—spot the turning point and act early.
2. Trend Confirmation—wait for the middle band breakout and then confidently add positions!
You won’t be reacting after the fact; you’ll be ahead of the curve, increasing your positions in the trend’s middle and locking in profits at the end. This is the rhythm of professional traders and the core logic of systematic profits!
Who is this method for?
- You want precise entry and exit points.
- You’re tired of “chasing highs and cutting losses.”
- You want a clear, executable trading system.
- You want to go from “I see the chart but don’t act” to “I see the signal and take action.”
Follow for more. Make sure to like this if you found it useful.
Understanding SFP In Trading1. What is a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP)?
A Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) occurs when the price temporarily breaks a key swing high or low but fails to continue in that direction, leading to a sharp reversal.
This pattern is often driven by liquidity grabs, where price manipulates traders into taking positions before reversing against them.
An SFP typically consists of:
A false breakout beyond a previous swing high/low.
A sharp rejection back within the prior range.
A liquidity grab, triggering stop-loss orders and fueling a reversal.
SFPs provide powerful trade opportunities, signaling potential reversals and the exhaustion of trends.
2. Understanding Liquidity Grabs & Stop Hunts
The financial markets are structured around liquidity. Large institutions and algorithmic traders require liquidity to execute their large orders efficiently.
One way they achieve this is by triggering liquidity grabs and stop hunts.
Liquidity Grab:
Occurs when price moves beyond a key level (e.g., swing high/low), activating orders from breakout traders and stop-losses of trapped traders.
Smart money absorbs this liquidity before pushing the price in the opposite direction.
Stop Hunt:
A deliberate price movement designed to trigger stop-loss orders of retail traders before reversing.
Often seen near major support and resistance levels.
These events are crucial for understanding SFPs because they explain why false breakouts occur before significant reversals.
3. Why Smart Money Uses SFPs
Institutions, market makers, and algorithmic traders use SFPs to:
Fill large orders: By grabbing liquidity at key levels, they ensure they can enter large positions without causing excessive price slippage.
Manipulate retail traders: Many retail traders place stop-losses at obvious swing points. Smart money exploits this by pushing the price beyond these levels before reversing.
Create optimal trade entries: SFPs often align with high-probability reversal zones, allowing smart money to enter positions at better prices.
Understanding how institutions operate gives traders an edge in identifying manipulative moves before major price reversals.
4. Market Structure & SFPs
Market structure is built upon a series of swing highs and swing lows. Identifying these key points is crucial because they represent areas where liquidity accumulates and where price is likely to react.
Swing High (SH): A peak where price makes a temporary high before reversing downward.
Swing Low (SL): A trough where price makes a temporary low before reversing upward.
Types of Swing Points in Market Structure
Higher Highs (HH) & Higher Lows (HL) – Bullish Trend
Lower Highs (LH) & Lower Lows (LL) – Bearish Trend
Equal Highs & Equal Lows – Range-Bound Market
5. Liquidity Pools: Where Traders Get Trapped
Liquidity pools refer to areas where traders' stop-loss orders, pending orders, and breakout entries accumulate. Smart money uses these liquidity zones to execute large orders.
Common Liquidity Pool Zones:
Above swing highs: Retail traders place breakout buy orders and stop-losses here.
Below swing lows: Stop-losses of long positions and breakout sell orders accumulate.
Trendline & Range Liquidity:
Multiple touches of a trendline encourage traders to enter positions based on trendline support/resistance.
Smart money may engineer a fake breakout before reversing price.
6. Identifying Bullish SFPs
SFPs can occur in both bullish and bearish market conditions. The key is to identify when a liquidity grab has occurred and whether the rejection is strong enough to confirm a reversal.
Bullish SFP (Swing Low Failure in a Downtrend)
Price sweeps a key low, triggering stop-losses of long traders.
A strong rejection wick forms, pushing price back above the previous low.
A shift in order flow (bullish market structure) confirms a potential reversal.
Traders look for bullish confirmation, such as a higher low forming after the SFP.
Best bullish SFP setups occur:
At strong support levels
Below previous swing lows with high liquidity
After a liquidity grab with momentum confirmation
7. Identifying Bearish SFPs
Bearish SFP (Swing High Failure in an Uptrend)
Price takes out a key high, triggering stop-losses of short traders.
A sharp rejection forms, pushing the price back below the previous high.
A bearish shift in order flow confirms downside continuation.
Traders look for bearish confirmation, such as a lower high forming after the SFP.
Best bearish SFP setups occur:
At strong resistance levels
Above previous swing highs where liquidity is concentrated
With clear rejection wicks and momentum shift
8. How SFPs Signal Reversals
SFPs provide early warning signs of trend reversals because they expose areas where liquidity has been exhausted.
Once liquidity is taken and the price fails to continue in that direction, it often results in a strong reversal.
Key Signs of a Strong SFP Reversal
Long wick rejection (indicating absorption of liquidity).
Close back inside the previous range (invalidating the breakout).
Increased volume on the rejection candle (confirming institutional activity).
Break of short-term market structure (trend shifting).
Divergences with indicators (e.g., RSI divergence at the SFP).
9. Identifying High-Probability SFPs
One of the most critical aspects of a valid SFP is how the price reacts after a liquidity grab. The candle’s wick and close determine whether an SFP is strong or weak.
A. Wick Rejections & Candle Closes
Key Features of a Strong SFP Wick Rejection
Long wick beyond a key swing high/low (indicating a liquidity grab).
Candle closes back inside the previous range (invalidating the breakout).
Engulfing or pin bar-like structure (showing aggressive rejection).
Minimal body size relative to wick length (e.g., wick is 2–3x the body).
Bullish SFP (Swing Low Failure)
Price sweeps below a key low, triggering stop-losses of buyers.
A long wick forms below the low, but the candle closes back above the level.
This signals that smart money absorbed liquidity and rejected lower prices.
Best bullish SFPs occur at major support zones, previous swing lows, or untested demand areas.
Bearish SFP (Swing High Failure)
Price sweeps above a key high, triggering stop-losses of short sellers.
A long wick forms above the high, but the candle closes back inside the range.
This signals that smart money absorbed liquidity and rejected higher prices.
Best bearish SFPs occur at resistance levels, previous swing highs, or untested supply areas.
❌ Weak SFPs (Avoid These)
❌ Wick is too small, meaning the liquidity grab wasn’t significant.
❌ Candle closes above the swing high (for a bearish SFP) or below the swing low (for a bullish SFP).
❌ Lack of strong momentum after rejection.
B. Volume Confirmation in SFPs
Volume plays a crucial role in validating an SFP. Institutional traders execute large orders during liquidity grabs, which often results in spikes in trading volume.
How to Use Volume for SFP Confirmation
High volume on the rejection wick → Indicates smart money absorption.
Low volume on the breakout move → Suggests a lack of real buying/selling pressure.
Increasing volume after rejection → Confirms a strong reversal.
Spotting Fake SFPs Using Volume
If volume is high on the breakout but low on the rejection wick, the move may continue trending rather than reversing.
If volume remains low overall, it suggests weak market participation and a higher chance of chop or consolidation instead of a clean reversal.
Best tools for volume analysis:
Volume Profile (VPVR)
Relative Volume (RVOL)
Footprint Charts
10. Key Takeaways
SFPs are Liquidity Grabs – Price temporarily breaks a key high/low, triggers stop losses, and then reverses, signaling smart money absorption.
Wick Rejection & Close Matter – A strong SFP has a long wick beyond a swing point but closes back inside the range, invalidating the breakout.
Volume Confirms Validity – High volume on rejection wicks indicates smart money involvement, while low-volume breakouts often fail.
Higher Timeframes = Stronger SFPs – 1H, 4H, and Daily SFPs are more reliable than lower timeframe setups, reducing false signals.
Confluence Increases Probability – SFPs are most effective when aligned with order blocks, imbalances (FVGs), and major liquidity zones.
Optimal Entry Methods Vary – Aggressive entries capitalize on immediate rejection, while confirmation and retracement entries improve accuracy.
Proper Stop Loss Placement Prevents Fakeouts – Placing SL just beyond the rejection wick or using structure-based stops reduces premature exits.
Take Profit at Key Liquidity Levels – Secure profits at previous swing highs/lows, order blocks, or imbalance zones to maximize returns.
BTCUSDTBTC ,another complete analysis as posted for free early ,the weekly candle failed to break and close above 4hr supply roof at 108k and the next step is to watch the current 4hrs demand floor .A BREAK OF STRUTURE WILL BE EYEING 96-94K ,THE EMA+SMA STRATEGY ALIGNS WITH THE ASCENDING TREND LINE FOR A POTENTIAL BUY BACK WHERE WE HOPE TO CHALLENGE BROKEN 100K ZONE AS NEXT SUPPLY ROOF IF RESPECTED.
BTC Efforts to break the trend to create a new ATHPlan BTC today: 30 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
As of Monday, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around $108,500, approximately 3% below its all-time high. Ethereum (ETH) has closed above a key resistance level, indicating the potential for a sustained upward movement. Meanwhile, Ripple (XRP) is approaching a critical threshold; a confirmed breakout could strengthen bullish momentum in the near term.
Bitcoin approaches record highs
The price of Bitcoin surged by 7.32% last week, closing above the $108,000 mark. As of the latest update on Monday, it remains near $108,500.
Should the current upward trend persist, BTC may extend its rally toward the all-time high of $111,980 recorded on May 22. A decisive close above this level could pave the way for further gains, potentially establishing a new all-time high at $120,000."
personal opinion:!!!
BTC buying pressure is prevented by selling pressure according to H4 trendline, accumulating and soon surpassing ATH
Important price zone to consider :!!!
support zone : 107.000 ; 104.600
Sustainable trading to beat the market