BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin has once again failed to break above its previous high and entered a corrective phase. The price is now moving within a channel and is approaching the lower boundary of that channel.
The correction is expected to continue toward the support zone and the bottom of the channel, where we may see buying interest and a bullish reaction.
If Bitcoin breaks above the channel resistance and key supply zone, it could trigger a strong upward move and lead to new all-time highs.
Key Note:
Price action near the channel support and demand zone will be crucial. A successful rebound from this area may signal the start of the next bullish leg.
Will Bitcoin hold the channel and bounce higher, or is a deeper correction ahead? Share your thoughts below! 🤔👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
BTCUSDT.3L trade ideas
Dollar's Decline: Global Economic ShiftsYou're probably wondering why I'm talking about the dollar on the Bitcoin chart. It's because I want you to look a few steps ahead.
That's why this post is for people like that.
1. Global Economic Transformations: Collapse of the Jamaican Monetary System
Insights and Logic:
We are witnessing the end of the Jamaican monetary system, established in 1976 following the collapse of the Bretton Woods system.
The Jamaican system's key feature is free (yet conditionally market-driven) exchange rates and the global dominance of the U.S. dollar.
For decades, the U.S. utilized the dollar's reserve currency status to finance budget and trade deficits without equivalent value returns—a beneficial "global tax."
Facts:
Currently, over 60% of global reserves are denominated in dollars (IMF data), but diversification is accelerating.
The U.S. is facing a "liquidity trap": to sustain markets, the Fed must print money, exacerbating inflation and weakening the dollar's global effectiveness.
Analogy:
Just as Nixon abolished the gold standard in 1971, we are now witnessing the abolition of the dollar's global standard—not abandoning the dollar as a reserve currency, but its monopoly.
2. Political Environment in the U.S.: Trump, Tariffs, and Managed Uncertainty
Insights:
Court decisions against Trump's tariffs are political tools, especially prior to congressional elections.
Democrats aren't just fighting for power—they systematically undermine Trump's economic policies in voters' eyes.
Systematic Explanation:
Virtually any presidential decree in the U.S. can be challenged legally. Lower-court decisions rarely withstand appeals, yet they create temporary buffers allowing policy adjustments.
This enables Trump to recalibrate his trade model systematically without losing face.
Conclusion:
The U.S. operates under "managed uncertainty," where seemingly chaotic political behaviors are structured adaptation mechanisms to global changes.
3. Mass Market and Sixth Technological Paradigm: NBIC as Foundation for Future Growth
Insights:
The future mass market will be built around NBIC technologies:
* Nano—new materials and sensors;
* Bio—biotech, genetic engineering, life extension;
* Info—digital platforms, neural networks, blockchain;
* Cogno—cognitive interfaces, AI, neural interfaces.
Historical Analogy:
Just as cars and mobile phones defined the mass market of the 20th century, longevity treatments, AI services, and neural devices will define the 21st century.
Facts:
Examples of current "false starts": Nvidia, Palantir, OpenAI—stock price volatility relates not to technology failures but premature valuation.
Forecast:
The next 20 years will see growth in new sectors, dominated by those capturing mass consumers, not just investors.
4. Digitalization and Geo-economics: Telegram, AI, and Control
Facts:
Telegram plans to integrate Grok neural network—a signal of the digital merger of communication, payment platforms, and behavioral analytics.
Insight:
Telegram as a future super-app: messaging, finance, AI assistance—all-in-one.
This is a media reset: traditional platforms like Bloomberg and CNBC lose influence to those controlling data flows directly.
Conclusion:
Information landscapes become automated—algorithms, not journalists, manage narratives.
5. **Europe: From "Progress Locomotive" to Stagnation and Subcontracting**
Facts:
Germany has been in recession for three consecutive years. The average age is 46.
Pension burdens and social standards make the economic model (Rhineland capitalism) unsustainable.
Ideological Crisis:
Europe is split into "transhumanist" (West) and "neoconservative" (East) factions.
The neoconservative revolution is gaining ground in Hungary, Poland, Slovakia, Romania, and even eastern Germany.
Conclusion:
Europe is skipping the sixth technological paradigm, becoming a "comfortable but uncompetitive" zone. Europe's "Japanification"—a path without acute crises but also without growth.
6. Future Growth Centers: Asia and the Global South with Risks
Facts and Locations:
Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand—dynamic economies with high ROI and moderate political risks.
Philippines, Taiwan—potential proxy-conflict zones between the U.S. and China.
Logic:
Global capital moves towards higher returns rather than better living standards.
Asia becomes a new economic and geopolitical battleground similar to 20th-century Europe.
7. Role of Cryptocurrencies and USDT, USDC: Transition to Digital Dollar
Facts:
U.S. authorities view cryptocurrencies, especially USDT, as tools to reboot the dollar model.
USDT effectively integrates the dollar into the crypto economy, maintaining Treasury demand and allowing dollar exports outside the U.S.
Insights:
Unlike CBDCs, the U.S. digital dollar (via stablecoins) enables global expansion rather than local control.
The U.S. aims to lead the new monetary evolution—digital dominance instead of fiat.
8. Prospects in Latin America: Argentina, Mexico, and Risks
Argentina Analysis:
President Milei implements neoliberal reforms akin to Ukraine's: reduced state role and deregulation.
Possible outcomes: deindustrialization, increased poverty, export dependency.
Positives:
No war risks, resource-rich (oil, wine, food), good medicine and education standards (legacy).
Mexico:
High growth yet severe crime levels—excellent for business, risky for life.
9. Global Hybrid War Instead of a Third World War
Concept:
Not a "world war" but a global hybrid war: multiple power centers, proxy conflicts, shifting alliances.
Theaters of conflict: Asia (especially the South China Sea), potentially the Middle East and Africa.
Strategic Conclusion:
Avoid proxy countries; prefer "neutral dynamic" regions like Indonesia, Vietnam.
About DXY
I have been talking about the fall of the dollar index for a very long time.
September is coming soon
Best regards EXCAVO
Bitcoin Playing Below The Crucial Area, Im Out of The Market🥱 I’ve been active in this market since 2017, and I’ve never seen it this dull and exhausting.
👉 Bitcoin has been ranging around the $110K level for nearly six months now, and once again, it’s trading below a critical resistance level. In my opinion, staying out of the market and just observing is still the best approach.
📥 Trading in such market conditions can be mentally draining, which is why I prefer to stay on the sidelines and simply watch for now
📉 Any rejection from this area could lead to a price drop down to the 95K zone. Although there’s a possibility of a buying pressure up to the 115K level as a shadow, even if this scenario plays out, it won’t change my overall outlook on Bitcoin
#BTCUSDT: Major Bearish Correction?Bitcoin is currently undergoing a correction following its recent peak. While the initial price decline appeared insignificant, it has since experienced a substantial drop, suggesting a substantial volume of selling activity in the market.
We anticipate two potential areas where the price could reverse and resume its upward trajectory. These areas could lead to a price of 110,000, followed by 120,000, and ultimately reaching 150,000.
We strongly recommend that you implement rigorous risk management measures and conduct your own analysis before making any investment decisions.
Best regards,
Team Setupsfx_
Bitcoin Faces Resistance Rejection — Bearish Divergence Signals Bitcoin is showing signs of exhaustion as it stalls near a high-timeframe resistance level aligned with the value area high (VAH). Recent price action has formed multiple lower timeframe bearish divergences while testing dynamic resistance. This level has now capped further upside attempts and could trigger a market rotation lower if rejected again.
With price consolidating directly beneath this barrier, the probability of a pullback grows stronger, especially if no bullish confirmation breaks the current ceiling.
Key Technical Points:
- Bearish Divergence Developing: Price is holding below the VAH with a weakening momentum signature
- Converging Resistance Zone: Dynamic SR and VAH are aligned at $108,350, now acting as a ceiling
- Range-Based Rotation Setup: If rejected, price could rotate down to the point of control and value area low
Bitcoin’s current structure is classic range behavior, with price gravitating from low to high and back. At the moment, it’s stalled at the value area high, which represents the upper boundary of the most recent range. This level — around $108,350 — has been tested several times, and now a bearish divergence is forming across key momentum indicators like RSI and MACD.
In addition, price is showing multiple rejections against dynamic resistance, forming a pattern of lower highs on lower timeframes. The longer this resistance zone holds, the more likely price will revert to the point of control (POC) — the area with the highest traded volume in the range. If that level doesn’t hold either, a full rotation to the value area low becomes the next probable scenario based on market auction theory.
This rotation would represent a complete cycle from value area high acceptance back to value area low rejection, which is common when buying pressure fades and sellers regain control. For now, Bitcoin remains technically vulnerable as long as price stays capped beneath the $108,350 level.
Bitcoin’s next move hinges on whether it can reclaim the $108,350 resistance zone with volume. If not, expect a corrective phase that targets the POC first, followed by potential continuation down to the value area low. This bearish setup remains valid until price closes decisively above current resistance.
BTC/USDT – 4H Chart Technical AnalysisBTC/USDT – 4H Chart Technical Analysis
Market Structure & Trend
Overall Trend : Bearish (clearly defined by a consistent downtrend channel).
Current Structure : Price is in a corrective downtrend within a descending channel, after multiple rejections from the supply zone.
Key Technical Zones
1. Supply Zone
Strong rejection zone where the price previously reversed sharply.
Still acting as resistance, located around the upper range.
2. Demand Zone
Currently being retested for the fifth time, weakening its strength.
Recent price action shows liquidity sweep and swing low break inside this zone, potentially trapping early longs.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG) & Fibonacci Levels
1D FVG sits below the current demand, aligning with:
Golden Pocket (0.618–0.65 Fib).
Acts as a high-probability bounce zone for long entries if demand fails.
A break below this FVG could open up deeper downside toward the 0.786 Fib or beyond.
Psychological Levels
105,000 – Major resistance & potential take-profit area for long positions.
100,000 – Key support and liquidity magnet if the demand zone fails.
Volume Profile
High Volume Node: 102,000 – 106,800 — price tends to gravitate here, indicating potential consolidation or resistance.
Low Volume Area: Below 100,500 — suggests thin liquidity, which may cause sharp moves if price drops into this range.
Scenarios & Trade Ideas
Bullish Scenario
If price holds above the demand zone (after multiple retests) and confirms on LTF:
Potential Long to local resistance.
On breakout, target the 105,000 psychological level.
Confluence: High volume area offers both support and a magnet.
Bearish Scenario
If price fails to hold the demand zone:
Enter short position targeting the 1D FVG and 100,000 psychological level.
If that breaks, expect sharp continuation due to low volume below.
Conclusion
Price is at a pivotal point — currently balancing on weakened demand after multiple retests. Watch for LTF confirmation:
Above demand = bullish recovery setup.
Below demand = bearish continuation toward 100,000 and the FVG.
Manage risk tightly due to the proximity of both key zones.
SatochiTrader Expecting a huge BTC CRASH AFTER This..BTC Market Update by SatochiTrader
EVERY CRASH DID START WITH A FALSE INCREASE TREND.
Depending on the market sentiment and price action, BTC is currently showing strength with a positive trend. However, based on deeper data and insights held by myself and a small group of early-cycle followers, this current movement may be a deceptive signal — potentially foreshadowing a major crash.
This is not trading advice. Those who are confident in the long position should continue, and those on the other side should stay prepared as well.
We have previously explained that the current cycle appears to have ended. Since 2013, BTC has consistently respected its macro cycle targets. The end of such a cycle typically leads to significant corrections.
A cycle ending implies not just a retracement, but the potential for a major crash. Hedge funds and real BTC whales understand the underlying indicators and risks at play. Our expectation remains clear: BTC may soon fall below the 100K level, with $85K identified as a critical support and target zone.
Stay sharp. Stay informed. The market may look bullish — until it isn't.
The best way to follow BTC is not the news.. but the cycle overview.
This update is an education update, which means the high expectations of the upcoming correction for BTC.
Compared to last quarter, miners are now less severely underpaid, though profitability remains low
Trade of the day!These are the areas I have my eyes on. We are in a range and can get a long or short play here. If we break bullishly, I will be wary of the supply above, if we break down here there's a lot of liquidity to sweep. Lets see what happens
Confirmation: MS change on secondary TF or Divergences
#BTC Update. Here's the trigger point.CRYPTOCAP:BTC Update:
Bitcoin is trading around the key $108K resistance, one of the most crucial levels for bulls to break.
A strong close above this zone could spark a rally toward $ 117,000. However, if rejected, we might see a pullback to $ 103,000.
I’m not touching futures just yet.
I’m okay with missing a few green days; I’d rather wait for clear momentum than get caught in this choppy price action.
Let me know what you think in the comments.
Thank you
#PEACE
BTCUSDT SHORT SIGNAL Setup Type: Liquidity Trap & Distribution
Trade Idea (SHORT):
Entry Zone: $108,000 – $110000
Stop Loss: Above $113000
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $104,000
TP2: $100,000
TP3: 98000
TP4: 74000
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Always do your own research and apply proper risk management.
Trading involves risk, and you are solely responsible for your decisions.
Use this information as a guide — not a guaranteed outcome.
Wait for clear confirmation before executing any trade.
Bitcoin Pressing Up But This Compression Could Crack LowerBitcoin has been steadily climbing for months, respecting that long-term trendline since last year. Each dip into it brought a strong bounce, showing bulls are still in control of the bigger picture.
But right now price is pressing into a tight descending resistance line. We can see it making lower highs while struggling to break above that red trendline. At the same time, it’s sitting just above a key horizontal range, where buyers stepped in before.
This compression is risky . If BTC fails to push above the descending resistance and breaks back below the box, it could drop toward the next demand zone around the low 100K region .
As long as the major trendline from last year holds, the broader uptrend is intact . But losing this structure would open the door for a deeper correction.
This is the kind of spot where patience pays. Let the breakout or breakdown show its hand before jumping in heavy.
Bitcoin will no longer update ATH, and here's why⚡️ Hello, everyone! I decided to update my idea about Bitcoin. Let's see what awaits us!
Bitcoin rebounded strongly over the weekend and is now trying to consolidate at the $107,000 level. This is a key level, which is the MSB level for the entire current momentum since May, and as long as the price remains below it, it is a bearish movement.
Last week, we also closed the GAP to the $98,000 level from the previous movement, but on the way up, we formed a new one at $105,250 - 101,360. And as we know, 99% of GAPs close sooner or later.
📉 Bitcoin also continues to move in a descending flag, which, although it is a bullish pattern in an upward impulse and more often breaks through upwards, has not been working that way for a long time. Trading based on technical analysis is the basis of crypto and has become very widespread, which is actively used by many whales and counterplayers. As a result, many pattern signals have long lost their relevance and now often give false signals.
⚙️ Metrics and indicators:
Volume - divergence with price since the end of April. Throughout this upward momentum, purchase volumes continued to decline. This indicates a lack of liquidity and demand for Bitcoin at present.
Money Flow - also divergence with price. Also, since the end of April, positions have continued to close and liquidity has continued to decline. This indicates a lack of interest in the asset.
Liquidity Depth - we know that the price moves from liquidity to liquidity, which serves as its fuel. And now there is much more liquidity at the bottom than at the top.
Support/Resistance - Based on the volume of interest, it is clear that the $106,000 level is a major zone, and if it is lost, the nearest support level will only be at $103,004, but with significantly lower volumes.
📌 Conclusion:
Despite all the huge inflows into ETFs, there is now even less liquidity in Bitcoin than in November 2024, when Trump became president.
This suggests that everyone is actively closing their positions and there is no new money coming in. Search queries for the tags “crypto” and “bitcoin” are not even close to last year's levels, let alone 2021 levels. This means that there is no new retail interest in crypto right now.
I don't see any catalysts right now that could keep the price at this level. And ETFs are not an indicator at all; we've already seen how these “smart money” buyers bought at 110k on ATH and sold even more at 70k.
🔥 So, right now, I recommend sitting back and watching. Let the market sort itself out and indicate the direction of movement going forward.
Bitcoin Mirror Cycle: History Repeats? | 2024–2025 PatternThis chart presents a potential repetition of Bitcoin’s 2024 price cycle (Jan 23 – Aug 5, 2024), projected to mirror itself from September 6, 2024 through Q3–Q4 2025. The hand-drawn arcs suggest a repeating pattern of rounded tops, distribution, correction, and potential accumulation zones. Key support levels are marked near $66,172 and $49,116, indicating where price may retrace before a potential bounce or deeper macro-driven selloff.
Technically, the chart hints at a large-scale cyclical structure—a classic market psychology pattern where prior cup-and-handle or double-top formations play out again on a broader timescale.
🌍 Global Context Overlay:
War & Geopolitical Tensions:
The ongoing risk of conflict escalation (e.g., Iran–Israel, Ukraine–Russia, and potential East Asian tensions) may lead to increased volatility in risk assets like crypto. Wars historically bring uncertainty, which may initially crash speculative markets but later fuel inflationary hedges like Bitcoin.
U.S. Elections (Nov 2024):
Political instability or leadership changes can impact Federal Reserve policy, regulation, and market sentiment, directly influencing BTC price direction post-election.
Recession Fears & Rate Cuts (2025):
With central banks expected to pivot towards rate cuts in 2025, liquidity could flow back into risk-on assets, possibly triggering the bounce scenario shown in the latter part of your drawing. If rate cuts come too late, however, a steeper correction into the $49K zone becomes more likely.
Global Debt Crisis & De-Dollarization:
Growing debt concerns and countries moving away from the USD may boost Bitcoin’s long-term appeal as a non-sovereign store of value, reinforcing the second rally illustrated in your sketch.
Bitcoin Weekly Ultra-BearishThe 100K support is still valid but the weekly timeframe chart isn't looking good.
Good afternoon my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, how are you feeling today?
Bitcoin peaked the week 19-May. Then we have bearish action only.
The week after 19-May was red, then two neutral weeks and a continuation this week. It looks pretty bad right now, terrible to be honest.
» The main support range sits between $82,500 and $88,888.
Thank you for reading.
This support zone will only become active is 100K breaks on the weekly timeframe.
Namaste.
Bitcoin, The Next High Is The All-Time HighThe title might be a bit misleading but, the truth is that Bitcoin stays bullish short-term and this is bullish on all terms...
Good afternoon my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, how are you feeling today?
Any day, any week, any moment; every month, place or year, the market provides everything we need to know. This information is made available to us through the chart.
Bullish Bitcoin
The present signal is the fact that Bitcoin remains very high, challenging resistance, after a strong recovery and advance. This is happening with the altcoins also.
If you look at the last two peaks, as soon as resistance was hit there was an immediate crash. The next day was full red; very strong bearish action and momentum and this led to a new low. The situation is not the same today.
22-May peak. 23-May, strong bearish action.
9-June peak. 11-June, strong bearish action.
26-June lower high (not a peak). Today, neutral action. This neutral action is what I am taking as a bullish signal. Many other factors of course support this conclusion yet, this is still an early signal.
Fib support
A closer view of the daily timeframe:
4H. The grey line represents Fib. retracement. Dark blue—Fib. extension:
Conclusion
Each time there is a price peak a retrace follows, if there is no retrace then you are not witnessing a peak but rather a stop, a pause; resistance being met.
It seems that the current lower high is not the end but rather just a pause before additional growth. Market conditions can change.
It can happen that several days Bitcoin goes sideways with the bulls failing to garner enough strength. In this scenario, there would be a move lower before additional growth.
The present scenario shows a bullish chart even if prices drop, remember, the market is in no hurry.
Easy money
In September we will have lower interest rates and this is a bullish development for Bitcoin. Advanced money minds see easy money as inflationary for the currency, while Bitcoin is inflation-proof. So the dollar goes down and Bitcoin goes up.
I didn't quite develop this point, next time I'll do a better job.
Summary
The market is good even if it shakes. The market is good and isn't shaking, the recovery is already in place.
Bitcoin's price is very strong and there are many layers of support. The altcoins are in a similar situation, growing from the bottom up.
The Fed will reduce interest rates in September and then once more before the year ends, this is bullish for everything so, everything will be going up, at least everything that we are interested in, support and trade.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Never give up!
You are divine! You are blessed.
If you are reading this now, you will be blessed for your great timing. Hard work and dedication always pays.
Keep moving forward, keep pushing forward, never give up.
When life hits you hard, do take a break if you need it, only to comeback with new energy, a new mind and an infinite drive to achieve your goals.
You are the reason why Bitcoin exist... You are the lifeblood of the market.
Without you, nothing is possible. It is because of you that we all continue to grow.
Thanks again for taking the time to read.
I appreciate your support.
Namaste.
BTC Is Replaying a Bullish Fractal >>> Are You Watching?Hello guys!
I see a deja vu here! Let’s look at the historical daily chart (Jan–May 2025):
What happened?
Initial Drop (Yellow Oval): Bitcoin approached a key S&D zone but didn't touch it, triggering a short-lived bounce before dropping again.
Second Drop (Red Ovals): This time, price precisely touched the demand zone, triggering a clean bullish reversal.
What followed was a strong trend breakout, sustained higher lows, and an eventual surge past prior resistance levels.
Current 4H Chart Setup: A Mirror Image?
Yellow Highlight: Once again, we saw a bounce that didn't quite touch the key demand zone ($98K–$100K).
Red Zone Prediction: If this mirrors the historical move, the price is likely to return and touch this S&D area before launching a bullish leg.
Blue Path Projection: A sharp reversal is expected post-touch, aiming toward $111K–$113K as the next key resistance zone.
The descending trendline adds confluence
___________________
History Doesn’t Repeat, But It Often Rhymes
Based on this fractal analysis, Bitcoin is likely forming the same bullish base seen earlier in 2025. The setup hinges on one key event: a return to the $99K–$100K zone, where demand is likely to step in aggressively.
If the pattern repeats, the current market may offer one last high-reward long opportunity before a parabolic rally.
Bitcoin - What's next ? BINANCE:BTCUSDT (12H CHART) Technical Analysis Update
Now that ceasefire is announced, bitcoin price has successfully recovered to the resistance level and currently trading at the resistance zone. It's critical that bitcoin breaks this resistance for it to hit the next resistance around 110K .
I'm expecting price to reach 110k this week and we can see some consolidation in that range before moving further up.
Follow our TradingView account for more technical analysis updates. | Like, share, and comment your thoughts.
Cheers
GreenCrypto
BTCUSDT – Rebound from trendline, targeting 115,300On the daily chart, BTCUSDT has bounced from a confluence support zone around 105,200, where the rising trendline meets the FVG, confirming that the bullish structure remains intact. The current price pattern suggests a continuation of the uptrend, with a short-term target at the 115,300 resistance zone — a level that has previously rejected price multiple times.
If this level is broken, momentum could extend toward the 120,000 area in the medium term. As long as the price holds above the trendline, the bullish outlook remains valid.
On the news front, market sentiment is improving as Bitcoin spot ETFs in the U.S. show signs of renewed inflows, coupled with growing expectations that the Fed might pause rate hikes due to recent signs of economic weakness.