Shark harmonic pattern Absolutely, Amedeo! Here's a detailed and visually engaging breakdown of the **Shark Harmonic Pattern**, including its structure, trading styles, and how it connects Fibonacci ratios with Elliott Wave Theory:
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### 🦈 What Is the Shark Harmonic Pattern?
- **Discovered by**: Scott Carney in 2011
- **Foundation**: Combines **Fibonacci ratios** with **Elliott Wave Theory**
- **Purpose**: Identifies potential **trend reversals** using precise geometric price structures
- **Structure**: Five points labeled **O, X, A, B, C** (not the usual XABCD)
- **Key Feature**: Relies heavily on the **88.6% Fibonacci retracement** and **113% extension**
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### 📐 Pattern Geometry & Ratios
| Leg | Description | Fibonacci Ratio Range |
|------------|--------------------------------------------------|-------------------------------|
| XA | Initial impulse leg | No specific ratio |
| AB | Extension beyond X | 113% to 161.8% of XA |
| BC | Completion leg | 88.6% to 113% of OX |
| | | 161.8% to 224% of AB |
- **Point B** must **exceed point X**, forming an **Extreme Harmonic Impulse Wave**
- **Point C** is the **Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ)**
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### 🛒 Buy Setup (Bullish Shark)
1. **No fixed retracement for A**
2. **B extends 113%–161.8% of XA**
3. **C completes at**:
- 88.6%–113% of OX
- 161.8%–224% of AB
📍 **Entry**: Near point C
📍 **Stop Loss**: Below point C
📍 **Target**: Retracement levels of BC (e.g., 50%, 61.8%), or back to point A/B
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### 📉 Sell Setup (Bearish Shark)
1. **No fixed retracement for A**
2. **B extends 113%–161.8% of XA**
3. **C completes at**:
- 88.6%–113% of OX
- 161.8%–224% of AB
📍 **Entry**: Near point C
📍 **Stop Loss**: Above point C
📍 **Target**: Retracement levels of BC, or back to point A/B
---
### 📊 Real Trade Example & Educational Resources are in the comment
BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas
$BTC /USDT – Breakdown from Channel, Bears Gaining ControlBitcoin has broken down from its descending channel on the 4H chart after repeated rejection from the upper trendline. Price is now hovering near key support at $111,785.
Key Technicals:
Rejection from the descending trendline resistance
Breakdown of the mini-channel structure
Current price: $113,637
Support levels:
$111,785 (Immediate)
$106,057
$101,409
$98,398
Bearish continuation is likely if $111,785 breaks with volume
If the $111.7k zone fails to hold, BTC could see further downside toward $106k and even $98k in the coming sessions.
Invalidation: Bullish only on reclaim of $117K+ with strength.
DYOR | Not Financial Advice
Powell’s Comments Could Decide BTC’s Fate: New ATH or Rejection!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has attacked the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) several times over the past week but failed to break through, meaning that buyers are still hoping for a BTC increase or even a new All-Time High(ATH) .
Bitcoin has reached a Resistance zone($119,530-$118,270) again and is trying to break the upper lines of the Symmetrical Triangle Pattern . The Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($117,255-$116,675) is important and includes high sell orders , so if Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($119,530-$118,270) and the Resistance lines with high momentum , we can hope for a continuation of the upward trend.
Whether or not the Resistance zone($119,530-$118,270) and the Resistance lines break could depend on the tone of Jerome Powell’s speech today .
Jerome Powell will speak at the opening of the “ Integrated Review of the Capital Framework for Large Banks ” — the final major appearance before the Federal Reserve enters its pre-meeting blackout period.
Market Expectations:
The speech is officially about regulatory frameworks (like Basel III), but traders are watching closely for any hints regarding interest rate policy. Even indirect comments could move risk assets like BTC.
Rate Cut Signals?
With political pressure mounting (including criticism from Trump ) and markets pricing in a potential cut later this year, Powell may adopt a cautious, data-dependent tone emphasizing flexibility in decision-making.
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In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that the wave structure of the main wave 4 correction is over. The main wave 4 has a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) , so that the microwave B of the main wave 4 has a Double Three Correction(WXY) . Of course, the breakdown of the Resistance zone($119,530-$118,270) and Resistance lines can confirm the end of the main wave 4 .
Also, there is a possibility that the 5th wave will be a truncated wave because the momentum of the main wave 3 is high , and Bitcoin may NOT create a new ATH and the main wave 5 will complete below the main wave 3.
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the Resistance zone($121,000-$120,070) AFTER breaking the Resistance zone($119,530-$118,270) and Resistance lines .
Second Target: $121,620
Third Target: $123,820
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $117,450
CME Gap: $115,060-$114,947
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $117,429-$116,878
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $116,053-$115,411
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin (BTC): OrderBook is Hinting To $115K Bounce | Thoughts?Bitcoin has recently broken the $116K local neckline zone and reached the $115K area, which has been at our attention due to huge orders sitting there.
What we are thinking is that this zone will be a good bounce area, which should lower the price to $120K.
Either way, this zone is important, so keep an eye on it!
Swallow Academy
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #134👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I will review the New York futures session triggers for you.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin has formed a range box between 116829 and 119395. Yesterday, after getting supported at 116829, it climbed back to the top at 119395.
📊 As you can see, buying volume has increased, which indicates strong buyer momentum.
📈 If 119395 is broken, the price could move toward higher targets like 120594 and 122733.
🧩 This 119395 area is also the breakout trigger of the descending triangle. The bottom at 116829 has supported the price multiple times, and now with the descending trendline being broken, price could aim for higher resistance levels.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s move on to Bitcoin Dominance. BTC Dominance has been supported at 60.46, which is why Bitcoin is moving upward, while altcoins are dropping.
🎲 The dominance trend is still clearly bearish, and if 60.46 breaks, the next downward leg may begin.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Let’s look at Total2. This index has also formed a range between 1.48 and 1.55, and it is currently sitting at the bottom of the box.
🔔 If we get confirmation of support at 1.48, we can consider entering a long position. The main long trigger would be the break of 1.55.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
This index has also formed a range box. The previous support level was 4.08, which has now shifted to 4.13.
💥 The top of the box is 4.25. Given the bearish momentum in dominance, the probability of 4.13 breaking is higher.
🎲 So keep a close eye on altcoins in the coming days, because a lot of capital is flowing into them and they could see significant pumps.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC in a Sideways MovementBTC in a Sideways Movement: When the Market Froze, Psychology Starts to Fail
Honestly, this is one of the most difficult stages in the market - uncertainty without a clear direction. Bitcoin gets stuck between levels, giving false breakouts and immediately rolling back. It seems that something serious is about to happen, but in reality, nothing happens.
This kind of price movement often leads to emotional burnout of traders. Some start entering trades blindly, just to stay in the market. Others suffer a series of small losses, trying to guess the breakout. And some just close the charts, unable to cope with the silence.
The reality is that markets get tired too, especially after big moves. What we are seeing now with BTC is probably just a rebalancing phase. And that's okay. If there is no clear pattern, then this is not your trade.
For now, I am just watching, marking the boundaries of the range and waiting. For myself, I highlight the order block for 1D as zones of interest, I wait for a reaction from it and will look for a model to enter a position.
Any breakthrough, confirmed by volume and subsequent movement - that's when the next real movement will begin.
The main thing is not to waste energy in vain. Sideways movement is not eternal. After silence, movement always comes.
BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends,
>> Thank you for joining me in my analysis. I think we have finished the 1st wave in B wave as Pink W, in this micro correction. In my opinion, we will watch 2nd & 3rd waves XY as in pink color, or Yellow B wave ended successfully, just I need to these confirmations:
* Day TF: Breaking 118451 for the next days and keep on above it, lead to ending B wave successfully.
* 4Hr TF: Breaking 118451 for the next hours and keep on above it, lead to ending W wave successfully ( maybe also B ?)
keep like and support me to continue, See you soon!
Thanks, Bros
Could this be the end of Bitcoin’s trend?The Current State of Bitcoin’s Trend: Has the Uptrend Come to an End...?
Based on recent analyses, Bitcoin has exited its 4-hour channel over the past few days, and there is still a possibility for further correction. However, this does not mean that the uptrend for Bitcoin is over.
My targets for Bitcoin remain the same as before: 123,700 and 129,710. It’s even possible that we might see a wick above these prices.
For those with more capital who are looking to buy Bitcoin, there are two good entry levels:
110,880
109,770
Everything else is clearly shown on the chart. Please be cautious, as there will likely be high volatility once the market opens.
Be sure to open the analysis link and boost the analysis with your likes.
BTC/USDT Buy Setup – VSA & Demand Zone Reaction✅ Entry: Current price action near 117,297
🎯 Target: 119,078 (+1.22%)
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 116,944 (below demand zone)
📊 Technical Insight (Volume Spread Analysis):
Stopping Volume at Lows:
The recent down move halted with a wide spread down-bar on high volume, followed by an immediate rejection. This indicates potential professional buying absorbing supply.
No Supply Confirmation:
After the stopping volume, several narrow spread candles on low volume formed, suggesting weak selling pressure and a lack of commitment from bears.
Bullish Reaction:
Price rebounded from the demand zone with increasing volume on up-bars, showing early signs of demand dominance.
The current consolidation just above the support is typical of absorption before a markup phase.
Risk-Reward Structure:
The setup offers a favorable 2.2:1 R:R ratio, with the stop placed just below the zone to avoid false breakouts while allowing the trade room to breathe.
📌 Trade Plan:
Bias remains bullish as long as price holds above 116,944.
A breakout above the minor resistance (117,828) with volume expansion would confirm the next leg up toward the 119,078 target.
If volume fails to support the move, reassess before committing additional capital.
BTC Moon Phase, Dominance % and BBWP resolutionBTC, D. Moon Phase. I see bearish scenario for the next days, until 4-5th of August. After reviewing Moon Phase chart for last year+, I see same scenario is happening most of the times. During the First Quarter ( Aug. 1) of the phase, price is dropping and start to recover about 4-5 days prior Full Moon. This is exactly when energy of the Full Moon starting to amplify. Current BBWP is contracted for 8 days, making the next move very rapid, I would not set any long/short trades, untill the volume start to expand. Its the mid summer - always slow and August is the month it start to accelerate towards the Fall, with all financial/political tricks happening in September and later in Q4. We already had one bear trap fakeout, but price didnt anticipate to go higher and got rejected by falling wedge upper like ( or bull flag, in this case).I would expect that high volume green candle will be either fully recovered to $110-111K , or 75% recovery, where the CME gap is $113500 - 1-2% lower, making it $113,000. The cascade liquidation will happen very fast, I expect the whole move down and up will take around 24 hours, with the bottom time 5-15 minutes. Need to be ready, that all alts will crash as well, Im expecting BTC %dominance to bounce here , after 8.4% drop to weekly 50EMA. I would like to see BTC, D% at 70% by Christmas and new ATH, what ever it is 160K or 200K what ever it is, for bitcoin to make ATH, it must grab dominance.
BTC Elliot Wave Double Combo CorrectionToday, I observed that Bitcoin may be unfolding within a complex double corrective wave structure—specifically a WXY pattern—potentially culminating in a contracting triangle.
Such corrective formations represent a temporal pullback, wherein the market undergoes a period of consolidation following an impulsive advance, also referred to as a pullback in time. This phase often serves as a mechanism for establishing structural support within a defined range prior to a continuation move.
A key point of uncertainty lies in whether the integrity of the triangle has been compromised by the recent, pronounced liquidity sweep. From the perspective of both the daily and 4-hour charts, this move resembles a classic deviation or "fake-out" rather than a legitimate breakout.
Nonetheless, the market may remain in a state of indecision for a few more sessions, characterized by erratic or range-bound price action, before committing to a more definitive trend.
A sustained break and successful retest above the 120K level would serve as a strong technical confirmation that Bitcoin intends to pursue higher valuations.
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BULLISH Outlook – August 1, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
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Hello.
This is SeoVereign.
My fundamental view on Bitcoin, as mentioned in the previous idea, is that I am anticipating an overall downward trend. In the mid- to long-term, I believe the downward pressure will gradually increase, and this is partially confirmed by various indicators and the overall market sentiment.
However, before we fully enter this downward phase, I have been judging that one more upward wave is likely to remain. I have focused my strategy on capturing this upward segment, and I have recently reached a point where I can specifically predict the development of that particular wave.
If this upward move unfolds successfully, I plan to set my take-profit range conservatively. The reason is simple: I still believe there is a high possibility that the market will shift back into a downtrend afterward. The core of this strategy is to minimize risk while realizing profits as efficiently as possible toward the tail end of the wave.
The relevant pattern and structure have been marked in detail on the chart, so please refer to it for a clearer understanding.
In summary, I view this rise as a limited rebound that could represent the last opportunity before a downturn, and I believe this idea marks the beginning of that move.
I will continue to monitor the movement and update this idea with additional evidence. Thank you.
Multi-timeframe analysis, strong momentum, FOMC risk/reward plan__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strong momentum and bullish consensus confirmed across all timeframes.
Key support/resistance : 114k–116k (critical support), 123k (major pivot).
Healthy organic volume , no extreme peaks except isolated moments (30min/15min).
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator : Dominant bullish signal, neutral only on 15min.
Multi-timeframe structure : Perfect alignment daily/4H/2H/1H, caution on 15/30min (slight inflection but no abnormal divergence).
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
__________________________________________________________________________________
Global bias : Structural bull market, intact dynamic.
Opportunities : Tactical buys on pullbacks (114–116k), swing on breakout 123k.
Risk areas : Below 114k = risk of invalidation, targets 111k–105k.
Macro catalysts : FOMC imminent (high volatility expected), watch geopolitical tensions.
Action plan : Favor swing/cautious trading ahead of FOMC, dynamic stops, act on first post-Powell trigger.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
__________________________________________________________________________________
1D : Active range 114k–123k; strong supports, momentum maintained; Risk On / Risk Off Indicator strongly bullish.
12H/6H/4H : Clean bullish structure, no excesses or divergence; price sits within major horizontal clusters.
2H/1H : Healthy impulse/correction phases; key intermediate supports 114.6k, 117.5k to watch.
30min/15min : Slightly weaker momentum but constructive microstructure, no immediate sell threat; localized volume spikes on support reactions.
ISPD DIV : No behavioral stress observed throughout.
Cross-timeframe summary : Bullish confluence dominant; caution on short-term reversals tied to FOMC and on-chain volatility spikes.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-timeframe Cross Analysis & Decisional Rationale
__________________________________________________________________________________
As long as BTC > 114k = bullish bias, buying pullbacks, swing target 123k.
Active management post-FOMC strongly advised (enter/reduce after first H4 close).
Increased volatility risk in case of Fed/geopolitical shock; mandatory stops.
Sector momentum (Risk On / Risk Off Indicator) and volume underpin the bullish case unless exogenous alert.
Invalidation below 114k = prudent, neutral, or tactical shorts towards 111k–105k.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Macro, On-chain & Economic Calendar
__________________________________________________________________________________
FOMC July 29th : pivotal event, any surprise = strong intraday move (BTC sensitive to Powell speech).
US Macro: strong fundamentals but caution on trade war, inflation "contained."
On-chain : realized cap BTC >$1T, high open interest in derivatives = leveraged risk, beware speculative altcoin excess.
Global risk : market remains buyer until bearish Fed/geopolitical shock; swing trading favored, tight stops recommended.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Action plan
__________________________________________________________________________________
Favor buying/reloading on pullbacks to 114.6k–116k (stop <114k).
Break above 123k = bull confirmation, further extension likely to 126–128k depending on FOMC outcome.
Prioritize strict risk management; monitor liquidity/supports on macro/on-chain volatility peaks.
__________________________________________________________________________________
BTC: Calm before the storm on market, or where we go?Sometimes the market is straightforward: there’s momentum, a trend, a clear direction. But other times—like now—there’s complete uncertainty. Over the past few days, Bitcoin has been trading in a tight range, lacking any pronounced momentum. The price moves back and forth, bouncing off local levels but not breaking out in any meaningful way.
📉 This is especially clear on the 4-hour chart: neither bulls nor bears can take control. Every move upward is quickly met with selling pressure, and attempts to drop are countered by buying. It’s like a “ping-pong” match in a sideways market.
📊 Indicators show low volatility and declining volumes, confirming that market participants are simply waiting. Likely, they’re anticipating an external trigger: news, macroeconomic events, interest rate decisions, ETF developments, or something else.
What could this mean?
Such conditions often precede a strong move. The question is—where to? Honestly, there’s no clear signal yet. Personally, I try not to rush in moments like these: if the market isn’t giving a clear direction, it’s better to take a pause.
That’s the essence of a professional approach: don’t trade just for the sake of trading, but wait until the market speaks more confidently.
What can you do now?
– Watch the range boundaries and wait for a breakout or trade bounces.
– Avoid entering positions based on emotions—pullbacks can be sharp and unexpected.
– Reduce trade sizes if you do enter, and set tight stops.
– Keep an eye on the news—sometimes even neutral news can spark a move.
Sometimes the best decision is to do nothing. This might be one of those times. In a sideways market, you’re more likely to lose than gain. But clarity almost always follows a consolidation.