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BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas

BTC vs DXY – Macro Setup at a Crossroads Looking at BTC and DXY on the weekly, we’ve seen 3 key periods so far. In the first two, the pattern was clear: BTC went up, DXY went down. Now we’re in the third period: what’s next? 👉 Has the move already played out? 👉 Is it happening now? 👉 Has DXY bottomed and BTC topped, or will DXY go lower while BTC climbs? Macro conditions may help guide us. BTC looks strong — supported by ETF inflows, on-chain strength, and institutional demand. DXY looks weak — with softer economic data and rising expectations for rate cuts. In my view, tariffs are likely to weigh heavier on DXY than BTC, favoring more upside for BTC. The recent Big Beautiful Bill could also add fuel to BTC while adding pressure on DXY. Always take profits and manage risk. Interaction is welcome.
Long
by vagada
Mastering Inverse Fair Value Gaps (IFVG) - How to use them?In this guide, I’ll explain the concept of the Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG), how it forms, and how you can use it to identify high-probability trading opportunities. You'll learn how to spot the IFVG on a chart, understand their significance in price action, and apply a simple strategy to trade them effectively. What will be discussed? - What is a FVG - What is an IFVG - What is a bullish IFVG - What is a bearish IFVG - How to trade the IFVG ------------------------------- What is a FVG? A FVG is a technical concept used by traders to identify inefficiencies in price movement on a chart. The idea behind a fair value gap is that during periods of strong momentum, price can move so quickly that it leaves behind a "gap" where not all buy and sell orders were able to be executed efficiently. This gap creates an imbalance in the market, which price may later revisit in an attempt to rebalance supply and demand. A fair value gap is typically observed within a sequence of three candles (or bars). The first candle marks the beginning of a strong move. The second candle shows a significant directional push, either bullish or bearish, often with a long body indicating strong momentum. The third candle continues in the direction of the move, opening and closing beyond the range of the first candle. The fair value gap itself is defined by the price range between the high of the first candle and the low of the third candle (in the case of a bullish move), or between the low of the first candle and the high of the third (in a bearish move). This range represents the area of imbalance or inefficiency. ------------------------------- What is an IFVG? An Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) occurs when a traditional Fair Value Gap (FVG) is not respected by price, and instead of acting as a support or resistance zone, price breaks through it with strength. Normally, a Fair Value Gap represents a price imbalance left by a strong move, and when price returns to this area, it often reacts by respecting the gap, bouncing off it or reversing, because it's seen as a high-probability level where orders may rest. However, in the case of an IFVG, price does not respect this imbalance. Instead, it slices through the FVG in the opposite direction, showing that the initial momentum behind the imbalance has weakened or reversed. This breach is a strong indication that market sentiment is shifting. What was once a zone of strength now becomes invalid, and this failed reaction signals that the opposite side of the market (buyers or sellers) has taken control. The IFVG highlights a key transition in momentum. It tells traders that the prior bias, bullish or bearish, is breaking down, and the new dominant force is pushing price beyond levels that would typically hold. This makes the IFVG useful not only as a sign of failed structure but also as a potential confirmation of a trend reversal or strong continuation in the opposite direction. Essentially, where an FVG usually acts as a wall, an IFVG is what’s left after that wall gets knocked down. ------------------------------- What is a bullish IFVG? A bullish Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) occurs when price breaks through a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) instead of respecting it. In a typical bearish FVG, the expectation is that when price retraces into the gap, it will react to the imbalance, usually by reversing lower, as the area represents previous selling pressure or inefficiency caused by aggressive sellers. However, when price does not react bearishly and instead breaks cleanly through the bearish FVG, it signals a shift in market sentiment and momentum. This breakout through the imbalance suggests that buyers are now in control and that the bearish pressure in that zone has been absorbed or invalidated. What was once considered a resistance area is now being overpowered, often leading to continued bullish movement. ------------------------------- What is a bearish IFVG? A bearish Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) occurs when price breaks through a bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) instead of respecting it. In a normal bullish FVG, the expectation is that when price returns to the gap, it will act as support and prompt a move higher, as this area represents a previous imbalance created by strong buying pressure. However, when price fails to respect the bullish FVG and instead breaks down through it, this signals a shift in momentum to the downside. The anticipated support fails to hold, suggesting that buyers are no longer in control or that their efforts have been overwhelmed by aggressive selling. This kind of move transforms the bullish FVG into a bearish signal, as it confirms weakness in what was previously considered a demand zone. ------------------------------- How to trade the IFVG? Trading the Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) requires patience, precision, and clear confirmation of a shift in momentum. The process involves waiting for key conditions to form before entering a trade. Here's how to approach it step-by-step: First, you need to wait for a liquidity sweep. This means price must take out a recent high or low, typically a short-term liquidity pool, trapping traders on the wrong side of the market. This sweep sets the stage for a potential reversal and indicates that the market is ready to shift direction. After the liquidity sweep, watch for a 1-minute Fair Value Gap (FVG) to form and then get broken in the opposite direction. This break is crucial, it’s what creates the Inverse Fair Value Gap. The invalidation of this initial FVG confirms that momentum has switched and that the market is no longer respecting the previous imbalance. Once the IFVG has formed, your entry comes on the close of the candle that breaks and closes beyond the IFVG, above it in a bullish scenario, or below it in a bearish one. This close confirms that the gap has not held and that price is likely to continue in the new direction. Place your stop loss below the low (for a bullish setup) or above the high (for a bearish setup) of the structure that formed the IFVG. This gives you protection just beyond the level that would invalidate the setup. ------------------------------- Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Education
by Youriverse
49
Skeptic| Cycle Mastery Part 1: HWC, MWC, LWC for Smarter TradingUnderstanding Higher Wave Cycle ( HWC ), Minor Wave Cycle ( MWC ), and Low Wave Cycle ( LWC ) is the key to making informed trading decisions, simplifying when to go long , short , or stay out . This Part 1 masterclass introduces these cycles, their relative nature, and how to align them with your strategy for precise entries and effective risk management . Let’s break it down. 📊 The Three Cycles: HWC, MWC, LWC We trade across three market cycles: HWC (Higher Wave Cycle) : The big-picture trend, like Bitcoin’s yearly uptrend. MWC (Minor Wave Cycle): A medium-term trend, often an uptrend or corrective phase within the HWC. LWC (Low Wave Cycle): The short-term daily trend, which can be range-bound, uptrend, or downtrend. Knowing these cycles helps you decide when to e nter long, short, or avoid trading altogether, ensuring you align with the market’s rhythm. Defining Your Cycles: It’s Relative The main question before diving in: What timeframes are HWC, MWC, and LWC? The answer is relative—it depends on your strategy. Think of it like a temperature scale: 0°C isn’t “no heat” but a reference point (water’s freezing point). Similarly, your cycles are defined by the largest timeframe you analyze: HWC: Your highest timeframe (e.g., Weekly for long-term traders). MWC: The next level down (e.g., Daily). LWC: Your shortest timeframe (e.g., 4-Hour or 1-Hour). Ask yourself: What’s the largest timeframe I check? Set your HWC there, then scale down for MWC and LWC based on your trading style. This relativity ensures your cycles fit your unique approach. While shorter cycles (LWC, MWC) form the HWC, the HWC’s power dominates, influencing smaller cycles. Let’s explore how to trade based on these relationships. Trading Scenarios: When to Act Scenario 1: HWC Uptrend, MWC Range When the HWC is in an uptrend and the MWC is range-bound: Action: Enter a long position on the first MWC wave when the LWC breaks the ceiling of the MWC range (e.g., a box breakout). Why? The HWC’s bullish power supports the move, likely triggering an MWC uptrend. This makes the first wave a strong, low-risk entry. Example: If the LWC (e.g., 4-hour) breaks the MWC range ceiling with a strong candle, you can confidently go long, backed by the HWC uptrend. Scenario 2: HWC Downtrend, MWC Range When the HWC is in a downtrend and the MWC is range-bound: Action: Skip the first MWC wave. If the LWC breaks the MWC range ceiling, avoid going long—the bearish HWC could reject the move, resuming its downtrend. Wait for the Second Wave: Let the MWC return to a range after the first wave. If the LWC breaks the range ceiling again, go long with confidence—the HWC’s influence is less likely to disrupt this second wave. Risk Management Tips (if you trade the first wave against the HWC): Reduce Risk: Lower your position size to minimize exposure. Take Profits Early: Close the position or secure most profits (e.g., scale out) once you hit your R/R target, as volatility is high. Wider Stop-Loss: Set a larger stop-loss to account for potential HWC-driven reversals, as stop-loss hunts are common in this scenario. Adjusting Stop-Loss Size Based on Cycles Aligned Cycles (HWC, MWC, LWC in Same Direction): When all three cycles align (e.g., all uptrend), set a tighter stop-loss relative to market conditions. Gradually scale out profits instead of closing the position, as the trend’s strength supports higher R/R (e.g., 5 or 10). HWC Against MWC/LWC: If the HWC opposes the other cycles (e.g., HWC downtrend, MWC/LWC uptrend), use a wider stop-loss. The HWC’s power could reverse the LWC, lowering your win rate if stops are too tight. Expect volatility and plan accordingly. Final Vibe Check This Cycle Mastery Part 1 equips you to time MWC waves with precision, aligning HWC, MWC, and LWC for smarter entries. By mastering when to trade the first or second wave, you’ll avoid traps and maximize your edge. Part 2 will dive deeper with examples—stay tuned! At Skeptic Lab, we trade with no FOMO, no hype, just reason. Protect your capital—stick to 1%–2% risk per trade. Want Part 2 or another topic? Drop it in the comments! If this guide sharpened your game, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️ 💬 Let’s Talk! How will you time your MWC waves? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
Education
by SkepticWise
1
BTC/USDT 4H – High-Probability Decision Point Ahead Bitcoin is currently retesting a confluence-rich zone — a textbook decision area where structure meets sentiment. 🔻 What’s in play? 🟥 Demand Zone / Bullish Order Block / Breaker Block (visible on 1H) 📈 Third-touch test of the ascending trendline – statistically known to trigger strong moves ⚪ Price sitting just above the 200 EMA acting as dynamic support 🧱 Prior resistance flipped to support — now being validated again Despite the correction, structure remains intact. This is a healthy retracement unless price starts closing below trendline + zone with volume. 🔀 Possible Outcomes: Bounce: If buyers step in here, this could mark the next leg in the uptrend. Breakdown: A strong close below the zone/trendline could shift structure and sentiment bearish. ⚠️ No trade bias here — let price show its hand. 💬 What’s your view — bounce or break? Comment below! ✍️ Chart marked with structure logic only — not financial advice.
by SLPHOBIA
BTCUSDT Daily – Bullish Engulfing = Big Move?Whenever we've seen a bullish engulfing candle on the daily timeframe, it’s often followed by a strong upward move. This pattern has repeated consistently throughout the current cycle. 🔹 The recent daily close shows a clean bullish engulfing right off the 50 EMA support. 🔹 Previous purple zones also highlight areas where similar engulfing candles led to sharp rallies. 🔹 Price is once again reclaiming momentum after a liquidity sweep — a classic accumulation signal. 📈 If history repeats, we could be eyeing another leg higher toward the $112K–$115K zone. Pattern Psychology: "This bullish engulfing isn’t just a candle — it's a sentiment shift, where buyers overpower sellers completely in one session." 🔹EMA Bounce Strategy: "Price is using the 50 EMA as a trampoline — a typical smart money support zone." 🔹 Rejection of Breakdown Narrative: "The fakeout below 100,582 support could be a classic bear trap, setting up for a liquidity-driven rally." 🔹 Pivot Zone Reaction: "Immediate pivot zone (102,292) reclaimed — price now in a favorable position to target next R1 around 110,000." 🔹 Historical Context: "This setup mirrors the March bounce, where similar structure and RSI/MACD confluence led to a 12% surge." ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice or a buy/sell recommendation. Analysis is for educational purposes only. All chart markings and interpretations are original.
Long
by SLPHOBIA
BTCUSDT – Accumulation Confirmed? Wyckoff Blueprint Playing Out Bitcoin continues to compress inside a defined range, resting above both a rising trendline and a former resistance turned support zone. This structure fits cleanly within a Wyckoff-style Accumulation Phase (B-C). We’re now at a critical moment where smart money may be absorbing supply, preparing for the next phase. 🔍 Key Observations: Range-bound price action with higher lows and muted volume Spring-like wick and recovery from the bottom of the range Support holding at prior breakout zone and ascending trendline Structure shows signs of stealth accumulation with a possible breakout ahead Sideways movement with fading volatility Gradual compression within the range Strong support defended multiple times (might make the support weaker as well !) A potential spring/retest event may already be in play You’ll see fakeouts, wicks, and hesitation in this phase — designed to trap weak hands. But the underlying behavior points to preparation, not distribution. The quiet before the markup. Let the market reveal its hand. 📈
by SLPHOBIA
BITCOIN BITCOIN ,instead of forecasting the price movement, i will follow its price action, break of the current supply roof on 3hr is a buy confirmation and target will be 115-117k and if we retest and fail to break the descending 3hr supply roof we are selling and target will be 94k (ema+sma ) strategy 4hr demand floor and aggressive sell will be around 90k zone . NOTE ;everybody is a good trader ,but not everyone is patient enough to wait for a free trade. trading is 100% educated probability ,don't take it personal. focus on learning ,rather than how rich you want to become overnight.
Long
by Shavyfxhub
BTC - Probable SHORT Scenario My main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels. In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1M key liquidity level and left untouched level lower + forming LTF range. But to take more statistically probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and in this case we should wait for MSB or reaching 0,5 range mean Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
Short
by Maks_Klimenko
Bitcoin Just Broke Out! Is $117K Next? (MA50 + Fibo 161% Confirm🚨 MAJOR BTC MOVE! After weeks of consolidation, Bitcoin has officially broken the downtrend and showed a strong bounce from the MA50, turning previous resistance into support. 📈 Setup Breakdown: ✅ Downtrend breakout confirmed ✅ Clean reaction from MA50 ✅ Long entry triggered with upside targets 🎯 Target 1: $112,644 (161% Fibo) 🎯 Target 2: $117,351 📊 This could be the beginning of a new leg up. Watch price behavior at key levels and manage risk accordingly. 💬 What’s your take? Are we heading to $120K or is this a bull trap? Drop your thoughts below 👇 🔁 Like & Share if you caught this move! 📺 Follow for more real-time setups @ TradeWithMky 🧠📉 — “TradeWithMky – where altcoins speak louder than Bitcoin!”
Long
by TradeWithMky