Markets Rally as Iran’s Strike Falls Short of Expectations🟢 Markets Rally as Iran’s Strike Falls Short of Expectations
One key point here is that global markets were bracing for a much more severe response from Iran toward the U.S. But when the actual attack turned out to be less intense than expected, risk assets — including crypto and stocks — started to climb, while oil prices dropped. Normally, heightened tensions in the Middle East would push oil prices higher, but this time, the opposite happened.
Another important factor is Bitcoin’s exchange outflows. As I’ve mentioned before, BTC leaving exchanges is a bullish sign — it means fewer coins are available to sell, which can fuel quick upward moves when a long trigger appears.
📍Wait for a clean long setup, and avoid emotional trades.
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💬 Do you think the market is reacting rationally or emotionally right now? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas
BTCUSDT Short Setup at Fresh Supply ZoneBTCUSDT is currently trading near $102,397, approaching a clean supply zone between $102,887 – $104,030, where strong historical rejection has occurred.
A short entry around $102,887 offers a high-probability setup with a stop above the zone at $104,030, targeting $98,780 as the take profit level. This aligns with a previous demand structure and offers an excellent Risk:Reward ratio of approximately 1:3.6.
Trade Setup:
- Entry: $102,887
- Stop Loss: $104,030
- Take Profit: $98,780
- Risk:Reward Ratio: ~1:3.6
This setup expects sellers to defend the supply zone, rejecting bullish attempts and triggering a downward move.
A bearish trend is gradually taking shape.From a technical perspective, the complete breakdown of the box bottom, coupled with the MACD indicator about to fully crossing below the zero axis, both indicate that bullish momentum is weakening and a bearish trend is gradually forming. Short-term bulls need to take a temporary break and wait for the construction of a stabilizing platform. For bears, according to the current trend, they can lay out short positions on rallies. The ideal entry position is near the lower edge of the box, and they can try to lay out positions boldly after setting stop-losses.
On the news front, "Laote"'s policies change frequently, with extremely high uncertainty. The market needs global stability, and there has been no bull market in history built in a turbulent environment. Therefore, we need to treat market conditions cautiously, avoid blind and radical operations, and only by maintaining rationality can we respond to market changes.
you are currently struggling with losses,or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results.
Trading Strategy:
sell@102300-102800
TP:100000-100500
bitcoin update btc struggling to hold the 100k position market is choppy in lower tf but on higher tf its clearly shows sign of tapping below. with a double top on 3d tf, and breaking down of it will push long term holder book profits and with increasing tension in iran and usa 90k looks good support and as i mentioned previously about the cme gap in that area which works asa magnet for btc.
thanks
Measured move target madePrice bounced near the target and has been confirmed by the 4 hour SAR.
The 4 hour SAR is currently on a bearish retrace relative to the daily SAR.
As long as the Daily SAR is above price, the bearish Wolfewave is still in play.
Price is anticipated to go lower than what the 4 hour SAR has established as support.
To see more details and for faster movement, we look to the shorter intervals.
Shorter interval price action could invalidate longer interval patterns.
Major Support Confluence, Tactical Rebound or Looming Flush?__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
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Momentum: BTC is working a major daily support zone (102.6–103k USDT) with strong confluence across 1D, 12H, and 2H pivots. Technical rebound in play, but still no strong behavioral catalyst.
Supports / Resistances: Key support clusters at 102.3–103.3k (2H, 720min, daily pivots). Main resistances: 106.4k–110k.
Volume: Very high on 2H/1H near supports, hinting at possible washout/profit-taking. No buy climax identified.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong bullish signal from 1D to 30min (neutral on 15min), while lower TFs remain under selling pressure.
Multi-TF Behavior (ISPD DIV): No excess or euphoria: market is waiting/compressed, caution is necessary in the short term.
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Strategic Summary
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Global Bias: Tactical bullish but cautious — confirmation on clean rebound needed to strengthen conviction.
Opportunities: Technical entries in the 102.6–103.3k zone with stops below 102k (aggressive) or 97.5k (defensive). Profit-taking zones at 106.4k/109.9k/110k.
Risk Areas: Invalidated below 97.5k (swing), potential flush down to 94k/88–89k. Heightened vigilance around macro releases.
Macro Catalysts: PMI prints (June 23), Fed on pause, increased geopolitical risks (latent volatility and cross-asset caution).
Action Plan: Prioritize active management: reduced position sizing, mechanical stops, and real-time bias adjustment based on volume and behavioral response.
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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1D–12H: Major supports (D Pivot Low 102626.8), structural uptrend, strong Risk On signal, but no behavioral/volume extremes.
6H–4H: Ongoing technical rebound, moderately high volume, support confluence, BUT short-term TF pressure remains.
2H–1H: Very high volume at support, possible local flush, but still no bullish behavioral confirmation—monitor for rapid volatility.
30min–15min: Tentative stabilization post-support absorption, no clear psychological excess, risk of further downside if rebound not confirmed; Risk On / Risk Off Indicator is neutral at 15min.
Summary: Bullish structural setup, but fragile micro dynamics—discipline and speed are key.
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Fundamental & On-chain Overview
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External factors: Fed on hold, US inflation slightly higher, robust economy, increased geopolitical risks (hot spots Israel–Iran, Ukraine–Russia). Latent risk-off sentiment but not yet materialized.
Calendar to watch: June 23, 09:45–10:00 UTC (US PMI & home sales).
On-chain: Low user activity, high institutional volumes, off-chain flow dominance, leverage high (mostly in stablecoins, limiting crypto-margined liquidation spirals), no euphoria or panic detected.
Risk/reward synthesis: Key technical buy zone 102.6–103.3k (stop < 102k/97.5k), targets 106.4k/109.9–110k. Below 97.5k: bearish bias, defensive risk management needed.
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Final strategic synthesis
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BTC remains "structurally strong but tactically fragile": major support confluence and bullish sectoral signal, but persistent micro selling pressure and macro/cross-asset uncertainty. Only entries on clear technical signals, mechanical stops and active risk management offer rational short-term setups in this volatile and compressed environment.
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BTC, Selling pressure below 100K, 23 JunePlan BTC today: 23 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
Market capitalisation fell to $3.03 trillion over the weekend, likely due to speculators expecting a sell-off in response to US strikes on targets in Iran. However, the limited reaction from traditional financial markets brought buyers back to the crypto space, showing their willingness to buy at a discount and pushing market capitalisation back up to $3.12 trillion.
The cryptocurrency sentiment index dropped to 42 on Sunday, its lowest level in two months, but rebounded to 47 at the start of the new week, moving from the fear zone into neutral territory.
Bitcoin slipped to $98K over the weekend, briefly touching the classic support level at 61.8% of the April–May rally. However, by the start of the European trading session, it had already recovered to around $102K, compared to $102.7K at the beginning of Sunday. Still, last week’s sell-off broke the 50-day moving average support, weighed down by external factors. A breakout from the $96K–$105K range will likely determine the direction of the next major move
personal opinion:!!!
Selling pressure caused gold price to drop below 100k yesterday, macro economy has not changed much. Gold price continues to suffer selling pressure
Important price zone to consider :!!!
support zone : 100.800 ; 98.200
Sustainable trading to beat the market
BTCUSDT Short Setup after Weak BreakoutThe BTCUSDT perpetual chart displays a bearish setup following a false breakout or weak retest of a descending wedge structure. After a strong bounce from the recent low, price surged but is now showing rejection at the $101,500 resistance level, marked by a key horizontal zone.
This area coincides with:
- The upper boundary of the falling wedge pattern.
- A former support zone now acting as resistance.
- A red candle signaling exhaustion from buyers.
A short position is initiated with:
- Entry: ~$101,500
- Stop Loss: ~$103,271
- Take Profit: ~$95,400
- Risk:Reward Ratio: ~1:3+
Unless price reclaims and holds above $103,271, this setup suggests a short-term bearish reversal is likely to unfold.
BTCUSD 4HThis chart presents a bearish setup for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the 4-hour timeframe, shared by "Alpha_Gold_Trader." Here's the key breakdown:
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Chart Breakdown
Current Price: Around $105,857
Resistance Zone (Register Point Level): ~$109,000 to ~$111,500
Support Zone (Breakout Level): ~$106,500 to ~$107,500 (pink box)
Bias: Bearish (implied by breakdown and downward projection)
Price Target: Around $95,000, labeled as "TARGET SUCCESSFUL"
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Technical Implication
Price has broken below the support zone marked in pink.
A retest of broken support is anticipated before continuation down (common in breakout setups).
The setup suggests a short trade if price fails to reclaim the broken support and confirms rejection.
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Trading Strategy Outline
Entry: Near $107,000 (on failed retest)
Stop Loss: Above $108,500 (back in the previous range)
Take Profit: ~$95,000 (target zone)
Bitcoin (BTC): Strong Sell-Off During Weekends | Plan A & BBitcoin was bleeding hard during the weekend when the US decided to join the ongoing war, which is now strongly impacting the economic markets.
As tensions are tightening, we are expecting a similar outcome to happen like we had during the beginning of the UA war, where at the start everything dipped hard, and later we had a strong upward rally.
Remember, people need to store their money somewhere safe, and the safest places are buying gold or Crypto.
Swallow Academy
Pullback Correction after a Sharp DeclineTechnical Analysis of BTC Contracts: As of today, on the daily timeframe (major cycle), yesterday closed with a small bearish candle, showing consecutive bearish declines. The price remains below moving averages, and attached indicators are in a death cross, clearly indicating a downward trend. With the trend being evident, two key points should be noted: First, guard against significant pullback corrections; Second, risk control must be prioritized under any circumstances, which is of utmost importance.
On the hourly timeframe (short cycle), the price fell under pressure during the US session yesterday, breaking below the 100,000 level. It rebounded after hitting the intraday low in the morning. The breakdown level is near the 102,700 area. Currently, the K-line shows a large bullish rebound, and attached indicators form a golden cross, suggesting that corrective movements will prevail today. However, the breakdown level (102,700) must not be breached; otherwise, the corrective trend may fail to sustain, which aligns with typical price movement patterns.
you are currently struggling with losses,or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results.
Trading Strategy:
sell@102300-102800
TP:100000-100500
23/06/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $108,948.76
Last weeks low: $103,569.91
Midpoint: $98,191.05
Last weeks chart is a clear reflection of what happens when there is a constant stream of bad news... Geo-political escalations, America becoming more involved in the Middle-east and the FED refusing to cut interest rates.
It's well known markets do not like uncertainty, and throughout the week more and more questions have been asked with very few answers. Risk-on assets have taken a hit generally and BTC is no different, especially over the weekend. This price action should be taken with a pinch of salt as the volume is never as high as it is during the week and often it paints a false picture of how the market really feels. The market makers ultimately are just, over the weekend they often aren't involved and so I think we will know more accurately how much of this geo-political escalation is priced in by the end of the trading day. How the SPX reacts will be important too.
The FED once again refused to cut interest rates, it's clear president Trump is not happy with this. The market could have done with a cut but that will have to wait.
So for Bitcoin it's been a tough week and I can't see this getting better immediately. Bearish price targets for me would be $97,000, the short term trend is clearly biased short until some solid support comes in or something drastic happens in the political world for good. This week is about survival and caution while looking for opportunities to present themselves without knife catching.
Good luck this week everybody!
BTC Bitcoin: Where I'm buying this war crash. Buy in strategyBTC Bitcoin: Where I'm buying this war crash. Buy in strategy
We're in a buy zone right now but I'm looking for bullish divergences for entry. I'll add more if we start getting higher highs.
If we lose this zone, then I'm looking again around the 90k area.
I think this is a wonderful opportunity to get BTC under 100k.
Bitcoin Under PressureBitcoin remains mired in a bearish trend as price action struggles below key moving averages—the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day—all of which point to sustained downside pressure. On the higher timeframes, a clear descending trendline from the April–May highs remains firmly intact, reinforcing the macro downtrend.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) continues to hover in the neutral-to-lower zones, with recent bounces still failing to cross bullish thresholds. A short-term relief rally emerged post-news volatility, with price attempting to retest the supply zone between $103.9K and $104K—a region of confluence with bearish Fibonacci levels and previous order blocks.
However, rejection at this level could set the stage for a further breakdown, targeting the $96.3K–$95.5K range. In the 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes, Fibonacci retracements and a climbing RSI suggest short-term relief is plausible, but a lower high formation would confirm continued bearish control.
BTC remains technically vulnerable despite short-term bounces, while geopolitical events and U.S. policy narratives shape market sentiment. Yet behind the volatility, continued ETF inflows, stablecoin stability, and altcoin resilience signal a market that, while cautious, remains fundamentally engaged.
Traders and investors alike should stay focused on key resistance levels for BTC, monitor developments in Middle Eastern tensions and U.S. crypto policy, and watch ETF and stablecoin flows as barometers of broader market conviction.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youBitcoin Trading Strategy: Navigating $101,000 Volatility with a Three-Dimensional Model
Current Bitcoin prices oscillating near $101,000 reflect more than just technical support battles—they embody an expectation gap between policy implementation timelines and institutional fund flows. This strategy constructs a "Policy-Funds-Technology" three-dimensional analysis model, using the U.S. *Genius Act* House voting process and Hong Kong's *Stablecoin Ordinance* countdown as policy anchors, institutional behavior differences (e.g., MicroStrategy增持 vs. Grayscale fund flows) as funding validation, and key technical breakouts as entry signals for a dynamically adjusted trading system.
I. Policy Landscape: Dual Catalysts on the Horizon
- **U.S. *Genius Act* Legislative Progress**: The Senate passed the *Genius Act* with a 68:30 supermajority, and Trump has publicly pressed the House to expedite voting, with markets expecting final legislation by mid-late July. The bill requires stablecoin issuers to maintain 100% dollar/T-bill reserves, effectively integrating stablecoins into the "digital dollar" system. This is expected to attract ~$20 billion in institutional capital via compliant channels.
- **Hong Kong *Stablecoin Ordinance* Launch**: Scheduled to take effect on August 1, the ordinance has prompted institutions like Standard Chartered and JD.com to prepare license applications. The introduction of offshore RMB stablecoins will create new liquidity entry points for Bitcoin.
II. Funding Dynamics: Institutional Long-Term Conviction vs. Short-Term Positioning
- **MicroStrategy's Bold Accumulation**: The firm's holdings surpassed 330,000 BTC after a June 22 purchase, with an average cost of $88,627—current prices yield a 14% unrealized gain, demonstrating corporate investors' long-term confidence.
- **Grayscale GBTC Contrast**: $46.3 million flowed out of GBTC in the week ending June 20, reflecting institutional portfolio optimization ahead of policy milestones.
- **Tron USDT Liquidity Base**: With circulation exceeding $70 billion (50% of global USDT) and $80 billion daily transaction volume, Tron's stablecoin provides robust liquidity support for Bitcoin.
III. Technical Confirmation Mechanisms for $101,000
1. Short-Term Support Validation:
- Price forms a "Morning Star" candlestick pattern within $100,000-$101,000, accompanied by 20% higher trading volume than the prior day.
2. Trend Breakout Confirmation:
- RSI rebounds from below 40 to above 50, coinciding with a decisive price突破 (breakout) of the intraday resistance at $102,000.
**Trading Tactics**:
- **Aggressive Entry**: Long positions on confirmed Morning Star patterns, with stop-loss below $100,000 (2% below support).
- **Breakout Follow-through**: Add to positions above $102,000, targeting $105,000 resistance.
- **Risk Control**: Maintain position sizes below 15% of portfolio, with profit-taking triggers set at 3%–5% intervals.
This framework balances policy-driven structural shifts with tactical technical signals, enabling traders to navigate the volatility gap between institutional long-termism and short-term market noise.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
BTCUSDT BUY@101000~102000
SL:98000
TP:103000~104000
We PREDICTED correction, and here is the NEXT step⚡️ Hello, everyone! As I said in my previous ideas, the correction is just beginning. Some people link this to the hostilities in the Middle East.
But, in reality, this is just a way to find a reason. In fact, the charts have long predicted a correction, which I have been actively talking about for the last month.
📊 Let's take a look at what lies ahead:
Having gathered liquidity below 100k, we are now seeing a short-term rebound. For me, the maximum target for this rebound is 106,000-107,000.
We have started to close the GAP at levels of 102,760 - 97,400. I expect it to close completely, after which we can move into a range. The next GAP is at levels of 93,280 - 85,230. So the further direction of movement is also obvious. After all, in 99% of cases, gaps close sooner or later.
⚙️ Metrics and indicators:
Money Flow - liquidity has been declining for more than half a year. This updated ATH was accompanied by a significantly smaller inflow of capital and formed a divergence. This means that there is still no new liquidity in Bitcoin, and for it to move higher, a new catalyst and cheaper prices are needed.
Liquidity Depth - as we know, the price tends to move from one liquidity zone to another. And now, there is significantly more liquidity at the bottom than at the top.
Dynamic Support/Resistance - Currently, 99,890 is a strong support level. However, each time we move lower below it. So I am confident that this level will be broken in the near future. The next major support level is 91,460.
Volume - is another indicator of the lack of new liquidity in Bitcoin. Since November 2024, purchase volumes have continued to decline!
📌 Conclusion:
I don't expect us to see Bitcoin at 60,000 before the fall. But 80,000 by September is quite possible. The fact that we will probably test the 90,000 level is not even up for discussion. Unless, of course, a new bullish catalyst appears. Altcoin ETFs are not even close to being one.
So, for now, I advise everyone to be patient and not try to predict the bottom. Prepare your bags for spot purchases, sit back in your chair, and enjoy the show!
🔥 Have a great week, everyone! 🔥
$BTC - Short-term OutlookCRYPTOCAP:BTC | 4h
We got a solid bounce off 98k
Next key level is 103.5k–104k. A clean reclaim flips short-term bias bullish.
If price gets rejected again, this likely confirms a bearish retest, and likely leading back down to the 94k–92k value area
Price could range for awhile at this level as we challenge the 104k — prior value acting as resistance.