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BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas

Skeptic | Bitcoin Deep Dive: Rate Hikes, War Tensions & TriggersInterest Rates: The Big Picture Let’s start with the Federal Reserve’s move—interest rates jumped from 4.25% to 4.5% . What’s the deal? Higher rates mean costlier borrowing , so businesses and folks pull back on loans. This drains liquidity from risk assets like Bitcoin and SPX 500, slowing their uptrend momentum or pushing them into ranges or dips. Now, mix in the Israel-Iran conflict escalating ? Straight talk: risks are sky-high , so don’t bank on wild rallies anytime soon. My take? BTC’s likely to range between 97,000 and 111,000 for a few months until geopolitical risks cool (like Russia-Ukraine became “normal” for markets) and the Fed starts cutting rates. Those two could ignite new highs and a robust uptrend. Let’s hit the charts for the technicals! 📊 Technical Analysis Daily Timeframe: Setting the Stage You might ask, “If 100,000 support breaks, does that mean we’ve formed a lower high and lower low, flipping the trend bearish per Dow Theory?” Absolutely not! Here’s why: our primary uptrend lives on the weekly timeframe, not daily. The daily is just a secondary trend. If 100K cracks, it only turns the secondary trend bearish, leading to a deeper correction, but the major weekly uptrend stays intact. Spot Strategy: No spot buys for now. Economic and geopolitical risks are too intense. I’ll jump in once things stabilize. 😎 Key Insight: A 100K break isn’t a death sentence for the bull run—it’s just a shakeout. Stay calm! 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers Zooming into the 4-hour chart, here’s where we hunt for long and short triggers: Long Trigger: Break above 110,513.92. We need a strong reaction at this level—price could hit it early or late, so stay patient for confirmation. Short Trigger: Break below 101,421.65. Same vibe—watch for a clean reaction to tweak the trigger for optimal entry. Pro Tip: These levels are based on past key zones, but time outweighs price. Wait for a reaction to nail the best entry. Patience is your edge! 🙌 Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D): Altcoin Watch As BTC dips, BTC.D (Bitcoin’s market share) is climbing, meaning altcoins are taking a bigger beating. Don’t touch altcoin buys until the BTC.D upward trendline breaks. They haven’t moved yet—you might miss the first 10-100%, but with confirmation, we’ll catch the 1,000-5,000% waves together. 😏 Shorting? If you’re shorting, altcoins are juicier than BTC—sharper, cleaner drops with more confidence. Patience, patience, patience—it’s the name of the game. Final Thoughts My quieter updates lately? Blame the geopolitical chaos, not me slacking . I’m hustling to keep you in the loop with clear, actionable insights. here, we live by No FOMO, no hype, just reason. Protect your capital—max 1% risk per trade, no exceptions. Want a risk management guide to level up? Drop a comment! If this analysis lit a spark, hit that boost—it keeps me going! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want next? Let me know in the comments. Stay sharp, fam! ✌️
by SkepticWise
1
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youBitcoin prices hovered around $103,300, retreating from the $104,000 threshold seen in previous days and showing an overall volatile adjustment trend. The market has experienced a notable correction recently, with prices dropping significantly from earlier highs, but currently stabilizing around $103,000. Such fluctuations have left many investors confused about the price trend ahead. Support and Resistance Levels Technically, Bitcoin is facing key support and resistance levels. The lower support at $102,300 is critical: if prices hold above this level, the short-term decline may halt or even rebound. However, a break below this support could lead to further declines to test lower levels. The upper resistance lies in the $107,000–$108,000 range, acting as a "wall" where prices have repeatedly stalled due to trapped positions and profit-taking pressure. For prices to continue rising, a successful breakout of this resistance zone is essential. Technical Indicator Performance Multiple technical indicators show bearish dominance in the market. Both MACD and RSI indicators signal bearish sentiment, implying short-term weakness may persist. Notably, prices are approaching oversold territory—similar to a spring compressed too far, Bitcoin may experience a technical rebound if the decline continues. Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you BTCUSDT BUY@102000~103000 SL:101000 TP:105000~106000
Long
by David_Wilson1
BTC 4H SCALPBTC/USDT Scalp Setup – 4H Chart Entered a scalp position with TP1 aligned at the Fibonacci extension near 105,652. The first take-profit has been secured, and the remainder of the position is being left to ride — no emotional attachment. If invalidated, the trade will be abandoned without hesitation. Technical Overview: Price broke out of the local downtrend channel Watching for a potential green dot on the volume oscillator to confirm upward continuation VMC Cipher B shows early signs of a shift; confirmation is still pending That said, short-term caution is warranted. Bearish Considerations: On the higher timeframes, there’s a visible bearish divergence between price and volume — price continues to push higher, while volume fades, indicating a potential trend exhaustion. Thanks for your support. If you found this idea helpful or insightful, feel free to leave a like or comment, open to your thoughts and perspectives.
Long
by petermichalides
Trade Plan Update #12: Navigating BTC’s Critical Levels *Conflicting timeframes (bullish 1H/Daily vs. bearish 4H/Weekly) are causing choppy price action. Here’s my 2-step game plan: * 📈 Scenario 1: Bullish 1H Play Key Support Zone: $100,314 - $102,000 (last line of defense for 1H bullish structure). Trigger: A strong rejection + bullish reversal signal in this zone. Action: INSTANT LONG ENTRY. No waiting—aggressively capitalize on momentum. 📉 Scenario 2: Daily Structure Fallback If $100,314 fails: 1- First Demand Zone: $93,300 - $98,000 Watch for a strong bounce → Go long if momentum confirms. Weak reaction? Hold and monitor lower. Second Demand Zone: $84,000 - $88,000 Ideal reversal zone for resuming the bull run. LONG on confirmed strength. Bull Run Lifeline: $74,600 Non-negotiable: A daily close below this invalidates the bull trend. ✅ Key Reminders: Patience is strategy: Only act when price confirms your thesis (no guessing!). Risk first: Define stops for every entry. Watch price action—NOT hopes. 👇 What’s your take? Which scenario seems more likely? Are you adding any key levels? Let’s discuss below! 👀
Long
by BTC-SWING-HOUSE
BTC slowly getting bearmarket vibes.Given the current macroeconomic and geopolitical landscape, there is a growing risk of a renewed downward move in the market. Should we not see a rate cut materialize as early as June, Bitcoin could begin a gradual decline, potentially retracing toward the $50,000–$40,000 range. This slow grind lower may persist unless there is a sharp and meaningful shift in the key macro or geopolitical variables. While a reversal of this trend remains possible under improved conditions, current indicators suggest a steady move toward lower levels in the absence of a clear catalyst.
Short
by r0b1n4t0r
short bitcoin In my previous analysis i already gave a short target of 101k which is about to come by this week any short holders can hold their trade with SL above 104300 taking new shorts is a risky bet here, which is why ill opt out for this week and wait for further price for a clear view dont go for longs cause market have no bullish sentiments liquidity news fomc everything is against btc at this pont let market come at the support of 101 if it holds and all macro factors agree we can turn bullish stay safe trade cautious thanks
Short
by sksr1919
BTC at 103K – Bounce or Breakdown?1. Overall Trend: The chart is currently within a descending channel, indicated by two parallel downward-sloping trendlines. The price continues to fluctuate within the boundaries of this bearish channel. 2. Current Price Action: BTC has just touched the lower green support zone (around 103,000 – 102,500 USDT) and is showing a slight rebound. → This suggests a potential recovery toward the nearest resistance zone. 3. Key Levels: ✅ Nearest Support Zone: 103,000 – 102,500 USDT → The price is currently bouncing from this area. If this zone holds, a short-term rebound toward resistance is likely. 🟥 Nearest Resistance Zone: 105,000 – 106,500 USDT → This zone has repeatedly rejected price advances in the past. Watch closely as price approaches this level. 🟪 Major Upper Resistance Zone: Around 107,000 – 109,000 USDT → If price breaks above the red zone, this will be the next target. 4. Potential Scenarios: 🔹 Scenario 1 (Bullish): If BTC holds the 103K support and breaks above the descending channel → price could aim for 105K – 106.5K. If that level is breached, the next target may be 107K – 109K. 🔸 Scenario 2 (Bearish): If the 103K support breaks → price may fall deeper toward the lower green support zone (around 101,500 – 100,500 USDT). 🎯 Summary: Short-term trend remains bearish. Price is reacting at support → a rebound is possible. Need confirmation from volume and candlesticks to determine if the current downtrend can be broken. Don't forget to like – follow – and share if you find it useful!”😁😁😁
by DatVinh84
Bitcoin Holds Strong as Market Consolidates — No Bearish DivergeUpon analyzing CRYPTOCAP:BTC price structure across multiple timeframes, I don't see any bearish divergence at the moment. Instead, the chart continues to print a series of bullish formations, including inverse head and shoulders patterns, signaling continuation of the macro uptrend. The current movement between $100,000 and $109,000 appears to be a classic case of a choppy or ranging market — in simpler terms, a bullish consolidation phase just below resistance. This kind of sideways price action, especially after a significant rally, often serves as a base for the next breakout leg. Despite geopolitical tensions like the Iran-Israel conflict, Bitcoin remains remarkably resilient. If such macro-level risk had any real impact, BTC would likely have already broken below the $100K mark. Instead, the price is holding firm, which is another sign of strong bullish sentiment in the market. The chart structure remains highly constructive — multiple bullish reversal and continuation patterns are playing out, and as long as BTC holds above the $98K–$100K support zone, the broader trend remains intact. This ongoing consolidation below all-time highs is a healthy sign of strength —
Long
by Beyoglu_Analyst
BTC Squeezed to the Edge – Will $102K Support Hold or Crack?Bitcoin is pressing into the apex of a descending triangle, anchored at $102K. Volume is drying up, EMAs are compressing, and liquidity pools sit just below. This structure rarely resolves quietly — a volatile breakout is imminent. 🔻 Bearish Case (Primary Bias): Breakdown below $102K = short trigger Targets: $98K → $94K Stop: Above $106K Confluence: Bearish pattern + volume dry-up + liquidity below 🟢 Bullish Reversal (Alternate): Breakout above $107.5K = short squeeze likely Flip bias only if trendline is reclaimed on volume 🎯 Final Take: BTC is at a decision point. Don’t trade the bias — trade the breakout. Volatility is coming. Be ready. 📣 What’s your setup? Breakdown or fakeout rally? Share below!
by MyTradingJournal6th
BTC/USDT – Bearish Channel Rejection with Confluence ZonesBitcoin is showing signs of weakness after rejecting the top of the descending parallel channel. This trade idea is based on multiple confluences: Bearish rejection at key resistance near $110,000–$112,000 Price respecting the descending trendline 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone acting as potential demand Risk-reward structure targeting deeper support near $88,500 Previous bullish channel broken – now acting as resistance 📌 Entry near: ~$108517 🎯 Target: ~$88500 🛑 Stop Loss: ~$111980 Looking for further downside continuation if this structure holds. Watch how price reacts at mid-channel and the demand box.
Short
by simmocode
3
BTCUSD 1D | big consolidation 🧠 1. Pattern and Market Structure Identification ✅ Trend and Pattern: Bullish Flag • Structure: Price forms a descending consolidation pattern (descending channel) after a sharp upward impulse — this is a classic characteristic of a bullish flag. • Breakout volume occurred from the consolidation zone near the green support area → an early signal that bulls are active. • However, the price is currently retesting the breakout area and is testing the demand zone again. 📊 2. Volume Analysis • Volume spikes (purple arrows) occurred at several key points: • Initial breakout • Support retest • High volume during the breakout = valid breakout confirmation. • Currently, volume is slightly declining = a signal of consolidation and possible accumulation. 📉 3. Support & Resistance Levels • Strong Support: 96,961 USDT (marked by the blue line and breakout volume). • Major Resistance: 111,980 USDT (all-time high and projected target from the flag breakout). • Current Price: 103,272 USDT → sitting between these two key levels. 🎯 4. Potential Price Direction Bullish Scenario: • If the 96,961 USDT support holds, price could continue upward → the bullish flag target = projected height of the flagpole. • Conservative Target: 111,980 USDT (ATH) • Aggressive Target (if ATH breakout occurs): 115,000+ USDT Bearish Scenario: • If price breaks below 96,961 USDT with strong volume, it could invalidate the bullish pattern and drop further to the 92,000 – 90,000 USDT range.
Long
by RCT8
bitcoin bullish and bearish BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P bullish 🔹 Technical analysis according to Elliott waves (time: 1 hour) 📌 The pattern shown on the chart shows a complex structure that includes a complex correction within the larger wave (B), and the following is clear: 🔸 Main waves: Wave (1) up from the bottom has been confirmed. It was followed by a corrective wave (2) that ended near the 0.786 Fibonacci level = 102,575. Then the upward wave (3) started, and it seems that it has been completed or is about to be completed. 🔸 Current status: The price is currently moving within a small corrective wave, likely wave (4). Current major support is located at: 🔸 102,275.7 (very important level) 🔸 100,317.6 (in case the correction extends) 🔸 Critical resistance areas: For the bullish scenario to be valid, the resistance must be broken: 106,759 (0.618 Fibonacci ratio) 108,948 (0.786 – peak of wave C) --- 🔹 Important technical points: 🔸 The last correction (A)-(B)-(C) shows a clear triple structure, indicating that wave (2) has been completed. 🔸 The price is currently bouncing off the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci levels (104,402 - 104,923), which reinforces the possibility that wave (2) has actually ended, and that we are currently starting an upward wave (3). --- ✅ Conclusion: ✅ As long as the price is above 102,275, the upward scenario through wave (3) remains valid. ⚠️ Breaking 100,317 indicates the failure of the bullish scenario and a structural shift in the waves. 🔻 Alternative (Bearish) Scenario – Short-Term: If the price fails to maintain the current support at 102,275, we may not be in wave (4) but rather at the beginning of a new downward wave within a broader corrective scenario, as follows: --- 🔸 Wave Interpretation: 🔹 Wave (B), which completed at the peak near 108,948, likely marked the end of an upward correction. 🔹 The current downward wave from that peak could be: Either wave 1 of C within a larger correction, or the beginning of wave (C) within a bearish (A)-(B)-(C) pattern. --- 🔻 Potential Downside Targets in This Scenario: 1. Breaking 102,275 = Confirmation of the beginning of a new downward wave. 2. First Target: 🔸 101,484 (1.618 Fibonacci Extension – Wave 1 Expected) 3. Second and Stronger Target: 🔸 100,317 = Previous Major Support, Representing an Important Structural Test Area. 4. Third and Most Extreme Target in This Scenario: 🔸 98,800 – 99,260 = Possible Wave C Extension (Corresponds to a Larger Downside Scenario). --- ⚠️ Failure Signal: Remaining below 105,926 (Previous Sub-Wave Resistance) maintains selling pressure. Any weak bounce and lack of a clear wave 5 upwards = an additional sign of bearish dominance. --- 🔻 Conclusion: ✳️ The bearish scenario assumes that the peak at 108,948 was the end of corrective wave (B), and that we are now in a downward wave C targeting areas between 101,400 and 99,200, and possibly lower. ✳️ A break of 102,275 would be key to activating this scenario.
by Learn2tradez
#Bitcoin is approaching a strong demand zone!#Bitcoin is approaching a strong demand zone! This level has acted as solid support several times in the past. According to the Fibonacci levels, we’re currently at the 0.5 level, which makes this area even more significant. In my opinion, we’re likely to see a bounce from here. However, if the price fails to hold this level, there’s a good chance we’ll retest the $92K zone. But for that to happen, we need a daily close below $100K. Until then, we’re still in a safe zone. I’ll keep you updated as things develop. If you find my updates helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for more! DYOR, NFA
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
8
btc chipping down de road This is de rasshole fractal—the fractal from the future, the one whispered through the blockchain by quantum echoes of bull runs past, the one that knows, that sees, that is. It bends time, folds sentiment, loops liquidity through dimensions you haven’t even leveraged yet. It doesn’t care about your indicators, your trendlines, your cousin’s TA on Reddit—it just exists, pulsing with the inevitable. You can squint at it, laugh at it, ignore it—but it’s already printed, already fulfilled, already written in the candlesticks of destiny. Don’t try to understand it. Just feel it. Because the fractal knows: the price is going up. Did you buy the dip, or are you still refreshing?
by donraja
1