BTC 30.06.25So far BTC is behaving exactly as expected, i'm just waiting for a valid setup to appear. I would love to see a model 1, which takes out the high and mitigates supply, but i'm also not ignoring a potential model 2. These 2 deviations merge together on a higher time frame, where the range is also valid on, so they can be counted as one. There are many altcoins with similar behavior and USDT/C in potential accumulation. I'm waiting to see confirmations/ invalidations.
BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas
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"I am a passionate swing trader focused on analyzing financial markets to capture profit opportunities from medium-term price movements. With a disciplined approach and in-depth technical analysis, I concentrate on identifying trends, support-resistance levels, and price patterns to make informed trading decisions. I prioritize strict risk management to protect capital while maximizing profit potential. Always learning and adapting to market dynamics, I enjoy the process of refining strategies to achieve consistency in trading."
Check support at 108316.90-111696.21
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
Among the many trend lines, the one marked 1W is the important one.
Therefore, we need to look at whether it can rise above the 1W trend line or rise along the trend line.
If not, and it falls below 108316.90, it may lead to further decline, so we need to think about a countermeasure for this.
This volatility period is expected to continue until July 3, but it is expected to last until July 11, so caution is required when trading.
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Indicators that indicate high points are DOM(60), HA-High, and StochRSI 80.
HA-High and StochRSI 80 are formed around 108316.90, and DOM(60) is formed at 111696.21.
Therefore, the 108316.90-111696.21 section is a high point boundary section, and if it is supported and rises in this section, it is highly likely that a stepwise uptrend will begin.
The conditions for a stepwise uptrend to begin are:
- The K of the StochRSI indicator must show an upward trend below 80,
- The PVT-MACD oscillator indicator must show an upward trend above the 0 point,
- The OBV of the Low Line ~ High Line channel must show an upward trend. If possible, it is better for the Low Line ~ High Line channel to form an upward channel.
When the above conditions are met, I think that if it is supported and rises in the 108316.90-111696.21 section, it is highly likely that a stepwise uptrend will continue.
If the above conditions are not met, it is likely that it will show a downward trend again while pretending to rise.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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BTC 1 hr technical analiysis Asset: BTCUSDT.P (Bitcoin Perpetual Futures)
Timeframe Provided: 1-Hour (1H)
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
1. Higher Timeframe Bias (Assumed for 1H Context):
Based on the observed price action, specifically the strong impulsive bullish move around July 2nd-3rd, followed by a corrective pullback, it is reasonable to assume a bullish bias from the higher timeframes (Daily/4H). This assumption is crucial, as the 1H timeframe should ideally align with the dominant higher timeframe trend for high-probability setups. The strong push above previous resistance and the subsequent retracement suggest the potential for a continuation of an uptrend.
2. 1-Hour Structure Analysis:
Initial Structure: The price was generally ranging or in a slight downtrend until around July 2nd. We observe multiple internal bearish Break of Structures (1H BOS in red).
Change of Character (CHoCH): A significant bullish 1H CHoCH is observed around July 2nd, indicating a shift from a bearish to a bullish internal structure. This shift was followed by strong bullish momentum.
Break of Structure (BOS): After the CHoCH, the market showed clear bullish 1H BOS, confirming the new bullish impulse.
Current Structure: The market has recently pulled back significantly after the strong bullish impulse. This pullback has tested a key demand zone. We are looking for a continuation of the bullish trend from this pullback.
3. Liquidity and Inducement:
Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL): Prior to the bullish CHoCH, there were clear areas of sell-side liquidity that were swept, fueling the subsequent upward move.
Inducement: The current pullback, while corrective, may be acting as an inducement, drawing in early buyers or trapping sellers, before potentially continuing the upward movement. Price has swept some internal liquidity during this retracement.
4. Valid Demand/Supply Zones (1H):
Primary Demand Zone: The most prominent demand zone of interest is located roughly between $107,000 and $107,300. This zone represents an unmitigated order block (or a clear area of strong institutional buying) that initiated the significant bullish impulse. It also aligns with previous resistance that was broken and is now potentially acting as support (a "flip zone"). This is our primary point of interest for a long entry.
Mitigation: Price has begun to tap into this demand zone, indicating a potential mitigation phase.
5. Trade Setup Proposal (High Probability Long Setup):
Considering the assumed higher timeframe bullish bias and the current 1H structure, a long setup from the identified demand zone presents a high-probability opportunity.
Bias: Bullish
Entry Strategy: We are looking for confirmation within the demand zone. Given the 1H chart, a refined entry could be sought on a lower timeframe (e.g., 15M or 5M) for further confirmation (e.g., an internal CHoCH, aggressive entry within the order block). However, based on the provided 1H chart:
Proposed Entry Price: Around $107,150 - $107,250. This is within the heart of the unmitigated demand zone. The visual suggests an entry around $107,200.
Stop Loss (SL): Slightly below the low of the demand zone/order block, and crucially, below any structural low that would invalidate the bullish short-term structure.
Proposed SL Price: Around $106,750 - $106,900. The visual places the SL at approximately $106,900. This allows for some wick hunting but protects capital if the demand fails.
Target (TP): We will target the high of the recent bullish impulse, and potentially higher if the higher timeframe bias confirms a sustained uptrend.
Proposed TP Price: Initial target at the recent high around $110,900 - $111,000. The visual suggests $110,950.
Rationale for TP: This target represents the next logical liquidity pool (buy-side liquidity) and a significant structural high that, if broken, would confirm further bullish continuation.
Risk to Reward Ratio (RRR):
Entry: ~$107,200
SL: ~$106,900 (Risk: $300)
TP: ~$110,950 (Reward: $3750)
Calculated RRR: Approximately 1:12.5. This is an exceptional RRR and highlights the potential of this setup.
6. Important Considerations & Trade Management:
Confirmation: While the 1H demand zone is strong, for institutional-level entries, further confirmation on lower timeframes (e.g., a CHoCH or clear bullish momentum shift on the 5M/15M chart once price enters the demand zone) would be ideal.
Market News/Events: Always be aware of upcoming high-impact economic news (e.g., CPI, FOMC minutes, NFP) that could induce high volatility and invalidate technical setups. For crypto, major exchange news, regulatory announcements, or large whale movements can also impact price. As of Saturday, July 5th, 2025, there are no immediate high-impact economic data releases on the calendar for this weekend, but traders should always check the economic calendar for the upcoming week.
Partial Take Profits: Consider taking partial profits at intermediate highs or psychological levels to secure gains and reduce risk.
Trailing Stop Loss: Once the trade moves significantly in profit, consider trailing your stop loss to break-even or beyond to protect capital.
This detailed analysis, even with the limitation of a single timeframe, provides a clear, high-probability long setup based on advanced SMC principles. Monitor price action closely at the entry point and manage risk diligently.
Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational and analytical purposes and does not constitute a buy or sell recommendation or financial advice. All trading decisions must be made based on individual analysis, proper risk management, and careful consideration of market conditions by the trader themselves. As an AI model, I bear no financial responsibility for the outcomes of your trades.
Bitcoin Short Setup at Key Daily ResistanceIn this analysis, you will find a clear scenario for a potential short setup with precise conditions for confirmation and invalidation. No fluff or guesswork—only institutional analysis of capital footprints and pure price action. I will provide updates for every stage of price interaction with the POI in near real-time, so you can make timely trading decisions, not just observe events after the fact.
Context: What Happened Before?
Bitcoin has perfectly played out Scenario 2 from my previous long analysis. After the liquidity sweep below, which confirmed that the instrument is locked in a large global range, it began an aggressive, correction-less rally. This is often the case after absorbing a large amount of liquidity, which essentially became the fuel for this rise.
The Short Setup
To break out of the range to the upside (or at least make a deviation above it), Bitcoin must overcome the first serious resistance zone. This zone consists of:
The 78.6% Fibonacci level from the daily structure.
Liquidity from the Previous Week's High (PWH).
My plan is to look for a short position if we see a reversal reaction from this zone after the liquidity is taken. The minimum target for this move would be the lower boundary of the range and the daily order block located there. This local move inside the range can be seen as a shorting opportunity.
Invalidation of the Short Scenario:
A break of the 78.6% level with the price closing firmly above it would cancel the short scenario. In that case, Bitcoin would likely continue its move towards the next resistance level.
Bitcoin - An Epic Move Awaits!Bitcoin gained 13% in H1 2025, outperforming Ethereum and Solana, which dropped ~25% and ~17% respectively—highlighting BTC's strength in turbulent market conditions.
Institutional wedge: spot-BTC ETFs saw huge inflows—BlackRock’s took in $336M, and total crypto product inflows approached $45B+ this year.
AI models foresee BTC holding $105K+ by end-June, with ChatGPT pointing to $118K and Grok forecasting $108K, based on momentum and ETF flows.
We see BTC holding the 20 MA and spiking to new all time highs.
DeGRAM | BTCUSD once again trading above $105k📊 Technical Analysis
● Fresh bounce off the confluence of the 8-month up-sloping purple trend-line and 102-103 k green demand box prints a higher-low inside the rising wedge, keeping bulls in control despite June’s pull-back.
● Price is reclaiming the minor down-trend line from the 12 Jun high; a daily close above 106 k confirms a bear-trap and unlocks the 111.8-112.5 k supply at the wedge cap.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Spot-ETF desks absorbed >5 400 BTC in the last three sessions while exchange reserves fell to a four-year low, signalling supply drain.
● Cooling US PCE expectations trimmed real yields, and Mt Gox repayment delays ease overhang fears—both supportive for risk assets.
✨ Summary
Long 102–104 k; hold above 106 k targets 111.8 k → 115 k. Bull thesis void on a 16 h close below 99 k.
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BTC - Bullish SOON!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
BTC has been in a correction phase, and it feels like it's taking forever! ⏳
As long as the blue trendline holds, the overall bias remains bullish. 📈
As BTC approaches the blue trendline—perfectly aligning with a demand zone and support—we'll be watching for trend-following longs to catch the next big impulse move upward. 🚀
For now, we wait! ⏳
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTC Preparing for Final Sweep Before Breakout?I’m currently waiting for a long opportunity on BTCUSDT. Price is consolidating in a range, and I believe we’re approaching the final support zone within this structure. The key area I’m watching is the 4H imbalance zone between ~102,968 and ~104,535, which also aligns with a strong structural support level.
I expect price to sweep this area, potentially triggering stop-losses below recent lows and then show a bullish reaction If confirmed, I’ll look to enter long targeting the liquidity resting around 108,762.
I’ll be watching closely for a reaction and confirmation
A Comprehensive Analysis !!!This market has shown disregard for technical patterns, and every time the price approaches historically significant levels, it reveals its true intentions and disappoints us. This cycle tends to repeat.
In my opinion, we’re likely to see one more drop in Bitcoin’s price. After that, instead of continuing the expected downtrend from the pattern, the price could break the descending formation and experience a strong upward move.
Stay Awesome , CobraVanguard.
BTC/USDT.P ShortMy Trade Thesis & Rationale:
Here is my thinking on this short setup. I believe this is a high-confluence opportunity where the price action aligns perfectly with what I'm seeing in the underlying market dynamics.
1. The Big Picture (Daily/4H Context):
Price is currently operating at a major historical resistance zone ($110k+). This level has acted as a "ceiling" multiple times, making it a high-probability area for sellers to step in.
I've noticed that momentum on the 4-hour chart has clearly stalled, which to me signals buyer exhaustion after the last run-up.
2. The Tactical Setup (1H/15M Price Action):
After stalling at the highs, the price formed a clear distribution range on the 1-hour chart—a sign that sellers were likely absorbing the remaining buying pressure.
✅ THE TRIGGER: My entry is based on a decisive, high-volume breakdown below the key support of this range at $107,300. This breakdown was followed by what I see as a weak, low-volume retest, confirming buyer weakness and offering a prime entry.
3. My Logic:
🎯 TARGET: I've set my take profit at $106,800 because it's located within a dense pool of long liquidations. I believe these levels often act as a strong magnet for price.
❌ INVALIDATION: My stop loss at $107,550 is placed just above the broken structure. If the price reclaims this level, my bearish breakdown thesis would be proven wrong, and it's my signal to get out.
Evening BTC Trend Analysis and Trading SuggestionsLet's review this afternoon's market performance. The BTC price, as we anticipated, rebounded to around 109,000 in the afternoon before plummeting sharply. Living up to "Black Friday", this violent drop was well within our expectations. In the afternoon's live trading, we also reminded everyone that as long as there was a rebound to the upper zone, it was a good opportunity to go short. This drop has created a space of nearly 1,500 points. Currently, the BTC price has pulled back to around 107,800.
From the current 4-hour K-line chart, after a strong upward surge, the market encountered significant resistance near the upper track of the Bollinger Bands. As bullish momentum gradually faded, the price started to come under pressure and decline, suggesting that the short-term upward trend may come to a temporary halt. At present, the market has recorded multiple consecutive candlesticks with large bearish bodies. The price has not only effectively broken below the key support level of the Bollinger Bands' middle track but also caused the Bollinger Bands channel to switch from expanding to narrowing, indicating that market volatility is decreasing. In terms of trading volume, it showed a moderate increase during the price pullback, which further confirms the authenticity of the bearish selling pressure.
BTCUSD
sell@108000-1085000
tp:107000-106000
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BTC - Testing Trendline Here is an update to our previous post:
Zoom into the lowertime frame (1H) here is a zoomed in look at what is going on. Right now BTC just tested the trendline we pointed out in the last post. As you can see we have many touchpoints of support on this trendline (green arrows). Very important to monitor BTC's price action around this trendline.
If price is to lose this level then we would want to watch our fib target of $103k. If price can continue to hold it as support then a move back to test the red trendline is likely.
Bitcoin Short-Term Outlook – Coming Week📈 Bitcoin Short-Term Outlook – Coming Week
Currently, Bitcoin is expected to gather liquidity around the $106,000 zone, potentially initiating a move toward the $110,000 resistance level.
This area will be crucial in determining the next directional move.
🔍 The market's reaction around $110,000 will be closely monitored, and the analysis will be updated once that level is reached.
📌 Note: This outlook is based on current market conditions and may require adjustments if sentiment or price structure changes.
BTC Prediction This is a Bitcoin price chart with a potential short entry strategy. The chart shows a resistance level at 252.53, and a support level, indicating a key point for price movement. The entry for the short trade is marked at 108,126.76, with a target price of 107,000. The stop loss is placed at 108,126.76, suggesting a minimal risk for the trade. The chart also highlights the target value and a potential loss scenario.
BTC - Daily Chart - Bull flag route 7/1/2025July 1st, 2025
BTC - Daily Chart
A bull flag route = Two Scenarios
1. Breakout - UP
- Retrace before the $105k area
- Consolidate
- Break out the top line
SL $104k
TP1 @ 108k
TP2 @ 111k
Final TP @ 113k NEW ATH
2. Fail support - DOWN
- 105k fail to support
- Aim for the button of the flag for support
SL $106k
TP @100k
Final TP @96k
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-07-01 19:30 UTCA bullish trade opportunity was identified after price action formed a Piercing Line candlestick pattern, signaling a potential reversal from recent lows.
🔹 Technical Overview:
Entry Price: 105,869.86 USDT
Take Profit (TP): 106,939.86 USDT
Stop Loss (SL): 104,669.86 USDT
200 EMA: 106,320.49 USDT (Price is trading below — potential dip-buy opportunity)
Pattern Detected: Piercing Line (bullish reversal)
🔹 Volume Context:
Recent candles showed moderate volume with signs of buyer interest increasing.
OBV trend has turned slightly positive, supporting a short-term bullish case.
🔹 Order Flow:
Price action is showing signs of recovery from a local support zone.
Some imbalance in the order book tilted toward buyers, with supportive bid liquidity observed.
This setup combines trend deviation, bullish price action, and support reaction, creating a favorable risk-to-reward scenario. Trade is now active and being monitored toward the defined TP level, with strict stop-loss protection in place.
The Pattern That Could Launch Bitcoin, pt. 2There appears to be an IH&S pattern forming inside of the larger IH&S's right shoulder (see my previous post for the larger one). I've seen this happen a few times and then a break out upwards! Results may vary of course lol.
If it drops from here support could be at around $102k and then $100,500.
BTC/USDT – Trade Review & New Plan (15m, Ichimoku) by RiscoraYesterday’s short setup didn’t work out as planned — stop-loss was hit as bulls showed strong momentum. However, I still believe that a move to the yellow block (downside liquidity zone) is possible, and the idea remains valid.
The main mistake was with the stop placement, not the scenario itself. After taking a loss, I’m more cautious: reducing risk, lowering position size, and entering with less conviction. Bulls were dominant yesterday, so I’m keeping my risk tight on this trade.
I’ll take the setup again, but with a more conservative approach. If price breaks and holds above my stop-loss level, it will confirm a shift in sentiment to bullish, and I’ll look to flip my bias accordingly.
Key points:
Previous short was stopped out — reviewing risk
Still see potential for a move to the yellow block
Lower risk, smaller size after a loss
If price holds above stop, trend flips bullish
Let’s see how this plays out.
#BTC #Crypto #Trading #Ichimoku #Riscora