BTCUSDT.5L trade ideas
BTC TRrade Plan 08/06/2025Dear Traders,
📊 BTC/USDT 4H Analysis – June 8, 2025
Bitcoin is currently testing the upper boundary of a descending wedge pattern. We are monitoring two main bullish scenarios:
🔹 ALT 1: If the price breaks above the wedge resistance and holds, a continuation towards the $115,000–$120,000 zone is likely. This would confirm the breakout and a potential new bullish leg.
🔹 ALT 2: In case of a rejection from the current resistance, we expect a retracement toward the demand zone around $100,000–$101,600. If price action remains bullish in this zone, this could be a strong re-entry point for long positions.
🟥 Invalidation: A confirmed breakdown and consolidation below $100,000 would invalidate the bullish outlook and open the door to deeper corrections.
⚠️ Wait for confirmation and observe price action in key zones before entering any trades.
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Regards,
Alireza!
VSA vs BTC: Into a Bearish Scenario or Not?Predicting the market requires skill.
Most traders fail at one crucial point: they don’t see the market as a living, breathing organism—a structure where one move leads to another, like cause and effect in motion.
That’s what we often call reading the psychology of the market. When you begin to grasp the fundamental principles behind that, you step into the realm of elite traders.
And yes—Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) is a powerful tool, but only if you know how to read it properly.
I’m not a certified trader or financial advisor, and I don’t give signals, entries, or exits. I’m simply a solo observer, sharing a slice of what true technical and fundamental analysis looks like.
And yes—it takes time. It takes skills. Now, if we want to even attempt predicting the future of price action, we must understand something: A chart is not a single truth. It’s a battlefield of conflicting signals.
Patterns, marks, levels—some suggest bullish continuation, others hint at sharp reversals. Confusion is inevitable if you don’t learn to distinguish which signs matter.
In our current BTC chart, we’re witnessing this contradiction unfold clearly:
• A bullish flag formation...
• Yet within it, the emerging completion of a Head & Shoulders pattern!
How arrogant can the market be! 😄
A moment to laugh—but also a moment to observe how cleverly the crowd is misled.
This is classic manipulation, wrapped in a textbook setup.
But what’s most telling isn’t the pattern on the surface—it’s the volume beneath the structure.
It’s always the quiet details that speak the loudest.
Before price shows its true face, volume often leaves footprints. In our case, those footprints were already leading toward a bearish path—long before the structure began to shape itself clearly.
So while retail eyes focused on the bullish flag, the underlying volume had already begun withdrawing support.
Not aggressively—no. Subtly, almost elegantly, in that familiar way institutions mask intention:
• Spikes that don’t hold
• Buying that doesn’t follow through
• And a steady fade in commitment as price climbs into weakness
It’s in those quiet inconsistencies where VSA earns its value.
It tells us: the move isn’t about what’s obvious.
It’s about what never fully materialized.
So yes, the pattern may still remain incomplete. The Head & Shoulders may yet fail to validate.
But for those who were watching volume first—not structure—the script was already being written.
✒️ From now on, professionally speaking, we must still wait:
• For the Head & Shoulders to confirm or dissolve. So eyes targeted at the swing low level near 107k
• And for volume to either legitimize or invalidate the entire setup
Only then does the chart grant us permission to speak in certainties.
🐾 But so far…
• The clues have favored the bears.
• Sell opportunities appeared early and often—for those who know what to look for.
• Bullish spikes in volume? They were met with silence.
• Momentum fizzled under a macro backdrop of fading demand.
If you were in the right mindset, and aligned even the lower timeframes to basic structural zones,
you already saw the path ahead wasn’t being carved by the bulls.
Let them finish the patterns.
Let the candles paint the story.
But for those trained in volume, the ink has already dried.
And if you're still reading, maybe you already sense it—
real insight doesn’t shout, and it never floats in abundance.
Value has never been about noise. It’s about what’s rare, quiet, and overlooked by the crowd.
Just like in the markets—the true signals aren’t loud, and they’re never free in the economic sense.
Just as price rises where supply thins, the same applies here:
what’s scarce... holds weight.
PS For last A little exercise, something to grasp on. Have you noticed how Volume & RSI behaves in lower time frames? 4Hour or 1Hour for example. Can you identify how volume confirms a bearish move. Do you discover the correct correlation and combined use between VSA & RSI. Remember my previous insight
See you next time!
Forecast for BTC. New ATH on July ? In my opinion , BTC have 2 scenario .
1. Price will retest area 104-106k and retest previous ATH and then go up
2. Price will retest area 98-104k and retest previous ATH and then go up
3. In my opinion , BTC will not go down below 100k .
Now BTC can make a bullish flag pattern , but not valid yet
But anything can happen , so DYOR
bearish engulfing candleA bearish engulfing candle is a two-candlestick pattern in technical analysis that suggests a potential reversal of an uptrend to a downtrend. It consists of a small bullish (white or green) candlestick followed by a larger bearish (black or red) candlestick that completely engulfs the body of the first candle. This pattern indicates a shift in market sentiment, with selling pressure overpowering buying pressure and potentially leading to lower prices.
Title: BTC at the Upper Trendline – Breakout or Breakdown IncomiTechnical Analysis (4‑Hour Timeframe)
🔺 Upper Trendline Resistance: BTC is touching the upper line of a descending channel—firm resistance around 107.5k–108k.
📉 Bearish Pressure: Failing to break out here could trigger a downward move.
🔻 Key Support: A decisive break below 99.5k–100k opens the path to 98k–95k, and potentially down to 92k if trend weakness persists
🔺 Bullish Scenario: If BTC closes above 108k on 4h, it could rally toward 110k–112k
binance.com investopedia.com binance.com
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Geopolitical volatility (U.S.–Iran/Israel tensions) drove BTC briefly below 99k, low of 98.2k, before bouncing back near 101.2k
Volume & momentum: RSI dropped with the dip; watching volume near critical levels like 107k–108k is key
BTC midterm plan possibility
The current Bitcoin chart shows a P.O.3 pattern formation. Looking at the price targets, we can see a clear path to $100,000, which stands as a major psychological price level. The ongoing A-B-C pattern structure supports this price movement. If Bitcoin successfully breaks through the $100k level, we could potentially see an extension to around $120,000. After January, there's a strong possibility of a bullish trend that could help reach these targets, though this remains speculative and uncertain. Market movements depend on various factors, so always do your own research before making any investment decisions.This is one of the scenarios.Other way is going beyond 85k strongly and make pull back or continuation pattern (sideways)after that reach 100k.
Bitcoin Holding Above $100K – Bullish Bias IntactIn my previous analysis, I mentioned that a daily close below $100K would trigger a short bias. However, price closed above the $100K level, sweeping liquidity and rejecting the downside.
This move invalidates the bearish setup and confirms a bullish continuation. Market structure remains intact, and we're now looking for potential long setups on retests or pullbacks.
Key Points:
Liquidity sweep below $100K
Daily close above key support
Bullish structure remains valid
Watching for continuation targets and retests
📍 Stay patient and follow price action. Structure never lies.
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #LiquiditySweep #BullishContinuation #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #CryptoTA
Everyone Talks Charts — But the Order Book Knows FirstHello, Traders! 🤓
Everyone watches the chart. But not everyone watches the market itself. If you’ve ever wondered why the price suddenly jumps or stalls just below resistance, you’re likely looking at the surface, not the structure underneath. And that’s precisely what DOM in trading helps to reveal.
What Is DOM Trading?
Let’s start with the basics. DOM stands for Depth of Market, which shows real-time limit buy and sell orders at different price levels. Some traders call this the trading DOM. Unlike a candlestick, which tells you what already happened, the DOM trading view shows what participants intend to do. This makes it useful for those trying to understand short-term moves, liquidity pressure, or even the psychology behind a specific level.
So if you’re asking, “What is DOM in trading?” or “How does DOM work in crypto?” – it’s essentially a live x-ray of the market’s limit order book.
Order Book Trading in Crypto
The order book, the live list of buy and sell orders, acts like a constantly updating roadmap of trader intentions. In order book trading, it’s not just the numbers that matter but how they shift. For example, traders often notice thick sell walls near round numbers (e.g., $70,000 BTC), sudden order pulls, which can fake out breakout traders, and absorption, where big buy/sell orders are filled silently, without noticeable price change… When analyzed properly, this behavior gives context to price action, something traditional indicators can’t always offer.
How to Use Crypto Trendlines… and Then Watch DOM
Drawing trendlines in crypto is common. Everyone has their version of a breakout setup.
But what happens when the price reaches that line? That’s where DOM trading shines.
It doesn’t predict whether the line will hold or break, but it shows whether liquidity is building or backing away right at the critical moment. The combination of crypto trendlines and DOM behavior often exposes subtle market dynamics, a large bid appearing just as price touches support, for instance, or offers vanishing before a breakout.
That’s not about strategy. It’s about market structure awareness, watching both the levels and the surrounding behavior.
Chart vs DOM: Two Sides of the Same Story
The crypto psychology chart tells you what’s happened — highs, lows, closes. The DOM, on the other hand, shows live trader psychology. And that’s where the psychology of crypto trading gets interesting.
When everyone’s waiting for BTC to hit $100K, for example, you might already see: Buyers are stacking bids at $95K, hoping for a retrace. Sellers layering offers at $99.9K, defending the level. And the sudden orders near $100K, a possible trap. In this way, round numbers in trading aren’t just emotional, they’re structurally significant. Especially in crypto, where the market cap is still heavily influenced by sentiment.
Final Thought
Some traders find it useful to spend a few sessions just observing the DOM. Psychological numbers in trading, like $10K, $20K, or even the famous 100K BTC milestone, are often surrounded by unusual order book behavior. So, the next time price seems to move “out of nowhere,” ask yourself: Was it really out of nowhere… or did the DOM in trading already whisper it?
You don’t need to trade based on it. But knowing how to draw trendlines in crypto and then pairing that with DOM behavior can offer a sharper view of where the market might hesitate, reverse, or run. Sometimes, seeing how others are placing their bets matters more than where. What do you think?
BTC is breaking out of a falling channel 🚀
Bitcoin has pushed strongly off the lower boundary and is approaching the top of a descending parallel channel on the daily chart 📈
A confirmed breakout could lead to a continuation rally toward key upside targets ✈️
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ $111,233.01
2️⃣ $114,942.31
3️⃣ $118,490.33
Weekly trading plan for BitcoinLast week price action showed a local correction before reaching the first target. This week, we may see a deeper pullback before the next targets are hit and ATH is revisited. In this idea I marked the important levels for this week
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
Bitcoin Offensive plan for S/R, risk-on scenario confirmed__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
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Momentum : Strong across all timeframes, driven by the Risk On / Risk Off Indicator (“Strong Buy” bias from 1D to 1H).
Key Supports : 98–100k remains the crucial zone to defend. Interim supports at 103.6k and 106k.
Major Resistances : 107–110k critical cluster, intermediate resistance at 108.2k.
Volume : Normal to moderately increasing volumes on all timeframes, short-term spike at 15min (caution warranted).
Multi-TF behavior : No signs of euphoria or capitulation except for 15min (behavioral overheating & high volume detected).
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Strategic Summary
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Structural bias : Strong bullish, confirmed by technical and sector data.
Opportunities : Pullback entries at 107–107.5k, trend-following plans on validated breakouts >108.2k/109.9k.
Risk zone : Major break under 106k then 103.6k = invalidation, watch for seller excess (ISPD)/extreme volume on 15min.
Macro catalyst : No major event expected; wait & see climate, caution around Middle East geopolitical headlines.
Action plan : Buy support, monitor breakout/volume, stop-loss below 106k then 99k.
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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1D – 12H – 6H : Durable bullish structure, price capped below 107–110k, momentum confirmed by Risk On / Risk Off Indicator (“Strong Buy”), no volume climax, healthy volume. 98–100k supports remain crucial.
4H – 2H – 1H – 30min : Aligned uptrend, no sell signals. Pullbacks absorbed at 103.6–107.5k pivots. 108.2k–109.9k breakout is pivotal, volumes healthy outside 15min.
15min : Emerging behavioral excess (ISPD = Sell), very high volume → risk of short-term overheat, avoid chasing without validation.
Summary : Bullish multi-timeframe confluence, but caution on ultra-short-term excess and geopolitical news flow.
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Synthesis & Strategic Plan
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Directional bias : Structurally bullish on all higher TFs, supported by Risk On / Risk Off Indicator, MTFTI, no major alert signals.
Action scenarios :
Buy pullback at 107–107.5k, SL below 106k (Swings) or below 107k (Scalps).
Confirmed breakout (vol./no behavioral excess) above 108.2–109.9k, targets >110k.
Risk/invalidation : Any break under 106k then 103.6k then 99k = bullish bias neutralized.
Risk management : Take partial profits on 109–110k extensions; avoid persistence if ISPD turns red & volumes spike on lower TFs.
Fundamental & on-chain factors : No macro catalyst, healthy consolidation, $99k–$100k on-chain supports decisive, breakout requires new inflows.
Decision summary:
Bias = Bullish, buy supports and validate breakouts with volume, watch for 15min excess and Middle East headlines. Strict SL below 106k/103.6k, risk-off below 99k. Partial profit taking on 109–110k extension. No immediate macro catalyst.
Lower highs / lower lows BTC....what will happen next?History doesn't repeat itself, but it certainly rhymes. Let's look at the BTC chart: lower highs, lower lows from double top. What have we seen in the past -> significant drops. Personally, I'm all for innovation and technology, but make no mistake that institutions are not blindly buying at the top and BTC is veering away from it's core principles after the financial crisis (there's still a middle man!). With this level of volatility and automated trading, there is bound to be a major pull back and it's starting to crack. Economic numbers are not horrible, but they are "lagging." Unemployment is not great with more layoffs being announced every day, interest rates are still high, unsecured debt is ultra high, and affordability is at 30-40 year low. Don't let the champagne effect of S&P fool you, things are NOT rosy!
Always do your own due diligence and all the best!
#BTC URGENT UDPATE Plus ALTCOINS Strategy.CRYPTOCAP:BTC UPDATE:
Bitcoin looks critical at the moment. The 50 EMA supports nearly $103K if this level breaks, we could see a drop toward $98.5K.
The current structure doesn’t look promising, and it’s wise to stay on the sidelines for now.
Altcoins may offer better opportunities once those lower levels are reached.
The strategy is to ladder in slowly when there are signs of reversal, until then we stay put!
Remember: nothing goes up forever, and nothing goes down forever.
Geopolitical tensions might be fueling this move, but I believe better days are ahead.
Stay patient.
Avoid high-leverage trades during this choppy, sideways price action.
Stay tuned, I’ll keep you updated the moment signs of a reversal appear.
Let me know what you think in the comment section and hit that like button if this post helped you in any way.
Thank you
#PEACE
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) - Price Testing Resistance after Morning StarBitcoin (BTCUSDT) price is currently testing the resistance zone of $105,000 to $110,000 (yellow lines).
A morning star candle pattern has formed above the 100 ema (orange line), which is also $100,000 price support.
Some bullish momentum is forming on the MACD Histogram, however, Bitcoin is still technically in a short-term downtrend for the past 30 days.
Bitcoin price needs to create a new uptrend on the daily chart, a series of higher-highs and higher-lows in the price, which could take several months.
At this time, Bitcoin is still reacting to global news and stock market correlations.