TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #63👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I want to review the futures session triggers for New York.
⏳ 1-Hour Time Frame
Yesterday, a short position could have been opened that might have already brought you good profit.
🔄 In yesterday’s analysis, I told you that if the price pulls back to the 85482 zone, gives a confirmation candle, and buying volume increases, you could open a long position. That didn’t happen—there was no confirmation candle, and the zone turned out to be a fake breakout.
👀 For a short position, I also mentioned that if the price fakes the breakout of this zone, you could enter a short position on lower time frames after the break of a short-term trigger, targeting 83233. This scenario played out exactly, and the price gave a trigger on lower time frames and dropped to 83233.
📉 But today we also have a trigger for opening a position, so don’t worry too much—you haven’t missed a lot. Yesterday’s position was opened in a risky context, and if you followed proper risk management, you shouldn’t have taken much risk on that position, and naturally, wouldn’t have made a large profit either.
🔑 A fake breakout of a box top indicates strong seller momentum, so currently, bearish momentum is stronger than bullish, and the price leans more toward decline. On the other hand, the 83233 zone is very significant, and the price has reacted to it several times, making it an important support zone.
📚 So, with that in mind, if the 83233 zone breaks, you can enter a short position. If, before breaking this zone, the price creates a lower high compared to 85482, we’ll have even more confirmation—because based on Dow Theory, when price fails to reach its previous high, it shows that buyers are weakening. So breaking the low, which overlaps with the 83233 support, gives us a very solid position.
💫 But an important point to consider is that the price formed several bullish legs before creating this box, so overall, the current market momentum is still more bullish, and all short positions carry more risk than long positions.
📈 For a long position, the 85482 zone remains a valid trigger, and if the price stabilizes above it, we might see the next bullish leg. Personally, I prefer that the price tests the 85482 zone once more so we can get a more accurate level, and then break it on a subsequent attempt, which would make opening a position easier.
✔️ Of course, even if the zone is broken on the first try, I’ll open a long position, but if it's broken on the second or third attempt, we can enter with more confidence and take more risk.
📊 After the range box was broken, market volume has been declining, and only a few candles have significant volume—these are considered outliers and can be ignored. So the most important thing is that if a trigger is activated, the volume should align with that direction and support the price move, showing convergence.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s take a look at Bitcoin dominance. It’s still bullish and, after breaking above 63.87, has continued its new bullish leg.
🧩 As a reminder, as long as BTC Dominance hasn’t changed trend or turned bearish on higher time frames like the daily or weekly chart, buying any altcoin isn’t logical. We need to wait for a trend change. For now, we see dominance as bullish, so long positions on Bitcoin and short positions on altcoins are suitable choices.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Now for Total2 analysis: yesterday, both short triggers I gave were activated, and the price moved downward.
🧲 Currently, a low has formed around the 932 zone, and if this zone breaks, the price could continue its downtrend. On the other hand, if the 947 zone breaks and the price moves back above it, we can consider opening a short-term long position in lower time frames.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let’s look at Tether dominance. Yesterday, I mentioned that dominance was interacting with the 5.39 zone and that if it breaks, the market could move upward.
🚀 But that didn’t happen—instead, the price moved upward and even broke above the 5.53 ceiling. Currently, it’s returning to its range box again and may head back toward the 5.39 level. If that zone breaks, we can still take it as a confirmation of a bearish shift in dominance.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTCUSDT.5L trade ideas
Waiting for a big boost for the market, over 90K BTC💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE (April 16)
First of all, congratulations to the investors. Everything went according to our trading plan and we had very good comments. Specifically, yesterday the price fell from the 86k area straight to 83k. We had more than 3000 prices together. Today's BTC trading plan did not change much.
NOTABLE NEWS ABOUT BTC:
According to Bloomberg, Bitcoin (BTC) mining hardware manufacturer Bitdeer is preparing to launch its own mining operation in the United States (US). The company intends to speed up the shipment of equipment following President Donald Trump's announcement of a 90-day tariff suspension. In addition, the pressure from tariffs has led to a decrease in Bitcoin mining hashrate among miners in the United States over the past month.
TECHNICAL VIEW
Bitcoin has faced multiple rejections around the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $85,000 since Sunday. On Tuesday, BTC attempted to break above this level but was rejected and fell 1.12%. At the time of writing on Wednesday, the price was hovering around $83,500.
If BTC closes above $85,000 on a daily basis, it could extend its rally to the psychologically important $90,000 level. A successful close above this level could extend the rally to test the March 2 high of $95,000.
Please continue to pay attention to the 84.2k resistance zone, this is an important resistance zone before we DCA to higher and more important areas
==> Comments are for reference only. Wish investors successful trading
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin is still struggling to break through the specified resistance zone.
As long as this resistance level remains unbroken, it is better to wait before entering a buy position. However, as long as Bitcoin does not fall below the specified support level, we can remain optimistic about its potential to rise.
Our outlook remains bullish, but we will wait for the breakout above the resistance before entering a buy. Once the level is broken, we will look for an opportunity to enter long positions.
Will Bitcoin break through resistance and continue higher? Share your thoughts below!
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Bitcoin Topped in January? Here’s Why That’s Not Crazy.The move BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P from November 2022 looks like a textbook impulse. The third wave extended perfectly to 1.618 of wave one — a classic sign of strength.
But here’s the big question: Did the impulse already end in January 2025?
If yes, we’re looking at a nearly ideal structure:
🔹 Wave 3 — extended to 1.618
🔹 Wave 5 ≈ Wave 1 (typical after an extended 3rd)
🔹 Fib zone 0.382–0.618 of wave 0–3 — perfectly hit
🔹 Sentiment — peak euphoria in January: BTC in national reserves, mass media hype
🔹 Volume spike — a sign of potential distribution at the top
📌 Possible scenarios:
1️⃣ The impulse is complete, and we’re already in a corrective phase — even if the market doesn’t realize it yet
2️⃣ A terminal diagonal is forming — ATH hasn’t been printed yet, but we’re likely close
3️⃣ A 5th wave extension — still possible, but less likely given current global liquidity and macro headwinds (trade war environment)
📊 Watch the 200-dayMA:
Historically, Bitcoin tends to stay below it for about 2 months during bull cycles.
That clock is ticking — the next few weeks may reveal the market’s true direction.
📈 A strong weekly close above $95K would sharply raise the odds of a new ATH.
Until then — monitor the local structure and wait for clarity.
[BTC] 2025.04.18Greetings. It’s a pleasure to reconnect with you.
Before diving into altcoin analysis, we believe it is essential to first address Bitcoin, as it remains the key driver in determining the overall market direction.
Since the beginning of 2025, Bitcoin has been in a prolonged consolidation phase accompanied by a downward trend. In an effort to identify a potential bottom for this correction, we have closely monitored the market over the past three months.
Initially, our team identified the period around March 10 as a likely inflection point for a bullish reversal and prepared a related analysis idea. However, we refrained from publishing it, as the movements of key altcoins—which typically serve as leading indicators—did not align with our internal criteria.
As anticipated, the market went on to form another low. We now believe that April 7 marked not just a temporary bounce, but a potential structural pivot point in the broader trend.
The rationale behind this assessment is outlined in detail below. We appreciate your time and hope you find the insights valuable.
We believe the logical starting point is to examine the key highs that have formed during this cycle.
Among the two major peaks—referred to here as “Point 1” and “Point 2”—it is critical to determine which marks the termination of the fifth wave. This distinction plays a pivotal role in accurately interpreting the subsequent wave structure.
If Point 1 is the conclusion of the fifth wave, then Point 2 can be naturally understood as the terminal point of a corrective B wave.
Conversely, if Point 2 represents the end of the fifth wave, then the decline that followed is likely the beginning of a corrective A wave.
To validate this, we conducted a detailed analysis based on Fibonacci retracement and extension ratios. The results showed that Point 2 did not align well with any major wave theory frameworks. Its price structure and time proportion appeared incomplete and inconsistent.
In contrast, Point 1 exhibited a high degree of confluence with multiple classical wave theories, including Glenn Neely’s NEoWave principles. Structurally, it demonstrated the typical characteristics of a completed five-wave advance.
Based on this evidence, we conclude that Point 1 is the more valid candidate for the fifth wave termination. Consequently, we believe any analysis of the current market structure should build upon this interpretation.
To further clarify the interpretation of the key peak,
we present two possible scenarios using Fibonacci ratios as the analytical foundation.
These scenarios are illustrated as the red path and the blue path,
each representing a different wave development depending on the subsequent market movement.
However, the key takeaway is that both scenarios converge on a single conclusion:
“Point 1” marks the completion of a full wave cycle,
and can thus be identified as the termination point of the fifth wave.
While the detailed wave progression may evolve depending on how the market unfolds,
recognizing that a major top has already been established is essential for shaping any mid-to-long-term strategy.
This structural understanding serves as a critical anchor in the broader market outlook.
Having previously identified “Point 2” as the likely termination of the B wave,
our current focus shifts to pinpointing the end of the C wave—
in other words, the optimal buying zone within the corrective structure.
Our team initially regarded the period around March 10 as a strong candidate for the conclusion of the C wave.
However, due to insufficient synchronicity across the broader market—
particularly the lack of confirmation from key altcoins—
we concluded that this point did not represent a genuine inflection.
※ Our analysis is based not on individual coins but on a comprehensive structural assessment of the overall market.
As a result, we extended our observation period.
A clear and confident reversal signal was finally detected around April 7.
In hindsight, the March 10 low proved to be a false bottom, marked only by a temporary rebound,
whereas the true structural pivot materialized in early April.
With this in mind, we believe the market is now entering a phase where a full wave reversal is plausible,
and it is time to begin formulating a strategic entry plan in alignment with this outlook.
Now, let us evaluate whether the second low (April 7)
qualifies as the true termination point of the C wave.
From a technical standpoint, the preceding decline exhibits the hallmarks of an Ending Diagonal—
a classic pattern frequently observed at the conclusion of C waves.
This structure serves as a strong technical signal that the wave sequence is entering its final stage,
indicating not just a temporary rebound, but the potential for a structural trend reversal.
Considering both the wave characteristics and the timing context,
we believe there is sufficient evidence to regard the April 7 low not merely as a short-term bottom,
but as the culmination of the C wave—and more importantly, the starting point of a major reversal in the broader trend.
Finally, to further reinforce the technical foundation of our analysis,
we turn to harmonic pattern analysis.
By applying a range of Fibonacci ratios between the start and termination of the B wave,
we have identified a remarkably precise Deep Crab pattern—
one of the most powerful reversal signals among all harmonic structures.
Notably, the current price action has landed directly within the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone),
strongly suggesting that the timing for a strategic long position is ripe.
In summary, we now have a confluence of three compelling signals:
A clear Ending Diagonal structure at the tail end of the C wave,
A significant inflection point formed around April 7,
And a textbook Deep Crab harmonic pattern confirming the reversal zone.
These three elements align cohesively to provide a well-founded justification for initiating long exposure.
There is no longer a reason for hesitation.
Assuming appropriate risk management is in place,
we believe this is a moment to enter with confidence.
Thank you sincerely for reading this analysis in full.
We will continue to provide high-quality, data-driven market insights,
rooted in both structural depth and technical precision.
If our perspective resonates with your approach to the market,
we warmly invite you to follow our work and stay connected.
Your support and engagement are what fuel our continued efforts.
See you in the next idea.
Bitcoin crash back to $74,000I hope the chart is self explanatory as don't want to make this long. I added some trendlines for the visual learners.
Bitcoin did not meets its monthly correction target of $74000, we pump right before...Its not very wise to buy randomly- You want to buy at a key level for higher probability...If the bull run ought to continue. Don't you think for such a big move its more likely to react from important key levels where most the demand is waiting?
2ndly the weekly tf is still bearish. We flipped bullish on daily but price is high and struggling to clear 85k.
4hr already flipped back bearish.
Next point is that there is still a lot of uncertainty around tariffs, while market is not reacting to tariffs news as strongly as it did before its still factor of uncertainty. An important factor
Next point. In yesterdays Speech by Jerome powell he clearly stated that inflation likely to rise due to tariffs he also clearly stated they not ready to jump in and 'save the stock market' And he said they not looking to make any adjustments to interest rates at the moment. They still playing it cautious-waiting on more data.
For me the likely bottom signal when it comes to fundamental will be the lowering of interest rates.
On the bullish side, gold been making ATHs on a regular now and many are starting to speculate that bitcoin is next...that's a possibility but so far we haven't seen any strong sign of that narrative playing out in the chart.
I think this is 1 final trap before the actual continuation of the bull-run. For invalidation -I would like to see a very clear breakout out on the day and weekly closing above 89k with volume confirmation.
I called bitcoin top from December of last year with target of $74000. And its still in effect.
Now, let's see if am right again. I believe I am.
BTC SCENARIOS - LONG/SHORTThat's what I'm looking at in the near future.
Just some ideas :)
Bitcoin (BTC) – Digital Currency / Decentralised Asset
Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer digital currency designed for secure, transparent, and decentralised transactions without the need for intermediaries. Often referred to as "digital gold," BTC is the first and most widely adopted cryptocurrency, used globally for trading, investing, and storing value. It operates on blockchain technology, ensuring immutable, public ledger verification.
Bitcoin's latest strategy analysisUpon analyzing the daily chart, I spotted a falling wedge pattern and a confirmed breakout above its upper boundary.
The final hurdle for buyers is the resistance level between 8,7478 and 88799 on a daily chart.
If the bulls are able to surpass and close above this level, it will be a significant bullish signal.
This could lead to a continuation of the bullish trend, possibly reaching the next resistance level.
Market overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week we reached a significant sell area. At the moment, there were strong volume anomalies from the seller. Our main scenario was a correction. But by the middle of the week, after a prolonged flat, the seller began to weaken noticeably. Attempts to update the local minimum didn’t bring results. The scenario was rearranged in the direction of long-range movement.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
We’ve already updated the local maximum on an increased volume.
The main priority is long. After updating the $88,800 extreme, the road to $95,000 will be opened. At the same time, the price of $87,000 will act as a support level for a decline. At the moment, strong buyer activity is recorded on it.
Sell Zones:
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volume),
$97,500–$98,400 (initiative volume pushing upward),
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies).
Buy Zones:
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume),
$82,700–$81,400 (high-volume area),
Level at $74,800,
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume).
IMPORTANT DATES
The macroeconomic events this week:
• Wednesday, April 23, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of business activity indices in the US manufacturing and services sectors for April;
• Wednesday, April 23, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of data on new home sales in the United States for March;
• Thursday, April 24, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States;
• Thursday, April 24, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of sales in the secondary housing market in the United States for March.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
BTC New Update (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
We are now within the red circle from the previous analysis, but it seems that wave e of the pattern has extended a bit further.
There’s a clear order block on the chart, and below this order block, there is a liquidity pool. We expect a reaction to the red zone
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
What to consider when trading...
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
This is my personal opinion, so it may differ from yours.
Please keep this in mind.
-
So, how should I proceed with day trading?
When trading day trading, the first thing to consider is the trading volume.
Coins (tokens) with low trading volume should be avoided because volatility can occur in an instant, making it difficult to respond quickly and likely to result in losses.
Therefore, if possible, it is recommended to choose coins (tokens) with high trading volume.
The next thing to consider is the price of the coin (token).
If the price of the coin (token) becomes too high or too low, even if you sell it for profit, you may incur a loss.
Therefore, when trading a coin (token) with a very high price, you should trade with a longer time frame.
In other words, the increase should be high.
When trading a coin (token) with a very low price, you need to be persistent.
This is because the amount you want to trade is large, so the rise or fall may be slow.
The next thing to consider is the size of your trading funds.
If your trading funds are too small, you may not be able to enjoy trading because you will earn too little profit compared to the stress of trading.
If you lose the fun of trading like this, you will have difficulty continuing to trade or you will likely leave the investment market, so you need to be careful.
If you set the trading fund size too high, you can suffer a big loss with one mistake, so you must set a stop loss point and keep it.
You can find out how much trading fund size is right for you by looking at your psychological state when you trade.
If you think you are trading too boldly, it is better to think that the trading fund size is small and increase it little by little.
If you feel extremely anxious when you trade and incur a loss, it is better to reduce the trading fund size little by little.
-
(BTCUSDT 30m chart)
Considering the above considerations (trading volume, price, trading fund size), you should continuously observe the selected coin (token) chart to check the movement at the support and resistance points.
To do this, you need to check whether there is support at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts when you meet the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, which can be the basis for starting a transaction, or when you have a trading strategy.
Usually, when the Trend Cloud indicator shows an upward trend while receiving support near the HA-Low indicator and rising, there is a high possibility of rising.
Therefore, you should consider whether to buy when the HA-Low indicator shows support.
And, when the HA-High indicator touches and falls, there is a high possibility of falling when the Trend Cloud indicator shows a downward trend.
Therefore, the area near the HA-High indicator corresponds to the first selling section.
In this way, you can conduct transactions within the sideways section trading within the HA-Low ~ HA-High section.
Then, when there is a movement that falls below the HA-Low indicator or rises above the HA-High indicator, you can conduct a transaction according to the trend.
Therefore, split trading is essential.
The basics of split trading are to sell half when you make a profit and set the stop loss at the principal price for the remaining half.
-
This is something everyone knows, but it is not easy to follow.
Also, there are times when it is difficult to decide what to use as the standard for trading.
In such cases, as I mentioned, I recommend that you choose a coin (token) considering the trading volume, price, and trading fund size and continuously check the movement of the chart.
Even if you are not familiar with chart analysis, if you continuously look at the chart, there is a possibility that you will see movement.
However, you need prior knowledge on how to set the stop loss point.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
BTC IN WEEKLY, 122K IN THE END OF 2025 ?By looking the chart in the weekly timeframe, we can see we are ccompleting minor wave(5) from main wave(3) . BTC will touch 120k before 2026 and then price will dump to 85k again and afer that price will start to pumping and its will end in 2026 by touching 138k . This is my opinion what's your idea?
RSI-Volume Momentum Signal Score: Trading the Momentum PressureThe indicator used in this chart is an updated version of the RSI-Volume Momentum Score.
The RSI-Volume Momentum Signal Score is a predictive technical indicator designed to identify bullish and bearish momentum shifts by combining volume-based momentum with the Relative Strength Index (RSI). It generates a Signal Score derived from:
• The divergence between short-term and long-term volume (Volume Oscillator), and
• RSI positioning relative to a user-defined threshold. The Signal Score is calculated as follows:
Signal Score = tanh((vo - voThreshold) / scalingFactor) * ((rsiThreshold - rsi) / scalingFactor)
The logic of this formula are as follows:
• If Volume Oscillator >= Volume Threshold and RSI <= RSI Threshold: Bullish Signal (+1 x Scaling Factor)
• If Volume Oscillator >= Volume Threshold and RSI >= (100 – RSI Threshold): Bearish Signal (-1 x Scaling Factor)
• Otherwise: Neutral (0)
The tanh function provides the normalization process. It ensures that the final signal score is bounded between -1 and 1, increases sensitivity to early changes in volume patterns based on RSI conditions, and prevent sudden jumps in signals ensuring smooth and continuous signal line.
This updated version Introduces colored columns (green and red bars) representing momentum pressure directly. These bars:
o Green bars represent bullish pressure when the signal score is +1.
o Red bars represent bearish pressure when the signal score is -1.
o The transition point from one color to another acts as a visual signal of momentum reversal.
LONG SIGNAL: A transition from green bar to red bar indicates that bullish pressure has reached a tipping point—price is likely to rise soon.
SHORT SIGNAL: A transition from red bar to green bar signals bearish pressure is peaking—potential price drop ahead.
These transitions become intuitive signals for bullish or bearish entries, depending on the context.