Bitcoin Major AB=CD in PlayFollowing repeated community requests, we’re updating our Bitcoin macro-outlook, which remains structurally aligned with our previously published projection (BTC Dips into Major Demand Zone)
a chart that precisely captured the major demand zone reaction and subsequent bullish impulse.
The newly updated chart illustrates a strong impulsive wave structure, supported by a well-defined corrective wave count, completing at the prior immediate demand zone (~$85K– GETTEX:89K ).
From this base, price action has resumed within a clearly impulsive structure, suggesting the possibility of an extended bullish fifth wave, potentially evolving into an ending diagonal pattern.
🔹 Immediate Focus:
$85K– GETTEX:89K zone is acting as a local support and re-accumulation area (immediate demand).
$102K resistance is a pivotal structural barrier. A confirmed breakout from this level will reinforce bullish continuation.
🔹 Pattern Target:
A potential AB=CD completion and Wave 5 termination zone are aligned between $147K–$154K, with Fibonacci projections and channel symmetry suggesting further upside extension to $160K–$170K under euphoric conditions.
With momentum building in alignment with the long-term bullish cycle structure. We should watch for retracement entries near demand levels, with invalidations below $73K.
Let us know your thoughts: are we in the final stretch towards BTC's macro top?
BTCUSDT.5L trade ideas
BTC - The power of fibonacci This is a textbook example of how institutional price delivery often unfolds when targeting liquidity and rebalancing inefficiencies. The current BTC 1H chart displays a high-probability short scenario developing after a liquidity sweep, combined with entry into a fair value gap (FVG) chain and Fibonacci-based premium pricing. Let’s break down the mechanics of this setup layer by layer.
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1. Liquidity Grab Above Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL)
The first major clue that institutional activity is at play is the clean sweep of Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) .
- A previous swing high acted as a magnet for liquidity, with stop-loss orders from short sellers and breakout entries from late longs accumulating above this level.
- Price pierced above it, only to immediately reverse—this is what we refer to as a liquidity grab , signaling engineered movement designed to fuel larger orders.
- This behavior often represents the conclusion of a bullish leg and the transition into a distribution phase or a bearish delivery sequence.
This sweep is not random; it's a deliberate market manipulation mechanism—classic of a “trap and reverse” pattern.
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2. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Chain: Imbalance as a Magnet
After rejecting above the BSL, price began retracing downward, but left behind multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) . These are inefficiencies between price candles where institutional orders did not fully fill.
- These FVGs now form what we call a “chain” or cluster, providing a roadmap for price to return and rebalance.
- The current move upward is revisiting this chain of inefficiencies, offering a potential re-entry zone for institutions to offload positions accumulated earlier.
- FVGs in premium zones (above equilibrium) are particularly potent—they align with institutional interest to sell at value.
This aligns with the concept that price often returns to inefficiencies before continuing its true direction—especially when paired with a prior liquidity grab.
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3. Golden Pocket and the Premium Zone Confluence
The retracement found a reaction at the Golden Pocket level (0.618–0.65 Fibonacci zone) , which is significant not just for its mathematical roots but for how frequently smart money uses it for mitigation and continuation entries.
- The zone lines up directly with the FVG chain, creating a powerful confluence zone where institutional footprints are likely to reappear.
- This area is within a clear premium pricing territory , above the 0.5 Fibonacci mark—ideal for distribution in bearish re-accumulation setups.
This convergence of technical signals bolsters the case that the current move upward is a mere retracement, not a genuine trend reversal.
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4. Market Structure Context
From a structural point of view:
- Price has transitioned from a range into a lower high formation after the BSL sweep.
- The series of lower highs and lower lows began forming after the grab, which implies a potential shift in short-term order flow.
Combine this with the FVG chain and the premium pricing—it paints a narrative of bearish continuation rather than trend expansion to the upside.
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5. Institutional Narrative: Engineering, Repricing, and Continuation
This setup is less about indicators and more about understanding narrative:
- Institutions engineered a liquidity sweep to fill large sell orders at premium pricing.
- The imbalance left behind (FVGs) serves as a “pullback magnet” before full bearish delivery.
- Price is currently delivering into that inefficiency, likely forming a redistribution schematic.
The most probable scenario, given this context, is a rejection within this zone and a continuation to the downside as price seeks to break internal structure and move toward sell-side liquidity (SSL) resting below.
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Conclusion:
This chart captures the essence of smart money price delivery:
- Sweep → Retrace → Mitigation → Continuation
The rejection from the FVG chain and golden pocket zone will be key to confirming this scenario. If price respects this confluence, expect bearish order flow to dominate the next sessions.
This is a high-quality setup based on narrative, structure, and liquidity—not random confluence, but a storyline of engineered movement and institutional footprints.
Bitcoin: $150K In May (Your Altcoins Choice & Market Update)Part 1 was titled, "Bitcoin $120,000 In April & $150,000 In May."
Do you think this is possible? We only have 8 days left for the month to be over, it would require a very strong advance for Bitcoin to trade at $120,000 this very same month.
Ok. It can happen but maybe not. Anything goes.
Bitcoin is now super bullish, ultra-bullish as it trades above $90,000.
Any buy below $80,000 is an awesome buy. Even buying Bitcoin below $90,000 would be a dream. That is how it will feel like for those joining the market in several months, but not all is lost.
Any buy below $100,000 is a great opportunity if you are focused on the long-term. Bitcoin is entering bull market territory and will grow for months, the biggest growth you've experience in years... The 2025 bull market.
Bitcoin is ultra bullish now confirmed, it will never trade below 80K.
This is the bullish phase that will change the financial world forever —Crypto is here to stay.
I am Bitcoin's #1 fan, please allow me to tell you so.
» Altcoins Market Update & Your Top Altcoins Choice
The market can shake and there can be doubt but Bitcoin will always recover and grow. The Altcoins right now are very strong.
The bullish bias has been confirmed, expect maximum growth. The Altcoins will be growing on average between 20-30X each by the end of the bull run. Some will grow 50-60X while others will grow 5-8X. Allow for strong variations.
Bottom prices are still available for some pairs but, once the action starts going these prices will be forever gone. The time to take action is now. A pair can trade at a price today and tomorrow it will be 100% up. There is no going back after that, so make sure to load up on the pairs you like the most.
Choose wisely, not everything will grow.
Some pairs can start growing within days while others can start growing within months. To avoid getting the stuck pairs you can always use a diversification strategy. Lower risk and higher potential for big reward.
Focus on the long-term. Think long-term. Buy and hold.
The strategy is very simple now: The bullish bias has been confirmed, higher highs and never new lows.
Never set a limit order as stop-loss (no stop-loss), instead, you can use a manual stop-loss or forget this tool altogether, you don't need it when the market is set to grow.
Visit my profile and read all the articles that I've been publishing in the past few days, it reveals all the bull market dynamics and the approach we need to take to achieve maximum success.
Your support is appreciated.
» Feel free to leave a comment with your favorite Altcoin and I will look for you into your chosen pair.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Soon again above 100K$(major supports are 90K & 87K)The market is now bullish as it was expected after breakout of red trendline and now we may have short-term correction to test new supports like 90K$ and 87K$ or without any correction:
more pump soon will pump price to extremely bullish zone above 100K$.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
HelenP. I Bitcoin can rebound up from support zone to $96KHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. After breaking out of a prolonged sideways movement, the price entered a confident bullish phase that changed the market rhythm. This breakout came after the price consolidated for several days within the 83700 - 83000 support zone. During that period, the price formed a reliable foundation, and the trend line confirmed its strength, consistently holding the lower boundary of the structure. Once the price escaped this consolidation box, bulls quickly seized control, pushing BTC upward with strong momentum. The move took Bitcoin above the 94000 area, where it started to slow down and form a local peak. Now the price is pulling back, heading toward the nearest support zone between 92200 and 91600 points. This area matches Support 1 and historically acted as a zone of high buyer interest. Given the proximity of the trend line and the strength of this support zone, I expect that BTCUSDT will rebound after this correction. That's why I set my goal at 96000 points, a realistic target if the support holds and BTC resumes upward movement. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BITCOIN - Price can exit from wedge and rise to $100K levelHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price reached resistance line of triangle and then, in a short time, declined to $80300 level.
Price broke $92000 level and then some time traded inside triangle, where it reached this level again and then corrected.
Later BTC exited from triangle and entered to wedge, where it first declined below $80300 level, but later turned back.
Then it continued to move up inside wegde, where it later made correction to support line and then rose to $92000 level.
Soon, price broke this level and even reached resistance line of wegde, after which it corrected and continues to rise.
Possibly, price can bounce up from support area to $100K, thereby exiting from wedge pattern.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
BITCOIN → Consolidation or reversal? Why is $ 95000 important?BINANCE:BTCUSD held up quite strongly during the tariff war and largely weathered the storm, while the stock market and indices were in free fall. The improvement in the fundamental situation has once again heightened interest in the asset among traders and investors.
Earlier, I pointed out that against the backdrop of falling markets (due to Trump's policies and tariff wars), Bitcoin is holding up fairly well. It cannot be compared to gold, which maintains its status as a safe haven, but overall it has stayed out of the 73K risk zone.
Countries are continuing negotiations in the US, which generally points to an improvement in the trade situation, but all attention remains on relations between China and the US, and a resolution may be close.
Technically, on the daily/weekly timeframe, the price has broken through the trend resistance and the asset has moved from the sell zone to the buy zone, which in general only increases interest in the flagship. Bitcoin is stuck in the 95K-92K range. A false breakout of resistance provokes a correction, and now we need to monitor the price and see where the correction will stop. This will show us important support that could become the basis for consolidation.
Resistance levels: 95K, 100K, 102.5K
Support levels: 93.5, 92.9, 92, 91K
To break through 95K and continue growing, Bitcoin must form consolidation. There is none at the moment, and a correction and halt may indicate the approximate boundaries of consolidation. However, the focus is on 95 - 93.5 - 92K. If the price manages to stay within the local boundaries and continues to storm the 95K resistance, we will have a chance for a breakthrough and continued growth to 100K. Otherwise, Bitcoin may form a deeper correction, for example to 91-88K
Best regards, R. Linda!
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #69👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indices. As usual, I’ll walk you through the futures session triggers for New York.
🔄 Yesterday’s Analysis
In yesterday’s analysis, the 87562 trigger was activated and could have been used to open a long position. Initially, this trigger was faked out with a large candle pulling the price back below the level. However, after a pullback to the SMA25, strong bullish momentum entered the market, and 87562 was broken.
⚡️ The next resistance that the price reacted to was 88502, where several candles stalled just below this level. Now it looks like the price is attempting to stabilize above it.
⏳ 1-Hour Time Frame
As you can see, after the breakout of 87562, a solid bullish momentum entered the market, and volume also increased. The RSI oscillator has been hovering near 70, which has supported a gradual upward move. Currently, the price has broken above 88502.
✔️ At the moment, the price trigger is considered active, and there are no significant resistances immediately ahead. However, since RSI hasn’t yet entered Overbuy, the kind of strong momentum that can push the price toward 92000 hasn't fully kicked in — and that’s why we haven’t seen a big sharp candle yet.
💡 For a long position, keep a close eye on the break of RSI 70. If RSI breaks this level, it could trigger a strong upward move to 92000, and you’ll want to be positioned for that.
🔽 For a short position, as I’ve mentioned before, we still need to wait for a clear trend reversal and the emergence of bearish momentum. Personally, I won’t open any shorts until that happens — no active short triggers at the moment.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
BTC dominance continues its upward move. If it breaks above 64.60, it could extend its bullish leg further.
📈 As a result, today a Bitcoin long looks more logical than long positions on altcoins.
📅 Total2 Analysis
The Total2 index is currently breaking above 980, and alongside this move, you might consider opening a position on one of the altcoins. If the index stabilizes above 980, it could signal an opportunity for a long-term long position.
🧩 As for bearish setups, we’ll need to wait until there’s a momentum shift in the overall market.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
As I mentioned before, the entire market was waiting on the break of 5.39 in USDT.D — and that level was finally broken. Yesterday, the price pulled back to this level and then continued downward, breaking below 5.32 and even 5.24, a significant support level.
📉 Right now, I don’t have a specific trigger to offer, as the market is moving sharply. But keep an eye on altcoins, because many of them still haven’t activated their triggers yet.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC - Bulls Charging... However!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
As per our last analysis (attached on the chart), BTC rejected the blue trendline support and has been bullish in the medium term. 📈
However, the overall sentiment remains bearish, as BTC is still trading within the falling channel marked in red. 📉
For the bulls to take over long term and initiate the next impulsive wave, a break above the $91,000 major high in blue is needed. 🔵
Meanwhile, BTC may still retest the blue trendline — where we’ll be looking for new short-term longs. 🎯
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #72👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to Bitcoin analysis and the major crypto indexes. As usual, in this analysis, I’ll be reviewing the New York futures session triggers for you.
🔄 Yesterday’s Analysis
In yesterday’s analysis, I gave you a long trigger and said that if the price is supported at the 92007 area and moves toward 94283, you can enter the position after the breakout. This has happened now, and a few hours ago a candle closed above this area. Now we’ll have to see whether the price movement will continue or if it was a fakeout.
⚡️ Nothing else special has happened and for now, only the trigger is active. Personally, since I already had a Bitcoin position open, I opened this one on an altcoin instead, but Bitcoin was a better choice because dominance is rising again, and if you didn’t already have a position on Bitcoin, it would’ve been better to open one there.
Let’s get into the analysis to see how the market looks today.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see, I placed a Fibonacci Extension over the bullish leg that started after the breakout of the 85550 level, and the 0.236 Fibonacci level overlaps with the 92007 level, where the price was supported.
💥 When the price rises from the 0.236 Fibonacci level, it means the trend strength is very high, and the price can easily start the next bullish leg. As you can see, that’s exactly what happened—the price quickly moved up to 94283 and is now above that level.
📚 So when the trend is this strong, rising from 0.236 and breaking the previous high, the next leg should start. If that doesn’t happen, it means there’s significant weakness in the uptrend. So if the price doesn’t move upward today and falls back below 94283, it would indicate strong trend weakness, and the likelihood of deeper corrections to lower Fibonacci levels like 0.382 or 0.5 will increase.
📈 For longs, as I told you yesterday, you can enter on the breakout of 94283, which is now active, but the price hasn’t started its move yet. So if you haven’t entered on this trigger, you can enter on a pullback to this level.
🔽 For shorts, even though I said a move back below 94283 would indicate significant weakness, always remember that weakness doesn’t mean trend reversal—it’s just a sign.
We confirm the trend reversal with a break of 92007 and the formation of lower lows and highs under this support. This would be the first short trigger and is considered quite risky.
📊 If you look closely, market volume has increased after the breakout. This shows a battle between buyers and sellers, and we need to see which side wins so we can join the winning team.
🧩 Also, pay attention to the RSI oscillator today. If RSI enters Overbought again, there’s potential for another sharp bullish move.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s look at Bitcoin dominance. BTC.D finally tested the 64.12 level and was supported there. Because of this volatility and the V-pattern formed in dominance, most altcoins activated their long triggers. But as dominance started rising again, altcoins fell back below their resistance levels, and if you had opened positions, there was a high chance you hit stop-loss. We can see this more clearly in the Total2 chart.
✔️ For BTC.D to continue rising, confirmation of the V-pattern through a breakout of 64.41 could act as a good trigger, with a move up to at least 64.60. However, the main trigger for the next bullish leg in BTC.D is a breakout above 64.60.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Let’s look at Total2. As I mentioned, most altcoin triggers were activated but didn’t follow through, and some even dropped and returned to their lows. This can be seen in Total2 as well.
✨ The reason for this is that money initially flowed into altcoins, activating their triggers. But simultaneously, Bitcoin’s trigger was also activated, and since BTC dominance rose, not much volume flowed into altcoins. That’s why Total2 is currently ranging around its 1.04 trigger level.
🔍 Regarding Total2, just like Bitcoin, this index was supported at the 0.382 Fibonacci level and activated its trigger at 1.04. A bounce from 0.382 indicates strong bullish trend momentum. (Bitcoin bounced from 0.236, which means BTC has an even stronger uptrend than Total2.)
🎲 So once the 1.04 trigger is activated, considering the strong trend momentum, a strong uptrend should start. If this doesn’t happen in the next few candles, the price will likely fall back below 1.04, and bearish momentum could enter the market.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let’s look at Tether dominance. As I’ve said in previous analyses, I believe the market is still moving in sync with USDT.D, and now it’s waiting for the 5% level to be broken.
🔑 That’s why Bitcoin and Total2 have both activated their triggers but haven’t started their major moves yet. In this bullish cycle, USDT dominance appears to have more weight than other indicators. I think the entire market is waiting for the 5% level in this index to break so that capital flows into Bitcoin and altcoins.
🔼 I recommend that if the 5% level breaks, be sure to have at least one long position open.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #68👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I want to review the futures session triggers for New York.
🔄 Yesterday's Analysis
In yesterday’s analysis, I told you that since the 84363 level was broken, RSI had entered Oversell, and selling volume had increased — if sellers were truly stronger than buyers, the price could drop to 83233. But if that didn’t happen and the price returned above 84363, we could say the move was fake and both the momentum and selling pressure were also fake — and the price could move upward.
👀 As you can see, that’s exactly what happened. The move turned out to be a fake break, and the price reversed. With this fakeout, we could have opened a position in the lower timeframes — as shown in the chart I provided. In the 15-minute time frame, after the fakeout of 84363, the price formed a top at 84633, and with a strong breakout candle, the trigger was activated and the price moved upward — reaching a 15:1 risk-to-reward ratio so far.
🚀 Another position could have been opened in the 1-hour time frame, where we could have entered after breaking 85126. As you can see, the candle closed above this level, the price moved up, and the position reached a 5:1 risk-to-reward.
⏳ 1-Hour Time Frame
In the 1-hour time frame, as you can see, the price moved up to 87562 and has now been rejected from this level. The RSI has also exited the Overbuy zone.
✔️ To continue the upward trend and open a long position, for now — since the market hasn’t formed much structure yet — you can enter on the break of 87562. But if more structure forms, you can enter on the break of the new structure or a pullback to the SMA25.
📉 For a short position, we need to wait for now, because market momentum is bullish, and in my opinion, we shouldn’t trade against the trend. So, if you want to short, wait for a trend reversal, or for the price to fall back below 85550, which would invalidate the whole move as a fakeout.
💥 Keep an eye on momentum oscillators like RSI today. If RSI enters Overbuy again, there’s a strong chance of a new bullish wave starting.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin Dominance also moved upward yesterday in sync with the overall market, reaching 64.12.
☘️ If the price can stabilize above 64.12, the next bullish leg of BTC dominance will start. The first trigger for a bearish shift in BTC dominance is the break of 63.67.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Now let’s look at Total2. Yesterday, the 965 level was broken and the price moved up to 980, but — just like Bitcoin — it was rejected from that level and is now pulling back.
🔼 To continue the bullish move, breaking 980 will be a valid trigger. For short positions, we need to wait for a trend reversal.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Looking at Tether Dominance (USDT.D), as you can see, it also had a sharp move yesterday, breaking 5.44 and 5.39, and reaching 5.32.
✨ The key support for the past few days was at 5.39, and now that this level is broken, the price dropped to 5.32 where it found support.
🎲 Continuation of the bearish trend in USDT dominance requires a break of 5.32. For a bullish reversal, we need to wait for a clear change in trend.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #71👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indicators. As usual, I’ll review the futures triggers for the New York session.
🔄 Yesterday’s Recap
In yesterday's analysis, I mentioned that the main triggers had already been activated, and it might be too late to enter a position. However, you could still enter trades using momentum triggers such as RSI and SMA.
⚡️ As we can see, the RSI oscillator, after exiting the Overbought zone, triggered a bearish divergence and has now dropped below level 50. This means the RSI trigger has not yet been activated, and the price didn't pull back to the SMAs either — instead, it broke below them and entered a short-term correction.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that the price was rejected from the key resistance at 94,283 and dropped to the 92,007 zone.
✔️ The SMA99 is getting closer to the price, and we might see a pullback to this level. If this happens and the price builds a structure after the pullback, it could offer a good long entry during the correction.
📈 The main long trigger remains the breakout above 94,283, which would signal the start of the next bullish leg.
✨ For a healthier trend structure, the price might undergo a deeper correction, increasing the chances of a pullback to the SMA99 scenario playing out.
📊 However, note that during the drop to 92,007, selling volume increased, which is not favorable for the bullish trend. So, if you're planning to enter a long during this correction, make sure selling volume is decreasing and buying volume is rising.
🔽 For short positions, as mentioned in previous analyses, we must wait for a confirmed trend reversal. Currently, there is no trigger indicating a downtrend, and we need to wait for a new structure.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
BTC dominance is still climbing and moving toward the 64.60 resistance level. If it stabilizes above this level, it could initiate the next bullish leg for BTC dominance.
💥 For a bearish BTC.D scenario, either rejection from 64.60 or a breakdown below 64.12 would be appropriate triggers.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Total2 is showing a deeper correction compared to BTC, aligning with the increasing BTC dominance. It has corrected down to the 0.382 Fibonacci level.
🔼 For long positions, a breakout above 1.04 is a good trigger — but be sure to watch BTC.D to decide whether to go long on Bitcoin or altcoins.
⭐ As for shorts, like other charts, we need to wait for a confirmed trend reversal before considering a short position.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
This chart is also correcting, and after finding support at 4.99, it is now retracing upward and sits near 5.13.
💫 For the downtrend in USDT.D to continue, a break below 4.99 is crucial. If it holds below that level, the overall crypto market can continue moving upward.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #70👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into Bitcoin and major crypto index analysis. As usual, in this analysis I’ll review the futures triggers for the New York session.
🔄 Yesterday’s Analysis
Yesterday, the price broke through the 88502 level, which was our main trigger for a bullish move. The price then made a very sharp upward move and even broke the next resistance at 92000, now heading toward 95307.
✔️ I also mentioned the RSI, saying if it enters the Overbought zone again, we could see a sharp leg toward 92000—and that’s exactly what happened, with strong upward movement.
🧲 I hope you opened a position, because all the triggers of my strategy were activated yesterday: the fake break of 84363, the breakouts of 85126, 85550, and 88502. These were the key trend-starting triggers, and I made sure to be in a position as those sharp candles formed to profit from the move.
🎲 So today it’s a bit harder to open new positions, which is natural, because 4 main triggers have already been activated. But I’ll try to share any new ones if they appear.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see, we witnessed a very sharp move, with price consistently in Overbought, and now just exiting that zone.
⚡️ The triggers I can give today aren’t really based on support/resistance breaks. If you’re going to open a position, you should enter with minimum risk and based on momentum. That is, if you see bullish momentum coming in, go long.
☘️ You can use the SMA indicator or RSI oscillator for this. The price has pulled back multiple times to SMA7, and moved again with confirmation candles. You can also use this strategy with pullbacks to SMA25 or SMA99.
💥 The RSI is also a momentum oscillator, and if it re-enters Overbought, we could see more upside just like yesterday.
📊 In both strategies, make sure buying volume is increasing, and there is no volume divergence. Again, note that the main triggers have already been activated, and I believe the market needs to create a new structure before new entries. So today’s trigger is quite risky, and I personally won’t open a new position because I’m already in from lower levels.
🚀 If you, like me, have one or more open positions from lower levels, I recommend taking partial profit. If you have one position, take 40–50% off. If you have more than one, maybe close one entirely but keep at least one open.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s check Bitcoin dominance. Yesterday, with Bitcoin’s strong price action, dominance dropped slightly and was rejected at the 64.60 ceiling. That’s why some altcoins—especially in the DeFi category—saw strong rallies, and you could’ve opened positions on them.
💫 The next support is around 64.12, and I think BTC.D could drop to that level. A bullish trigger for dominance remains a break above 64.60.
📅 Total2 Analysis
In previous updates, I emphasized the 980 resistance level. I told you to try and have a long position ready if this level broke. As you can see, that’s exactly when the sharp move began. Now, even 1.02 has been broken, and Total2 is moving toward 1.04.
🔼 For long entries, confirmation from Bitcoin’s chart is more reliable since this index is highly correlated with BTC and is better for identifying targets or entries.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
As mentioned before, if 5.39 breaks in USDT.D, you should have a position ready. That level broke cleanly, gave entry triggers on the breakout, pullback, and break of pullback’s low, and then dropped sharply to 4.99.
🧩 Right now, USDT.D has reacted to 4.99 support, and I think the psychological 5% level has a strong impact here. I still believe the market is heavily dependent on Tether dominance, and if this support breaks, we could see another bullish leg in the market.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin (BTC): Seems Like Bigger Long Squeeze, Expecting DropBitcoin has had a strong recovery since our liquidity candle, which barely touched our major support zone.
We think this is just a bigger long squeeze to gather more longs into the market in order to get them liquidated on the way toward the proper retest of that support zone so we are still looking to see the drop in the markets and only then start looking for some sort of market structure break on bigger timeframes.
Swallow Academy
Mastering Candlestick Patterns - How to use them in trading!Introduction
Candlesticks are one of the most popular and widely used tools in technical analysis. They offer a visual representation of price movements within a specific time period, providing valuable insights into market trends, sentiment, and potential future price movements.
Understanding candlestick patterns is crucial for traders, as these formations can indicate whether a market is bullish or bearish, and can even signal potential reversals or continuations in price. While candlesticks can be powerful on their own, trading purely based on candlestick patterns can be challenging and risky.
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What are we going to discuss:
1. What are candlesticks?
2. What are bullish candlestick patterns?
3. What are bearish candlestick patterns?
4. How to use candlestick patterns in trading?
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1. What are candlesticks?
A candlestick in trading is a visual representation of price movement in a specific time period on a chart. It is a fundamental element used in technical analysis to study market trends, determine price levels, and predict potential future price movements. A single candlestick consists of four main components: the open, close, high, and low prices for that time period.
Here’s how a candlestick works:
- The Body: The rectangular area between the open and close prices. If the close is higher than the open, the body is green, indicating a bullish (upward) movement. If the close is lower than the open, the body is red, signaling a bearish (downward) movement.
- The Wick (high and low of the candle): The thin lines extending above and below the body. These represent the highest and lowest prices reached during the period. The upper wick shows the highest price, while the lower wick shows the lowest price.
- The Open Price: The price at which the asset began trading in that time period (for example, the start of a day, hour, or minute depending on the chart timeframe).
- The Close Price: The price at which the asset finished trading at the end of the period.
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2. What are bullish candlestick patterns?
What is a Hammer Candlestick Pattern?
A hammer candlestick pattern has a small body near the top of the candle and a long lower wick, typically two to three times the length of the body. There is little to no upper wick. This formation shows that during the trading session, sellers managed to push the price significantly lower, continuing the downward momentum. However, buyers eventually stepped in with strong demand and drove the price back up near the opening level by the close.
What is an Inverted Hammer?
An inverted hammer has a small body near the bottom of the candle with a long upper wick, usually at least two to three times the size of the body, and little to no lower wick. This unique shape resembles an upside-down hammer, hence the name.
What is a Dragonfly Doji?
A dragonfly doji has a unique shape where the open, close, and high prices are all at or very close to the same level, forming a flat top with a long lower wick and little to no upper wick. This gives the candle the appearance of a "T," resembling a dragonfly.
What is a Bullish Engulfing?
A bullish engulfing candlestick consists of two candles. The first candle is bearish, indicating that sellers are still in control. The second candle is a large bullish candle that completely engulfs the body of the first one, meaning it opens below the previous close and closes above the previous open. This pattern reflects a clear shift in market sentiment. During the second candle, buyers step in with significant strength, overpowering the previous selling pressure and reversing the momentum. The fact that the bullish candle completely engulfs the previous bearish candle indicates that demand has taken over, signaling a potential trend reversal.
What is a Morning Star?
The morning star consists of three candles. The first is a long bearish candle, indicating that the downtrend is in full force, with strong selling pressure. The second candle is a small-bodied candle, which can be either bullish or bearish, representing indecision or a pause in the downtrend. Often, the second candle gaps down from the first, indicating that the selling pressure is subsiding but not yet fully reversed. The third candle is a long bullish candle that closes well above the midpoint of the first candle, confirming that buyers have taken control and signaling the potential start of an uptrend.
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3. What are bearish candlestick patterns?
What is a Shooting Star?
A shooting star has a smal body near the low of the candle and a long upper wick, usually at least twice the size of the body, with little to no lower wick. This shape shows that buyers initially pushed the price higher during the session, continuing the upward momentum. However, by the close, sellers stepped in and drove the price back down near the opening level.
What is a Hanging Man?
A hanging man has a distinct shape, with a small body positioned near the top of the candle and a long lower wick, usually at least twice the length of the body. There is little to no upper wick. The appearance of this candle suggests that although there was strong selling pressure during the session, buyers managed to bring the price back up near the opening level by the close. Despite the recovery, the long lower wick shows that sellers were able to push the price down significantly at one point. This introduces uncertainty into the uptrend and can indicate that bullish momentum is weakening.
What is a Gravestone Doji?
A gravestone doji has a distinctive shape where the open, low, and close prices are all at or near the same level, forming a flat base. The upper wick is long and stretches upward. This shape resembles a gravestone, which is where the pattern gets its name.
What is a Bearish Engulfing?
A bearish engulfing candlestick pattern is a two-candle reversal pattern that typically appears at the end of an uptrend and signals a potential shift from bullish to bearish sentiment. The first candle is a smaller bullish candle, reflecting continued upward momentum. The second candle is a larger bearish candle that completely engulfs the body of the first one, meaning it opens higher than the previous close and closes lower than the previous open. This indicates that bears have taken control, overpowering the buyers, and suggests a potential downside movement.
What is an Evening Star?
An evening star is a bearish candlestick pattern that typically signals a potential reversal at the top of an uptrend. It consists of three candles and reflects a shift in momentum from buyers to sellers. The pattern starts with a strong bullish candle, showing continued buying pressure and confidence in the upward move. This is followed by a smaller-bodied candle, which can be bullish or bearish, and represents indecision or a slowdown in the uptrend. The middle candle often gaps up from the first candle, showing that buyers are still trying to push higher, but the momentum is starting to weaken. The third candle is a strong bearish candle that closes well into the body of the first bullish candle. This candle confirms that sellers have taken control and that a trend reversal could be underway. The more this third candle erases the gains of the first, the stronger the reversal signal becomes.
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4. How to use candlestick patterns in trading?
Candlestick patterns are most useful when they appear at key levels, such as support, resistance, or significant trendlines. For instance, if a bullish reversal pattern like a hammer or bullish engulfing forms at a support level, it may indicate that the downtrend is losing momentum, and a reversal could be coming.
Trading based on candlestick patterns alone can be risky. To improve your chances of success, always seek additional confirmation from other technical analysis tools. Here are some common ones:
- Support and Resistance Levels: Look for candlestick patterns that form near key support or resistance levels. For instance, if the price reaches a support zone and a bullish reversal candlestick pattern forms, this may suggest a potential upward reversal.
- Fibonacci Retracement: Use Fibonacci levels to identify potential reversal zones. If a candlestick pattern appears near a key Fibonacci level (such as the Golden Pocket), it adds confirmation to the idea that the price may reverse.
- Liquidity Zones: These are areas where there is a high concentration of buy or sell orders. Candlestick patterns forming in high liquidity zones can indicate a stronger potential for a reversal or continuation.
- Indicators and Oscillators: Incorporating indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Averages, MACD, or Stochastic RSI can help confirm the momentum of the price. For example, if a candlestick pattern forms and the RSI shows an oversold condition (below 30), this could indicate a potential reversal to the upside.
It’s crucial to wait for confirmation before entering a trade. After a candlestick pattern forms, it’s important to wait for the next candle or price action to confirm the signal. For example, if you spot a bullish reversal candlestick like a hammer at support, wait for the next candle to close above the hammer’s high to confirm that buyers are in control and a reversal is likely.
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#BTC is stuck but Here's the simplified Plan!Bitcoin is currently trading between key levels:
Upper resistance: 93700
Lower support: 91670
We are stuck in this range, and a breakout above or below these levels will confirm the next move in the trend.
Right now, Bitcoin is holding the 50 EMA on the 30-minute chart. As long as this support holds, we could see a move towards 95k, after which we will reassess the chart.
Here are two possible scenarios if we hit 95,700 again:
We break above and target 100k
We face rejection and correct back to 88k. While this wouldn’t be a large correction, it could offer a very opportunistic entry point.
I’ll be sharing more insights and updates as the chart unfolds.
Follow me on all my socials (link in bio).
Drop your thoughts in the comment section and hit the like button if this is useful.
Thank you
#PEACE
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 1H – Bullish Until Key Support BreaksHello guys!
Bitcoin continues to move inside an ascending channel after testing the main resistance zone around $95,700. Price action shows a slight correction while respecting the channel structure. Despite a "fake divergence" appearing on the RSI, the main trend remains bullish as long as the $90,900 support holds.
✅ If buyers defend this zone, we could see another leg higher toward the channel top and beyond the main resistance.
⚠️ However, if $90,900 breaks down, it would signal weakness, and short opportunities could emerge with a target toward the $86,400 zone and lower.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $90,900
Resistance: $95,700
Bitcoin (BTC): Waiting For Clarity Around Current ResistanceBitcoin is still hovering around the resistance line where buyers have yet to prove they have taken control over that zone.
We are waiting for 2 things that can happen from here: either a rejection and fakeout, which would lead the price down or a proper BOS and retest, which could lead to new highs on the coin.
Of course we are looking for the fakeout to form, as we like shorting more than longing on daily trades but we have to adapt with market structure development so we wait for more clarity!
Swallow Academy
BTC - Halving Cycle | Historical Patterns & 2025-2026 Projection
In this chart, we dive deep into the cyclical nature of Bitcoin price action post-halving and draw parallels between past and current movements, with a specific focus on how the market has historically reacted at various intervals following each halving event. This analysis incorporates both structural and temporal elements, providing a potential roadmap based on previous behavior.
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Historical Context: Previous Cycles
3rd Halving – May 11, 2020
Following the 3rd Bitcoin halving, we observed a parabolic run-up over the next several months:
- 11 months after halving (April 2021): BTC reached a major peak, hitting nearly $65,000.
- This was followed by a significant correction.
- 19 months after halving (December 2021): Bitcoin printed a second top close to the previous all-time high, forming a classic double top pattern. This structure often signals market exhaustion and precedes deeper corrections.
Cycle Completion – Price Reversion
By 30 months after the 3rd halving (around November 2022), BTC had retraced much of its gains and returned to prices nearly equivalent to the halving level (~$8,000–$10,000 zone in log-adjusted terms). This marked the end of the cycle, confirming a full reversion to the mean after the double-top distribution phase.
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Current Cycle: 4th Halving – April 19, 2024
We're now entering the 4th post-halving cycle , and so far, the structure appears to be rhyming closely with the previous cycle :
- Pre-halving rally took BTC to ~ FWB:73K (March 2024), indicating strong bullish momentum leading into the event.
- If this cycle follows a similar path, we may expect:
- A first major top around 9 months after the halving , potentially at or above $100K.
- A second top forming around 17 months after the halving (projected for September 2025), possibly signaling the beginning of a broader correction phase.
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Projection: October 2026 (30 Months After Halving)
Using the same temporal framework:
- By October 2026 (30 months post-halving), the chart suggests a return to a much lower level , possibly around $50K.
- This projection mimics the post-double-top decline of the previous cycle, reinforcing the idea of cyclical mean reversion .
- It’s important to note: this isn’t necessarily bearish, but it highlights the cyclical and psychological nature of markets —boom, euphoria, distribution, and reversion.
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The Macro View: Halving Cycles Are Rhythmic
- Every halving has historically set off a new bull run, but the timing of tops and bottoms is shockingly consistent :
- Peaks often occur 9–18 months post-halving .
- Full cycle completion is around 30 months post-halving.
- These cycles are heavily influenced by supply shocks , market psychology , and macro liquidity cycles .
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Final Thoughts
This chart isn’t a guarantee—it’s a probability model based on cyclical symmetry. If history repeats or rhymes, we may be witnessing another textbook cycle play out, where a euphoric run in 2025 gives way to a deep correction by late 2026.
Stay alert for the double top pattern and macro divergences. Just as in 2021, timing the exit after the first peak can be the difference between profit and pain .
What do you think? Will Bitcoin follow the same 30-month post-halving trajectory?
Wave C Is On The Table, Possible Leg Down To 72k📥 The Price Breakout From 86k Resistance Area And Experienced a Good Pump However Still My Main Expectation About Bitcoin Didn’t Changed, I See Current Up Rally From 75k Till Here As a Wave C From B From Main ABC And There Are Two Important PRZ I Expect a Reversal And They Are 92600$ And 97600$
👉 Currently The Price Playing Below The Crucial 92600$ Resistance Area, Although We Could Have a Shadow To The 97600$ But Totally I Prefer To Be Out Of The Market At Current Time
📉 My Target For Incoming Correction Is 72k
Bitcoin Potential DownsidesBINANCE:BTCUSDT Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring BTCUSD for a selling opportunity around 89,500 zone, Bitcoin is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 89,500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
BITCOIN - Price can little correct and then make impulse upHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price broke through the $79500 zone after a long phase of flat consolidation and sharp shakeout.
Once bulls reclaimed control, price formed a clean breakout and started building structure inside a wedge.
Momentum carried the price upward, with buyers defending each local dip and creating a stair-step rise.
Now BTC is moving steadily inside the wedge pattern, holding the lower trendline with no strong rejection.
Price is slowly grinding toward the key resistance around $88500, where volatility might return.
If this tempo holds, I expect BTC can grow higher and tag the $91000 points in the next impulsive leg.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
BTC/USD: Do You Think Bitcoin Will Break Above $100K Again?By analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that after our last analysis, the price successfully hit the $80,800 target and even dropped close to the second target at $73,700. Eventually, after forming a bottom around $74,400, Bitcoin saw renewed demand and has since surged to $93,600.
Take note: the $93,480 to $99,500 zone is a key supply area, and the primary expectation is for the price to face rejection from this level. However, after a possible short-term correction, I expect Bitcoin to resume its upward move toward targets above $100,000.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
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