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BTCUSDT.5L trade ideas

BTC short term Wave countAnalyzing a Bitcoin (BTC) form Wyckoff schema in a 4H chart. We can’t determine if it’s an accumulation or distribution yet. Based on MACD and Elliott Wave Theory, I believe the chart will follow a similar pattern. However, time will determine the outcome. If BTC declines and accumulates within a shorter time frame of Elliot support levels, it could be a long trade opportunity. (This analysis is not financial advice. Your actions are solely your responsibility.)
Long
by maayan_tiran
BTC Weekly Analysis (1W)First and foremost, keep in mind that this is a weekly analysis, and along the way, Bitcoin may experience upward bounces from daily or hourly support levels. From the point where we placed the green arrow on the chart, Bitcoin started forming a diametric pattern, and with the recent drop, the bullish scenario has strengthened, canceling Bitcoin’s previous triangle formation. The price has now entered wave F. The green zone is where wave F could potentially complete. June is the month when this corrective wave (wave F) is expected to end. Wave G is a bullish wave, and its target could be the red zone. A weekly candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this outlook and analysis For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
2
Bitcoin Analysis: Macro Tailwinds + Tape Reading = The Perfect B🌍 Bitcoin Analysis: Macro Tailwinds + Tape Reading = The Perfect Bulltrap (or a Historic Breakout) Published by: Pôncio Pacífico — The Portuguese God of Derivatives ⚡ Macro Context: Global Instability Is Pushing Bitcoin Up (For Now) In the last 48 hours, Bitcoin has surged nearly 3%, hitting $87,500. This happened while: The U.S. dollar weakened amid political instability (Trump challenging the Fed's authority) Gold hit a new all-time high above $3,370/oz Global equity markets corrected and bond yields declined 🔎 Sources: Bloomberg & Reuters Bitcoin is behaving like a risk-off asset. Bullish at first glance, but the tape tells a more sinister story... 🕵️ On-Chain & Order Flow Analysis (last 5 days) Delta: Negative delta candles with price still rising → classic short squeeze behavior Open Interest: Increased during the pump, then flattened → sign of trapped FOMO longs Volume: Strong at the beginning of the move, now fading while price still climbs → exhaustion? Conclusion: we’re seeing short liquidations + late long entries = DANGER ZONE. 📊 Institutional Trading Scenarios (Macro + Tape Reading) 🚑 SCENARIO A: Bulltrap in Progress (most likely) Short entry: $87,850–$88,000 Stop loss: $88,200 Target 1: $87,100 Target 2: $86,200 Trigger: Weak volume + flat delta + rising OI (FOMO) 🌪 SCENARIO B: Controlled Pullback, Institutional Re-entry Long entry: $86,300 Stop: $85,800 Target 1: $87,500 Target 2: $88,800 Trigger: Volume spike + positive delta + stable OI ⚡ SCENARIO C: Authentic Breakout Entry: $88,100 Stop: $87,600 Target: $89,800–90,000 Trigger: Aggressive delta + visible liquidations + strong volume breakout 💭 Final Pôncio Proclamation "Macro says buy. Tape says wait. Combine both and you realize: whoever buys now without a plan... is paying for the market makers' champagne brunch." Share this if you don’t want your gym buddy to long the top again. #BTC #Futures #TapeReading #CryptoAnalysis #MacroTrading #InstitutionalTools #VolumeProfile #OpenInterest #ShortSqueeze
by NunoSid
Are you making this common mistake?There’s a huge mistake nearly everyone in crypto makes that kills their portfolio after one cycle. Read this to make sure you are not doing it! Most crypto investors take huge risks without realizing it, and you probably are too. They chase random altcoins and think that if they pump, they'll break even on all their other losses or get rich! This often leads them through a cycle of despair, which makes them give up after a few big losses. Instead, crypto investors should focus on CRYPTOCAP:BTC for the majority of a cycle and only concentrate on strong altcoins that show resilience during CRYPTOCAP:BTC sell-offs as we approach alt season. Then, they should track their portfolio like a pro to monitor their performance and change things where necessary. If you are not currently doing this, but would like to begin, then message me to see how I can help you @CryptoJayTrades
by CryptoJayTrades
BTC - A fake out ? -Green rising Channel broke 2 days ago and get retested. That retest was same previous highs too. Green rising channel was given 3 days ago (look at image 1 below). Price is hovering above lower line of green channel and upper TL of blue channel and hVn. There are some divergences in Volume. 4h CVD has a Div too, but 4h CVD is not a tool which i look at often. CVD is much better at lower TF. Bybit has more bearish volume Divs (obv, ad) than Binance. Bybit has bearish divergence in CVD in every TF 15min-4h. 🧐 😆 POC of the both rising Ranges were bought with buy imbalances. (image 2-3) Follow for more ideas/Signals.💲 Just donate some of your profit to Animal rights or other charity :)✌️
by Free-TA-Signal
1
BTCUSDT Weekly Analysis — Potential Reversal or Trend Continuati📊 BTCUSDT Weekly Analysis Technical Outlook — April 21, 2025 🔍 Current Market Condition: Bitcoin is trading within a long-term ascending channel on the weekly timeframe. Price is approaching a crucial decision zone around $87,000–$90,000, marked by previous resistance and mid-channel structure. 🧩 Key Technical Highlights: Price is retesting midline of the ascending channel. Stochastic shows potential bullish cross from the oversold area. Multiple resistance zones ahead: $90K, $100K, and $110K. Support below at $75K and then 54K levels. Structure suggests potential for a bounce or a deeper correction. 📈 Possible Scenarios: Bullish: If BTC breaks and holds above $90,000, we may see a continuation towards $100K and $110K. A bullish Stochastic cross would strengthen this case. Bearish: Failure to break $90,000 and a rejection from resistance could send BTC back toward $75K or even worse $54K. Watch for bearish divergence or weakness in momentum indicators. 📌 Important Note: BTC is at a pivotal zone; traders should monitor macroeconomic news and market sentiment closely, especially with halving hype potentially priced in. If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates. Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Long
by MarketsPOV
not so much hope is leftBitcoin has found support around the $80,000 level and is currently trading with relatively low volatility. Investors remain cautious due to uncertainty surrounding the impact of tariffs on the global economy and whether a deal can be reached. The market hasn’t dropped to $60,000 yet, largely because there’s still hope that Trump might either secure a deal or abandon the tariff plan altogether. Additionally, many investors are waiting for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on May 7, which is expected to be either bearish or neutral. Overall, the outlook remains bearish, with limited bullish scenarios likely to play out. The probability of a continued downtrend appears high.
by NIJARIO_fundmanager
Skeptic | Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis: Why 85850 is Critical!The breakout above 85,850 could push Bitcoin into a new uptrend phase, potentially driving price toward 90K, 95K, and even 105K in the coming weeks. That’s why this zone is so important. But let me explain why in more detail. ⭐Let’s start with the daily timeframe. After breaking out of its descending trendline, BTC entered a range between 82,800 and 85,850 . Looking at the bigger picture, you’ll see that 88,500 is a key resistance level — and breaking above it could act as a strong trigger. But if you’re not a breakout trader and prefer reactive entries, the 80K–82K zone is a major PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) based on RSI, Fibonacci, and Pivot Points — meaning it could offer a decent spot-buying opportunity. Just keep in mind: we’re not officially in a daily uptrend yet, so if you’re thinking about spot buying, it’s better to wait for a confirmed higher low and higher high on the daily chart. The long-term target for the next uptrend is around 140K , based on long-term Fibonacci extensions, pivot points, and trend channels. 🔮 Now let’s drop to the 4H timeframe to find some long and short triggers. As you can see, we’ve got a range box between 83,055 and 85,853.89. A long trigger activates after a clean breakout above 85,853.89. A short trigger activates after a breakdown below 83,055. It’s better to use stop buy/sell orders rather than entering at market price, since price may move sharply after staying in this box for quite a while. You can also use this box to set your stop losses. If you’re a reaction-based trader, you could: Short around 85,853 when price reacts there, Or go long around 83,055, depending on your personal strategy. Just remember: crypto markets often fake breakouts, especially during low-volume periods like now. Indicators like RSI, Volume, and SMA can help confirm moves. Understanding momentum — when it’s present and when it’s not — can save you from taking unnecessary trades. Also, the candlestick itself matters a lot: How long is the shadow? What’s the body size and color? Are we getting strong bullish or bearish confirmations? If you want a tutorial on identifying real vs. fake breakouts, let me know in the comments — I’ll make one soon. If you enjoyed the analysis, hit that Boost By the way, I’m Skeptic.
by SkepticWise
1
BTC & ETH Weekly Forecast – Will Week 16 Bring a Breakout?🔍 Weekly Outlook – Week 16, 2025 • BTC remains below the daily Ichimoku Cloud. • Volatility (BBWP) is at historical lows — potential breakout setup. • ETH hovering above key EVWMA zones • If BTC enters the cloud, 92K becomes a valid short-term target. • ETH needs to reclaim 1600+ to sustain bullish momentum. 📌 This is a quick overview of my weekly analysis. I explore the full setup across 1D, 4H, and 12H timeframes, with Ichimoku, BBWP, and EVWMA discussed in detail elsewhere.
by pino_chart
BTCUSD 4H(4-Hour Timeframe): A potential short position could be opened from the local order block and the OTE zone at 104,161.75, targeting the liquidity zone at 102,500 as the initial goal. Further targets include the previous month's low and the imbalance at 108,353. I continue to closely monitor Bitcoin’s movements and will soon share a more detailed idea for a short position (short). It is essential to note that this analysis represents my personal opinion and is not a call to action for trading. Always conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.!!!
by TraderNo007_
BTCUSDT hitting daily resistance but eying weekly resisatnce 98kBTCUSDT has bounced well from weekly support WS1 and currently heading towards daily resistance DR1 around 87k-88k zone. Once it breaks this, the next target would be weekly resistance WR1 which is the next resistance on its way. This resistance is sitting around 95k-98k zone. I think, the price is eying that zone and in coming days and week we will see the price trading there. However, this WR1 zone would definitely make the price push back on firts hit. But the price will definitely make another go there before either breaking of giving up for a while again. The resistance WR1 will be the only obstacle before the price can hit all time high and beyond again. Therefore, this weekly resistance will not give the way easy as this will be a strong supply zone. But I would not worry much once the price reaches there. This will evnetually signal that we are going beyond ATH and further higher. It would be just a bit of struggle there and some consolidation and some boring price action for a while, and then there will be clear sky.
Long
by angela_altair
BITCOINBitcoin's current liquidity constraints and recent 4-hour chart breakout reflect a tug-of-war between technical momentum and market mechanics. Here's a breakdown of key factors influencing BTC's trajectory: Why BTC Lacks Liquidity Push Exchange-Controlled Volatility: Market makers are suppressing rapid price surges to profit from liquidations, with Identified supplied zone as a "liquidity trap zone" where leveraged long positions were targeted. This artificial containment explains the muted liquidity-driven rally despite favorable macro conditions. Delayed Fed Easing: The Federal Reserve's quantitative tightening persists, delaying a full liquidity injection cycle. While U.S. Treasury drawdowns added $510B since February 2025, Bitcoin’s correlation to liquidity peaks (projected at $6.5T by Q4) remains partial until Fed rate cuts materialize. Risk-Off Sentiment: Geopolitical tensions and trade policy uncertainty have diverted some institutional capital to gold (recently surpassing $3,200/oz), temporarily capping Bitcoin’s haven appeal. 4-Hour Descending Trendline Breakout: Bullish Signals Technical Validation: BTC broke above a descending resistance line that governed price action since December 2024,my confirmation will be by a strong close above $85400 on the daily chart. The 4-hour chart shows a bullish flag pattern, with higher lows suggesting accumulation. Momentum Indicators: A bullish MACD crossover on the daily chart and rising RSI (4-hour) signal growing buying pressure, though the MACD histogram remains tentative. Upswing Potential vs. Liquidity Risks Bull Case: A sustained break above $85,300 could trigger a rally toward $88,000–$92,000 this week, aligning with historical post-halving cycles and ETF inflow momentum. Bernstein analysts project $150K–$200K by late 2025 if ETF inflows hit GETTEX:70B + and Fed easing accelerates. Bear Risks: Exchanges may continue suppressing rallies to harvest liquidity, risking pullbacks to $81K–$84K if $85K fails to hold as it prevented price upswing many times . Delayed Fed rate cuts or renewed trade tensions could tighten financial conditions, stifling Bitcoin’s macro-driven upside. Short-Term Outlook The 4-hour trendline breakout favors a bullish bias, with April targets at FWB:88K – GETTEX:92K if BTC holds above $85K. However, liquidity constraints from market maker tactics and gold’s haven dominance may delay a sustained rally until broader macro catalysts (Fed policy shifts, debt ceiling resolution) emerge. Traders should watch for a daily close above $85,400 to confirm upward momentum where i lookt to target 90k and sell from that zone
Long
by Shavyfxhub
BTC Possible HTF HL Creation 2BTC Possible HTF Creation 2 (update from first post): Chart inverted; analysis below as if it weren't an inverted chart: 1) Weak highs as there isn't an SFP or some kind of big wick candle; 2) Price did break below a significant part of the HL structure but not the full structure (last HL hasn't been broken): - The part it broke down below isn't outstanding enough to produce a big breakdown (my intuition tells me). It isn't a MSB as the last HL is still intact and the structure it did break below I think can't produce a big downmove (which then would create a MSB if it happened but I think would be weak and shortlived, likely to be capped at that outstanding low at 95k). - Price didn't instantly break below structure, it first made a LH (April 10) which weakens the downmove significantly to where my intuition tells me there now can't be a full MSB being formed. ------------------------------ No significance at highs (no SFP) nor big previous high being hit so no reason for trend shift. Price did break some significant structure but not fully and not fast enough: it first produced a LH before breaking below it. that's key here: if it was a breakdown in one go then price would have broken below the structure very close to the structure making the structure way stronger in resistance and therefore the likelyhood of a real breakdown way higher. That price is consolidating now (so not going fast anymore) is fine: horizontality creates space for a move in either way. But the fact that price didn't break below the structure in one go is the important part which I think cancels out the breakdown. Just looking at it simply, pure intuition. This will never break down as that structure which it broke down below isn't outstanding enough and there is not enough verticality (no strength). I would never short this. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- And now coming out of the inverted chart: If I would never short this this means I would never buy this at 82k. But the HTF HL, I want to say it as an ego thing: will higly likely be an SFP of the Monday April 7 lowest low and I have put my 100% allocation on it (might take out some to buy the ETH lowest low of June 2022 as these moves would probably go together and ETH is the better investment if you want to make bigger profits) This ego thing is a traders' mistake as you can never be 100% sure in trading so you should never put a limit order on a level in advance, but I'm a young guy and me buying the lowest low of the HTF HL with great potential I could be right is a risk I'm willing to take as the benefit of me being right (having THAT amount of conviction with serious high level analysis backing that conviction) would just prove to me that I'm one of the best in the world in trading BTC, and this mental benefit will flow into daily ordinary life as I would then have proof of this 'status' (forgive me people, I know better but I'm still young and I know having this ego thing now will create a laugh + will make me happy in the future) + gives me more rest to focus on my studies. I accept the traders' mistake as this is a HTF HL environment, not an ordinary area in between.
by EyyJasper
BTC Possible HTF HL Creation We are however still in a downtrend and current area is the place for the new LH. We already have the SFP at the highs (thus, good for the LH formation) but this hasn't provided any downward move + MSB isn't possible anymore as it has taken too long. We could get a LH SFP though which I think will still create the downmove. The question I ask myself now: what if we don't get the LH SFP and go down first? This would then create the HTF HL I think, as price has no resistance but still breaks down + there's no short setup to be found. But: will it go back to the lowest low of 74k or will it stay above the blue line structure and form the low around 82k? If the lowest low was an SFP price wouldn't go back to the lowest low but now I don't know: big horizontality makes past structure weaker to where price can easily go through it but at the same time if there's no reason to break down why would it break down in such a big way (from 84k to 74k instead of 84k-82k)?
by EyyJasper