BTC SWING DOJI +OB LONGBTC is currently in a mini consolidation box, can breakout or breakdown, if it breaks down I plan to long the 79K 1H bullish OB, Its at support (Volume Profile) + its the Montly VAL, target would be the 89 Liquidity, watch out for reaction before entering, invalidation is very clear
BTCUSDT.5L trade ideas
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Daily AnalysisBitcoin (BTC/USDT) Daily Analysis – Buying Opportunity Ahead
📅 **Date:** April 16, 2025
📈 **Chart Timeframe:** 1D (Daily)
💹 **Pair:** BTC/USDT
---
Chart Overview
Bitcoin has been forming a **falling wedge pattern** on the daily timeframe, which is typically a bullish reversal setup. After an extended correction from the $110,000+ zone, BTC appears to be finding strong support around a major **buying area** near the **$72,000–$76,000** range.
The chart shows confluence from multiple technical levels:
- Rising trendline support from past higher lows.
- Demand zone (highlighted in blue) aligned with historical support and accumulation zones.
- Price action nearing the **bottom of the wedge**, indicating a potential breakout.
---
Technical Analysis
📌 Pattern: Falling Wedge
📌 Support Zone (Buying Area):$72,000 – $76,000
📌 Immediate Resistance: $88,000 – $90,000
📌 Major Resistance Zone: $108,000 – $112,000 (Supply zone in red)
📌 Trendline Support: Long-term trendline intact
Price Outlook & Prediction:
Based on the current setup:
1. **Price is likely to revisit the lower wedge boundary or the buying area** before making a strong move.
2. If the price successfully retests and holds above the **$72K–$76K demand zone**, it could mark a **bullish reversal**.
3. A breakout from the wedge would confirm bullish strength, potentially pushing BTC towards the **$96,000–$100,000** area in the medium term.
4. Eventually, we could see a retest of the **$108,000–$112,000 resistance**, where strong selling pressure previously emerged.
---
Trading Plan:
🔵 Buy Entry (Swing Trade Idea):
> Watch for bullish price action confirmation or a retest bounce from the $72K–$76K zone.
🎯 **Target 1: $88,000
🎯 **Target 2: $96,000
🎯 **Target 3 (Long-term): $108,000+
🛑 Stop Loss:
> A daily close below $70,000 (to invalidate the bullish structure)
---
Conclusion:
BTC is trading at a key technical juncture. With a well-respected trendline and a clear falling wedge structure, the upcoming days could present a high-probability buying opportunity for swing traders and investors. However, patience is key—wait for confirmation from the buying area or a clean breakout above the wedge.
Stay alert, and always manage your risk! 🚀
BTCUSDT – Big Move Incoming, Key Level To watch!Bitcoin is approaching a key decision area after a few months of downward pressure. The chart shows a clear bearish structure with lower highs and lower lows. Recently, a possible double top has formed just below the major resistance near 88.668, which could suggest a short-term pullback if buyers don't step in.
If the double top plays out, a retest of the support zone between 78.576 and 82.000 is likely. This zone has held well in the past and could act as a strong base again.
However, if price manages to break and hold above 88668, that would be a strong signal of strength. It could mark a shift back to a bullish trend, with the next major target being the all-time high area around 108.360.
Key areas to watch:
Support: 78.576 to 82.000
Resistance: 88.668 and 108.360
Right now, Bitcoin is at a make-or-break point. A breakout could trigger a strong rally, while rejection may lead to another dip. Stay patient, watch how price reacts at these levels, and let the market confirm the next move.
BTC-----Sell around 84150, target 83150 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 16:
Today, the daily level of the big cycle closed the small negative line yesterday, and the K-line form is single yin and single yang. The price has reached above the moving average during the strong pullback trend in the previous three trading days. The indicator in the attached picture is running golden cross. Although the current rebound trend seems to be relatively strong, the suppression at the weekly level is still very obvious. Under such circumstances, our transactions must remain short-term, do not be greedy, and enter and close the position. All positions must be decisive, otherwise it is easy to be trapped; in the four-hour chart, the price of the European market yesterday was under pressure and retraced. The K-line pattern was continuously negative, and the price was below the moving average. The indicators in the attached picture were running dead cross, and the moving average pressure was near the 84500 area. On the short-period hourly chart, the K-line pattern was continuously negative, with the correction high point near the 84200 area. Looking at today, it is simple. Use the four-hour moving average pressure as a defense to sell.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: counter sell in the 84150 area, stop loss in the 84600 area, and target the 83150 area;
BTCUSD - Short Term Long Trade - Evidence of 90K Incoming...In this video, not only do I walk you through the small degree long trade (based on the chart linked below), but I also break down the entire pattern, explain the corrective process, and share what I expect to happen next.
As long as 83,015 holds, all signs point toward a potential 6%+ move up to 90K. This is a solid opportunity—price tends to move slowly during corrections, and then all at once.
Let’s navigate this setup together, so you can take advantage of it with solid risk management and smart leverage.
Bitcoin (BTC): Fake-out Above 200EMA | Sellers DominatingBitcoin had a nice rejection yesterday where we failed to form the BOS and break above the local highs, which resulted in a fakeout above the 200EMA and the price falling below that line.
As we see the demand in downward movement, we are keeping our sell target active as long as we are again below the local highs (at $85,750).
Markets sell exhausted, economy doomed....Be sure to have a tight stop-loss and small leverage on any position you would want to open. We expect to see a big liquidation hunting to happen soon thanks to the #China and #USA tariff war.
Swallow Academy
#BTC/USDT#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are seeing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 82900.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, which supports the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 83240
First target: 85150
Second target: 86435
Third target: 87858
#BTC/USDT#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 74,300
We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 79,056
First target: 80,422
Second target: 81,950
Third target: 84,000
BTCUSD - Looking For A Push To 90K...We appear to be in the midst of an expanded zig-zag correction.
A small push toward 90K—without breaking the support at 83,015—would confirm the pattern. So far, the break above the recent high, along with the expanded correction, supports this outlook. As long as the 83,015 level holds, price may reject any prolonged move below the 1000-period moving average.
BTCUSDT has reached a pivotal point.Market Alert: Bitcoin's Crucial Moment
The battle lines are drawn! BTCUSDT has reached a pivotal point, slamming into the trendline resistance zone that's proven to be a formidable foe for bulls. Will the bears finally break through, or will the bulls rally for another attempt at higher grounds?
Our analysis reveals a high probability of rejection at this critical level, setting the stage for a potential downturn. If our expectations play out, we could see BTCUSDT plummeting towards the $81K and $80K support zones. These levels will be make-or-break for the short-term trend, and traders would do well to keep a close eye on them.
Stay alert, stay informed, and let's ride the waves of volatility together! The market is full of opportunities, and with the right insights, you can navigate even the most turbulent of times.
Bitcoin Bull Pennant / Falling Wedge BreakoutBINANCE:BTCUSDT recently broke out of a Bull Pennant / Falling Wedge, and seems to be retesting the resistance as support.
This follows two leading RSI signals:
• RSI downtrend breakout
• RSI bull divergence
Breakout Targets
• $115K — Falling Wedge measured move
• $130K — Pennant projection
Key Levels to Watch
• $72K — Main support + invalidation (former resistance + 0.618 Fib from 49K–109K)
• $91.5K — Prior support, now a key resistance to reclaim
• $109.5K — All-Time High
the metric is now at average valuesThe Pareto Principle states that 20% of efforts bring 80% of results. Currently, 20% of the network's offerings are at a loss, while 80% remain profitable. When the share of coins in profit exceeded 95-98%, the market became overheated and profit-taking began (yellow bars).
After the all-time high (ATH), the market cooled down, and the metric is now at average values.
Gold is cooling, digital gold = Going UPNow you can safely make a long. When real gold "cools down", digital gold starts to grow. I wrote about this yesterday:
Russia accumulated gold in 2019
Gold bull run by 2020
Russia started a war in 2022
China has been actively buying gold lately
A new war will start in 2026-27 from China
We all want peace.
Gold always predicted chaos
BTC Usdt Crypto Short p.Dragon BTC: Strengthening, but Outflows Slow Down
Funding remains neutral, institutional activity is moderate
📉 Exchange Reserves: 2.4297M BTC (–0.11%)
💵 USD Reserves: $203.3B (–1.42%)
📥 Inflow: +27.09K BTC (+0.9%)
📤 Outflow: +29.68K BTC (+0.81%)
⚖️ Netflow: –2.58K BTC ➜ Still outflow, but weakening
🔎 Market Outlook:
BTC is in an accumulation phase but lacks strong impulsive demand
ETH is losing activity but supported by stable volume
XRP / TRX / SOL are overheated — potential for pullback / profit-taking
BNB showing surging activity and volume — watch for breakout towards $600+
BTC Crypto Futures Trade Plan 2025-04-15BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Technical Analysis Synthesis:
Price Position Relative to Moving Averages: The current price of BTC ($83,690.70) is below the SMA (50) at $84,306.36 and significantly below the SMA (200) at $87,550.48, indicating a potential bearish trend. However, it is above the SMA (20) at $82,722.04, suggesting some near-term support. RSI Readings: With an RSI (14) of 50.32, BTC is neither in overbought nor oversold territory, indicating a neutral condition that does not strongly suggest a specific direction based on momentum alone. Bollinger Band Position and Width: The price is closer to the lower band ($77,705.82) than the upper band ($87,738.25), which could suggest oversold conditions or pending volatility. The bandwidth is relatively wide, indicating higher volatility. Key Support/Resistance Levels: Significant support is around the lower Bollinger Band ($77,705.82) and resistance near the SMA (50) and upper Bollinger Band.
Market Sentiment Integration:
Market Sentiment Data: The funding rate of 0.0000% suggests a neutral sentiment among futures traders, indicating no strong bias towards long or short positions. News Impact: Recent news has had mixed impacts, but overall, the market seems to be consolidating rather than trending strongly in one direction. On-Chain Metrics: Without specific on-chain data provided, it's challenging to assess sentiment directly from these metrics. However, historical price action suggests a potential for bearish continuation given the inability to surpass key resistance levels. Funding Rates and Open Interest: The zero funding rate indicates a balanced market, but without open interest data, it's difficult to gauge the market's overall positioning and potential for future moves.
Directional Determination:
Based on the technical analysis and market sentiment integration, the market direction appears to be Moderately Bearish. The price action below key moving averages, the failure to break through resistance, and the mixed sentiment data contribute to this assessment.
Trade Strategy Selection:
Given the moderately bearish outlook, a short position could be considered. The entry price would ideally be at or near the current price ($83,690.70), with a stop-loss above the SMA (50) or a recent high, and a take-profit target near significant support levels or based on a risk-reward ratio.
Trade Execution Plan:
Entry Price: $83,690.70 Stop-Loss: $85,000 (above the SMA (50) to account for potential resistance) Take-Profit: $80,000 (a significant support level based on historical price action) Position Size: 1 (assuming a unit size for simplicity; actual sizing should be based on risk management principles) Entry Timing: At market open, to capitalize on the potential bearish momentum indicated by the technical and sentiment analysis.
Risk Assessment:
Potential Downside Risk: Significant, given the volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets. Market Volatility Impact: High volatility could either amplify gains or losses. Correlation with Other Assets: BTC's movement can be correlated with other cryptocurrencies but may also be influenced by broader market sentiments. Liquidity Conditions: Assuming adequate liquidity for the trade, given BTC's status as a major cryptocurrency.
JSON Trade Plan:
{ "instrument": "BTC", "direction": "short", "entry_price": 83690.70, "stop_loss": 85000, "take_profit": 80000, "confidence": 0.60, "size": 1, "entry_timing": "market_open" }
Risk Warning:
Trading crypto futures with leverage is extremely risky and can result in significant losses. This strategy should only be used with proper risk management and position sizing. The provided plan is based on technical and sentiment analysis and should be adapted to individual risk tolerance and market conditions.
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
BTC - small scalp exampleTrying to keep this one short:
BTC took the weekend highs, only entry was market in when getting back below the level. Which is usually how I trade, but I had ETH short already and was fine keeping it that way.
Now internal structure is at an important low:
- mark the last high (sweep high)
- mark the high before that, that got broken
- the low in between those would signal internal break if broken
now price is very weak, but we look for a low-hold to keep structure + price pushing into supply on futures open.
keeping it really tight, if we lose this internal structure, it's much more likely that we take the weekend lows as well, from where we can look for a new setup.
tp into the orderblock that preceded the breakdown, tp1 around first resistance at 84.5