A GOOD TIME TO BUY BTCPrice recently made an impulse move to the upside which reassured investors that buyers are holding their ground at the moment . A buy opportunity is envisaged from the current market price. Target level is 88k,93k
BTCUSDT.5L trade ideas
Bitcoin Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring BTCUSDT for a selling opportunity around 90000 zone, Bitcoin is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 89000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
How to Actually Do Backtesting?Welcome back guys, I’m Skeptic!
Today, I’m gonna break down one of the most important and fundamental skills every trader needs: Backtesting .
Backtesting is the very first step on your trading journey and probably the most crucial one. It’s all about putting your theoretical knowledge and trading plan to the test by evaluating them against historical market data. The goal? To see whether your strategy actually works — with what win rate, R/R ratio , and more.
But here’s the problem: many traders do it wrong. They end up getting unreliable results, which leads to self-doubt when it comes to forward testing. The real issue is not your strategy but how you conduct your backtest.
Let’s dive into the complete process! 💪
🛠️ Tools You Need
To start backtesting, you’ll need some software that supports the replay feature, allowing you to move through historical data as if it were live.
The best platforms for this are TradingView and MetaTrader . Personally, I use TradingView because it’s super intuitive and has great backtesting capabilities.
Also, make sure to choose appropriate timeframes for backtesting that align with your strategy.
🕰️ Choosing Market Conditions:
You need to backtest your strategy in all types of market conditions:
Uptrend
Downtrend
Range-bound
High Volatility
🚀 Step-by-Step Backtesting
1.Choose the Timeframe:
Make sure your backtesting timeframe matches your strategy’s timeframe. For example, if your strategy works on the 4H chart, don’t backtest on the 1H chart.
2.Select Your Strategy:
Stick to your written trading plan without improvising.
3.Pick the Asset Pair:
Test on at least three different pairs or assets (e.g., EUR/USD, XAU/USD, GBP/NZD) to get diverse results.
4.Define Entry and Exit Rules:
Clearly specify your entry, stop loss, and target levels. Never change these rules mid-backtest, even if it seems illogical. In real trading, you won’t have the luxury of endless contemplation.
🎯 Running the Backtest
Use the Replay Tool to move through historical data.
Never peek at the future price movement. If you accidentally see it, restart from a different point.
Open a minimum of 30 positions for each market condition (e.g., uptrend, downtrend, range).
Record each trade in a spreadsheet (Excel, Google Sheets, etc.) with the following columns:
Date
Time
Entry strategy
Stop loss
Target
Result (profit/loss as R/R ratio)
Exit time
📊 Analyzing Your Results
After completing your backtest, it’s time to analyze the data. Key metrics to focus on include:
R/R Ratio
Win Rate (%)
Drawdown (%)
Losing Streaks
Position Frequency
🚩 Common Mistakes to Avoid
Inconsistent Strategy: Changing your rules during backtesting is a no-go. Stick to the plan.
Incomplete Testing: Don’t cut corners and always aim for a substantial number of trades.
Ignoring Market Conditions: Make sure your strategy is tested in all four market scenarios.
Lack of Patience: Just because the first few trades are losses doesn’t mean the strategy is a failure. Sometimes, a losing streak can be followed by a winning trade that covers it all.
💡 Conclusion
Backtesting is the beating heart of any trader’s skill set. It builds confidence and lays the foundation for a profitable strategy. If you found this tutorial helpful, give it a boost and share it with your fellow traders. Let’s grow together, not alone!
And as Freddie Mercury once said:
We are the champions, my friends! :)🏆
Happy trading, and see you in the next analysis! 💪🔥
Bitcoin can rebound from triangle pattern to 90K pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Not long ago, the price was trading within a range, where it quickly entered the seller zone and remained near this area for quite some time. BTC attempted to rise but failed, and after nearly reaching the upper boundary of the range, it dropped sharply. The price broke through the 94000 level, exiting the range as well, and then fell to the support level, which aligned with the buyer zone. Shortly after, the price made a strong upward impulse toward the resistance level before starting a decline within a downward triangle. Inside this pattern, BTC initially made a correction, climbed back to the resistance line of the triangle, and then resumed its decline. Eventually, the price dropped to the 78900 support level, where it touched the triangle’s support line and then began to rise. At the moment, BTC continues to climb near this level, and I expect it to rebound from the support line of the triangle and break above the resistance, signaling an exit from the pattern. If this happens, I anticipate further growth, so my target is set at 90000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin Rebounds with Dovish FOMC, Preparing to Test TrendlineBitcoin has broken out of the ascending triangle and is starting to regain some lost ground. While the medium-term trend remains downward, if BTC holds above the upper boundary of the triangle (around 85K), another leg higher with a potential target between 90K and 91K becomes more likely, depending on the pace of the move.
Supporting the bullish case are factors such as the Ripple case drop, a slightly dovish FOMC, and rumors of new crypto-related actions from Trump.
However, if Bitcoin falls back below the 85K level today, the next key support to watch is around 82,500. A move down to this level alone wouldn't completely negate the bullish outlookfor short term. But if Bitcoin also breaks below the lower boundary of the former triangle too, it would significantly increase bearish pressure.
BTC----Buy around 85500, target 87000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC on March 20: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a medium-yang line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was still a single-yin and single-yang line. The price was consolidated at a low level. The attached indicator was in a golden cross, but the fast and slow lines were still below the zero axis. The suppression at the weekly level was still quite obvious. The current trend is still the trend of time-for-space pullback, but there will not be too much movement, and we just need to follow the trend and maintain short-term trading; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the European session rose and the US session continued in the early morning, and the price broke the high and then retreated quickly. The current price is consolidating at a high level, and the attached indicator was dead cross but there was no retracement strength. If we see a continued rise today, then the retracement strength cannot be large. The intraday low is near the 85400 area.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: buy at the 85500 area, stop loss at the 85000 area, and target the 87000 area;
Bitcoin Analysis: Short-Term Outlook & Key Levels (March–June 20Bitcoin is currently in a bearish sideways trend, reflecting global macroeconomic uncertainty and declining liquidity.
Institutional OTC sales Altcoins at deep discounts (up to 50%) indicate pessimism among large holders.
---
Technical Levels & Targets
- Short-term bullish bounce possible late March–early April 2025.
- Strong resistance zone: $90,000–$95,000.
(BTC unlikely to sustain above this range.)
- After this bounce, anticipate continued downward correction:
- First target: $74,000
- Deeper bearish scenario: $68,000–$60,000
---
Cyclical Outlook (May–June 2025)
May–June 2025 is likely to mark a significant local bottom, potentially offering an optimal entry point for long-term accumulation. Expect subsequent recovery later in 2025, possibly extending into early 2026.
---
Conclusions & Recommendations:
- March–April 2025: Possible short-term bounce up to ~$95,000.
- April–May 2025: Likely local bottom (ideal accumulation window).
- Avoid leveraged positions due to high volatility risks.
> ⚠️ Not financial advice; perform your own due diligence.
Bitcoin (BTC): Recently Filled Bullish CME / BearishSellers are showing again dominance after Bitcoin filled that bullish CME. Currently we are not seeing any strong buying volumes or signs of possible further breakouts to happen; this was rather a quick liquidity hunt toward the CME gap.
Why we say liquidiyt hunting—well, I think most of you have seen that guy on Twitter who had millions of dollars put into a short position. Well, his liquidation price was near $85,100, so now we have filled it (although the guy has opened a few more positions and also shorts).
Long story short, our gameplan is still same 🤝
Swallow Team
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #39👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's delve into the Bitcoin and key crypto indexes analysis. As usual, I want to review the New York session futures triggers for you.
⏳ 1-hour timeframe
As you can see in the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin broke the 84734 resistance yesterday and the price moved upwards. We had some triggers before breaking this area, which I hope you opened positions with and made some profits.
✅ Currently, the price has reached the 86876 area, got rejected, and has returned to 84734. Given the low volume of the red candles, we can consider this movement a correction and a ranging box might form between 84734 and 86876.
⚡️ For today, the best long trigger is breaking 86876, which the price has already hit once. If it can break this area in subsequent contacts, we can enter a position.
🔽 For short positions, the first trigger is the break of 84734, but it’s a risky trigger and I prefer to wait until the price makes a significant trend change before entering a position.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Moving on to the Bitcoin dominance analysis, yesterday, as Bitcoin's price increased, dominance broke through 61.49 and moved downward, which helped altcoins move higher.
💫 However, as dominance reached 61.08, the market momentum completely changed, and dominance returned above 61.49. Now, after the trend line break, with the break of 61.63, we can confirm a fake breakout.
🧩 For dominance to move downward, the break of 61.49 is still appropriate, and a break of this area can still confirm a downward trend in dominance.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving on to the Total2 analysis, yesterday’s trigger at 1.04 was activated, and I moved this area to 1.05 today because the price reacted better to it.
⭐ If you had opened a position with the break of 1.04, you could have made a good profit as the price reached 1.07.
🔑 Currently, the price is ranging between 1.05 and 1.07, and you can open positions if any of these areas break.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Finally, looking at the Tether dominance, the chart is very similar to Total2 but in reverse.
✨ A break of 5.26 confirms an upward trend, and a break of 5.13 confirms a downward trend in dominance.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Beware of bull trapsFED ready PUTs and throw a hand to markets yesterday. I will be with caution about this.
If BTC enters again the red square this means that yesterday volatility was emotional. Volatility is just that, emotions not reasonably trading.
Wait for higher highs and the broke of +90k usdt mark
Post FOMC DumpThis pattern happens in accumulation - a fake bear flag.
It looks like to me that they started selling from around the breakout zone at 85-86k.
I think we can drop to get everyone shorting the bottom again before a big move up.
I marked 2 important zones to look out for and will update accordingly.
Bitcoin - Price Action Heating Up, Will Bulls Take Over?Bitcoin is at a pivotal moment on the 4-hour timeframe, and the next few moves could dictate whether we see a strong breakout or a potential reversal. Let’s break down what’s happening in the market right now.
📌 Rejections at the 4H Imbalance Zone
BTC has tested the 4-hour imbalance zone twice already but hasn’t managed to break through. This area, highlighted in blue on the chart, represents a key resistance level where sellers have stepped in to push the price down.
Every time price approaches this zone, we see wicks and rejections, indicating that there is still supply here. However, the more times a resistance level is tested, the weaker it tends to become. If bulls gain enough momentum, we could see a breakout.
📈 Higher Lows Suggest Bullish Potential
One of the most notable signs in Bitcoin’s price action is the formation of higher lows. This suggests that buyers are stepping in at higher price points, absorbing sell pressure and pushing the price upwards.
This pattern is generally a bullish signal, as it shows that demand is increasing, and sellers are losing control. As long as BTC continues to make higher lows and hold structure, the probability of a breakout to the upside increases.
🔥 Bullish Breakout Scenario – Target $91K
If Bitcoin can break through the imbalance zone with strong volume, this would likely signal the start of another leg up. A confirmed breakout and retest of this zone as support would give additional confidence in the move.
In this case, BTC could rally toward $91,000, which is the next significant resistance level based on previous price action.
⚠️ Bearish Rejection Scenario – Drop to $75K
However, if BTC fails once again to break through this imbalance zone and gets rejected, it could lead to a shift in market structure. The key level to watch will be the higher low trendline.
If price breaks below the most recent higher low, it would indicate that bullish momentum is fading and that sellers are taking over. This breakdown could send Bitcoin toward $75,000, which is a key demand zone where buyers may look to step in.
🔎 Final Thoughts – Key Levels to Watch
A break above the imbalance zone and confirmation of support could lead to $91K.
A rejection followed by a lower low could lead to a decline toward $75K.
Pay attention to volume on the breakout or breakdown—strong volume will confirm the move.
Bitcoin is at a critical point, and the next few days will determine the trend!
__________________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Bitcoin BTC price analysis, FOMC 19/03 - FED rateOur previous idea for OKX:BTCUSDT worked out 10 out of 10
Well, let's try to hit it again !)
Yesterday, CRYPTOCAP:BTC price showed growth despite the fact that the Fed left the rate unchanged yesterday #FOMC
In short, Powell said that he was "hesitant" to cut the rate now because it is not known how the economy will be affected by the new "economic tariffs and economic wars" that come into effect in early April. In the US, one "grandfather" does not know what to expect from the other "grandfather" ))
Nevertheless, #BTCUSD price has every chance of reaching $94k in the coming days.
And then, I would like to see a decline in BTC.D and USDT.D, which in turn will allow altcoins to "stop collapsing", and some low-liquid ones, which are easier to pump, will show good growth, such as X Empire.
👀 In general, the last 2 months have been: "not about making money, but about surviving and keeping the deposit, even with a drawdown", but the next 3 months may be very much about making money.
_____________________
Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
Bitcoin Ready For Next Phase...!!CRYPTOCAP:BTC is Getting Ready For the next phase of this Bull cycle✍️📈
Your patience is being tested here...
BTCUSDT (4H) Trade Setup – 20 March 2025Current Price: 85,724.51
Entry Zone: Near resistance around 85,848
Trade Idea: Short Position
Sell Entry: Near 85,848
Stop Loss: 90,000 (Above resistance)
Take Profit 1: 82,000 (First support)
Take Profit 2: 79,000 (Key target)
Market Structure & Analysis:
BTC is approaching strong resistance near 86K.
Price is expected to reject and retrace toward 82K & 79K.
If resistance holds, a bearish move is likely.
A break above 90K invalidates this setup.
This setup offers a risk-reward balance, ideal for a short-term bearish play. Always use proper risk management!
Long Term Bitcoin SituationRemember the time that we broke out the major bull flag in Bitcoin? It caused many new all time high levels in recent months. The problem is that Bitcoin lost its 5 waved bullish momentum. We see an upwards move only because of the fundemantel news.
I believe we are currently in a correction phase known as A-B-C pattern according to Elliot Waves theory. In order for Bitcoin to create another all time high level, there some requirements to achieve.
First, another bullish fundemantel actor in macro economic events. This could be an interest rate cuts, something about ETF's or even some crayz idea from Trump himself. Problably, it will be about intrest rates to be cut down in next june.
Second, Bitcoin needs to gain its delta momentum back (it's called CVD). For many weeks while Bitcoin has risen up, there were some significant movements in futures section. Bulls and long term holders were keeping their positions. With acceptence of the ETF's, spot Bitcoin volume was increased as well. The problem about this part of the story is, big instutial money that carried Bitcoin upwards is leaving. It's mostly because of the new politics that Trump has brought to the US. Instutial money or simple retail traders don't really like when there is an uncertainity about the economy. Fear and uncertainity is taking smart money away from Bitcoin. When this situation changes, money flow will change again and Bitcoin may catch the momentum it needs.
As the last requirement, Bitcoin hasn't actualy swept all the remaining liquidtiy below the lastly formed bullish flag. It's important for two reasons:
1: In technical terms, it will be fine retest and safe entry.
2: All the rookies who play around with futures sections in exchanges will be eliminated. So there will enough liquidty to go upwards again.
Remember, market always run for the liquidty and all the tecnical things you heard from people around is shaped by this consept. We will meet below 70K again before this summer.
For short term, I believe there will be another uprising move before upcoming pullback. It will be a short one and will get people in.
You see RSI below the chart that it's broken a trendline. Usually it's something good but in this case, even though some other indicators tells us that Bitcoin catch is momentum back again, I don't believe its that simple. As an another example, MACD also screaming out for Bitcoin to rise at the this moment in the daily chart. As I mentioned earlier, it's all caused because of the fundemantel news. Nothing real.
Good Luck to us all .
BTCUSD:Upward BreakoutToday, the price of BTC has started to show an upward breakthrough trend. Just as I analyzed before, when there is a breakdown of the trading range, we just need to readjust our trading direction.
After making a profit by shorting at 87,000, we will start to buy when the price drops to 85,000 later. Currently, the market has chosen to break through upwards, and the trading direction has begun to change.
BTCUSDT buy@84500-85000
tp:86000-87000
Currently, my account balance has grown from an initial $40,000 to $700,000 in profits. I will share accurate trading signals every day, and you have the option to copy my trading orders. If you're interested in getting these signals, you can click on the link below this article.
BITCOIN - Long Trade Idea - Possible Move Higher Incoming...This video follows up on the chart I posted last night, where I suggested that Bitcoin could break past its all-time highs and potentially double in value from its current levels.
This analysis is based on the AriasWave methodology, which offers a clearer perspective compared to the often-confusing Elliott Wave approach.
Check out the related idea below for the original chart, and in this video, I update that analysis with key levels to watch and potential risks to consider.
BTCUSD:Real-time trading opportunities.The buying opportunity for BTCUSD is still at the current price. 85000-85600.
Buy BTCUSD at a low yesterday, and the market rose 3k points crazily. Successfully hit TP/
The upward channel is now open. Now remember the risk of shorting. Long is still the current trend. Ultra-short-term trading 85000-85600 is a good buying point. Long-term target 94000. If the short-term target stands at 86800-88000, it will be an epic moment. Continue to go long.
The US cryptocurrency summit will be a boost to the rise.
BitcoinSupport and Stop Loss Levels:
Support at $85,058.00 (marked in green).
Stop-loss level at $84,500.00 (marked in red).
Target Price (Take Profit):
$89,230.00 is the marked profit-taking level.
Trend & Price Action:
BTC has broken out of a descending trendline.
Recent bullish momentum led to a price spike.
A minor retracement is occurring.
There is a Fair Value Gap (FVG) below the price, suggesting possible retracement before another leg up.
Trading Plan Based on This Analysis:
Bullish Setup:
Entry likely around $85,058 - $85,430.
Stop loss at $84,500.
Target $89,230 (Potential ~4% upside).
$BTC 2021 vs 2025This chart is aging like a fine wine.
This is a fake pump. The REAL LOCAL BOTTOM is coming in upcoming days. UP ONLY after that.
History does not REPEAT.
It RHYMES.
DO YOU SEE THE RHYTHM ?
DO YOU BLEED?
Tell me.
Lot of BEAR MARKET STARTED fud coming in upcoming days.
STICK TO THE PLAN.
Chart Explanation below.
====================
CRYPTOCAP:BTC 2021
After the first CRYPTOCAP:BTC topping rally we saw "THE SHAKEOUT" ( I've been calling for this cycle's shakeout since November 2024 ).
After the shakeout in 2021, RSI held support at a global support trend line. People were massively shorting during the shakeout , most of them with late entries.
Price action made a pullback to the WEEKLY 21EMA in a FAKE PUMP. To LIQUIDATE the SHORT POSITIONS and to TRAP more LONG POSITIONS.
People were calling that the "Local bottom" , people were calling "UP ONLY" at that fake pump. Just like now.
It got rejected from the 21Weekly EMA, and dropped back to the RSI support trend line while liquidating all the long positions. Big influencers started "BEAR MARKET" contents. The very few people who were not shaken out sold their coins and quit crypto at that time. The shakeout is DESIGNED to do this , so that the big boys can take all the profits alone.
So after that, RSI made a double bottom , broke out of the global resistance trend line in the LAST LEG UP for that cycle. This was the time when ALTS went the MOST CRAZY. And "some 10%" people made most of the money.
============================
CRYPTOCAP:BTC 2025
-Initial rally, make a local top. ( Called the rally from August-September 2024 )
-THE SHAKEOUT ( Been calling since 24th November,2024 )
-The RSI held support at a global STL ( support trend line )
- I called a fake pump since last week that will LIQUIDATE the short positions and trap more long positions. Cause?
People were in heavy SHORT POSITIONS after the last drop. . The WHALE shorting with $500M 2days ago made more people short the market. Fake pump. LIQUIDATE shorts. TRAP more longs.
We see People are calling this the local bottom and UP ONLY from now. A lot of LONG POSITIONS are opening. Guess what's coming ? If you are still reading , chances are you know the answer. Leave a comment if you don't, I'll answer there.
ONLY 10% PEOPLE WILL MAKE IT TO THE VICTORY LINE. Make sure you FOLLOW the right people.
STICK TO THE PLAN.
Trust the charts.
News is noise.
NFA. DYOR.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC #Bitcoin #Altcoins
BTC - Beautiful Signal Days AgoLook how often POC and blue box gave us Trade opportunities!
Signal/TA was given here:
4h:https://www.tradingview.com/x/ClAQ7sWm/
Follow for more ideas/Signals. 💲
Look at my other ideas 😉
Just donate some of your profit to Animal rights and rescue or other charity :)✌️
