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BTCUSDT.5S trade ideas

Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youBitcoin Trading Strategy: Navigating $101,000 Volatility with a Three-Dimensional Model Current Bitcoin prices oscillating near $101,000 reflect more than just technical support battles—they embody an expectation gap between policy implementation timelines and institutional fund flows. This strategy constructs a "Policy-Funds-Technology" three-dimensional analysis model, using the U.S. *Genius Act* House voting process and Hong Kong's *Stablecoin Ordinance* countdown as policy anchors, institutional behavior differences (e.g., MicroStrategy增持 vs. Grayscale fund flows) as funding validation, and key technical breakouts as entry signals for a dynamically adjusted trading system. I. Policy Landscape: Dual Catalysts on the Horizon - **U.S. *Genius Act* Legislative Progress**: The Senate passed the *Genius Act* with a 68:30 supermajority, and Trump has publicly pressed the House to expedite voting, with markets expecting final legislation by mid-late July. The bill requires stablecoin issuers to maintain 100% dollar/T-bill reserves, effectively integrating stablecoins into the "digital dollar" system. This is expected to attract ~$20 billion in institutional capital via compliant channels. - **Hong Kong *Stablecoin Ordinance* Launch**: Scheduled to take effect on August 1, the ordinance has prompted institutions like Standard Chartered and JD.com to prepare license applications. The introduction of offshore RMB stablecoins will create new liquidity entry points for Bitcoin. II. Funding Dynamics: Institutional Long-Term Conviction vs. Short-Term Positioning - **MicroStrategy's Bold Accumulation**: The firm's holdings surpassed 330,000 BTC after a June 22 purchase, with an average cost of $88,627—current prices yield a 14% unrealized gain, demonstrating corporate investors' long-term confidence. - **Grayscale GBTC Contrast**: $46.3 million flowed out of GBTC in the week ending June 20, reflecting institutional portfolio optimization ahead of policy milestones. - **Tron USDT Liquidity Base**: With circulation exceeding $70 billion (50% of global USDT) and $80 billion daily transaction volume, Tron's stablecoin provides robust liquidity support for Bitcoin. III. Technical Confirmation Mechanisms for $101,000 1. Short-Term Support Validation: - Price forms a "Morning Star" candlestick pattern within $100,000-$101,000, accompanied by 20% higher trading volume than the prior day. 2. Trend Breakout Confirmation: - RSI rebounds from below 40 to above 50, coinciding with a decisive price突破 (breakout) of the intraday resistance at $102,000. **Trading Tactics**: - **Aggressive Entry**: Long positions on confirmed Morning Star patterns, with stop-loss below $100,000 (2% below support). - **Breakout Follow-through**: Add to positions above $102,000, targeting $105,000 resistance. - **Risk Control**: Maintain position sizes below 15% of portfolio, with profit-taking triggers set at 3%–5% intervals. This framework balances policy-driven structural shifts with tactical technical signals, enabling traders to navigate the volatility gap between institutional long-termism and short-term market noise. Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you BTCUSDT BUY@101000~102000 SL:98000 TP:103000~104000
Long
by David_Wilson1
BTC slowly getting bearmarket vibes.Given the current macroeconomic and geopolitical landscape, there is a growing risk of a renewed downward move in the market. Should we not see a rate cut materialize as early as June, Bitcoin could begin a gradual decline, potentially retracing toward the $50,000–$40,000 range. This slow grind lower may persist unless there is a sharp and meaningful shift in the key macro or geopolitical variables. While a reversal of this trend remains possible under improved conditions, current indicators suggest a steady move toward lower levels in the absence of a clear catalyst.
Short
by r0b1n4t0r
Your Edge Isn’t Just Technical, It’s PersonalMost traders obsess over their strategy: Which indicator? What session? What entry signal? But very few stop to ask the question that could change everything: “Does this style actually fit who I am?” The Truth Most Don’t Talk About Trading success is not about copying someone else’s edge. It’s about discovering your own edge, and that begins with self-awareness . And it hit deep because this is the part of trading psychology we often skip. Some Real Talk If you’re naturally calm and risk-averse, trying to scalp news spikes will drain you. If you’re fast-thinking, decisive, and love volatility, swing trading might feel like watching paint dry. If you thrive on rules and structure, discretionary trading might feel chaotic. If you're intuitive and adaptive, being forced into mechanical rules may kill your edge. You’re not underperforming because you lack discipline, you’re likely just misaligned. What Changed for Me I stopped trying to “be the trader” everyone said I should be. And I started trading like me. I built a system that fits my mental rhythm. I gave myself permission to simplify. I became consistent not because of a new setup, but because I removed internal friction. Final Thought: Your best trades don’t just come from the chart. They come from a place of alignment, when your mindset, risk tolerance, and system flow together. So before chasing another strategy, ask yourself: “Is my trading style in tune with my personality?”
Education
by J4mesWick
1
BTC Correction's 📉 Significant Bitcoin Correction During Uptrend After a strong bullish rally, Bitcoin has entered a correction phase, retracing nearly 25% of its recent gains. Interestingly, this correction aligns exactly with the 200-period moving average on the 4-hour chart, marking a potential key support level. 🔍 Is Bitcoin’s Correction Over or Just Beginning? The overlap with the 200 MA could signal the end of the correction, but if this zone fails to hold, deeper targets between the 35% and 75% retracement levels may come into play. 🛡️ Potential Support Levels for Bitcoin if the Correction Continues: First support: 102,200 USD – 25% correction Second support: 93,200 USD – 35% correction Third support: 84,100 USD – 50% correction Fourth support: 74,600 USD – 75% correction
by EhsanZeydabadi
20
Long on Bitcoin. Bullmarket ahead!🚀 Entering a Degen LONG Position I'm taking a calculated long here, with the 99.5k level acting as a key support zone. ✅ We’ve just swept the previous wick lows, grabbing a significant amount of liquidity that was resting below. ✅ The market has likely completed a clean ABC correction, with a nicely proportioned A = C structure — textbook move. 🧠 From a macro perspective: The Iran war narrative appears to be fully priced in. At this point, only an extreme escalation (e.g. nuclear) could trigger a deeper selloff. However, current geopolitical tensions may actually fuel bullish sentiment, as they give the FED more justification to pause or cut rates — a catalyst that could ignite the next impulsive leg of this bull market. 🤞 Fingers crossed — let’s see this rocket lift off.
Long
by lucamodena
Bitcoin Technical Analysis | Critical Support Zone in 4H Timefra📉 Bitcoin Technical Analysis | Critical Support Zone in 4H Timeframe Bitcoin is currently testing a major support zone at $101,126, but bearish pressure remains high. ⚠️ If bulls fail to hold this level and no strong candle closes above it, we could see a further drop toward the $97,769 and $96,475 support zones. However, if Bitcoin manages to bounce from here and begins a recovery, make sure to watch the descending purple trendline – a key resistance level that could slow down the upside. 🧭 The support and resistance levels drawn on this chart are highly reactive zones — use them to plan your trades and set smart entries and exits. 👉 Follow for more clean and actionable setups on BTC, ETH, and major crypto pairs!
by SepidehArjmand
BTC is still bearish (2H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section The red zone seems to have had enough orders to reject the price downward. It is expected that the price will drop at least to the green zone below. There will be some fluctuations along the way. A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
#BTC bearish cup-handle structure, beware of a pullback!📊#BTC bearish cup-handle structure, beware of a pullback! 🧠From a structural perspective, we broke below the neckline, which means a bearish structure is established, so we need to be wary of further declines. ➡️Yesterday's decline was rapid, so we can wait for a rebound to appear and look for shorting opportunities near the blue resistance area or the downward trend line. ➡️Since it is the weekend, the trading volume may be less. If there is no rebound, then we need to wait patiently for a period of sideways consolidation before looking for shorting opportunities. ⚠️Note that the area around 106500 is a support-resistance conversion zone. If it breaks through here and stabilizes, we can remain optimistic. 🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Short
by wolf_king888
BITCOIN BEARISH SETUPBitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Breakdown from Double Top Confirms Bearish Trend Continuation The 4-hour chart of BTC/USDT (Binance Perpetual Contracts) presents a textbook double top formation followed by a confirmed breakdown below structural support levels. The bearish trend has already met its first target, and technicals suggest the move could extend lower toward the key demand zone around $96,000. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: Double Top Pattern: Clear double top structure formed between $109,000–$110,000, followed by a strong rejection. Support Break: Price broke down below key support at ~$105,000, triggering a sell-off and validating the bearish reversal. Bearish Retest: After the breakdown, price retested the broken trendline (highlighted with a red zone) and failed to reclaim the range. First Target Hit: Price achieved the first projected support zone at around $101,000. Next Target: Based on measured move projection and previous structure, the next downside target lies near the $96,000 mark. 📉 Outlook: The structure remains bearish as long as BTC trades below the broken support-turned-resistance zone (~$105,000). Momentum favors continued downside toward the next key zone unless a significant bullish reversal signal emerges.
Short
by traderchamp_
btc chipping down de road This is de rasshole fractal—the fractal from the future, the one whispered through the blockchain by quantum echoes of bull runs past, the one that knows, that sees, that is. It bends time, folds sentiment, loops liquidity through dimensions you haven’t even leveraged yet. It doesn’t care about your indicators, your trendlines, your cousin’s TA on Reddit—it just exists, pulsing with the inevitable. You can squint at it, laugh at it, ignore it—but it’s already printed, already fulfilled, already written in the candlesticks of destiny. Don’t try to understand it. Just feel it. Because the fractal knows: the price is going up. Did you buy the dip, or are you still refreshing?
by donraja
1
Bitcoin and the descending channel it consistently followsAccording to the UTC+3 time zone, there is a Bitcoin channel between the 23:00 and 03:00 candles on May 21, which uses the width of the channel (the yellow channel). If we copy the same channel and place it at the upper wick of the 15:00 candle on May 27, we get the green channel. Similarly, by copying the yellow channel and aligning it with the lower wick of the 03:00 candle on May 22, which is one of the first two white candles at the start of the channel, we get the orange channel. The blue channel, on the other hand, is my prediction. In addition, not only the 0 and 1 points (solid line) of the channels but also the 0.5 (short line), 0.25, and 0.75 (dotted lines) levels act as support and resistance.
by Oktay_KRC
1
BTC get out while you still can!I've been warning people about this for weeks. History doesn't repeat itself, but it certainly rhymes. BTC had a double tope and the 50 / 200SMA show cooling and both showing clearly that it's moving one direction and it's not up. Gravity with this one is strong (historically) and so is the volatility. Crypto bros will go back to eating beans and rice! MSTZ and BTCZ could be good plays here....best of luck and always do your own due diligence!
Short
by antonini2002
1
The Importance of the 104463.99 Point Hello, traders. Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) This volatility period is around June 22nd (June 21-23rd). Therefore, waves can be generated at any time during the volatility period. The 104463.99 point is the DOM (60) indicator point of the 1W chart, which corresponds to the end of the high point of the 1W chart. Therefore, it seems that the price defense is being done well. I think that defending the price at the high point is significant because it raises expectations for further increase. - If it falls after a period of volatility, there is a possibility that it will meet the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, and I think the important point at that time is the 99705.62 point. Therefore, when it falls, you need to check whether the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart rises to around 99705.62 and whether it is supported. - Even if it rises after receiving support near 104463.99, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above 108316.90. The 108316.90 point is the HA-High indicator point of the 1D chart, which corresponds to the middle value of the high point range. Therefore, in order to continue the uptrend, it must be supported and rise in the 108316.90-111696.21 range. Currently, both the Low Line and High Line of the auxiliary indicator OBV are showing a downward trend. Therefore, in order for the uptrend to begin, OBV must rise above the High Line and be maintained. If not, it is highly likely that it will fall due to selling pressure. One hopeful(?) thing is that the PVT oscillator is showing an overall upward trend. (Changed from OBV oscillator to PVT oscillator.) Therefore, we can see how important the area around 104463.99 is playing a role of support and resistance. - In my chart, the basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator. Therefore, it is virtually impossible to create a trading strategy at the current price level. In such cases, you should conduct trading through day trading or quick response. If not, you may experience a lot of psychological fear and anxiety. The basic time frame chart of all indicators is the 1D chart. Therefore, if you cannot read the flow of the 1D chart, you are likely to end up getting faked and suffer losses. Therefore, you should read the flow of the 1D chart and create a big picture of how to create a trading strategy, and respond in detail on the time frame chart below the 1D chart. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​This is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
1
$BTC correction: targets 101k, 97.5k, 94k, 87kThe hype is peaking — institutions, banks, Wall Street, and even governments are buying Bitcoin. Yet despite the frenzy, BTC has been rejected three times around the $110K level and appears to be heading into another correction. Bitcoin maximalists are pushing a strong FOMO narrative to attract retail investors, but several factors are pushing back: - Psychological barrier: At these price levels, retail investors are hesitant. Owning just a "fraction" of a Bitcoin doesn’t appeal to the average person. - Geopolitical tension: The conflict with Iran is serious. This isn’t a small, isolated country — Iran is a millennia-old civilization with global alliances. This situation won't resolve quickly or easily like Libya, Syria, or Iraq. - Oil price surge: Escalating tensions could disrupt the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for global oil. Western sanctions on Russia already strain supply — if Iran joins, where will Europe get its energy? U.S. supply won’t be enough. Expect a spike in inflation. - Recession risks: Persistent inflation could drive a recession in the second half of the year. - Trade wars & tariffs: No resolution, just chaos. - Ukraine-Russia war: Still unresolved. Still draining global stability. In short, the world is burning — and this is terrible for markets. Bitcoin maximalists — some even selling company shares to buy more BTC — may soon face the harsh reality: Bitcoin needs a deeper flush before it can rally again. Retail won’t return until altseason clears the way and resets sentiment. In a cycle dominated by propaganda, institutional manipulation, and global unrest, predictions are fragile. The only guide left: the chart. Technically, we’re in correction mode again. Comparing with past cycles, potential pullback targets are: $101K, $97.5K, $94K, $87K There’s massive support at $74K, but it's unlikely we revisit it soon. Stay cautious. DYOR. #Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #BTCUpdate #Geopolitics #Altseason #CryptoCorrection #MacroView #CryptoFOMO #RiskAssets #DYOR
Short
by CryptoNikkoid
9
Bitcoin### Bitcoin Price Analysis (June 21, 2025) #### **Current Price**: $103,236.15 (as of the snapshot) - The price is hovering near the lower end of the recent range, with key support at **$102,000** (marked as "S/s" on the chart). - Resistance levels are visible at **$105,000**, **$107,000**, and **$110,000–$114,000**. #### **Key Observations**: 1. **Support and Resistance**: - **Strong Support**: $102,000 (critical level; break below could signal further downside). - **Immediate Resistance**: $105,000 (previous entry point and psychological level). - **Higher Targets**: $110,000–$114,000 (if bullish momentum returns). 2. **Price Action Context**: - The price recently rejected the $105,250 level ("Entry") and is now testing lower support. - The "Profit" markers at $105,000 and $105,026 suggest these were take-profit zones for traders. 3. **Trend and Sentiment**: - The chart shows consolidation between $102,000–$110,000, with no clear breakout yet. - A hold above $102,000 could lead to a retest of $105,000, while a break below may target $100,000 or lower. 4. **Volume and Timeframe**: - The snapshot lacks volume data, but the date range (June–July) suggests a medium-term view. - Key dates to watch: June 25–28 and early July for potential volatility. #### **Conclusion**: - **Bullish Case**: Hold above $102,000 and reclaim $105,000 to aim for $110,000+. - **Bearish Risk**: Break below $102,000 could accelerate selling toward $100,000 or $99,000. **Actionable Insight**: Watch the $102,000–$105,000 range for a breakout or breakdown. A rebound from support with volume could signal a buying opportunity, while a drop below $102,000 may indicate further downside. *(Note: The analysis is based on limited data from the snapshot. For a full assessment, additional indicators like RSI, MACD, and volume would be needed.)*
Long
by Tdawly_Official
1
BTC is Bearish again?BTC 1W Overview BTC is still trading above 100k despite the macro situation and ww3 situation in the Middle East , which is fine for the BTC maxis and institutions. Weekly structure starting to shift in a bearish direction considering the weekly close below the structure and daily range is just a chop fest around the 104k area and so does the other assets getting chopped. BTC.D is now over 1000 days uptrending and this is wild and not at all what many were expecting this point in the cycle. Big concern on my mind is that what if BTC pulls back to the 90k area as I think may happen which I marked in the chart then altcoins will leg down another 20-30%. Obviously everything is not about technical and the fundamental side is simply that there is an ongoing conflict in the middle East and the whole crypto market is waiting for a resolution one way or the other and crypto market lacks patience and even we do get the uncertainty then it still doesn't address the deeper market issues of altcoin weakness and continued dominance of BTC (BTC outperformed every single alt except MKR). My best bet for LONG maxis will be around the 92k area Weekly FVG and Yearly Open, if we get more bad news from the middle East or Russia-ukraine or Sir powell comes with a bad news then this zone will be fast forwarded And for short maxis or Beras my best bet will be S\R of 104k or monthly open is area to look for All this planning will go down the drain if TRUMP comes with a good news regarding Tarrifs with china or other countries or any other news from the TRUMP because he's unpredictable On the short time frame Scalps are possible on both sides and 100k is a psychological level to long but in bearish scenerio or war news will just wreck it Final bias shifting Bearish For alts instead of trying to long every dead cat bounce or predict the bottom we have to wait for it to happen and then react accordingly because reaction and execution is better than drawing predictions and getting chopped
by Shady_charts
1