The Critical Blue Line – Will Bitcoin Soar or Sink
🔹 Bitcoin Technical Analysis – Key Blue Line, Bear Trap Possibility & Long-Term Scenario
On the Bitcoin chart, the blue horizontal level has acted multiple times as both support and resistance. The price has broken it several times but failed to sustain above, indicating high-volume decision-making zones by institutions and large players.
📉 Why this pattern keeps repeating:
Strong supply and demand concentration at this level.
Inability to break and hold shows market indecision.
Repeated fakeouts are likely used to shake out weak hands.
🔍 Important hidden scenario: Bear Trap Potential
If the price dips below the blue line but quickly reclaims it, it may form a bear trap, tricking short sellers into entering prematurely. This move could ignite strong bullish momentum from trapped sellers and renewed buyers.
🔮 If price holds above the blue line:
Signals market strength and potential bullish structure shift.
Targets:
109,800
117,200
120,000+ (Long-term)
📛 If support fails again:
Retracement toward the lower channel near 101,000 or lower is possible.
📊 Conclusion:
This zone is one of the most critical decision points in the current market. Traders should combine volume, candlestick behavior, and confirmation signals to avoid getting trapped by fake breaks
BTCUSDT.5S trade ideas
BTC/USDT 4H Outlook - Bearish Setup playing outAs expected, BTC is now moving toward the 4H liquidity zone.
❗Price is breaking structure from the Daily FVG resistance, showing bearish momentum.
🔍 Current confluences in play:
— Rejection from Daily FVG
— 4H structure shift
— Clean imbalance below
🎯 My next key zone is 104K (4H liquidity)
Reaction there will guide the next move.
Stay tuned for more updates
BTC - Daily Chart - Bull flag route 7/1/2025July 1st, 2025
BTC - Daily Chart
A bull flag route = Two Scenarios
1. Breakout - UP
- Retrace before the $105k area
- Consolidate
- Break out the top line
SL $104k
TP1 @ 108k
TP2 @ 111k
Final TP @ 113k NEW ATH
2. Fail support - DOWN
- 105k fail to support
- Aim for the button of the flag for support
SL $106k
TP @100k
Final TP @96k
BTC/USDT – Intraday Plan & Reflections (15m, Ichimoku) by RiscorReflections on the previous trade:
Yesterday’s short setup played out: we reached the targeted downward block, as expected. However, price didn’t bounce to the 108000 level (untapped area), leaving a liquidity gap that isn’t great for bears. This means we might revisit and fill that zone in the future.
Today’s context:
A strong sell-off and the untapped 108,000 zone make things uncertain, especially when looking to avoid getting trapped in countertrend longs.
Currently, I see two main short setups:
Scenario 1: Short from 106,550 (correction entry)
Entering on a pullback to 106,550 as a correction within the current bearish move.
Targeting a drop towards the 1.618 retracement of the last impulse, aiming for the lower blue zone (bottom of the cloud on H4).
This is the primary short if the correction materializes without breaking the highs.
Scenario 2: Short from yellow block (liquidity grab fakeout)
If price sweeps above and takes liquidity at the yellow block (marked by cluster of stop-losses), I’ll short from that fakeout.
Stop-loss as shown on the chart. Targeting the 0.27 fib of the previous impulse.
For this trade, I want to see a sharp rejection and heavy sell-off from the yellow zone.
If price consolidates above 107,200 (a couple of 1H closes), this is a red flag and I’ll exit manually.
In that case, expecting a move to 108,000 to fill the previous imbalance, before looking for renewed downside.
Key notes:
Context is highly uncertain today, multiple possible outcomes.
For now, I’m favoring the second scenario, but scenario one remains valid if the correction plays out as described.
Watching price action and volume closely for clues.
#BTC #Crypto #Trading #Ichimoku #Riscora
BTC 1D Analysis📊 BTC 1D Analysis
Price is respecting the channel and currently holding the 21 EMA as dynamic support.
If we see a strong daily close above the descending resistance, it may trigger a breakout toward the $110,000–$112,000 zone.
Key levels:
🔹 Support: $105,980
🔹 Resistance: $110,800
Bias: Bullish if breakout confirms
Watch the next 1–2 candles for confirmation.
🔔 Set alerts – don’t chase!
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView #CryptoSignals #DYOR
BTC losing its shine all over again.In previous charts I already called this might be the blow of top. Someone might say but bitcoin haven't finish its cycle, this is true but the economic situation is not favorable for any market to pump.
Another one is all whales, market makers and institutions knows 100% that if the market pumps one more time they will most likely dump because the market is already weak as it is, one more push will attract new money yes but retail buys of $200 are not enough to support the liquidity that is being hold above.
So we might see a reversal from 103k which is the bottom of the pennant to retry resistance once again, this time I would say 108-110k will be the resistance., Rejecting below that point will set BTC for a drop to the 95-98k once again.
I want to say BTC will most likely test the 80s again but let's not get too far away, Let's see how it does at 103k first, then if it holds then we know that it will reverse to the 108k area.
BTCUSDT 4H/1D | Macro Rejection + Event WatchBTC got rejected again at macro trendline (~108.5K)
Multiple lower highs → selling pressure confirmed
4H breakdown from compression with volume spike
Now hovering near 106.5K — key support
🔻 Below 106.2K = clean short trigger → 104.4K–102.5K
✅ Reclaim above 108.2K flips bias bullish
⚡ Market Context
Large treasury interest building (institutional buying signs)
Recent $40B options expiry adds volatility at key levels
Renewed institutional participation visible across platforms
Bias: Bearish below 107.2K. Structure and volume support downside.
Watch for July trend confirmation post-event digestion.
“Smart trades aren’t lucky — they’re planned.”
BTC/USD Fake out before Pump | Bullish Flag formationBTC/USDT (1D) Market Outlook – July 1, 2025
Introduction
BTC is currently consolidating within a bullish flag pattern after printing a swing high at 108.9K and a recent swing low at 98K. The price sits just below a major supply zone.
Context 1: Key Zones
Supply: 104.6K – 112.1K
Demand: 74.4K – 82.5K
Fair Value Gaps (FVG): 3 zones below price, with one near 88–90K
Context 2: Technical Confluence
Liquidation Zone: 106.2K
Golden Pocket (Fib 0.618): 102.1K
Psychological Levels: 105K and 110K
Context 3: Market Structure
Pattern: Bullish flag
Trend (LTF): Sideways/consolidation
Volume Profile: Heavy activity near 105K–110K
Bullish Scenario
Breaks above 106.2K (liq zone)
Pulls back to 102.1K (golden pocket), forms higher low
Retests resistance for continuation
Alt scenario: clean breakout above resistance → ATH retest
Bearish Scenario
Breaks below 106.2K and flag support
Fills FVG, breaks prior low at 98K
Triggers macro downtrend toward 88–90K zone
Summary
BTC is at a decision point inside a bullish flag, facing supply. A break above 106.2K favors upside continuation, while rejection and a lower low could trigger a deeper retracement. Watch key levels closely.
BTC - New month, new monthly Power Of ThreeNew monthly Power Of Three:
4 weekly candles to form a monthly candle.
So there will be 4 weekly PO3 within 1 monthly PO3.
Accumulation => Manipulation => Expansion
I anticipate the first week there should be a accumulation phase.
Determine the previous dealing range to find out the premium and discount range.
Short term trades back into the discount range and long term continues higher.
BTC — ATH or Lower High? Patience for the Next SwingBINANCE:BTCUSDT | 4h
Patience here — waiting for the next high-probability swing.
Major levels to watch: $111,990 (range high), $108,950 (weekly), $100,300–103,000 (demand).
Next move: ATH attempt or another lower high? Will act when the reaction sets up.
The only plays you need this week! 🚀 Join us as we dive into the highs and lows of Bitcoin this week! 🔥
Opportunities like this don’t show up every day — and we’ve got a strong feeling there’s a 10X trade hiding somewhere in this video! 👀💰
We’re locked in on the charts like eagles 🦅, watching closely to see if any of our setups come to life. You won’t want to miss what’s coming next! 📈📊
✨ Stay tuned for daily updates, smart setups, and sharp moves! ✨
📅 Weekly Schedule:
🛠️ Daily Setups: Monday to Friday
🎓 Class: Every Tuesday (if stars align 🌟 – subject to confirmation)
Let’s make it a big week! 💪🚀
BTC needs to hold up here. BTC is at a very important level. A role over is expected, but without market structure confirmation, it's important to consider the possibility of a move up. The bearish thesis on lower timeframes is the easy one. Ensure your bullish thesis is also considered. A confirmed lower low or a lower high would confirm a CHOCH reversal.
Full TA: Link in the BIO
BTCUSDT| Bounce from Channel SupportBTC just bounced cleanly off mid-channel support (~106.8K) within the descending structure.
Held above EMAs and reclaimed key short-term support.
If price holds above 107.2K → likely retest of 108.4K channel resistance.
Break and close above 108.5K = trendline breakout → 110K+ possible.
Break below 106.8K = failed bounce → 105.5K next demand.
Bias: Bullish while holding above 107.2K.
30-Minute Chart – Rising Wedge BreakdownBreakdown from 30m rising wedge confirmed with volume. Retest at 107.5K failed. Price now under EMAs.
4H also broke rising channel → rejection from 108.4K.
Key support: 106.4K.
Break below = 105.2K target.
Reclaim 107.5K = upside risk to 108.8K+.
Bias: Bearish below 107.5K.
Volume confirms move.
BTC Breakout Imminent – Targeting $110,349🕒 Timeframe: 30-Minute Chart
📈 Current Price: $108,425
🎯 Projected Target: $110,349
---
🔍 Chart Zones & Key Levels:
🔷 Blue Resistance Zone (~108,500 - 110,500)
Price is currently approaching the top of this range.
Historically, price rejected strongly from this area (left blue circle).
This zone has acted as major supply, but now price is retesting with bullish momentum.
🟢 Green Circles – Key Reaction Points
The first green circle marks a strong bounce from previous support (~106,000).
Second green circle shows resistance rejection, indicating it's a key pivot level.
🔶 Orange Zone (~104,000 - 106,500)
This acted as a demand zone during the correction (middle of the chart).
Price formed a double bottom within this zone, signaling bullish reversal (orange circle).
---
📊 Structure & Pattern:
Consolidation breakout from a horizontal range.
Forming higher highs and higher lows, showing bullish structure.
The blue arrow path shows expected price movement:
Minor pullback
Followed by breakout towards $110,349 target
---
🧠 Market Sentiment:
Strong accumulation near $106,000 suggests buyers are in control.
Price is gradually grinding higher into resistance with volume increasing (implied).
---
🧭 Conclusion:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: Dips near $107,800–$108,000
Target: $110,349
Invalidation: Break below $106,500
Bitcoin/TiqGPT Setup1D Timeframe: The daily chart shows a bullish momentum with recent green candles indicating a strong upward push. The price is currently near the high of the recent range, suggesting potential resistance or profit-taking levels.
4H Timeframe: The 4-hour chart reveals a more detailed view of the bullish momentum. There are signs of a pullback with the latest candle forming a small body, which could indicate a temporary exhaustion in buying pressure.
1H Timeframe: On the hourly chart, the price action shows a sharp decline followed by a recovery, indicating a volatility spike. This could be a reaction to a liquidity grab below prior lows, which is a common institutional maneuver to eliminate stop-loss orders before a directional move.
15M Timeframe: The 15-minute chart displays a recovery phase with the price moving upward steadily, suggesting that the earlier drop was likely a liquidity sweep.
5M Timeframe: This timeframe shows continued upward movement with consistent green candles, supporting the recovery narrative seen in the 15M chart.
1M Timeframe: The 1-minute chart shows a very granular view of the bullish momentum. The consistent upward ticks suggest strong buying interest at these levels, possibly from retail following the institutional cue.
INSTITUTIONAL THESIS:
Institutions appear to be in a phase of accumulation after a liquidity sweep, as evidenced by the sharp drop and subsequent recovery. The goal seems to be to push the price higher after successfully capturing liquidity below recent lows.
LEARNING POINT:
"1H Liquidity Sweep followed by a 15M and 5M bullish recovery indicating institutional buying pressure."
SIGNAL: BUY
SYMBOL: BTC/USDT ENTRY PRICE: $107,800 STOP LOSS: $107,400 TARGET PRICE: $108,600 CONDITION: Buy limit order post-1M confirmation of continued bullish momentum. RATIONALE: The setup aligns with a liquidity sweep followed by a bullish recovery across multiple timeframes, indicating strong buying interest. The entry is set above the current 1M high to ensure momentum continuation, with a stop placed just below the recent 1H low to minimize exposure to another potential liquidity sweep. STRATEGIES USED: Liquidity Sweep Recovery, Multi-Timeframe Bullish Alignment URGENCY: HIGH TIMEFRAME: Short-term CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85% RISK/REWARD RATIO: Calculated as follows:
Risk: $107,800 (Entry) - $107,400 (Stop) = $400
Reward: $108,600 (Target) - $107,800 (Entry) = $800
Ratio: 800 / 400 = 2:1
Skeptic| Cycle Mastery Part 1: HWC, MWC, LWC for Smarter TradingUnderstanding Higher Wave Cycle ( HWC ), Minor Wave Cycle ( MWC ), and Low Wave Cycle ( LWC ) is the key to making informed trading decisions, simplifying when to go long , short , or stay out . This Part 1 masterclass introduces these cycles, their relative nature, and how to align them with your strategy for precise entries and effective risk management . Let’s break it down. 📊
The Three Cycles: HWC, MWC, LWC
We trade across three market cycles:
HWC (Higher Wave Cycle) : The big-picture trend, like Bitcoin’s yearly uptrend.
MWC (Minor Wave Cycle): A medium-term trend, often an uptrend or corrective phase within the HWC.
LWC (Low Wave Cycle): The short-term daily trend, which can be range-bound, uptrend, or downtrend.
Knowing these cycles helps you decide when to e nter long, short, or avoid trading altogether, ensuring you align with the market’s rhythm.
Defining Your Cycles: It’s Relative
The main question before diving in: What timeframes are HWC, MWC, and LWC? The answer is relative—it depends on your strategy. Think of it like a temperature scale: 0°C isn’t “no heat” but a reference point (water’s freezing point). Similarly, your cycles are defined by the largest timeframe you analyze:
HWC: Your highest timeframe (e.g., Weekly for long-term traders).
MWC: The next level down (e.g., Daily).
LWC: Your shortest timeframe (e.g., 4-Hour or 1-Hour).
Ask yourself: What’s the largest timeframe I check? Set your HWC there, then scale down for MWC and LWC based on your trading style. This relativity ensures your cycles fit your unique approach.
While shorter cycles (LWC, MWC) form the HWC, the HWC’s power dominates, influencing smaller cycles. Let’s explore how to trade based on these relationships.
Trading Scenarios: When to Act
Scenario 1: HWC Uptrend, MWC Range
When the HWC is in an uptrend and the MWC is range-bound:
Action: Enter a long position on the first MWC wave when the LWC breaks the ceiling of the MWC range (e.g., a box breakout).
Why? The HWC’s bullish power supports the move, likely triggering an MWC uptrend. This makes the first wave a strong, low-risk entry.
Example: If the LWC (e.g., 4-hour) breaks the MWC range ceiling with a strong candle, you can confidently go long, backed by the HWC uptrend.
Scenario 2: HWC Downtrend, MWC Range
When the HWC is in a downtrend and the MWC is range-bound:
Action: Skip the first MWC wave. If the LWC breaks the MWC range ceiling, avoid going long—the bearish HWC could reject the move, resuming its downtrend.
Wait for the Second Wave: Let the MWC return to a range after the first wave. If the LWC breaks the range ceiling again, go long with confidence—the HWC’s influence is less likely to disrupt this second wave.
Risk Management Tips (if you trade the first wave against the HWC):
Reduce Risk: Lower your position size to minimize exposure.
Take Profits Early: Close the position or secure most profits (e.g., scale out) once you hit your R/R target, as volatility is high.
Wider Stop-Loss: Set a larger stop-loss to account for potential HWC-driven reversals, as stop-loss hunts are common in this scenario.
Adjusting Stop-Loss Size Based on Cycles
Aligned Cycles (HWC, MWC, LWC in Same Direction): When all three cycles align (e.g., all uptrend), set a tighter stop-loss relative to market conditions. Gradually scale out profits instead of closing the position, as the trend’s strength supports higher R/R (e.g., 5 or 10).
HWC Against MWC/LWC: If the HWC opposes the other cycles (e.g., HWC downtrend, MWC/LWC uptrend), use a wider stop-loss. The HWC’s power could reverse the LWC, lowering your win rate if stops are too tight. Expect volatility and plan accordingly.
Final Vibe Check
This Cycle Mastery Part 1 equips you to time MWC waves with precision, aligning HWC, MWC, and LWC for smarter entries. By mastering when to trade the first or second wave, you’ll avoid traps and maximize your edge. Part 2 will dive deeper with examples—stay tuned! At Skeptic Lab, we trade with no FOMO, no hype, just reason. Protect your capital—stick to 1%–2% risk per trade. Want Part 2 or another topic? Drop it in the comments! If this guide sharpened your game, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️
💬 Let’s Talk!
How will you time your MWC waves? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
BTC/USD Technical Analysis – Weekly Elliott Wave StructureIn this video, we analyze the weekly chart of Bitcoin ( BYBIT:BTCUSDT ) using Elliott Wave theory.
The current structure suggests the beginning of a new bullish impulse (waves 0, 1, and 2) following a clearly completed and technically correct corrective phase.
We explore potential impulsive scenarios starting from wave 2, using Fibonacci extensions to project possible targets and identifying key support zones and invalidation levels.
This analysis aims to provide a macro perspective based on price action, helpful for traders and investors following BTC from a medium- to long-term technical view.
🛑 Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Each user is responsible for their own trading decisions.
BTCUSDT 30min Breakout Retest | Micro Wedge into Macro ConfluencBTC 30m chart shows ascending wedge, followed by a bullish retest of prior resistance (now support ~107.4K). Price now consolidating just under diagonal resistance near 108.8K. EMAs are aligned bullish, volume surged during the breakout, and remains elevated—suggesting further upside potential.
🔄 Higher Timeframe Confluence
4H: Price pressing upper boundary of a rising wedge within a larger symmetrical pattern. Trendline pressure is real—either breakout above $109K or fade to $106.5K–$105K retest.
1D: Third touch on descending trendline from previous swing highs. Momentum building, and candles holding above EMAs. Breakout above $109.2K can trigger a move to $112K–114K (red expansion zone).
1W: Still inside a macro bull flag. Support from the 20 EMA is firm. Weekly close above ~$110K = confirmed flag breakout with target above $120K.
⚠️ Key Levels
Immediate Resistance: 108.8K → 109.2K → 110K
Support Zones: 107.4K → 106K → 104.5K
Bullish Targets: 110.8K → 113.5K → 114.8K
Invalidation (Short Bias Trigger): Break below 106K on volume
📌 Idea Summary
Micro breakout (30m) leading a potential macro breakout (4H/1D/W). Bulls control short-term trend. Eyes on volume follow-through above $109K. Rejection = potential revisit of 106K. Consolidation under resistance = breakout watch.
BTCUSDT 30min Breakout Retest | Micro Wedge into Macro ConfluencBTC 30m chart shows clean ascending wedge, followed by a bullish retest of prior resistance (now support ~107.4K). Price now consolidating just under diagonal resistance near 108.8K. EMAs are aligned bullish, volume surged during the breakout, and remains elevated—suggesting further upside potential.
🔄 Higher Timeframe Confluence
4H: Price pressing upper boundary of a rising wedge within a larger symmetrical pattern. Trendline pressure is real—either breakout above $109K or fade to $106.5K–$105K retest.
1D: Third touch on descending trendline from previous swing highs. Momentum building, and candles holding above EMAs. Breakout above $109.2K can trigger a move to $112K–114K (red expansion zone).
1W: Still inside a macro bull flag. Support from the 20 EMA is firm. Weekly close above ~$110K = confirmed flag breakout with target above $120K.
⚠️ Key Levels
Immediate Resistance: 108.8K → 109.2K → 110K
Support Zones: 107.4K → 106K → 104.5K
Bullish Targets: 110.8K → 113.5K → 114.8K
Invalidation (Short Bias Trigger): Break below 106K on volume
📌 Idea Summary
Micro breakout (30m) leading a potential macro breakout (4H/1D/W). Bulls control short-term trend. Eyes on volume follow-through above $109K. Rejection = potential revisit of 106K. Consolidation under resistance = breakout watch.