Bitcoin, Good News & Good News —Bullish Confirmed (Retrace Over)First, the good news is that we have a higher low and a strong recovery in place. The current candle has a long lower wick and is already trading green, at the top of the session.
The second good news is how far down the retrace went. Last time Bitcoin bottomed around $100,300, this time the bottom happened at $102,660. This is an early signal of course because the week is not yet over. It can happen that prices move higher today and tomorrow they move back down, crash on Sunday and we get a bearish close. But, looking at short-term price action and other altcoins, also the volume—notice the volume—we can say that the retrace is over and we are set to experience immediately additional growth.
The volume is the most revealing signal right now.
The drop had no volume compared to today. Today's session has more volume than the last three red-days combined.
Another signal to consider is the amount of over-leveraged gamblers that were liquidated, a total of 1 billion dollars. When this much greed is removed from the market, there is no need for lower prices.
I will call it early, the retrace is over. Time to go bullish again.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
I will show you several more altcoins that are also looking ready to grow.
Namaste.
BTCUSDT.5S trade ideas
BTC Weekly Game Plan: Key Levels & Clear Setups!Short Scenario:
Enter on confirmed rejection (SFP or bearish MSB) from Equal Highs ($110,700) or BPR ($108,000)
Targets: $105,000 → $102,600 (Weekly Draw)
Invalidation (stop): Above $112,000 (Range High)
Long Scenario:
Enter on confirmed bounce (bullish MSB or SFP) at Weekly Draw ($102,600) or Range Low ($100,300)
Targets: $108,000 → $110,700
Invalidation (stop): Below $99,500 (under Range Low)
🔔 Triggers & Confirmations:
M15/H1 confirmation required: SFP or clear MSB before entry.
Avoid entries if price slices through levels without a reaction.
📝 Order Placement & Management:
🔻 Sell Limits: $110,700 & $108,000
🛡️ Short Stop: $112,100
🎯 Short Targets: $105,000 → $102,600
🔼 Buy Limits: $102,600 & $100,300
🛡️ Long Stop: $99,500
🎯 Long Targets: $108,000 → $110,700
🚨 Risk Warning:
Shorts are against HTF bullish momentum, increasing risk.
High volatility expected due to FOMC meetings (Tuesday/Wednesday).
Check for support near 104463.99-106133.74
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Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The next volatility period we should pay attention to is around June 22nd (June 21-23).
Currently, the HA-High indicator of the 1D chart is formed at 108316.90, so the key is whether it can rise above that point and maintain the price.
If not, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart.
In other words, we need to check whether there is support near 99705.62.
However, we need to check whether there is support near 104463.99-106133.74.
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If we look at the auxiliary indicator OBV, the High Line is showing a downward trend.
This means that the high point is getting lower.
Therefore, if it rises above 108316.90 this time, we need to check whether the OBV can rise above the High Line and maintain it.
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DOM(60), DOM(-60) indicators are displayed by the Close value.
HA-Low, HA-High indicators are displayed by the (Open + High + Low + Close) / 4 value.
Therefore, HA-Low and HA-High indicators represent the middle value, and DOM(60) and DOM(-60) represent the end point value.
This makes it difficult to trade when DOM(60) and DOM(-60) indicators are generated.
To make this clearer, I added an arrow signal.
DOM(60) indicator and HA-High indicator are indicators that represent high points.
In other words, the generation of DOM(60) indicator and HA-High indicator means that there has been a decline in the high point range.
However, as I mentioned earlier, the DOM(60) indicator is not easy to respond to because it indicates the end point, but the HA-High indicator indicates the middle value, so there is time to check whether there is support near the HA-High indicator and respond accordingly.
Therefore, you should check whether there is support in the section between the HA-High indicator and the DOM(60) indicator and respond accordingly.
On the contrary, the DOM(-60) indicator and the HA-Low indicator are indicators that indicate the low point.
You can think of it as the opposite of what I explained above.
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By not indicating the support and resistance points according to the arrangement of the candles, but using the indicator points as the support and resistance points, anyone can see how the support and resistance points were created.
This will provide important objective information for trading.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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BTC/USDT: Sector Momentum and Decision Zone Ahead of the Fed__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
➤ Strong multi-timeframe bullish momentum, confirmed by the Risk On / Risk Off Indicator signaling “Strong Buy” across all timeframes (daily, 12H, 6H, 4H down to intraday).
➤ Major supports (102,600–104,250 $) act as the market’s anchor; the 105,800–106,100 $ resistance remains the key level to break for a confirmed further bullish leg.
➤ Volumes are weak to normal, with no recent distribution, climax, or panic/extreme behavior (ISPD DIV neutral); market remains rational.
➤ Short-term TFs (1H, 2H) are more hesitant—favoring consolidation/range, suitable for scalping or risk management rather than directional breakout trades.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
➤ Dominant bullish technical context, but facing key resistance, with macro and on-chain signaling for active caution.
➤ Opportunity: Buying pullbacks on 104,250–102,600 $, targeting extension if clean breakout above 106,100 $. Partial profit-taking into the 110–111k $ highs.
➤ Risk zone: Invalidation if there is a decisive break <102,000 $ or major red volume climax on failed resistance retest.
➤ Key catalysts this week: Fed/FOMC decision, major geopolitical events.
➤ Plan: Favour methodical accumulation pre-Fed, reinforce/swing post-announcement according to technical resolution.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
1D : Trading below broad 105,800–111,000 $ resistance, Risk On / Risk Off Indicator strongly positive, normal volumes, no euphoria (ISPD DIV neutral). Healthy structure, upward bias confirmed.
12H/6H : Consolidation at major support; recent rebounds from 102–104k, no exhaustion signals. MTFTI Up but 2H-1H corrective divergence.
4H/2H : Range market, major supports defended, no breakout yet. MTFTI locally Down, indicating mild internal corrective dynamic.
1H/30min/15min : Intraday range, technical micro-bounces, weak directional bias, moderate volumes, no abnormal behavior. Scalping preferred below resistance, rigorous risk management.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator : Strong aligned buy signal across all TFs, sector environment supportive.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Key Points Summary
Strong bullish market, behavioral and technical stability.
Breakout >106,100 $ = legitimate bullish extension, 110k+ target.
Invalidation below 102k $: go to cash, wait for stabilization.
Volatility expected around (Fed/geopolitical) events: adjust sizing/stops accordingly.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Fundamental, Macro & On-Chain Analysis
Fed (FOMC June 17–18): Major breakout/volatility catalyst.
Geopolitical tensions (Israel/Iran): Risk-off spikes expected, watch liquidity zones.
On-chain: Key support at 100–102k $; no major distribution, long-term holders remain strong, options/futures point to underpriced volatility risk.
Strategy: Prefer gradual accumulation on supports, reduce exposure pre-Fed, confirm new swings post-FOMC.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Action Plan Summary
Accumulate on pullback 104,250–102,600 $, stop below 101,900 $.
Breakout >106,100 $: Target 110k–111k $, partial TP, monitor volume/volatility.
Avoid overtrading pre-FOMC or amid major geopolitical news.
Risk/Reward >2 on pullback – strict management mandatory.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Conclusion & Context Mastery
The market remains structurally bullish and supported by the combination of technical, sector and on-chain factors. However, macro/geopolitical volatility requires increased caution as the FOMC approaches. Focus on support entries, avoid chasing resistance until confirmed, and apply tight stops in this catalyst-rich context.
__________________________________________________________________________________
DeGRAM | BTCUSD formed the rising bottom📊 Technical Analysis
● BTC rebounded exactly at the purple long-term trend-line and green 102.5-104 k demand, reclaiming the 105-106 k support band; the old wedge cap is now acting as a floor.
● Price is coiling in a 16-h bull flag beneath 108 k; its 1.618 projection intersects the channel roof/ red supply at 111.6-115 k, while rising lows keep momentum pointed up.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● U.S. spot-BTC ETFs attracted about $240 m of net subscriptions on 14 Jun, ending the outflow streak and signalling renewed institutional demand as exchange reserves slide to multi-year lows.
● Benchmark 10-yr Treasury yields are back under 4.45 %, easing dollar pressure and helping risk assets rebuild after the FOMC spike.
✨ Summary
Buy 105-106 k; flag breakout above 108 k targets 111.6 k → 115 k. Invalidate on a close below 101.8 k.
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Market Overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Strong sales resumed last week after a short period of growth. This was provoked by the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East.
After testing and fixing the $105,800-$104,500 zone (accumulated volumes), strong volume deviations appeared, which should be perceived as protection on the part of the buyer.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
At the moment, an attempt is being made to position the volumes accumulated in the range of $105,600-$104,700 in the direction of growth. Strong support has already been formed in the area of $104,000-$102,900 (abnormal volumes).
When the four-hour candle closes above the $106,400 mark, it’ll be possible to additionally consider the zone of accumulated volumes for buys (if there is a reaction from it).
The main scenario is a long position with targets up to the nearest resistance. In case of easing of geopolitical tensions, there remains the possibility of updating the ATH.
Alternative scenario: correction to the support zone of $101,600-$100,000 (volume anomalies). With this development, a prolonged rebound is possible.
Sell Zones:
$109,000–$110,000 (accumulated volume)
Buy Zones:
$105,600–$104,700 (accumulated volume)
$104,000–$102,900 (volume anomalies)
$101,600–$100,000 (significant volume anomalies)
$98,000–$97,200 (local support)
Level at $93,000
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
IMPORTANT DATES
Macroeconomic developments this week:
• Tuesday, June 17, 03:00 (UTC) — publication of the Japanese interest rate decision;
• Tuesday, June 17, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the core retail sales index for May in the United States, the volume of retail sales for May in the United States;
• Wednesday, June 18, 06:00 (UTC) — publication of the UK consumer price index compared to May last year;
• Wednesday, June 18, 9:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index in the Eurozone compared to May last year;
• Wednesday, June 18, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits;
• Wednesday, June 18, 18:00 (UTC) — publication of FOMC economic forecasts, FOMC statement, US Federal Reserve interest rate decision;
• Wednesday, June 18, 18:30 (UTC) — US FOMC Press Conference;
• Thursday, June 19, 7:30 (UTC) — publication of the Q2 interest rate decision in Switzerland;
• Thursday, June 19, 8:00 (UTC) — press conference of the National Bank of Switzerland;
• Thursday, June 19, 11:00 (UTC) — publication of the June interest rate decision in the UK;
• Thursday, June 19, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States;
• Friday, June 20, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the Philadelphia Federal Reserve's index of manufacturing activity for June in the United States.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
This isn’t a breakout. It’s a return to senderPrice didn’t rally from randomness — it tapped directly into a daily OB, respected it, and is now marching toward unfulfilled inefficiency above. What looks like recovery is really just Smart Money closing the loop.
The logic:
Price swept sell-side liquidity into a deep daily OB and rebounded sharply — not passively. The response wasn’t a bounce. It was intention.
Above? Two clean destinations:
TP1: 110,950 — inefficiency fill and EQ of prior supply
TP2: 112,033 — full delivery into unmitigated structure
No overlapping zones, no chaos — just precise levels that haven’t yet been claimed.
Execution:
Entry: 104,200–105,000 range
SL: Below 103,800
TP1: 110,950
TP2: 112,033
The risk is defined. The reward is prewritten.
Final thought:
“This move wasn’t built to excite you. It was built to deliver.”
Accumulate, BTC back above 110K💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE (June 16)
NOTABLE BITCOIN (BTC) NEWS:
Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are showing signs of stabilization around key support levels following last week’s correction. BTC is attempting to regain momentum after closing below a critical support zone, while ETH and XRP are hovering near technical thresholds that could determine their next directional move.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OUTLOOK:
Bitcoin could decline further if it closes below the 50-day EMA
Bitcoin closed below its daily support at $106,406 on Thursday, then bounced back after retesting the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $102,893 on Friday. BTC has since stabilized around the $105,000 level over the weekend. As of Monday, it continues to consolidate, trading near $105,788.
If BTC fails to close above the $106,406 resistance level and heads lower, it may extend its decline toward the psychologically significant $100,000 level.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is hovering around the neutral 50 mark, signaling indecision among traders. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator shows a bearish crossover on the daily chart, indicating selling pressure and a possible downtrend continuation.
At this stage, whether you're new or experienced, it's wise to spend more time practicing, deepening your technical analysis knowledge, and exploring educational content shared on the channel. Strengthening your foundation will help you protect your capital in this volatile environment.
==> This analysis is for trend reference only. Wishing all investors successful trades!
#BTC URGENT UPDATECRYPTOCAP:BTC Update:
Keeping it simple, yesterday’s daily candle printed a nice hammer, but today’s candle looks rough.
That said, things can flip fast in this market.
🔹 Close above previous day’s high: Trend remains intact
🔹 Close above $103,500K: Bullish structure holds
🔹 Break below $102,600: Bearish, could open the door to low $90Ks in the coming weeks
We’re stuck in a tight zone. It's best to stay patient until we get a breakout in either direction.
DYOR, NFA
Let me know what you think, and hit the like button if you like it.
Thank you
#PEACE
Monday trades of the day🔥 These are the scalps I’ve got my eye on today. 🔥
Mostly looking at continuation longs — unless structure tells a different story.
💡 Key Plan:
For each long setup, I’ll wait for an internal market structure (MS) flip before pulling the trigger. No confirmation, no entry. Precision is the priority.
📅 Class Schedule:
Monddaday | After 6 PM
MARKET TECHNICAL BREAK DOWN FOR 16TH TO 20TH JUNE📊 Market Technical Breakdown – EURUSD, AUDUSD, XAUUSD & BTCUSDT 🔍
Traders,
Get ready for this week’s precision-driven analysis across four major markets:
✅ EURUSD – Is the euro gaining strength or facing more downside?
✅ AUDUSD – Key zones to watch as the Aussie reacts to USD data.
✅ XAUUSD (Gold) – Will gold hold strong or give in to bearish pressure?
✅ BTCUSDT – Bitcoin’s momentum shift: Are bulls still in control?
This breakdown covers:
🔹 Clean chart analysis
🔹 Key levels (support & resistance)
🔹 Trade ideas with potential entries & exits
🔹 My personal trading insight for each pair
🎯 Whether you're a beginner or a seasoned trader, this breakdown will help sharpen your bias and build confidence in your trades.
👉 Watch the video till the end to catch all setups, confirmations, and bonus tips for the week.
Drop a comment if you found it helpful or want to see a pair included in the next breakdown!
My BTC Play With a Macro BoostThis isn't about guessing.
This isn’t hype.
This is what happens when structure, liquidity, and macro fundamentals align.
Let me break it down:
Technical Perspective
BTC just pulled a classic trap.
✅ Liquidity Sweep: Price dipped below the 4PDL (Previous Day's Low), sweeping out late longs and triggering emotional shorts.
✅ Break of Structure (BOS): Price broke cleanly broke strucutre, confirming bullish intent.
✅ Fair Value Re-entry Zone: We now have a clean FVG zone if price pulls back.
But that’s not all...
🔼 Retail Pattern Detected :
Look closely, there's a textbook ascending triangle in there. Retail traders often use it to predict bullish breakouts. What they see as a triangle, we see as smart money coiling pressure before the move.
Fundamentals Supporting the Structure
This move isn’t just technical, it’s backed by real market weight:
Public companies are buying Bitcoin by the billions: MicroStrategy, Trump Media, Metaplanet they’re not “speculating,” they’re storing BTC as a treasury asset.
Institutional inflows are accelerating: ETFs, sovereign interest, and large-cap investors are building long positions — and it’s beginning to reflect in the chart.
The U.S. is formalizing a Bitcoin reserve policy.: Call it political, strategic, or monetary — either way, it reinforces that dips like this are being bought by giants.
The candle doesn’t lie but neither does the macro narrative when they both point in the same direction.
Mindset Tip: Ride Logic, Not Emotion
This setup teaches us something important:
You don’t have to catch every move. You just need to understand why it moved — and position accordingly.
If it pulls back, don’t panic. Let the market invite you, not rush you.
BTC BITCOIN ,we are watching every step and price action,the next clear directional bias on long will be on the break and close of daily supply roof at 111k, while the sell confirmation will be on the break and possible retest of the daily ascending trending line holding buyers for today 16th.
Israel and Iran war could be seeing liquidity into crypto especially bitcoin
BTC accumulates, back to 108,500Plan BTC today: 16 June 2025
Related Information:
The price of gold is nearing its all-time high as tensions in the Middle East escalate, but analysts say they’re doubtful Bitcoin will do the same as investors prioritize other safe-haven assets.
The price of gold rose to $3,450 per ounce on Monday, just $50 shy of its all-time high of just below $3,500 in April, according to TradingView.
The usually slow-to-move asset has gained a whopping 30% since the beginning of the year, catalyzed by US President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs and, more recently, an escalation of military action in the Middle East following an Israeli missile strike on Iran on June 13, which caused Bitcoin prices to fall.
Gold prices have also been linked with inflationary pressures, as it is considered a safe haven and an inflation hedge by investors.
personal opinion:
The crypto market recovered at the beginning of the week after being affected by war news. It will almost certainly continue to maintain the 4.5% interest rate, so it will be difficult to break ATH this week.
Important price zone to consider :
Sell point: zone 108.400 - 108.600 SL : 109.100
Take profit : 107.900 - 107.000 - 106.000
Sustainable trading to beat the market