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Bitcoin / TetherUS PERPETUAL CONTRACT

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BTCUSDT.P trade ideas

Do you think it supports this model?After two weeks away from you, I am back. Hello friends, as some of you dear ones know, I live in Iran, and due to the two-week war in Iran, I was not in the mood for analysis, nor was the internet helpful. But I came back to you so that we can identify the profits together. . The chart you see has formed an old pattern (flag pattern), and if it breaks out of this pattern from above, we can expect an increase as large as the previous lag. The target of this increase is the area that we had mentioned in previous Bitcoin analyses. (You can enter the page and look at the analyses) . I hope you have used this analysis well. I wish you complete peace wherever you are. You can follow the page to see more analyses, hoping for good days.
Long
by Mahdi_norozi
BTC recovers, price range sideways trend line💎 Update Plan BTC (June 25) Notable news about BTC: 🌐 Growth stimulus factor Reducing geopolitical tensions: The ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel has helped improve investor psychology, promote capital inflows into risky assets like Bitcoin. The dollar weakened: The USD index dropped to the lowest level in a year due to concerns about the economic impact from President Trump's tax policies, making Bitcoin a more attractive choice for investors to search for replacement assets. Expectations for monetary policy: The decision of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) on keeping interest rates stable and interest rate cutting capacity in July has motivated the cryptocurrency market. Technical analysis angle Bitcoin may increase to the highest level of all time Bitcoin price reached the lowest level of $ 98,200 on Sunday but has recovered strongly 5% in the next two days, closed on the dynamic average line according to the 50 -day exponential jaw at $ 103,352. At the time of writing on Monday, the price continued to trade higher at about $ 106,500. If BTC continues to increase, the price can expand the momentum to the highest level of all time is $ 111,980 on May 22. The relative power index (RSI) on the daily chart is 54, higher than the neutral level of 50, showing the motivation for price increase. The average divergent divergence (MACD) is referring to the price intersection (the MACD is about to cut on the signal line), if completed, the purchase signal will be made. ==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
Long
by Nova-Scalper
1
Will Bitcoin's growth continue, or is this just a correction ?BINANCE:BTCUSDT After the weekend, the price showed a strong recovery. Currently, it is trading above the monthly and weekly pivot points. However, if these levels are broken without a subsequent buy-back reaction, we can expect the downward movement to continue as part of a higher-timeframe correction. Otherwise, we may see either a local correction or an upward move from current levels with the aim of breaking through the resistance zone and trendlines. All targets are outlined in detail in the video idea. Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you The author's opinion may differ from yours, Consider your risks. Wish you successful trades ! mura
by trading_mura
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youBitcoin Trading Strategy: Navigating $101,000 Volatility with a Three-Dimensional Model Current Bitcoin prices oscillating near $101,000 reflect more than just technical support battles—they embody an expectation gap between policy implementation timelines and institutional fund flows. This strategy constructs a "Policy-Funds-Technology" three-dimensional analysis model, using the U.S. *Genius Act* House voting process and Hong Kong's *Stablecoin Ordinance* countdown as policy anchors, institutional behavior differences (e.g., MicroStrategy增持 vs. Grayscale fund flows) as funding validation, and key technical breakouts as entry signals for a dynamically adjusted trading system. I. Policy Landscape: Dual Catalysts on the Horizon - **U.S. *Genius Act* Legislative Progress**: The Senate passed the *Genius Act* with a 68:30 supermajority, and Trump has publicly pressed the House to expedite voting, with markets expecting final legislation by mid-late July. The bill requires stablecoin issuers to maintain 100% dollar/T-bill reserves, effectively integrating stablecoins into the "digital dollar" system. This is expected to attract ~$20 billion in institutional capital via compliant channels. - **Hong Kong *Stablecoin Ordinance* Launch**: Scheduled to take effect on August 1, the ordinance has prompted institutions like Standard Chartered and JD.com to prepare license applications. The introduction of offshore RMB stablecoins will create new liquidity entry points for Bitcoin. II. Funding Dynamics: Institutional Long-Term Conviction vs. Short-Term Positioning - **MicroStrategy's Bold Accumulation**: The firm's holdings surpassed 330,000 BTC after a June 22 purchase, with an average cost of $88,627—current prices yield a 14% unrealized gain, demonstrating corporate investors' long-term confidence. - **Grayscale GBTC Contrast**: $46.3 million flowed out of GBTC in the week ending June 20, reflecting institutional portfolio optimization ahead of policy milestones. - **Tron USDT Liquidity Base**: With circulation exceeding $70 billion (50% of global USDT) and $80 billion daily transaction volume, Tron's stablecoin provides robust liquidity support for Bitcoin. III. Technical Confirmation Mechanisms for $101,000 1. Short-Term Support Validation: - Price forms a "Morning Star" candlestick pattern within $100,000-$101,000, accompanied by 20% higher trading volume than the prior day. 2. Trend Breakout Confirmation: - RSI rebounds from below 40 to above 50, coinciding with a decisive price突破 (breakout) of the intraday resistance at $102,000. **Trading Tactics**: - **Aggressive Entry**: Long positions on confirmed Morning Star patterns, with stop-loss below $100,000 (2% below support). - **Breakout Follow-through**: Add to positions above $102,000, targeting $105,000 resistance. - **Risk Control**: Maintain position sizes below 15% of portfolio, with profit-taking triggers set at 3%–5% intervals. This framework balances policy-driven structural shifts with tactical technical signals, enabling traders to navigate the volatility gap between institutional long-termism and short-term market noise. Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you BTCUSDT BUY@101000~102000 SL:98000 TP:103000~104000
Long
by David_Wilson1
Bitcoin Holds Strong as Market Consolidates — No Bearish DivergeUpon analyzing CRYPTOCAP:BTC price structure across multiple timeframes, I don't see any bearish divergence at the moment. Instead, the chart continues to print a series of bullish formations, including inverse head and shoulders patterns, signaling continuation of the macro uptrend. The current movement between $100,000 and $109,000 appears to be a classic case of a choppy or ranging market — in simpler terms, a bullish consolidation phase just below resistance. This kind of sideways price action, especially after a significant rally, often serves as a base for the next breakout leg. Despite geopolitical tensions like the Iran-Israel conflict, Bitcoin remains remarkably resilient. If such macro-level risk had any real impact, BTC would likely have already broken below the $100K mark. Instead, the price is holding firm, which is another sign of strong bullish sentiment in the market. The chart structure remains highly constructive — multiple bullish reversal and continuation patterns are playing out, and as long as BTC holds above the $98K–$100K support zone, the broader trend remains intact. This ongoing consolidation below all-time highs is a healthy sign of strength —
Long
by Beyoglu_Analyst
bitcoin bullish and bearish BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P bullish 🔹 Technical analysis according to Elliott waves (time: 1 hour) 📌 The pattern shown on the chart shows a complex structure that includes a complex correction within the larger wave (B), and the following is clear: 🔸 Main waves: Wave (1) up from the bottom has been confirmed. It was followed by a corrective wave (2) that ended near the 0.786 Fibonacci level = 102,575. Then the upward wave (3) started, and it seems that it has been completed or is about to be completed. 🔸 Current status: The price is currently moving within a small corrective wave, likely wave (4). Current major support is located at: 🔸 102,275.7 (very important level) 🔸 100,317.6 (in case the correction extends) 🔸 Critical resistance areas: For the bullish scenario to be valid, the resistance must be broken: 106,759 (0.618 Fibonacci ratio) 108,948 (0.786 – peak of wave C) --- 🔹 Important technical points: 🔸 The last correction (A)-(B)-(C) shows a clear triple structure, indicating that wave (2) has been completed. 🔸 The price is currently bouncing off the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci levels (104,402 - 104,923), which reinforces the possibility that wave (2) has actually ended, and that we are currently starting an upward wave (3). --- ✅ Conclusion: ✅ As long as the price is above 102,275, the upward scenario through wave (3) remains valid. ⚠️ Breaking 100,317 indicates the failure of the bullish scenario and a structural shift in the waves. 🔻 Alternative (Bearish) Scenario – Short-Term: If the price fails to maintain the current support at 102,275, we may not be in wave (4) but rather at the beginning of a new downward wave within a broader corrective scenario, as follows: --- 🔸 Wave Interpretation: 🔹 Wave (B), which completed at the peak near 108,948, likely marked the end of an upward correction. 🔹 The current downward wave from that peak could be: Either wave 1 of C within a larger correction, or the beginning of wave (C) within a bearish (A)-(B)-(C) pattern. --- 🔻 Potential Downside Targets in This Scenario: 1. Breaking 102,275 = Confirmation of the beginning of a new downward wave. 2. First Target: 🔸 101,484 (1.618 Fibonacci Extension – Wave 1 Expected) 3. Second and Stronger Target: 🔸 100,317 = Previous Major Support, Representing an Important Structural Test Area. 4. Third and Most Extreme Target in This Scenario: 🔸 98,800 – 99,260 = Possible Wave C Extension (Corresponds to a Larger Downside Scenario). --- ⚠️ Failure Signal: Remaining below 105,926 (Previous Sub-Wave Resistance) maintains selling pressure. Any weak bounce and lack of a clear wave 5 upwards = an additional sign of bearish dominance. --- 🔻 Conclusion: ✳️ The bearish scenario assumes that the peak at 108,948 was the end of corrective wave (B), and that we are now in a downward wave C targeting areas between 101,400 and 99,200, and possibly lower. ✳️ A break of 102,275 would be key to activating this scenario.
by Learn2tradez
SatochiTrader Expecting a huge BTC CRASH AFTER This..BTC Market Update by SatochiTrader EVERY CRASH DID START WITH A FALSE INCREASE TREND. Depending on the market sentiment and price action, BTC is currently showing strength with a positive trend. However, based on deeper data and insights held by myself and a small group of early-cycle followers, this current movement may be a deceptive signal — potentially foreshadowing a major crash. This is not trading advice. Those who are confident in the long position should continue, and those on the other side should stay prepared as well. We have previously explained that the current cycle appears to have ended. Since 2013, BTC has consistently respected its macro cycle targets. The end of such a cycle typically leads to significant corrections. A cycle ending implies not just a retracement, but the potential for a major crash. Hedge funds and real BTC whales understand the underlying indicators and risks at play. Our expectation remains clear: BTC may soon fall below the 100K level, with $85K identified as a critical support and target zone. Stay sharp. Stay informed. The market may look bullish — until it isn't. The best way to follow BTC is not the news.. but the cycle overview. This update is an education update, which means the high expectations of the upcoming correction for BTC. Compared to last quarter, miners are now less severely underpaid, though profitability remains low
Short
by SatochiTrader
Iran-Israel Political Tension & End of Crypto marketDo geopolitical tensions truly cause markets to crash or pump? In a world where financial safety is more fragile than ever, how do traders react? This analysis dives deep into how pro traders think and act during critical moments. Hello✌ Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. 🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: Bitcoin is experiencing a fear-driven shock amid escalating geopolitical tensions, triggering potential downside volatility toward the $98K level 📉. Despite this risk-off sentiment, the broader market structure remains intact, and I maintain a bullish bias. A recovery from key support zones could pave the way for a renewed breakout above $100K in the mid-term . Now , let's dive into the educational section, 🧠 Fear, Safety or Opportunity? Trading Psychology in Crisis 🧨 Markets don’t move based on headlines—they move based on how the crowd feels about those headlines. Political tension triggers emotional responses, especially panic selling. However, experienced traders spot opportunities while others flee. In such moments, two emotional extremes dominate: 🔸 Fear of losing capital (FUD) 🔸 Greed to seize a rare opportunity (FOMO) Both are dangerous if uncontrolled. Tools like RSI and Fear & Greed Index (via external APIs) can provide rough estimates of market sentiment and potential turning points. 📊 Practical TradingView Tools for Analyzing Crisis-Driven Markets 🔍 When global tension spikes, the markets reflect collective emotion like a mirror. During uncertain times, smart traders rely on tools that turn raw data into sharp insights. TradingView provides several features that become extremely useful in times of high uncertainty: 1. Crypto Volatility Index Proxy (using ATR + Bollinger Bands) These indicators help detect when the market is driven more by fear than logic. They show increasing volatility levels as tensions rise. 2. Sentiment Indicators – Funding Rate & Long/Short Ratios These metrics, pulled from major exchanges, show whether traders are overly bullish or bearish. A sudden imbalance usually hints at insider expectations or fast-breaking news. 3. DXY and Gold (XAUUSD) Side-by-Side with BTC Analyzing Bitcoin’s performance alongside USD and gold gives insight into whether investors are going risk-off or seeking crypto as a hedge. 4. Volume-Based Indicators – OBV & Volume Profile While headlines can lie, volume doesn’t. These tools highlight areas of serious buying/selling interest and help identify where smart money enters or exits. 5. Multi-Chart Layout Feature TradingView allows you to analyze multiple assets together—BTC, gold, oil, and stock indices like S&P 500—on one screen. Perfect for understanding macro capital flow during geopolitical events. 💣 Interconnected Markets During Regional Conflict 🌍 Crypto often acts like a risk-on asset during global crises. If traditional markets fall, Bitcoin may follow—unless it’s being viewed as a safe haven. That’s why watching DXY, gold, and oil charts alongside BTC is crucial. Understanding these correlations using TradingView’s comparison features gives you a better sense of where capital is flowing during uncertain times. ⏳ What Traders Should Focus on in Crisis Mode 💼 1. Focus on chart confirmations, not news hype. 2. Use multi-dimensional analysis with TradingView. 3. Prioritize risk management more than ever. 4. Cash is a position. Sometimes the best move is no move. 5. Always have a backup scenario—no analysis is guaranteed. 📌 Final advice: When headlines play with your nerves, data becomes your best ally. With the right tools and a disciplined mindset, traders can navigate even the stormiest markets with confidence. The market rewards the calm, not the reckless. ✨ Need a little love! We put so much love and time into bringing you useful content & your support truly keeps us going. don’t be shy—drop a comment below. We’d love to hear from you! 💛 Big thanks, Mad Whale 🐋 📜Please remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions. Also, don’t forget to check the disclaimer at the bottom of each post for more details.
Education
by MadWhale
23
#Bitcoin Update - 19.06.2025🚨 #Bitcoin Update – 19.06.2025 🚨 For the first time after FOMC, Bitcoin is showing an unusual calm – and yes, that’s pretty strange, especially considering the ongoing tensions in the Middle East. But let's break it down clearly and from my point of view. 👇 🔹 Arrow #2 remains a crucial resistance level. Price *did* break above it, but there was no strong confirmation or momentum – it got rejected and pulled back. 🔸 Currently, Bitcoin is stuck in a range, moving between Arrow #2 and Arrow #4 (marked by black lines). This range-bound behavior might continue for a while unless we get a strong breakout. 🌟 Now, pay close attention to the yellow lines under Arrow #3 and Arrow #5 – these are key support zones. As long as these hold, bullish sentiment remains intact. ✅ Also, Arrow #6 (black line) is the last strong support – only if this breaks, we can start talking about a potential bearish move or at least a deeper retest. 📈 In my opinion, we might see another attempt to break the All-Time High (ATH) very soon. Price still looks bullish, and as long as we hold above Arrow #6, there’s no clear sign of weakness. 🎯 Summary: * Market is calm but not dead. * Still bullish unless Arrow #6 breaks. * Range between Arrow #2 & Arrow #4 continues. * Eyes on next ATH attempt! 🚀 🧠 Stay patient. Stay focused. 📊 Next up: ETH and Bitcoin Dominance analysis coming soon – make sure you follow so you don’t miss the update! \#Crypto #BTC #Trading #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoUpdate #BTCUSDT
Long
by MoonTradingForecast
BTCUSDT Short Setup after Weak BreakoutThe BTCUSDT perpetual chart displays a bearish setup following a false breakout or weak retest of a descending wedge structure. After a strong bounce from the recent low, price surged but is now showing rejection at the $101,500 resistance level, marked by a key horizontal zone. This area coincides with: - The upper boundary of the falling wedge pattern. - A former support zone now acting as resistance. - A red candle signaling exhaustion from buyers. A short position is initiated with: - Entry: ~$101,500 - Stop Loss: ~$103,271 - Take Profit: ~$95,400 - Risk:Reward Ratio: ~1:3+ Unless price reclaims and holds above $103,271, this setup suggests a short-term bearish reversal is likely to unfold.
Short
by NakamotoZzzz
1
Skeptic | Bitcoin Deep Dive: Rate Hikes, War Tensions & TriggersInterest Rates: The Big Picture Let’s start with the Federal Reserve’s move—interest rates jumped from 4.25% to 4.5% . What’s the deal? Higher rates mean costlier borrowing , so businesses and folks pull back on loans. This drains liquidity from risk assets like Bitcoin and SPX 500, slowing their uptrend momentum or pushing them into ranges or dips. Now, mix in the Israel-Iran conflict escalating ? Straight talk: risks are sky-high , so don’t bank on wild rallies anytime soon. My take? BTC’s likely to range between 97,000 and 111,000 for a few months until geopolitical risks cool (like Russia-Ukraine became “normal” for markets) and the Fed starts cutting rates. Those two could ignite new highs and a robust uptrend. Let’s hit the charts for the technicals! 📊 Technical Analysis Daily Timeframe: Setting the Stage You might ask, “If 100,000 support breaks, does that mean we’ve formed a lower high and lower low, flipping the trend bearish per Dow Theory?” Absolutely not! Here’s why: our primary uptrend lives on the weekly timeframe, not daily. The daily is just a secondary trend. If 100K cracks, it only turns the secondary trend bearish, leading to a deeper correction, but the major weekly uptrend stays intact. Spot Strategy: No spot buys for now. Economic and geopolitical risks are too intense. I’ll jump in once things stabilize. 😎 Key Insight: A 100K break isn’t a death sentence for the bull run—it’s just a shakeout. Stay calm! 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers Zooming into the 4-hour chart, here’s where we hunt for long and short triggers: Long Trigger: Break above 110,513.92. We need a strong reaction at this level—price could hit it early or late, so stay patient for confirmation. Short Trigger: Break below 101,421.65. Same vibe—watch for a clean reaction to tweak the trigger for optimal entry. Pro Tip: These levels are based on past key zones, but time outweighs price. Wait for a reaction to nail the best entry. Patience is your edge! 🙌 Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D): Altcoin Watch As BTC dips, BTC.D (Bitcoin’s market share) is climbing, meaning altcoins are taking a bigger beating. Don’t touch altcoin buys until the BTC.D upward trendline breaks. They haven’t moved yet—you might miss the first 10-100%, but with confirmation, we’ll catch the 1,000-5,000% waves together. 😏 Shorting? If you’re shorting, altcoins are juicier than BTC—sharper, cleaner drops with more confidence. Patience, patience, patience—it’s the name of the game. Final Thoughts My quieter updates lately? Blame the geopolitical chaos, not me slacking . I’m hustling to keep you in the loop with clear, actionable insights. here, we live by No FOMO, no hype, just reason. Protect your capital—max 1% risk per trade, no exceptions. Want a risk management guide to level up? Drop a comment! If this analysis lit a spark, hit that boost—it keeps me going! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want next? Let me know in the comments. Stay sharp, fam! ✌️
by SkepticWise
1
BTC ITS A TRAP Bitcoin is currently facing significant resistance at key technical levels and may be positioning for a potential sharp decline heading into Thursday, particularly as markets close and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East threaten to escalate. Two key technical confluences support this thesis: 1. Bullish Gartley Harmonic Pattern: This setup is developing with highly precise ratio alignments, targeting a convergence at the Point of Control (POC) alongside multiple anchored VWAP levels. While the pattern typically involves a sharp decline, it often precedes a powerful reversal once liquidity is swept from the lows, making this a potentially attractive risk-reward inflection zone. 2. Failed Auction Structure: Price action has demonstrated an inability to sustain a breakout above the established fair value range, instead reverting back within the bounds of a parallel channel. This failed breakout—confirmed by a rejection at the upper end of the volume profile—suggests heightened probability of a move back toward fair value, marked in blue, which coincides with the POC and represents the market's most accepted / traded price. We’ll observe how the setup develops from here.
Long
by afurs1
BTC | At the Line Between ATH Expansion or Macro FlushBINANCE:BTCUSDT Bulls need to hold the $102k–$100.8k support and 1D 50MA for a shot at new highs. – Wick into 1D FVG ($98k) is fine, but no daily close below 50MA allowed. – Lose $100k? Then it’s sideline season — next real support only at $93k/$87k, macro flush risk toward $75k–$58k if momentum fails. – As long as above 1D support/MA, there’s a chance for a clean ATH breakout from the OB under the highs. This is the zone to bet on continuation. If not, don’t fight the trend lower.
by Goldfinch_song
Trade Plan Update #12: Navigating BTC’s Critical Levels *Conflicting timeframes (bullish 1H/Daily vs. bearish 4H/Weekly) are causing choppy price action. Here’s my 2-step game plan: * 📈 Scenario 1: Bullish 1H Play Key Support Zone: $100,314 - $102,000 (last line of defense for 1H bullish structure). Trigger: A strong rejection + bullish reversal signal in this zone. Action: INSTANT LONG ENTRY. No waiting—aggressively capitalize on momentum. 📉 Scenario 2: Daily Structure Fallback If $100,314 fails: 1- First Demand Zone: $93,300 - $98,000 Watch for a strong bounce → Go long if momentum confirms. Weak reaction? Hold and monitor lower. Second Demand Zone: $84,000 - $88,000 Ideal reversal zone for resuming the bull run. LONG on confirmed strength. Bull Run Lifeline: $74,600 Non-negotiable: A daily close below this invalidates the bull trend. ✅ Key Reminders: Patience is strategy: Only act when price confirms your thesis (no guessing!). Risk first: Define stops for every entry. Watch price action—NOT hopes. 👇 What’s your take? Which scenario seems more likely? Are you adding any key levels? Let’s discuss below! 👀
Long
by BTC-SWING-HOUSE