BTCUSDT.P trade ideas
BTC - target 95k level.Since last week's US elections, BTC has made new all-time highs. Having tested 92k, I am now looking for BTC to hit the 95k level as we have a good bullish volume.
Head and Shoulders BTCI still thinking of the possibility of Bitcoin forming a Head and Shoulders pattern, a classic technical formation that could signal a trend reversal. We examine key levels, volume, and other indicators to assess whether this pattern is emerging and what it could mean for the market. Is this the beginning of a larger correction or just a false breakout?
Bitcoin next move could come sooner than we expectBTC 1day strong uptrend within a megaphone bullflag bullish af pattern The retest of the $67-68k resistance turn support was the bottom of the pole with the extension indicating $107k next stop Price has yet to crack the $100k magical number so we would expect some chop around this area before moving into the target
BTC to 250k?Bitcoin Halving Cycles: Historical Gains and Future Predictions
Bitcoin halving events, occurring approximately every four years, reduce the block reward miners receive by half. This built-in scarcity mechanism has historically triggered significant bull runs. Let’s compare the gains from each halving cycle and explore what they might predict for Bitcoin’s future price.
Halving Cycle Performance
First Halving (2012)
Pre-Halving Price: ~$12
Peak Price: ~$1,150 (late 2013)
Gain: ~9,500%
Second Halving (2016)
Pre-Halving Price: ~$650
Peak Price: ~$20,000 (December 2017)
Gain: ~3,000%
Third Halving (2020)
Pre-Halving Price: ~$8,600
Peak Price: ~$69,000 (November 2021)
Gain: ~700%
Observations
Each cycle has seen diminishing percentage returns, reflecting a maturing market and higher market capitalization.
Despite lower percentage gains, Bitcoin’s absolute price increases have been significant, drawing in institutional investors and mainstream adoption.
Predicting the Next Cycle
The fourth halving is expected in April 2024, reducing the block reward from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. If historical trends hold:
Conservative Estimate: A 300%-500% increase, aligning with diminishing returns, could place Bitcoin around $150,000-$200,000.
Optimistic Scenario: Should macroeconomic factors like institutional adoption or regulatory clarity amplify demand, a price exceeding $250,000 is plausible.
Factors to Consider
Market Maturity: Institutional interest may stabilize volatility, leading to more sustainable growth.
Regulation: Clearer policies could attract a wave of new investors.
Macroeconomic Conditions: Inflation, monetary policy, and geopolitical tensions will continue influencing Bitcoin’s appeal as a hedge.
While past performance doesn’t guarantee future results, Bitcoin’s halving cycles have consistently demonstrated their potential to drive significant price growth. As the next halving approaches, investors are poised for what could be another pivotal chapter in Bitcoin’s journey.
BTC looks so bullish right nowBTC: Look at this beautiful bullish Symmetrical triangle/pennant!!! Look at the target move! Can it really go up that simply? Not sure if I can expect that with BTC, always does what he wants doesn't he
any up is an exit chancefor one to three days you can search for Sell positions
but be aware about swing market ... take your profit
Analyzing BTCUSDT: Next Potential Breakout Zones - Bitcoin◳◱ On the $BTC/ CRYPTOCAP:USDT chart, the Trend Reversal pattern suggests momentum building up for a significant move. Traders might observe resistance around 85635.01 | 90900 | 105565 and support near 70970.01 | 61570 | 46905. Entering trades at 90343.99 could be strategic, aiming for the next resistance level.
◰◲ General info :
▣ Name: Bitcoin
▣ Rank: 1
▣ Exchanges: Binance, Kucoin, Bybit, Huobipro, Gateio, Mexc
▣ Category/Sector: Payments - Currencies
▣ Overview: Bitcoin is the first distributed consensus-based, censorship-resistant, permissionless, peer-to-peer payment settlement network with a provably scarce, programmable, native currency. Bitcoin (BTC), the native asset of the Bitcoin blockchain, is the world's first digital currency without a central bank or administrator. The Bitcoin network is an emergent decentralized monetary institution that exists through the interplay between full nodes, miners, and developers. It is set by a social contract that is created and opted into by the users of the network and hardened through game theory and cryptography. Bitcoin is the first, oldest, and largest cryptocurrency in the world.
◰◲ Technical Metrics :
▣ Mrkt Price: 90343.99 ₮
▣ 24HVol: 1,945,711,003.703 ₮
▣ 24H Chng: -0.456%
▣ 7-Days Chng: 13.30%
▣ 1-Month Chng: 34.19%
▣ 3-Months Chng: 51.53%
◲◰ Pivot Points - Levels :
◥ Resistance: 85635.01 | 90900 | 105565
◢ Support: 70970.01 | 61570 | 46905
◱◳ Indicators recommendation :
▣ Oscillators: NEUTRAL
▣ Moving Averages: STRONG_BUY
◰◲ Technical Indicators Summary : BUY
◲◰ Sharpe Ratios :
▣ Last 30D: 6.34
▣ Last 90D: 3.62
▣ Last 1-Y: 1.91
▣ Last 3-Y: 0.51
◲◰ Volatility :
▣ Last 30D: 0.58
▣ Last 90D: 0.49
▣ Last 1-Y: 0.53
▣ Last 3-Y: 0.55
◳◰ Market Sentiment Index :
▣ News sentiment score is N/A
▣ Twitter sentiment score is N/A
▣ Reddit sentiment score is N/A
▣ In-depth BTCUSDT technical analysis on Tradingview TA page
▣ What do you think of this analysis? Share your insights and let's discuss in the comments below. Your like, follow and support would be greatly appreciated!
◲ Disclaimer
Please note that the information and publications provided are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, trading, or any other type of advice or recommendation. We encourage you to conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. The use of the information provided is solely at your own risk.
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BTC Bitcoin Potential Retracement Soon If you haven`t bought BTC before the recent rally:
Now you need to know that Bitcoin’s meteoric rise to an all-time high of $93,434 has reignited excitement in the crypto markets. However, as the euphoria peaks, warning signs suggest that the king of cryptocurrencies might be due for a pullback. Currently trading at a Relative Strength Index (RSI) level of over 86—a threshold signaling overbought conditions—Bitcoin appears overstretched in the short term.
Historically, RSI readings above 70 often precede market corrections as buying momentum wanes and profit-taking sets in. While Bitcoin’s long-term fundamentals remain strong, its price trajectory has repeatedly shown susceptibility to sharp reversals after rapid ascents. A retracement to $80,000—a key psychological and technical support level—could provide a healthier foundation for Bitcoin’s next leg upward.
Traders and investors should remain cautious, especially as Bitcoin consolidates at overheated levels. A correction to $80K might not signal the end of the bull run but rather a necessary recalibration before the next rally.
Volatility period expected to continue until November 20
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The shape of the candle (Doji, Star) and StochRSI and StochRSI EMA are showing signs of crossing.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support and rise near 90375.20.
If not,
1st: 87.8K-89K
2nd: 83.6K
It is expected to fall to the 1st and 2nd areas above.
This volatility period is expected to continue until November 20.
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Have a nice time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been in an upward trend since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the uptrend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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The Fear & Greed Index: One Last Dance!Here we are once again, at a moment where everything seems to have gone smoothly. Trump won the election, BTC went parabolic and hit a new all-time high, major institutions bought Bitcoin, and there’s been a significant inflow into crypto.
It seems like there’s no confusion—everyone is expecting $100k, and I’m hoping for the same. However, the Fear & Greed Index is telling a different story.
Over the past week, the F&G Index has been in extreme greed, and today it has hit 90. This is its peak, and sooner or later, it will need to cool down. This means a quick market shift could occur, pushing the F&G Index to a neutral or fearful position.
What’s the best course of action right now?
~ Stay in USDT.
~ Avoid leverage trading, or use 2x-3x leverage with one or two positions.
~ Wait for the opportunity to buy BTC and altcoins during a dip.
Always conduct your own research and analysis before investing.
Trade safely.
Prediction lvl for upcoming Bull MarketData Analyzed According to the previous Market out views and predicted next outcome as time passes new players enter the market and the volatility and returns will reduce in percentage as compared to the previous market conditions
BTC CORRECTION SOONThis artificial growth was created to lure in more retail investors unfamiliar with crypto, generate positive expectations and give them a sense of profit. Now it’s time to drop, induce fear and then go back up to take newbie traders on an emotional rollercoaster, making them more engaged.
Bullish Bitcoin: People Liked Me Better When I Was BearishPeople are having a hard time adapting... Yes it looks strange. Yes some Altcoins are lagging behind and yes, Bitcoin is not dropping, is rising.
Remember the map changed completely with the behavior that we saw after the halving and the map will continue to change because institutions and nations are now also buying/playing Bitcoin.
Yes, we were bearish (the chart had bearish potential below ATH resistance), but the numbers don't lie. Once the All-Time High was broken and Bitcoin stays above this price (it is actually growing above it), all bearish potential has been removed.
It doesn't matter what we think, feel, hear, do or say, Bitcoin is rising and is moving toward the next target non-stop. It is rising and the next target can be seen on the chart. There is no reason to look back, only if you are looking for support. With resistance gone, we can continue to aim higher; look up.
The Altcoins will follow. I can see already that some are taking some time to adapt because this is definitely whale money entering the market, I think the CEO of TSLA might be buying strong. Regardless, the more that Bitcoin grows, the stronger Cryptocurrency becomes as a whole. Think long-term.
The Altcoins will grow because Bitcoin is growing.
The bulls win; the bears lost.
We adapt to market conditions.
We follow the chart.
We've been sharing bullish Altcoins since early August, hundreds of those. Some pairs are bearish, some will go down while others go up.
Our strategy doesn't change. Sell those trading high, buy those trading low.
Bitcoin has less than 90% to grow from 82K to 155K. In this same amount of time, an Altcoins can grow 1,000%. Choose wisely.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Global liquidity downtrend cometh!During this current BTC cycle, major uptrends in global liquidity have corresponded to major uptrends in the market 72ish days later. The last major uptrend in liquidity is about to run its course, pause, and then downtrend. If this relationship holds, we are at or near at least a pause in the local up trend. I have my popcorn ready to see if this plays out.
Note: The global liquidity prediction pauses until December 11th and then downtrends, so if we see floating higher prices until that point and then a pause, the relationship would still be valid.
Second Note: I will publish the BGL (Bitcoin Global Liquidity) indicator very shortly. Please test it out and DM me if you see any issues or have suggestions.
--Da_Prof
BTCUSDT near 93K$ resistance zone wait for fallWe are looking for rest and correction now to the targets and supports like 80K$ and then easy hit 70K$ as second target and after that range market again for a while.
BTC is still bullish and we may have more pump too but all of our targets which were 83K$ and 93K$ are hit and we are looking for range and correction now for a while before more gain.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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BTC - Bullmarket ( INFLOW VS OUTFLOW ROADMAP )
BTC has been moving as expected. Bullish on the daily, and I would'nt be expecting any changes soon.
WHY? According to my BTC INFLOW and OUTFLOW custom indicator we can see a strong bullish trend from June 2023.
After seeing the development of March - October ( Bear Trap ) we can see some key entry levels taken by whale wallets. The areas highlighted green indicate large outflows = accumulations which have occured at key level returns and at typical stop loss levels, the perfect discount zone for whale entrys.
Our current market forecast is typical to see with large inflows at Short Liquidation levels above our previous 70k high, this still indicates a strong bullish momentum as early whale investors are now taking profit for earlier positions potentially entered around the market bottom 16k levels.
I would still be confident in seeing a push well above the 100k level, therefore unless you are brave enough to take scalping short positions I would most certainly hold off shorting the market as you will find yourself being another victim of large moneys liquidation filling.
BTC LongBtc is about to touch strong Psychological level 95,000. It has gone parabolic trying to short it will make one’s account to liquidate. Fundamental are bullish technicals are bullish. I’m expecting that it will touch 100,000 usd before trump takes over presidency. If daily candle closes above 95,000 usd than price will most probably touch 100,000 usd level.
#BTC 2H. Ascending triangle & trend continuation. 11/19/24Earlier, the price formed an "ascending triangle" pattern—a continuation pattern that occurs when the price gradually forms a series of higher lows while the upper boundary (resistance) remains flat or slightly rising. This signals a narrowing range and potential further growth. And I warned you about this in advance! (By the way, which of your traders describes patterns this thoroughly?). But that’s not the point now.
According to technical analysis theory, if the price breaks out of the ascending triangle pattern, its movement usually matches the height of the pattern, measured from the base to the peak. If we follow the idea that the movement after the breakout equals the pattern's height, Bitcoin’s price could reach the $100,000 level. And honestly, why not?
At the same time, earlier this week, the market was in a "bullish" trend, meaning prices were rising. By the close of trading on the CME exchange on Friday, the price was around ~$92,000. I assume this price will become an important reference point (including a support level) that the price will aim for in the near future.
BTC SHORT TP:76000 1D 19-11-2024Bitcoin is currently experiencing strong upward momentum, which suggests a potential significant pullback to the 75-76 range. The timeframe for this setup to materialize is expected to be within 8 to 16 days. Please remember that the stop loss and entry points are merely suggestions. Stay informed and trade wisely! #Bitcoin #Trading
BTCUSDT BULLSIH FLAG PATTERN BTCUSD weekly chart shows a bullish flag was formed and the price did not close below the 50 EMA .price formed a weekly candle with long wick and managed to close inside the channel and above 50 EMA which indicate that a strong bullish momentum was started followed by the bearish indecision candle due to market fear and greed's and uncertainty but its low was not below the 50% of the previous week. The the next weekly candle was showing strong bullish momentum again but the price is still below the POC and upper channel trend line and MFI is below the 50 level.
If the price closes above 64628 and able to continue that for next seven days and as long as monthly MFI is above 50 level we will have a monthly bullish candle as a confluence.
On a weekly chart , if the price manages to break up above the POC and the channel while MFI is above the 50 level then the uptrend will continues strongly . 21/50/100/200 EMA's shows that the bullish momentum is increasing .
Upper Fib extension levels can be used as price target after breakout .
Invalid On Chart
Good LUck
