BTCUSDT.P trade ideas
US entering the war,~25% drop will happen if it's gonna escalateUS about to enter the war with Iran, as long the war finish quickly with US destory Fordow nuclear site and other facilities, we can stop around 94k$ zone,
war escalating more, will engage a bigger drop in markets.
Likely they will announce it after markets close on Friday. stay updated.
Btcusd buy ideaBTCUSD experienced a sell-off, filling the gap, but buyers stepped in, mitigating the decline. If buyers hold and consolidate above $105,500, it could pave the way for a potential rally towards $108,000-$110,000. What's your outlook, traders
BTC Short | FVG Setup + RSI Filter | 18.06
Smart Money Concept | Intraday Trade | 1:2 RR
🔍 The setup:
Today I was watching for a short opportunity.
Price reached a key level and formed a bearish FVG — looked clean at first.
But I held off entering because I noticed RSI divergence — a red flag I always consider when expecting a potential level break.
💡 Why it matters:
RSI divergence often signals weakness in momentum.
For me, it's a key filter that helps avoid fake breaks — this was a good example of how I apply it.
📈 What happened next:
Price moved up to test the 1H FVG (zone #2) and formed another FVG slightly lower.
That second one was my entry point for the short.
🎯 Target:
I exited at a 1:2 risk-reward, which is my minimum.
The day was ending, and I didn’t want to hold the position longer — I’m not convinced the down move would continue cleanly (possible wicks or traps).
🤔 Question to the community:
How do you filter FVG entries?
Do you also use RSI or wait for structure shifts?
And what’s your outlook on BTC from here?
BTC Bitcoin VAL, S1, Weekly, 1.27 confluence at $102,700BTC Bitcoin VAL, S1, Weekly, 1.27 confluence at $102,700
If we do drop more, this is where I'm looking to buy. Lots of support in this area for a bounce back to the POC. A rejection of POC means we may be looking at 100k. Get past it, then target is VAH around 106k.
This isn’t a breakout. It’s a return to senderPrice didn’t rally from randomness — it tapped directly into a daily OB, respected it, and is now marching toward unfulfilled inefficiency above. What looks like recovery is really just Smart Money closing the loop.
The logic:
Price swept sell-side liquidity into a deep daily OB and rebounded sharply — not passively. The response wasn’t a bounce. It was intention.
Above? Two clean destinations:
TP1: 110,950 — inefficiency fill and EQ of prior supply
TP2: 112,033 — full delivery into unmitigated structure
No overlapping zones, no chaos — just precise levels that haven’t yet been claimed.
Execution:
Entry: 104,200–105,000 range
SL: Below 103,800
TP1: 110,950
TP2: 112,033
The risk is defined. The reward is prewritten.
Final thought:
“This move wasn’t built to excite you. It was built to deliver.”
$BTC Breakout Targets $125KCRYPTOCAP:BTC has broken out of a falling wedge and is holding strong above the $103K support zone.
Price is pushing upward toward the key resistance at $110K– $112K.
A breakout above this zone could trigger a move toward $125K.
DYRO, NFA
Bearish btcLooking at the market and what is going on around the globe 🌍
From my technical stand point btc would drop (80k)
Technical Analysis of Bitcoin
From a market analysis perspective, the daily chart of the large cycle has closed with consecutive declines, the price is below the moving averages, and the indicator is in a death cross, indicating a bearish trend. However, it is necessary to be wary of the stimulation from the news and data caused by the current unstable national situation. In operation, risk control should be paid attention to, and the moving average pressure level near 106,000 on the daily chart should be focused on.
In the hourly chart of the short cycle, the decline continued in the European session after the morning decline yesterday, the U.S. session broke the low of the previous day, and the price rebounded and corrected at the support in the early morning. Currently, it is still in a corrective trend. Today, focus on the high pressure level in the 106,000 area, as well as the impact of the strength of the European session and the unemployment benefit data in the evening on the trend.
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BTC: Bias Map 18/06/25Daily Bias Map:
- Bitcoin is trading within a HTF range between 110,700 and 100,700.
- Mid range sits around 105,700 aligning with a 4H bearish fair value gap.
- Higher timeframes are trending down no justification for looking at longs here. Especially after losing 106,500
- FOMC today at 7PM UK time
- Expecting major volatility looking to short any spike into resistance or inefficiencies.
- A scalp long might be valid around 104,115 (demand zone + 30min SFP), but that’s tactical only.
- No reason to flip bullish geopolitical tension (Israel/Iran) adds further downside risk.
- Main plan: scalp long if triggered early, then look to short FOMC-driven upside move.
- Risk is tight. If setups aren’t clean, I’ll sit out and wait for the FOMC dust to settle.
Current BTC Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsThe daily candlestick chart of BTC shows a three - day consecutive bearish retracement, having fallen back to the vicinity of the starting point of the previous pinbar rebound and currently remaining in a recent low - level sideways consolidation zone. However, the 4 - hour trend is pressured by the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, staying within a downward channel and forming a rebound - retracement wave pattern.
For short - term strategies, anticipate a further retracement first. Long positions should be initiated only after the support level is confirmed valid. This retracement represents a necessary consolidation phase before the bullish trend continues, and the current adjustment range does not pose a substantial threat of trend reversal to the overall uptrend. With the core upward trend intact and the direction remaining clear, BTC is expected to resume its upward momentum after a brief consolidation. The operational approach remains to go long on retracements.
BTCUSD
buy@103500-104000
tp:105500-106500
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
BTC/USDT in Consolidation: How To Trade the RangeBitcoin (BTC/USDT) is currently in a clear consolidation phase on the 4-hour chart 📊. Price action is trapped within a well-defined range, and for now, no dominant trend has emerged — we’re simply trading sideways between key support and resistance levels 🔁
In the video, we dive into how to tactically approach this kind of environment by trading the lower time frame trend shifts within the range — focusing on lower timeframe moves from range highs to range lows, and vice versa ⬆️⬇️
We also reference the broader macro picture — looking at the NASDAQ (US100) and the Magnificent 7 (MAGS) for potential clues about Bitcoin’s next directional move 🧠💡. Risk-on or risk-off sentiment in these key tech equities often correlates with Bitcoin’s momentum, making them critical confluence factors for BTC traders.
For now, the strategy is to remain range-conscious and reactive, rather than predictive. Until we get a confirmed breakout or breakdown, patience and precision remain key 🎯
At the moment, Bitcoin is hovering around the newly created FVG.🚨 BITCOIN MARKET UPDATE 🚨
Bitcoin has recently broken below the previous BPR (Balanced Price Range), signaling a significant shift in market structure. Along with this breakdown, a Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) has also formed — a strong indication that the market may be preparing for a further move to the downside.
📉 What This Means:
The break below BPR, combined with the emergence of a bearish FVG, suggests that bearish momentum is currently in play. This is often a sign that the market intends to seek out lower liquidity zones, potentially targeting new lower lows.
🔎 Current Setup:
At the moment, Bitcoin is hovering around the newly created FVG. If price retraces into this zone and gives us a clear bearish confirmation (such as a rejection candle, bearish engulfing, or other MSS confirmation), it could provide a high-probability sell opportunity.
🎯 Target:
The primary target would be liquidity below the most recent lower lows.
⚠️ Risk Management Reminder:
Always wait for proper confirmation before entering a trade. These setups are best traded using MSS (Market Structure Shift) or BPR strategies for higher probability outcomes.
📚 DYOR — Do Your Own Research!
Trading involves risk. Ensure you have a strategy in place and never trade blindly.
BitcoinEntry Point:
Entry Level: 106,300 USDT
Price is currently slightly below entry (106,254.67), so the trade setup is still valid and could trigger soon.
Stop-Loss (SL):
Stop Level: 104,250 USDT
Defined just below the lower FVG zone, indicating where invalidation would occur.
Take-Profit Targets (TP):
TP1: 109,000 USDT (near minor resistance)
TP2: 113,250 USDT (major target)
The Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) looks favorable — possibly over 3:1, which is strong.
Shift stop to entry after reaching TP1
Bitcoin Overall: Likely Higher, then lower once moreIndicated are some of the major support and resistance levels I'm looking at. I'd expect price to break out of the current consolidation to the upside before moving lower.
BTC 4H Analysis📈 BTC 4H Analysis – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Loading
Bitcoin is currently consolidating inside a Symmetrical Triangle, forming higher lows and lower highs – a classic sign of volatility compression.
🔹 Structure: Symmetrical Triangle
🔹 Support Holding Strong – bulls defending the zone
🔹 Breakout Expected Soon
🔹 Major Resistance: $110,200
🔹 Breakout Target: $112,000+
Price is coiling up. Break above the triangle = strong bullish continuation likely.
🚀 Eyes on breakout — next move could be explosive!
NFA | DYOR
It is possible that Bitcoin is finishing wave 4It is possible that
Bitcoin is finishing wave 4
Will expand to wave 5
The target is more than 250,000 dollars
Most likely scenario for BitcoinI am tired of all analysts just saying that we are going down to 70k or up to 200k in one go.
So let me add a small informative chart for all people new or lost.
Don't get me wrong, i am bullish mid and long term but right now we are in the middle of a strong correction but shouln't last long.
We could have been super bullish above 106k but the price broke down with strength.
Now we see a super clear 5 wave movement down.
Currently we are in the 4 wave, trying to bounce back to the 106k area and doing a classic 4 wave ABC correction.
The bounce lacks volume so the most likely scenario is completing the 5 wave. We might get to the 101k area and ONLY THEN we can see what could happen.
If you are a futures trader, do it with caution and small leverage.
If you are a long term investor, these are perfect areas to buy more.
Good day to everyone.
BTC for long *The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
BTC long if it reclaims or holds ### 🔍 Breakdown of Chart:
* Timeframe: 15m BTCUSDT (Bybit)
* Current Trend: Sharp downtrend from the recent highs
* Zone Marked in Blue: Bullish Order Block / Demand Zone
* Yellow Path: Anticipated reclaim and reversal scenario
* White Curve: Possible double bottom (liquidity sweep)
---
### ✅ Why Long Plan Makes Sense:
1. Demand Zone (Blue Block):
This zone has previously caused a strong bullish reaction. It's likely institutional demand may rest here again.
2. Liquidity Grab Below:
Price might sweep the recent low (creating a trap for shorts) before reclaiming. That’s your “double bottom” logic.
3. Reclaim = Confirmation:
Waiting for a reclaim above the zone before longing shows patience and discipline — a smart move to avoid catching a falling knife.
4. Clear Invalidations:
If price fails to reclaim and breaks below the blue zone with momentum, your setup is invalidated — perfect risk control.
---
### ⚠️ Caution:
* If the red bearish OB above (around 104.6–104.8K) is respected, you might face rejection there. Consider partial profits before that area.
* Use confirmation (like a bullish engulfing, BOS, or FVG fill) after reclaim.
* If breaks blue zone then we might enter short
BTC-----Sell around 105500, target 104000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on June 17:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single positive line with continuous negative lines. The price was consolidating at a high level, but the attached indicator was dead cross, and the closing line yesterday was a long upper lead, and the high point was near the 109,000 area. Why is it difficult to continue the rise? The price did not break the previous high point, the continuity was poor, the technical indicators were not obvious, etc., which are all reference data; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the European session rose yesterday, and the US session continued to break the weekend correction high position. The price fell under pressure, the intraday high was 109,000 area, and the intraday retracement low was 106,000 area. There is no obvious direction at present, so the European and American sessions are the focus, so pay attention to the strength and weakness of the European and American sessions and the breakout situation, and then we will layout according to the real-time trend. The European and American sessions are currently showing a downward trend.
Today's BTC short-term trading contract strategy:
The current price is 105,500 and directly short, stop loss in the 106,000 area; the target is the 104,000 area;
As I said earlier, the real correction is STARTING right now!Hello, everyone! I started writing this review when Bitcoin was at $105,200, and I'm finishing it at $104,150.
⚡️ So far, my thesis is completely correct — we filled the GAP at $104,763 and are going lower to collect liquidity and close the GAPs.
But let's take a look at where and when something might change:
➡️ Today, there is a vote on the stablecoin bill. It is being hyped up a lot and in the short term, it could be a catalyst for a small rebound. But in reality, it has no global value right now. And it will take a very long time to truly feel its impact. But this law is definitely a breakthrough.
➡️ June 18 — the Fed's interest rate decision. The market expects the rate to remain at 4.5%. But in a bearish momentum, anything other than a rate cut (and even that is not always the case) is a bearish catalyst. Remember April, when positive news came out in droves, but Bitcoin at $75,000 didn't care.
However, if the rate is lowered, we can definitely expect a rebound. But I don't think it will be very high.
⚙️ Metrics and indicators:
Money flow - in complete harmony with the price. Position closing and liquidity outflow continue. It is clear that most of it has flowed into ETH and altcoins. But don't forget that if Bitcoin goes down, this liquidity from altcoins will evaporate even faster.
Support/Resistance Zones - as we can see, the level of 105,500 - 106,000 is still key, and without consolidating above it, we are going down. As long as the price is below this level, it is a bearish signal.
Liquidation Levels - just look at the amount of liquidity from below. As we know, the price moves from one liquidity to another; it is literally its fuel. And now, there is simply no liquidity from above, but there is plenty of it from below.
📌 Conclusion:
So far, everything is quite predictable for me and my subscribers. So, leaning back in our chairs, we continue to enjoy the show and wait for real discounts!
Have a great week, everyone!
