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Bitcoin / TetherUS PERPETUAL CONTRACT

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BTCUSDT.P trade ideas

What happens to Bitcoin after the U.S. election?The D-Day for U.S. elections is here, and the short-term impact of the outcome on Bitcoin (BTC) could be big. According to the latest Bernstein outlook, a Harris win could drag BTC to $50K, while Trump’s victory could rally it to a range between $80K-$90K.  The research and brokerage firm cited Harris’s relatively hawkish stance as the reason for BTC’s $50K target. But if Trump emerges as the winner, the analysts projected that BTC could hit a new ATH, citing the former president’s pro-crypto stance.  Amberdata, a blockchain insights firm, and asset manager Bitwise, echoed the same projection, although with slightly different targets.  According to Amberdata analysts, there could be a $6K-$8K price swing depending on who wins the U.S. elections. This was consistent with recent action by hedge funds for potential bullish outcomes while covering for likely wild BTC price swings.  Based on BTC’s sensitivity to Trump’s odds on Polymarket, Bitwise analysts found BTC could surge 10% if Trump wins. Conversely, BTC could drop by nearly 10% if Harris wins. That said, at press time, Deribit data showed options traders were pricing a 21% chance of BTC hitting $80K by the end of November. When zooming out from the short-term U.S. election noise, BTC’s long-term impact has always been positive in the past three election cycles, with Bernstein projecting $200K by 2025. 
by paul_endeo
BTCUSDT Based on the chart, here’s a concise bullish trading strategy: Key Support Zone: Watch the area around 68,500 USD, where the price is likely to retrace and rebound. Entry Point: Consider entering a buy position if the price touches the support zone around 68,500 USD and shows signs of a bullish reversal. Take Profit Target: Aim for 70,200 USD or higher, where the price previously reached a peak. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the support level at 68,486 USD to manage risk in case of a breakdown. This strategy anticipates that the support zone will hold, allowing the price to bounce back for the next upward wave.
by Sanhara
Indicators vs. Strategies: A Complete Guide Understanding Indicators vs. Strategies in TradingView: A Complete Guide When navigating TradingView, one of the essential questions traders face is whether to rely on indicators or strategies to inform their trading decisions. Both indicators and strategies play critical roles, yet they serve distinct functions and require different approaches to money management, risk, and emotions control. Let’s explore the key differences between indicators and strategies in TradingView and discuss best practices for risk management, along with strategies to avoid. 1. Indicators: The Building Blocks of Analysis What They Are Indicators are statistical tools that help traders interpret market data, revealing trends, potential entry and exit points, and momentum. Indicators can be used individually or combined for more complex insights. In TradingView, indicators can be customized to fit different asset types, making them versatile tools in any trader’s toolkit. Pros Simplicity: Indicators can be straightforward and easy to interpret, especially for beginners. Flexibility: Traders can apply indicators to various timeframes and markets. No Repainting: Well-designed indicators do not repaint, meaning they don’t change past values when new data comes in, providing stable signals for backtesting and live trading. Cons Limited Guidance on Money Management: Indicators alone don’t provide a full plan for money management, position sizing, or stop-loss placement. Potential for Over-Reliance: Relying solely on indicators can lead to analysis paralysis or a false sense of market understanding without a structured risk management framework. Emotional Challenges: Indicators require interpretation and patience. Without a clear exit plan, traders may succumb to emotional impulses, like exiting too early or holding onto a position for too long. 2. Strategies: A Comprehensive Trading System What They Are Strategies go beyond indicators by integrating entry, exit, stop-loss, and profit-taking rules. In TradingView, strategies can be backtested across different market conditions, giving traders insight into their performance over time. Strategies are more comprehensive in design, often incorporating multiple indicators, risk management rules, and position sizing. Pros Structured Money Management: A well-designed strategy includes money management rules that allow traders to control position size, set stop-loss levels, and adjust for varying market conditions. Risk Control: Strategies often have mechanisms for handling risk, such as maximum drawdown thresholds, trailing stops, and profit targets. With these, traders are less exposed to catastrophic losses. Emotional Control: Strategies minimize emotional trading by automating decision-making. With clear, predefined rules, traders can avoid impulsive reactions to market swings. Cons Complexity: Developing and optimizing strategies can be complex and time-consuming. Without careful backtesting and optimization, a strategy may underperform in live markets. Backtesting Limitations: Some strategies look profitable in historical data but may not hold up in real-time. Traders should be cautious of backtesting biases and over-optimizing to fit historical data. 3. Money Management & Risk Control: Indicators vs. Strategies Indicators: Indicators do not inherently provide money management tools. While they may signal trends or potential entry and exit points, it is up to the trader to set their stop-loss, take-profit levels, and position sizes. This requires a strong sense of discipline and risk management to avoid substantial losses. Strategies: Strategies, on the other hand, typically include integrated money management. With clear stop-loss and take-profit points, traders can manage risk more effectively. Strategies can also be coded to account for risk-adjusted metrics like the Sharpe Ratio and Sortino Ratio, helping to ensure that returns are balanced against the level of risk taken. 4. Strategies to Avoid on TradingView When evaluating strategies on TradingView, it’s essential to avoid the following pitfalls: 4.1 Repainting Strategies Repainting strategies can change historical data when new information is added, leading to inaccurate backtests. They may appear to perform well historically but will give false signals in real-time, which can be detrimental to your trading success. 4.2 Martingale-Based Strategies Martingale strategies double the position size after a loss in an attempt to recover it on the next trade. While this might seem appealing, it can quickly lead to oversized losses, especially during periods of consecutive losses. Avoid strategies that risk increasing position sizes without limit as these can rapidly drain an account. 4.3 Strategies with High Drawdowns Strategies with significant historical drawdowns are risky. A high drawdown suggests that the strategy may face considerable periods of loss. Analyzing drawdown in tandem with the Sortino and Sharpe Ratios can help gauge the quality of the strategy’s risk-adjusted returns. 4.4 Strategies without Stop-Losses Trading without stop-losses is dangerous as it leaves trades vulnerable to catastrophic losses. Reliable strategies should always include some form of a stop-loss to limit potential losses. 4.5 Low Reward-to-Risk Ratios (e.g., 1:1 or 1:2) Strategies with low reward-to-risk ratios (such as 1:1 or 1:2) are generally ineffective in the long run because they don’t provide sufficient reward relative to the risk taken. Aiming for a reward-to-risk ratio of at least 1:3 or higher can improve long-term profitability. 4.6 Heikin Ashi-Based Strategies for Real-Time Trading While Heikin Ashi candlesticks are effective for trend visualization, they average out price data, creating delays in signal timing. This can lead to late entries and exits in fast-moving markets, resulting in increased slippage and potentially lower profits in real-time trading. 5. Evaluating a Strategy: Key Metrics When reviewing or developing a strategy on TradingView, consider these essential metrics to assess its quality: Sortino Ratio: Measures risk-adjusted returns, focusing on downside volatility. A higher Sortino Ratio indicates that the strategy delivers good returns relative to the risk taken. Sharpe Ratio: Evaluates the returns relative to the strategy’s total volatility. A higher Sharpe Ratio is preferable, as it suggests consistent returns with manageable risk. Drawdown: The maximum percentage loss from a strategy’s peak equity value. Low drawdown means the strategy can endure market downturns without excessive loss. Profit Factor: The ratio of gross profit to gross loss. A profit factor above 1.5 is generally considered good, with higher numbers indicating better performance. Conclusion Indicators and strategies each have unique strengths and limitations. Indicators provide signals and insights but lack the comprehensive rules for money management and emotional control that strategies can offer. Strategies, with clear rules for risk management, profit-taking, and stop-losses, help traders manage their accounts with a disciplined approach. Avoid strategies that rely on repainting, Martingale systems, high drawdowns, or low reward-to-risk ratios, and always review metrics like the Sortino Ratio, Sharpe Ratio, and drawdown to ensure sound decision-making. By carefully selecting and fine-tuning strategies in TradingView, traders can enhance their odds of consistent, profitable trading.
Education
by Alpha-Capital
#BTC Cup handle bullish structure📊#BTC Cup handle bullish structure📈 🧠From a structural perspective, we broke through the short defense point, which means that the short structure was destroyed. Without the short structure as an obstacle, it will be much easier for us to continue the bullish trend at the monthly level in the future. If we continue to adjust and accumulate strength, the structure may evolve into a bullish cup handle structure. ➡️This time we challenged the historical high and failed with a gap of $156. Combined with the international situation, the Fed's interest rate cuts, and the uncertainties of the US election vote have led most assets to choose a wait-and-see attitude. ➡️Although the market is gradually cooling down, we don't need to be too discouraged. A healthy correction is conducive to a better rise in the future. Let’s see 👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 💕 Follow me so you don't miss out on any signals and analyze 💯 BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Long
by wolf_king888
LAST BITCOIN UPDATE BEFORE ITS FINAL MOVEA beautiful trap is being created to seek to liquidate those who are already entering long believing that from there they will break maximums, you who follow my analysis already know that that is not going to happen, I set a deadline for massive liquidations on the day 05/11. Don't get ahead of yourself, we have a pending gap that will be filled in the next few days or hours. As I always say, do not leave orders in place, leave alarms and wait for the zone. There is always a fuse that goes further below the objective, maximum leverage (15x).
Long
by CriptoSolutions
1
BITCOIN breakout of the main resistance Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ The previous analyses regarding Bitcoin have not only met but exceeded their bullish targets. In this assessment, we will provide a comprehensive summary of Bitcoin's price movements within the pertinent timeframe. 💣🚀 The price has successfully pierced through two notable resistance peaks and is now approaching one of its most significant resistance levels observed in recent months. 📚✔ Given the impressive surge in trading volume, coupled with the insights gleaned from the technical chart, I am optimistic about the potential for either a touch or a decisive break of this resistance in the immediate future. However, prior to that breakthrough, we may experience a phase characterized by sideways movement or brief bearish candles. 📚🎇 🧨🧨 Our team’s overarching perspective leans toward further bullish movement and the possibility of overcoming this prolonged resistance, with the expectation of encountering neutral or ranging candles in the short term. Additional scenarios are also illustrated on the chart, indicated with lighter arrows, while the price targets are clearly marked for your reference. 🧨🧨 To enhance your understanding, I’ve summarized the key takeaways at the bottom of the chart for your convenience. I hope you find this analysis insightful and beneficial. ✌🎉 Thank you for your attention. If you have any questions or comments, I’m here to respond to you. 🐋💡
Long
by MadWhale
4
BTC expectation (1W 1D 1H) (Support & Resistance, Trend) In my previous post on BTC, I viewed the current downtrend as a temporary pullback before the USD presidential election. We now have limited time left before the election and the upcoming week is going to be very important. Although the election takes place on the 4th, results may take several days, with the vote-counting pace varying state to state. This might lead to significant volatility during this period. I do technical analysis but I also respect the fundamental analysis - we cannot overlook events like the election outcome. ✔ The price remains above the resistance line of the weekly downtrend, giving us expectation of a continued uptrend. ✔ In the hourly chart, I expected the pullback to reach as low as 67.3k where the purple arrow points. The pullback was not as aggressive as it could've been so we unfortunately missed that opportunity. 69.3k line has been resilient for the last few days but eventually failed to hold the pullback longer. The price is currently in the 68 - 69k zone which is crucial. 💡 I think there are 5 scenarios we can expect: 1. The price may move up again from here with 68 - 69k zone acting as a support zone. The aggressive dip did stop as soon as it reached 68k. However, I find this approach risky because it's just an assumption based on the zone - price does not always respect key zones & levels. While more price actions in the past indicate the higher chances it might, but it is never a guarantee. (If it was, we would all be a billionaire.) We should always react rather than predict and only trade when we see a confirmation. And even then, there's always a chance of still being wrong. 2. The price may dip further down to 67.2 - 67.3k, which in my opinion, is much more reliable level than 68 - 69k. This level aligns with the resistance line of the weekly downtrend. If we can confirm a reversal here, I think it would make a great sign of a bull run. If it does not, however, probability of an uptrend drops significantly. 3. The price may react around 67.3k (if it ever reaches it), but might end up continue dropping to 65.3k. While a reversal here could be a good entry opportunity, it would be less reliable than the previous one. 4. This is our last chance to hope for a reversal. If we confirm a reversal in 63.1k, we might enter for LONG. However, if the price ever drops to this level, I wouldn't put much hope. 5. This is the last scenario - unlike the above four, this one is scenario of BTC failing to keep up the uptrend and switching back to the downtrend. If the price reaches below the last trendline, likelihood of it reversing becomes very low. ✔ Conclusion So what is the best scenario among the five for us? In my opinion, it is scenario 2 because it proves that the resistance line of the weekly downtrend now acts as a support. This trend line is more important than any other lines in the chart. If the price falls below this line, our chance of seeing an uptrend becomes lower. I am not saying it becomes impossible because there's never a 100% guarantee in this market - but the chances are so low and risks are too high that I wouldn't bet on it as a disciplined trader. We should always stay disciplined and manage risks. Few successful gambles may give you a temporal gain, but will eventually drag you down in long term. Avoid making assumptions based on key levels - they aren't respected every time. Always trade after confirming the reversal because we never know what happens. React, not predict.
Long
by QJEEE
BTC Trend Shifting ? and ask about your altcoin analysisBTC / USDT Quick summary : 190 days have passed since the BTC topping in march 2024 at 73k Since that moment BTC was trading in downtrend with LH and LL What we can see in chart : finally we can start seeing serious bullish signals 1- First Higher low in 6 months 2- Triple bottom formation in RSI indicator What I wait and expect for next ? I think we can produce HH soon then a small final correction and after that UP ONLY Invalidation: Lose the current HL and continue again in LH and LL You can ask about your fav altcoin analysis in comment section below and I will try to reply all… Ask for 1 altcoin and write complete symbol (ex: BTCUSDT)
Long
by Babenski
80