BTCthis structure is setting up a new buy wave before a massive drop. Take profit is on the way, if you are long stay with a strong stoploss
BTCUSDT.P trade ideas
Bitcoin's one more HUGE run up?Can we get those Cup & Handle and 1,2,3 patterns finalize with a 1 last HUGE run up before a major reversal?
DISCLAIMER: I'm not a financial adviser and this is not a financial advise. Remember, most traders lose money.
BTCUSDT-WAccording to analysis, on the weekly timeframe, Bitcoin could enter a correction after completing Elliott Wave 5 at approximately 128,000.
BTC Bitcoin 24hr potterbox UPDATED CHARTThis is what i was talking about. The power of the three or the laws of threes. it's trying to break through the roof of the box which is $106,98. ish. I think it will push on through soon. JMO it's trying to break through the roof.
BTC Bitcoin 24 hr potterboxBTC Bitcoin 24hr potterbox Bitcoin is looking good it's taking its time getting there. While this is over the 50 percent line or cost basis it should stay there according to the parameters of the box. It's above the 200-day and 100-day moving average. This is also the third time trying to make new highs. The powers of three are at play here. one, two, three, Bang. Meaning that something big is about to happen. Possibly. It needs to get above 108,370. ish. to make a new high. Happy Trading.
Weekly base trend Analysis On the weekly trend we see that the trend line of the price and the trend line of the index RSI are following an opposite direction. This means that the buyers are being saturated and the urge for sell is becoming more that urge to buy. Therefore the price will be descending.
Bitcoin Looking for more upsideAfter revisiting a daily bullish order block with a liquidity sweep, Bitcoin demonstrated a strong upward reaction, forming a bullish breaker and a potential daily fair value gap (FVG). However, Bitcoin has not yet closed above the midpoint of the FVG. For me, it’s crucial to wait for a close at least above that level, or ideally above the shaded area. Such a move would present a solid opportunity to target the all-time high and the 113K level as a low-hanging fruit.
BTC breaks higher
From the recent trend of Bitcoin, it can be seen that the price has experienced several key trend changes:
1. Descending channel: The price started to pull back from the high point near 108,340.67 and entered an obvious descending channel, falling to 92,458.46 at the lowest point. This range indicates that the market entered a correction after encountering strong resistance in the high point area.
2. Upward trend channel: Starting from 92,458.46, the price gradually rebounded and broke through the downward channel. At present, Bitcoin has entered a new upward trend channel, and the current price (103,182.59) is close to the upper track of the channel, showing obvious upward momentum.
Key levels
1. Fibonacci retracement level:
0.618 retracement level (102,259.76): This is the key golden section point measured from the top of 108,340.67 to the bottom of 92,458.46. The price has fluctuated in this area recently, indicating that there is a strong support and resistance conversion at this position.
0.5 retracement level (100,388.32): This position provided some support during the price decline, reflecting that the market buying was relatively active at this position.
0.382 retracement level (98,516.87): As an important dividing line, the price has formed a certain short-term consolidation in this area before.
2. Support and resistance:
Current main resistance level: 108,340.67 This is the recent highest point. Breaking through this position will significantly enhance the market's bullish sentiment.
Main support level: 92,458.46, which is the low point of this round of decline. If it falls below this level, it may trigger more selling.
Price pattern and momentum
1. Double bottom pattern:
A double bottom was formed at 92,542.93 and 92,577.50, confirming the strong support of the market in this area. The price then rebounded and gradually broke through the downward channel upward.
2. Upward trend channel:
From the channel marked by the green parallel lines in the figure, it can be seen that Bitcoin is currently climbing steadily, and the upward trend is complete in the short term. However, the price is currently close to the upper track of the channel and may face certain pullback pressure.
Trading strategy suggestions
1. Long strategy:
If the price is stable above 102,259.76 (0.618 retracement) and breaks through 103,500, you can consider entering the market to go long, with a target of 105,000 to 108,000.
If the price breaks through the previous high of 108,340.67, it may open up a larger upside space, and then you can consider chasing long.
2. Short strategy:
If the price falls below 102,000, it may indicate that the short-term bullish momentum is weakening. At this time, you can consider shorting, with a target of 100,000 or 98,500.
Pay attention to the performance of the 95,525.94 support area. Falling below this level may lead to a deeper pullback.
Risk Control
The current trend of Bitcoin is in an upward channel, and the market sentiment is optimistic, but it is also necessary to guard against the possibility of false breakthroughs. Recommendations:
- Set a strict stop loss to avoid unnecessary losses due to excessive price fluctuations.
- Pay attention to the potential impact of macroeconomic factors (such as the Fed's policy) and market news (such as regulatory dynamics) on prices.
In summary, the technical side of Bitcoin shows short-term bullishness, but it is necessary to be wary of the pressure level near the upper track of the channel. Investors are advised to flexibly adjust their strategies according to the trend.
BTC - Mapping out a Liquidity SweepIt’s of my opinion that Bitcoin has a lot of interest in recollecting this long position liquidity.
Per my previous posts we have some trendlines to support these zones being hit.
Likely? Who am I to have an opinion on that. The facts are that there is a mass amount of liquidity here and technical analysis patterns that support price reaching those zones.
The way this chart works is the multiple bottom locations of the first liquidity sweep wave correspond to a retrace location above in the same colour.
Ultimately I believe there is an interest in sweeping those ultra lows at 7-10k, albeit very briefly.
We know it will be fast and brief because:
1) Long stop losses are in the chart (leveraged sell orders)
2) Shorts will be opened on the way down creating leveraged buy orders to take price quickly back up
3) People will panic sell to make the drop even faster and respectively panic buy to make the return to upper zones even faster.
God speed and keep and open mind
boyLet me talk about a topic today, a point that you might think to yourself after I say it, "What is this idiot saying?" Of course, I know. Let me explain it to you, then comment on your thoughts.
Probability and uncertainty mean lack of knowledge, and this lack of knowledge and not knowing comes from lack of knowledge and experience. In short, when you are in the market and don't know which direction the trend is going to go, you are afraid. This is the same psychological problem that arises from not knowing, and this means that you are weak in analyzing the trend.
The result is that when you don't make mistakes in your analysis, everything goes well from zero to one hundred. So we don't know something, we don't know how to do something, we have to learn it, we have to make sure that there is something incomprehensible about it.
Expanded view of Bitcoin Short analysisSure it’s just two lines but they are lines that are repeatable and respected very well.
Bitcoin dropping to these lows makes sense, the market wants it to happen,
Entry is perfect currently at 104,000
BTCUSD 15min looking promising to the upside $104,444 level needs to brake higher for more upside 15min looks good
Bitcoin M15 projectionBitcoin is currently consolidating near a support level and may bounce upward.
A breakout above 104,103.66 could result in a strong upward move, with clear take-profit targets (TP1 and TP2).
If the price falls below the 102,865.82 support, the bullish scenario might be invalidated.
BTC Bulls Defending the 100k FrontlineTechnical Indicators:
Predictive Channel, Multi-timeframe Money Flow Index, and Institutional Supply & Demand Zones.
Analysis:
Money Flow remains bearish with the Bulls setting up multiple demand (support) zones to defend the newly recaptured 100k Frontline. Technical ratings across multiple moving averages and oscillators remain bullish. So the odds are against the Bears.
The Bulls will try to regain control of the Money Flow. Once that happens and a new (continuation) trend channel forms, it'll present an opportunity to long BTC. I expect that to happen within the next 24 hours.
But if the Bears sustain control of Money Flow and manage to clear the demand zones around 102.3k, then we might expect a correction that may, once again, push the price below 100k. The appearance of a new bearish channel will thus confirm a short entry opportunity.
Bitcoin Short - Weekend DopamineExpecting sideway action between 105 and 100k till the 20th at least. Orange levels are the ones where shorts will panic cover. Enjoy. Idea only valid for today since levels will move from tomorrow on.
Bitcoin Technical Analysis
Bitcoin is currently fluctuating between $91,334 and $106,490, with a strong resistance observed at $106,490. Using the Trend-Based Fibonacci tool, the key levels to watch after a breakout are:
Fib 0.618
Fib 1
Fib 1.618
In case of a decline, the most critical support levels are $91,334 and $86,690. If these levels are lost, a further drop to $73,000 is possible.
Price & Market overview current of BTCKey Insights from the Data:
1. Price & Market Overview
BTC Price: Trading between $102,900 and $103,000, down ~1.1% from recent highs ($104k+).
Market Sentiment:
Fear & Greed Index at 77 (+2.67%), reflecting a strong "Greed" sentiment.
Bitcoin Dominance at 57.04% (+1.15%), indicating BTC's growing market share.
Macro Environment:
Gold Futures: Down -0.48% ($2701.55), showing minor weakness.
USD Index (DXY): +0.35% (109.200), a mild headwind for risk assets like BTC.
2. On-Chain Metrics
Exchange BTC Balances:
~1.81M BTC on exchanges, slightly down (-0.06%), indicating ongoing outflows.
BTC Spot Inflows/Outflows:
Recent net outflows totaling ~$221M over 4–6 hours suggest reduced selling pressure.
Implication: Fewer BTC on exchanges reduces immediate sell pressure but doesn't guarantee price increases if sentiment weakens.
3. Derivatives Overview
Open Interest (OI): $147.74B (+1.41%), showing new positions are being opened.
Funding Rates:
Binance BTC/USDT: ~0.0100% (mildly positive, bullish tilt).
OKX BTC/USDT: ~0.0114% (similar trend).
Liquidations:
24h Liquidations: $484.49M (+45.89%), reflecting increased volatility.
Long/Short Ratios:
Binance Traders: 1.64 (net-long), but sentiment is weakening.
OKX Accounts: 0.66 (net-short), showing mixed market views across platforms.
4. Technical Indicators
Price Action:
BTC corrected from $104.6k to ~$102.3k and struggles to reclaim $103.5k.
Moving Averages:
1h 50 MA ($103.6k): BTC below this level; bearish pressure persists.
1h 200 MA ($101.8k): Key support if downward pressure intensifies.
Momentum Oscillators:
MACD: Strongly negative histogram (-333), indicating bearish momentum.
RSI: ~48–50, teetering around neutral, with potential bearish confirmation below 45.
Volatility Indicators:
Bollinger Bands: Price in the lower half, signaling a slight downward bias.
5. Likely Scenarios (Next 12–24 Hours)
Bearish Continuation (~40% Probability):
BTC fails to reclaim $103.5k, falling toward $101.8k–$102k (200 MA).
Potential for further downside to $100k if selling accelerates.
Neutral Range (~35% Probability):
BTC consolidates between $102k and $103.5k with subdued volume.
Bullish Recovery (~25% Probability):
Buyers push BTC above $103.5k, potentially retesting $104.5k–$105k.
6. Confidence Level
Moderately Bearish (~55%) due to:
Negative MACD, struggles to break above short-term MAs, and rising liquidation volumes.
Macro bullish factors (high greed index, long-term outflows) provide a supportive backdrop, but immediate technical signals remain weak.
Final Recommendations
Monitor $103.5k for potential recovery or rejection.
Watch for high-volume breaks below $101.8k, which could trigger further downside.
Stay cautious of sudden volatility spikes due to increased liquidations and mixed sentiment across derivatives platforms.
BTC DAILY The directional bias for Bitcoin (BTC) is currently bullish, with a potential target of $110,000 -109,000 on the retest to the broken ascending trendline on daily only The market is ready for a sell retracement, but has to break daily support in the zone of $102,173.78 and look for retest at $99,000 .at this level, caution will be applied because of a potential downswing as a broken demand often becomes a supply roof.
A CLEAR BUY TREND IN BTC!Price is looking good for a buy from the current price of 103,249 my take profit is at 105,316 stop loss is placed at 101,639 a buy opportunity is envisaged right now.
BTC Trendline AnalysisA trendline has been drawn connecting the recent lows. This trendline acts as support for the uptrend. As long as the price remains above this trendline, the bullish bias remains intact.
25 EMA Indicator:
The 25-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is also plotted on the chart. It is currently below the price, which is a bullish signal. The EMA can act as dynamic support for the price.
Other Observations:
The recent price action has been volatile, with periods of sharp rises and falls.
There is a horizontal support level around the 100,000 USD mark.
Possible Scenario:
If the price continues to hold above the trendline and the 25 EMA, the uptrend could continue.
A break below the trendline could signal a potential reversal of the uptrend.
The 100,000 USD support level could provide some cushion in case of a minor pullback.
