Bitcoin Correction Stagewe could see on daily that 91K is on the tabble for liquadition of longs and retestings and we could pottencialy see february or mars our altseason
BTCUSDT.P trade ideas
BTCUSDT BEARISH RUN!!!Clearly after breaking its new record high the market is set to go on a bearish run with its target possibly ranging from 90 to 75k
Now if someone is looking for a longer term investment, this would not be the best time, the better time would be to invest 50% at 92k and hold 50% for the 75k zone.
For scalpers i have marked the zones from which they can buy for the shorter time .
BTC | EXCITING PATTERN | Bullish Pattern in the DailyBTC has formed an interesting pattern in the daily timeframe.
The W-Bottom pattern is a bullish pattern that shows up on the daily timeframe usually when the price is about to go higher. This can be considered as a bullish pattern or even a fractal, if we look at previous price action with the same pattern.
This is likely the impulse that leads to a new BTC ATH as well as a new ETH and SOL all time high, which we are still waiting for:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
we have the fu*k pattern, we're screweddo you see what i'm seeing?🖕😂🤫
NOTE:this is just for fun i saw it and i published it.NOT A TRADING HINT.
rsi divergance in weeklyI see a divergence in rsi weekly please attention to that fall to 75 need a long time
What I think trading is...
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Thank you @TradingBrokersView for the great article.
🚨 Bitcoin update! 🚨 BTC rejected at MA50 (4h) inside a Channel Down pattern. If history repeats, we could see a Lower Low at 95K (-10.7%), aligning with MA100 (1d) support. RSI (4h) is confirming bearish momentum.
🔥 Trading Plan: Sell now before further downside!
I was thinking about how to say it, and I came up with this idea.
Thank you again.
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#BTCUSDT 1M
As shown in the chart, it has risen a lot, so it is natural to feel downward pressure.
No one knows how big this downward pressure will be.
However, what I can tell you is the flow of funds.
To see a more detailed flow, you need to look at the gap occurrence status on the 1D chart, but when looking at the overall flow of funds, it is true that a lot of funds are flowing into the coin market.
Selling all of this inflow of funds means that you will not be able to overcome the volatility in the upcoming bull market and will rather increase the probability of suffering losses.
The reason is that the average purchase price is likely to be set too high and is likely to be located in the volatility range.
Therefore, you need to respond according to your investment style.
In other words, if your investment style is one that wants to trade quickly and urgently, a strategy that sells whenever it shows signs of falling would be appropriate to gain profits.
If not, if you have a longer-term outlook or trade mainly in spot transactions, I think it would be better to leave coins (tokens) corresponding to profits rather than selling all of them so that you can more easily purchase them in the future bull market.
Leaving a coin (token) corresponding to the profit means a coin (token) with a purchase principal of 0.
In other words, it means that when the price rises after purchase, the purchase principal is sold.
In that sense, when looking at the BTCUSDT 1M chart, you can see that the Fibonacci ratio point of 1.618 (89050.0) is a very important support and resistance area.
#BTCUSDT 1D
This volatility period is expected to continue until January 31.
Therefore, it is expected that the key will be whether there is support near 101947.24 after this volatility period.
If it falls without support near 101947.24, it is expected that the trend will be determined again by touching the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
If you have been reading my ideas, you will understand that you should not try to create a trading strategy by analyzing charts.
As I mentioned earlier, you should create a trading strategy that suits your investment style with the information obtained from chart analysis.
That is why the opinion that it will fall now and sell everything can be interpreted differently by different people, so you need to be careful.
Some people are currently making profits and others are losing money.
Those who are making profits will have the luxury of waiting even if the price falls, and those who are losing money may be suffering from psychological pressure.
The information I am giving you is to provide information on how to respond to all of these people.
In that sense, you need to focus on the price that I am talking about, that is, the support and resistance points or sections.
If your average purchase price is below the support and resistance points or sections that I am talking about, you can check the downward trend and intensity and judge the situation.
If not, you need to create a response strategy based on how much cash you currently have.
If your current cash holding is less than 20% of your total investment and you feel unstable psychologically, it is a good idea to sell some of it to secure cash.
This will allow you to secure the ability to purchase more even if the price falls, so you will be able to secure a certain level of psychological stability even if the price falls.
I think trading is about responding to your investment style and psychological state in this way.
Therefore, you should calmly look at your current psychological state, check your cash holdings, and create a response strategy that suits your investment style.
This is the strategy I can tell you.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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$BTC : A new all-time high and a long wick.Trump didn’t mention crypto during his inauguration ceremony, and retail investors found the perfect reason to drive the price down to 100k.
There was a time when Elon had significant influence over crypto prices, and now it’s Trump. This isn’t exactly what Satoshi envisioned, in my opinion. It challenges the core principle of decentralization.
For now, we need to be patient. Altcoins will follow suit soon enough. You need to be patient to hold onto your bags and not give up.
Let me know what you think in the comment section and please hit that like button if you like my posts.
Thank you
#PEACE
BTC is in a decision-making phase
Bitcoin is trending upward, with prices rising from about 90,000 USDT all the way to nearly 105,000 USDT. Since late January, Bitcoin prices are entering a converging triangle area. The area is limited by a descending trend line above and a support line below. The current performance of the market shows that price fluctuations are getting smaller and smaller, indicating that market participants are waiting for a clear breakout signal.
Support level: 91,361.70 USDT below, representing the recent low, this price has become a key support area. If Bitcoin prices fall below this support level, they may face greater downward pressure and even test lower support areas.
Resistance level: 107,813.12 USDT above the price is the main resistance level, forming the upper boundary of the current triangle consolidation. If Bitcoin prices break through this resistance level, it will be possible to launch a new upward wave again.
Currently, the price fluctuates above and below a gradually rising trend line, which is a typical triangle consolidation. In this form, the price usually enters a contraction range, and the fluctuation range gradually becomes smaller. At this point, we will closely watch whether the price breaks through the upper resistance line or falls below the lower support line. A breakout in either direction could bring a strong market reaction.
If Bitcoin breaks through the upper triangle resistance line of 107,813USDT, it may retest and break through the upper high, pushing the price to a higher area, with the target possibly close to 112,000 USDT or even higher.
If Bitcoin falls below the lower support line of 91,361.70 USDT, a strong downward trend may form, and the price may pull back to 90,000 USDT or even lower.
Overall, the current market pattern shows a typical triangle consolidation pattern, which means that Bitcoin may continue to consolidate in the short term until it breaks through the key price above or below.
KING BTC 3. 1HThe previous path of the bit did not fulfill our intended pattern but achieved the intended goal, but from here keep in mind the red path. This is a possibility.
#BTC/USDT Ready to launch upwards#BTC
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is adhering to it well and is heading to break it strongly upwards
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at a price of 98500
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100
Entry price 102500
First target 104300
Second targe 107500
Third target 110080
BTCUSDT Strong Push back up to retest resistanceHi Traders what do think about BTCUSDT given suggestion in comments.
BTC/USDT Price expecting a pullback after the price reaches 105K If you’re looking for a buying opportunity, you could consider waiting for a rejection near 102K as a potential entry point, provided the price shows signs of reversal around that level.
A few things to watch for on the 1H timeframe:
1. Price action around 102K: Look for the support at this level that suggests a reversal, like a hammer or bullish engulfing).
2.Resistance Zone if the price will up from 102K, that could indicate a strong push back up to retest resistance at 110K.
If the price breaks above 110K, you could look for higher targets, but a rejection at that level might lead to another pullback. Keep an eye on the price action as it approaches both 102K and 110K for clearer signals.
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Bearish Analysis Remember alway use Risk Management and do not risk more than you can afford
Exness Broker I recomend Sell BTCUSD
Sell at 106000
Stop loss 10800
Take Profit 1 @ 102,500.00
Take Profit 2 @ 98,000.00
or Close until is good
Is BTC ready to explode or should we brace for a deeper drop?The pressure is mounting! Are we about to witness a massive breakout, or should we prepare for a deeper correction? The BTCUSDT chart is coiling into a elliott pattern, a classic bullish setup—but remember, trading is never guaranteed, and the market loves to test us! Here’s the full breakdown of what we’re seeing right now:
💎#BTC previously enjoyed a strong rally and made new ATH but due to #TRUMP not mentioning any words for crypto we have seen a massive sell pressure.
💎But according to elliott wave count, we are heading towards 3rd impulsive wave targeting 120-125k .
💎After that we can see a slight pullback making a 4th corrective wave
💎And then we can see #Bitcoin to final All-Time-High making at 130k level most probably
Stay patient, and always wait for confirmation before taking any action. Discipline is the key to long-term success!
Bitcoin is gearing up for a rally. 120K target Bitcoin after the false breakout of resistance, which is associated with Trump's inauguration did not fall, but only consolidates near resistance. And this, I believe, is a very good sign that the price may continue its trend after exiting the triangle.
Scenario: Since after the strong growth and after the false breakout there is no fall and consolidation is formed, we can expect the continuation of the growth because I also point out a few more things:
- strong trend on senior timeframes
- locally the price does not update the minimums
- resistance retest is formed
- consolidation on the background of the uptrend.
Correspondingly: a break of the triangle resistance may increase buying interest, which may lead to another rally to ATH and even update it to 120K.
Bitcoin analysis: does the trend continue?hello friends
Considering the good upward trend we have in Bitcoin
Now, the price has made a pattern with the correction that it has made, which seems to be a continuous trend, and with the valid failure of the pattern, we can enter into a purchase transaction with capital management...
We have specified the goals for you in order.
*Trade safely with us*
BTCUSDT Long Trade M15Similar technique used from previous post. I used simple strat: price action, support and resistance, divergence..
BTC - TPO updateLooking at the price action since we came into 100k area, we can see a big range value area between 92k and 100k, with a short deviation above that created some new value between 103k and 106k.
Compressing a bit at the lower end of that higher value now, which makes it easy to define bias for intraday plays:
- lose todays VAL, fill imbalance to lower range VAH and orderlock
- lose weekly lows, we look at npoc at 97k for a reaction
- lose that, then imo we best wait for 92k npoc which also fills the imbalance of that initial move and taps big range VAL
- move up form todays VA, then next npoc is 105k which also fills the remaining imbalance to the upside
- 107k to 108k is the biggest resistance area until proven otherwise. Given recent price action, I would only short on breakdown, definitely not as long as slow grind price action is ongoing.
BTC hyperbolic run on the vergeLow volume above current price can trigger the hyperbolic run very quickly as every big purchase has no selling counterpart pushing it down. Historically we know this is not the new ATH for next 4 years, one more push to 140-160k and then bear market will follow.
Understanding R/R and Win Rate: The Key to Profitable TradingWhy R/R and Win Rate Matter❓
What’s the one thing that separates consistent traders from those stuck in a cycle of losses? It’s the combination of Risk-to-Reward (R/R) and Win Rate. These two metrics aren’t just numbers—they’re the foundation of every profitable trading strategy.
Today, we’ll break down the facts and numbers behind R/R and Win Rate. You’ll learn how to evaluate whether your strategy is sustainable and why high win rates alone might not be enough. Let’s dive in!
🔍 The Relationship Between R/R and Win Rate
This chart tells the story: your R/R ratio determines the percentage of trades you need to win to break even. But let’s be clear—breaking even isn’t our goal. We aim for profitability, and that’s only possible when your R/R and Win Rate are optimized.
Here are some key examples:
R/R = 5:1 (High Risk, Low Reward):
Out of 100 trades, you need to win 98% just to break even.
One or two losses can wipe out all your profits.
Conclusion: This is unsustainable.
R/R = 1:1 (Balanced):
To break even, you need to win 50% of your trades.
While this ratio is popular, achieving consistent profits requires a Win Rate over 80%, which is challenging.
R/R = 1:2 (Ideal Minimum):
You only need to win 33% of your trades to break even.
With a 50-60% Win Rate, your profits can grow exponentially over time.
Conclusion: This is the most realistic and effective ratio for both beginner and professional traders.
Common Misconceptions About High Win Rates
Many traders mistakenly equate high win rates with profitability. While a Win Rate of 80% might sound impressive, it can still lead to losses if paired with poor R/R.
Example:
Imagine a trader whose win rate is 80%, but their R/R is 5:1. Those 20% losing trades will erase all profits. This is why it’s crucial to analyze both metrics together and not get distracted by flashy results.
The Psychology Behind R/R and Losing Streaks 🧠
Losing streaks are inevitable, even with a solid strategy. What matters is how your R/R and mindset help you navigate them:
The Role of R/R in Losing Streaks:
With an R/R of 1:2, even after a streak of 5 losses, a single win can recover your account.
On the other hand, with an R/R of 5:1, a losing streak can wipe you out entirely.
Mindset Tip:
Don’t fear losses. Instead, focus on executing your strategy consistently. Understand that a few losses won’t hurt your account if your R/R is optimized.
Crafting a Sustainable Strategy 🔧
Here’s how to create a strategy that balances R/R and Win Rate:
Step 1: Define Your R/R
Set a minimum R/R of 1:2 for your trades. This ensures that even with a 40% Win Rate, you remain profitable.
Step 2: Backtest Your Strategy
Test your strategy on historical data to calculate its true Win Rate. Adjust your R/R based on the results.
Step 3: Manage Risk Effectively
Never risk more than 1-2% of your account per trade. This minimizes the impact of losing streaks and allows for long-term growth.
💬 What’s your R/R ratio and how do you manage losing streaks? Share your insights in the comments below!
I’m Skeptic , dedicated to simplifying trading and helping you achieve mastery step by step. Let’s keep growing together! 🤍
Continuation of the consolidation on BTC, short opportunityBesides all the hype around the inauguration of Trump and the technical rebound we have received. the technical picture and the dynamic of the earlier discussed move in my pod suggests the further consolidation, which is likely to continue while also disappointing the crowd
We have come to the bearish fvg where also the 50% of the initial manipulation is located , we are also at the psychological 100 k level, which acts as a strong price point either way. I believe we might receive the final sweep locally on 15 min TF where possibly the setup can be found to enter the trade
Short on BTCHi everyone
I want to open a short position on BTCusdt
After a heavy bearish pattern , btc has had a price correction in its downtrend.
what do you think about ma analysis ?
