BTC slowly getting bearmarket vibes.Given the current macroeconomic and geopolitical landscape, there is a growing risk of a renewed downward move in the market. Should we not see a rate cut materialize as early as June, Bitcoin could begin a gradual decline, potentially retracing toward the $50,000–$40,000 range.
This slow grind lower may persist unless there is a sharp and meaningful shift in the key macro or geopolitical variables. While a reversal of this trend remains possible under improved conditions, current indicators suggest a steady move toward lower levels in the absence of a clear catalyst.
BTCUSDT.P trade ideas
BTCUSDT Short Setup at Fresh Supply ZoneBTCUSDT is currently trading near $102,397, approaching a clean supply zone between $102,887 – $104,030, where strong historical rejection has occurred.
A short entry around $102,887 offers a high-probability setup with a stop above the zone at $104,030, targeting $98,780 as the take profit level. This aligns with a previous demand structure and offers an excellent Risk:Reward ratio of approximately 1:3.6.
Trade Setup:
- Entry: $102,887
- Stop Loss: $104,030
- Take Profit: $98,780
- Risk:Reward Ratio: ~1:3.6
This setup expects sellers to defend the supply zone, rejecting bullish attempts and triggering a downward move.
BTC/USDT – Technical Outlook:
📊 BTC/USDT – Technical Outlook
🗓️ Published: June 21, 2025 | 🕰 Timeframe: H4
🔻 Market Sentiment: Bearish
The BTC/USDT pair is currently exhibiting strong bearish momentum after a failed breakout above the 106,000 resistance level. The price has sharply declined and is now trading around 103,485 USDT, confirming a breakdown from the consolidation phase.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Ichimoku Cloud Analysis:
Price is trading below the Kumo, indicating a bearish trend continuation.
The future cloud is thick and red, reinforcing downside pressure.
The Chikou Span (lagging line) supports the bearish outlook.
Structure & Volume:
Market structure has shifted to lower highs and lower lows.
A visible volume gap exists between 103,000 and 101,000 – suggesting price could drop quickly into the next demand zone.
Support & Target Zone:
Strong demand zone identified between 100,000 – 101,000 USDT.
This area previously acted as a high-volume accumulation zone.
Projection Path:
Based on price action and market momentum, a continued move toward the 100K psychological support is likely.
🧠 Professional Insight:
"The breakdown below the cloud and recent support level confirms seller dominance. As BTC loses strength below 104K, we anticipate a potential drive toward the 100K demand area, where buyers may re-enter."
📌 Strategic Trade Setup (Not financial advice):
Short Entry: Below 103,200
Target: 100,000 – 101,000
Stop Loss: Above 104,900 (just above the cloud)
Risk/Reward: Optimal 1:2+
Trading the Impulse Rally Retracement — Price and Time Symmetry The Stop Loss Triangle is back!
This time with BITSTAMP:BTCUSD coming off its recent impulse rally. For those of you that aren’t familiar with my strategy — let me start from the beginning…
This concept involves positioning against the opposing decline in price and time as a precursor to our theoretical projection. If the underlying enters our predetermined faded cross-section, the stop loss is triggered to prevent sideways consolidation and the erosion of contract premiums or leverage decay.
This inherently ‘sclene’ triangle is constructed by drawing a straight trend line through the bottoming reversal candle and the furthest projection in price and time symmetry (78.6%) of the retracement. Once connected, draw a vertically positioned straight line from the highest or lowest point in the previously identified retracement to the bottom reversal candle area once again. To create a ‘right triangle’, now turn 90 degrees towards the final point, which is determined by the nearest projection in price and time symmetry (38.2%). This allows time after the imposed price and time date, yet not enough for premium or leverage decay to become significant.
In its entirety, this forms the stop loss triangle.
I encourage my followers to identify and explore the system on their own. As always, feel free to ask me anything related to it. We’ll follow along and you’ll be amazed at the precision of Fibonacci symmetry.
CHEERS
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youBitcoin is fluctuating around $101,000, like driving to a crossroads. Looking down, the average price over the past month is supported at around $100,000. Looking up, $105,000 seems like a hurdle. In the United States, although the possibility of a rate cut in July is low (only 10%), some Fed officials have said they support rate cuts if inflation is under control, which has made the market expect easing in the second half of the year. More importantly, the United States and Hong Kong, China, are issuing "legal IDs" for stablecoins. Large companies like JD.com are applying for licenses, which may make Bitcoin transactions more convenient in the future, equivalent to adding fuel to the market. Large companies are also voting with their actions. For example, MicroStrategy continues to buy Bitcoin, indicating that long-term optimists have not wavered.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
BTCUSDT BUY@100000~101000
SL:98000
TP:102000~103000
BTC ALL SET FOR ATH Price is forming a lower high and starting to roll over , this suggests bearish pressure is creeping in, Recent candles are showing smaller bodies and long wicks, indicating indecision and a potential slowdown in bullish momentum. BTC could test support zones 92,000 and show short term pull back but major trend is bullish from 84k zone , buckle up and watch it tightly.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you Four Bullish Drivers Behind Bitcoin's Rally
(1) Institutional Capital Rampage: From Whale Holdings to Market Scarcity
- **BlackRock et al. as anchor investors**: BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) has ballooned to $71.9 billion, holding 660,000 BTC—equivalent to 3.1% of total circulating supply. Such "whale-level" positions not only provide liquidity support but also shatter traditional financial institutions' attitude toward crypto.
- **Accelerating OTC concentration**: OTC platform data shows Bitcoin inventory plunged from 166,500 coins at the start of the year to 137,400 coins, a 17.5% drop. This signals massive coins are shifting from exchanges to institutional custody, creating a "scarcity effect" analogous to apple prices surging due to supply shortages.
(2) Fed Rate Cut Expectations Ignite Hot Money Inflows
- **Policy pivot-driven capital reallocation**: After Fed Governor Bowman signaled a possible July rate cut, CME futures now price in two 2025 rate cuts (up from one). Historical parallels: Bitcoin surged 42% in 6 months post-Fed's first 2019 rate cut (S&P 500 +12%), as low rates enhance Bitcoin's appeal as a "non-sovereign asset".
- **Diminishing opportunity costs**: A potential Fed rate cut would lower real yields (nominal rate - inflation). If 10-year Treasury real yields fall from 2.3% to 1.5%, the opportunity cost of holding gold/Bitcoin declines, pushing funds from bonds into risk assets.
(3) Regulatory Gate Opening: Chinese Brokerage Breaks New Ground
- **Guotai Junan International's milestone**: On June 24, Hong Kong's SFC approved its virtual asset trading services, making it the first Chinese-funded brokerage to gain such. This opens a "compliant channel" for mainland capital—post-announcement, its HK shares surged 101%, while OTC Bitcoin inventory dropped by 3,000 coins, indicating institutions are front-running liquidity inflows.
- **Financial infrastructure upgrade**: The service allows clients to trade BTC via traditional securities accounts, lowering entry barriers. Analogous to Chinese brokerages accessing gold ETFs in 2013, such channels typically trigger explosive incremental flows, expected to attract $1-2 billion from family offices initially.
(4) Technical "Golden Cross" Confirms Long-Term Trend
- **Key moving average resonance**: BTC recently completed a 50-day MA (102,300 USD) cross above 200-day MA (94,700 USD), forming a "golden cross". Backtesting 2019 and 2020 instances, this pattern preceded 58% average 6-month gains, though short-term pullbacks (10-15%) are common (e.g., June 2023 post-cross correction).
- **Strong support forming a safety net**: The 200-day MA now acts as dynamic support—pullbacks to ~95,000 USD would represent a "secondary buying opportunity at institutional cost bases", similar to housing prices finding support when breaking below moving averages.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
BTCUSDT BUY@106000~107000
SL:105000
TP:108000~109000
Premium zone tagged — now we watch how the Smart Money reactsBitcoin just tapped into the 108,151 level — the top of a measured premium range and a likely area where profit-taking begins and fresh distribution footprints form.
This run-up wasn’t random. Price surged from inefficiency, cleanly filled the fair value gap (FVG), and is now flirting with a key liquidity pocket.
Here's what the structure says:
Premium reached: 108,151 (0% fib)
If rejection holds, Smart Money looks to discount entries:
0.236: 106,136
0.382: 104,889
0.5: 103,882
Deep retracement zone: 0.618 at 102,874
Final defense for bulls? The unmitigated FVG block between 101,440 → 99,613
Possible Playbook Scenarios:
Quick retrace → higher high:
Bounce off 104,889 or 103,882 before attacking 108,967+
Deeper sweep:
Into 102,874 (0.618) before Smart Money steps in again
Invalidation:
Break below 99,613 closes this bullish narrative and confirms a structural break
TL;DR Execution Logic:
Wait for retracement into 0.5–0.618 fibs
Look for bullish reaction (engulfing or SFP)
Upside targets:
108,151 (retest)
108,967 (liquidity sweep)
Further upside if momentum sustains
BTC - Key Level Being TestedRight now BTC is fighting a pivotal level in its current trend. After falling slightly below the $100k level price has seen a strong uptick after a 4H reversal doji was created at the bottom of the trend.
Now price is at the $105k level which has shown lots of volume with flips between support and resistance. What we are watching for now is our red "Upper Resistance Trendline". The level is currently around $109k.
If we see a rejection of that level then it would show the bears are still in control and the momentum to the downside will continue. If we can close candles above the red trendline we could see a swift move back to our white trendline and a break of that could see a strong surge to new all time highs.
If we see the current uptrend start to fade and price close below our 0.236 fib that could be an early indication of lower levels needing to be tested. If we do start to fall rapidly the most important level to hold to keep the macro uptrend intact is the 0.618 fib level. Currently this level is around $88k and if that level would be flipped into new support it would be the best level to create a macro higher low.
Bitcoin Expecting Relief moveBitcoin Poised for 109K
Bitcoin is showing resilience around the key psychological support level of 100K which appears to be holding firm despite recent volatility. The current price action reflects a complex consolidation pattern, but overall sentiment remains bullish, driven in part by ongoing geopolitical tensions that are boosting Bitcoin’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
If this support holds, the structure suggests a potential move toward the next resistance level at 109K.
You may find more details in chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
#BTC enters resistance zone, beware of pullback📊#BTC enters resistance zone, beware of pullback⚠️
🧠From a structural perspective, the target of this rise has been achieved, so we need to be wary of a mid-term correction.
➡️From a graphic perspective, the daily level seems to be forming a bull flag. This is the third time we are close to the upper edge of the flag. I think the probability of encountering resistance and falling back is higher than the probability of continuing to break through.
Let's see👀
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Can #BTC continue to rise?📊Can #BTC continue to rise?
🧠From a structural perspective, we started to rebound after being very close to the ideal target area of the bearish cup-handle structure, and broke through the downward trend line, which means that the correction phase is over.
➡️So next we need to pay attention to the long trading opportunities after the pullback. At present, this position belongs to the contradictory range. It can continue to rise, but it will be very uncomfortable if we chase the rise. So wait patiently for trading opportunities after the pullback. We can pay attention to the neckline support area (102000-103000).
➡️If there is no pullback, but it continues to rise, then the resistance near 106500 is also worth our attention. This is the support-resistance conversion area that has been tested many times.
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
$BTC Bounce Targeting $112K?CRYPTOCAP:BTC is trading within a descending channel and has just bounced off the lower support level near $101,400.
If this rebound holds, we could see a push toward $107,000–$ 112,000.
However, it remains in a downtrend, so any upside may face resistance unless the channel breaks with strong volume.
Bitcoin, everyday dump dayNow, we can see everyday is dump day till several days
After success breakout trendling and support, then can't back above the lines
Reasonable target is mini pump to retest then dump to 98k, 98k level is support and weekly open fvg
But if 98k break we will see 93k, and if 93k break we will see final of double top target around 88k and altcoin will rug hard again
But if Bitcoin can go back above 108k, maybe this scenario will be invalid
BTCUSDT Update — Big Macro Forces In Play!!Hey Traders!
If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver!
Bitcoin once again testing key support levels as global tensions continue to fuel uncertainty in the markets.
Chart Overview:
BTC broke down from short-term resistance and is now retesting the major support zone between $102K–$103K. The structure still remains within a broader consolidation range, but this support zone is absolutely critical for bulls to defend.
Immediate Resistance: $106K → $110K
Immediate Support: $102K → $100K
A breakdown below $100K could trigger deeper liquidations towards $95K–$98K, while a successful defense here could push BTC back toward previous highs.
Geopolitical Impact:
Global headlines are heavily influencing risk assets right now:
🇮🇱 Israel-Iran tensions are escalating.
🇺🇸 The US is signaling stronger involvement diplomatically, adding more fear to markets.
📉 Traditional markets have already started to show signs of caution.
Bitcoin, as a risk asset, remains vulnerable to these global macro shocks in the short term.
The Game Plan Right Now:
If we see sustained support at $102K–$103K, there’s still room for a relief bounce towards $106K–$110K in the near term.
However, if global tensions escalate further, expect increased volatility with downside liquidity grabs.
Stay cautious with tight risk management. Macro headlines are still driving sudden sentiment shifts.
📊 My Bias:
Watching for potential sweep of $102K with possible reversal structure forming. Any clear reclaim of $105K may signal a local bottom.
📝 Key Takeaway:
Global narratives are bigger than technicals right now. The next few days could dictate whether BTC holds or faces another sharp liquidation event.
Stay patient. Stay disciplined. And most importantly: manage your risk.
👉 Follow for more real-time updates as we track both price action and macro headlines impacting crypto.
Bitcoin (BTC): Strong Sell-Off During Weekends | Plan A & BBitcoin was bleeding hard during the weekend when the US decided to join the ongoing war, which is now strongly impacting the economic markets.
As tensions are tightening, we are expecting a similar outcome to happen like we had during the beginning of the UA war, where at the start everything dipped hard, and later we had a strong upward rally.
Remember, people need to store their money somewhere safe, and the safest places are buying gold or Crypto.
Swallow Academy
USA bombs IRAN - Bitcoin Falling!Operation Midnight Hammer was a major U.S. military strike carried out on June 21, 2025, targeting three of Iran’s key nuclear facilities: Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan.
The operation involved seven B-2 Spirit bombers, each flying an 18-hour mission from Missouri, supported by over 125 aircraft, including refueling planes, fighter escorts, and surveillance assets.
To maintain the element of surprise, the U.S. used deception tactics, such as sending decoy aircraft westward over the Pacific while the actual strike force flew east toward Iran with minimal communications.
The bombers dropped Massive Ordnance Penetrators (MOPs)—30,000-pound bunker-busting bombs—on the fortified nuclear sites. Cruise missiles launched from a U.S. submarine struck additional infrastructure targets.
The Pentagon described the mission as the largest B-2 operational strike in U.S. history and the first known combat use of the MOP. Officials emphasized that the operation was aimed solely at nuclear infrastructure and not at Iranian civilians or military personnel
Bitcoin Technical Analysis | Critical Support Zone in 4H Timefra📉 Bitcoin Technical Analysis | Critical Support Zone in 4H Timeframe
Bitcoin is currently testing a major support zone at $101,126, but bearish pressure remains high.
⚠️ If bulls fail to hold this level and no strong candle closes above it, we could see a further drop toward the $97,769 and $96,475 support zones.
However, if Bitcoin manages to bounce from here and begins a recovery, make sure to watch the descending purple trendline – a key resistance level that could slow down the upside.
🧭 The support and resistance levels drawn on this chart are highly reactive zones — use them to plan your trades and set smart entries and exits.
👉 Follow for more clean and actionable setups on BTC, ETH, and major crypto pairs!