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Bitcoin / Tether Perpetual Linear Swap Contract

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BTCUSDT.P trade ideas

BTC Update: Approaching Key Levels – Correction and Final Surge Considering the current BINANCE:BTCUSDT movement dynamics, this distribution model seems the most likely. In the next few days, COINBASE:BTCUSD will likely break through the psychological 100k mark. Once in the 100-108k range, we can expect a sharp, deep correction. Once that correction completes, the asset will continue its upward movement, reaching levels between 110-140k per coin. The global BINGX:BTCUSDT.P chart now looks like this.
Long
by shakatrade1_618
BTC Trading in Price Discovery Zones (Price analysis)Bitcoin in Price Discovery: Understanding and Trading in Uncharted Territory When Bitcoin or any asset reaches an all-time high (ATH), it enters a phase known as price discovery. In this phase, the market operates without historical price references, navigating uncharted territory to determine fair value. For traders and investors, this presents both an opportunity and a challenge. Employing techniques like Elliott Wave Theory and analyzing price and volume dynamics can help strategize trades during this unique phase. What is Price Discovery? Price discovery occurs when an asset ventures into price levels it has never reached before—most often at its ATH. Without prior data for resistance or support, the market relies on demand, supply, and speculation to set new price benchmarks. Understanding how price reacts in this phase requires both macro and micro analysis. Elliott Wave Theory in Price Discovery Elliott Wave Theory offers a framework for understanding market psychology and price movements. In the context of price discovery, the B Wave of an Elliott Wave formation plays a pivotal role: Identifying the B Wave and Pullback Zones The B Wave represents a pullback into a range after an impulsive move upward (Wave A). Mark the peak of the impulsive move (A) and the bottom of the pullback (B). Project this range forward in time to identify potential support zones. Support Zones in Price Discovery The previous high (Wave A peak) forms the top of the support zone. The B Wave low forms the bottom of the support zone. Once the price pulls back into this zone, it signals a potential retest of the support, offering opportunities for reentry into the trend. Drilling Down: Smaller Timeframes for Confirmation When Bitcoin retests these support zones, zoom into smaller timeframes to assess price reaction and volume behavior. Look for: Bullish Change in the State of Delivery: This includes higher highs and higher lows, increased buying volume, and bullish candlestick patterns such as engulfing candles or hammer formations. Volume Confirmation: Strong volume on upward moves and decreasing volume during pullbacks indicate sustained bullish momentum. At these support zones, the price is likely to resume its bullish trend if the market shows these signs of strength. Managing Risk in Price Discovery Zones Despite bullish setups, price discovery is volatile, and false breakouts can occur. To safeguard trades: Watch for Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) Look for large, unfilled price gaps from prior resistance areas. These gaps might signal areas where the price could retrace deeper before confirming support. Adjust Entries and Stop Losses If price breaks below the initial support zone (top of Wave A), it may retest the bottom of the B Wave for further consolidation. Set stop losses below the bottom of the B Wave to protect against unexpected reversals. Evaluate Volume-Driven Moves Weak volume during a retest could indicate insufficient demand to support the price, suggesting a deeper pullback or reversal is more likely. -------------------------- Price discovery is one of the most exciting and rewarding phases for traders who know how to approach it. By using Elliott Wave Theory, you can pinpoint key support zones, especially around the B Wave pullbacks, and then confirm your setups by analyzing price action and volume. The key here is patience and precision. Let the price come to those critical zones you’ve marked, watch how it reacts, and make your move confidently. Stay flexible, though—price discovery is unpredictable, and managing your risk is crucial if you want to make the most out of this high-potential phase in Bitcoin’s journey.
Long
by CoffeeshopCrypto
3
BTC - Triangle Pretty clean price action here on BTC the last week. We are respecting an upwards sloping trendline for now, while rejecting from the top supply zone. Longs can be taken at the trendline or if we start grinding into the supply zone above 92k. Taking shorts in that 91.8-92k zone has been very profitable as well. I always like to identify this sort of ranges asap, because many people try to position on high leverage for a breakup or breakdown here, resulting in those very volatile intra-range moves. If the trendline is lost, we look for longs in the green zone
by Tealstreet
Bitcoin Analysis: Resistance at 92K and Key Support Levels🔍 Today's Bitcoin Analysis Bitcoin is currently at the 92,000 USD resistance level, and market sentiment is extremely high. The presence of beginners in the market is noticeable, and we can expect some volatile market behavior. Two potential scenarios for the next move: 1️⃣ Scenario 1: Breaking the 92K Resistance If the 92K resistance is broken, Bitcoin could move towards the 97,000 USD range, potentially triggering more buying activity. 2️⃣ Scenario 2: Rejection from 92K and Correction If it faces rejection at 92K, a price correction is likely. In that case, the first strong support is at 87,000 USD, where we can expect a bounce and continuation of the trend. 🔹 The next support level is at 82,000 USD, which is expected to be even stronger. 📉 Conclusion: Bitcoin is at a critical point, and market sentiment can greatly influence its movement. Accurate analysis and smart decision-making are key to navigating these conditions.
Long
by arzdigitalistha
Waiting RoomThe $100k BTC mark has been a mythological target for crypto traders for a very long time. It felt so near back in 2021, yet proved to be so far. In the end, we even went below $20k again before going back up this year. When you are reading this, 1 Bitcoin might well already be worth over $100,000. But for now, over the past 24h, it has continued to remain tantalisingly close to the magic number. Crossing this price point would be yet another major milestone in a year that has already seen the approval of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. It is now a waiting game. Once that $100k threshold will be inevitably crossed, all eyes will be set on what is next. Of course, as usual in moments of euphoria, crypto bulls compete with each other to set ever higher price targets. Will MIL:1M be the next one? Or is $500k already big enough? Many Bitcoiners will argue that the next target is gold Market Cap parity. After all, Bitcoin claims to be the digital gold with all of gold's benefits such as scarcity but with far easier movability and programmability on top. Gold's current market cap is $18 trillion. Bitcoin's market cap in the meantime is at around $2 trillion. The potential upside if this thesis plays out still seems juicy, particularly for traditional funds and investors who value Bitcoin's 'established' status as macro asset. One of the main characters in the current market environment remains Michael Saylor, founder of Microstrategy (MSTR). Microstrategy is a legacy tech company that had seen its previous all-time high before the dotcom bubble burst in 2000. Since starting to accumulate Bitcoin in 2020, Michael Saylor has turned MSTR into a leveraged proxy for the Bitcoin price. Over the years, Microstrategy has sold additional shares and then used the proceeds of those sales to purchase Bitcoin. In addition, the company issues convertible debt offerings at 0% interest and uses the funds to buy more Bitcoin. These offerings are appealing to institutional investors because they offer exposure to Bitcoin while limiting the downside risk. The company's 2027 convertible bond, which also has 0% interest rate, trades 200% over par. MSTR's stock as well as its convertible bonds are now proxies of Bitcoin exposure. Microstrategy's Bitcoin holdings now stand at 331,200 BTC, worth $30.4 billion. This is almost 1.6% the entire Bitcoin supply. Meanwhile, the company's market cap is at $80 billion, showing a more than 2x premium over the company's Bitcoin holdings. Many traders of course are deeply sceptical about this setup. Too much post-traumatic stress from the 2022 blowup not just of Luna/Terra but also of the Grayscale trade remains. For those who do not remember, the Grayscale Bitcoin fund was a pre-ETF Bitcoin fund that was open to traditional investors. It was essentially a proxy for holding Bitcoin. For years, it traded at a premium.  Funds, such as Three Arrow Capital, would leverage up on Bitcoin, deposit into the fund and then sell fund shares at a premium. But when the premium flipped negative in 2021, it signalled the beginning of the end for many overleveraged funds and traders. The case of MSTR seems somewhat different, but traders should watch the amount of leverage at play and which direction the MSTR premium over Bitcoin will go for an indication of the market cycle.  Whichever way this goes, it certainly does fill like the markets still have room to run. So for now we all remain in the $100,000 Waiting Room. It should not be much longer from here.
Long
by Coinrule
Bitcoin Has Another Bull Run !Bitcoin has shown signs and patterns in the daily time frame that can be analyzed with the current data. It looks like a diametric has finished (A) and then the price has entered a bullish phase. In the bullish phase, we have an ABC/WXY whose A/W has the signs of a diamond diametric. We expect waves X and Y because the time of wave A is much larger than the current pattern (A/W). The green range could be the start of a bull run in Bitcoin. Closing a daily candle below the invalidation level will violate the analysis. Note : This is only a possible scenario, please do not forget to manage risk For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
5
Global liquidity downtrend cometh!During this current BTC cycle, major uptrends in global liquidity have corresponded to major uptrends in the market 72ish days later. The last major uptrend in liquidity is about to run its course, pause, and then downtrend. If this relationship holds, we are at or near at least a pause in the local up trend. I have my popcorn ready to see if this plays out. Note: The global liquidity prediction pauses until December 11th and then downtrends, so if we see floating higher prices until that point and then a pause, the relationship would still be valid. Second Note: I will publish the BGL (Bitcoin Global Liquidity) indicator very shortly. Please test it out and DM me if you see any issues or have suggestions. --Da_Prof
Short
by Da_Prof
2
Correction for BitcoinHi traders, I've changed the wavecount of Bitcoin because it turned out to be a leading diagonal. Last week Bitcoin went up some more and after that it started a (corrective) downmove. I think we could see a Triangle pattern or another move down possibly in the Daily FVG and after that another impulsive upmove. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the corrective downmove to finish before you take a long. If you want to learn more about trading ICT concepts with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a like and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide trade signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
BTC Pullback from $98,524We've reached the projected top of this cycle & have put in a proper wave count on the H4/D1. Expecting a pullback to start soon from here, $98,524, to bring us down to a minimum target of 85K... We could see significantly lower , into the 70s... Depending on severity, I would expect alts to nuke across the board as well. Do not catch a falling knife, friends. Note: We have yet to lose a low on H1 or H4 , so we must be patient. The short setup does not exist until we start losing levels - the projection is simply an area to TP heavily & monitor for potential short opportunities, should they arise. Good luck, be well, and trade safe!
Short
by PaperPlatoonYT4TenKkeysTrading
Bitcoin (BTC): We Reached Major Resistance Zone!! (Almost $100K)Bitcoin has almost reached $100K, which has been a major target zone for many bullish people. With Bitcoin's popularity comes a lot of stupid money into the markets, which means we are getting ready for a possible liquidity sweep to happen in the upper and lower zones. We are looking to see a liqudity grap to upper zones as many people are slowly switching to shorts (based on liqudiity heatmaps), which would start then a possible liqudiity sweep to lower zones, which will be much bigger. Stay safe and keep your attentions on zones like $105K and FWB:88K as of now! Swallow Team
Long
by SwallowPremium
BITCOIN Price MovementAnalysis ---------- Support Zone: The ascending yellow trendline acts as a support area. Price has bounced from this line multiple times, as indicated by the marked “$$$” levels. If this trendline holds, it could indicate a short-term price recovery. Resistance Zone: The grey shaded area around $92,500 - $92,800 is the resistance zone. Price has been rejected from this level previously, as seen in the chart. Short-Term Scenario (White Path): The chart suggests a potential bounce from the ascending support trendline towards the resistance at $92,500 - $92,800. If price fails to break the resistance zone, the chart anticipates a sharp drop (breakdown of the ascending trendline). Downside Target: A major downside target is marked near $84,333, which aligns with previous support levels. Stop-Loss Zone: The stop-loss for this trade idea is likely above the resistance zone, around $93,000 - $93,200. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Key Levels ----------- Resistance Zone: $92,500 - $92,800 (Critical area for sellers. If broken, price could continue higher.) Support Zone (Trendline): Current support near $89,200 - $89,500. If this breaks, it could lead to the expected downtrend. Downside Target: $84,333 (Primary take-profit level for shorts). Stop-Loss: Above $93,000 (to manage risk if resistance breaks).
by varma010
3
Sideways are the point of interest until around December 3rd Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) The Fibonacci ratio on the left was drawn in the first rising wave. Therefore, I think it is highly likely that it will sideways around 3.618 (98841.11). I think this sideways movement is likely to continue until around December 3rd during the next volatility period. If it continues to rise, it is expected to touch around 1.902 (101784.54) ~ 2 (106178.85). - (BTC.D 1M chart) If BTC dominance rises above 62.47, I think a market where only BTC rises could be created. Therefore, whether it can fall is the key. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015. That is, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend. Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) As you can see from the LOG chart, the uptrend is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you to decide how to view and respond to this. When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance. This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci. Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies. 1st : 44234.54 2nd : 61383.23 3rd : 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting) 4th : 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting) 5th : 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto
Some pullback for breaking out 100K in btcWe are witnessing a smart move by the market maker, who stopped the price below $100,000 and created a liquidity structure so that he could reject this important resistance with a pullback to the specified levels and renew his strength in the coming trading week, and of course, as Yesterday I said that money is circulating in the market in the same way and it is getting bigger to create a new movement again... All these pullbacks are buying opportunities, especially in altcoins.
by MrHunterTradeInsight
The Importance of BTC.D, TOTAL2, and USDT.D Currently my indicator is suggesting BITCOIN IS WEAKENING whilst ALTS ARE STRENGTHENING and USDT is at the lower spectrum of its range suggesting crypto investment is the best option. Let's dive into understanding market dominance and liquidity metrics and why it's crucial for navigating the cryptocurrency space effectively. Three key metrics—BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance), TOTAL2 (Altcoin Market Cap Excluding Bitcoin), and USDT.D (Tether Dominance)—offer valuable insights into investor sentiment, market trends, and potential shifts in liquidity. Let's explore these metrics, their typical ranges, patterns to watch for, and how they interact with a MACD-style crossover indicator which I designed to identify opportunities in Bitcoin, altcoins, and stablecoins. BTC.D: Bitcoin Dominance BTC.D measures Bitcoin's market cap as a percentage of the total cryptocurrency market cap. It reflects investor preference for Bitcoin compared to other cryptocurrencies. Typical Range Normal Range: 40%-60% BTC.D tends to rise during bearish markets as investors flock to Bitcoin's perceived safety. Conversely, it often declines during bullish markets when altcoins outperform. Key Patterns Double Top: Indicates potential weakening in Bitcoin dominance, suggesting a shift in capital to altcoins. Double Bottom: Signals strengthening Bitcoin dominance, often as investors move back into Bitcoin for stability. TOTAL2: Altcoin Market Cap (Excluding Bitcoin) TOTAL2 represents the market capitalization of all altcoins combined, excluding Bitcoin. It is a direct measure of the strength of the altcoin market. Typical Range Normal Range: Highly variable, as altcoin performance can spike dramatically during "alt seasons." TOTAL2 increases during periods of high altcoin interest and speculative growth and declines during risk-off periods when investors sell altcoins for Bitcoin or stablecoins. Key Patterns Rising TOTAL2 + Falling BTC.D: Indicates an alt season where altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin. Falling TOTAL2 + Rising BTC.D: Suggests a return to Bitcoin dominance, typically during periods of market uncertainty. USDT.D: Tether Dominance USDT.D measures Tether’s market cap as a percentage of the total cryptocurrency market cap, reflecting how much liquidity is parked in stablecoins. Typical Range Normal Range: 3%-7% A high USDT.D suggests investors are moving into stablecoins, indicating risk-off sentiment. Conversely, a low USDT.D implies funds are flowing into riskier assets like Bitcoin and altcoins. Key Patterns USDT.D at Top of Range (~7%): Sign of high risk aversion. Typically, Bitcoin and altcoins are weakening, and liquidity is concentrated in stablecoins. USDT.D at Bottom of Range (~3%): Suggests a bullish environment where funds are flowing into Bitcoin and altcoins. The MACD-Style Crossover Indicator The MACD-style crossover indicator I built is for BTC.D, TOTAL2, and USDT.D simplifies these complex relationships into actionable signals. It plots all three metrics on a normalized scale and identifies key moments of transition: Bullish Alt Season Signal: When TOTAL2 crosses above BTC.D, it signals a potential alt season, where altcoins outperform Bitcoin. Bitcoin Dominance Signal: When BTC.D crosses above TOTAL2, it suggests Bitcoin is regaining dominance, often during market corrections or risk-off periods. Stablecoin Signal: When USDT.D crosses above BTC.D and TOTAL2, it indicates heightened risk aversion, suggesting a move into stablecoins as the market cools. What These Metrics Mean for Market Liquidity Liquidity flows are the lifeblood of the cryptocurrency market. These three metrics reveal where capital is moving: BTC.D High + USDT.D High: Indicates a risk-off environment. Investors are prioritizing safety, suggesting Bitcoin and stablecoins are preferred over altcoins. BTC.D Low + TOTAL2 Rising + USDT.D Low: Signals a risk-on environment, often the hallmark of an alt season. Investors are willing to speculate on higher-risk assets, driving up altcoin valuations. TOTAL2 Falling + USDT.D Rising: A clear sign of capital exiting the market. Altcoins are losing value, and funds are moving to stablecoins, often leading to market corrections. Conclusion By tracking BTC.D, TOTAL2, and USDT.D together, investors gain a comprehensive view of the cryptocurrency market's dynamics. The interplay between Bitcoin dominance, altcoin market performance, and stablecoin liquidity provides a roadmap for understanding capital flows and market sentiment. The MACD-style crossover indicator I built adds another layer of insight by simplifying the relationships into actionable signals. Whether it’s identifying the start of an alt season, a return to Bitcoin dominance, or heightened risk aversion favoring stablecoins, this tool empowers traders with timely and relevant information. The next time you analyze BTC.D, TOTAL2, and USDT.D, remember these ranges and patterns. They’re not just numbers on a chart—they’re the key to understanding the market's pulse and positioning yourself strategically for the next big move.
by Data_Driven_Trading