BITCOIN BEARISH SETUPTechnical Analysis Summary:
Pattern Formation: The chart shows a descending triangle pattern with double tops, indicating bearish pressure at resistance levels.
Breakdown Confirmation: Price has broken below a key ascending trendline (shown in dashed line) and retested the breakdown area, forming a bearish rejection (highlighted red zone).
Key Zone: The price is currently trading around $105,075, just under the previous support-turned-resistance zone (~$106,000). This confirms a failed bullish structure and strengthens the bearish outlook.
Targets:
First Target: Around $101,000–102,000, aligning with the next visible support zone.
Second Target: Around $97,000–98,000, which is a major support / key zone based on prior structure.
Bias: Bearish in the short term, as long as price remains below the $106,000 resistance zone.
Trade Setup Outlook:
A short position is implied by the arrows.
Best entries are around retests near $105,500–106,000 with stops above the recent highs (~$107,000).
Conservative profit-taking at the first target, with extended TP near the key support zone.
BTCUSDT.PS trade ideas
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you Analysis of Market Dynamics Under Geopolitical Conflicts
The current conflict between Iran and Israel has entered a critical phase of "reciprocal retaliation". In the early morning of June 22, Iran launched missile strikes on Israel, targeting military command centers and nuclear R&D facilities in Tel Aviv, while Israel carried out multiple rounds of airstrikes on missile bases in western Iran. This high-intensity mutual bombardment has broken the "limited retaliation" pattern of previous regional conflicts. Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei explicitly stated the intention to "completely destroy the Israeli regime", indicating a real risk of further escalation.
The U.S. stance in this conflict has become a key variable. While President Trump said it "may take two weeks to decide whether to join the war", he also emphasized that "it's hard to ask Israel to stop attacks", an ambiguous stance that has intensified market uncertainty. Notably, Iran has ruled out the possibility of nuclear talks during the conflict, and the breakdown of diplomatic channels has made military confrontation the only option—this could lead to geopolitical risk premiums persisting in asset pricing.
Historical experience shows that Bitcoin's performance in geopolitical conflicts features "short-term volatility, medium-term divergence". During the Iran-Israel conflict in April 2024, Bitcoin plunged 7% within an hour, but it rose 5% against the trend after the U.S. airstrike on Iran in 2020. The current market's uniqueness lies in that Trump signaled "possible military action" before the conflict, giving the market a digestion period—thus, Bitcoin only fell 4.5% after the conflict broke out on June 13, showing stronger resilience than in 2024. However, if the U.S. officially enters the war, it may trigger panic selling similar to the early stage of the 2022 Russia-Ukraine conflict, which requires high vigilance.
Bitcoin's current price of $102,500 is facing a dual test of geopolitical conflict and technical resistance. The reciprocal retaliation between Iran and Israel has not ended, and whether the U.S.参战 (enters the war) will determine the direction of market sentiment. Technically, whether the $103,000 resistance level is broken will guide short-term trends. Investors need to distinguish between short-term emotional shocks and long-term trend forces—geopolitical conflicts may cause short-term volatility, but the de-dollarization trend and the stability of institutional holdings provide long-term support for Bitcoin.
In terms of operations, it is recommended to adopt a strategy of "light-position trial + flexible hedging": do not blindly chase breakouts, nor ignore pullback buying opportunities. Remember: in the fog of geopolitics, real opportunities often lie at the intersection of market panic and rationality, and risk control is always the first principle of investment.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
BTCUSDT BUY@101000~102000
SL:99500
TP:103000~104000
BTC/USDT – Technical Outlook:
📊 BTC/USDT – Technical Outlook
🗓️ Published: June 21, 2025 | 🕰 Timeframe: H4
🔻 Market Sentiment: Bearish
The BTC/USDT pair is currently exhibiting strong bearish momentum after a failed breakout above the 106,000 resistance level. The price has sharply declined and is now trading around 103,485 USDT, confirming a breakdown from the consolidation phase.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Ichimoku Cloud Analysis:
Price is trading below the Kumo, indicating a bearish trend continuation.
The future cloud is thick and red, reinforcing downside pressure.
The Chikou Span (lagging line) supports the bearish outlook.
Structure & Volume:
Market structure has shifted to lower highs and lower lows.
A visible volume gap exists between 103,000 and 101,000 – suggesting price could drop quickly into the next demand zone.
Support & Target Zone:
Strong demand zone identified between 100,000 – 101,000 USDT.
This area previously acted as a high-volume accumulation zone.
Projection Path:
Based on price action and market momentum, a continued move toward the 100K psychological support is likely.
🧠 Professional Insight:
"The breakdown below the cloud and recent support level confirms seller dominance. As BTC loses strength below 104K, we anticipate a potential drive toward the 100K demand area, where buyers may re-enter."
📌 Strategic Trade Setup (Not financial advice):
Short Entry: Below 103,200
Target: 100,000 – 101,000
Stop Loss: Above 104,900 (just above the cloud)
Risk/Reward: Optimal 1:2+
BTC get out while you still can!I've been warning people about this for weeks. History doesn't repeat itself, but it certainly rhymes. BTC had a double tope and the 50 / 200SMA show cooling and both showing clearly that it's moving one direction and it's not up. Gravity with this one is strong (historically) and so is the volatility. Crypto bros will go back to eating beans and rice!
MSTZ and BTCZ could be good plays here....best of luck and always do your own due diligence!
BTC CORRECTIONBIG REASON WHY
Geopolitical tension. The war between Iran and Israel is inevitable. It's just a matter of time; either the USA, China, and Russia will be involved. The money will flow much more into safe havens like assets.
But based on the Jerome Powell interview after the FOMC statement, the US economy is going on the great path. We can say that if the USA is involved, it will cost the economy growth. But they still need to show the world who's the BOSS (military co.).
The conclusion is,
BTC is too risky for current conditions. As we know, the war might escalate.
BTC Projectory price
Nearest Area 94.5-95K
Mid term Area 85.4 - 86K
Worst Case 76.5-72-53.2K
P.S. Things will change rapidly; always monitor your portfolio and the news
BTCUSDT – Critical Price Zone | High Probability for Price DiscoBitcoin is currently trading in a critical price zone, showing strong momentum and bullish structure. If the current trend holds, there is a high probability for a price discovery move toward the $121,000 level.
Bullish Scenario:
A sustained move above current resistance which is 110k can trigger a breakout.
Targeting $121K as the next key upside level.
Invalidation Level / Stop Loss:
A daily close below $105K will invalidate the bullish structure.
This would likely lead to a deeper correction toward the $95K–$98K support area.
trade Setup Summary:
Entry Zone: green box
Target: $121,000
Stop Loss: Daily close below $105,000
if strong daily close below 105 k will have last chance to buy btc below 0.1 Million dollar
DYOR
Bitcoin Key $103K Supports Tested, Swing-Bullish Opportunity?__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strong bullish momentum on daily, fueled by the Risk On / Risk Off Indicator and MTFTI structure.
Major supports identified at $102,600 – $103,300, high confluence (4H, 12H, 1D).
Resistances clustered between $106,000 and $110,000 (240 & D Pivot High, W Pivot High).
Volumes generally neutral; no buyer/seller climax.
Directional trends diverge: overall swing remains bullish, short-term intraday still corrective.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
__________________________________________________________________________________
Global Bias: Structured bullish as long as supports >$102,600 are preserved.
Opportunities: Longs on retest of major supports, favoring daily/4H trend-following. Reactive shorts only on rejection at $104,500–$106,000.
Risk zones: Below $102,600 = structure break. Prioritize cash/hedging.
Macro catalysts: Waiting for September FOMC. Monitor geopolitical risks (MENA).
Action plan: Gradual entries on pullbacks, disciplined stops below pivots, prudent sizing outside confirmed breakouts.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
__________________________________________________________________________________
1D & 12H : Bullish trend confirmed by the Risk On / Risk Off Indicator and MTFTI. Major supports intact ($102,600–$103,300). Volumes neutral, market in wait mode. Swing long favored.
6H & 4H : Upward momentum, no significant bearish signals. “Buy the dip” valid above support; healthy structure as long as key levels hold.
2H, 1H : Early micro-divergence signals (MTFTI Down short term), increased caution. Favor entries on confirmed correction or breakout only.
30min, 15min : Intraday correction, neutral/bearish volumes, aggressive long setups discouraged. Scalping only on exhaustion spikes, strict stops.
ISPD DIV summary : No excess/panic, mature consolidation/range context.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator summary : Bullish across all TF except very short-term (>15min neutral).
__________________________________________________________________________________
Fundamental & On-chain Synthesis
__________________________________________________________________________________
Fed: status quo, US macro softening, market waiting.
Geopolitical tensions: potential for increased volatility.
On-chain: institutional predominance, low network pressure, no panic selling or retail euphoria.
Off-chain: high derivatives volume, OI > $96B. Squeeze risk if catalyst emerges.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Decision Matrix – Execution Plan
__________________________________________________________________________________
Swing Long: Entry $103,200 – $103,800, stop <$102,400, target $107,000+ (RR>2:1)
Scalping Short: On confirmed rejection $104,500 – $106,000, stop >$106,400, target $103,400 (RR>1.5:1)
Strict risk management below major supports, position proactively on volatility/news.
Cash/out below $102,400 or with major geopolitical headlines.
Stay flexible; alternate range-buy/take profit until breakout volume or FOMC news.
__________________________________________________________________________________
BTC/USDT 4H Technical Analysis UpdateCurrent Setup:
The price hovers within a range (highlighted in red), bouncing off its trendline support.
The RSI at 43 suggests it is close to the oversold zone, indicating a potential recovery.
Bullish Scenario:
If the trendline support holds, a breakout towards $108,000 is highly likely.
(Blue arrow points to the target zone.)
Risk Level:
Watch for a breakdown below the trendline, which could invalidate the bullish setup and send the price towards the $100,000 range.
Trade Plan:
Long entries near trendline support (around $102–103k), with a tight stop loss.
Target the upper trendline (~$108k), adjust as the price develops.
Stay alert!
BTC goes wild. But there’s worse. With PipGuard.“BTC goes wild. But there’s worse. With PipGuard.”
Hola, hi my friends! How are you doing? Hope you're doing amaziiiing!
Today we’re having a little chat about Bitcoin, shall we?
I admit it: this time I messed up and took the USDT spot chart instead of USD… but heeey, I’m lazy and it doesn’t really matter. What counts is the trend, RIIIGHT?
But first… boost me and drop a comment <3
📈 The trend is your friend... until it messes with you
🔼 If it goes up, it goes up
BTC is still in a strong bullish trend long term.
Nothing new? Maybe, but if it keeps going… it’s aiming for new highs. Simple.
And if not today, then tomorrow. Your loss if you miss it.
🧠 Always keep one eye on assumptions and the other on objectivity. The market will thank you.
🔽 If it drops... better be ready
And if it decides to go down?
Here come the targets: 102k , 100k , and that delicious 94k I’d love to see.
Why? Because even crypto needs a break.
And each level is potentially a reversal point , you know that already, right?
🧱 Supports, resistances... and your debts
• Resistance: 109k (rounded like those 100€ you still owe me haha)
• Serious support: 78k
• Cuddly support: 88k
• The rest is noise.
• Trend still strong, yes. But if you’re not watching… someone else will watch your wallet.
🔥 The market today? On fire, as always
• BTC did its usual trick: touched 106k , then dropped below 103k
• Liquidations? BOOM 💣: over 450 million dollars in longs
• The market shook like a noob on their first short
🌍 War, hacks, and chaos: BTC loves it
• Israelis flying around Iran bombing targets
• Iranians firing back missiles
• Israeli hackers broke into Nobitex and BURNED 90M in crypto
• The White House is silent, but the US has a “Bitcoin Reserve”
• Result? BTC pumps, dumps, pumps again… you tell me
🐍 Juicy GOSSIP
• In New York, two crypto bros kidnapped an Italian guy from Rivoli and tortured him for 17 days to get his wallet password
• Electroshock. Power saw. “Wild” sessions with madams & friends
• All this between parties, bondage, and wheelchairs
• The guy, alive by miracle, is now the new symbol of “ never give your key to anyone ”
📊 Technical Recap
🧱 Resistance: 109k
🪨 Supports: 88k / 78k
💣 Liquidations: +450M long
📉 Price Range: 106k ➝ below 103k
🌍 Geopolitics: Real bombs & BTC
😈 Gossip: Crypto-bros under pressure 😱
😂 The curtain drops…
My fingers hurt. And not just from typing… oops, I said it? I did.
If you had fun, boost and comment .
If not… next time I’ll give you support at 69k, that’ll teach you.
A hug from your loyal lunatic, PipGuard 🤣🧨
$BTC 50 EMA Analysis – Daily Timeframe Price is currently hoverCRYPTOCAP:BTC 50 EMA Analysis – Daily Timeframe
Price is currently hovering just above the 50 EMA (blue line), which sits around $103,164, while BTC trades slightly higher at $103,774. Historically, as shown by the chart, BTC has respected the 50 EMA as dynamic support in uptrends and resistance in downtrends. Recent touches on the 50 EMA have triggered bounces, indicating it's a strong technical level.
🔸 Key Support Zone at $103,000 – $102,000:
If BTC holds above this zone, continuation toward previous highs is likely.
🔸 Upside Target: $108,000 – $110,000
Should the 50 EMA act as a springboard again, BTC could retest recent highs.
🔸 Risk Level at $101,500:
A daily close below this level may invalidate the bullish structure and trigger a deeper correction.
🔸 Outlook:
Watch for confirmation of a bounce above the 50 EMA. Bullish entries can be considered on strong daily candles above the moving average with tight risk management.
BTC 4H SCALPBTC/USDT Scalp Setup – 4H Chart
Entered a scalp position with TP1 aligned at the Fibonacci extension near 105,652. The first take-profit has been secured, and the remainder of the position is being left to ride — no emotional attachment. If invalidated, the trade will be abandoned without hesitation.
Technical Overview:
Price broke out of the local downtrend channel
Watching for a potential green dot on the volume oscillator to confirm upward continuation
VMC Cipher B shows early signs of a shift; confirmation is still pending
That said, short-term caution is warranted.
Bearish Considerations:
On the higher timeframes, there’s a visible bearish divergence between price and volume — price continues to push higher, while volume fades, indicating a potential trend exhaustion.
Thanks for your support.
If you found this idea helpful or insightful, feel free to leave a like or comment, open to your thoughts and perspectives.
btc short now you have a very clear view of whats gonna happen
101k is inevitable. And if 101 dosent hold, 98 will be our balance point where market will go for making lower high and if price action changes we can go for a new ATH, which i guess will be our final ATH before we drop for a fresh new bear cycle.
thanks
short bitcoin In my previous analysis i already gave a short target of 101k
which is about to come by this week
any short holders can hold their trade with SL above 104300
taking new shorts is a risky bet here, which is why ill opt out for this week and wait for further price for a clear view
dont go for longs cause market have no bullish sentiments
liquidity
news
fomc
everything is against btc at this pont
let market come at the support of 101 if it holds and all macro factors agree we can turn bullish
stay safe trade cautious
thanks
BTC at 103K – Bounce or Breakdown?1. Overall Trend:
The chart is currently within a descending channel, indicated by two parallel downward-sloping trendlines. The price continues to fluctuate within the boundaries of this bearish channel.
2. Current Price Action:
BTC has just touched the lower green support zone (around 103,000 – 102,500 USDT) and is showing a slight rebound.
→ This suggests a potential recovery toward the nearest resistance zone.
3. Key Levels:
✅ Nearest Support Zone:
103,000 – 102,500 USDT → The price is currently bouncing from this area. If this zone holds, a short-term rebound toward resistance is likely.
🟥 Nearest Resistance Zone:
105,000 – 106,500 USDT → This zone has repeatedly rejected price advances in the past. Watch closely as price approaches this level.
🟪 Major Upper Resistance Zone:
Around 107,000 – 109,000 USDT → If price breaks above the red zone, this will be the next target.
4. Potential Scenarios:
🔹 Scenario 1 (Bullish):
If BTC holds the 103K support and breaks above the descending channel → price could aim for 105K – 106.5K. If that level is breached, the next target may be 107K – 109K.
🔸 Scenario 2 (Bearish):
If the 103K support breaks → price may fall deeper toward the lower green support zone (around 101,500 – 100,500 USDT).
🎯 Summary:
Short-term trend remains bearish.
Price is reacting at support → a rebound is possible.
Need confirmation from volume and candlesticks to determine if the current downtrend can be broken.
Don't forget to like – follow – and share if you find it useful!”😁😁😁