Bitcoin StructureBTCUSDT — day
Now we clearly respect the supply zones . The price has already beaten off the zone twice, and there is no desire to go higher yet.
Also by structure:
There was an explicit Break of Structure, then Market Structure Shift (MSS) - impulse change
Below in the region of 93k - the discount zone, where there is a large liquidity (according to calculations - stops by about 17 billion)
→ Continuation of the rollback down
→ Liquidity collection from 93k
→ And only after that a possible turn up
❗️So far, I'm only looking for shorts from the offer zones - on junior TF, with confirmation on 4H.
BTCUSDT.PS trade ideas
BTC/USDT – 4H Chart Technical AnalysisBTC/USDT – 4H Chart Technical Analysis
Market Structure & Trend
Overall Trend : Bearish (clearly defined by a consistent downtrend channel).
Current Structure : Price is in a corrective downtrend within a descending channel, after multiple rejections from the supply zone.
Key Technical Zones
1. Supply Zone
Strong rejection zone where the price previously reversed sharply.
Still acting as resistance, located around the upper range.
2. Demand Zone
Currently being retested for the fifth time, weakening its strength.
Recent price action shows liquidity sweep and swing low break inside this zone, potentially trapping early longs.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG) & Fibonacci Levels
1D FVG sits below the current demand, aligning with:
Golden Pocket (0.618–0.65 Fib).
Acts as a high-probability bounce zone for long entries if demand fails.
A break below this FVG could open up deeper downside toward the 0.786 Fib or beyond.
Psychological Levels
105,000 – Major resistance & potential take-profit area for long positions.
100,000 – Key support and liquidity magnet if the demand zone fails.
Volume Profile
High Volume Node: 102,000 – 106,800 — price tends to gravitate here, indicating potential consolidation or resistance.
Low Volume Area: Below 100,500 — suggests thin liquidity, which may cause sharp moves if price drops into this range.
Scenarios & Trade Ideas
Bullish Scenario
If price holds above the demand zone (after multiple retests) and confirms on LTF:
Potential Long to local resistance.
On breakout, target the 105,000 psychological level.
Confluence: High volume area offers both support and a magnet.
Bearish Scenario
If price fails to hold the demand zone:
Enter short position targeting the 1D FVG and 100,000 psychological level.
If that breaks, expect sharp continuation due to low volume below.
Conclusion
Price is at a pivotal point — currently balancing on weakened demand after multiple retests. Watch for LTF confirmation:
Above demand = bullish recovery setup.
Below demand = bearish continuation toward 100,000 and the FVG.
Manage risk tightly due to the proximity of both key zones.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you Analysis of Market Dynamics Under Geopolitical Conflicts
The current conflict between Iran and Israel has entered a critical phase of "reciprocal retaliation". In the early morning of June 22, Iran launched missile strikes on Israel, targeting military command centers and nuclear R&D facilities in Tel Aviv, while Israel carried out multiple rounds of airstrikes on missile bases in western Iran. This high-intensity mutual bombardment has broken the "limited retaliation" pattern of previous regional conflicts. Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei explicitly stated the intention to "completely destroy the Israeli regime", indicating a real risk of further escalation.
The U.S. stance in this conflict has become a key variable. While President Trump said it "may take two weeks to decide whether to join the war", he also emphasized that "it's hard to ask Israel to stop attacks", an ambiguous stance that has intensified market uncertainty. Notably, Iran has ruled out the possibility of nuclear talks during the conflict, and the breakdown of diplomatic channels has made military confrontation the only option—this could lead to geopolitical risk premiums persisting in asset pricing.
Historical experience shows that Bitcoin's performance in geopolitical conflicts features "short-term volatility, medium-term divergence". During the Iran-Israel conflict in April 2024, Bitcoin plunged 7% within an hour, but it rose 5% against the trend after the U.S. airstrike on Iran in 2020. The current market's uniqueness lies in that Trump signaled "possible military action" before the conflict, giving the market a digestion period—thus, Bitcoin only fell 4.5% after the conflict broke out on June 13, showing stronger resilience than in 2024. However, if the U.S. officially enters the war, it may trigger panic selling similar to the early stage of the 2022 Russia-Ukraine conflict, which requires high vigilance.
Bitcoin's current price of $102,500 is facing a dual test of geopolitical conflict and technical resistance. The reciprocal retaliation between Iran and Israel has not ended, and whether the U.S.参战 (enters the war) will determine the direction of market sentiment. Technically, whether the $103,000 resistance level is broken will guide short-term trends. Investors need to distinguish between short-term emotional shocks and long-term trend forces—geopolitical conflicts may cause short-term volatility, but the de-dollarization trend and the stability of institutional holdings provide long-term support for Bitcoin.
In terms of operations, it is recommended to adopt a strategy of "light-position trial + flexible hedging": do not blindly chase breakouts, nor ignore pullback buying opportunities. Remember: in the fog of geopolitics, real opportunities often lie at the intersection of market panic and rationality, and risk control is always the first principle of investment.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
BTCUSDT BUY@101000~102000
SL:99500
TP:103000~104000
BTC pressure, price under a lot of selling pressure💎 Update Plan BTC weekend (June 22)
Notable news about BTC:
Market overview: Bitcoin's consolidation lasts in the context of increasing macro instability
US President Donald Trump expressed his caution on Thursday when he delayed the decision involving a potential direct attack on Iran for a maximum of two weeks. The global market, including cryptocurrencies, has reacted, slightly increased in Asian and European sessions when investors absorb the impact of crude oil prices in the context of interrupted transport routes.
However, traders are very cautious, reflecting the tough stance of Fed President Jerome Powell on the economy, with the reason for the expectation of inflation in the short term due to tariffs.
Bitcoin -large holders continue to accumulate despite the cautious attitudes of traders on the spot and derivative markets.
Technical analysis angle
Bitcoin price fluctuates around $ 104.057 after cutting up the day from the peak of $ 106,457 of Friday. Main technical indicators, such as relative power index (RSI), strengthen the trend of discounts when the price slip down the average line 50.
Money Flow Index (MFI) indicator, monitoring the amount of money poured into BTC, shortening the trend of increasing, stable around the middle line. This reflects the limited interest in Bitcoin on both spot markets and derivative markets.
If the weakness of the Organizing Committee overshadows the demand on the chain and network activity, supporting the exponent dynamic line (EMA) 50 days at $ 103,169 can be helpful, temporarily absorbing the pressure of selling. Overcoming this level, high fluctuations can accelerate the decline, bringing the main levels, such as EMA 100 days at $ 99,085 and EMA 200 days at $ 93,404, in.
==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
btc 150/160 kSeveral key factors contributed to Bitcoin’s dramatic rise to $150,000:
Institutional Adoption: Major financial institutions, hedge funds, and even governments have started to invest in Bitcoin, seeing it as a hedge against inflation and economic instability.
Limited Supply: With only 21 million bitcoins that will ever exist, scarcity plays a major role in driving up demand and price.
Geopolitical Instability: As traditional currencies face pressure from inflation and political uncertainty, investors turn to decentralized alternatives like Bitcoin.
Public Trust and Awareness: Widespread education and acceptance of cryptocurrencies have led to more retail investors entering the market.
BTC ALL SET FOR ATH Price is forming a lower high and starting to roll over , this suggests bearish pressure is creeping in, Recent candles are showing smaller bodies and long wicks, indicating indecision and a potential slowdown in bullish momentum. BTC could test support zones 92,000 and show short term pull back but major trend is bullish from 84k zone , buckle up and watch it tightly.
The Pattern That Could Launch BitcoinSpotted a long-term inverted head & shoulders pattern forming over a 7–8 month stretch on Bitcoin — much more reliable than short-term setups. If this bullish structure plays out, we could be looking at a breakout that pushes BTC firmly into price discovery.
I’ve included local Fibonacci levels on the chart, though I couldn’t fit the macro one (going from $4k → $69k → $15k — the 1.618 extension of that larger swing lands at $119,800. That could be a key resistance target if we clear the ATH and continue the uptrend. After that, there's the smaller timeframe, but more recent, fib ext 1.618 sitting at $131k.
I'd be very cautious of a failed pattern if $101k doesn't hold. As a last support, 95k and the red 20EMA might hold.
Let’s see how this plays out 🚀
$BTC Bounce Targeting $112K?CRYPTOCAP:BTC is trading within a descending channel and has just bounced off the lower support level near $101,400.
If this rebound holds, we could see a push toward $107,000–$ 112,000.
However, it remains in a downtrend, so any upside may face resistance unless the channel breaks with strong volume.
Support Tested: Can Bitcoin Withstand Global Fear?CRYPTOCAP:BTC is struggling to hold above the key support zone after losing its rising trendline.
This weakness comes as the Israel-Iran conflict intensifies, shaking global market confidence. While BTC has often acted as a hedge, rising geopolitical tension is pushing investors toward safety, causing hesitation even at critical support levels.
A breakdown here could trigger deeper downside.
DYOR, NFA
BITCOIN → Possibility of retesting 100K. Buyer weakeningBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is in consolidation after the rally stalled due to the exhaustion of the bullish driver. The price updates local lows and starts looking at 100K
Bitcoin is under pressure after the escalation of conflict in the middle east and after the FOMC speech. There is also another observation: large companies, politicians, funds and investors have long and aggressively motivate the crowd to buy, verbally confirming that they bought dozens and hundreds of bitcoins at a time for the balance, but bitcoin is standing still and updating lows. At the same time, various services such as "cryptorank" fix bullish sentiment at the lows. The market either lacks liquidity or something more unpredictable is happening (chart drawing????)
Technically, bitcoin is following the behavior of the SP500 quite strongly, which closes Friday's session quite weak and close to key support, which could trigger a continuation of the decline. Bitcoin won't stay on the sidelines and could also follow the index....
Resistance levels: 104K, 105K, 106K
Support levels: 102K, 100.6K, 97.5K
The price is coming out of the “symmetrical triangle” consolidation breaking the support, thus confirming the bearish mood. After a small correction after a false breakdown of 102500 the price may again return to storm (retest) the level under market pressure, which will only strengthen expectations of further decline. The target is liquidity 100600 - 100K. From 100K rebound and growth is possible.
Regards R. Linda!
BTC/USDT – Technical Outlook:
📊 BTC/USDT – Technical Outlook
🗓️ Published: June 21, 2025 | 🕰 Timeframe: H4
🔻 Market Sentiment: Bearish
The BTC/USDT pair is currently exhibiting strong bearish momentum after a failed breakout above the 106,000 resistance level. The price has sharply declined and is now trading around 103,485 USDT, confirming a breakdown from the consolidation phase.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Ichimoku Cloud Analysis:
Price is trading below the Kumo, indicating a bearish trend continuation.
The future cloud is thick and red, reinforcing downside pressure.
The Chikou Span (lagging line) supports the bearish outlook.
Structure & Volume:
Market structure has shifted to lower highs and lower lows.
A visible volume gap exists between 103,000 and 101,000 – suggesting price could drop quickly into the next demand zone.
Support & Target Zone:
Strong demand zone identified between 100,000 – 101,000 USDT.
This area previously acted as a high-volume accumulation zone.
Projection Path:
Based on price action and market momentum, a continued move toward the 100K psychological support is likely.
🧠 Professional Insight:
"The breakdown below the cloud and recent support level confirms seller dominance. As BTC loses strength below 104K, we anticipate a potential drive toward the 100K demand area, where buyers may re-enter."
📌 Strategic Trade Setup (Not financial advice):
Short Entry: Below 103,200
Target: 100,000 – 101,000
Stop Loss: Above 104,900 (just above the cloud)
Risk/Reward: Optimal 1:2+
Bitcoin, everyday dump dayNow, we can see everyday is dump day till several days
After success breakout trendling and support, then can't back above the lines
Reasonable target is mini pump to retest then dump to 98k, 98k level is support and weekly open fvg
But if 98k break we will see 93k, and if 93k break we will see final of double top target around 88k and altcoin will rug hard again
But if Bitcoin can go back above 108k, maybe this scenario will be invalid
Bitcoin and the descending channel it consistently followsAccording to the UTC+3 time zone, there is a Bitcoin channel between the 23:00 and 03:00 candles on May 21, which uses the width of the channel (the yellow channel). If we copy the same channel and place it at the upper wick of the 15:00 candle on May 27, we get the green channel. Similarly, by copying the yellow channel and aligning it with the lower wick of the 03:00 candle on May 22, which is one of the first two white candles at the start of the channel, we get the orange channel. The blue channel, on the other hand, is my prediction. In addition, not only the 0 and 1 points (solid line) of the channels but also the 0.5 (short line), 0.25, and 0.75 (dotted lines) levels act as support and resistance.
$BTC Breaks Key Support – Bearish Signal Bitcoin has lost the CRYPTOCAP:BTC Breaks Key Support – Bearish Signal
Bitcoin has lost the critical 50 EMA on the daily chart, which has historically acted as a strong support level. This breakdown mirrors the 2021 double top structure and is now hinting at a deeper correction.
🔸 Key Support Zone at $100,000:
Losing this zone increases downside risk. If $100K fails to hold, next visible supports are at $96K and $91K, aligning with past consolidation zones.
🔸 Risk Level at $104,500:
A daily close back above $104.5K would invalidate this bearish view and indicate strength recovery.
🔸 Outlook:
Wait for further confirmation below $100K for potential short setups. Avoid long entries until clear reversal signs appear.
BTC is stuck in a tightening triangle — compression phaseVolatility building up into June 18–19.
Expect a big breakout.
Main scenario: breakout to the upside with a “God Candle” and new momentum for altcoins after prolonged BTC dominance.
Alts have been suppressed, but that’s part of the setup — don’t get tricked by the fake moves.
Stay patient, don’t lose focus, and be ready for a sharp move!
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youWhen Bitcoin prices dip to $101,900—despite the prevailing bearish sentiment—a rational long-position strategy can still be formulated by weighing long-term investment value against potential short-term rebound opportunities. The analysis below covers entry timing, position management, and risk control.
I. Entry Timing Judgment
(1) Technical Signals
Monitor price performance around $101,900. Potential long entry signals include:
1. **Confirmation of bottom patterns**: When prices consolidate near this level to form double bottoms, triple bottoms, or other base structures, and the trading volume during the second/third retest is notably lower than previous attempts—indicating weakening selling pressure. For example, if a double bottom forms near $101,900 with 30% less volume in the second retest than the first, this signals a preliminary entry point.
2. **Technical indicator crossovers**: Track metrics like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Averages (MA). A long signal strengthens when:
- RSI breaks above 50 from oversold territory (below 30).
- The 5-day MA crosses above the 10-day MA (golden cross).
- Price breaks through short-term resistance (e.g., $102,500) alongside moderate volume expansion.
(2) News Catalysts
Macro events and industry trends are critical for timing:
1. **Fed dovish signals**: Clues of earlier rate cuts or reduced hiking expectations—boosting market liquidity and benefiting Bitcoin. Align such news with technical signals to enhance long-position reliability.
2. **Cryptocurrency sector tailwinds**: Developments like progress on U.S. stablecoin legislation, relaxed global regulatory policies, or breakthroughs in real-world adoption (e.g., more enterprises accepting Bitcoin payments, higher settlement ratios) can reignite value reassessment. If prices stabilize near $101,900 amid such news, consider entering long positions.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
BTCUSDT BUY@102000~103000
SL:101000
TP:105000~106000