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BTCUSDT trade ideas

Bitcoin - Big crash is starting! Bear flag is breaking downBitcoin's bear flag is breaking down on the 1h chart! This is a very negative price action, and we can expect a 10% drop in the next few days. What we can also see is a smaller bull flag on the 15m chart, and this flag is breaking down as well as I expected. There are too many bull traps on the bitcoin chart, but I hope you trade it accordingly! There is not too much support, to be honest with you. I have 3 profit targets, but I really don't want to buy Bitcoin at these levels at all. It's risky and against the main bearish trend since Trump's first day in office. I think we are going to go much lower than 76k, as you probably know from my previous analysis. This is just a quick update on the 1H chart. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Short
by Xanrox
101
Bitcoin’s Next Move – Another Attack to Heavy Resistance Zone!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) was successful in three moves , as I expected in my previous post . I still think Bitcoin will NOT stop trying to break the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,200) . Bitcoin is moving near the Support zone($87,100_$85,800) and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($86,376_$85,411) . Regarding the Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave C of the main wave 4 . The structure of the main wave 4 is a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) . If we look at the USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) chart on the 4-hour time frame , USDT.D% is pulling back to the Uptrend line and is currently in the Resistance zone(5.30%-5.15%) . There is a possibility of completing the Bearish Flag Pattern .👇 I expect Bitcoin to rise again in the coming hours and attack the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,200) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Resistance lines , Monthly Pivot Point , and 50_SMA(Daily) . Note: If Bitcoin falls below $85,400, we can expect more dumps. Market Developments: GameStop announced BTC adoption as a treasury asset, signaling growing corporate interest. Trump Media partnered with Crypto to launch crypto ETFs, adding institutional momentum. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
55
Mastering Fibonacci Retracements & Extensions on TradingView!1. Introduction to Fibonacci in Trading Fibonacci levels are widely used in trading to identify potential reversal zones, support, and resistance levels. These levels are derived from the Fibonacci sequence, a mathematical pattern found in nature and financial markets. Traders rely on Fibonacci retracements to find potential entry points and Fibonacci extensions to determine profit targets. The most critical area of interest is the golden pocket zone, which ranges between 0.618 and 0.65. Price often reacts strongly in this zone, either reversing or continuing its trend, making it a key level for traders to watch. 2. Key Fibonacci Levels for Trading Several Fibonacci levels are commonly used in trading. The 0.5 level, although not an actual Fibonacci number, is often observed as a psychological retracement level. The golden pocket zone, which consists of the 0.618 and 0.65 levels, is considered the most important for potential reversals. The 0.786 level represents a deeper retracement and is frequently used by traders for more precise entries before a strong price move. On the other hand, Fibonacci extensions, such as -0.618 and -1.618, are used to project potential price targets. These levels serve as reference points for identifying support and resistance, allowing traders to make more informed trading decisions. 3. How to Draw Fibonacci Retracements on TradingView To effectively use Fibonacci retracements, traders must first identify a swing high and a swing low on the chart. This process starts by recognizing a strong uptrend or downtrend. Once identified, the Fibonacci tool in TradingView can be used to plot retracement levels. By selecting the swing low and dragging it to the swing high in a bullish setup, or vice versa in a bearish setup, traders can visualize the key Fibonacci levels. It is essential to adjust the settings to only display 0.5, 0.618, 0.65, 0.786, -0.618, and -1.618 for better clarity. This method provides a structured approach to analyzing potential price reactions and planning trades with greater accuracy. 4. Trading Strategies Using Fibonacci Levels A. The Golden Pocket Entry Strategy (0.618–0.65) One of the most reliable trading strategies involving Fibonacci retracements is based on the golden pocket zone. When price retraces to the 0.618–0.65 area, traders look for confirmation signals before entering a trade. These confirmations may include bullish or bearish candlestick patterns, such as engulfing candles, pin bars, or hammer formations. Additionally, traders may use momentum indicators like RSI or MACD to identify divergences, which suggest a potential trend reversal. A spike in volume at these levels can further validate the trade setup. A typical strategy involves entering a trade within the golden pocket, setting a stop-loss slightly below the 0.786 level for risk management, and targeting Fibonacci extensions for profit-taking. B. Fibonacci Extensions (-0.618 & -1.618) for Profit Targets Fibonacci extensions serve as valuable tools for setting take-profit levels in trending markets. Once price confirms a reversal from a retracement level, traders use extensions to project future price movements. The -0.618 extension is often considered a conservative target, providing an early profit-taking opportunity. Meanwhile, the -1.618 extension is a more aggressive target, generally used in strong trends where price momentum is high. By integrating Fibonacci extensions into their strategy, traders can optimize their exits, ensuring they capture the full potential of a move while minimizing premature exits. 5. Common Mistakes & How to Avoid Them Despite its effectiveness, Fibonacci analysis requires proper execution. One common mistake traders make is drawing Fibonacci levels incorrectly by selecting the wrong swing points. Accuracy in identifying the correct high and low points is crucial for reliable retracement levels. Another mistake is over-reliance on Fibonacci without additional confirmations. Traders should always seek confluence with other technical indicators, such as support and resistance levels, moving averages, or volume analysis. Additionally, failing to wait for confirmation signals can lead to premature entries, increasing the risk of losses. Understanding these pitfalls and applying Fibonacci with proper validation techniques can significantly improve trading outcomes. 6. Pro Tips for Using Fibonacci Like a Pro For best results, traders should use Fibonacci analysis on higher timeframes, such as the 1-hour, 4-hour, or daily charts, as these provide more reliable signals compared to lower timeframes. Confluence plays a crucial role in validating Fibonacci levels, so traders should always look for overlapping support and resistance, trendlines, or moving averages. Additionally, backtesting Fibonacci strategies using TradingView’s replay mode can help traders refine their approach and gain confidence in their setups before applying them in live trading. By combining Fibonacci with other technical tools and maintaining discipline in execution, traders can enhance their decision-making process and improve their overall trading success. Final Thoughts Mastering Fibonacci retracements and extensions can significantly improve trade accuracy. By focusing on the golden pocket zone (0.618–0.65) and using Fibonacci extensions like -0.618 and -1.618 as profit targets, traders can refine their strategies and maximize profitability. Understanding how price interacts with these levels and applying additional confirmations ensures more precise trade entries and exits. With practice and proper analysis, Fibonacci can become a powerful tool in any trader’s arsenal. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Education
by TehThomas
41
Market Moves & Token Trends – Analysis with Me!Hi everyone, I hope you're all having a fantastic weekend! To receive a token analysis , please follow the format below and leave your request in the comment section: Example: Project Name: Bitcoin Token Symbol: BTC Important Notes: I will analyze a maximum of 20 tokens. Each follower is allowed to submit one analysis request. Once submitted , your token analysis will be shared directly below your comment . Looking forward to your requests! 😊 If you found this helpful, please hit the ✅ Like Button ✅ (It fuels my energy) 💪 and Share it with your friends! Let’s grow together! 🙏😊 Wishing you health, wealth, and success! 🚀💸
by pejman_zwin
73
What is a Swing Failure Pattern? - Basic explanation!A Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) is a technical chart pattern often used in price action trading to identify potential reversals in the market. It is typically seen on candlestick or bar charts in the context of trend analysis. The basic idea behind a Swing Failure Pattern is that the price temporarily breaks above or below a previous swing high or low, but fails to sustain that move and reverses direction quickly. This indicates a potential shift in market sentiment, and it can be a signal for a trend reversal or breakdown. When is it a SFP? - In needs to sweep the previous low - It has to close the candlestick above the previous low. So only a wick down When the price closes the body of a candle below the last low, it will not be considered an SFP. In this case, it is highly likely that the trend will continue in that direction. The SFP can occur across various timeframes, from lower to higher timeframes. Example on the daily timeframe Here, we see two SFPs: one to the upside and one to the downside. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Education
by Youriverse
31
Bitcoin - Bulls in trouble: 81k next?BTC Loses Bullish Structure – What Comes Next? Bitcoin has officially broken below the bullish trendline, closing underneath it for the first time in this recent uptrend. This is a key shift in market structure, as the ascending trendline had previously acted as strong dynamic support, keeping Bitcoin in a steady climb. Now that we have seen a clean break, the momentum appears to be shifting toward a deeper retracement, and the price is heading toward the next major support zone. Whenever a trendline like this is broken, it signals that buyers were unable to maintain control at higher levels. Instead of continuing the pattern of higher lows, Bitcoin is now moving lower, seeking stronger levels where buyers might step back in. The question now is whether the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement zone, combined with a historically strong support level, will be enough to hold the price up and trigger a reversal. Golden Pocket Support at $81.2K – A Key Bounce Zone The next major area of interest is the golden pocket retracement zone, which aligns perfectly with the strong support around $81.2K. This is an area where Fibonacci traders and institutional buyers tend to look for entries, as the 0.618 – 0.65 Fibonacci levels have historically been some of the most reliable support zones during retracements. What makes this level even more significant is the confluence of technical factors coming together at the same price range. Not only does this level align with the golden pocket, but it has also been a major historical support in previous price action. Every time Bitcoin has visited this range in recent weeks, we have seen strong buy-side reactions. If buyers step in once again, this could be the turning point for another leg to the upside. If we see a bounce from this zone, Bitcoin could attempt a recovery back toward $ 83K – $85K, potentially regaining its footing and re-entering a more bullish structure. However, the strength of the reaction at $81.2K will be crucial in determining whether this is just a short-term relief bounce or the start of another major uptrend. What If Bitcoin Fails to Hold $81.2K? While the golden pocket is often a high-probability reversal zone, it’s important to consider the bearish scenario as well. If Bitcoin fails to hold this level, we could be in for an even deeper retracement. The next major downside target would be around $79.3K, which lines up with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement. A move to $79.3K would indicate that Bitcoin needs a larger correction before it can regain bullish momentum. This wouldn’t necessarily mean that the bull market is over, but it would suggest that the uptrend needs a deeper reset before resuming. A drop this low would likely shake out weak hands and allow larger players to accumulate before any potential reversal. If Bitcoin does move down to this level, the market reaction will be key. A strong bounce from $79.3K could set up a powerful recovery, but a failure to hold would raise concerns about a larger trend shift. Losing this level would open the door for even deeper downside, meaning traders would need to be cautious about the broader market outlook. Final thoughts Now that Bitcoin has broken the trendline, all eyes are on how it interacts with this next major support zone. If the $81.2K level holds, we could see a strong reaction and a push back toward higher levels, reestablishing confidence in the market. However, if we lose this level, the next stop at $79.3K will become the last major line of defense before a more significant correction unfolds. The next few 4-hour candles will be crucial in determining whether buyers are ready to step in or if we need to prepare for a deeper move down. Will the golden pocket be enough to stop the drop, or is Bitcoin setting up for an extended retracement? We’ll find out soon! __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Short
by TehThomas
59
Bitcoin at $85K: Breakout or Breakdown?Bitcoin is currently trading at $85,000, holding steady despite a 4.4% drop in the broader cryptocurrency market over the past 24 hours. This dip reflects a cautious mood across risk assets, driven by uncertainty over upcoming US inflation data and potential Federal Reserve interest rate decisions. While altcoins are taking a bigger hit, Bitcoin’s price action has been choppy but resilient. For now, it’s in a consolidation phase, with traders watching for the next big move. Broader Market Context The recent decline in the crypto market mirrors a broader “risk-off” sentiment among investors, who are bracing for economic shifts that could impact global markets. Factors like US inflation reports and Fed policy updates are creating short-term uncertainty. As the leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin often serves as a market indicator, its ability to hold key levels could signal stability, while a breakdown might deepen the downturn. Despite this, Bitcoin’s long-term outlook remains strong, supported by growing institutional adoption and a more favorable regulatory landscape. Short-Term (1-Hour Chart): Support: $84,000 (make-or-break), $82,000 Resistance: $86,500, $90,000 Indicators: RSI at 45 (neutral), MACD showing bearish momentum. A descending triangle is in play, breaking $86,500 with strong volume could push to $90,000, but a fall below $84,000 might test $82,000. Long-Term (Weekly Chart): Support: $80,000, $75,000 Resistance: $90,000, $100,000 The 200-day moving average is trending up, reinforcing a bullish long-term view, but $80,000 must hold for that to stay intact. Potential Scenarios Bullish Case: If Bitcoin holds $84,000 and breaks $86,500 with solid volume, expect a run to $90,000 short-term, with $100,000 in sight long-term. Bearish Case: A break below $84,000 could see it slide to $82,000 or even $80,000. Volume is the key, watch for a spike to confirm either direction. Broader Context and Tips Long-term, Bitcoin’s fundamentals look solid with growing institutional interest and a crypto-friendly climate. But short-term, watch out for volatility triggers like US inflation data or Fed moves. For traders, focus on $84,000 support and $86,500 resistance, these levels will dictate the next trend. Set tight stops (e.g., just below $84,000 for longs) and keep an eye on news. Long-term holders should view $80,000 as the critical floor for the bullish trend to continue.
by MonoCoinSignal
37
Bitcoin’s Next Big Move - Bounce or Breakdown?Bitcoin Holding the Ascending Channel (For Now) Right now, Bitcoin is moving inside a well-respected ascending channel on the 4-hour chart. This channel has been acting as a strong structure for price action, with Bitcoin consistently bouncing off the lower trendline while facing resistance near the upper boundary. As long as we remain within this channel, the trend remains bullish, and buyers are still in control. However, we are at a critical point where Bitcoin is approaching a key support level. If the price holds, we could see another bounce toward the top of the channel, but if support fails, a larger retracement is on the table. Golden Pocket Support – A Crucial Area for a Bounce A golden pocket retracement zone is forming from the most recent short-term swing low to swing high, and this is where Bitcoin could find support for a potential bounce. The golden pocket is one of the most high-probability reversal zones, as it often attracts strong buy orders. At the moment, Bitcoin hasn’t quite tapped into this level yet, but if we do, we could see buyers stepping in, leading to a reversal. If this scenario plays out, the price could make a move toward the midline of the channel first, followed by a potential test of the upper resistance level. For this bullish scenario to remain valid, we need to see strong buy-side momentum at this level. If we get a clear rejection and a push higher, it could signal the continuation of the uptrend, offering solid opportunities for long positions. What Happens If Support Fails? While the golden pocket is a great area for a bounce, there’s always the risk of it breaking down. If Bitcoin fails to hold the $85.5K level and breaks below the ascending channel, we could be in for a much deeper correction. In that case, the next major support level to watch would be the golden pocket from the entire uptrend, which sits around the $81K range. This would be a more significant pullback, but still a normal and healthy retracement within the broader bullish trend. A move to this level could offer another strong buying opportunity if the market structure remains intact. However, if Bitcoin loses the $81K support, that could indicate a larger shift in trend, meaning we’d have to reconsider the overall market outlook. Possible Trade Setups and Key Scenarios Bullish Setup: If Bitcoin holds the short-term golden pocket and bounces, we stay inside the ascending channel. In this case, a move back to the midline and possibly even the upper trendline is likely. This would confirm that buyers are still stepping in and maintaining control. Bearish Breakdown: If Bitcoin loses $85.5K and breaks below the channel, then we could be looking at a larger retracement toward the $81K zone. This would signal short-term weakness, but it wouldn’t necessarily mean the bull trend is over—just that a deeper correction is needed before the next move up. Invalidation Zone: If Bitcoin falls below $81K, it could indicate a larger structural shift, meaning the bullish outlook would need to be reassessed. Final Thoughts Right now, we’re at a make-or-break point for Bitcoin’s short-term price action. If we see strong buying at the golden pocket, the uptrend remains intact, and we could be heading higher. But if support breaks, we’re looking at a deeper pullback toward $81K. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
by TehThomas
43
Bitcoin’s Next Challenge – Can BTC Break the Heavy Resistance?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise from the Support zone($84,120_$81,500) as I expected in the previous post . The question is, can Bitcoin break the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,200) and Resistance lines ? Please stay with me. Bitcoin appears to have broken through the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800) and is preparing for its first attack on the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,200) . In terms of waves, Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave 4 of microwave C of the main wave Y . The waves structure inside the Ascending Channel appears to be of the Double Three Correction(WXY) . I expect Bitcoin to prepare for its first attack on the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,200), the upper line of the ascending channel , the monthly pivot point , 50_SMA(Daily) , and the Resistance lines after completing the pullback to the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800 ) and fill first CME Gap($86,640_$86,520) . I think the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) could be the zone to start a new decline for Bitcoin. I chose the label of this analysis ''SHORT'' because I think Bitcoin is in a bit of a risky zone for a LONG position, what do you think? Note: If Bitcoin goes over $91,000, we can expect more pumps. Note: If Bitcoin falls below $85,200 before hitting the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,200), we can expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
44
Bitcoin - This bear flag will send BTC to 72,000! (sell now)The whole crypto market and Bitcoin are crashing, and it looks like 2025 will be a very red year! From a bitcoin cycle's perspective, bitcoin has entered a bear market. Let's look at the latest technical analysis on the 6H chart. Bitcoin hit a new all-time high on January 20, exactly the same day as Trump's first day in office. Thereafter, Bitcoin has been crashing. Currently, the price prints a bearish flag on the 1H chart and a descending channel on the 6H chart. As long as Bitcoin is inside this descending channel, we have to stay bearish and trade with the trend until the end. This bear flag is also a problem because you would rather not see such patterns in a bull market in general. My next target is 72k, from here we could expect a bounce. Why 72k? Because it's the Fibonacci retracement of the previous major wave from 49k to 110k. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Short
by Xanrox
105
Bitcoin - Uptrend Continues: Can Bulls Push to $91K?Market Structure & Trend Overview Bitcoin (BTC) has been maintaining a strong bullish structure on the 4-hour timeframe, forming a series of higher lows while staying inside an ascending channel. This indicates that buyers continue to step in on dips, keeping momentum in favor of the bulls. Recently, Bitcoin bounced off the golden pocket level, a key Fibonacci retracement zone that often acts as a strong support area for reversals. This successful retest suggests that buyers are defending this level aggressively, reinforcing the bullish outlook for the coming days. While BTC remains within the ascending channel, it is gradually pushing towards the next major price target, which aligns with the -0.618 Fibonacci extension level near $91,000. Key Zone: Fibonacci Support & Higher Low Formation Currently, Bitcoin is holding above a critical Fibonacci level, confirming that buyers are actively defending the trend. The higher low formation further strengthens the bullish sentiment, as it suggests a continuation of the trend towards new highs. A key aspect of this setup is that Bitcoin is maintaining its position inside the ascending channel, meaning that the uptrend structure remains valid. If the price continues to respect this channel, BTC could see a steady climb towards higher levels without major pullbacks. Bullish Scenario: Break & Hold Above $91K For Bitcoin to confirm further upside movement, it needs to break above the -0.618 Fibonacci extension level ($91,000) with strong bullish momentum. This breakout would signal that buyers are fully in control and could lead to an extended rally towards even higher price targets. Signs to watch for a bullish breakout: ✅ A strong 4-hour close above $91K with increasing volume. ✅ Retesting the broken resistance as new support (confirmation of trend continuation). ✅ Maintaining higher highs and higher lows, reinforcing bullish momentum. If these conditions are met, Bitcoin could continue its climb towards new highs, potentially targeting levels beyond $95,000 in the short term. Bearish Scenario: Failure to Hold the Channel While the overall trend remains bullish, Bitcoin could see a rejection if it struggles to break above the $91K resistance level. If sellers step in and push BTC below the ascending channel, it could lead to a deeper pullback towards lower Fibonacci support zones. Signs to watch for a bearish breakdown: ❌ A clear rejection from $91K, showing that selling pressure is increasing. ❌ A break below the ascending channel, signaling a potential trend shift. ❌ Increased selling volume and bearish momentum, leading to lower price levels. If this happens, Bitcoin could drop towards the $ 83K - $81K range, where the next strong support zones are located. This area could provide a buying opportunity for traders looking to enter at lower levels. If we fail to break out on the upside and see drop first, we could test the $78k range. Final Thoughts: Bullish Outlook, but Watch Key Levels Bitcoin is currently in a strong uptrend, staying within its ascending channel and aiming for the next resistance at $91K. The golden pocket bounce has reinforced bullish momentum, and as long as BTC continues making higher lows, the bullish outlook remains intact. However, traders should monitor price action closely, especially around the $91K resistance level and the lower boundary of the ascending channel. A successful breakout could lead to higher highs, while a failed attempt may result in a pullback towards key support zones. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Long
by TehThomas
39
BTC/USDT - The moment of truthThe BTC/USDT chart highlights a crucial moment as the price breaks out of a bearish trendline and tests a Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone. Key scenarios include: - A potential continuation of the bullish trend if the price successfully holds above the FVG zone and confirms support. - Alternatively, a rejection at this level could signal a return to bearish momentum. Keep an eye on price action within the FVG zone for confirmation of the next move. Which way do you see BTC heading?
by Louigi_24
32
BTC - Lots of options going into the new week!In this BTCUSDT 4-hour chart analysis on Bybit, we see price action reaching a crucial decision point. Key Fibonacci retracement levels, a Fair Value Gap (FVG), and the Golden Pocket zone indicate potential movements ahead. Will BTC break down, retrace to fill the imbalance, or rally toward the golden pocket? Let’s analyze the key levels. Key Observations: 🔹 Golden Pocket Resistance: The highlighted yellow zone marks the 0.618 - 0.65 Fibonacci retracement of the greater downtrend, a well-known high-probability reversal area. If BTC reaches this level, we could see strong resistance. 🔹 Fair Value Gap (FVG): The blue zone represents an unfilled imbalance left behind during the recent downward move. If BTC retraces, it could fill this gap before deciding on the next direction. 🔹 0.618 - 0.65 Fib Support: The price is currently hovering near a local golden pocket support area. A strong reaction here could trigger a bullish move. However, failure to hold this level could send BTC lower. Potential Scenarios: 1️⃣ Bullish Breakout: BTC bounces from the current level, fills the FVG, and continues upward to test the golden pocket resistance. A breakout above this zone could confirm a bullish trend shift. 2️⃣ Short-Term FVG Fill & Rejection: BTC moves up to fill the FVG but faces selling pressure, leading to another bearish move before a larger decision point. 3️⃣ Bearish Breakdown: BTC fails to hold the local support and breaks downward, continuing the broader downtrend toward lower liquidity zones. What’s Your Prediction? Which scenario do you think is most likely—1️⃣ Bullish Breakout, 2️⃣ FVG Fill & Rejection, or 3️⃣ Bearish Breakdown? Comment below and let’s discuss! 🚀📉📊
by Louigi_24
37
15-Min Bitcoin Setup – Quick Scalping Opportunity?First of all, I must say that this is a short-term analysis in a 15-minute time frame . Please be careful . Let's take risks while respecting capital management. Be sure to respect capital management. Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is currently trading in the support zone($84,120_$81,500) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) near the lower line of the ascending channel . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin could complete its 5 bearish waves near the lower line of the ascending channel . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys . I expect Bitcoin to be able to rise to at least $85,400. Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $86,397_$85,760 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $84,262_$83,336 Note: One of the reasons for Bitcoin's decline is the decline in US indices such as CME_MINI:NQ1! , SP:SPX , and TVC:DJI . Note: If Bitcoin falls below $83,000, we can expect more dumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
30
Mastering Risk Management in Trading: The Ultimate GuideMastering Risk Management in Trading: The Ultimate Guide In the world of trading, success isn’t measured only by big wins but by how well you protect your capital from unnecessary losses. Risk management isn’t just a safety net—it’s the backbone of sustainable trading. In this comprehensive guide, we’ll break down the principles and strategies you need to safeguard your account while still maximizing your profit potential. --- 1. Risk-Reward Ratio: The Foundation of Every Trade - What it is: The risk-reward ratio is the cornerstone of every trade. It tells you how much potential reward you’re targeting compared to the risk you’re willing to take. For instance, if you risk $100 and aim to make $200, your risk-reward ratio is 1:2—a commonly accepted standard in trading. - How to use it: - Always predefine your risk-reward ratio before entering a trade. - For swing traders, aim for a minimum of 1:2 or 1:3 to justify holding overnight. --- 2. Position Sizing: The Key to Survival - Why position sizing matters: Position sizing ensures you don’t over-leverage your account or lose too much in a single trade. Many traders fail because they bet too big and get wiped out after just a few losing trades. - How to calculate position size: - Use this formula: Position Size = (Account Risk $ ÷ (Entry Price - Stop-Loss Price)). - For example, if you’re risking $100 per trade and the difference between your entry and stop-loss is $5, your position size should be 20 units (100 ÷ 5). --- 3. Stop-Loss Orders: Your Safety Net - What is a stop-loss? A stop-loss is your emergency brake. It’s an order you set in advance to sell your position if the price moves against you by a specified amount. - How to set stop-losses: - Use technical analysis to place your stop-loss below support levels for long trades or above resistance levels for short trades. - Avoid placing stop-losses too close to your entry point, as small fluctuations might trigger them unnecessarily. Here you can see my ratio is on the low side so i can place a tactical TP and SL in relation to liquidity lines. --- 4. The Art of Diversification: Spreading Risk - Why diversification works: Putting all your capital into a single trade or instrument increases your risk. Diversification spreads that risk across multiple trades or markets, reducing the impact of any single loss. - How to diversify effectively: - Trade across multiple sectors or currency pairs. - Avoid overexposure to correlated assets (e.g., don’t trade EUR/USD and GBP/USD simultaneously). --- 5. Emotional Discipline: Winning the Mental Game - Why it matters: Even the best trading strategy can fail if emotions like fear or greed take over. Emotional trading leads to impulsive decisions, revenge trading, and overtrading. - How to maintain discipline: - Stick to your trading plan, no matter what. - Use tools like meditation, journaling, or physical exercise to manage stress. --- 6. Dynamic Risk Management: Adapting to Changing Markets - Adjusting your strategy: Markets are dynamic, and your risk management should adapt. Volatility can change quickly, requiring you to adjust your stop-loss distance or position size. - Use ATR (Average True Range): The ATR is a great tool to measure market volatility and decide how much room to give your stop-loss. --- 7. Tracking and Reviewing Your Trades - The power of a trading journal: Every trade is a learning opportunity. Keep detailed records of your trades, including your reasoning, execution, and results. - What to include in your journal: - Entry and exit points. - Risk-reward ratio. - Mistakes or deviations from the plan. - Lessons learned. --- Conclusion: Plan the Trade, Trade the Plan Risk management isn’t just a skill—it’s a habit. By understanding your risk-reward ratio, managing position sizes, using stop-losses effectively, and staying emotionally disciplined, you can protect your capital and increase your chances of long-term success. Take a moment to reflect: How do you manage risk in your trading? Are there areas you could improve? Start implementing these strategies today, and watch how they transform your trading results.
Education
by Louigi_24
29
HelenP. I Bitcoin can little grow and then drop to support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some time ago price started to decline and when it fell to 93500 points, it rebounded up to the trend line. Then BTC started to fall inside the wedge, where it soon broke the 91200 level and then in a short time declined to the support zone. After which it turned around and rose to the trend line, which is the support line of the wedge as well. Then Bitcoin fell to the support level again, breaking the resistance level again, but later it tried to back up and failed. Price dropped to the support zone and even a little lower, after which it turned around and in a short time rose to the trend line, breaking the support level one more time. A few moments ago price exited from the wedge and some time traded near the trend line. After this, it started to grow, so, in my opinion, I expect that BTCUSDT will almost rise to the resistance level and then it drop to the 81200 support level, which is my goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Short
by FirstNameHelen
16
Bitcoin may rebound up from pennant to 90K pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Not long ago, BTC was trading inside a wide range, where the price moved sideways and eventually touched the resistance line, from which it turned around and began to fall. After the decline, BTC exited the range, breaking through the lower boundary and sharply dropping to the support level, which aligned with the buyer zone. From there, we saw a quick impulse up, but this movement faced strong resistance inside the seller zone, where a fake breakout occurred — price briefly moved above but then sharply reversed and began another decline. As BTC continued to decline, it formed a downward pennant pattern. Within this structure, we can clearly see how the price respected both the resistance line and the support line of the pennant, bouncing up from the lower boundary several times. The most recent bounce came again from the buyer zone, indicating that bulls are still defending this area. At the moment, BTC is consolidating near the tip of the pennant, and I believe there’s a high probability of an upcoming breakout. My base scenario assumes that we could see one more minor pullback toward the support line, followed by an upward breakout from the pennant. If that happens, the price may reach the 90000 points, which I consider as TP1. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
17
Bitcoin can correct to support level and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at this chart, we can observe how the price began to decline around the mirror line and soon reached the 88500 resistance level. After that, BTC attempted to move upward but resumed its decline, eventually breaking below the 88500 level and falling toward the support area, which aligned with the buyer zone. Following this drop, Bitcoin bounced back into the buyer zone and even pushed slightly higher, beginning a steady rise within an ascending channel. Inside this channel, BTC reached the 82200 level and broke through it, made a minor correction, and then continued climbing to the upper boundary of the channel. The price then pulled back to the buyer zone, rebounded again, and returned to the channel’s resistance line before continuing its upward move. Eventually, BTC touched a key resistance level, hovered around it for a while, and then began to decline. Shortly after, the price broke out of the channel and dropped back to the support zone. However, more recently, it has started to rise again. In my view, BTC might first revisit the support area once more before continuing its upward movement. For this scenario, I’ve placed my first target near the resistance level at 87000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
11
Bitcoin can make small move up and then drop to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Earlier, price was moving inside a range, where the price repeatedly bounced between the upper boundary and the buyer zone. After multiple failed attempts to break higher, the price finally broke out and started an upward movement, forming a strong bullish impulse. This upward momentum led BTC into the support area, where it consolidated briefly before continuing to rise. From there, the price began to form an upward wedge, respecting both the support line and the resistance line of the structure. Recently, BTC tested the upper boundary of the wedge and rolled down, confirming the resistance. Now, the price is trading closer to the upper half of the wedge but shows signs of weakness near the resistance line. Based on this setup, we might see that the price can one more short-term attempt to grow, followed by a rejection from the upper boundary and a move downward toward the 86500 support level. If the price fails to hold this level, the next stop could be the support line of the wedge. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
9
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Potential Correction Ahead?hello guys The Bitcoin/USDT chart shows an ascending channel with recent price action forming a divergence at the top, indicating potential weakening momentum. A bearish breakout from a smaller triangle suggests a short-term correction. The price may test the ascending trendline around $85,400, where a key support zone exists. If this level fails, a deeper correction toward the major support area around $76,800 could follow. However, if Bitcoin holds above the trendline, the uptrend could resume. Traders should watch price action around the $85,400 level for confirmation of further downside or a potential bounce.
Short
by melikatrader94
17
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #47👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let's dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis, I will review the futures session triggers for the New York market. ⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, yesterday the 83,808 trigger was activated, and the price moved down to the next support at 82,302. ⚡️ The 19.70 level in the RSI is a crucial area, as the price has reacted to this level in the last two bearish legs, leading to slight corrections. ✔️ Today, it might be a bit late to open new positions, as the price is slightly oversold, suggesting that the move has already extended sufficiently. 🔽 This situation means we should enter positions with lower risk today. The short trigger for today is 82,302, and if this level breaks, the price could decline even further. 📈 For a long position, we need to wait for confirmation of a trend reversal. First, the SMA 25 must reach the price, and then a Dow Theory confirmation should establish a new bullish trend. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Now, let’s analyze Bitcoin dominance. As you can see, this index increased yesterday as the market dropped. It briefly faked out above 62.14 before reversing downward again. 🎲 At the moment, 62.14 remains a key trigger for bullish dominance, while the main support level is 61.81. 📅 Total2 Analysis Moving on to Total2, this index is in bad shape. It has broken its key support at 1.01 and is now moving toward 0.984. 💥 I can't provide any specific trigger for this chart today because it has dropped significantly without any corrections. For now, we need to wait for a new structure to form. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Now, let’s look at USDT dominance. Yesterday, dominance finally stabilized above 5.34, which triggered a market drop. 🔍 Currently, USDT dominance has reached the next resistance at 5.48 and has shown a reaction to this level. To confirm further upside, we need a break above 5.48. If a correction starts and we see more red candles, the price could retrace back down to 5.34. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Short
by tradecitypro
5