BTC LongVolume Spread Analysis indicates that selling pressure has diminished, showing signs of a lack of interest in further selling. Meanwhile, the ICT Drive Pattern reveals multiple failed attempts by demand to push prices higher. However, on the fourth attempt, a bullish confirmation appears through MSS/CHoCH, suggesting potential upward momentum.
BTCUSDT trade ideas
2021 Pattern Fully Repeating: Is Bitcoin’s Second Historic Drop Historical Pattern Repetition and Projection for Bitcoin
While reviewing Bitcoin’s weekly Heikin-Ashi chart, I overlaid the full 2020-2021 move (strong rally → sharp correction → recovery) on the current cycle. The two structures line up almost candle-for-candle.
Key observations:
1. The historical fractal projected a target zone around 112,000 USDT. Bitcoin has now reached that price area and, just like in 2021, is showing the first signs of a pullback.
2. If the fractal continues to play out, the market could print a higher swing high after the current correction, before entering a deeper mid-cycle drawdown.
3. Major support to watch sits near 92 k – 95 k (previous weekly highs) and, lower, around 72 k where the higher-low structure would break.
4. Fundamental drivers are different this time: ETF inflows, the 2024 halving, and macro liquidity conditions. These may stretch or compress the timing, so the pattern is a road-map, not a guarantee.
5. Risk management is essential. I am treating 92 k as the first invalidation level; a weekly close below it would neutralize the bullish fractal and force a reassessment.
6. As always, past performance does not assure future results. Use this analysis as one data point among many, keep stops in place, and size positions responsibly.
I will keep updating this thread as new weekly candles confirm or negate the setup. Feel free to share your own charts and let’s compare notes.
Good luck and trade safe!
BTCUSDT | Chasing in Euphoria? Here’s the Smarter MoveI’ve watched BTC explode during rallies like this, and trust me, finding low-timeframe entries in euphoria is a trap for most. The move looks unstoppable… until it isn't.
Right now, I’m only considering a 1R risk from the green box support . No more. No less. The risk is calculated, not emotional.
If you’re thinking of jumping in recklessly, don’t.
I’ll be watching the 1-minute timeframe closely for a clean upward break before doing anything. No confirmation, no trade.
Reminder:
“I will not insist on my short idea. If the levels suddenly break upwards and do not give a downward break in the low time frame, I will not evaluate it. If they break upwards with volume and give a retest, I will look long.”
Most people don’t know how to think like this. That’s why they lose.
You’re here to win, and I’m here to guide you.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box!
📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction!
📊 Simple Red Box, Extraordinary Results
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
#BTC reaches the support line, be cautious about rebounding📊#BTC reaches the support line, be cautious about rebounding⚠️
🧠From a structural perspective, we tested the resistance area near 110,000 again yesterday, but failed to break through. The price has stabilized after pulling back to the uptrend support line, so we need to be alert to the risk of rebound⚠️
➡️If we still cannot break through the resistance area near 110,000 this time, we should be alert to the arrival of a plunge. After breaking the downtrend support line, I expect a deep correction phase to begin.
Let's see👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youRecent Bitcoin Market Update
After hitting an all-time high of $112,509 on May 22, Bitcoin has entered a three-day phase of high-level consolidation, with price volatility narrowing. As of today:
- Price is down approximately 0.5% from yesterday, trading in a 24-hour range of $106,924–$109,422.
- Trading volume has notably declined from peak levels, signaling growing caution among market participants.
Bitcoin Conference Catalyst (May 27–29)
Trading Strategy for Pre-Conference Period:
If prices remain range-bound between $108,000–$109,000 ahead of the conference, consider a small-position long trade (10% of total capital) to capitalize on potential policy (bullish) expectations:
- Long Entry: $108,000–$109,000 (within the current consolidation zone).
- Stop Loss: $107,000 (below the recent range low to limit downside risk).
- Take Profit: $111,000 (near the May 22 high and psychological resistance).
Rationale:
- Event-Driven Volatility: Major industry conferences often spark news flow (e.g., regulatory clarity, institutional adoption updates) that can trigger short-term price surges.
- Technical Context: The $107,000 level serves as critical support (50-day moving average + prior swing low), while $111,000 aligns with the recent high and a key Fibonacci retracement level.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
BTCUSDT BUY@108000~109000
SL:107000
TP:110000~111000
Bitcoin's upward movement continuesThe upward movement that Bitcoin started at $74,550 has many similarities between its waves. Considering the similarity in price and the large time between waves A-C-E-G and waves B-D-F, it is clear that a diametric or symmetrical is forming.
Considering that the post-pattern movement after the g-wave has not passed, there are two scenarios:
1- Formation of an x-wave after the diametric
2- Formation of a symmetrical
However, considering that the post-pattern movement after the g-wave has not been confirmed and the high similarity in price in all waves, my opinion is that a symmetrical is forming and we will have another upward wave. This upward wave could end at $115,500 or $123,000.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
Bitcoin Update – Expanding Triangle in Progress?BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD
📈 We're tracking a complex structure unfolding on the current chart, and signs now point to a possible Expanding Triangle based on pure NeoWave logic.
🔷 Wave C showed a clear contraction compared to Wave A
🔷 Wave D has now expanded 161.8% of Wave B
→ This hits the upper Fibonacci boundary for triangle legs, confirming that Wave D is emotional and directional, yet still structurally valid
So what’s next?
🔷 Wave E is expected to: 🔹 Expand beyond Wave C
🔹 Possibly match or slightly exceed Wave D
🔹 Remain corrective (not impulsive)
🔹 Complete the expanding wedge with a visibly emotional climax
If this plays out correctly, we’ll have a fully confirmed Expanding Triangle, likely leading to a sharp thrust.
🧠 NeoWave Reminder:
Only one leg in a triangle may violate the price/time contraction rule — and D has done that.
Wave E must now complete the pattern without breaking visual logic.
📌 Watching closely for the structure of Wave E. If it forms as a 3-leg correction and expands past C, this pattern will be confirmed.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:ETHUSDT COINBASE:ETHUSD COINBASE:SOLUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
Daily BTC Technical Analysis – Bearish Evidence (Short Setup)1. Rising Wedge Pattern
The daily chart shows a Rising Wedge formation – a technical pattern that often signals a potential trend reversal downward.
Moreover, the price increase is accompanied by decreasing volume, reinforcing the likelihood of an upcoming correction.
(Source: Investopedia)
2. Indicators in Overbought Territory
RSI (Relative Strength Index): above 70 – signals overbought conditions.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index): above 100 – also signals overbought.
Williams %R: above -20 – again, confirms excessive buying pressure.
These conditions typically indicate market exhaustion and a high chance of short-term pullback.
(Source: CentralCharts)
3. Bearish Harami Candlestick Pattern
A Bearish Harami has formed on the chart – a potential reversal pattern, especially after an uptrend.
It often marks a shift in market sentiment and weakening momentum.
4. Bearish Divergence
There is a clear bearish divergence between price and RSI – while price makes new highs, RSI is trending lower.
This classic signal suggests weakening buying power and a possible trend reversal.
(Source: CentralCharts)
🧭 Key Support Levels to Watch
$107,000: first minor support area.
$100,000: a strong psychological support level.
$92,000: deeper support, aligned with historical trading zones and moving averages.
📊 Summary
While Bitcoin’s long-term trend remains bullish, the short-term indicators suggest a potential correction.
Traders looking for short opportunities should monitor the technical signals above and use key support zones as potential profit targets.
BTC Building Strength – Breakout Ahead?$BTC/USDT Weekly Analysis
Bitcoin continues to respect the 50 EMA on the weekly timeframe — a key dynamic support level that has consistently held throughout this bullish structure.
Each time BTC corrected, it found support near the 50 EMA before bouncing back with strength. The current structure mirrors past price action, with price again rebounding from the EMA after a consolidation phase.
We’re also seeing a pattern of lower highs forming a potential descending resistance line. A breakout above this trendline could trigger a fresh rally, possibly taking BTC to new highs.
As long as Bitcoin stays above the 50 EMA, the mid-to-long-term bias remains bullish. A confirmed breakout above the descending resistance could open the door for a strong upside continuation.
DYOR, NFA
Thanks for following along — stay tuned for more updates!
Bitcoin Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring BTC/USDT for a buying opportunity around 102,000 zone, Bitcoin is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 102,000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bitcoin is correcting to support. Possible growth to 110.000Bitcoin failed to hold above 110000, but at the same time the price is forming a flat. The support has not been tested yet (the cascade of orders below the level has not been touched) and within the uptrend the area of 106700 plays an important role.
Based on bitcoin is inside the flat you can consider trading between its boundaries.
Scenario: Within the current movement, the price is likely to form a retest of the 106700 support with the aim of liquidation and accumulation inside the flat. False break of support may attract buyers and in this case bitcoin may test 110000 again.
BTCUSDT Poised for Breakout – Bulls or Bears to Win This Battle?BINANCE:BTCUSDT is currently consolidating just below a key descending trendline, after multiple rejections near the 111,700 zone. Price action is tightening within a wedge-like structure, while still holding above the critical 106,500 support – a level that previously acted as a strong launchpad.
From a technical standpoint, this setup reflects a potential breakout pattern, where buyers are defending higher lows, and sellers are maintaining pressure near the trendline.
A breakout above the trendline could ignite a bullish rally toward 111,700 and beyond. However, continued rejection might lead to a retest of the 106,000 area before any bullish continuation is confirmed.
📌 Strategy: Wait for confirmation. A breakout above the trendline offers a safer entry for buyers, with stop-loss recommended just below the marked support zone.
Bitcoins LinesPrice is approaching previous highs with strong bullish momentum and no major resistance until the red-marked level around 240,000. Given the breakout structure and Fibonacci confluence, the most likely scenario is continuation toward the 140,000–160,000 range before facing any significant rejection. A stop loss would be prudent just below 91,000, with the initial target set at 139,000, and extended TP zones at 155,000 and 239,000. This trade aligns with a longer-term macro trend.
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) - Consolidation Above Support Trendline -DailyBitcoin (BTCUSDT) price is currently consolidating above a trendline support level (between $107,000 and $109,000).
Bitcoin price has been in an uptrend throughout May 2025.
If Bitcoin price closes below $106,000 a pullback could occur down to $104,000 and $100,000.
Support Levels: $107K, $105K, $103K, $100K, $95K, $90K.
Resistance Levels: $110K, $112K, $120K, $130, $136K, $150.
Stock market correlations and corporate earnings could affect short-term price action for Bitcoin (e.g. S&P500, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Nvidia, Dell, Marvell, etc).
Breaking News, corporate earnings and announcements, presidential and government law changes, and consumer sentiment can all affect the price of Bitcoin.
#BTC failed to break through, beware of pullbacks📊#BTC failed to break through, beware of pullbacks⚠️
🧠Yesterday, I found signs of stabilization near 109500 and closed my short position and went long because I was worried that we would break through the resistance area near 110000. As a result, the market developed as expected and we successfully broke through, but unfortunately we did not stabilize above the resistance area of 110000.
➡️From a graphical point of view, we formed an extended wedge near the resistance area, and we have now fallen through this pattern, which is about $400 away from the support near 107000 that I want to focus on, so I missed this rebound space.
➡️Currently we are blocked by the downward trend line. Only if we break through here and stabilize, can we see a big surge.
⚠️Note that we have tested the support near 107000 many times. If we fall below here, we will see further pullbacks.
Let's see👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
26/05/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $111,965.73
Last weeks low: $101,994.78
Midpoint: $106,980.26
New BTC ATHs! Well done to those who capitalized on the move and continue to believe in this Bitcoin.
For the last two weekly outlooks I have talked about the pattern of consolidation for 1 week --> expansion the next. Last week We got our expansion week right on queue and this time around BTC made a new ATH hitting just shy of $112,000.
Should the pattern continue this week will be a week of consolidation/chop, however this week is different now that we're at ATH levels. My gut says a pullback is coming after such an aggressive move up with almost no pullbacks at all.
Should BTCs price drop below the Midpoint I think there will be a big struggle to continue this rally in the short term. Initially target would be weekly low and main HTF target would be $97,000 IMO. That would be a healthy pullback to continue the rally.
For the bulls you don't want momentum to stop in the short term, flipping $110,450 and weekly high would put BTC back into price discovery, once any asset is in price discovery it's very difficult to tell where the sell pressure will come from and so shorting becomes very risky.
BTCUSDT – Reaccumulation Breakout or Bearish S/R Flip?Timeframes: 1W • 1D • 4H
Structure: Wyckoff Reaccumulation nearing Phase E — but ATH is acting as resistance
🔹 WEEKLY OUTLOOK: Macro Structure Points to Markup
Last weekly candle closed above the reaccumulation Buying Climax (BC), showing bullish intent
Weekly upper Bollinger Band is rising toward 113k
RSI at 67, strong but not overbought
Structure suggests we’re entering Wyckoff Phase E
Weekly Targets:
🟢 TP1: 113,049 (Upper BB)
🟢 TP2: 116,199 (measured move)
🟢 TP3: 118,237 (Fib 0.66 extension)
🔹 DAILY OUTLOOK: Still Holding Above Reaccumulation Range
Multiple daily closes above the BU (backup) zone, but all below 110k ATH
RSI is strong (~66), and price is tracking near the upper BB, but volume is not convincing
Until a daily close above 110,000, breakout remains unconfirmed
🔹 4H OUTLOOK: Structure Valid, Momentum Rising
BU zone held; price made two lower lows followed by a higher high
RSI has reclaimed 57+, and volume is picking up modestly
4H structure looks like an early Phase E breakout attempt, but...
⚠️ Caution: Is This a Bearish S/R Flip?
While the broader Wyckoff structure suggests a transition into markup, we must also consider the bearish scenario:
BTC may be failing a support/resistance flip at 110k
All timeframes have rejected at or below 110k, despite multiple attempts
If we see a lower high under 109k + 1D close below 105,863 with red volume and RSI < 45 → this becomes a confirmed bull trap
📊 TL;DR:
BTC is structurally bullish — but we are at the final test zone.
🔓 Breakout confirmed: Daily close above 110k
🔒 Failure confirmed: Close below 105,863 + red volume + RSI breakdown
Stay nimble. This is either the last shakeout before markup… or the top of the range before reversal.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Wyckoff #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Reaccumulation #Breakout #SupportResistance
2025.05.18 BITCOIN Short-term long positionWe are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
🔔 Follow us to never miss a market update.
📈 Bitcoin (BTC) Long Position Outlook
Currently, Bitcoin has confirmed support after two valid Bat patterns played out. From an Elliott Wave perspective, the market is in a consolidation phase, and it’s unclear whether the next move will be an impulse or a corrective wave.
However, what’s important is that the next wave is very likely to be bullish.
So regardless of its type, this is a zone to consider a long position.
One important point to emphasize:
Do not try to predict the distant future with Elliott Wave or Harmonic patterns.
These tools are excellent for identifying short-term direction and entries, and our accuracy over time has proven this.
Instead of drawing overly extended scenarios, focus on high-probability short-term setups and place your bets accordingly.
For this reason, I’m presenting a long position at the current level.
🎯 Target Levels
1st Target: 103341
2nd Target: 103569
3rd Target: 103793
Adapt to the market structure,
and place strong bets only on what’s predictable.
📊 Strategic Implications of Rising Bitcoin Dominance
Recently, Bitcoin dominance has been rising significantly. This indicates that Bitcoin's upward momentum is currently the leading force in the overall market.
During such periods, many novice investors tend to accumulate altcoins instead.
They expect similar gains from altcoins as they see in Bitcoin, and often bet on relatively "cheaper" assets.
However, in reality, this is precisely the time to buy more Bitcoin aggressively.
There’s always a reason why certain assets fail to rise.
If a coin doesn't move even when the broader market is going up, it should be interpreted as a lack of relative potential.
✅ In conclusion,
In a dominance environment like this, a Bitcoin-centered portfolio is a more rational strategy than focusing on altcoins.
Staying aligned with Bitcoin’s trend is the smarter approach to increase the probability of profit.
Deeper Retrace if previous monthly high and VAH are lostBTC has made a strong move up recently, but we’re now trading just above key contextual levels that could act as a tipping point if lost. Do we look for a failed auction?
🧭 Key Levels on Watch:
• PW/MHIGH (Previous Week and Month High): ~109,988
• VAH (Value Area High): ~105,573
• POC (Point of Control): ~96,815
• VAL (Value Area Low): ~87,198
• Anchored VWAP from the April low is rising steadily and currently converging with the POC.
🔍 What to Watch For:
We’ve wicked above the monthly high and are now showing signs of stalling. If BTC fails to hold above the VAH (~105.5k), it would suggest acceptance back inside the prior value area. This could open the door for a rotation lower toward the POC (~96.8k) — the area with the highest historical volume and strong structural support.
🟢 Anchored VWAP Support
The anchored VWAP from the April low continues to rise and is on a collision course with the POC. This area could become a magnet for price, offering confluence for a potential bounce or reaccumulation zone.
⚠️ Scenario Outlook:
• Lose PW/MHIGH → Caution
• Lose VAH and hold below → Expect rotation to POC
• VWAP + POC convergence could be a key buy zone if tested
This is a classic example of auction market theory in action: acceptance back into value often leads to a revisit of the point of control.
BTCUSD Analysis – Potential Reversal Zone and Bearish SetupBTCUSD is currently trading near the 108,000 level and showing signs of a short-term downtrend. Price action suggests a possible minor upward retracement toward the 110,000 resistance area. This level aligns with previous price reactions and may act as a potential supply zone.
If BTCUSD approaches the 110,000 region and fails to break above it convincingly, it could present a bearish opportunity, with potential downside targets at:
107,000 (minor support)
106,000 (structural level)
104,500 (major support and potential trend continuation target)
A clear break above 110,500 would invalidate this scenario, suggesting a shift in market momentum.
Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk according to your trading plan.