BTCUSDT trade ideas
BTCUSDT – Market Update & RecommendationBTCUSDT – Market Update & Recommendation
In my previous analysis published on June 1, 2025 (TradingView), I mentioned the corrective pullback towards the $100k area before BTC resumed its next upward wave.
My latest evaluation (posted recently on my personal blog, linked in my TradingView signature) stated clearly that BTC would rise toward $110k, then experience a minor retracement to around $108.2k before consolidating and reaching new ATH between $118k–$125k.
At present, BTC has successfully touched the $118k mark and is undergoing a minor correction—this is a critical consolidation phase before price approaches the significant $125k distribution zone.
Recommendation:
Investors holding BTC purchased below $108k should closely monitor price action to secure profits as necessary.
Consider signals for potential Swing Short positions based on monthly (M) timeframe bottoms. This is a powerful and extended signal, potentially lasting until the end of 2025.
Caution is advised for any new BTCUSDT positions at this time.
Link:
BTCUSDTBitcoin came and made its move according to the FVG, which was in the $98,000 to $99,000 range, but considering the war that took place between Iran, the United States, and Israel and that affected the markets, I expected it to reach the $91,000 or even $85,000 area and then make a move, but considering the previous analysis and consolidation in the $109,000 area and the breakout of $110,000, it started its move and is expected to go up to $120,000 in the short term and up to $144,000 in the medium term.
Hope you entered that long position!🚀 Hope you entered that long position!
I really tried to help you catch this move — and now it looks like Bitcoin has hit its first target.
If you want, you can take some profit here. But my suggestion? Hold that position with the mindset that some short-term profit might be missed, but the overall trend still looks strong.
📉 There’s a possibility of a minor pullback down to 110,610, even as a quick shadow — and then the upward move could continue.
📌 If you're holding altcoin positions, take profit on them. BTC dominance hasn’t dropped sharply yet, so alts are more likely to see pullbacks. Bitcoin still has more room to run in my view.
💬 Did you catch the trade?
🟢 In profit or waiting for higher targets?
Drop a comment 👇 Let's see how everyone's doing!
Bitcoin Breaks All-Time High: What’s Next?Bitcoin (BTC) has once again captured the world’s attention by smashing through its previous all-time high (ATH). This milestone has sparked excitement and speculation across the crypto community and beyond. But the key question remains: Will BTC continue its upward trajectory, or is a correction on the horizon?
Long-Term Outlook: The Bullish Case
In the long run, the fundamentals for Bitcoin remain strong. Several factors support a positive outlook:
Institutional Adoption: More institutional investors are entering the market, providing greater liquidity and legitimacy.
Scarcity and Halving Cycles: Bitcoin’s fixed supply and periodic halving events historically drive long-term price appreciation.
Macro Trends: Ongoing concerns about inflation and fiat currency devaluation continue to make BTC an attractive hedge.
Given these dynamics, we believe Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory remains upward.
Short-Term Caution: A Correction May Be Coming
While the long-term view is optimistic, the short-term picture may be less rosy:
Overheated Market Indicators: Rapid price surges often lead to overbought conditions, increasing the likelihood of a pullback.
Profit-Taking: After breaking ATH, some investors may lock in gains, adding selling pressure.
Technical Resistance: Historical patterns suggest that corrections often follow major breakouts.
We anticipate a potential correction, possibly pulling BTC back to the $90,000 range. This adjustment could unfold in the coming week or weeks as the market digests recent gains.
What Should Investors Do?
Stay Calm: Volatility is part of the crypto landscape. Corrections are healthy for sustainable growth.
Focus on Fundamentals: Remember why you invested in BTC in the first place.
Consider Dollar-Cost Averaging: Spreading out purchases can help mitigate the impact of short-term swings.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s break above its all-time high is a testament to its enduring appeal and the growing confidence of investors. While a short-term correction may be likely, the long-term case for BTC remains compelling. As always, prudent risk management and a focus on fundamentals are key to navigating the exciting—and sometimes turbulent—world of crypto.
Do not consider it as investment advice.
#crypto #bitcoin #analysis
BTCUSDT – Calm Before the BreakoutBitcoin is holding firmly above the ascending trendline, consolidating within the accumulation range of $98,000 to $117,000. The current structure suggests that buyers remain in control, especially after a strong rebound from the $98,450 support zone.
In terms of news, BTC has been slightly affected by market concerns over new U.S. tariffs. However, on-chain data still shows strong accumulation around the $108,000 level. If this base holds, BTCUSDT could break out toward the $117,424 target in the near term. Conversely, if the trendline fails, the $98,000 level will be the final stronghold for the bulls.
Bitcoin Breakout Ahead of Crypto WeekBitcoin has a great chance at cracking new all time highs and breaking out into price discovery this month. On July 14th, the US is considering it Crypto Week. Signing in the GENIUS bill, and more around crypto assets.
Bitcoin has held this volume shelf at around 104/105k for a while and these relative equal highs on the daily look like they can crack. I have highlighted some zones on the chart that I'd consider extremely important levels.
If we do crack these highs , I am on the side that the price action will be extremely expansive after all the work that has been done at those high volume clusters. If it fails I believe we should trade back to the high volume clusters, and if that doesn't hold, then we should trade through the thinner volume to do more business before bouncing off of the POC at around 96.5k.
The 50,150 & 200 EMAs are all signing ideal strength. Virtually all expansions in their early stages from 2023 to now contained these crosses on the Daily TF.
I am long BTC on a high timeframe. Macro narratives are strong, the asset is strong, and the downside is always in our control to be limited.
BTC - Zoomed Out ScenarioAs predicted DXY has broken down a major monthly bearish trendline - currently finishing a bearish retest before further free fall.
If this plays out we have 2-3 years of a weakening / correcting dollar, and a strengthening investment in assets such as Bitcoin.
This means an extended bull market spanning 2-4 years on Bitcoin and equities.
However - there is a mass amount of liquidity to the uber lows towards 10,000 on BTC.
Market is showing manipulated intention to hit these lows by keeping the price below this bearish cross section - and that’s why bitcoin hasn’t been moving up yet.
This tells me this is more likely than we all think to play out.
I’m trading the following:
Short - 108,200 to 35,000
Long - 35,000 to 80,000
Short - 80,000 to 10,000
Will update accordingly if the plan changes.
Happy trading.
Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin – A Staggered Anti-Currency Rotation?There seems to be a complex yet recurring relationship between Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin during anti-currency phases (when fiat weakens).
First Leg – Gold Leads
Gold typically leads the first leg, breaking out to new highs. Silver follows but lags—trending up without breaking major resistance. During this phase, the Gold/Silver ratio expands.
Second Leg – Silver Takes Over
Eventually, Silver breaks resistance and becomes the second leg leader. As it outperforms Gold, the Gold/Silver ratio contracts back to mean.
Bitcoin, during this time, is usually bottoming or entering Stage 2 (early uptrend). This time, it has already broken resistance but is rising slower than in past cycles.
Third Leg – Bitcoin Dominates
As Gold and Silver peak and begin to correct, Bitcoin accelerates, often making new all-time highs (ATH).
This staggered rotation played out during the 2018–2022 cycle. Let's see if history rhymes in this cycle.
BitcoinBitcoin/TetherUS (BTC/USDT) Trading Analysis - Jul 15, 2025
Key Observations:
Price Movement:
Current Price: $117,692.46
24h Change: -2,148.72 (-1.79%)
Range: Low of $116,250.00 to High of $119,940.83
The price is currently near the lower end of the day's range, indicating bearish pressure.
Support and Resistance:
Support Levels:
Strong Support: $112,000.00 (marked as S/L)
Intermediate Support: $113,500.00 and $110,000.00
Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $119,900.00
Higher Resistance: $120,000.00 and $122,500.00
Profit Levels:
The "Profit" section lists potential take-profit targets, with the highest at $135,000.00.
The price has recently dipped below the $120,000.00 psychological level, suggesting weakening bullish momentum.
Trend Context:
The chart spans from June to September, but the current price action (July) shows consolidation after a potential pullback from higher levels.
The presence of multiple support levels ($112K–$116K) suggests a critical zone for buyers to defend.
Actionable Insights:
Bearish Short-Term: The price is below key levels ($119,900–$120,000) and has broken below $118,250.00. A retest of support at $112,000.00 is plausible.
Bullish Reversal Signal: If BTC holds above $112,000.00 and reclaims $120,000.00, it could target $122,500.00 or higher.
Risk Management: A break below $112,000.00 (S/L) may trigger further downside toward $110,000.00 or lower.
Conclusion:
The market is currently in a corrective phase. Traders should monitor the $112,000.00 support for potential reversals or breakdowns. A close above $120,000.00 would shift bias to bullish.
Bitcoin Rush: The Carnival and Concerns Behind $120,000Bitcoin Rush: The Carnival and Concerns Behind $120,000
The Bitcoin market is staging an epic rally - the price has broken through the $120,000 mark, setting a new record high. But behind this jubilation, the market has shown signs of overheating.
Market Status: Risks Hidden in the Frenzy
Price Performance: Hit a new high of $123,000 on July 15, up nearly 20% this year, with a total market value of $2.2 trillion (the fifth largest asset in the world)
Market Sentiment: Fear and Greed Index 72 (extreme greed), but more than 100,000 people were liquidated in 24 hours, with a loss of $510 million
Technical Signals: RSI reached 70.9 (overbought zone), and the 30-day unrealized profit and loss ratio reached the 80% percentile
Three major rising engines
Institutional entry
Spot Bitcoin ETF net inflow of $118 million in a single day (BlackRock holds more than 700,000 coins)
MicroStra Tegy's holdings value exceeds $50 billion
Trump Media Group and other listed companies join the "coin hoarding trend"
Regulatory support
The U.S. "Cryptocurrency Week" deliberates on three key bills
Hong Kong passes the "Stablecoin Ordinance" (effective on August 1)
The EU MiCA framework begins to be implemented
Macro support
The probability of the Fed's September rate cut is 72.3%
The weakening of the U.S. dollar + trade protection policies boost risk aversion demand
Bitcoin's positioning shifts from "speculative assets" to "digital gold"
Key technical signals
Breakthrough pattern: daily "three white soldiers" candle + ascending triangle breakthrough, target 128,000-132,000 U.S. dollars Yuan
Key position:
Support: $116,800 (near term), $112,000 (key)
Resistance: $121,500 (short term), $140,000 (long term)
Risk signal: H4 chart RSI reaches 77, MACD histogram shrinks
Future outlook
Short term: If the $112,000 support is maintained, it is expected to challenge $140,000
Risk: Falling below $108,500 may trigger a chain of liquidations
Cycle law: Referring to "peaking 550 days after halving", this round of bull market may peak in October
Breakout trading strategy (suitable for aggressive traders )
Entry conditions:
Price stabilizes above $123,000 with increased trading volume (at least 1.5 times the 20-day average volume)
4-hour chart closes above the previous high for three consecutive positive lines
Targets:
First target $128,000 (1.618 Fibonacci extension level)
Second target $135,000 (psychological barrier + upper channel track)
Stop loss setting:
Day trading: Falling below the $120,000 round mark
Swing trading: Falling below the $116,800 support platform
Conclusion: Bitcoin is writing a new chapter in history, but investors need to be wary of "extreme joy leads to sorrow". Remember: when others are fearful, I am greedy, and when others are greedy, I am fearful - this old saying always applies to the crypto market.
#BTC Update #6 – July 11, 2025🟠 #BTC Update #6 – July 11, 2025
Bitcoin has surged nearly 9% from the supply zone and is currently trading around the $119,000 level. However, looking at the current volume, the momentum seems to be fading.
If a correction takes place, the potential support zones are:
✨First stop: $114,000
✨Second stop: $113,000
✨Third stop: $111,500
After a pullback, the next target may be around $122,000. However, macroeconomic risks are rising. The U.S. is considering a 500% tariff on Russia imports, and in the past, even a 100% tariff triggered a sharp drop in Bitcoin.
Since BTC has already made a significant move up, I don’t think opening a Long or Short position is wise at the moment. Just observing for now.
BTC Flag Pattern's Target @ 145,XXX $ [10/07/2025]🚀 BTC Breakout from Flag Pattern: Aiming for $145,000!
Bitcoin has just broken out of a textbook Flag Pattern, a bullish continuation signal that suggests the rally is far from over. Traders jumped in as price pierced through resistance with rising volume—classic breakout behavior. Stop-loss placed below the flag, profit target measured from the flagpole... all signs point to upward momentum.
🎯 Target? $145,000.
🔥 The rocket has launched, and it's not looking back. Fasten your seatbelt and cheer it on—let’s go, BTC! Make that flag fly high and beyond! 🤑🚀
BTC still Holding the Demand Zone, Bitcoin is currently holding the demand zone between $116K and $117K, which also aligns with the retest area of a previously broken trendline—making this zone quite strong. If BTC manages to close above $117.8K on lower timeframes, we could see the beginning of a new uptrend targeting around $130K. However, if this zone fails due to any unexpected news or events, the next key support lies between $111K and $113K.
BTC - Last Attempt at Predicting TopThis is my last attempt at predicting the top of this upwards move on the HTF.
Adjusting these trendlines to where BTC pumped to, which was a lot higher than initially anticipated, it does look to me that these trendlines are still respected.
There are 3 bearish ascending lines that price has been interacting with - I assume we are looking at a crossing intersection of them, per the chart here.
If BTC continues higher without a very fast, drastic free fall - I will be looking at other possibilities. If price moves above 122,000 again, I would consider this invalid - as I suspect the resistance level sits around 120,000 to 120,500 area.
I will be looking for a very fast drop to consider this possibility as valid and likely from here on.