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BTC - 1H Elliott Wave AnalysisGreetings, this is the immediate bullish Elliott Wave Count for BTC. I also did a 4H count which takes a deeper retracement into consideration which will be linked below in the notes. I'll like it below in the notes for everybody that is interested it in :) Spoiler: This Analysis gets a bit more complex. In the immediate bullish count we assume that Bitcoin is forming a double 1-2 set up which should lead to a rather aggressive Wave 3 to the upside. From the low which formed the blue Wave 4 we have a five wave move up displayed in purple which finished white Wave 1. We also formed white Wave 2 already which is a very shallow Wave 2 but it hit the minimum requirements of the 0.236 FIB at 98031.9 USD which is very rare and not preferred but valid. From here we have started white Wave 3 of which we finished the first Wave displayed as the green Wave 1 here and we are currently working on the green Wave 2 in the yellow ABC. Green Wave 2 support sits between the 0.5 FIB at 101538.8 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 99110.5 USD. Yellow Wave A seems to be in as well as yellow Wave B which could extend tho. Assuming yellow Wave B is in we can calculate targets for yellow Wave C which are very well in confluence with our green Wave 2 support. Targets for yellow Wave C are the 1 to 1 FIB at 101420.9 USD, the 1.236 FIB at 100585.2 USD, the 1.382 FIB at 100068.2 USD and the 1.618 FIB at 99232.4 USD. Noteworthy is that all targets for yellow Wave C overlap with the Fibonacci's of green Wave 2 support area. Additionally the 1.618 FIB target at 99232.4 USD of yellow Wave C which overlaps with the 0.786 FIB of the green Wave 2 support area at 99110.5 USD also overlap with the 0.382 FIB at 99337.8 USD of our Wave 2 support area of the "BTC - 4H Elliott Wave Analysis" which focusses on a deeper retracement which I'll link below in the notes. The golden pocket of green Wave 2 also sits perfectly on 100'000 USD which is an important psychological level. The green & white Wave 3 should take us well above the last ATH at 108366.8 USD. On the chart you can see some targets for white Wave 3 which are the 1 to 1 FIB at 109234.6 USD, the 1.236 FIB at 112.052.7 USD, the 1.382 FIB at 113796.1 USD and the 1.618 FIB at 116614.1 USD. Noteworthy is that the 1 to 1 FIB target at 109234.6 USD is right above the ATH at 108366.8 USD which could function as a short term resistance, so be aware of volatility! Additionally we got some confluence for the 1.618 FIB target at 116614.1 USD with a high timeframe target at 115948.9 USD which I discussed in my "BTC - 1D Elliott Wave Analysis" which I'll link below in the comments. Be aware that we get the inauguration of Trump next week and the stock market is closed on Monday which both can have some effect on Crypto. If you enjoyed this analysis I'd appreciate if you give it a boost as I put a lot of effort into it :) Thanks for reading. NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
Long
by KanashimiBro
btcusdt longbtcusdt long 💎Please don't be greedy ENTRY : yellow point TP : blue lines SL : below red line for LONG position above red line for SHORT position ⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 1: Please respect the yellow entry point, otherwise you risk entering too early before my strategy or too far, thus reducing gains and aggravating losses in the event of a stop loss ⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 2: For risk and money management: 5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20 And 3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20
Long
by RODDYTRADING
Bitcoin is Ready to Attack Heavy Support Zone!!!Today, January 10 , key U.S. employment data , including Average Hourly Earnings , Non-Farm Employment Change, and the Unemployment Rate , were released, influencing global markets, including Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ). Stronger-than-expected employment figures suggest a robust economy, potentially leading the Federal Reserve to maintain or increase interest rates. Higher interest rates can strengthen the U.S. dollar ( TVC:DXY ), making Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies less attractive as alternative investments , possibly exerting downward pressure on their prices. -------------------------------------------- Bitcoin started to pump from the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) , as I expected . ( Bitcoin allowed us to enter a long position two times .) Bitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($96,800-$95,520) , the upper line of the Ascending Channel , and near the 50_SMA(Daily) . According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to complete wave C of Zigzag waves(ABC/5-3-5) . At best, wave C could rise to $99,000 (but unlikely). I expect Bitcoin to go down based on today's US employment data and the fact that the U.S. DoJ received court approval to sell 69,370 BTCs . Bitcoin will attack the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) again soon, and this attack may be able to break this zone . ⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes above $99,000, we can expect more Pumps.⚠️. ⚠️Note: We should expect more dumps if Bitcoin touches $93,500 before reaching the Resistance zone($96,800-$95,520) again⚠️. 🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏 Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
28
BTC breaks higher From the recent trend of Bitcoin, it can be seen that the price has experienced several key trend changes: 1. Descending channel: The price started to pull back from the high point near 108,340.67 and entered an obvious descending channel, falling to 92,458.46 at the lowest point. This range indicates that the market entered a correction after encountering strong resistance in the high point area. 2. Upward trend channel: Starting from 92,458.46, the price gradually rebounded and broke through the downward channel. At present, Bitcoin has entered a new upward trend channel, and the current price (103,182.59) is close to the upper track of the channel, showing obvious upward momentum. Key levels 1. Fibonacci retracement level: 0.618 retracement level (102,259.76): This is the key golden section point measured from the top of 108,340.67 to the bottom of 92,458.46. The price has fluctuated in this area recently, indicating that there is a strong support and resistance conversion at this position. 0.5 retracement level (100,388.32): This position provided some support during the price decline, reflecting that the market buying was relatively active at this position. 0.382 retracement level (98,516.87): As an important dividing line, the price has formed a certain short-term consolidation in this area before. 2. Support and resistance: Current main resistance level: 108,340.67 This is the recent highest point. Breaking through this position will significantly enhance the market's bullish sentiment. Main support level: 92,458.46, which is the low point of this round of decline. If it falls below this level, it may trigger more selling. Price pattern and momentum 1. Double bottom pattern: A double bottom was formed at 92,542.93 and 92,577.50, confirming the strong support of the market in this area. The price then rebounded and gradually broke through the downward channel upward. 2. Upward trend channel: From the channel marked by the green parallel lines in the figure, it can be seen that Bitcoin is currently climbing steadily, and the upward trend is complete in the short term. However, the price is currently close to the upper track of the channel and may face certain pullback pressure. Trading strategy suggestions 1. Long strategy: If the price is stable above 102,259.76 (0.618 retracement) and breaks through 103,500, you can consider entering the market to go long, with a target of 105,000 to 108,000. If the price breaks through the previous high of 108,340.67, it may open up a larger upside space, and then you can consider chasing long. 2. Short strategy: If the price falls below 102,000, it may indicate that the short-term bullish momentum is weakening. At this time, you can consider shorting, with a target of 100,000 or 98,500. Pay attention to the performance of the 95,525.94 support area. Falling below this level may lead to a deeper pullback. Risk Control The current trend of Bitcoin is in an upward channel, and the market sentiment is optimistic, but it is also necessary to guard against the possibility of false breakthroughs. Recommendations: - Set a strict stop loss to avoid unnecessary losses due to excessive price fluctuations. - Pay attention to the potential impact of macroeconomic factors (such as the Fed's policy) and market news (such as regulatory dynamics) on prices. In summary, the technical side of Bitcoin shows short-term bullishness, but it is necessary to be wary of the pressure level near the upper track of the channel. Investors are advised to flexibly adjust their strategies according to the trend.
Long
by RonPeter_Trading
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by Trade-Journal
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Gann Levels#### **Overview:** This hourly chart for **BTC/USDT** (Binance) integrates Gann square levels and grid lines, highlighting significant price zones and cyclical market behavior. Gann levels provide critical insights into potential support, resistance, and trend continuation points. --- ### **Key Observations:** #### **1. Price Levels:** The chart showcases several key Gann levels, with **450° = 104,819.619073 USDT** as the current price proximity level. - **0° = 92,269.275814 USDT**: Foundational support zone and cycle reset level. - **90° = 95,331.861629 USDT**: Key short-term support. - **180° = 98,444.447444 USDT**: Next strong support if bearish momentum continues. - **360° = 101,607.033258 USDT**: First upward target in a bullish scenario. - **450° = 104,819.619073 USDT**: Current level of consolidation and resistance. - **540° = 108,082.204888 USDT**: Resistance zone for extended bullish movement. - **720° = 114,757.376517 USDT**: High target in a long-term bullish rally. --- #### **2. Price Action:** - **Current Price:** 104,884.46 USDT (-0.90% for the session). - The price has broken through multiple lower degrees (e.g., 90° and 360°) and is now consolidating around the **450° level**. --- ### **Time Cycle Analysis:** - The Gann grid visually represents time cycles that may align with market turning points. - **Key Event:** A significant time marker appears near **27–28 Jan 2025**, marked by the star. This could indicate a critical reversal or breakout zone. --- ### **Scenarios to Watch:** #### **Bullish Scenario:** - **Trigger:** Sustained breakout above **450° (104,819.619073 USDT)**. - **Targets:** - **540° = 108,082.204888 USDT** - **630° = 111,394.790702 USDT** - Long-term target: **720° = 114,757.376517 USDT** #### **Bearish Scenario:** - **Trigger:** Rejection at **450° (104,819.619073 USDT)** and a drop below **360° (101,607.033258 USDT)**. - **Targets:** - **First Support:** 270° = 98,444.447444 USDT - **Next Support:** 180° = 95,331.861629 USDT - Critical support: 90° = 92,269.275814 USDT --- ### **Trade Plan:** #### **Long Position Setup:** - **Entry Trigger:** Breakout and close above **450° (104,819.619073 USDT)**. - **Stop-loss:** Below **360° (101,607.033258 USDT)**. - **Targets:** - **540° = 108,082.204888 USDT** - **720° = 114,757.376517 USDT** #### **Short Position Setup:** - **Entry Trigger:** Rejection at **450°** and confirmed breakdown below **360° (101,607.033258 USDT)**. - **Stop-loss:** Above **450° (104,819.619073 USDT)**. - **Targets:** - **270° = 98,444.447444 USDT** - **180° = 95,331.861629 USDT** --- ### **Conclusion:** The chart provides a clear structure for analyzing Bitcoin’s price movements using Gann levels. Pay attention to the 450° level for confirmation of the next directional move, and closely monitor the **time cycle near 27–28 Jan 2025** for possible trend shifts. Wish you best of luck!
by Magic_xD
MARKET ANOMALY DETECTOR (MAD) - PAID INDICATORThe Market Anomaly Detector (MAD) indicator displayed in the chart appears to effectively capture potential tops and bottoms based on price and momentum conditions. Here’s a detailed textual summary of its performance: Key Observations from the Chart: 1. Capturing Bottoms: • The green zones and buy signals (marked with green labels) align closely with areas where the price reverses from downward trends, indicating that the MAD indicator successfully detects oversold conditions or areas of bullish divergence. • The confluence of the green shaded areas with the lower bounds of the volatility bands further supports the accuracy of the buy signals in identifying trend reversals. 2. Identifying Tops: • The red zones and sell signals (marked with red labels) correspond to local peaks where the price reverses from upward trends. This suggests that the MAD indicator effectively detects overbought conditions or bearish divergence. • The sell signals also tend to align with price closing above the upper volatility band, highlighting the MAD’s ability to identify overextensions in price. 3. Z-Score and RSI Filters: • The Z-Score values and RSI thresholds displayed in the chart (e.g., Z-Score: 0.77, RSI: 52.77) appear to act as reliable filters to validate signal accuracy. • These additional parameters help the indicator avoid false signals in sideways markets by ensuring that trends are well-defined before signals are generated. 4. Trend Detection and Cooldown: • The indicator employs background shading (green for bullish trends, red for bearish trends, and grey for sideways markets) to provide a clear visual representation of the overall market structure. • A cooldown mechanism appears to prevent excessive signals in choppy or low-volatility conditions, making the signals more actionable and reducing noise. 5. Support for Reversal Strategies: • The MAD indicator excels in detecting early signs of trend reversals. By combining divergence-based logic with volatility and momentum filters, it helps traders identify actionable entries and exits. Effectiveness in Capturing Tops and Bottoms: • The MAD indicator demonstrates high precision in aligning buy signals with significant lows and sell signals with notable highs. • The visual clarity of the shaded regions and the confluence of signals with volatility bands make it particularly useful for trend-following or counter-trend strategies. • While the indicator is highly effective, minor lag in signal generation might occur due to the reliance on confirmations from momentum and volatility parameters. This trade-off enhances reliability but may slightly delay entries in fast-moving markets. Improvements for Enhanced Accuracy: • Fine-tuning Z-Score and RSI thresholds could improve responsiveness to extreme conditions. • Adding additional filters, such as volume or time-of-day considerations, may help reduce false signals further in low-volume conditions. Conclusion: The MAD indicator performs exceptionally well in detecting tops and bottoms, leveraging a combination of momentum, volatility, and trend analysis. It is highly suited for traders looking for actionable buy/sell signals while maintaining a balance between accuracy and noise reduction. Message me to know more about getting this indicator.
Short
by TradeTechanalysis
BTC - 4H Elliott Wave Analysis (part 1 of 2)Greetings, this is my current Elliott Wave count for Bitcoin. This time it is a bit different as I will do two separate post one containing the bullish count and one containing the bearish count. I split it up into two posts to keep the chart clean so it is easier to understand and I highly recommend reading both as none of them is preferred at the moment. I do post both counts now instead of waiting for clarity so everybody has time to prepare and get ready as the price might move fast especially with more news tomorrow the 16. January and the inauguration of Trump next Monday the 20th January. The counterpart counts will respectively be posted in the notes down below. The bullish count: In this count we assume that the red ABC is finished and with it the blue Wave 4 bottomed during the 13th January at 88909.0 USD and we started the blue Wave 5 which could be the last rally in this bull market. The recent move up could be 1st Wave of the impulse displayed as white Wave 1 here. Next we are looking for a retracement in white Wave 2. Wave 2 support sits between the 0.5 FIB at 94327.8 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 91228.2 USD. After we get the orange Wave A and B we can calculated further targets for orange Wave C which would finish white Wave 2. Important is that the coming retracement is in a corrective fashion and not an impulsive. If we see five Waves down now this could be the first indication that the bears are in control and we might get a lower blue Wave 4. Thanks for reading. NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
Long
by KanashimiBro
Bitcoin Sideways Continues (How To Trade —Quantum Entanglement) It doesn't matter how much we think this through; It doesn't matter how much we change our positions; Bitcoin continues sideways. Sideways means consolidation, consolidation means that we are going up when the consolidation is done. Good morning my amazing you! I am hoping you are now having an amazing tomorrow, and I am hoping you have a great blast on years end. Happy new Moon... Let's get to the Bitcoin, the chart and the Altcoins market. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste. ___ The market is "bearish." In a sense. You could say the market is depressed somehow, slow. This is true. So think of this, we have pairs growing 2-3 digits green. Many are breaking up two digits green daily and this is when the market is "bearish" and kind of depressed. This is a very strong bullish signal. If these Altcoins, smaller ones; hidden gems, can grow this strongly while the broader market retraces and consolidates, while it is weak, what do you think will happen when the market enters confirmed bullish mode? What do you think will happen when the market starts to advance with full force? Exactly! Maximum growth. The time is now! Why I insist? Just go back to 2020 or simply August 2024; wouldn't it be nice to buy at the bottom, which opens the opportunity to sell at the top? We are in this situation once more. Most of the market is mainly on the buy zone. This period can last, say 2-6 weeks, or it can be over next month and the market grows. The time is now. I am just here giving you a friendly reminder before the event takes place. The event is a major marketwide advance, a huge bullish wave. I am here to remind you that Cryptocurrency needs your attention now because it will soon enter a major phase of growth. I know you know, so get to work. Bitcoin has been going sideways and trading volume has come to a halt. A strong drop in trading volume can ignite the next move. We have mainly mainly two scenarios: (1) A break toward the upper boundary of the trading range just to continue with more sideways. (2) A move with a wick below support just to quickly recover; liquidity hunt, stop-loss hunt event and then fast back up. Yes, I can continue to believe that Bitcoin will grow, but this sideways period can produce shakeouts on both ends, down and up. We use low lev. at first and only increase when the next move is confirmed. For the majority of the traders, participants, spot is the best choice. Think of this one. It is possible to put in $5000 with 2X and earn a safe profit on a position, rather than using $500 with 10X. This is possible if your capital allows. It is possible to put $10000 on a spot position, no leverage; and basically eliminate all risk. The worst case scenario is a long wait. $10000 with high leverage can result in a $10000 loss. $10000 trading spot can result in easy money when the market grows; but patience is key. You don't have to track the drop, the weekly, the monthly or the "stop-loss." This is not necessary at all. You buy and hold focusing on the long-term. When the market is green, you can decide to hold a little bit longer or to sell. If undecided, you can sell just a small portion, 5%, 10%. See how you feel. You don't have to close the full position, you don't have to sell everything at one time in one go. We have flexibility, keep this in mind and make sure to plan before you open too many positions or you can get lost when the market moves. Say you have many positions with a great entry price and you are green and everything is great. But no planning. Then comes a correction and the market is down 20%. Your paper profits are disappearing but nothing is wrong. When the market drops another 10% you start to panic, but with so many positions you don't know which ones to keep, which ones to close. Of course, the best course of action is to sell at resistance when prices are up, this would eliminate all anxiety and worry when a correction develops and it opens the doors to buy more. But if you missed the chance for lack of planning, learn from this mistake and make sure to do it right on the next move. We still have a long way to go. Mistakes will be in the zone of selling too early or holding for too long. Even when we make mistakes in 2025 our balance will grow. Don't let this fool you, you can be losing money by reducing your potential gains. Sometimes we can earn many, many times more by just holding rather than trying to trade. If you don't know what you are doing, that's ok, just buy and hold. If you have an idea of what you are doing... Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.
Long
by AlanSantana
2
Bearish Scenario Invalidated - 121k nextBitcoin’s recent impulsive push to the upside has activated and validated the massive red structure, opening the door for new highs. This move officially invalidated my previous bearish bias, and as a result, I’ve closed all remaining altcoin positions. Flexibility in strategy is key—that’s how you stay ahead. I’ve marked out the target level and resistance line for you. But tread carefully—don’t let greed or FOMO dictate your actions. Rushing into longs here is a rookie move. Instead, I’ve highlighted the level in purple where I’ll personally consider opening my longs. Always remember: patience outlasts impulse. Missing one trade is far better than being burned by reckless impatience. Opportunities in the market are endless—play smart, not fast.
Long
by xSamu_TA
Bitcoin Overall: Buying lvlsBitcoin failed to quickly make an all-time high, I suggested a consolidation of around a day was reasonable but much more than that would result in a deeper correction before breaching the all-time high. If there's a significant retracement to the upside from these levels, I would expect the first buying zone to hold, if this currently is the extent of the retracement, I'm personally more interested in the lower levels, the highest of the lower levels essentially.
by Ian_Carsen