BTC still Holding the Demand Zone, Bitcoin is currently holding the demand zone between $116K and $117K, which also aligns with the retest area of a previously broken trendline—making this zone quite strong. If BTC manages to close above $117.8K on lower timeframes, we could see the beginning of a new uptrend targeting around $130K. However, if this zone fails due to any unexpected news or events, the next key support lies between $111K and $113K.
BTCUSDT trade ideas
BTC - Last Attempt at Predicting TopThis is my last attempt at predicting the top of this upwards move on the HTF.
Adjusting these trendlines to where BTC pumped to, which was a lot higher than initially anticipated, it does look to me that these trendlines are still respected.
There are 3 bearish ascending lines that price has been interacting with - I assume we are looking at a crossing intersection of them, per the chart here.
If BTC continues higher without a very fast, drastic free fall - I will be looking at other possibilities. If price moves above 122,000 again, I would consider this invalid - as I suspect the resistance level sits around 120,000 to 120,500 area.
I will be looking for a very fast drop to consider this possibility as valid and likely from here on.
Weekly trading plan for BitcoinBINANCE:BTCUSDT has currently set a new ATH, trading in the 121k-122k range. While no clear reversal signals are present yet, we're seeing early signs of a 4h RSI divergence. Without solid confirmation, short positions remain risky - price could liquidate shorts multiple times before any meaningful reversal. Key local level to watch is 119k
Trade safe and stay adaptive
Bitcoin's Next Move: Planning the Counter-Trend ShortThis 30-minute BTC/USDT chart provides an excellent case study. After successfully identifying and trading the breakout from the consolidation range (highlighted in the brown box), the focus now shifts to a new, potential trade setup.
Asset: Bitcoin / TetherUS (BTC/USDT)
Timeframe: 30-Minute
Recap: The price has powerfully broken out of its previous range, a move that was anticipated and resulted in a successful long trade.
Current Situation: Following the strong, nearly vertical rally, the price is approaching the psychological $120,000 level. Runs like this are often followed by a period of profit-taking or a short-term pullback.
The New Trade Plan: A Bearish Setup
The chart now displays a new short position setup. This is a bearish, counter-trend trade designed to profit from a potential price rejection.
Strategy: To sell or "short" Bitcoin at a higher price, anticipating a pullback. This is a riskier strategy than trading with the trend, but it's based on the idea that the sharp rally is due for a correction.
The Setup is as follows:
Entry (Sell): $120,222.31
Take Profit (Target): $119,323.25
Stop-Loss (Invalidation): $120,579.09
In summary, after the breakout rally, the plan is to watch for signs of exhaustion. If the price pushes up to the $120,222 level and gets rejected, this trade aims to capture the resulting downward move towards the $119,300 area. The stop-loss is placed tightly above to manage risk in case the powerful uptrend continues without pausing
BTCUSDT Forming Strong BreakoutBTCUSDT is looking increasingly bullish as the pair continues to hold above its key support level, building a solid foundation for the next major leg up. The chart clearly shows a strong breakout pattern forming with higher highs and higher lows, signaling that the momentum is shifting in favor of the bulls. The well-defined support zone highlighted on the chart has repeatedly acted as a launchpad for buyers, making this area crucial for traders to watch closely. A breakout above the recent consolidation could open doors for a significant rally toward the 140% to 150% gain levels projected.
Volume for BTCUSDT remains robust, confirming the strong interest from both retail and institutional investors. This is a good sign because healthy volume typically precedes strong price action and follow-through. As Bitcoin continues to dominate the crypto market, it often sets the tone for the entire altcoin space, so a strong BTC rally could spark renewed optimism across the board. Traders are now keeping a close eye on whether BTC can maintain its position above the key psychological levels shown on the chart, as this could trigger another wave of buying momentum.
Investors are increasingly looking at BTCUSDT as a safe bet in an otherwise volatile market. Bitcoin’s fundamentals remain strong, with growing adoption, continued development, and macroeconomic conditions that could favor a hedge like BTC. Combined with the current technical setup, the outlook is promising for a big move to the upside. As we approach the next few weeks, the market sentiment suggests that any dips towards the key support level might be seen as attractive buying opportunities.
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Flawless ExecutionA picture-perfect trade on CRYPTOCAP:BTC from start to finish. 🎯
The Plan: Wait for the breakout above resistance.
The Result: A powerful move straight through our target zone.
Clean analysis, clean execution, clean profits. On to the next one.
#Bitcoin #Trading #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #BTC
Bitcoin hits a new high! Is this time really different?Bitcoin hits a new high! Is this time really different?
Bitcoin hits a new high! On July 11, BTC broke through $117,000 in one fell swoop, completely igniting market sentiment. Shorts were completely defeated, and 230,000 investors were liquidated within 24 hours, losing $541 million, of which 89% were short orders-this market is simply rubbing shorts on the ground!
But this rise is different from the past.
🔥 Why is Bitcoin so strong this time?
Institutions buy frantically: Bitcoin spot ETFs such as BlackRock and Fidelity continue to attract money, with net inflows exceeding $1.44 billion in 2025. What's even more exaggerated is that listed companies buy directly-143 companies around the world have hoarded 850,000 BTC, worth $95.3 billion! MicroStrategy alone holds 576,000 bitcoins and makes a fortune!
Expectations of Fed rate cuts: The market is betting that the Fed will cut interest rates this year, the dollar is weakening, and funds are pouring into Bitcoin for risk aversion.
Regulatory relaxation: Hong Kong, the EU and the United States are all promoting cryptocurrency compliance. The Trump administration even plans to establish a "national cryptocurrency reserve" to make institutions feel more at ease entering the market.
📈 Technical side: Can it rise again?
Breaking through key resistance: Bitcoin has stabilized at $112,000, the daily level "ascending triangle" breakthrough has been confirmed, MACD golden cross, RSI healthy (not overbought).
Next target: $120,000! But if it falls below $107,000, it may face a correction.
Be careful of high leverage: The current market is dominated by futures, and the spot/derivatives trading volume ratio is only 0.07. Once it pulls back, it may trigger a chain of liquidations!
⚠️ Risk: Don't be blinded by FOMO (fear of missing out)!
Short-term overbought: H4 level RSI has reached 72 and may pull back at any time.
Policy variables: If the Fed postpones the rate cut or the situation in the Middle East worsens, BTC may fall to $55,000!
Regulatory uncertainty: Global policies have not yet been unified, China still bans cryptocurrencies, and the problem of stablecoin reserves has not been completely resolved.
🚀 Operational suggestions: How to operate?
Radicals: Buy when it falls back to around $110,500, with a target of $120,000 and a stop loss below $107,000.
Conservatives: Wait until it stabilizes at $117,500 before chasing the rise, or wait until it falls back to the support level before entering the market.
Long-term holding (HODL): Institutions are hoarding coins, why are you panicking? But don't bet all in, keep some bullets to deal with black swans!
🎯 Conclusion: The bull market continues!
This wave of Bitcoin's rise is driven by institutions + policies + liquidity. Unlike the retail carnival in 2017 and 2021, this rise is more sustainable. But the market will not only rise but not fall, and it may fall back in the short term. Don't use high leverage!
Remember: make money in a bull market and make money in a bear market. Don’t be afraid of missing out (FOMO), and don’t be greedy. Only by surviving can you get the next wave of dividends! 🚀
(PS: If you haven’t bought it yet, don’t worry, wait for a pullback before buying it. There are always opportunities in the market, but if the principal is gone, it’s really gone!)
Chart Explanation: BTC/USDT (4H, Bybit)📊 Chart Explanation: BTC/USDT (4H, Bybit)
🟢 Current Situation:
BTC is pushing toward its All-Time High (ATH) level at $119,402.
We've seen a strong vertical rally with minimal pullbacks — classic "euphoria phase" behavior.
Price is currently around $116,500, getting close to major resistance.
⚠️ Key Observation – Bearish Divergence:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing bearish divergence:
Price is making higher highs
RSI is making lower highs
This signals momentum weakening, despite price moving up — a possible reversal warning.
🚫 Why No Trade (Yet):
You're not entering a position now because:
Price is near ATH — a major liquidity area where fakeouts are common
You expect a potential rejection or liquidity sweep near ATH
No confirmed reversal or entry trigger yet
🟣 What You're Watching:
The AOI (Area of Interest) marked around $108,000–$110,000
This is likely a previous consolidation or demand zone
If price retraces and gives a clean setup (e.g., bullish structure, volume, RSI reset), then you may consider a long entry
🔍 Summary:
You're being patient and strategic, observing potential weakness in momentum . now 119.4k will be next ATH. In my point of view .
No trade now — waiting for confirmation or a pullback into your AOI zone.
👉 Follow me on X for real-time market updates & trade ideas! 👇
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading #TA #RSI #Divergence
#BTC/USDT Bitcoin Recovers Above 108,000 $#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 107600.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upside.
There is a major support area in green at 107217, which represents a strong basis for the upside.
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We are looking to hold above the Moving Average 100.
Entry price: 108337.
First target: 108844.
Second target: 109275.
Third target: 109728.
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
Bullish on BTC Here is a clean, professional analysis of your BTCUSDT 1D chart:
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1️⃣ Chart Context
Pair: BTCUSDT.P (Perpetual Futures)
Timeframe: Daily
Current Price: ~111,350
Chart Type: Breakout and projection mapping
Key Levels Marked:
Resistance zone: 134,989 – 140,087
Support trendline (yellow): Ascending from March low
Local horizontal support (yellow): ~104,000 region
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2️⃣ Structure Analysis
🔹 Trend
BTC is in a strong uptrend with higher highs and higher lows since March 2025.
A breakout from a flag/pennant pattern has recently occurred, signaling continuation.
🔹 Support & Resistance
Current resistance zone (~111,000–113,000): Price is testing this zone.
Major resistance zone (134,989 – 140,087): Strong supply zone for future targets.
Trendline support: Acts as dynamic support, currently near 100,000, rising weekly.
---
3️⃣ Price Action
A clean breakout candle is seen above the consolidation.
Retest of breakout zone possible (~108,000 – 110,000) before continuation.
A measured move aligns with a potential target to 135,000–140,000.
---
4️⃣ Projection Plan
Based on my white projection arrow: ✅ Base scenario: Price breaks above the local consolidation cleanly and heads toward 135,000–140,000. ✅ Retest of the breakout zone may occur to grab liquidity before the push. ✅ If price closes above 113,000 on a daily, momentum confirmation for the run is strong.
5️⃣ Trade Plan (Not Financial Advice)
Entry: On breakout confirmation above 113,000 or retest near 108,000–110,000 with bullish confirmation.
Target: 134,989 and partial close, then 140,087 final target.
Stop Loss: Below local support (yellow line) near 104,000 or trendline depending on risk appetite.
Risk Management: Size positions to risk max 1–2% per trade.
6️⃣ Potential Risks
⚠️ Global macroeconomic conditions or sudden BTC volatility. ⚠️ Fake breakout wicks trapping longs above 113,000. ⚠️ Daily close below 104,000 would invalidate bullish structure in the near term.
Summary
BTCUSDT is in a bullish continuation structure aiming for 135–140K.
Price is currently at a critical breakout level; a clear close above and retest would be optimal.
Manage risks with clear invalidation below 104,000
Bitcoin: New highs are ready to break
In-depth analysis of the Bitcoin market: Breakthrough opportunities under the resonance of fundamentals and technical aspects
I. Overview of the current market situation
As of July 10, 2025, the price of Bitcoin is currently in a high consolidation stage after breaking through $112,000 to set a record high. The highest increase in 24 hours was 3%, and the cumulative increase this year was about 19%, showing a strong upward momentum2. However, market volatility is still significant. The latest data shows that the amount of liquidation in a single day is as high as $510 million, involving more than 100,000 traders2, reminding investors to maintain risk awareness in optimism.
II. Key drivers of fundamentals
1. Improved policy environment
US cryptocurrency regulation is turning to a loose direction. The regulatory roundtable promoted by the new SEC Chairman Paul Atkins is expected to implement new policies in July-August, aiming to define clear regulatory boundaries, reduce law enforcement actions, and promote the United States to become a global crypto asset center2. This policy shift has significantly boosted market confidence and removed some obstacles for institutional funds to enter the market.
2. Institutional funds continue to pour in
The net inflow of spot Bitcoin ETFs in 2025 has reached US$14.4 billion2, indicating that the traditional financial market's acceptance of Bitcoin continues to increase. 135 listed companies such as MicroStrategy have included Bitcoin in their balance sheets2, and corporate-level allocation demand has formed a stable buying support. The recent weaker-than-expected US employment data has strengthened the Fed's expectations of a rate cut in September, further prompting funds to accelerate the inflow of risky assets such as Bitcoin2.
3. Market narrative upgrade
The role of Bitcoin has shifted from "alternative currency" to "reserve asset", and CICC pointed out that its positioning as "digital gold" is widely accepted2. National-level allocation cases are also increasing, such as Pakistan's announcement of the establishment of a strategic Bitcoin reserve2. This narrative shift is reshaping the value assessment framework of Bitcoin.
4. Macroeconomic linkage
The Federal Reserve's monetary policy remains a key variable. Trump's chief adviser recently publicly accused Powell of being the "worst Federal Reserve chairman in history", saying that if interest rates are not cut on July 29, "catastrophic consequences"3 may occur3. At the same time, the US trade policy of imposing a 50% tariff on copper (to be implemented as early as August 1) has exacerbated market uncertainty3. Historical data shows that Bitcoin often performs well in liquidity easing cycles, and the current market's expectations for interest rate cuts are forming potential positives.
III. In-depth analysis of technical aspects
1. Key price structure
After breaking through the horizontal consolidation range, Bitcoin is currently in a high-level accumulation state:
Upper target: The historical high of $112,000 is the recent key psychological resistance, and a new upside space may be opened after breaking through2
Recent support: $110,700 (top and bottom conversion position) constitutes the first line of defense
Trend support: $109,700 (upward trend line) is an important line of defense for bulls
Key defense: There is significant liquidity support in the $108,500 area, and a break below may drop to the $106,000-107,200 support area26
2. Technical indicator signals
Trend indicators: Moving averages of all major time frames (5-day to 200-day) remain in a bullish arrangement, confirming that the overall upward trend remains unchanged4
Momentum indicators: RSI is in the neutral area near 53, not showing overbought; MACD remains positive despite slightly weakened momentum6
Volatility analysis: Bollinger Bands continue to narrow, and EMA on the 4-hour chart converges, which usually indicates that major fluctuations are coming5
Derivatives data: Binance CVD (cumulative volume increment) continues to be negative, indicating that selling pressure exists, but spot buyers successfully defend key support5
3. Main capital movement
The disk shows that $23 million of unfulfilled sell orders are piled up at the $110,000 mark, forming a significant resistance9. At the same time, there is a $17.27 million buy support in the $108,388-108,500 range9, indicating that the long and short sides are fiercely competing in the current area. This large order distribution pattern suggests that the market may test the upper resistance first and then fall back to consolidate.
IV. Operational strategy recommendations
1. Trend trading strategy
Long position layout: Establish long orders in batches in the support area of 110,700-109,700 US dollars, and set the stop loss below 108,500 US dollars
Breakthrough chasing long: If the price stands above 112,000 US dollars, you can add positions, and the target is 114,500 US dollars (potential area for short squeeze)2 and higher
Target setting: Short-term target is 112,000 US dollars, and the medium-term target can be seen to 116,000 US dollars2 or 137,000 US dollars4 according to the volume
2. Reversal trading strategy
Short opportunity: If it falls below $108,500 and then rebounds to $109,700 without breaking, you can try shorting with a light position, and set the stop loss above $110,700
Deep correction: If it falls below the $108,500 support, it may test the $106,000-107,200 area6, and then you can observe the stabilization signal
3. Risk management points
Position control: The risk of a single transaction should be controlled within 2% of the total funds
Leverage use: It is recommended not to exceed 3-5 times leverage in the current high volatility environment
Event sensitive period: Focus on key points such as the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision on July 29 and the implementation of the tariff policy on August 137
V. Outlook and conclusion
1. Short-term (1-3 months) outlook
Bitcoin is currently in a favorable environment where technical and fundamental resonances occur. If ETF fund inflows continue or the Federal Reserve releases a clear signal of interest rate cuts, the price is expected to test $116,0002. However, we need to be alert that regulatory policies that fail to meet expectations or macroeconomic deterioration may lead to a pullback to the $102,000-105,000 support zone27.
2. Long-term (until 2030) value prospects
Cycle model: According to the peak rule of 550 days after halving, this round of bull market may have a 2-3 month peak window2
Technical target: Long-term rising channel points to $168,500 (Fibonacci extension level)2
Scarcity drive: After the halving in 2030, the supply will further shrink, coupled with the global inflation hedging demand, and the highest is expected to reach $660,4712
3. Summary of investment advice
Bitcoin's breakthrough of $112,000 is the comprehensive result of policy, liquidity and narrative upgrades2. The current technical structure remains bullish, and it is recommended to focus on low-multiple ideas, focusing on the $110,700-109,700 support area. Investors should pay attention to low-friction investment channels such as spot ETFs, avoid high leverage operations, and prepare for potential fluctuations. As the institutionalization process accelerates, Bitcoin is completing the transformation from a marginal asset to a mainstream configuration option. Long-term investors can seize the layout opportunities brought about by every major pullback.
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN Bearish Outlook – July 9, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
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Hello.
This is SeoVereign.
As of July 9, 2025, I present a bullish outlook on Bitcoin.
This idea is an extension of the analysis posted on July 6.
Therefore, it will be easier to understand this analysis if you first read the July 6 idea.
The position reached the second target price and then showed a downward movement.
In this idea, harmonic 0.382 and 1.618 patterns have been additionally identified, and accordingly, I plan to continue holding the long position entered from the July 6 entry point.
The average target price has been set around 109,150 KRW.
I will continue to track the situation, clarify the rationale, and provide updates through this post.
Wishing you continued good fortune.
Sincerely,
SeoVereign
BTC - Zoomed Out ScenarioAs predicted DXY has broken down a major monthly bearish trendline - currently finishing a bearish retest before further free fall.
If this plays out we have 2-3 years of a weakening / correcting dollar, and a strengthening investment in assets such as Bitcoin.
This means an extended bull market spanning 2-4 years on Bitcoin and equities.
However - there is a mass amount of liquidity to the uber lows towards 10,000 on BTC.
Market is showing manipulated intention to hit these lows by keeping the price below this bearish cross section - and that’s why bitcoin hasn’t been moving up yet.
This tells me this is more likely than we all think to play out.
I’m trading the following:
Short - 108,200 to 35,000
Long - 35,000 to 80,000
Short - 80,000 to 10,000
Will update accordingly if the plan changes.
Happy trading.
BTC accumulates momentum again in the range
Macroeconomic and policy impact
Trump tariff policy: The United States announced that it would impose 25%-40% tariffs on Japan, South Korea and other countries (effective on August 1), triggering market risk aversion, and Bitcoin once fell to the support level of $107,5004.
Federal Reserve policy: The market is concerned about the possibility of a rate cut in July. If the Fed turns dovish, it may boost the price of Bitcoin by 17.
Musk and Trump conflict: The public dispute between the two sides over the "Big and Beautiful Act" caused short-term fluctuations in the crypto market, with DOGE leading the decline and BTC once under pressure by 2.
Bitcoin is currently in the key liquidity-intensive area of 105,000-108,800 US dollars, and the long and short sides are fiercely competing here:
Above $108,800: A large number of short stop-loss orders are gathered, and a breakthrough may trigger a chain of short liquidations, pushing the price towards $113,000-130,000.
Below $107,100: There are dense long leveraged positions. A break below this level may trigger forced liquidation of long positions, causing the price to fall back to the $92,000-$95,000 support zone 1.
Technical aspects and market structure
Breakout-retracement mode: If the weekly close stabilizes at $107,720, the upward trend may be confirmed, with the target pointing to $110,000-$130,000. The historical analogy of the "step-up" structure in Q4 2024 indicates that the bull market may continue.
Short-term resistance and support:
Resistance level: $108,500 (if it breaks through, it may test $110,000).
Support level: $107,500 (if it breaks below, it may drop to $106,500)410.
Bitcoin has recently fluctuated between $106,000 and $110,000, with ETF inflows and long-term holders selling forming a seesaw 57.
Summary
Bitcoin is currently in a critical game range. The short-term trend may be determined by the liquidation trigger point (107,100-108,800 US dollars), and is also affected by macro policies (tariffs, the Federal Reserve) and institutional capital flows. The medium- and long-term bullish expectations are strong, but attention should be paid to high leverage risks and changes in market sentiment.
Is Bitcoin Getting Ready to dump?
In this analysis, I looked at the weekly, daily, and 4-hour timeframes and found some key signals that suggest a major shift might be coming in Bitcoin’s movement over the next few days and weeks.
If you don’t want to get caught off guard by the next big move, make sure to watch the video all the way through!