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Bitcoin (BTC): Bullish as Long as Buyers Hold EMAs | $112K Next?Bitcoin buyers have taken full control since bouncing from EMAs on the 2nd of July (where also our entry point was sitting last week). Since then we have seen decent buyside dominance and we are looking for further pressure from buyers, which would result in a retest of the current ATH area, but keep in mind—we are in a very dangerous zone (near a new ATH where buyers are still showing dominance which is giving us a sign that this is not yet the full potential of the coin). We are bullish as long as we are above the EMAs! Swallow Academy
Long
by SwallowAcademy
Wait for 100k ( read reasons)If you look at my chart you can see the truth, Elliott waves are well marked on the chart, we are now completing the micro wave 2 of the main wave 5, I expect the corrective micro wave 2 to correct the price to Fibonacci 0.78, which is exactly touching the lower descending line of the channel and includes the 100k price range. Wait for the micro wave 1 correction to complete and buy again in the 100k range. I will not open a short position and I advise you to wait for the price correction to 100k.
Long
by vmoradian6
2
waiting for new ATH this week , btc💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK (07/07) NOTABLE BITCOIN NEWS: Focus on 4 key points today 1. Elon Musk – “America Party” to Support Bitcoin Elon Musk has confirmed that his newly formed political party, the “America Party,” will support Bitcoin, stating that “fiat is hopeless.” 2. Cup-and-Handle Pattern Analysis: Targeting $230K According to technical analysis by Cointelegraph, BTC is forming a “cup and handle” pattern on the monthly chart, which could lead to a target peak of $230,000 if a breakout continues. 3. BTC Price Holds Steady Around $109K Amid “Crypto Week” and Trade Tensions Bitcoin is currently trading around $109,000, influenced by “Crypto Week” and concerns over U.S. tariffs. 4. Institutional Inflows Increase, But Market Demand Weakens According to CoinDesk, institutional investors are still buying BTC, but not enough to offset declining demand in the spot market, negatively affecting short-term market sentiment. ⸻ TECHNICAL ANALYSIS PERSPECTIVE The short-term trend remains bullish. However, the steep slope of the trend indicates buying pressure is still being contested and unstable. BTC remains stuck at Fibonacci levels—pay close attention to the resistance zones at 112K and 115K. If these two resistance levels are broken, investors may get the answer to whether BTC can approach the 120K level. In the short term, both gold and BTC are moving sideways, indicating that market liquidity and investor capital are unstable and being divided across multiple portfolios. ==> This analysis is for reference only. Wishing all investors successful trading!
Long
by Nova-Scalper
1
BTC/USDT CHART ANALIYSIS !!BTC/USDT You have three circles highlighting repeated price rejections around the $109,000–$110,000 area (red resistance band). A descending trendline connects those high points, creating a sloping resistance. There is a broad support area around $98,000–$100,000 (green area below). The price recently broke above the trendline and is now retesting around that $109,000–$110,000 area. If BTC stays above ~$108,500–$109,000, it could head further towards $112,000–$113,000. A drop below the trendline and back to $107,500 could trap the bulls, leading to a retest of $105,000 or lower support around $100,000. Bullish setup: Entry $108,800–$109,200, target $112,000–$113,000, stop-loss below $107,000. Bearish setup: Short if price rejects $109,500–$110,000, target $105,500, stop-loss above $110,800. Stay alert!
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
Bitcoin: The night before the plunge? →104,000? Bitcoin fell under pressure from highs, with short-term bearishness but strong long-term fundamental support. 1. Market fundamentals Institutional holdings continue to grow BlackRock Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) exceeds $72 billion in size, dominating the market MicroStrategy holdings increased to 597,000 BTC (about $63 billion), continuing to increase holdings on dips Global Bitcoin ETF Net inflow of $4 billion in June shows strong demand for institutional allocation Policy and regulatory progress The U.S. Treasury Department plans to include Bitcoin in the "strategic reserve assets" to enhance its legal status The SEC will make a ruling on spot ETF option transactions on July 15, which may bring new liquidity The Trump administration plans to impose a 60% tariff on China, and market risk aversion may heat up again On-chain data changes A 14-year dormant address recently transferred 80,009 BTC (about $8.69 billion), triggering concerns about selling The lightning network capacity exceeded 5,000 BTC, and Tether (USDT) completed the lightning network integration II. Technical depth Degree analysis (1) Medium-term trend structure (4-hour level) Rising channel break: After the price peaked at $112,000, it continued to fall below the rising trend line support Range oscillation formation: Currently, $98,000-110,700 constitutes the main trading range, and the middle track support is $104,000 Volume change: The recent decline is accompanied by an increase in trading volume, indicating that the short-term momentum is increasing (2) Short-term trading signals (1-hour level) Double top pattern confirmation: $110,700 was tested twice without breaking, forming a typical reversal structure Moving average system short arrangement: EMA5/10/30 formed a death cross, suppressing price rebound Key support level: ▶ First support: $106,500 (Fibonacci 38.2%) ▶ Second support: $104,000 (psychological barrier + previous low) ▶ Strong support: $98,000 (lower track of the range) III. Trading strategy suggestions 1. Aggressive short position layout Entry range: $109,000-109,500 Stop loss setting: $111,000 (above the previous high) Target: $106,500→$104,000 Technical basis: downward trend line suppression + RSI top divergence 2. Steady retracement of short positions Entry signal: 108,000-108,500 rebound encountered resistance Stop loss setting: $110,000 integer barrier Target: $104,000 (break down to see 98,000) 3. Long defense area Key observation position: 104,000 US dollars (if there is a large volume to stop the decline, you can try long with a light position) Breakthrough signal: Stabilizing 110,700 US dollars will restart the upward trend IV. Multi-dimensional market outlook Short-term (1-2 weeks): Affected by technical suppression and whale movements, it is expected to maintain 104,000-110,700 range fluctuations Focus on the effectiveness of 106,500 support, breaking down will accelerate the test of the lower track of the range Medium-term (Q3 quarter): Institutional continued holdings + Fed rate cut expectations constitute long-term support If it breaks through 112,000 US dollars, it will open up to 120,000-125,000 upside space Risk warning: The SEC option trading ruling on July 15 may cause violent fluctuations Global macroeconomic data (especially CPI) will affect market risk preferences V. Professional trading suggestions ▶ Currently, the "rebound short" strategy is preferred, and stop loss is strictly set ▶ Long-term investors can arrange in batches in the range of 98000-104000 ▶ Pay close attention to: Daily ETF fund flows, changes in on-chain whale addresses (glassnode alert system), US CPI data (released on July 12) Conclusion: Although the short-term technical side is bearish, the long-term fundamental support of Bitcoin remains solid. It is recommended that traders seize the opportunity of range fluctuations, operate flexibly at key support/resistance levels, and wait for new trend signals to be confirmed.
Short
by Crypto_Sniper_btc
BTC Forming Higher Highs & Lows | Watch the Wedge Breakout📈 BTC Forming Higher Highs & Lows | Watch the Wedge Breakout 📉 In the uptrend that started around $100K, Bitcoin is forming higher highs and higher lows on the 4H timeframe, which is in line with Dow Theory. Based on the orange lines I’ve drawn, it seems we are moving inside a rising wedge pattern. 🟠 Key Observations: Breakout from either side of the wedge can trigger a trade, but I personally won’t enter based solely on the wedge. If BTC breaks upwards, I’ll hold my existing long, not looking to short — because the mid and long-term trend is still bullish. 📌 New Trigger Level: The previously important level of $110,246.8 is now less relevant for me. The market has already rejected from $109,953.16, so that’s my new key level. 👉 I’ve placed a stop-buy order at $109,953.16 based on the 1H chart. 💣 Short Liquidation Zone (Updated): Now ranges between $110,640 to $111,320 If you're looking to trade momentum: RSI above 70 on 4H, or Above 76.23 on 1H = potential trigger for long entries 👉 I'm planning to open a long position above $109,953.16 using a stop-buy order, with the help of the order book in the exchange. ⚠️ Currently, I don’t have a high-confidence stop-loss level — I’ll update as I see clearer price action. 🧠 Pro Tip: Do everything you can to catch a BTC long position. If you understand risk management and position sizing, don’t be afraid of stop-losses — they’re part of the game. If you're unsure what proper risk/money management is, go learn it now, or you will definitely get liquidated someday.
Long
by CRYPTO_HUUNTER
#BTC Update #4 – July 7, 2025🟠 #BTC Update #4 – July 7, 2025 Bitcoin has been trading inside a supply zone , and its last impulsive move happened right into that area. While it tried to push higher again, I now see signs of rejection. If this rejection holds, the first level I’m watching is $107,850 . Below that, there's a key support around $106,350 . Should this level break, we could see a deeper drop toward $102,650 , where an imbalance zone remains untested. At the moment, short setups look more reasonable than longs but from a risk/reward perspective, I don’t see enough edge to take action yet. So for now, I’m not entering any position and will simply watch BTC’s next move .
by whaliocom
Down for BitcoinHi traders, Last week Bitcoin finished the correction down and went up again. But this does not look like an impulse wave. At the moment there's a small correction up so we could see another move down. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bearish and a correction up on a lower timeframe to trade shorts. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Short
by EduwaveTrading
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #119👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s go over the analysis of Bitcoin and the key crypto indexes. As usual, in this analysis I’m going to review the futures triggers for the New York session. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe Yesterday, the price broke out of the range box between 108619 and 110256 that I had marked for you, and with the heavy selling volume that entered the market, this bearish move took place. ✔️ This move continued to the 107448 zone, and as you can see, we are now in a consolidation and rest phase, and once again the volume has dropped significantly. ✨ As I mentioned in yesterday’s analysis, I believe this low volume will persist through the weekend, and for a solid move to happen, we’ll need to wait for the new week to begin. 💥 For now, the price has room to move up to 108619 and perform a retracement. A break above the 50 zone on the RSI greatly increases the likelihood of this move. 📊 If selling volume re-enters the market and the price moves downward, the short trigger we have is the 107448 level, and breaking it could start the next bearish leg. 📈 For a long position, the price must first stabilize above 108619, and then, if we see that buying volume continues and increases, we can enter a long position. The main trigger will be 110256. ⭐ I myself won’t be opening any positions for now and will wait until the market shows some proper volume and trend before entering. If you plan to open a position based on these triggers, I suggest you take on very little risk so that in case your stop-loss is hit, you don’t lose much money. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Let’s look at Bitcoin dominance. Yesterday, dominance touched the trendline I had marked and is still dealing with this dynamic resistance. 💫 A bottom has formed at 65.38. If this bottom is broken, we’ll get confirmation of rejection from the trendline, and dominance could have a bearish move down to 65.04. ⚡️ If the trendline is broken instead, we’ll have a new trigger at 65.52, and breaking it would confirm a bullish reversal in dominance. The main trigger will still be a break of 65.64. 📅 Total2 Analysis Now let’s move on to Total2. This index dropped to the 1.13 zone and has now pulled back to 1.14. It seems like it’s getting ready for another downward move. ☘️ If Bitcoin dominance gets rejected from the trendline and moves down, and if Bitcoin moves upward, Total2 could make a very sharp move. 🔑 Even if Bitcoin drops, Total2 might range or even move up. For now, our short trigger is 1.13, and aside from 1.14, we don’t have any specific long trigger. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Finally, let’s look at Tether dominance. This index made a bullish move to 4.85 after breaking 4.78 and is now in a corrective phase. 📊 If 4.85 is broken, the next bullish leg could continue up to 4.93. If a correction happens, dominance might pull back to 4.78. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
by tradecitypro
7
Skeptic | Bitcoin Deep Dive: Rate Hikes, War Tensions & TriggersInterest Rates: The Big Picture Let’s start with the Federal Reserve’s move—interest rates jumped from 4.25% to 4.5% . What’s the deal? Higher rates mean costlier borrowing , so businesses and folks pull back on loans. This drains liquidity from risk assets like Bitcoin and SPX 500, slowing their uptrend momentum or pushing them into ranges or dips. Now, mix in the Israel-Iran conflict escalating ? Straight talk: risks are sky-high , so don’t bank on wild rallies anytime soon. My take? BTC’s likely to range between 97,000 and 111,000 for a few months until geopolitical risks cool (like Russia-Ukraine became “normal” for markets) and the Fed starts cutting rates. Those two could ignite new highs and a robust uptrend. Let’s hit the charts for the technicals! 📊 Technical Analysis Daily Timeframe: Setting the Stage You might ask, “If 100,000 support breaks, does that mean we’ve formed a lower high and lower low, flipping the trend bearish per Dow Theory?” Absolutely not! Here’s why: our primary uptrend lives on the weekly timeframe, not daily. The daily is just a secondary trend. If 100K cracks, it only turns the secondary trend bearish, leading to a deeper correction, but the major weekly uptrend stays intact. Spot Strategy: No spot buys for now. Economic and geopolitical risks are too intense. I’ll jump in once things stabilize. 😎 Key Insight: A 100K break isn’t a death sentence for the bull run—it’s just a shakeout. Stay calm! 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers Zooming into the 4-hour chart, here’s where we hunt for long and short triggers: Long Trigger: Break above 110,513.92. We need a strong reaction at this level—price could hit it early or late, so stay patient for confirmation. Short Trigger: Break below 101,421.65. Same vibe—watch for a clean reaction to tweak the trigger for optimal entry. Pro Tip: These levels are based on past key zones, but time outweighs price. Wait for a reaction to nail the best entry. Patience is your edge! 🙌 Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D): Altcoin Watch As BTC dips, BTC.D (Bitcoin’s market share) is climbing, meaning altcoins are taking a bigger beating. Don’t touch altcoin buys until the BTC.D upward trendline breaks. They haven’t moved yet—you might miss the first 10-100%, but with confirmation, we’ll catch the 1,000-5,000% waves together. 😏 Shorting? If you’re shorting, altcoins are juicier than BTC—sharper, cleaner drops with more confidence. Patience, patience, patience—it’s the name of the game. Final Thoughts My quieter updates lately? Blame the geopolitical chaos, not me slacking . I’m hustling to keep you in the loop with clear, actionable insights. here, we live by No FOMO, no hype, just reason. Protect your capital—max 1% risk per trade, no exceptions. Want a risk management guide to level up? Drop a comment! If this analysis lit a spark, hit that boost—it keeps me going! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want next? Let me know in the comments. Stay sharp, fam! ✌️
by SkepticLab
1
BTC Analysis (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section Since the red arrow was placed on the chart, Bitcoin's bullish phase has ended and it has entered a corrective phase. This correction appears to be forming a Diametric pattern, and we are currently in the middle of wave E. After interacting with the demand zone, the price may move toward the specified targets. A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #117👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! After nearly 20 days of inactivity on this channel, we’re back with our regular analyses. As the first post in this new round, I’ll continue the Bitcoin series and present analysis number 117. ✅As usual, the analysis is done on the 1-hour timeframe to identify potential futures triggers for the New York session. 📰 Before diving into the charts, let’s briefly look at the market fundamentals. Over the past three weeks, we’ve had the news of the conflict between Iran and Israel. Aside from the initial couple of days, it didn’t have a significant impact on the market, and eventually, the market stopped reacting to it. Right now, the two countries have agreed to a ceasefire and seem to be negotiating. 🔍 In my opinion, the market is unlikely to care anymore whether this war continues or not. Whether they reach an agreement or not probably won’t make a big difference to the market. 🔑 The other major event was the Federal Reserve meeting. Everyone was expecting Jerome Powell to provide some clear outlook regarding US monetary policy, but once again, that didn’t happen. Powell didn’t provide any meaningful data. 📊 This uncertainty led to minimal market volatility and prevented any strong legs from forming, with no significant volume entering the market as everyone was waiting for Powell’s remarks. Since that didn’t yield much, the market remains indecisive for now. 💥 We’ll have to wait and see what kind of impactful news comes in the future. Until then, it’s best to remain patient. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe On the 1-hour chart, you can see a bullish move that started from the 105370 zone, and with strong buying volume, price broke through 108619 and reached the top of 110256. ✨ Currently, price has only wicked into 110256 and hasn’t shown a decisive reaction to it yet. If it revisits this zone, we’ll be able to observe its real reaction to the supply level. 🔔 The current support zone is 108619, which has already received a bounce, forming a range box between 108619 and 110256. 📈 If the 110256 level breaks, the upward move could continue with another bullish leg. 🔽 For short positions, the first trigger would be a confirmation below 108619. But for a more reliable short, I would wait for the price to form a lower high and a lower low below that zone before entering. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Bitcoin dominance is currently hovering around a key support at 65.04. A key resistance sits at 65.64, which would be the first trigger for bullish continuation. ⭐ The main breakout level for starting a new bullish trend in dominance would be 65.97. For bearish confirmation, a break below 65.04 would suffice. 📅 Total2 Analysis Looking at Total2, a range box has formed between 1.15 and 1.17, with price oscillating in between. 🧩 Momentum is currently bullish, and there’s a high chance of breaking above 1.17. If this level is broken, we could see another bullish leg and a long position would be valid. 📉 For shorts, a break below 1.15 would be the first signal, but I personally prefer to wait for a clearer trend change before entering any short positions. 📅 USDT.D Analysis USDT dominance is also ranging between 4.72 and 4.78, very similar to Total2. 📊 A break below 4.72 would confirm a bearish move, while a break above 4.78 would indicate bullish continuation for dominance. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
11