It is possible that Bitcoin is finishing wave 4It is possible that
Bitcoin is finishing wave 4
Will expand to wave 5
The target is more than 250,000 dollars
BTCUSDT trade ideas
Markets Crash: Gold Soars, Crypto Dips!Israel’s strikes on Iran shook markets—Bitcoin and stocks tanked, gold soared. What’s next? Let’s unpack the best trading moves for this chaos!
Hey traders, Skeptic here!👋 Yesterday’s Israeli strikes on Iran’s military and nuclear sites, plus high-profile casualties, sent markets into a tailspin. If your positions got stopped out today, don’t sweat it—that’s normal in this mess. Today, I’m breaking down the most likely scenarios for financial markets, especially stocks and crypto, with no FOMO, no hype, just reason. Stick with me to navigate this storm!
📉Right now, markets are screaming risk-off . Stocks like the S&P 500, indices, and crypto like Bitcoin are bleeding as buyers have zero confidence. Everyone’s piling into safe-haven assets like gold, the Japanese yen, and the Swiss franc. Last night’s news triggered sharp drops in Bitcoin and SPX500, while gold’s rallying hard. This is classic flight-to-safety behavior, and it’s why your stops might’ve been hit. Let’s dive into the geopolitical scenarios driving this and then get to the charts.
📍First, the big picture.
Scenario one: Iran retaliates for Israel’s strikes, and we’re stuck in a tit-for-tat escalation for weeks. Markets stay risk-off, stocks and crypto keep sliding, and safe havens like gold thrive.
Scenario two: The US-Iran nuclear talks on Sunday, June 15th, lead to a deal, tensions cool, and markets stabilize. If those talks fail, I’m not optimistic— recent US inflation relief, might’ve pushed the Federal Reserve toward rate cuts to boost markets. Without de-escalation, rate cuts won’t save risky assets, and we’re looking at muted growth for crypto and stocks.
But if a deal happens, markets could rip—Bitcoin might hit $130K short-term and even $170K as the bull run’s ceiling. For now, uncertainty rules, so let’s see what the charts say.
👀 Let’s start with Bitcoin on the daily.
The first major support is $100K-$101K. If we lose that, we’re looking at a 3-4 month time-based correction . I know some of you see Bitcoin’s dip and think it’s a bargain, but hold up—if tensions escalate, breaking $100K-$101K is almost guaranteed. We could slide to $95K (0.382 Fibonacci retracement) or even $86K (0.618 retracement). No buying until Tuesday’s clarity—too risky. Shorting? Also a bad idea. After this sharp drop, where do you put your stop-loss? An 8% stop is the minimum, which trashes your risk-reward ratio. Best move? Sit tight, no positions, and wait for the dust to settle.
📈 Gold’s the star in this risk-off market.
On the 4-hour, as we said in last week’s watchlist, it broke the descending channel’s ceiling at 3333.86 and pulled back. Using our trick of cloning the prior channel and placing it above, it’s reacting perfectly at the new channel’s midline. A break above 3434.35 could push us to the channel ceiling at 3550.13 . Personally, I’d wait for more ranging here before going long—stops are too wide right now for a clean entry. If you caught our 3340 long trigger from the watchlist, you’re sitting pretty— just hold . Gold’s got more upside potential, but if you’re not in, don’t FOMO. Wait for a better setup.
🎯 Our EUR/USD long trigger from last week’s watchlist at 1.14555 was a winner
if you took it, you hit your risk-reward target and likely locked in profits. Nice work! The new long trigger is a break above 1.16142 resistance. No short triggers here, just like gold. With both major and secondary trends screaming uptrend, shorting against the flow is nonsense. I’d wait for key levels to break and confirm a bearish shift before even thinking about shorts. Trade with the trend, always.
📝our plan: Gold longs above 3434.35 target 3550.13; hold 3340 entries or wait for a range. EUR/USD longs above 1.16142, no shorts. Risk max 1% per trade, set alerts, and stay patient—geopolitical chaos means no FOMO moves.
I hope for a day with no wars, where we can focus on what matters—building value and humanity.🤍
That’s today’s breakdown, traders!
If this helped, smash that Boost button and Follow for more no-hype analysis. Drop a comment—what’s your next move? Want a coin or market analyzed? This is Skeptic, stay safe, protect your capital, and see you next time! <3
BTC/USDT Double Top Breakdown – Bearish Target in PlayBTC/USDT – 1H Chart Analysis (Binance)
The chart shows a bearish setup based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and price action.
Key Points:
Rising Wedge: A bearish pattern formed earlier, indicating a weakening bullish move.
Top 1 & Top 2: Double-top structure suggesting strong resistance around 106,000.
CHoCH & BOS: Multiple Change of Character (CHoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) confirm the shift from bullish to bearish trend.
Breakdown Zone: After forming Top 2, price broke below key structure zones.
Target Zone: Marked in green and pink below 104,000, showing a bearish continuation toward 102,000 area.
Strong Low: This zone is highlighted as the next major support where price could react.
BTC channels chart Here I provide you what I believe to be BTC channels down trend channels in terms of being bullish each dotted channel is median and all darken red are tops and bottoms currently we are at median level and as long as we hold this level we can get a bounce to top channel if not then targets of bottom channel it may not be clear the first time but trying channels can provide extra clarity and here’s my chart to witness the BTC breakouts since 2022
BTC/USDTWhenever Bitcoin goes above 106k, we can enter a long position at the target I specified on the chart. What do you think? Tell me.
BITCOIN - Price can fall a little and start to move upHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Price entered to rising channel, where at once bounced from support line and rose a little, and then corrected.
Next, price continued to move up and soon reached $100500 level, after which broke it and rose to resistance line.
After this movement, BTC corrected and continued to grow in rising channel and later reached $110500 level.
Bitcoin exited from rising channel, made a fake breakout of resistance level, and started to trades inside flat.
In flat, price tried to grow but failed and fell to support level and then grew back again, after which started to decline.
Now, I expect that BTC can repeat as move before, it falls a little and then grows to $110500 resistance level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
BTC/USDT Bullish Reversal Zone AnalysisSupport Zone:
The horizontal purple box (~104,000 USDT area) has acted as a strong support/resistance flip zone multiple times.
Falling Wedge Breakout:
The price action broke out of a falling wedge pattern earlier, confirming bullish momentum.
Flag Formation (Current):
A smaller bullish flag/pennant appears to be forming, and a breakout above could trigger a strong upward move.
Projected Move:
The black arrow indicates a potential bounce from this support zone, with the price targeting the 111,000–112,000 USDT zone (highlighted in the top purple box).
Volume Spike:
Notable volume spike near the bottom supports the idea of accumulation and possible reversal.
📈 Conclusion:
If the support zone holds and price breaks above the minor flag, a bullish continuation is likely toward the 111,000–112,000 resistance area. Traders should watch for confirmation of a breakout and volume increase for validation.
Bitcoin Weekly: Bullish & Bearish ScenariosThis is the definitive analysis based on the weekly timeframe. Depending on how the weekly session closes the market trend will be defined. Bitcoin is both bearish and bullish. Let me explain.
» If Bitcoin can move and close weekly above $110,000, market conditions are considered bullish and we can expect higher prices.
» If Bitcoin moves and closes weekly below $100,000, market conditions are considered bearish and we can expect lower prices.
» Any trading between $100,000 and $110,000 can be considered consolidation. Since the main move is an advance starting 7-April, the consolidation has a bullish bias; makes sense?
It is a bullish bias but a bullish continuation is not confirmed. Bitcoin peaked the 19-May week, a new all-time high. Then it produced a lower high this week. This implies bearish potential and bearish pressure.
» If this week closes above last weeks high, around $107,000, we can say the bulls are gaining ground.
» If this week closes at the open or lower, say $105,000 or lower, then the bears are gaining the upper-hand a lower low becomes more likely.
It has not been decided, anything goes. Anything can happen because Bitcoin will not die, trading won't end if prices move below 100K. This would simply lead to a bounce and a recovery later down the road.
It also works in reverse, if Bitcoin moves higher, nothing happens, the market will continue to be and exist, it will continue to grow and evolve.
Right now we are mixed, this is a decision point. The action is determined by the price, depending on what prices we get we can know what comes next. Since the week is yet to close, we remain in doubt but the bearish bias has the upper-hand short-term.
Short-term bearish potential is strong based on the ath, triple-top and lower high.
Mid-term the market is in a bullish trend facing resistance. The wave from 7-April through present day.
Retraces and corrections are normal.
Long-term Bitcoin is bullish, because it has been growing since November 2022.
Thank you for reading.
👉 If you would like to see an update when the week closes hit boost!
Namaste.
Trade #12: $BTC - Bullish Alignment Confirmed! Long Setup WatchRecap & Lesson Learned:
In Trade #11, I noted the daily structure was strongly bullish, but the 1HR chart was bearish. My expectation was for price to dip toward the 98,000 daily demand zone. However, the 1HR structure reversed structure before reaching that level — a reminder that markets don’t always follow our ideal path.
The Shift: Timeframe Synced = Conviction Amplified!
Now, BOTH daily AND 1HR structures are BULLISH and aligned. This synchronization signals robust momentum, and I’m positioned fully bullish — awaiting the right technical trigger to enter a long trade.
The Opportunity: Precision Entry at Demand
I’m eyeing the green demand zone near 106,500 for a potential long entry. This is where buyers previously stepped in aggressively, making it a high-probability reaction area.
Key Refinement: Patience & Confirmation
(Learning from Trade #11):
I will NOT enter blindly at 106,500. Instead, I’ll:
1️⃣ Watch price behavior for signs of strength
2️⃣ Confirm my entry criteria are met
3️⃣ Execute ONLY if evidence validates the setup.
Why This Discipline?
"It’s better to enter slightly higher WITH confirmation than chase a ‘sniper entry’ without confirmation."
No confirmation = No trade. Period.
My Plan:
WAIT for price to test ~106,500.
CONFIRM buyer strength and alignment with my rules.
EXECUTE a long position only if all boxes are checked.
Stay Alert, Stay Patient.
The trend is our friend — but only if we respect its rhythm. Updates to follow!
✅ Key Takeaways:
Daily + 1HR = Bullish Synergy.
Watch 106,500 for a confirmed long entry.
No confirmation = No trade. Discipline over FOMO.
BTC- Can it reach 97Kish?As thing suggests the move can only be done when heavy fall is there, but as suggests lets small scalp things to our best!
BTC: Daily Timeframe 14/06/25Spot buyer again ~ $93k aka 0.5 retrace of the weekly leg
Higher timeframes swept (ATH) with confirmed deviation.
Expecting a corrective to continue healthy trend before more bullish continuation
If we set a lower high on the weekly, that’ll flip my bias and a far deeper corrective leg would be likely.
Right now long term BTC is the only crypto coin I hold as long term conviction remains unchanged its direction is up and to the right for many years to come.
BTC for long *The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
BTC-----Sell around 105500, target 104000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on June 17:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single positive line with continuous negative lines. The price was consolidating at a high level, but the attached indicator was dead cross, and the closing line yesterday was a long upper lead, and the high point was near the 109,000 area. Why is it difficult to continue the rise? The price did not break the previous high point, the continuity was poor, the technical indicators were not obvious, etc., which are all reference data; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the European session rose yesterday, and the US session continued to break the weekend correction high position. The price fell under pressure, the intraday high was 109,000 area, and the intraday retracement low was 106,000 area. There is no obvious direction at present, so the European and American sessions are the focus, so pay attention to the strength and weakness of the European and American sessions and the breakout situation, and then we will layout according to the real-time trend. The European and American sessions are currently showing a downward trend.
Today's BTC short-term trading contract strategy:
The current price is 105,500 and directly short, stop loss in the 106,000 area; the target is the 104,000 area;
As I said earlier, the real correction is STARTING right now!Hello, everyone! I started writing this review when Bitcoin was at $105,200, and I'm finishing it at $104,150.
⚡️ So far, my thesis is completely correct — we filled the GAP at $104,763 and are going lower to collect liquidity and close the GAPs.
But let's take a look at where and when something might change:
➡️ Today, there is a vote on the stablecoin bill. It is being hyped up a lot and in the short term, it could be a catalyst for a small rebound. But in reality, it has no global value right now. And it will take a very long time to truly feel its impact. But this law is definitely a breakthrough.
➡️ June 18 — the Fed's interest rate decision. The market expects the rate to remain at 4.5%. But in a bearish momentum, anything other than a rate cut (and even that is not always the case) is a bearish catalyst. Remember April, when positive news came out in droves, but Bitcoin at $75,000 didn't care.
However, if the rate is lowered, we can definitely expect a rebound. But I don't think it will be very high.
⚙️ Metrics and indicators:
Money flow - in complete harmony with the price. Position closing and liquidity outflow continue. It is clear that most of it has flowed into ETH and altcoins. But don't forget that if Bitcoin goes down, this liquidity from altcoins will evaporate even faster.
Support/Resistance Zones - as we can see, the level of 105,500 - 106,000 is still key, and without consolidating above it, we are going down. As long as the price is below this level, it is a bearish signal.
Liquidation Levels - just look at the amount of liquidity from below. As we know, the price moves from one liquidity to another; it is literally its fuel. And now, there is simply no liquidity from above, but there is plenty of it from below.
📌 Conclusion:
So far, everything is quite predictable for me and my subscribers. So, leaning back in our chairs, we continue to enjoy the show and wait for real discounts!
Have a great week, everyone!
50x leverage no brainer short trade (easy profits)
Keep in mind:
With a big daily bearish engulfing candlestick we are most likely to continue the downtrend for the coming days. Looking at the RSI (daily timeframe) it is clear that we now are in a downtrend from previously being in overbought territory. We are most likely to go from overbought to oversold on the RSI and are now looking for a big downward movement! The MACD is showing weakness on the buy signal it has printed on the daily timeframe and is showing a strong sell signal on the 4 hourly timeframe.
Most important information:
Price action is the most important information you can get and trading on price action is what the pros do!
What we can see is that the price of BTC now is inside a strong key resistance area. Combining this with the huge rising wedge we are most likely to fall back down to the 75k area. Keep in mind that we didn’t really get a good backtest of the 69k-75k support zone so we could be looking to make a good backtest of this zone before continuing the macro uptrend.
I can also identify a failed bullish ascending triangle followed by a trend with lower highs. When the second lower high formed on the hourly I entered the 50x leverage trade at 108528,7 and placed the stop loss above that lower high. Keep in mind that the trend is your friend and that we most likely wont hit the SL. At least not before moving the SL into the profit zone (preferably above a lower high that will form). I have currently put my TP at 75950 (a long way down) because I want to ride this short as long as I possibly can. I also think that we are most likely to keep consolidating (until proven otherwise) between the given ranges (from 69k all the way up to 112k).
What about the news?
I think what president Trump does is the most important news we have to consider while trading. At the time of writing it is still unclear if the Musk VS Trump drama will continue. Bringing negativity into the market. The latest trade agreement with China was also not in favor of the United States (The relation between the two countries can strengthen but at a core financial view this ain’t good). Trump also kind of acted like a dictator in the Los Angeles event (this could bring negative energy into the markets). All in all I think that the news is a bit unstable and this strengthens the hypothesis that the price of BTC will consolidate until better times is around.
Conclusion:
I can always be wrong with either my complete analysis or parts of it. But I think that we at least is going to see a 1,65% move to the downside from my entry point. This move is extrapolated from the failed ascending triangle and seeing this move will give me the opportunity to make the trade risk free (I will keep you updated when this happens)!
HolderStat┆BTCUSD forming a triangleBINANCE:BTCUSDT is bouncing from the 104 k pennant foot on trend support, turning squeeze into bullish advance. Holding the rising line preserves upside bias; clearing 111 k unlocks 121 k and ATH chase 🏆
Bitcoin (BTC): Markets are Cooked | Big Volatility IncomingYes, markets are cooked....all those tensions and news that are pressuring markets from every corner might result in a very explosive movement.
Now we've been looking for a new ATH to form near $120K and we still keep that game plan as long as buyers keep the dominance above the 200EMA line.
There is not much we can do now but just speculate. Speculate that when the war between Russia and Ukraine happened, what markets did exactly was they dumped and then shot highly up (talking mainly about Bitcoin).
So we might see similar things in the markets depending on what will happen next in the world, but one thing is sure: some will make a lot of money soon and some will lose a lot. Be sure to have proper risk management, as this is crucial!
Swallow Academy
BTC/USDTHello friends, I hope you are doing well. This analysis came to my mind for Bitcoin. On the 4-hour time frame, if Bitcoin crosses the areas I specified, it will move towards its targets. It could be bullish because gold and oil were bearish yesterday. What do you think, friend?
BTC will be 74k soon/i sell all my altcoins I found fractals that confirm my idea, let's call this pattern “dragon wings.” I think the price will fall to $74k at best, and from there I will consider buying.
What is what I think BTC is bearish short to full the FVGs if you look very closely to the chart. Full the gaps and back up for a long
BTCUSD – Range Scalping Zones IdentifiedPrice tapped into a previous short zone near 108.6 and showed rejection. We’re watching for downside follow-through toward the 104.2 to 104.5 range where a potential long opportunity may form.
This chart outlines clean range-based levels for scalping. These zones line up with prior liquidity sweeps and local structure shifts. Scalpers can look to react at these levels depending on how price behaves when we get there.
Ideal for traders on lower timeframes like the 15m, but the concept applies across intraday setups. Always wait for confirmation before entering.
