BTCUSDT trade ideas
BTC Balanced Volume Profile BTC is now trading in a textbook D-Shape Volume Profile. In english - Buyers & Sellers are happy to transact here and will stay inside the value area & consolidating sideways until further notice.
Consolidation at POC is a signature of this profile, and one of the easiest and least stressful trade setups because now, your mission, should you chose to accept. Is to fade the Highs (VAH) and Lows (VAL) and avoid the middle unless you love donating money to the market.
I'll have buy limit orders waiting right below the VAL where we have the single prints. It doesn't get any easier than this.
Doesn't mean price cant rip through, but this is always the best entry with less risk, especially when the single prints have not been tested yet..
BINANCE:BTCUSD CME:MBT1!
Bitcoin is OverheatedI’m observing the current situation in the BTC market and want to share a brief reflection. The latest upward impulse doesn’t just look confident—it’s starting to resemble overheating.
The price has detached from its averages, and the movement is accompanied by local euphoria. I see the community piling in “at the highs,” hoping for continuation. But it’s crucial to understand: markets don’t grow forever. Especially when the growth lacks proportional volume and fundamental support.
I use a comprehensive technical approach, and one of my indicators has given a clear signal—the market is overheated. We’re currently seeing a classic state of overbought conditions: the price is moving too far, too fast.
This doesn’t mean you should immediately short or panic. But as a trader, I understand that in such a phase, it’s wiser to:
– Partially take profits,
– Move stops closer to the market,
– And absolutely avoid entering new longs on emotions.
Typically, after such surges, the market either consolidates or corrects by 10–20% to shake off the overheating and provide an opportunity to enter at fairer levels. Personally, I’m waiting for a return to balance and a reset. I don’t rule out a final “explosive” move upward on news, but such breakouts usually end as quickly as they begin.
BTC should have one more leg upAccording to Elliot waves BTC should have one more impulse leg up to complete final wave of this cycle. Both daily and weekly RSI charts show bearish divergence, suggesting momentum is weakening even as price attempts to climb. A drop below $110000 would invalidate the current wave count and suggest a shift in market structure.
. Need to watch out reactions at target levels 136-150.
BITCOIN → Consolidation, retest of 120K. Correction of dominanceBINANCE:BTCUSDT , after a rapid rally and touching 123K, rolled back and entered consolidation, giving altcoins a chance. At the same time, Trump signed new crypto laws, but will these laws open new doors?
On June 18, the GENIUS Act was signed. Information can be found in the sources, but there is no direct reference to BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P , except perhaps indirectly: increased confidence in the crypto market, increased liquidity, possible new rules, and pressure on decentralized assets. Bitcoin has not always grown on positive news; more often it has been a deep pullback and liquidation before the momentum.
Technically, Bitcoin is currently consolidating, and I would highlight several key areas: the upper range is 120K-120.9K. The zone between these levels is particularly important, as this is where buyers were previously liquidated and sellers gathered (liquidation is possible).
The bottom is 117K (confirmed) - 116.2K. There is a liquidity pool on the support side.
additional scenario if the market does not reach resistance and decides to form a long squeeze before growth
Theoretically, I am not yet expecting a breakout and growth of Bitcoin. I think that consolidation may continue for some time, especially against the backdrop of a pullback in altcoins and a deep correction in the dominance index.
Resistance levels: 120100, 120850
Support levels: 117000, 116230
Since the opening of the session, the price has been working off the liquidity capture from 117K. There is a reaction - growth, which could bring the price to the zone of interest at 120K. But the question is: will the price hold in the 120K zone? A false breakout of resistance could trigger a correction to 117-116K. Thus, I expect the market to remain in consolidation for some time or even expand the current trading range...
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTC Retested and Ready for the Next Leg Up?This CRYPTOCAP:BTC weekly chart shows a clean pattern of breakout → retest → rally.
The 50 EMA has been acting like a strong dynamic support throughout the uptrend, keeping the structure intact. Every time price broke out of a consolidation or resistance zone, it came back, retested it, and then continued moving higher.
Most recently, BTC broke above a key resistance, pulled back to retest it, and now it looks like the breakout has held. This is a classic bullish continuation setup, and historically, it’s led to strong follow-through moves.
As long as BTC stays above the 50 EMA and holds support, the bullish structure remains intact.
Thanks for reading! Stay sharp and trade safe.
BTC- New ATH?BTCUSDT – Potential Reversal from CME Gap Support
Bitcoin is currently trading around a key demand zone aligned with a CME gap between ~$115,272 and $114,000. Price recently swept local lows with increased volatility and is showing signs of absorption just above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement ($113,660), which adds confluence to the area.
If BTC continues to hold above this zone and shows volume confirmation, I expect a strong bullish reaction. This move could initiate a rally toward the previous high and potentially lead to a breakout to new all-time highs (ATH), as outlined in the red projected path.
Key levels- LQ, Fibbo 0.382, CME gap - futures
BTC/USDT 15min - Liquidity Sweep + OrderBlockPrice is approaching sell-side liquidity resting below equal lows, aligning with a key bullish order block. A potential W-pattern formation, combined with a volume spike at the sweep zone, suggests smart money accumulation. If confirmed, price may target the buy-side liquidity above, offering a high-probability reversal setup.
Bitcoin (BTC): Bullish Start of Week | Aiming For $150KChoppy weekends resulted in a bullish Monday. Once again, we are seeing strong buyside dominance at the start of the week, which is indicating a potential new ATH that we might be going for.
Now as the price is at the $119-120K zone, we are most likely going for a retest today of the current ATH, where we are going to look for some kind of breakout and upward movement.
Markets are on fire, so stay informed and do not FOMO—there will always be plenty of opportunities to gain something from markets, but to lose all it takes is just one stupid decision, so don't FOMO.
Swallow Academy
BTC - RotationsStill pingponging between VAL and VAH, so there is not much to update on BTC.
I think patience is key here, most of all don't chase moves but position at the extremes for opposite side, then you are much better placed for continuation moves.
I never try to have much expectations, but there is a smol gut feeling that ETH puts in a new high locally (let's say around 3920-50) while BTC takes out the internal highs at 121k and makes a lower high.
I can be wrong and we simply keep drifting higher, but divergences between ETH and BTC are often worth watching, because the market as a whole usually struggles to maintain strength when alts attract more capital than BTC does (relative to mc).
Is it time for BTC big reverse?According to oscillators and volumes, we can expect BTC to soon undergo a significant correction:
- RSI peaks are declining, forming a divergence. A divergence is also observed on the weekly timeframe.
- MACD also shows a divergence.
- Falling volumes amid rising prices.
Horizontal lines mark two levels with minimum volumes in the profile. Such volume drops usually characterize support levels, which can be used as targets for shorting.
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BULLISH Outlook – July 24, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
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Hello.
This is SeoVereign.
I am still holding the long position that I suggested in the idea posted on July 9th.
Regarding the upward trend that started around 107,200 USDT, I have consistently maintained my position without much doubt until just before posting this idea, as there were no clear signs indicating a decline.
However, at the time of writing this idea, some elements suggesting downward pressure are gradually being detected. Nevertheless, this idea is constructed around the upward scenario. The reason is that, as mentioned in this idea, a ‘single upward move’ is expected to occur with relatively high probability. Whether this rise leads to a trend reversal or serves as a precursor to a downturn will likely depend on how the chart unfolds.
The average TP (target price) is set around 119,300 USDT.
As always, I will carefully observe how the chart develops over time and will update with further explanations that organically integrate the detailed interpretations and grounds of this idea accordingly.
Thank you.
BTCUSD (Bitcoin) Buy Setup – VSA & Market Structure Analysis✅ Entry: As marked on chart
🎯 Take Profit 1 (TP1): Highlighted zone on chart
🎯 Take Profit 2 (TP2): Highlighted zone on chart
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): Defined below recent demand zone
📊 Technical Insight (VSA & Market Structure):
The recent decline into the support zone occurred on diminishing volume, indicating a lack of selling pressure.
A climactic volume spike (stopping volume) followed by a wide spread bullish candle suggests strong professional buying activity.
Subsequent bars show narrow range candles with low volume, characteristic of an absorption phase, hinting at smart money accumulation.
Price is now attempting to break above the previous minor resistance, which would confirm demand overcoming supply.
The broader market structure aligns with this setup: Bitcoin is in a higher timeframe accumulation range, and this move could initiate a markup phase as per Wyckoff/VSA principles.
📍 As long as price holds above the stop loss zone, we expect a bullish leg towards TP1 and TP2, in line with the emerging demand dominance.
Bitcoin Weekly Structure: Repeating Rhythms and What’s Next
Bitcoin continues to follow a consistent structural rhythm on the weekly timeframe. We can observe that before every major breakout, price enters a multi-week consolidation phase, which I’ve marked using red boxes on the chart. These red box zones represent long periods of sideways movement, typically acting as reaccumulation phases. Once price breaks above these levels, it often results in a strong impulsive move, confirming that these areas serve as foundational support for trend continuation.
After each of these longer consolidations, Bitcoin tends to enter a brief 1–2 week consolidation right after the breakout, which I’ve marked with green circles. These short pauses are signs of healthy bullish momentum, often acting as flags or continuation patterns before the next leg up. What’s notable is that each of these green circle phases occurs after a clean breakout from a red box, and they consistently lead to further price appreciation.
Currently, Bitcoin has just broken out of another red box zone between ~$100k and ~$110k. Over the past two weeks, it has formed a small range near $118k, resembling the same green circle structures we’ve seen earlier in the trend. Given this recurring pattern, there’s a high probability that we are once again in the early stages of a bullish continuation. If the pattern plays out as it has in the past, the next move could be another strong weekly candle pushing toward new highs.
However, I’m paying close attention to the $125k–$126k level. This psychological zone may act as a major turning point. It could lead to either a prolonged consolidation phase that lasts for months, or potentially trigger a significant correction if the market faces strong resistance. This level marks a critical area where momentum may shift, so it deserves extra caution as we approach it.
This type of structural repetition helps me stay grounded in my analysis—focusing not just on price, but also on how long and where Bitcoin consolidates. So far, the rhythm has been clean and reliable.
Let’s see if Bitcoin respects the rhythm once again.
Accumulate BTC over 115K💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE (July 23rd)
NOTABLE NEWS ABOUT BTC
Bitcoin (BTC) and Ripple (XRP) are approaching their all-time highs, while Ethereum (ETH) continues to grow steadily toward the important $4,000 mark. These top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization are showing signs of a new bullish momentum, supported by strong technical structures and increasing investor interest.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS PERSPECTIVE
1. Main Trend
The overall trend remains bullish, with a clearly rising price channel (black diagonal line).
However, BTC is currently in a short-term correction phase, consolidating sideways after the recent strong surge.
2. Key Price Levels
🔵 Strong Support Zone: 116,000 – 117,000 USDT
This zone includes the 200-day moving average (MA200), horizontal support, and a previous bottom — making it a decisive area for the short-term trend.
If this zone breaks, BTC could fall to a deeper support area around 111,000 USDT.
🔴 Resistance Zone: 122,000 – 123,000 USDT
This is a previous peak and a recently “false breakout” area — a strong psychological resistance.
If broken convincingly, BTC could surge to the 130,000 USDT zone (Fibonacci extension 1.618).
3. Possible Scenarios
✅ Bullish Scenario:
Price retests the 116,000 – 117,000 support zone and then bounces.
If it breaks through the 122K resistance, the next target is 130,000 USDT.
❌ Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks below MA200 and the 116K support zone → it could drop to the deeper zone around 111,000 USDT.
4. Technical Signals
There is a triangle accumulation pattern (with flat tops and bottoms).
The “false breakout” at the resistance zone shows that buyers are not yet strong enough and a retest of support is needed.
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BTCUSDT It’s coming soon in 2 or 4 weeksRegardless of the positive comments coming from various media and news, the market flow is already moving as it has been set.
After 2 to 4 weeks, a strong and rapid crash comes.
Nasdaq and S&P also fall together.
GOOD LUCK!!
The stock market is highly volatile. Please be very careful with your investments.