Bitcoin Era Number 4: EndgameAs we approach the final phase of the current Bitcoin cycle, the broader picture is coming into focus. This analysis maps the journey from November 2022 to November 2026 via a projected cycle peak in October/November 2025, highlighting key price channels and Fibonacci retracement levels.
- Previous cycle's peak: $69K.
- Projected cycle peak: ~$143K.
- Bear market target (1.618 Fib Level): ~$ 31K, November 2026.
This chart outlines the path Bitcoin could take, helping anticipate the transition from the current bull run into the inevitable bear market.
I expect a market correction this summer, setting the stage for a sharp price surge starting in mid-August. This momentum could drive Bitcoin toward its anticipated all-time high in the final quarter of the year.
Will history repeat, or will new macro factors reshape the landscape?
BTCUSDT trade ideas
Altcoins: Bitcoin Daily Turns Bullish, New All-Time High But...New All-Time High but how high? How high is Bitcoin set to move in this breakout as a the new All-Time High? How high is Bitcoin set to continue in May that still has 12 days left and what about June and July 2025?
What happens after June-July 2025 and what happens in late 2025?
What's the map? How high comments section below—yes?!
Bitcoin is now challenging the "final resistance." This is truly the final resistance because we are in the 2025 bull market. There are many things happening around this final resistance. For example, the Altcoins market.
The Altcoins market goes bullish when Bitcoin grows above 100K yes? Yes it did/does and has been growing for an entire month many pairs are up 70% to 100% some are up 400% and this is only the start but, think of this... What happens when Bitcoin hits a new All-Time High?
For Bitcoin this isn't much, the ATH is at $109,588 and a new All-Time High is $110,000 but what about the Altcoin? Magic!
When Bitcoin hits a new ATH it goes on all media all screens and nobody can deny it is happening because it is happening and the market is full green. This creates boom, interest and many people trade only when resistance breaks. The Altcoins will boom growing 2-3 levels up within days. The bottom forever gone massive profits, lives changing and this is only the start.
The first level of importance as Bitcoin moves in price discovery eventuality and territory and market conditions—change, grow, win—sits around $120,000 and $130,000. This is the level to watch for.
Some people are saying a massive correction at this point more like a normal correction or maybe nothing for a few reasons that I will explain below.
The next range is $150,000 and $160,000 and here is the thing. If Bitcoin is going to $180,000-$220,000, then the correction cannot happen at 120/130K. It needs to happen on the second level around 150/160K, do you understand?
If the strong mid bull market correction happens at $120,000-$130,000 this is bad news because the final market cycle top gets lowered. If it happens later we have $180,000, $200,000, $220,000 or more. And this is the interesting part and what we want.
We are still in May month #5 and the minimum we can expect growth is until November month #11 which gives us 6 months. 6 months of straight up is a very long time. With a 2-3 months correction now it isn't that long.
These are the things that we need to consider but aim high because Bitcoin will always surprise.
Minimum, you can aim for $180,000 as the cycle top—minimum. Go higher leave a comment and with the excitement, euphoria and the first time since 2021 seeing so much growth, institutional adoption, Trump, Saylor, El Salvador think $220,000 can you see how that works? Comment below.
Things are bright for Cryptocurrency holders know why now think in this way. Your life can change forever if you take the right action following the right steps in the next 6 months. Imagine a lifetime of profits secured in this bull market bull run. The choice is yours.
It can happen of course, it has happened many times and will continue to happen but we have to be smart. It is happening now but we are early this time we have experience and we know exactly what will happen. It is not a question of if but when. When? In late 2025.
Thank you for reading.
Your comments show your continued support and helps activate the bots to do the same. Show them some love!
Namaste.
DeGRAM | BTCUSD formed the triangle📊 Technical Analysis
● Pullback has tagged the purple mirroring-support / channel median (≈101 K) and printed a hammer inside the green “optimal-buy” box, preserving the sequence of higher lows since 25 Apr.
● Price is coiling in a bull-flag beneath the inner resistance band 104 K; a 1 h close above it activates a measured move to the red 106.9-109 K supply at the channel roof.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● BlackRock’s IBIT added a net ≈2 900 BTC in two sessions while exchange balances hit a 3-year low (CryptoQuant), signalling renewed spot absorption.
● US 2-yr yield slipped back under 4.70 % after softer Philly-Fed survey, tempering the dollar bid and easing funding costs for crypto leverage.
✨ Summary
Buy dips 101-102 K; confirmation > 104 K targets 106.9 K → 109 K. Invalidate on a sustained break below 97.5 K.
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Lingrid | BTCUSDT Consolidation DIP Buying OpportunityBINANCE:BTCUSDT completed an expanding triangle breakout and reached a higher high within the resistance zone. After the bullish run, price pulled back toward the $100,250 level and may enter a brief consolidation phase above the upward channel’s midline. If support holds, bulls may aim for $106,850 to test the upper boundary of the channel.
📌 Key Levels
Support: $100,250
Midline Guide: $102,000–$103,000
Target: $106,850
⚠️ Risks
Rejection from the resistance band may trap buyers
Falling below $100K could shift bias short-term
Low volatility may delay breakout attempts
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
#BTC/USDT#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 103200.
We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 103708
First target: 104152
Second target: 104900
Third target: 105900
Bitcoin Hits New ATH on Candle Close & New 2025 ATH ProjectionsThis week Bitcoin produced its highest weekly candle close ever at $106,454. 12-May 2025 weekly session.
The previous ATH based on candle close happened on the 9-December 2024 weekly session at $104,464.
The current high is 1.91% higher than the previous one. Volume is still basically zero on this chart...
Good evening my fellow Cryptocurrency trader—likely to be morning by the time you read this—how are you feeling in this beautiful day?
Bitcoin actually did better than expected but this is not surprising, because Bitcoin is always a surprise on the positive side. This already tells us that the new bullish cycle top can turn out being something completely unexpected, the institutional wave.
The volume...
There are many ways to extract targets so don't mind me using different methods and showing the different possibilities. It is good to have a broad market perspective. Instead of just one option, we can look at all the possible scenarios.
The standard All-Time High based on the previous cycle sits at $155,601. Four years later, hyper hidden inflation, etc., we know this is not it. This same level based on dollars value, $155,000, would be something like $189,000 or $206,000 today, so we are not going to consider this level to be the end of the 2025 bull market.
There is no 180K in this setup. The next target is the 3.618 Fib extension and goes to $209,125. This is more like it. This is a very strong level and there is possibility that Bitcoin can peak right below it.
The next one and last one is the 4.618 Fib extension at $262,649... Let's consider this number for a few minutes. Close your eyes, breathe... Think of Bitcoin, late 2025 or early 2026 and consider this number. Do nothing and just let any impressions come to you. Can be visual, auditory, kinaesthetic or just mental chatter, logical. Yes, it is possible! We keep beyond $250,000 on the cards. Share your impressions in the comments section by the way.
Low volume is natural. If you look at this chart from March 2020 through November 2021 there is no significant spike in volume. It is neutral. So this signal has no use for us at this point. The data-based conclusion is the fact that Bitcoin has been going up for six weeks and volume continues to be low. It was only high when the market hit bottom in 2022 and when it broke up above the 2017 peak in early 2023, that's the highest volume.
Look at this black line:
This is the golden ratio, 1.618 Fib extension in relation to the previous market cycle. It is very interesting. This same level from years ago worked as resistance in late 2024/early 2025.
Last week Bitcoin closed above this level and this week it wicked below and finally closed above. Definitely the action happening here around $102,000. So these numbers are good.
We have a certain price of $155,601 in the coming months, this will be a very strong resistance, the midterm bull market correction can happen here. After the correction bottoms, we will have wave 5 and this one must go beyond this level in order to be real, so this opens up $209,000. Unless $155,000 is the cycle top and ATH, we are set to experience Bitcoin trading above 200K.
My friend, it is my pleasure to write for you again today. Its been so long, I cannot believe we are still seeing each other, exchanging, talking, chatting, trading, reading, writing, fighting and making up just to keep on growing together. Where were you 7 years ago? Where are you now?
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Bitcoin 6th Consecutive Week Green? Not Yet But...Wait! We are not there yet but I will explain this is good even if this turns out not to be the final outcome.
The last time that Bitcoin produced 6 weeks green in a row was October 2023. Yes, you guessed it, when Bitcoin moved above ~$30,000 for the first time after the bear market and this led to now, a new All-Time High of $110,000.
The same development now, in May 2025, sends a very strong warning for the bears and a super strong signal for the bulls. This means that a rise can continue to happen—because it is already underway with 5-weeks green—toward $200,000 or higher.
Even if the week were to close red the truth is that Bitcoin is rising with strong bullish momentum and a red week within the uptrend is nothing more than consolidation.
The current week has a long lower shadow which is bullish. The candle body being red or green would be irrelevant as the candle would still be a Doji which in this case means neutral. Neutral on the rise means that the previous candle and market dynamics is the predominant factor; in short, the uptrend continues.
Now, the possibilities are in our favor being right 100% choose to follow Bitcoin will keep on growing and now for more than 1.5 months and this is great. The Altcoins will BOOM! as soon as Bitcoin hits $110,000 and the best news is that this is not the end, only the start.
We are looking at the strongest bullish signal since October 2023. Bitcoin closing six consecutive weeks green. This would only confirm what is already happening and what we already know. The 2025 bull market is on.
Let's add a little bit more of support to our analysis because some people are lost. Leave comment with your thoughts.
The RSI, weekly, reads 64.64 this is super strong. Basic.
A strong RSI is needed for a massive rise and at the same time, read this, there is plenty of room available for additional growth and we are back to the terminology we used back in December 2017. Nice isn't it?
Here is the chart:
The weekly MACD is ultra-hyper bullish:
The MACD bullish cross came in just now and this with the MACD reversing above zero, within the bullish zone. Basically, the MACD hit bottom and is ready to grow. "Plenty of room available for growth." Literally, in front of a major advance.
The last time the MACD looked like this was in October 2024. Before the major new ATH everything my people... This is it! Bitcoin LONG only bullish.
Ok, let's continue.
The short-term doesn't matter it is up-confirmed until late 2025. $200,000 more or less confirmed. Who cares about the noise?
Finally, Bitcoin is easily trading above ALL moving averages.
Comment & follow...
Namaste.
Bitcoin Macro Projection: Massive Shakeout Before $115K This chart presents a macro-level projection for Bitcoin based on historical behavior and current market structure.
🔹 Current Situation:
BTC is hovering near all-time highs, but price action shows signs of exhaustion after a strong rally. The market is sitting above key long-term EMAs, indicating potential for a deeper correction.
🔻 Expected Scenario:
I'm anticipating a significant capitulation event — potentially driven by macroeconomic stress or profit-taking from institutional players — sending BTC as low as the $40K–$45K region. This would align with a retest of long-term support levels and wash out over-leveraged positions.
🟢 Recovery Phase:
Following the deep correction, BTC could enter a strong reaccumulation phase, eventually leading to a parabolic move toward new highs around $115K.
Bitcoin Price Action Analysis (short-term)
Current Price Structure: Strength and Consolidation
Bitcoin (BTC) has demonstrated impressive strength, rising from $74,000 to $105,000. This price movement indicates a strong bullish impulse, underpinned by multiple fundamental and technical factors:
Why BTC Rose from $74,000 to $105,000
Institutional Demand: Continued accumulation by major funds and institutional investors has fueled buying pressure.
Positive Market Sentiment: Favorable regulatory news and adoption by major companies have boosted confidence.
Technical Breakouts: The breach of significant resistance levels at $80,000 and $95,000 triggered further buying interest.
Weak Dollar and Global Macro: Inflation concerns and a weaker US dollar made BTC an attractive hedge.
Current Market Structure - Consolidation below Daily Resistance
BTC is currently consolidating below the daily resistance at $105,000 - $107,000, which also marks the current All-Time High (ATH).
Volume has decreased, and price has entered a tight range, indicating market indecision or preparation for the next move.
Price is forming a potential accumulation structure, consistent with the Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic.
Key Scenarios - Breakout vs. Rejection
Bullish Scenario (Preferred):
- BTC breaks and closes above $107,000 on the daily.
- Target: $115,000 - $120,000 (Weekly Resistance).
Bearish Scenario:
- BTC fails to break $107,000 and faces rejection.
- Price may decline to the support zone at $91,000 - $93,000.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s price action suggests potential for a breakout above $107,000, following Wyckoff logic.
A daily close above this level would confirm strength and target $115,000 - $120,000.
If rejected, a retracement to $91,000 - $93,000 is likely.
Active traders should monitor the $107,000 level and be prepared for volatility.
Where Is The Correction For Bitcoin?Hello, Skyrexians!
Recently we told about potential correction on BINANCE:BTCUSDT and current pump did not change anything except targets for this correction.
My mistake was that I counted wave 5 inside 3 as the wave 5, but warned you that I often have this mistake. Now looking at the awesome oscillator it's obviously that wave 4 has not been even started. Anyway wave 3 has been already pumped above the 1.61 Fibonacci it means that wave 5 will be not extended. Very soon corrective wave 4 will be started. The target now is between 0.38 and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement levels, approximately at $95k. Anyway, taking short against trend is bad idea. The only one way you can use this info is to define the zone where you can take long trade, but I will not take. I told in one of my analysis when Bitcoin was $76k two months ago that growth above $140k has been started, I don't like to anticipate small moves.
This was my global forecast
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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Bring Sally Up, Bring Sally Down … Lift and squat — gotta tear the ground! You know the workout — exhausting, just like last week with BTC.
Right now, it’s a 50/50 split: half of you believe BTC is headed down, while the other half are waiting for a new ATH.
Let’s take a look at the daily chart. As mentioned before, we’re clearly stair-stepping — a classic bullish pattern. BTC moves up 10–12%, consolidates, then repeats… again and again.
Currently, we’ve formed a new bullish structure: a pennant (highlighted in red), which strongly suggests BTC is gearing up for another move higher. If the pattern holds, we could be looking at 112–115K in the near future.
Looking at this week’s economic calendar, there are no major market-moving events like last week’s CPI/PPI releases. That creates the perfect setup for a potential leg up — no immediate risk of negative surprises.
For those holding shorts: this week will either pay you or cost you dearly.
For long traders: if BTC dips below 100–102K, I’d seriously consider placing a stop-loss around 98K .
Remember: this is a bullish structure. There’s currently no sign of a bearish reversal toward 92–96K — except for the hope of the bears. But hey, hope is not a strategy!
Let’s see how it plays out!
BTC 4H Chart Analysis - Bitcoin is currently moving within a range, and two potential demand zones are highlighted on the chart with green boxes. There's a possibility that BTC may pull back into one of these zones to collect buy-side liquidity before continuing higher.
These areas can be considered for long setups on the 15-minute timeframe — but only with a valid entry trigger.
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📌 Key Levels
🟢 Supports:
- 100,000 – 100,500
- 97,400 – 98,700
- 95,900
🔴 Resistances:
- 104,800 – 105,200
- 105,900
Bitcoin at Resistance With Weak Momentum-Bearish SetupBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) finally reached the Resistance zone($105,100-$104,520) as I expected yesterday. Of course, the way Bitcoin reached the resistance zone was NOT with high momentum , so I decided to share this analysis with you.
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin appears to have formed a Rising Wedge Reversal Pattern between Support zone($103,320-$102,600) and Resistance zone($105,100-$104,520) over the past few hours .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , given Bitcoin’s low momentum and the Heavy Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($105,180-$104,412) ahead of Bitcoin, it appears that Bitcoin has completed microwave B of the main wave 4 with a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Bitcoin to decline to at least $102,800 at the first target AFTER breaking the lower line of the Rising Wedge Pattern, and if the Support zone($103,320-$102,600) and lower line of the ascending channel(Major) are broken, we should expect a drop to Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($100,763-$99,600) .
Note: If Bitcoin touches $105,850, we can expect further increases.
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Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
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BTC - ATH Incoming?current market structure
this 1-hour chart of btcusdt presents a sophisticated transition from accumulation to a potential breakout structure, with well-defined fair value gaps (fvgs) and a clear instance of manipulation followed by rapid recovery. the market appears to be attempting to regain bullish momentum following a liquidity sweep and subsequent internal shift in structure.
accumulation within an ascending channel
price action developed within an ascending channel, marked by higher highs and higher lows over time. this is a classic representation of controlled bullish accumulation. the tight, stair-stepping movement reflects steady institutional positioning, building long exposure while keeping volatility contained. this phase shows multiple rejections of the lower trendline, confirming consistent demand.
manipulation into fvg
the breakdown beneath the channel coincides with a sharp move into a large fvg (highlighted in light blue). this aggressive wick likely triggered stop-losses of retail longs, constituting a liquidity grab or manipulation event. such actions are typical after extended consolidations, flushing out weak hands to enable large players to enter at a discount. the reaction from this zone confirms its significance, as buyers immediately stepped in and reclaimed lost ground.
recovery and shift in momentum
after manipulation, the market found support in the fvg zone and launched a sharp bullish move. the rapid recovery illustrates strong underlying demand. the price re-entered a smaller fvg (labelled “resistance in this fvg”), briefly faced selling pressure, and then decisively broke through it. this reclaim of supply zones is often a powerful signal that bullish momentum is back in control.
bullish inversion fair value gap (ifvg)
price is now challenging a smaller bullish internal fair value gap (ifvg), marked in red. this zone, which once acted as a resistance layer, has now become a pivot point. successful hold or breakout above this region would likely trigger continuation, with market participants targeting previous swing highs or beyond.
break of structure and bullish continuation
a key development here is the break above the previous swing high or "bsL" (buy-side liquidity). this signifies a structural shift—no longer just recovering, the market is actively seeking higher liquidity. such breaks often catalyze rapid directional movement, especially when they occur after liquidity has been swept from the opposite side.
distribution and potential for new all-time high
the green projection suggests the possibility of further bullish expansion toward a distribution zone. if current momentum continues and no major supply zones disrupt the advance, the market could be on its way to challenge or set new all-time highs (ath). the label “on the way to new ath?” reflects this open-path scenario, contingent on continuation above 105,600–106,000 levels.
market psychology
this chart reveals a narrative of engineered manipulation followed by strength confirmation. institutions manipulated price below support to shake out retail traders, then absorbed that liquidity and pushed price higher. once resistance was reclaimed, confidence returned, inviting both short cover and fresh long entries. such sequences reinforce the importance of waiting for price reactions at key levels rather than acting on the first impulse.
summary
btc has exited an accumulation phase within a rising channel, experienced a strategic liquidity sweep into a deep fvg, and then quickly reversed. the current positioning above multiple reclaimed fvgs and just beneath a structural break confirms a bullish outlook. if price holds above the current bullish ifvg, the pathway to distribution and possibly new highs remains open. strategic traders may now focus on confirming pullbacks into these reclaimed zones for continuation setups.
Bitcoin is approaching a “Golden Cross”🚀 Bitcoin is approaching a “Golden Cross”
(the 50-day moving average is about to cross above the 200-day)
What does that mean, and what might come next?
📍 What’s happening right now
BTC is squeezed in a $101 K – $107 K range.
The 50-day SMA is racing toward the 200-day SMA; the bullish crossover (the “Golden Cross”) is expected within the week.
On Deribit, more than 60 % of the 30 May option series are $110 K call options.
When traders buy these calls, market-makers hedge by buying spot BTC. The nearer the price gets to $110 K, the more spot BTC they have to buy.
📈 How the market behaved before
The 10-day chart shows the 50-day (blue) and 200-day (orange) SMAs.
In the last three cycles, a bullish Golden Cross appeared 50–90 days after a bearish “Death Cross.” Each time, the cross formed inside a buyer zone (marked with blue rectangles).
In the 2nd and 3rd cycles, price never came back to retest that buyer zone.
Right now, the buyer zone is already in place, the Golden Cross is only about $300 away, and 50 days have passed since the last Death Cross. Some traders seem to be buying early, betting on a break to a new all-time high (ATH).
Wishing you profitable trades!
BTC | New ATH Incoming | + 135% ??A very interesting fractal from 2021 lead to a 135% increase - and a new all time high.
Bitcoin has been following similar patterns to the bullish twin-peaks in 2021. After a multi-month correction, the price proceeded to increase another 135% over the next few months. Some weeks fast, and some weeks sideways.
Is it possible that BTC follows a similar pattern - and increase another 135%, all the way to 170k?
Hec, I'd even be happy with just a 100% ! That would lead us up to around 149k, which can also be considered a phycological resistance zone.
While you're here! Check out this post on PEPE:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Wyckoff Re-Accumulation – LPS in Play (BTC 4H)
After weeks of sideways action, Bitcoin shows classic **Wyckoff Re-Accumulation** behavior:
### 🧱 Phase Breakdown:
🔹 **Phase A**
* **PSY**: Initial supply surge
* **BC**/**AR**: Range boundaries established
🔹 **Phase B**
* **ST**: Testing top of range
* **UT**: Upthrust above resistance, followed by rejection
🔹 **Phase C**
* **Spring**: Trap move below major trendline
* Cleared liquidity, shook out weak hands, rebounded fast
🔹 **Phase D**
* **LPS**: First higher low after spring
* **SOS**: Breakout from resistance on strength
* **LPS?**: Ongoing retest, holding higher low structure
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📈 If current LPS holds, this confirms Phase D and opens the path to **Phase E (markup).**
💡 A valid Spring + LPS combo can be one of the highest R/R setups in Wyckoff methodology.
#Wyckoff #BTC #ReAccumulation #Spring #CryptoTrading