BTC Next MovementThis is my vision for BTC.
Let's have a look at the following chart made up of eight waves (five heading up and three trending downward) labeled 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, A, B, and C.
Waves one, two, three, four, and five form an impulse, and waves A, B, and C form a correction. The five-wave impulse, in turn, forms wave one at the next-largest degree, and the three-wave correction forms wave two at the next-largest degree.
The corrective wave normally has three distinct price movements—two in the direction of the main correction (A and C) and one against it (B). In the figure above, waves two and four are corrections.
BTCUSDT trade ideas
Bitcoin Holding PRZ Support Lines – Is a Weekend Rebound Coming?First of all, I would like to say that the Trading Volume is generally low on Saturdays and Sundays , so I don't expect the Support Lines and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) [$82,340-$82,000 ] to break. Of course, we should always be prepared for any scenario.
Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving near the Support lines and PRZ , and with the help of the Failed Falling Wedge Pattern , Bitcoin has declined in the last few hours .
Educational Note : In technical analysis, if a Reversal Pattern fails , it often acts as a Continuation Pattern instead .
I expect Bitcoin to trend upward in the coming hours and be able to reach the targets I have outlined on the chart.
Note: If Bitcoin touches $81,900, we should most likely expect more dumping.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC UPDATE: Flash Crash? Or Bullish Retest?🚀 Hey Traders! 👋
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📉 BTC just dropped nearly $10K in a single day, sliding from $84K to $74K amidst growing tariff tensions and broader market turmoil.
But here’s the bullish twist—this dump might just be a healthy retest.
BTC recently broke out of a strong inverse head & shoulders pattern, and what we’re seeing now looks like a classic neckline retest.
📌 Key Support: $72K
As long as BTC holds above this level, there’s no reason to panic. Once the dust settles from this bloody Monday, momentum could shift back to the upside.
🟢 This could be a golden accumulation zone—low risk, high potential reward.
❌ Invalidation Level: Weekly close below $72K
💬 What’s Your Take?
Will BTC bounce from this level, or is there more downside ahead? Drop your analysis and predictions below—let’s navigate this together and secure those gains! 💰🔥🚀
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Stop Loss 🛑:
📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 4H timeframe (81000) Day/Scalping trade basis.
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"Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇
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Detailed Point Recap 📋
Fundamentals 📊: Strong network + adoption ✅ offset regulatory risks ⚠️—moderately bullish 📈.
Macro 🌍: Inflation aids BTC 🥇, but tight policy/USD weigh ⚖️—mixed 🤔.
COT 📈: Institutional longs 📈 vs. leverage risks ⚡—cautiously bullish ✅.
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Sentiment 😊: Neutral across cohorts ⚖️—lacking conviction 🤷.
Trends 🎯: Short-term downside ($70K) 📉 vs. long-term upside ($129K) 📈—context-driven 🔮.
Outlook 🌟: Neutral now ⚖️, tilting bearish short-term 📉, bullish long-term 📈.
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BTC/USDT (Bitcoin) Update – April 7, 2025BTC/USDT (Bitcoin) Update – April 7, 2025
Bitcoin (BTC) has been exhibiting a consistent pattern of sharp declines during weekends, which is a strong indication of bearish sentiment dominating the market. This recurring weekend sell-off reflects the uncertainty and cautious behavior among investors, especially in low-volume trading hours. As a result, the short-term outlook appears to be leaning toward further downside movement unless sentiment shifts significantly.
At present, BTC seems to be heading toward the critical $70,000 to $71,000 support range. This zone will be crucial in determining the next major move. If the price can find strong buying interest in this area, we could see a temporary bottom forming, potentially leading to a short-term reversal. A successful bounce from this support could push the price back up toward the $90,000 resistance level, continuing the larger bullish macro trend.
However, if bears manage to break through the $70,000 support decisively, the next major support level lies in the $64,000 to $65,000 range. This zone is particularly significant because it aligns with the previous all-time highs from the 2020-2021 bull market. Historically, these levels tend to act as strong support when revisited after a breakout. A consolidation or bounce from here could still keep the macro bullish structure intact and pave the way for another leg higher toward the $90,000 zone.
On the flip side, in the event of a broader market crash or extreme capitulation, Bitcoin could fall further to test the $50,000 to $53,000 range. This level corresponds closely with the 200-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a long-term trend indicator that has historically provided solid support during deep corrections in Bitcoin's price cycle.
BTC is currently at a critical juncture. The $70K-$71K area must hold to maintain short-term bullish hopes. Failure to do so would likely drag the price to the GETTEX:64K - FWB:65K region. A deeper correction toward the $50K-$53K range remains a possible scenario in case of a significant market downturn. As always, traders should remain cautious and monitor these key levels closely.
#bitcoin #cryptocurrency #BTC #trading #crypto #forextrading #forex #technicalanalysis #stockmarket #gold #XAUUSD
Bitcoin Technicals Flash Warning – Smart Money Watching!Bitcoin has been forming a series of lower highs and lower lows since its all-time high (ATH) of $109,568, indicating a potential downtrend. The support level, which previously held strong, has now been broken and is acting as resistance. The recent price movement suggests a retest of this broken support, which could confirm further downside if rejected.
The 100 EMA is positioned above the price, reinforcing bearish pressure. If BTC fails to reclaim this level, the price may continue to decline. RSI is hovering around 41.51, indicating weak momentum, with no strong bullish signals yet.
Bullish Scenario: A reclaim of the broken support and a move above $90,000 could invalidate the bearish setup.
Bearish Scenario: A rejection from this level could lead to further downside, potentially targeting $75,000-$72,000.
BTC SCENARIOS - LONG/SHORTThat's what I'm looking at in the near future.
Just some ideas :)
Bitcoin (BTC) – Digital Currency / Decentralised Asset
Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer digital currency designed for secure, transparent, and decentralised transactions without the need for intermediaries. Often referred to as "digital gold," BTC is the first and most widely adopted cryptocurrency, used globally for trading, investing, and storing value. It operates on blockchain technology, ensuring immutable, public ledger verification.
#BTC/USDT#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 74,300
We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 79,056
First target: 80,422
Second target: 81,950
Third target: 84,000
BTC Potential Spot Buy $76kAgain: breaking down without a valid reason: this time you can speak of a mini-MSB but if it was a relevant one price shouldn't have consolidated at the highs that long. This makes the breakdown now weak.
Also: price falling down against previous structure without having some breakdown PA at the highs makes the breakdown even weaker (previous structure 'washes' the strength out the breakdown.
If price would fall straight down to the 76k lowest low I think this is a spot buy at the lowest low. No trade as there isn't a valid SL.
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The question now is: do you buy with a larger % of the allocated capital or not?
I think, if price would go straight down, so without creating new structure during the breakdown, larger % is a valid option. But if there would be structure created, 1/3 or 1/2 is better.
Why?
New structure creates resistance for price going back up from the lows.
If price would get above structure, the likelyhood of price going further up is higher so you would want to buy more, and if this new structure is created close to the lowest low you don't miss out much on the new buys. To make this more clear: let's say price would fall straight down without creating structure like it's doing now, the last structure there is would then be the current structure with the top of this structure being 88k. If you would want to wait for more 'validation' of price showing strength, you would then have to wait for price to close above 88k, missing out on 88k-76k= 12k.
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But yeah, a 100% buy is a bit stupid, too gambly. Think 1/2 is better and then wait for some time spend (1D close above level) above level and then buy the other 1/2 with hopefully not much of a price gap.
Because: what if price just breaks straight through the level? I have my reasons for it being unlikely but who am I to say it can't happen? There is a reason I've said I don't buy levels blindly: so far it has never worked out! So maybe even buying 1/3 is better...
Yes: 1/3 max. There's no need to act tough by going all in to prove your conviction.
07/04/25 Weekly Outlook Last weeks high: $88,502.90
Last weeks low: $77,786.89
Midpoint: $83,144.89
Never a dull moment in this game, last week we saw a relatively flat move from Bitcoin as traditional markets continued their heavy sell-offs thanks to the tariff trade war. The high of the week coming from the run up to Trumps tariff announcement, that then retraced as the speech went on and as the week closed a heavy capitulation move down.
As the week begins BTC's price hit as low as $74,500 barely frontrunning the HTF goal of $73,500 to close the inefficiency wick from the US election 6 months ago. For me this is where I start to pay attention to where buyers may be stepping into the market at this HTF support area. Obviously the worry is still in Tradfi, just how low will the SPX, DJI etc go? That's hard to tell but there is certainly a huge amount of fear in the market and fear brings opportunity.
The NY open should be an interesting one and should set the tone for the week, A reclaim of the weekly low sets up yet another SFP long opportunity to then go and test the midpoint, acceptance under the weekly low may provide one last push to close tout the move to $73,000.
The Federal Reserve is having am emergency closed board meeting today too, if an emergency cut to interest rates comes of this to boost growth then BTC will definitely see the benefits of this.
Good luck for the week ahead!
Short Position BTC/USDTBitcoin is approaching a key Short Zone between $83,443 – $84,616, a region where previous price action has shown clear rejections. This resistance zone is marked in red on the chart. We’re currently hovering just below that at $83,000.
🔹 Short Entry Zone: $83,443 - $84,616
🔹 Target Profit (TP): $80,233
🔹 Risk/Reward Ratio: Solid RRR setup for disciplined traders
📌 If price re-tests this zone and fails to break higher, this could be an ideal area for short entries with a clean downside toward the TP zone highlighted in green.
⚠️ Always manage your risk. Wait for rejection confirmation signals before entering.
Bitcoin Analysis - Bear Trap Complete - Bullish Reversal StartedBitcoin recently swept the liquidity resting at the $78K level, taking out the previous lows before initiating a strong reversal with a double break of structure to the upside. This signals that smart money has engineered liquidity to trap retail traders and induce early shorts before driving price in the intended direction.
The move up has left behind a well-defined bullish order block in confluence with a fair value gap, which held firmly on the retracement. This confirms that institutional positioning is present, and the market is now efficiently repricing higher. The fact that price reacted strongly from this zone further reinforces that smart money has absorbed sell-side liquidity, and the path of least resistance is now to the upside.
With liquidity now resting above the descending bearish trendline, price has a clear target. The bearish trendlines, especially in the context of a corrective move, act as a liquidity magnet. Retail traders shorting into this structure are providing the fuel for the next leg up, as their stops accumulate above each lower high. The market makers and algorithmic liquidity providers understand this, and price is now gravitating towards that liquidity pool. The inefficiencies left on the chart from the recent aggressive down move also suggest that these imbalances need to be filled, further strengthening the case for continued bullish expansion.
The entire bearish move preceding this was nothing more than a well-structured inducement. It served to lure in breakout sellers, create the illusion of a sustained downtrend, and trap liquidity at the lows before the true direction was revealed. This is a classic example of manipulation before expansion. This principle repeats across all timeframes and market conditions.
With this in mind, the most probable scenario now is a continuation towards the next major liquidity pool above the bearish trendline, likely leading price into the 92K–98K range where a significant daily order block sits. This area will be critical to observe, as it could act as a distribution zone where smart money starts offloading positions. However, until then, the structure remains decisively bullish, and every retracement into demand zones should be seen as an opportunity to position long, rather than a sign of weakness.
BTC Has Recently Formed A Swing Market Trap.Bitcoin's market has recently formed a Swing Market Trap (SMT) at the previous Monday's low level, a development that suggests a potential reversal in the market's trajectory. This SMT formation indicates that the market has effectively trapped buyers or sellers, setting the stage for a possible move in the opposite direction.
As per the current market dynamics, Bitcoin is poised to move upside, with the primary objective of targeting the Monday high to purge liquidity. This move is likely driven by the need to sweep the liquidity pool at the Monday high, which could, in turn, influence the market's subsequent direction.
Following this move, a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) may emerge, which could have significant implications for the market's future trajectory. The formation of a bearish FVG would indicate an imbalance in the market, potentially leading to a reversal or correction.
However, in the short term, the market remains bullish, with a focus on marking the FVG. This short-term bullish sentiment is likely driven by the current market dynamics, which are characterized by a strong upward momentum. As such, traders and investors should closely monitor the market's progress, keeping a keen eye on the price action and any potential developments that could impact the market's trajectory."
Would you like to discuss any specific aspects of this market scenario or explore potential trading strategies?
Buying BTC at 73.5k - Why I’m Buying This Range Price has now dropped into a key demand zone where previous volume imbalances were left untested. The range around 74.6k–73.8k shows signs of absorption and buyer interest based on low volume nodes (LVNs) and volume profile structure. This zone acted as a major breakout area in the past, and with no acceptance below 74.6k on the 1H close, it suggests sellers are getting exhausted. I’m watching for signs of accumulation and structure shifts in this area to initiate longs, with invalidation on clean 1H closes below 73.7k. If BTC reclaims 75.1k on the 1H, expect momentum to shift and buyers to take it toward higher POCs and imbalance zones