BTCUSDT trade ideas
BTC/USDT – Trade Review & New Plan (15m, Ichimoku) by RiscoraYesterday’s short setup didn’t work out as planned — stop-loss was hit as bulls showed strong momentum. However, I still believe that a move to the yellow block (downside liquidity zone) is possible, and the idea remains valid.
The main mistake was with the stop placement, not the scenario itself. After taking a loss, I’m more cautious: reducing risk, lowering position size, and entering with less conviction. Bulls were dominant yesterday, so I’m keeping my risk tight on this trade.
I’ll take the setup again, but with a more conservative approach. If price breaks and holds above my stop-loss level, it will confirm a shift in sentiment to bullish, and I’ll look to flip my bias accordingly.
Key points:
Previous short was stopped out — reviewing risk
Still see potential for a move to the yellow block
Lower risk, smaller size after a loss
If price holds above stop, trend flips bullish
Let’s see how this plays out.
#BTC #Crypto #Trading #Ichimoku #Riscora
BTC/USD Multi-Timeframe Analysis – 1H & 5m🕐 1-Hour Overview:
BTC is currently consolidating inside a range-bound structure, showing signs of indecision.
Resistance Zone: $105,000 – $106,000
Support Zone: $100,000 – $101,000
The price must break out of this box to define the next major direction.
➡️ A bullish breakout above 106K could lead to $108K+
⬅️ A breakdown below 100K may trigger downside momentum.
⏱ 5-Minute Execution Zone:
The 5m chart shows a rebound from an oversold move, forming higher lows and approaching key resistance.
Minor Resistance: $107,000
Key Breakout Level: $107,400
🎯 Trading Scenario:
If we get a strong bullish candle closing above $107,400
Then: Entry Long with target near $108,000
Stop Loss: Below recent 5m low – around $106,800
✅ Strategy Context:
Timeframe alignment between HTF and LTF
Scalp entry with confirmation
Risk managed around structural zones
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#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #Scalping #PriceAction #ALIPFX
BTC UP OR NO📈 Bitcoin to Reach $113K, With a Breakout Path to $120K – A Professional Outlook
After analyzing the macro trend, technical structure, market sentiment, and on-chain behavior, I strongly believe that Bitcoin is on a clear trajectory toward $113,000, with a potential extension to $120,000 if key resistance is broken.
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🔍 1. Technical Analysis Perspective
Macro Bullish Structure: Since the 2022 bear market bottom, Bitcoin has maintained a consistent higher highs and higher lows pattern, confirming a long-term uptrend.
Fibonacci Extension: The 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the $15.5K bottom to the $69K peak gives a projected target of around $113K.
Historical Fractal Patterns: In previous cycles, Bitcoin has always broken past previous all-time highs by 1.5x to 1.75x, placing this cycle's peak in the $110K–$120K range.
Ascending Triangle Breakout: On the weekly chart, BTC is forming a bullish ascending triangle with the top resistance at ~$73K. A confirmed breakout targets $113K as the next major supply zone.
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🧠 2. Market Psychology & Cycle Timing
Halving Effect: Historically, Bitcoin peaks occur 9–12 months post-halving. The most recent halving was in April 2024, aligning a potential peak by Q1 or Q2 of 2025.
Psychological Resistance Zones: The $100K–$113K range is not only a Fibonacci target but also a powerful psychological barrier. Once breached, FOMO and institutional momentum could push BTC rapidly to $120K.
Retail vs Institutional Flows: Data shows increased ETF inflows and long-term holder accumulation — a classic pre-peak indicator.
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🔗 3. On-Chain and Whale Behavior
Realized Price vs Market Price: BTC market price is well above long-term holder realized price, signaling bull market phase 2 (the steep climb).
Dormant Supply: Over 70% of BTC has not moved in 6+ months, showing strong holder conviction. This reduces sell pressure as price increases.
Whale Accumulation Zones: Whales are heavily positioned around $60K–$65K, and there is minimal sell volume above $100K on major exchanges, opening the path to $113K with low resistance.
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🚀 Conclusion:
> Based on comprehensive technical patterns, market structure, psychological phases, and on-chain behavior, Bitcoin is highly likely to reach $113,000.
If momentum continues and $113K is breached with volume confirmation, a sharp move toward $120,000 becomes not only possible — but likely.
Bitcoin NEW ALL TIME HIGH ? Based on my analytic, bitcoin has possibility to hit the new all time high $113.500 .
If not there is also possibility of going down to 4h OB ( $106.10 0) and up to $113.500 .
Two scenarios possible!!!
First trade
Entry 108.937,7
SL 108.419,4
TP 113.599
Second trade
Entry 106.185,4
SL 104.972,7
TP 113.599
Bitcoin Just Broke Out! Is $117K Next? (MA50 + Fibo 161% Confirm🚨 MAJOR BTC MOVE!
After weeks of consolidation, Bitcoin has officially broken the downtrend and showed a strong bounce from the MA50, turning previous resistance into support.
📈 Setup Breakdown:
✅ Downtrend breakout confirmed
✅ Clean reaction from MA50
✅ Long entry triggered with upside targets
🎯 Target 1: $112,644 (161% Fibo)
🎯 Target 2: $117,351
📊 This could be the beginning of a new leg up. Watch price behavior at key levels and manage risk accordingly.
💬 What’s your take? Are we heading to $120K or is this a bull trap? Drop your thoughts below 👇
🔁 Like & Share if you caught this move!
📺 Follow for more real-time setups @ TradeWithMky 🧠📉
—
“TradeWithMky – where altcoins speak louder than Bitcoin!”
BITCOIN - Price can continue grow inside flat to $107933 level#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to break and continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward move with a breakout.
We have a support area at the lower boundary of the channel at 106500, acting as strong support from which the price can rebound.
We have a major support area in green that pushed the price upward at 106000.
Entry price: 106736
First target: 106996
Second target: 107434
Third target: 107933
To manage risk, don't forget stop loss and capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some profits and then change your stop order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please comment.
Thank you.
BTC 30.06.25So far BTC is behaving exactly as expected, i'm just waiting for a valid setup to appear. I would love to see a model 1, which takes out the high and mitigates supply, but i'm also not ignoring a potential model 2. These 2 deviations merge together on a higher time frame, where the range is also valid on, so they can be counted as one. There are many altcoins with similar behavior and USDT/C in potential accumulation. I'm waiting to see confirmations/ invalidations.
BTC/USDTSince last November, price action has been ranging above and below a rising wedge which is typically a bearish structure. This has created plenty of market indecision with bears poised to regain control at every dip.
However, the recent pullback didn’t reach the wedge’s support line which is a subtle bullish sign and we’ve now clearly formed an inverse head and shoulders, a classic bullish reversal pattern.
A breakout is on the table with a target at $143K.
Bitcoin Long Now ! Details chart ! 89% Accuracy VIP Signal !🟢 BTCUSDT Long Setup | 15min (BINANCE)
Entry: ~108840 zone
Stop Loss: Below 108192.82
Take Profits:
TP1: 109488.98
TP2: 110149.67
TP3: 110855.75
Reasoning:
Liquidity grab below support.
Bullish rejection and structure shift.
Potential W pattern forming.
Clean RR and price action setup.
Trade Plan:
Expecting price to break above 109488.98, retest it, and then push toward 110855.75.
📊 Classic support rejection + market structure shift play.
🔔 Not financial advice. Manage your risk!
#BTC #BTCUSDT #Crypto #TradingView #PriceAction #LongSetup #Binance #TA
#BTCUSDT Big Pump Next Hour - Bitcoin, BTCUSD, BTCUSDT 📉 Double Bottom Pattern Forming – Potential Reversal Setup
The current price structure is showing signs of a Double Bottom – a classic bullish reversal pattern. After an extended downtrend, this pattern suggests that the market may be preparing for a trend reversal from this key demand zone.
🔹 Trade Setup
Entry, Targets, and Stop Loss (SL) are marked on the chart.
Entry: Upon breakout confirmation above the neckline.
Stop Loss: Just below the recent swing low to manage downside risk.
Targets: Calculated using the measured move method from the bottom to the neckline .
🔹 Risk & Money Management (Professional Approach)
To maintain consistent profitability and protect capital, strict risk management is essential. For this setup:
🔸 Position Sizing: Based on a fixed % of total capital (typically 1–2% of account equity per trade).
🔸 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Minimum of 1:2, ideally higher.
🔸 Stop Loss Discipline: No arbitrary changes after entry. SL only adjusted for breakeven or trailing stops once price moves favorably.
🔸 Trade Management: Secure partial profits at key levels, trail stops as structure forms.
🔸 Capital Allocation: Avoid overexposure. Trade fits within overall portfolio strategy.
💬 Let the setup come to you. React, don’t predict.
🔁 Like, comment, or share your thoughts below!
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P INDEX:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTO:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSD
Analyzing the new month, new week, new day
Hello, traders.
If you "follow", you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
A new month begins in one day.
The key is whether it can hold the price by rising above 109588.0.
If not, there is a possibility that it will fall below the 94172.00 StochRSI 50 indicator point that the arrow is pointing to.
We need to see if it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratio of 1.618 (89050.0).
Since the current low-point trend line is not complete, it is not surprising that it can show a downward trend at any time.
However, if it rises above 109588.0 and maintains the price, it is expected that there will be an attempt to rise near the Fibonacci ratio of 2.618 (133889.92).
I think it is likely to be the last target of the target bull market in 2025.
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(1W chart)
It is a period of volatility around the week including June 23.
That is, from June 16 to July 6 is the volatility period.
The key is whether it can rise to the right Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (116940.43) during this volatility period.
Even if it fails to rise, if the price maintains above 104463.99, it is expected to show an upward trend around the next volatility period.
The next volatility period on the 1W chart is expected to be around the week of August 18.
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When it falls below 104463.99, we need to check whether the HA-High indicator is newly generated.
If not, it is important to check whether there is support around the current HA-High indicator point of 99705.62.
Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is passing around 99705.62, its importance can be said to be high.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, it is expected to determine the trend again when it meets the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart.
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(1D chart)
The key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above the HA-High indicator point of 108316.90 on the 1D chart.
If it fails to rise,
1st: 104463.99
2nd: 99705.62
You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd above.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart,
1st: 89294.25
2nd: M-Signal of the 1M chart
There is a possibility that it will fall near the 1st and 2nd above.
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(1W chart)
The chart above is a trend line chart drawn on the 1W chart.
It looks complicated, but what's important to look at is the correlation between the high-point trend line and the low-point trend line.
That is, even if the price rises above 109.588.0, if it doesn't rise above the high-point trend line, it is likely to fall near the low-point trend line.
Fortunately, since it is forming an upward channel, it is expected that the price will eventually rise even if it falls.
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(1D chart)
Unlike the trend line on the 1W chart, the high-point trend line on the 1D chart forms a downward trend line.
Accordingly, the period around July 7, when the low-point trend line and the high-point trend line intersect, can be considered an important period of volatility.
However, the volatility period starts around July 2nd and is expected to end around July 10th.
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As shown above, many lines were drawn to analyze the chart.
I have roughly explained which of the lines drawn in this way should be prioritized.
Since chart analysis is for creating a trading strategy, the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are ultimately the most important.
Therefore, it is most important to check how the support and resistance points were created and find the reason for them.
Other analyses are only additional elements.
As I always say, chart analysis that does not show support and resistance points is only an analysis chart that can be used for trading.
You cannot trade with such analysis charts.
Also, if support and resistance points are shown, you should check the basis for setting the support and resistance points.
In order to serve as a support and resistance point, there must be a basis.
When you cannot confirm the basis for the support and resistance point, it is important to ask questions and find out the basis.
Fibonacci ratios are not suitable for actual trading.
However, when the ATH or ATL is updated, it is valuable enough for analysis.
Other than that, there must be support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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BTC HIGH DATA SHOW BREAKDOWN TO 85K FOR BITCOIN SOON.Bitcoin Market Update
BTC SEEMS TO ENTER A NEW CORRECTION PHASE SOON.
Recent data suggests that the current Bitcoin (BTC) cycle is coming to an end. As a result, we may soon see a downward move in BTC's price. The key target in this potential drop is around $85,000, with expectations that BTC will fall below $100,000.
This week, Bitcoin completed its cycle trend and is now entering a processing or transitional phase. Once this phase ends, we anticipate another decline in price.
This outlook is based on recurring patterns seen in previous BTC cycles, which have shown similar behavior in the past.
BTC can play on the low time frame with uptrends and downtrends, but if we will choice a side, then it will be the red trend.. since BTC cycle is ending.
Bitcoin - An Epic Move Awaits!Bitcoin gained 13% in H1 2025, outperforming Ethereum and Solana, which dropped ~25% and ~17% respectively—highlighting BTC's strength in turbulent market conditions.
Institutional wedge: spot-BTC ETFs saw huge inflows—BlackRock’s took in $336M, and total crypto product inflows approached $45B+ this year.
AI models foresee BTC holding $105K+ by end-June, with ChatGPT pointing to $118K and Grok forecasting $108K, based on momentum and ETF flows.
We see BTC holding the 20 MA and spiking to new all time highs.