TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #117👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
After nearly 20 days of inactivity on this channel, we’re back with our regular analyses. As the first post in this new round, I’ll continue the Bitcoin series and present analysis number 117.
✅As usual, the analysis is done on the 1-hour timeframe to identify potential futures triggers for the New York session.
📰 Before diving into the charts, let’s briefly look at the market fundamentals. Over the past three weeks, we’ve had the news of the conflict between Iran and Israel. Aside from the initial couple of days, it didn’t have a significant impact on the market, and eventually, the market stopped reacting to it. Right now, the two countries have agreed to a ceasefire and seem to be negotiating.
🔍 In my opinion, the market is unlikely to care anymore whether this war continues or not. Whether they reach an agreement or not probably won’t make a big difference to the market.
🔑 The other major event was the Federal Reserve meeting. Everyone was expecting Jerome Powell to provide some clear outlook regarding US monetary policy, but once again, that didn’t happen. Powell didn’t provide any meaningful data.
📊 This uncertainty led to minimal market volatility and prevented any strong legs from forming, with no significant volume entering the market as everyone was waiting for Powell’s remarks. Since that didn’t yield much, the market remains indecisive for now.
💥 We’ll have to wait and see what kind of impactful news comes in the future. Until then, it’s best to remain patient.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour chart, you can see a bullish move that started from the 105370 zone, and with strong buying volume, price broke through 108619 and reached the top of 110256.
✨ Currently, price has only wicked into 110256 and hasn’t shown a decisive reaction to it yet. If it revisits this zone, we’ll be able to observe its real reaction to the supply level.
🔔 The current support zone is 108619, which has already received a bounce, forming a range box between 108619 and 110256.
📈 If the 110256 level breaks, the upward move could continue with another bullish leg.
🔽 For short positions, the first trigger would be a confirmation below 108619. But for a more reliable short, I would wait for the price to form a lower high and a lower low below that zone before entering.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin dominance is currently hovering around a key support at 65.04. A key resistance sits at 65.64, which would be the first trigger for bullish continuation.
⭐ The main breakout level for starting a new bullish trend in dominance would be 65.97. For bearish confirmation, a break below 65.04 would suffice.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Looking at Total2, a range box has formed between 1.15 and 1.17, with price oscillating in between.
🧩 Momentum is currently bullish, and there’s a high chance of breaking above 1.17. If this level is broken, we could see another bullish leg and a long position would be valid.
📉 For shorts, a break below 1.15 would be the first signal, but I personally prefer to wait for a clearer trend change before entering any short positions.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
USDT dominance is also ranging between 4.72 and 4.78, very similar to Total2.
📊 A break below 4.72 would confirm a bearish move, while a break above 4.78 would indicate bullish continuation for dominance.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTCUSDT trade ideas
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #122👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the latest analysis of Bitcoin and major crypto indicators. As usual, this update will focus on potential triggers for the New York futures session.
⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour chart, Bitcoin is once again ranging between the 107,853 and 108,619 levels.
✔️ Last night, Bitcoin briefly faked out below the bottom of this range, so we now need to wait and see how the price reacts upon revisiting this area.
💫 I believe it’s best to hold off on entering a short position until we identify the precise location of the support line. As price retests this area, we can pinpoint the true support level.
✨ Once that level is confirmed, and if it breaks, a short position could be considered. The next support zones would be at 106,586 and 105,370.
📊 Make sure to watch the volume closely for this trade, and I strongly recommend waiting for a volume confirmation before entering.
📈 As for a long position, if 108,619 breaks to the upside, we could consider going long. The buying volume in the current upward leg is increasing, and if this trend continues, a breakout above 108,619 would make a long position reasonable.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Moving on to Bitcoin dominance — it has once again reached its trendline and is currently being rejected from it. If this rejection continues, BTC.D could decline toward 65.04.
🔍 However, if the trendline breaks, the 65.31 level will be the bullish confirmation trigger.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Now on to the Total2 index (altcoin market cap excluding BTC), it has bounced from the 1.14 support and is moving toward 1.16.
🔑 A breakout above 1.16 would serve as a bullish confirmation for long positions, with 1.17 acting as the main breakout trigger.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
USDT dominance is also moving downward and has reached the 4.78 support zone.
💥 A breakdown below this level would confirm a bearish continuation toward the 4.72 level..
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin Recovers Above 105,000, Extremely Bullish +AltcoinsBitcoin produced only two days red, a bear-trap, and is now trading daily back above $107,000, an extremely bullish development.
Good morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having wonderful day.
The altcoins market bull market is confirmed and what Bitcoin is currently doing gives further strength to the bullish case and bias. It will be only a matter of days before the entire altcoins market turns strongly bullish with major momentum.
The range is still valid though, $100,000 - $110,000. But this time around the upper-boundary is likely to break and the last ATH tested, a new all-time high is even possible and also highly probable which is what will propelled the altcoins to hit multi-year highs and some even new all-time highs. Many pairs will move ahead.
With each passing day, the Cryptocurrency market will continue to heat up. We can expect growth long-term.
The 2025 bullish cycle started with the 7-April market low. The start of the third wave started 22-June and should go for 2-3 months. Then we will have a correction, the fourth wave followed by one final jump, the fifth wave.
We can expect growth now and all through late 2025. The entire period will be bullish. Only when the marketwide correction comes there will be a pause but many pairs will grow even at this point.
Choose wisely. Low risk vs high potential for reward.
Aim high. Focus on the long-term.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Macro view of BTC - why is nobody talking about this?Looking at the weekly BTC chart, there’s a clear long-term resistance that dates back to 2017 and still hasn’t been broken convincingly. There’s plenty of talk this cycle about Bitcoin hitting 150k, just like there was hype around 100k in 2021.
In 2021, BTC formed a significant resistance, which was retested and confirmed in late 2024 and early 2025. Now the common line is: “This time is different. We have institutional money.” That’s true to an extent, but market psychology doesn’t change. Profit is profit. And when sentiment turns, even institutional and ETF-driven retail investors will take it.
BTC is still considered a speculative asset, and for good reason. It doesn’t generate income or yield — it’s only worth what someone else will pay for it.
Right now, BTC appears to be forming a bull flag, but if it can’t push past the 116k to 120k range with strength, I’ll be looking to short it on the way down.
If we get a strong breakout and hold above 120k, then, and only then, do I see a path toward a 150k top.
BTC third tap incoming? Recently, BTC has traded for a large amount of time in ranging environments. These ranges have started with a local range high and then an initial 3-tap accumulation (i.e., a local low and then two sweeps of that low) before making a solid attempt at the range highs. The sweeps of the lows are meant to shake people out and provide fuel to try to break higher. The previous two times, that initial attempt failed and the price was sent lower to put in a second 3-tap accumulation at lower prices.
Will the current price move back down to put in the 3rd tap of the current relatively small accumulation? That is my base case. I believe we will see some lower prices locally to put in the 3rd tap. I think the Bitcoin Swing Trade Indicator (BSTI) will fire off green one more time and then we will then make a run to try to break out of this current massive range (that started last year in November). This current range is fairly small, so it is not worth it to me to sell here to try to buy lower.
The bigger question is: Will we have enough fuel to durably break out of this range after the 3rd tap of the current accumulation (green line) or are we destined to repeat the pattern of the last two bigger ranges (red line), one of which we are still in? I personally believe we will break out after the smaller range 3rd tap (the green line) based on the larger context of cycle theory, how long we have been in this range, and how the current small range is part of the larger range starting back in November 2024.
It will be interesting to see what happens.
Da_Prof
Note that TV won't allow publication of a private/unpublished indicator anymore or I would have shown the BSTI, which is now published as invite only. It's implementation is too complicated to publish openly, so I don't feel comfortable doing that. If you want access, please DM me on TradingView. Thanks.
BITCOIN CRASH INCOMING!!! (Brace Yourself Now???) I am breaking down MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN and the potential completion of the 4th wave on an leading diagonal which might work as an early warning of a crash towards $93k!
Wait for the confirmations, and play the market with a proper trading strategy that you have backtested enough to be able to say that you will be long-term profitable. That means make sure your trading system is good enough that you always have an edge and a great enough money management system to make sure that you are giving your edge enough space to play out in the long run and be robust against losing streaks!
Bitcoin Roadmap => Short-termBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving above a Heavy Resistance zone($110,720-$105,820) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($110,300-$111,177) and is approaching All-Time High(ATH) .
Do you think Bitcoin will create a new All-Time High(ATH) in this rally?
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin's rise over the last two days appears to have been in the form of wave 5 .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks.
I expect Bitcoin to start declining in the coming hours. Targets are marked on the chart.
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $106,750-$106,202
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $111,223
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Monthly · New ATH vs 2021, Indicators & MoreLast month Bitcoin produced its highest close ever, $107,146. The last three months all closed green, the close was higher than the open, and this is the fourth green month so far.
Bitcoin tends to produce a period of bullish consolidation before a major move, and this is exactly what we are seeing now. Bitcoin tends to produce a correction before a major bullish move, and this is exactly what happened between January and April. Bitcoin is set to grow.
Past action · consolidation
We already looked at the consolidation period that happens between each major price advance. Since 2022, Bitcoin has been moving sideways for some 200-220 days before each advance. This happened in 2022, 2023, 2024 and also now in 2025.
Looking at it from the monthly timeframe, the consolidation period was capped each time at 7 bars, 214 days. Current consolidation has already been going for more than 215 days. Bitcoin is set to continue growing.
Indicators · MAs, RSI & MACD
Bitcoin is trading above all moving averages. The monthly RSI is very strong, beyond 70.6.
The monthly MACD is moving at all-time high levels, trending up with room available for additional growth.
Chart patterns · candlestick reading
The chart patterns now has no similarities to 2021. Many people were saying that Bitcoin produced a double-top similar to 2021 and was set to move down. I completely disagree with this analysis.
In 2021 both instances when Bitcoin peaked the month ended up closing red. In 2025 the months when Bitcoin peaked the months ended closing green.
The same month the peak was hit in 2021 was followed by bearish action, twice. And of course, the bear market. In 2025 the market has been consolidating for months and trading near its all-time high.
Finally, in 2021 each peak was 7 months apart, 214. In 2025, the last two peaks are 4 months apart, only 120 days.
This difference is good to point out because market conditions are not the same. Not the same market conditions means that Bitcoin is not likely to go into a bear market now, instead, it can produce something difference. The market has only three directions: Down, sideways and up.
Down has been eliminated based on past action.
Sideways is happening now.
Something different only leaves the upside open; Bitcoin is going up.
Namaste.
Bitcoin has dropped for profitable purchasesBitcoin is within the range. Quite a bit of time has passed since the last retest, and the liquidity pool that has formed below 106345 may not allow the price to fall on the first attempt.
Global and local trends are bullish. Enter a buy position after a false breakout of support and the formation of a local reversal pattern on TF m5-m15
Scenario: if, after a false breakout, price consolidation forms above 106500, then the entry point could be a breakout of local highs (breakout of the structure - ‘bos’).
Lingrid | BTCUSDT possible Channel Break - Upside Surge The price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . BINANCE:BTCUSDT is pulling back slightly after rejecting the descending red trendline near the 108,000 level, while remaining above the breakout zone around 105,000. The structure suggests a potential bullish continuation if the price holds this level and forms a higher low. A successful breakout above 108,000 could ignite a move toward the 111,000 resistance band.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 105,000–105,300
Sell trigger: breakdown below 105,000
Target: 111,000
Buy trigger: breakout and retest above 108,000 with strong momentum
💡 Risks
Failure to hold 105,000 reopens path to 98,700
Bearish rejection at 108,000 could maintain lower high structure
Weak volume breakout may lead to a bull trap under 111,000
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Bitcoin Expecting Bullish FormationBitcoin could be triggered by negative news from the U.S. regarding tariffs, which may create market uncertainty and push investors toward risk-off or alternative assets like crypto.
Currently, Bitcoin is reacting to the decline caused by fundamental negative data, but bullish sentiment remains alive as buyers attempt to hold key support zones. The focus now shifts to the psychological resistance near 110K
You may find more details in the chart.
Ps support with like and comments for more better analysis.
BITCOIN: BULL TRAP???! (Be careful if you are long)Yello! I am breaking down Bitcoin, and sharing with you the Elliot Wave descending Leading diagonal formation, Rising wedge aka contracting triangle where E wave might be forming a corrective mode wave triangle itself and, after that’s formed we might start crashing if we will get the confirmations we are waiting for, and which some of them I shared with you in this video. Enjoy Paradisers!
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #121👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indicators. As usual, I’ll walk you through the triggers for the New York futures session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see on the 1-hour timeframe, the upward move Bitcoin made yesterday turned out to be a fakeout, and the price is now heading downward.
⚡️ I’m not moving the 108619 line for now. I’ll wait to see if the price reacts to it again in the future, then decide whether to adjust it.
✅ Currently, if the 107853 level breaks, we can enter a short position. We already have volume confirmation, and if this increase in volume continues, we could see a sharp downward move.
📈 Next support levels for Bitcoin in this timeframe are 106586 and 105370, which can be used as targets.
✨ If Bitcoin starts moving upward again, the long trigger remains the 110256 level. A breakout here would mark the beginning of a true uptrend.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin dominance continued its downward move today, dropping close to the 65.04 level.
🔼 We’re currently seeing a reaction at this level, suggesting some support. A break below 65.04 could trigger a strong downtrend.
📅 Total2 Analysis
This index is still in an uptrend but showing significant weakness. It’s currently sitting on key support at 1.15.
⚡️ A break below this level could give us a short position. Additional support levels are 1.14 and 1.13. For a long position, the only trigger we have right now is 1.17.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Looking at Tether dominance, it’s still hovering around the 4.78 level. After a brief fakeout below, it has returned above that zone.
📊 If this level breaks again, Tether dominance could move down toward 4.72.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC - Zoomed Out ScenarioAs predicted DXY has broken down a major monthly bearish trendline - currently finishing a bearish retest before further free fall.
If this plays out we have 2-3 years of a weakening / correcting dollar, and a strengthening investment in assets such as Bitcoin.
This means an extended bull market spanning 2-4 years on Bitcoin and equities.
However - there is a mass amount of liquidity to the uber lows towards 10,000 on BTC.
Market is showing manipulated intention to hit these lows by keeping the price below this bearish cross section - and that’s why bitcoin hasn’t been moving up yet.
This tells me this is more likely than we all think to play out.
I’m trading the following:
Short - 108,200 to 35,000
Long - 35,000 to 80,000
Short - 80,000 to 10,000
Will update accordingly if the plan changes.
Happy trading.
BTC/USDT Chart Analysis (4H)Patterns and Structure:
Bitcoin remains inside a larger converging structure (symmetrical triangle/wedge) visible from the diagonal trendline.
The price has recently broken above the descending resistance trendline but is hovering near the red resistance area (~$109,000–$110,000).
Ichimoku Cloud:
The price is currently above the Ichimoku Cloud, which acts as support (~$107,000–$108,000 area).
The cloud below the price is green, indicating bullish momentum.
Key Areas:
Resistance Area: $109,000–$110,000 (red box). Multiple previous rejections from this area.
Support Zone: $106,000–$107,000 (cloud and trendline support).
Key Lower Support: The green box near $98,000–$100,000, in case of a deeper retracement.
Possible Scenario:
As your blue arrow suggests, if Bitcoin consolidates above the breakout level (~$108,000), a rally towards the next major resistance between $112,000–$114,000 is likely.
Conversely, losing the breakout zone could see BTC return to retest lower support levels around $106,000 or $100,000.
Short-term Outlook:
The trend bias remains bullish as long as BTC stays above ~$107,000.
Monitor price reaction to the red resistance zone for breakout confirmation or potential rejection.
Conclusion:
BTC is showing signs of strength, but the $109,000-$110,000 resistance zone is crucial. A confirmed breakout above this zone could accelerate the move towards the $112,000-$114,000 targets.
Stay tuned for updates and key levels to watch!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Delayed Cycle Kicks Off This March? (Chart)🚀📈 Delayed Cycle Kicks Off This March? 🔥💡
March has (almost) arrived, and Bitcoin has officially confirmed $79,478 as major structural support—a critical level that had to be checked before the next move. This aligns perfectly with my previous idea of a delayed cycle playing out.
📌 Long above 79K
📌 Short below 79K
📌 Short-term target: GETTEX:87K+
With this structural support holding, I expect Bitcoin to push toward the next major test: $113,800. This is the all-time trendline, a level of historical significance.
🔑 What happens at 113K?
This is where Bitcoin’s fate for this cycle will be decided:
✅ A breakout above 113K could unlock a run to 150K - 200K, a true extension of this cycle.
❌ A terminal rejection at 113K could mark the end of this cycle, signaling a broader correction phase.
At the moment, the probabilities lean toward further upside, with an 80% chance of continuation. The 20% downside risk remains for a dip to FWB:65K-66K, but as long as Bitcoin stays above 79K, the bullish thesis remains intact.
💡 March looks strong, and I’m stepping on the gas today.
Let’s make it a powerful month! 🚀
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
video:
July 10th Market Outlook –Charted Waters & Uncertain Momentum🗓️📊 July 10th Market Outlook – Charted Waters & Uncertain Momentum 🌊⚠️
Today’s breakdown is a reality check for traders navigating a market full of setups but short on clarity. Resistance is stacking across the board, but that doesn’t mean we can’t break through — it just means we need to stay sharp and keep our charts close.
🔎 Highlights from the 19-minute video:
Bitcoin is approaching a third and crucial resistance test. A breakout could trigger ultra-FOMO, but failure here could send us lower.
Ethereum is in a pressure zone — the "Symplegades" setup from Greek mythology reflects today’s narrow trading path.
Bitcoin Dominance is clinging to support — if it breaks, altseason could be on. If it holds, alts may stay sidelined.
NASDAQ & Nvidia have delivered massive runs, but signs of exhaustion and reversal risk are showing.
Dollar Index (DXY) showing a Golden Cross, but unresolved rate expectations could catch markets off guard.
💬 I also speak candidly about market manipulation, being someone else’s exit liquidity, and why we might be heading toward a formative trap before any true breakout.
🎥 Watch the full video to catch all the details — from long-term setups to real-time chart reactions.
📌 Stay tuned for detailed updates today on Bitcoin, Ethereum, Bitcoin Dominance, NASDAQ and more.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
BTC - Bulls Getting Ready!!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈BTC has been bullish trading within the flat rising wedge marked in blue and it is currently retesting the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, the orange zone is a strong demand.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of demand and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #BTC approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Breakout vs Fakeout: How to Spot the DifferenceHello, Traders! 🖖🏻
There’s probably no phrase that triggers more mixed emotions in crypto trading than: “Looks like we’re breaking out!”. Because let’s be honest…For every clean breakout that follows through with momentum…
…there’s a fakeout waiting to trap overconfident entries.
So, how do you tell the difference? Let’s break it down!
🧱 What Is a Breakout?
A breakout occurs when the price moves decisively beyond a key level, such as support, resistance, a trendline, or a range boundary, and holds.
What makes it a REAL breakout?
Volume Expansion: More participants step in as the price moves through the level.
Strong Candle Closes: Especially on higher timeframes like 4H or 1D.
Follow-Through: The market doesn’t just poke above the level. It builds on it.
No Immediate Rejection: You don’t see a sharp wick straight back below.
Example from BTC (2021):
Look back at January to February 2021. BTC had been stuck under the $42K–$43K resistance for weeks. Every push got sold off, until it didn’t.
When the breakout finally came, it was clean. The massive daily candle closed right through the level. Volume exploded. And there wasn’t even a polite little retest, price just launched straight toward $58K, leaving anyone waiting for a pullback completely behind.
Pure trend breakout energy. Everything lined up: the context, the volume, the structure — textbook 🤌🏻
🪤 What Is a Fakeout?
A fakeout, on the other hand, looks like a breakout… until it isn’t. The price briefly moves beyond a key level, but then snaps back inside the range, often trapping late buyers (or sellers) and triggering stop-losses.
Common Signs of a FAKEOUT:
Low or Declining Volume (at the breakout moment).
Quick Rejection with a Long Wick (especially on intraday charts).
Failure to Hold Above the Level on Retest.
Divergence Between Timeframes: For example, a 15M breakout that looks strong while the 4H still shows consolidation.
Classic BTC example:
This one was sneaky! After BTC hit its all-time high around $65K, the market started looking shaky. Price tried to recover by pushing back into the $58K–$60K zone, a pretty critical level at the time. It looked like a breakout attempt… but something was off. No real volume. No strong candle closes. And then, BOOM, hard rejection. The price popped just enough above resistance to lure in breakout traders (and probably clear out some stop-losses)… then completely reversed. And not just a minor pullback, this fakeout basically triggered the entire leg down toward $30K. Classic liquidity grab. The kind of move that looks like strength for a second… until it absolutely isn’t.
🕵️♂️ Key Differences: Breakout vs Fakeout (Checklist)
🧠 What Causes Fakeouts in Crypto?
Honestly, fakeouts aren’t some kind of accident. They’re almost baked into how crypto markets work.
Part of it comes down to simple liquidity hunting. The market knows exactly where traders tend to place their stop losses, right above resistance or just below support. Price often spikes into those zones, triggers stops, fills larger orders for bigger players… and then reverses completely.
Another reason? A lack of real conviction. Sometimes, it’s mostly retail traders chasing a move. Price pokes above a key level, but there just isn’t enough momentum to sustain it. Without bigger buyers or sellers stepping in, the move collapses right back.
And let’s be honest. When everyone on Crypto Twitter is watching the exact same level, fakeouts become almost inevitable. The more obvious the setup, the more likely it gets front-run, faded, or manipulated.
Plus, a huge mistake? People ignore the higher timeframe context. A breakout on the 15-minute chart might feel exciting… but if the 1D or 4H is still clearly in a downtrend, that breakout is fighting against the bigger picture. No surprise it fails. Fakeouts happen because the market’s job is to make most people wrong, at least for a moment.
🧭 Final Thought
Breakouts and fakeouts are part of the same game: they involve both liquidity and psychology. The market rewards patience, context, and waiting for confirmation. Sometimes, missing the first candle can save you from being a liability to someone else. So, next time an asset “breaks out,” take a second look. Is it really moving with force? Or is it just another trap waiting to be sprung?
What’s the last fakeout that caught you off guard? Drop your story in the comments. Let’s compare lessons learned!