BTCUSDT – Bearish signs emerge below resistanceAfter a strong bullish run, BTCUSDT is now showing clear signs of weakness near the resistance zone around 109,600–112,000. Price action has formed a cluster of rejection candles at the top, failing to break above this key level – signaling that selling pressure is gaining control.
The current structure suggests a potential trend reversal, especially as the latest bearish candle came with rising volume, confirming selling interest from the supply zone. If the price breaks below the 101,500 support, BTC may continue dropping toward the 93,500–84,500 range – a high-liquidity area on the volume profile.
The previous bullish momentum appears to have lost strength, and this pullback may be confirming a shift after reaching its upper limit. As long as BTC remains below the 112,000 resistance, the bearish bias remains dominant.
BTCUSDT trade ideas
Bitcoin Near Breakout – CPI Miss Could Be the Catalyst?Just Released: Key U.S. Inflation Data:
Core CPI m/m: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast)
CPI m/m: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast)
CPI y/y: 2.4% (vs. 2.5% forecast)
Market Reaction & Outlook:
The softer-than-expected inflation figures suggest easing price pressures in the U.S. economy — a potential bullish signal for risk assets, such as Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ).
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Now let's take a look at the Bitcoin chart on the 1-hour time frame .
Bitcoin is trading in the upper part of a Heavy Resistance zone($104,380-$103,670) and is trying to break through this zone. The announcement of US indexes could be a trigger for a breakout of this zone .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave 4 of the main wave 3 . The structure of microwave 4 is a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and near the Support line again and rise to at least $110,670 and if the Heavy Resistance zone($104,380-$103,670) is broken we should expect new ATHs in the coming days .
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $108,791-$107,887
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $106,840-$105,457
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $111,381-$110,568
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $105,700(Worst Stop Loss(SL)), we should expect further declines.
If you want to know my weekly analysis about BTC , I suggest you check out the following idea:
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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BTCUSDT | Neutral to Bearish Bias | Range Top | (June 8, 2025)BTCUSDT | Neutral to Bearish Bias | Range Top + Money Flow Out | (June 8, 2025)
1️⃣ Insight Summary:
Bitcoin is currently ranging near the top of a multi-day structure, but money flow has been consistently negative on the daily — hinting at hidden weakness. I'm now preparing for a potential move lower despite recent bullish sentiment.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters (Risk Management Focus):
Bias: Neutral to short-term bearish
Key Level to Watch: ~$94,000 (potential support target)
Risk Strategy:
— Reducing altcoin exposure by 50%
— Moving stop losses to entry across open positions
— Hedging if downside momentum increases
(This is not financial advice — just a view on how I’m managing risk.)
3️⃣ Key Notes:
❌ Money Flow Weakness: Daily outflows have been persistent across the entire consolidation — a warning sign even if price holds range highs.
📊 4H Structure: Still within a clean range. Currently at the top, which historically has triggered rejections.
🔥 Exchange Behavior: We're seeing flows back into exchanges, not out — which could suggest increased sell pressure or rotation rather than long-term accumulation.
🧠 Sentiment Caution: While many are still targeting higher levels (like $100K+), this current range and flow data suggests a pause or pullback before continuation — if it happens.
4️⃣ Follow-Up:
Will stay cautious and flexible. If BTC breaks above the range cleanly with strong volume and inflow data flips, I’ll re-evaluate bias. Until then, managing exposure tightly.
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
PSYCHOLOGY OF A CRYPTO CYCLEWe expected a pullback, and now thats behind us!😅
The market is back on track, and we are firmly in the #Belief phase of the bull cycle.
With heavy short liquidity stacked around $110K, a push into that zone could trigger a short squeeze, launching us into the #Thrill phase.
And if momentum holds, all signs point to #Euphoria by late 2025.
Favorites so far this cycle:
🥑 POLONIEX:GUACUSDT 🔗 POLONIEX:LLUSDT 🎮 KUCOIN:MYRIAUSDT
🌐 HTX:SYNTUSDT 🧪 MEXC:DEAIUSDT 🏠 OKX:PRCLUSDT
🧱 MEXC:YBRUSDT ⛏️ MEXC:KLSUSDT 🧩 $RUJIUSDT
Comment below your favorite coins!
BTC: H4 Plan 25/06/25Trade Plan – H4 BTC
Market Context:
- Total market cap has retraced into a 4H order block
- BTC is holding stronger relative to total
- Market has been range-bound for 43 days – HTF is sideways
Key Levels:
- 3.18T on total = clean long trigger, aligns with BTC monthly close + daily FVG + 0.5 fib retrace
- 110k = equal highs, 0.886 fib level, clear derisk point for intraday and key supply zone
Trade Strategy:
- Wait for 3.18T retest on total market cap before entering
- Look to long BTC on any dip into monthly close + daily FVG + 0.5 retrace region
- Flip short at 110k – until breakout is confirmed, treat this as a range-bound environment
Do you think it supports this model?After two weeks away from you, I am back.
Hello friends, as some of you dear ones know, I live in Iran, and due to the two-week war in Iran, I was not in the mood for analysis, nor was the internet helpful.
But I came back to you so that we can identify the profits together.
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The chart you see has formed an old pattern (flag pattern), and if it breaks out of this pattern from above, we can expect an increase as large as the previous lag.
The target of this increase is the area that we had mentioned in previous Bitcoin analyses. (You can enter the page and look at the analyses)
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I hope you have used this analysis well.
I wish you complete peace wherever you are.
You can follow the page to see more analyses, hoping for good days.
BTC/USD Thief Breakout at $107K – Eyeing $115K!🚨 Thief Entry Setup: BTC/USD Breakout Play 🚨
Overview:
Jump in after the $107 000 breakout—aiming for $115 000 with a tight “Thief SL” at $102 500. Adjust the stop‑loss to match your personal risk tolerance.
🧠 Setup Summary
Pair: BTC/USD
Entry trigger: Breakout above $107 000
Stop‑Loss: “Thief SL” at $102 500 (use your own risk‑based SL)
Target: $115 000
🎯 Why This Setup?
Clear breakout level at $107 000 = fresh momentum
Tight SL cushion (≈‑4.3%) = defined risk
Target ≈ +7.5% potential = strong reward-to-risk (~1.75:1)
📏 Risk Management Tips:
Only risk a small % of your capital—never exceed your comfort zone.
Move your SL to breakeven once mid‑target is hit to lock in profits.
Trailing your stop‑loss could secure bigger gains if BTC surges toward $115 000.
BTC recovers, price range sideways trend line💎 Update Plan BTC (June 25)
Notable news about BTC:
🌐 Growth stimulus factor
Reducing geopolitical tensions: The ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel has helped improve investor psychology, promote capital inflows into risky assets like Bitcoin.
The dollar weakened: The USD index dropped to the lowest level in a year due to concerns about the economic impact from President Trump's tax policies, making Bitcoin a more attractive choice for investors to search for replacement assets.
Expectations for monetary policy: The decision of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) on keeping interest rates stable and interest rate cutting capacity in July has motivated the cryptocurrency market.
Technical analysis angle
Bitcoin may increase to the highest level of all time
Bitcoin price reached the lowest level of $ 98,200 on Sunday but has recovered strongly 5% in the next two days, closed on the dynamic average line according to the 50 -day exponential jaw at $ 103,352. At the time of writing on Monday, the price continued to trade higher at about $ 106,500.
If BTC continues to increase, the price can expand the momentum to the highest level of all time is $ 111,980 on May 22.
The relative power index (RSI) on the daily chart is 54, higher than the neutral level of 50, showing the motivation for price increase. The average divergent divergence (MACD) is referring to the price intersection (the MACD is about to cut on the signal line), if completed, the purchase signal will be made.
==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
Bitcoin may reach resistance level and then start to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Previously, the price was trading inside a well-defined downward channel, repeatedly rebounding from both the support and resistance lines. Each upward move got rejected within the seller zone, especially around the 108500 - 109200 range, which acted as a strong barrier multiple times. Later, BTC dropped to the buyer zone near 102700 - 102000, and from there, we saw a strong impulse up. This impulse broke through the channel resistance line and the support area, indicating a short-term bullish breakout. At the moment, the price is approaching the resistance level at 108500, which previously served as a turning point. Given that this area also aligns with the upper boundary of the seller zone, I believe we may see another reversal from this level. In my opinion, after reaching resistance, BTC may start a new downward wave, targeting the 102700 support level. This is where I’ve set my TP 1. Considering the recent breakout, the historical significance of the resistance, and the strong reaction from seller zones, I remain bearish in the short term and expect a potential decline toward support. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin (BTC) Short Setup at Key Daily ResistanceIn this analysis, you will find a clear scenario for a potential short setup with precise conditions for confirmation and invalidation. No fluff or guesswork—only institutional analysis of capital footprints and pure price action. I will provide updates for every stage of price interaction with the POI in near real-time, so you can make timely trading decisions, not just observe events after the fact.
Context: What Happened Before?
Bitcoin has perfectly played out Scenario 2 from my previous long analysis. After the liquidity sweep below, which confirmed that the instrument is locked in a large global range, it began an aggressive, correction-less rally. This is often the case after absorbing a large amount of liquidity, which essentially became the fuel for this rise.
The Short Setup
To break out of the range to the upside (or at least make a deviation above it), Bitcoin must overcome the first serious resistance zone. This zone consists of:
The 78.6% Fibonacci level from the daily structure.
Liquidity from the Previous Week's High (PWH) .
My plan is to look for a short position if we see a reversal reaction from this zone after the liquidity is taken. The minimum target for this move would be the lower boundary of the range and the daily order block located there. This local move inside the range can be seen as a shorting opportunity.
Invalidation of the Short Scenario:
A break of the 78.6% level with the price closing firmly above it would cancel the short scenario. In that case, Bitcoin would likely continue its move towards the next resistance level.
Bitcoin (BTC): Going For Another Breakout | New ATH?Bitcoin is showing strong signs of buyside movement, where we are pressuring the local resistance zone, which upon breaking should lead us to a new ATH area.
We have had multiple attempts to break out from that area, so being back here does not mean anything. yeet, we have to ave clean breakout in order to see the $120K area tested.
Swallow Academy
Bitcoin Update 25.06.2025 —Altcoins, Top Altcoins Choice & MoreGood morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a nice week and a wonderful day.
We have good news to start today and it is all based on Bitcoin's price action. This is going a bit deep on the daily noise, price swings.
Price action analysis
Bitcoin went deep on its sideways range and tested below 100K. This is normal for a sideways market. The positive news comes from the fact that Bitcoin is once more trading above $106,000 and already hit above $107,000. This type of action reveals a bullish bias.
If the market was mainly bearish with a major drop on the deck, say going below 90K or 80K even, then Bitcoin would not be allowed to go beyond $105,000. In fact, any bounce or small recovery would be quickly sold as bear would be active, waiting and selling each time prices move up.
The fact that Bitcoin can grow day after day and consume all selling pressure while doing so, reveals a strong presence from buyers. We know this to be true because Bitcoin is now in a new phase in its evolution and growth cycle. It is truly a young technology that only now is being fully accepted with plenty of room available for growth.
We have three instances where Bitcoin moved above 110K. The selling that happened afterward is not filled with pressure, instead you can see some standard candles as prices continue to consolidate.
On the other hand, notice the last session from 21-June (21-24 June —3D candles). You can see a long lower shadow, a bullish hammer; there was definitely strong buying pressure as soon as Bitcoin reached below support.
Altcoins market action
Some altcoins continue to produce multi-months high. The highest price since January 2025. These altcoins recovered, started to rise and continue rising in clear, standard bull market fashion. Literally straight up.
Some altcoins did even better and grew as high as December or November 2021. The highest price in almost four years. This is very important when we go deep into the chart and price action because it is the main revealing signal. The altcoins simply do not go on a major bull market before a market crash. If the altcoins are recovering or rallying, it is because the market is set to "buy." The Cryptocurrency market is in bullish mode.
If the market was set to drop long-term then we would be experiencing a rise that is running out of momentum. This rise would later peak and a surprise sudden flash crash would signal the start of a major downturn. This is not what we see.
Inversely, if prices are going to rise strongly we start by seeing some form of retrace or correction, this event losing momentum and volume and then finally a strong bullish jump as soon as support is confirmed. This bullish jump would signal the start of a major market move. This is what we are experiencing today.
Bitcoin & Altcoins
Bitcoin and the altcoins move together. Bitcoin leads the altcoins, the altcoins reveal what Bitcoin will do when the action is sideways.
We can always say that Bitcoin is leading the altcoins of course because Bitcoin has been growing non-stop since November 2022. The major trend being bullish the altcoins are set to follow at some point.
Now, when Bitcoin goes sideways, by definition, anything goes. The market can break-down just as it can break-up. This is where the altcoins become useful.
If smaller Cryptocurrency projects are moving ahead, strongly and even producing 3-4 multi-year highs, it reveals what Bitcoin will do once its consolidation period ends.
Buying Bitcoin
In short, Bitcoin is going up. The next major market move is a rise and we have proof coming from the signals, the altcoins and the charts.
Never again in its history Bitcoin will trade below 80K. 90K soon to be gone... Once the action starts, you will look like a genius for buying below $110,000.
What to choose: Bitcoin or altcoins?
Now, my personal suggestion is different. If you are not a whale, the way to go are the altcoins. Why? Because there is more room for these to grow. We can say that the altcoins are riskier, but risk is almost non-existent with spot. We can simply focus on the pairs that have been filtered by the major exchanges. Reputable pairs with a long track record and plenty of room available for growth. You can't go wrong with those.
If you are ready for the 2025 bull market, leave a comment below.
Altcoins analysis by request
I think it is time for a new Your Top Altcoins Choice, session. It is always wise to do these when the market hits bottom or before a major bullish wave, that's exactly where we are now. If you agree and would like to see a new session, leave a comment saying "Yes! Top Altcoins Choice." If there is enough interest we can work together and find many hidden gems. It can be done with your support.
Namaste.
What now BTC?#bitcoin price has been moving in an ascending wedge for a few days. Although ascending wedges may end up bearish, there' s another chance for #btc price to break out this wedge and catch upper liquidities above 108K. But, also there' s a bearish divergence has been forming in this lower time frame chart of #btcusdt .
Maker may ignore this divergence and allow bots to print another HH but it' s now wise to be careful and watch out. The reverse is acceptable for #usdt dominance chart.
Breaking out 110K is the temporary invalidation of bull trap and above 120K is the complete invalidation.
Long trade
🟢 Trade Journal Entry – Buyside Trade
📍 Pair: BTCUSDT
📅 Date: Monday, June 23, 2025
🕒 Time: 10:00 AM (NY Session AM)
⏱ Time Frame: Not specified (assumed 4Hr or intraday swing)
📈 Direction: Buyside
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Metric Value
Entry Price 101,705.24
Profit Level 108,783.85 (+6.96% %)
Stop Loss 99,579.47 (−2.09%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 3.33 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
High-Conviction Buyside Play:
Entry aligns with the broader BTCUSD bullish structure, supported by consistent higher-timeframe momentum.
Liquidity Grab Below Key Low:
Market swept downside liquidity near $99,600 before reversing sharply, indicating smart money accumulation.
Stop level moved (2.86%)
Bitcoin - overview with Initiative AnalysisHey traders and investors!
📍 Context
On the daily timeframe, the market is in a sideways range.
The boundaries are marked with black lines.
Buyer initiative is currently active.
Targets: 108,952; 110,530; 111,980.
📊 Key Actions
The seller attempted twice, on increased volume, to break down below the range, but both times the buyer brought the price back inside. Only seller wicks remained below the lower boundary.
🎯 Trade Idea
🔹 Look for long setups from 105 500 -104,622 or the 103,400–100,718 zone.
There is no context for short trades at the moment.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
BTC HIGH DATA SHOW BREAKDOWN TO 85K FOR BITCOIN SOON.Bitcoin Market Update
BTC SEEMS TO ENTER A NEW CORRECTION PHASE SOON.
Recent data suggests that the current Bitcoin (BTC) cycle is coming to an end. As a result, we may soon see a downward move in BTC's price. The key target in this potential drop is around $85,000, with expectations that BTC will fall below $100,000.
This week, Bitcoin completed its cycle trend and is now entering a processing or transitional phase. Once this phase ends, we anticipate another decline in price.
This outlook is based on recurring patterns seen in previous BTC cycles, which have shown similar behavior in the past.
BTC can play on the low time frame with uptrends and downtrends, but if we will choice a side, then it will be the red trend.. since BTC cycle is ending.
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption Analysis – BTC/USDT
1. False Bullish Narrative
The chart labels the structure as “Bullish”, yet recent price action shows:
A strong rejection near 106,000.
Followed by multiple red candles with increasing volume — a common sign of sell pressure re-entering the market.
The bullish label may be premature or misleading based on this momentum shift.
2. Bearish Structure Developing
The price is starting to form a lower high after the sharp drop.
The outlined path resembles a head-and-shoulders pattern in early development, often preceding a bearish breakdown.
The breakdown could lead directly to the "Target" zone or even below if momentum increases.
3. Volume Divergence
The volume spike during the pump was not sustained. Post-spike, volume is declining on green candles, suggesting buyers are exhausted.
Sellers are likely using liquidity at the top to exit positions, not initiate new longs.
4. Support Turned Resistance
The red boxes mark failed support zones which now may act as resistance.
If price attempts to retest these zones and fails, it would confirm bearish control and validate the downward path toward the target (104,400–104,000).
BTC Short Setup – Breakdown Below Structure💡 Idea:
Bitcoin is consolidating under a key structure after a sharp bullish move. If price breaks below the curved neckline, it could signal the start of a local downtrend.
🔔 Trade Plan:
Entry: Below $104,902 (after a clear 1H candle close under the curved line)
Stop-Loss (SL): $106,649 (above the recent swing high)
Take-Profit (TP): $100,735 (targeting major support zone)
Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:2.38
🧠 Reasoning:
Price is forming a rounding top structure, indicating potential exhaustion of bullish momentum. A break below the curve could lead to a retracement toward the $100k support level.
📆 Timeframe: 1H
⚠️ Always wait for confirmation and manage your risk.