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Bitcoin (BTC): New Day New ATH!! = possible liquidity hunting!Bitcoin has broken all the zones and still keeps on pushing. At this point it is hard to predict a possible resistance zone for bitcoin as we don't have any liquidity on upper zones as of now and people are all in on buys. Despite that, there is one resistance zone at $100,000 (which we call a psychological resistance zone). This 6-figure number is like a meme for Bitcoin and will be reached sooner or later (especially since we are so close to it). Never the less, we also see that from the previous ATH zone, we have broken nicely all the zones, but yet we did not secure them! With that being said, we are looking for 2 possible scenarios here where both should end up re-testing the broken zone at $71K after what we should see another parabolical movement to upper zones to test the ATH zone! Swallow Team
Short
by SwallowPremium
2
BTC🚀 Bitcoin's next move could be huge! Are you ready? 📈 🔮 "With BTC showing strong support around $30,000, the next bull run could take us to $100,000+!" - Crypto Analyst 📊 "Technical indicators are signaling bullish momentum, but volatility remains a factor. Keep your eyes on the charts!" - Market Expert 💡 "Institutional interest is growing, and with the upcoming halving event, Bitcoin could see massive gains." - Industry Insider 📰 Stay tuned for more updates and analysis. As always, do your research and invest wisely! #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoPredictions #BullRun
by soni57
BTC overheated: possible short aheadBTCUSD became overheated after the strong rally after the US elections. As shown in the chart, it can't sustain breakouts beyond a consolidation area, which points to a potential weakness and may open an opportunity for a short position. Shorts must be carefully crafted at intraday peaks, and monitored closely, as crypto markets are famous for furious bullish moves. Remember - that's not investment advice, always DYOR and manage your risk!
Short
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness
Indicators vs. Strategies: A Complete Guide Understanding Indicators vs. Strategies in TradingView: A Complete Guide When navigating TradingView, one of the essential questions traders face is whether to rely on indicators or strategies to inform their trading decisions. Both indicators and strategies play critical roles, yet they serve distinct functions and require different approaches to money management, risk, and emotions control. Let’s explore the key differences between indicators and strategies in TradingView and discuss best practices for risk management, along with strategies to avoid. 1. Indicators: The Building Blocks of Analysis What They Are Indicators are statistical tools that help traders interpret market data, revealing trends, potential entry and exit points, and momentum. Indicators can be used individually or combined for more complex insights. In TradingView, indicators can be customized to fit different asset types, making them versatile tools in any trader’s toolkit. Pros Simplicity: Indicators can be straightforward and easy to interpret, especially for beginners. Flexibility: Traders can apply indicators to various timeframes and markets. No Repainting: Well-designed indicators do not repaint, meaning they don’t change past values when new data comes in, providing stable signals for backtesting and live trading. Cons Limited Guidance on Money Management: Indicators alone don’t provide a full plan for money management, position sizing, or stop-loss placement. Potential for Over-Reliance: Relying solely on indicators can lead to analysis paralysis or a false sense of market understanding without a structured risk management framework. Emotional Challenges: Indicators require interpretation and patience. Without a clear exit plan, traders may succumb to emotional impulses, like exiting too early or holding onto a position for too long. 2. Strategies: A Comprehensive Trading System What They Are Strategies go beyond indicators by integrating entry, exit, stop-loss, and profit-taking rules. In TradingView, strategies can be backtested across different market conditions, giving traders insight into their performance over time. Strategies are more comprehensive in design, often incorporating multiple indicators, risk management rules, and position sizing. Pros Structured Money Management: A well-designed strategy includes money management rules that allow traders to control position size, set stop-loss levels, and adjust for varying market conditions. Risk Control: Strategies often have mechanisms for handling risk, such as maximum drawdown thresholds, trailing stops, and profit targets. With these, traders are less exposed to catastrophic losses. Emotional Control: Strategies minimize emotional trading by automating decision-making. With clear, predefined rules, traders can avoid impulsive reactions to market swings. Cons Complexity: Developing and optimizing strategies can be complex and time-consuming. Without careful backtesting and optimization, a strategy may underperform in live markets. Backtesting Limitations: Some strategies look profitable in historical data but may not hold up in real-time. Traders should be cautious of backtesting biases and over-optimizing to fit historical data. 3. Money Management & Risk Control: Indicators vs. Strategies Indicators: Indicators do not inherently provide money management tools. While they may signal trends or potential entry and exit points, it is up to the trader to set their stop-loss, take-profit levels, and position sizes. This requires a strong sense of discipline and risk management to avoid substantial losses. Strategies: Strategies, on the other hand, typically include integrated money management. With clear stop-loss and take-profit points, traders can manage risk more effectively. Strategies can also be coded to account for risk-adjusted metrics like the Sharpe Ratio and Sortino Ratio, helping to ensure that returns are balanced against the level of risk taken. 4. Strategies to Avoid on TradingView When evaluating strategies on TradingView, it’s essential to avoid the following pitfalls: 4.1 Repainting Strategies Repainting strategies can change historical data when new information is added, leading to inaccurate backtests. They may appear to perform well historically but will give false signals in real-time, which can be detrimental to your trading success. 4.2 Martingale-Based Strategies Martingale strategies double the position size after a loss in an attempt to recover it on the next trade. While this might seem appealing, it can quickly lead to oversized losses, especially during periods of consecutive losses. Avoid strategies that risk increasing position sizes without limit as these can rapidly drain an account. 4.3 Strategies with High Drawdowns Strategies with significant historical drawdowns are risky. A high drawdown suggests that the strategy may face considerable periods of loss. Analyzing drawdown in tandem with the Sortino and Sharpe Ratios can help gauge the quality of the strategy’s risk-adjusted returns. 4.4 Strategies without Stop-Losses Trading without stop-losses is dangerous as it leaves trades vulnerable to catastrophic losses. Reliable strategies should always include some form of a stop-loss to limit potential losses. 4.5 Low Reward-to-Risk Ratios (e.g., 1:1 or 1:2) Strategies with low reward-to-risk ratios (such as 1:1 or 1:2) are generally ineffective in the long run because they don’t provide sufficient reward relative to the risk taken. Aiming for a reward-to-risk ratio of at least 1:3 or higher can improve long-term profitability. 4.6 Heikin Ashi-Based Strategies for Real-Time Trading While Heikin Ashi candlesticks are effective for trend visualization, they average out price data, creating delays in signal timing. This can lead to late entries and exits in fast-moving markets, resulting in increased slippage and potentially lower profits in real-time trading. 5. Evaluating a Strategy: Key Metrics When reviewing or developing a strategy on TradingView, consider these essential metrics to assess its quality: Sortino Ratio: Measures risk-adjusted returns, focusing on downside volatility. A higher Sortino Ratio indicates that the strategy delivers good returns relative to the risk taken. Sharpe Ratio: Evaluates the returns relative to the strategy’s total volatility. A higher Sharpe Ratio is preferable, as it suggests consistent returns with manageable risk. Drawdown: The maximum percentage loss from a strategy’s peak equity value. Low drawdown means the strategy can endure market downturns without excessive loss. Profit Factor: The ratio of gross profit to gross loss. A profit factor above 1.5 is generally considered good, with higher numbers indicating better performance. Conclusion Indicators and strategies each have unique strengths and limitations. Indicators provide signals and insights but lack the comprehensive rules for money management and emotional control that strategies can offer. Strategies, with clear rules for risk management, profit-taking, and stop-losses, help traders manage their accounts with a disciplined approach. Avoid strategies that rely on repainting, Martingale systems, high drawdowns, or low reward-to-risk ratios, and always review metrics like the Sortino Ratio, Sharpe Ratio, and drawdown to ensure sound decision-making. By carefully selecting and fine-tuning strategies in TradingView, traders can enhance their odds of consistent, profitable trading.
Education
by Alpha-Capital
Entered the important Fibonacci ratio point 2.618 - 1.618 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) It has risen by more than 10% for the first time in a long time. It has touched the target range of 2.618 (87814.27) ~ 1.618 (89050.0). Accordingly, it is expected to determine the trend again. If there is an additional sharp rise, it is possible to touch the area around 3.618 (98841.11). The next volatility period is around November 16 (November 15-17). - (1h chart) The creation of the BW(100) line means that a high point has been formed. Therefore, when the BW(100) line is created, it will mostly show a downward trend. However, since we do not know how much it will fall, we need to check the movement at the support and resistance points. In addition, when a real decline begins, it ignores all support and resistance points and falls, so in fact, the support and resistance points do not have much meaning. However, it can be used as a location to proceed with a split sell. - We have several indicators that can respond to the decline. BW(100), HA-High, StErr Line, MS-Signal (M-Signal on 1M, 1W, 1D charts), and 5EMA on 1D charts are included. The first to appear among these are BW(100) and StErr Line. The next to appear are HA-High and MS-Signal. Therefore, when it falls below a certain indicator, you can choose whether to sell in installments or buy more. - Since BTC has risen by more than 10%, it is highly likely that it will move sideways in the current section. At this time, the point to watch is whether the HA-High indicator rises and is created. When the HA-High indicator is created, it will be easier to respond because it creates a box section. However, since there is a process of shaking up and down to form a box section, caution is required at this time. This is because it is not possible to know whether a box section is formed or a decline is in progress. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K. The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are the points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points. We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
by readCrypto
BTCUSDT: Strong Buy Opportunity on Key Support RetestBTCUSDT is trading around 81,230 USDT, with bullish momentum showing signs of a potential pullback toward the support zone between 79,113 and 77,188 USDT (highlighted in blue). This area has consistently acted as a solid support and aligns well with the moving average, suggesting a favorable entry point for buyers. A pullback to this zone presents an ideal buying opportunity, with the potential for BTCUSDT to bounce back strongly and push toward new highs above 82,000 USDT. The expectation is for BTC to maintain its bullish trend upon reaching this support, providing an attractive setup for long positions.
by Sanhara
BIG SHORT ENTRY at $80k down to $57k TargetAt last, we've reached the Upthrust (UT) in the Wyckoff distribution phase. The short entry target is set at $80k, exit at $57k (approx 30%), with expectations of turbulent price movements for at east a week. In reflection of previous timings, I was 2 months out on timing (expected in September) but this is a 2 year process so I expect adjustments along the way. Phase B. During this phase, institutions accumulate shares at lower prices, preparing for an eventual markup. This process can take a year or more, involving both buying shares and short sales to control price increases. Phase B often includes multiple secondary tests (STs) and upthrusts near the top of the trading range (TR). Overall, major players aim to acquire as much of the available supply as possible. End-to-end, the whole distribution phase should last at least another 10 months until Stage E. Best, Hard Forky
Short
by hardforky
2
Is BTC on its way to $125,000?Based on BTC’s movement, it has resistance around $87,000, and in the future, its lowest potential price or support level is likely around $72,000. There’s also a possibility of BTC reaching $125,000. This is because, according to the Rainbow Chart, BTC is still in the buying zone, meaning it's still relatively cheap. However, once again, remember that this is just an analysis. Always conduct your own analysis before making any purchase decisions.
Long
by dandybimuda
Why could Bitcoin easily and quickly reach $100 000? But...Why could Bitcoin easily and quickly reach $100,000 if it breaks out of this sideways trend upwards? But... Using various services like coinglass, it's possible to analyze different metrics, such as the liquidation map. What is this and why is it important? Liquidations are liquidity, and as we well know, the price moves from liquidity to liquidity. I'm sure you've often noticed how, after sharp and significant drops, the price quickly reacts and reverses. This is the moment when the price finds liquidity through the liquidation of a large number of market participants. In simple terms, it's like a magnet that will eventually attract the price. What do we see right now? According to coinglass, at the $70,000 level alone, there are $20 billion worth of liquidation orders, and the same amount just slightly higher, at $71,500. These are potential liquidations of short-sellers (those betting on the market going down). What happens when short-sellers are liquidated? When a short position is liquidated, a buy order is triggered automatically, which in turn pushes the price higher. This long accumulation + liquidations can easily push the price up to $100,000 or even higher! And this could set the market trend direction for the next 4-6 months. But... If you've read the previous post, you know that the current trend is bearish (downward), and until that changes, a further decline is more likely. Importantly, according to coinglass, there’s a lack of liquidity below, all the way down to the $44,000 - $42,000 range, with a large pool of liquidity and liquidations at the $33,000 level. And where there is no liquidity and it's empty, there are no barriers, meaning the price could drop just as rapidly. Additional thoughts: As long as the downward trend continues, the probability of the price moving lower remains higher. However, since this downtrend has lasted for almost 200 days, there’s also a significant chance that the trend could reverse, and we could move upwards. So, we are currently in a rather interesting and uncertain spot, where the likelihood of going up or down is about 50/50. I’ll keep following my algorithmic trading systems!
by Yaroslav_Krasko