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BTCUSDT trade ideas

TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #92👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into today’s analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, I’ll walk you through the futures session triggers for the New York session. ⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe As you can see in the 1-hour timeframe, the price has broken below the 102886 support and dropped to 101628, where it found support and is now making its way back toward the 102886 level. ✨ If the 102886 level is broken again, we could open a long position targeting the main recent high of the market at 104886. 🌩 The 104886 zone is a very significant level, and breaking it could initiate the next bullish leg for Bitcoin. However, the all-time high resistance at 106247 remains a solid barrier, forming a key supply zone between 104886 and 106247. ✔️ Since this zone is a major area of supply, it’s best to already be in a position before price reaches it. There’s a strong chance of a sharp move, and the breakout may not provide a clear confirmation candle, making it difficult to catch an entry in real time. 🔽 For short positions, our current trigger is the 101628 level. A breakdown here could begin a deeper correction. Key support levels to watch are 99225 and 97409. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Moving on to Bitcoin dominance—yesterday, the trendline we had drawn was broken, and now dominance is heading toward 63.12. 🧩 The break of this trendline doesn’t indicate a trend reversal just yet. The bearish momentum in this current leg has been strong, and for a full reversal, we would need to see a higher high and higher low form on higher timeframes. 🔔 For now, the next corrective zones for dominance are at 63.61 and 64.10. 📅 Total2 Analysis Let’s look at the Total2 index. Like Bitcoin, it has undergone a correction and has reached the 1.18 support level. 🎲 The current short trigger is the 1.18 level, and a breakdown here would confirm a deeper correction. 🔼 For long positions, the 1.24 and 1.26 levels are suitable triggers. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Now let’s analyze Tether dominance. The index has corrected to the 4.69 level. ☘️ If 4.69 is broken, the market could undergo a deeper correction toward 4.82. On the other hand, if the price gets rejected from this level, the likelihood of a move back down to 4.51 increases. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
1
Important section: 101947.24-106133.74 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) It has touched the Fibonacci ratio 1.902 (101784.54) and is rising. The key is whether it can receive support near the StochRSI 50 indicator (102971.99) and rise. If not, it can fall to the 94915.18-97226.92 area. Since the HA-Low indicator is formed at the 89294.25 point, it is important whether the price can be maintained above that point. If the StochRSI indicator falls below the overbought range and then rises while moving sideways around the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101784.54) ~ 2 (106178.85), it is expected to renew the ATH. Even if it falls more than expected, if it rises along the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it is highly likely to renew the ATH. ---------------------------------------------------------- I will explain the newly added indicators, StochRSI 50, StochRSI 80, and StochRSI 20. The disadvantage of interpreting the StochRSI indicator added as an auxiliary indicator is that it cannot determine the price movement. Because of this, when interpreting the StochRSI indicator so far, - Whether it is in the overbought or oversold zone, - Whether StochRSI is above or below the 50 point, we interpreted it as above. Therefore, we added the price movement to the StochRSI indicator to check the movement more accurately. - The StochRSI 50 indicator is literally created when the StochRSI indicator passes the 50 point. Therefore, we need to think about a response plan based on the price StochRSI 50 indicator. - The fact that StochRSI 80 is created means that the StochRSI indicator has risen above 80. Therefore, in order to continue the upward trend, StochRSI must rise above 80. If StochRSI 80 is not created and only StochRSI 20 is created, the upward trend will occur when the price is maintained above the StochRSI 50 indicator. - The fact that StochRSI 20 was created means that the StochRSI indicator has fallen below 20. Therefore, in order to continue the downtrend, it must fall below StochRSI 20. If StochRSI 20 is not created and only StochRSI 80 is created, the downtrend will occur when the price is maintained below the StochRSI 50 indicator. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​This is an explanation of the big picture. I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10). (Previous BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025. - (Current BTCUSD 12M chart) Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15). It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54). (BTCUSDT 12M chart) I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart. - I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart. The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges. In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range. Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28). Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section. To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28). If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%. So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54). I will explain more details when the downtrend starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
2
Momentum Fades: Is Bitcoin Poised for a Pullback to Rebalance?Given the recent easing of US-China tariff tensions 🇺🇸🇨🇳, we’re observing a notable rotation of capital into equities 📈. This shift is lending strength to the US dollar 💵, which in turn has exerted downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price action. After a strong momentum-driven rally 🚀, Bitcoin is now showing early signs of weakness, suggesting a potential consolidation or a measured pullback. With equity markets—particularly tech stocks—appearing overextended 🏦, a retracement seems likely. Since Bitcoin remains closely correlated with the tech sector, a synchronized pullback across both asset classes is a plausible scenario. I’m closely monitoring for a counter-trend opportunity, specifically eyeing a short entry should we see a decisive break in market structure 🔍. It’s important to note that this setup is highly dependent on price action confirming the thesis as outlined in the accompanying video. If the anticipated conditions do not materialize, this trade idea will be promptly invalidated. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies and equities involves significant risk. Please conduct your own research and consult with a professional advisor before making any investment decisions. 📊
Short
by fxtraderanthony
BTC decision time (16th-19th May)Its as simple as this. Fib Time Zone has accurately picked high, low, pause and now comes to a critical juncture. Could we finally be seeing the beginning of a bull run for all crypto assets or will we begin a bear market. Note time until end is in 460 days from May. My view End of May, June, July heavy upside for crypto. BTC up till $140-145k (may wick to 150k) July, Aug - The whales party in Europe again and expect a 30-35% drop - potentially back to $100k. Sept - Dec - Pumpamentals. Everyone is happy. Expect another 30% dump and a final blow out top (the one where you see thousands of posts on Instagram, X etc that they have their lambos. If my thesis is correct, bull market ends March-June 2026.
by Ralfetto
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youBitcoin is currently within a recent price volatility range, and while the overall trend remains unclear, combined with news from the Bitcoin Conference, there are multiple factors conducive to going long. From a policy perspective, the Bitcoin Conference revealed that some countries may shift their regulatory attitudes toward cryptocurrencies. If subsequent countries announce the relaxation of Bitcoin regulations and allow more legitimate investment channels, this will directly stimulate market capital inflows. It is akin to opening a floodgate for capital, as a large number of investors will pour into the market to buy Bitcoin due to policy tailwinds, driving prices higher. In terms of market confidence, if experts and institutions at the conference unanimously express optimistic expectations for Bitcoin, believing it has significant upside potential, this will greatly ignite market enthusiasm for long positions. When market participants are confident in the future, they are more willing to buy and hold Bitcoin, further supporting price increases. From a technical standpoint, if the conference announces a major breakthrough in Bitcoin's technology—such as a substantial increase in transaction speed or a significant reduction in transaction costs—Bitcoin's practicality and attractiveness will be greatly enhanced. The improvement in its intrinsic value will also be reflected in its price, attracting more capital to go long. Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you BTCUSDT BUY@107000~108000 SL:105000 TP:109500~110000
Long
by AndyHopkins
Bitcoin's Bearish Potential Explained Using Candlestick ReadingI will explain the chart as it is now based on candlestick reading and then add some additional information. The bearish bias short-term has been confirmed. The green line marks Bitcoin's all-time high. Dark red is the previous ath 20-Jan. 2025 and the dark red dotted line the high from 17-Dec. 2024. Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) now trade below all three levels on a daily basis. Right after the all-time high, 23-May, we have a full red candle. The full red candle is a rejection as Bitcoin produced this new ath which is also a technical double-top. After three days green, Bitcoin produces a lower high in the form of a Doji. 27-May. This Doji confirms the candle from 23-May. Today, 28-May, Bitcoin produces a red candle as continuation of the action from 23 and 27 May. Trading volume is super low. Big institutions are buying and these always tend to buy at the top. The top means higher no more. A correction is upon us. Resistance has been confirmed, how can Bitcoin turn bullish again short-term? It needs to move and close above the all-time high on a daily basis. Anything lower and you can SHORT. The fact that Bitcoin closed 7 consecutive weeks green, with the last few weeks become smaller, it is a sign of exhaustion, the market is looking for a relief. A retrace can turn into a correction and if panic sets in a correction can turn into a crash. It is still early though, but these things tend to unravel pretty fast. Are you paying attention? What will happen now? A bullish trend is based on higher highs and higher lows. The bigger structure is not likely to break but, Bitcoin is going down, it doesn't matter if it is short or mid-term... Do what you have to do to protect yourself or secure profits. You can never go wrong by securing some profits when your pairs grew by 300 to 500%. If you are waiting for more, forever more, you are just a greedy ... trader. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Secure the win and forget the greed. Win, win, win. And you will have the chance to play again. Plan before buying. Develop a plan and use this trading plan to achieve trading success. Whatever you do is up to you. I am just reading the chart. I left one question unanswered on purpose; How far down will it go? Tell me in the comments, if you tell me your version I will tell you mine. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Buy and sell. Sell, not hold. Namaste.
Short
by MasterAnanda
BTC update - May 29 2025We followed BTC from the 74,000 low and stated that BTC would have a good upward move and will probably hit the previous ATH. In reality, BTC followed the analysis very nicely and after some 50% gain, it did hit the previous ATH. But looking at the chart right now and considering the bearish confluences on the chart, it seems BTC is likely to drop to lower levels namely 102,000, 94,000 and probably 88,000 so it is wise to look for sell opportunities across the market. An 8H or 12H close below the blue trendline will probably trigger the drop.
Short
by AlgoBotTrading
Whale Exposure to Global EconomyThe foreign-exchange (FX) market and the cryptocurrency market both rely on “market makers” and large “suppliers” to provide liquidity and facilitate trading—but the two systems operate on vastly different scales, under different rules, and with very different participant incentives. As crypto’s total capitalization races toward—and potentially beyond—\$5 trillion in the next major bull run, global markets will be increasingly exposed to crypto’s profit-maximizing whales and automated liquidity pools. Unless these structural differences are recognized and addressed, dramatic swings in crypto could spill over into traditional finance. Definition of Roles A market maker is an entity that continuously quotes buy and sell prices, profiting on the spread while absorbing order flow. In FX, these are predominantly regulated bank trading desks (J.P. Morgan, Deutsche Bank, UBS, etc.) that together handle roughly \$7.5 trillion in daily turnover. They operate under capital requirements, central-bank oversight, and risk-management frameworks designed to cap extreme volatility. In crypto, “market makers” include professional trading firms on centralized exchanges (e.g. Jump Trading, Wintermute) and code-driven Automated Market Makers (AMMs) like Uniswap, where any token holder can deposit assets into liquidity pools in return for fees. Unlike banks, AMM suppliers have no regulatory obligation to maintain quotes or hedge risk; they earn yield only when trading volume persists. A supplier (or “liquidity provider”) is any large holder whose stock of currency or tokens affects the supply available for trading. In FX, major commercial and investment banks also act as top suppliers, but they balance client flow management with broader fiduciary and policy considerations. Central banks even step in to smooth markets. In crypto, a tiny fraction of addresses control outsized shares: over 1.86 percent of addresses hold 90 percent of all Bitcoin, and whales with more than 1 million ETH own roughly 32 percent of Ethereum’s supply. These holders—driven by profit and market-timing motives rather than system stability—can on a whim remove or inject vast amounts of liquidity. Comparative Scale and Behavior Liquidity depth: FX’s interbank pool absorbs massive trades with minimal price impact. Crypto spot volume on top exchanges averages around \$60–80 billion per day—just one-one hundredth of FX volume. Many altcoins trade at volumes measured in single-digit millions, where a single whale order can move prices by double-digit percentages. Volatility and risk: FX volatility is largely driven by macroeconomic data and policy decisions. Crypto volatility is often directly caused by whale transactions: large accumulations off-exchange tighten supply; sudden sell-offs flood order books and trigger crashes. Traders routinely monitor whale wallet movements as a gauge of impending price swings. Market-making obligations: FX banks must quote two-way prices under regulatory frameworks. Crypto AMMs have no quote obligations; liquidity can vanish if token prices diverge from incentives, and CEX market-maker programs can be switched off if profitability erodes. Growing Crypto Caps and Global Exposure Over the past bull cycle, crypto’s total market capitalization surged from roughly \$1 trillion after the 2022 crash to more than \$3 trillion by late 2024. In a mature next bull rally—driven by factors like retail adoption, institutional investment via U.S. ETFs, and on-chain growth—analysts project total cap could reach \$5–10 trillion, perhaps even higher if adoption hits one billion users by 2030. In November 2024 alone, U.S. Bitcoin ETFs saw over \$3.5 billion of net inflows in a single week, signaling growing institutional interest. As crypto cap grows, profits accrue to whales who then have two options: reinvest in more crypto or deploy capital into traditional assets—equities, bonds, real estate, venture capital. When profit-maximizing whales move funds back into mainstream markets, they become new large suppliers in those markets. Their behavior—driven by short-term returns and unregulated by banking rules—can introduce episodes of excessive risk-taking, sudden mass reallocations, and cross-market contagion. A 30 percent price rally in crypto could translate into tens or hundreds of billions of dollars of buying power flowing into stocks or commodities, inflating asset bubbles. Conversely, a swift whale-led crypto sell-off could generate forced deleveraging in other markets. Risks and Recommendations 1. Opacity of supply: Unlike regulated banks, crypto whales and AMM pools operate pseudonymously. Policy makers should require greater transparency around large-wallet activity, potentially via on-chain reporting thresholds. 2. Market-making standards: Exchanges and AMM platforms could adopt minimum commitment obligations—analogous to FX banks’ two-way quoting—ensuring liquidity does not collapse when whale incentives shift. 3. Surveillance and circuit breakers: Crypto venues should implement robust guardrails—time-outs, price bands, and anomaly detection—to prevent cascading liquidations by large holders. 4. Cross-market safeguards: As crypto intersects with ETFs, pension funds, and corporate treasuries, regulators must recognize the systemic linkages and prepare macroprudential policies to mitigate spillovers. Conclusion Crypto markets will never mirror the deep, regulated interbank systems of FX. But as total crypto capitalization approaches and exceeds several trillion dollars, its profit-seeking whales stand poised to exert outsized influence not only on token prices but on the broader global economy. Recognizing the unique behaviors and incentives of crypto market makers and suppliers—and enacting tailored transparency, liquidity, and supervision measures—will be essential to contain the risk that tomorrow’s crypto bull run could unleash today’s market crisis.
Long
by mertenes3
Anuj//@version=5 indicator("SMC Toolkit - BOS | CHOCH | FVG | OB", overlay=true) // === INPUTS === var float swingHigh = na var float swingLow = na sensitivity = input.int(5, "Swing Sensitivity", minval=1) // === STRUCTURE POINTS === isSwingHigh = high > ta.highest(high , sensitivity) and high > ta.highest(high , sensitivity) isSwingLow = low < ta.lowest(low , sensitivity) and low < ta.lowest(low , sensitivity) swingHigh := isSwingHigh ? high : swingHigh swingLow := isSwingLow ? low : swingLow // === BOS & CHOCH DETECTION === var label bosLabel = na var label chochLabel = na bos = false choch = false if isSwingHigh and close > swingHigh bos := true bosLabel := label.new(bar_index, high, "BOS 🔵", style=label.style_label_down, color=color.blue, textcolor=color.white) if isSwingLow and close < swingLow choch := true chochLabel := label.new(bar_index, low, "CHOCH 🔴", style=label.style_label_up, color=color.red, textcolor=color.white) // === FAIR VALUE GAP (FVG) === fvgUp = low > high fvgDn = high < low plotshape(fvgUp, title="FVG Up", location=location.belowbar, color=color.green, style=shape.labelup, text="FVG↑") plotshape(fvgDn, title="FVG Down", location=location.abovebar, color=color.orange, style=shape.labeldown, text="FVG↓") // === ORDER BLOCK (Simple Detection) === bullishOB = close < open and close > high bearishOB = close > open and close < low plotshape(bullishOB, title="Bullish OB", location=location.belowbar, color=color.lime, style=shape.triangleup, text="OB↑") plotshape(bearishOB, title="Bearish OB", location=location.abovebar, color=color.red, style=shape.triangledown, text="OB↓")
by vishwakarmaanuj059
How to Use the Sentiment Cycle Indicator to Detect Trend ShiftsHow to Use the Sentiment Cycle Indicator to Detect Trend Shifts in BTC Chart: BTC/USDT (1D) Tool Used: Sentiment Cycle Indicator Type: Educational – How to interpret sentiment shifts and time corrections. ⸻ 🟢 What the Indicator Does: The Sentiment Cycle Indicator is designed to help identify emotional cycles in price movements by mapping bullish (green) and bearish (red) sentiment zones directly on the chart background. It highlights sentiment clusters using a combination of volume behavior, price structure, and trend alignment , helping traders anticipate trend continuation or possible exhaustion. ⸻ ✅ Recent Performance: 📈 In the most recent BTC rally (from ~60,000 to 110,000+ USDT), • The indicator captured the uptrend early, turning the background consistently green starting mid-October 2024. • Multiple Buy signals (green arrows) confirmed trend conviction. • Even during minor pullbacks, green sentiment persisted — signaling strength. 📉 Now, the green sentiment zone has faded, and red zones are reappearing, indicating a potential sentiment shift: • This transition may be an early warning of correction or distribution phase. • Several Sell signals (red arrows) have recently fired as well, validating the shift. ⸻ 🔍 Current Interpretation: • Bullish sentiment has weakened — background color has turned neutral-to-red. • Sentiment exhaustion is likely, and this could mark the start of a distribution or corrective phase. • The absence of new buy signals despite recent price highs further supports this view. 📌 What to watch next: • If red zones deepen and persist → correction is likely. • If green zones reappear quickly with renewed Buy signals → resumption of uptrend is possible. ⸻ 📚 How-To Use the Indicator: 1. Watch the background color: • Green → Accumulation or markup. • Red → Distribution or markdown. 2. Buy/Sell Markers: • Use arrows as confirmation — not standalone signals. • Best results when aligned with sentiment zone and price structure. 3. Volatility Filter: • Sideways zones (mixed bands) indicate indecision — avoid overtrading here. ⸻ 🧠 Final Thoughts: The Sentiment Cycle Indicator isn’t just about price – it’s about the emotion behind price. As BTC shows signs of sentiment fading, this could be a pivotal time to re-evaluate bullish bias and prepare for a cooling phase or even deeper correction. Let the market’s mood guide your strategy.
by TradeTechanalysis